The Volokh Conspiracy
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Judge Gibbons's Replacement By Her Former Clerk Would "Flip" The Sixth Circuit
Gibbons declined to take senior status during the Trump years, but will now be replaced by her former law clerk.
The Sixth Circuit, where I clerked more than a decade ago, has sixteen active judgeships. At present, there are four nominees from President George W. Bush (Sutton, Gibbons, Griffin, Kethledge) and six nominees from President Trump (Thapar, Bush, Larsen, Nalbandian, Readler, Murphy). And there are two nominees from President Clinton (Moore and Clay), one from President Obama (Stranch), and three from President Biden (Davis, Mathis, Bloomekatz).
One might think that an en banc court with ten appointees from Republican Presidents and six appointees from Democratic Presidents would consistently lean to the right. But not so. To command a majority on this even-numbered court, you need nine votes. And in recent years, finding those nine votes has been tougher and tougher. For starters, Chief Judge Sutton has long taken the policy that en banc review should be used sparingly, as the Supreme Court can correct errors. Maybe that policy made some sense a decade ago, but with the Supreme Court taking fewer and fewer cases, and circuit splits festering, the en banc/certiorari calculus should be rejiggered. (Sutton may have departed from that policy, at least in part).
Making the math even tougher is that two of the W. Bush appointees have voted more and more with the Court's liberals: Judge Richard Alan Griffin from Michigan and Judge Julia Smith Gibbons from Tennessee. One such case from 2021 was the OSHA Vaccine mandate case. The en banc court split 8-8, with Judges Griffith and Gibbons declining to join Judge Sutton's dissental. In reality, what looks like a 10-6 court on paper is probably closer to a 9-7 or 8-8 court in practice.
Whatever the split is now, it is poised to change. In August 2023, Judge Gibbons announced that she would assume senior status "upon confirmation of [her] successor." In recent years, it has been very rare for a circuit judge to be voluntarily replaced by a President of the opposite party--the so-called "flipped" seat. Judge Gibbons, who was appointed as a district court judge in 1983 at the age of 32, has been eligible for senior status since 2015 or so. But she chose not to take senior status during the four years of the Trump presidency. I have been reliably informed that she did not want President Trump nominating her replacement.
On March 20, 2024, nearly seven months after Gibbons's letter, President Biden announced his intent to nominate Kevin Ritz, the U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Tennessee, to replace Judge Gibbons.
Ritz, a white man, is unlike most of Biden's circuit nominees. Indeed, his other three appointees to the Sixth Circuit were a black woman, a black man, and a white woman. Why would Biden make such a undiverse pick? Perhaps the most salient line on Ritz's biography is that he clerked for Judge Gibbons in 2004.
It is not difficult to speculate that Ritz may have been selected to induce Judge Gibbons to take senior status. This sort of understanding is common enough. There were many rumors that Justice Kennedy was encouraged to retire, with the knowledge that he would be replaced by one of his clerks, namely Justice Brett Kavanaugh. Ditto for Justice Breyer, who was replaced by his former clerk, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. On the Ninth Circuit, Judge Johnnie Rawlinson told the Biden administration that she could be "persuaded" to take senior status if one of her former clerks to replace her. (Rawlinson has not yet taken senior status.) On the Seventh Circuit, Judge Michael Kanne withdrew his senior status announcement when President Trump did not nominate his former clerk. (Kanne died in 2022 and was replaced by a Biden nominee.) On the Ninth Circuit, Judge Diarmud O'Scannlain was almost replaced by former-clerk Ryan Bounds, but after his nomination faltered, he was replaced by another clerk, Danielle Forest (formerly Hunsaker). On the Eighth Circuit, Judge Roger Leland Wollman was replaced by his former clerk, Jonathan A. Kobes. I'm sure there are more judges who were replaced by their former clerks that I'm forgetting, but these recent selections are fresh in my mind.
For those curious, the Office of Legal Counsel found that the federal nepotism statute cannot be used to constrain the President's appointment power of federal judges. This issue arose after President Clinton nominated Judge William Fletcher to sit on the Ninth Circuit along with his mother, Judge Betty Fletcher. I think there could be other neutral reforms to constrain judges hand-picking their successors, which I'll address for another time.
I'll let Tennessee politicos speculate about whatever backroom deals led to Ritz's appointment. I have been reliably informed that Ritz will not receive blue slips from the two Republican Senators in Tennessee. For present purposes, it is enough to state the Gibbons's replacement with Ritz would effectively flip the en banc court from a nominally conservative circuit to a evenly-balanced, if not left-leaning circuit. Litigants who may have otherwise found the Sixth Circuit favorable will now look to greener (redder?) pastures, such as the Fifth Circuit. There are consequences here that stretch far beyond Judge Gibbons and any potential desire to be replaced by her former law clerk. We are getting close to the end of President Biden's first term. The Ritz nomination, along with the Mangi which would flip the Third Circuit, will come down to the wire.
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" the Court's liberals.... Judge Julia Smith Gibbons from Tennessee."
How is this a "flip" -- a RINO replaced with a DEM, is there a difference???
Typically, the RINO only votes once per election.
Otherwise, pretty much the same.
I’ll let Tennessee politicos speculate about whatever backroom deals led to Ritz’s appointment. I have been reliably informed that Ritz will not receive blue slips from the two Republican Senators in Tennessee.
Josh, it truly is a pleasure to so frequently disagree with someone who is such a gloating, unrepentant and obvious piece of shit.
Muted
I'll notify the media.
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Pres. Biden nominated Mr. Ritz on March 20, 2024 to induce Judge Gibbons to make the decision she had publicly announced on August 7, 2023?
"One might think that an en banc court with ten appointees from Republican Presidents and six appointees from Democratic Presidents would consistently lean to the right."
Not if you weren't delusional about George W Bush.
"Ritz, a white man, is unlike most of Biden's circuit nominees. Indeed, his other three appointees to the Sixth Circuit were a black woman, a black man, and a white woman. Why would Biden make such a undiverse pick?"
You can only lean so hard into "diversity" before you're just 'undiverse' in a different way, and Biden long since passed that point. As of December of last year, 66% of Biden's nominations were women, compared to 39.5% of lawyers being women.
66% of his nominees have been non-white, in a country where 15% of lawyers are non-white.
Basically, he's been heavily discriminating against white men, and expects to be praised for it.
So you agree? Trump is racist and sexist:
“ Trump’s judges are 85% white and 76% male; less than 5% are Black.”
https://theconversation.com/trump-and-mcconnells-mostly-white-male-judges-buck-30-year-trend-of-increasing-diversity-on-the-courts-146828
Well, Trump's nominees were mildly more male than the available pool of potential candidates, though probably not relative to the experienced pool. The racial demographics seem a pretty good match to the pool of qualified lawyers.
So, you think he's being racist and sexist by NOT discriminating?
You: discrimination is bad.
Also you: it’s not discrimination to overwhelmingly fill positions with white men.
Pretty convenient eh?
Look, this isn't complicated: If 86% of the pool of qualified candidates are white, it doesn't MATTER if only 58% of the general population are white. Someone who isn't racially discriminating is going to nominate 86% whites, all else being equal.
You, of course, are deliberately using the wrong denominator.
Do you consider it a goal to work towards having more women or minorities be more represented in positions of power?
Obviously it’s a “goal”, trivially, by definition. Is it a goal that justifies racial discrimination?
OK, so between the remnants of Jim Crow, and the destruction of the black family by the war on poverty, relatively few blacks became lawyers until recently. That doesn’t really MATTER to the person who’s nominating judges, because he’s not working with the counter factual candidate pool that would have existed if that hadn’t happened.
He’s working with the candidate pool that actually exists. And, given the candidate pool that actually, exists, the only way you’re going to get that counter-factual nominee list is by engaging in gross racial discrimination. And, indeed, Biden doesn’t even bother pretending he isn’t racially discriminating in his selection of judicial nominees. He’s racially and sexually discriminating for all he’s worth, and fully expects to be praised for doing it.
It’s TRUMP who nominated judges who reflected the composition of the actual candidate pool he was faced with. So, how exactly does that make TRUMP the racist, the sexist? Because he didn’t racially and sexually discriminate like mad, only in a way you approve of?
Is that your definition of “racist and sexist”? Doesn’t engage in racial discrimination? Are you going to make that explicit, here, that you think it’s racist to not be racist?
Because that IS what "anti-racism" is all about, of course: That what's really racist is NOT being a racist, only a "good" sort of racist, who only discriminates against whites.
And why were 86% of “qualified” candidates white, Brett?
That's just the bigotry and autism talking, Mr. Bellmore.
At minimum, Trump disproportionately selected male nominees (76% versus 60% of practicing attorneys). So, no, you don’t get to select stats as the comparison then pretend that your stats indicate Biden’s nominees were discriminatorily biased towards women but not then also note that Trump’s were discriminatorily biased towards men.
Further, I’m sure you aren’t a fan of disparate impact in the context of racial discrimination claims, so it’s a bit hypocritical to use it here.
However, if your intent is to somehow skewer “the other side” for supporting disparate impact analysis but not employ it here, you’re ignoring that disparate impact is not the end of the analysis. There isn’t liability if the criteria which resulted in the disparate impact has “a manifest relationship to the employment in question.” You’re essentially assuming that race/gender itself was the reason Biden picked the nominees he did, rather than that some other non-racial/gender criteria, say support for Title VII and disparate impact analysis or other ideological position, results in the skewed numbers.
You also fail to comprehend LawTalkingGuy’s point as well as the fact that it actually matters to have representation from disfavored groups in positions of power and authority, so diversity of life experiences, etc., is a defensible reason to consider membership in a historically disfavored group.
Conversely, white males are already overrepresented, so making appointments so they will be even more overly represented is more inherently suspect for someone like you who pretends* to want colorblind and gender neutral selections. And Trump’s nominees were, as noted, disproportionately white males.
*I say pretends, because you minimized and excused the fact that Trump’s bias towards males was of a similar magnitude to Biden’s supposed bias towards females.
Sounds like Trump picked judicial nominees the way Prof. Volokh chooses bloggers. White, male, clinger.
"You’re essentially assuming that race/gender itself was the reason Biden picked the nominees he did, rather than that some other non-racial/gender criteria, say support for Title VII and disparate impact analysis or other ideological position, results in the skewed numbers."
Yes, I'm assuming that the only way he could generate such wildly skewed numbers is by making race and sex the overwhelmingly dominant selection criteria, with merit, however defined, just a secondary consideration. Since he actually came out and said that he was doing that, I'm fairly comfortable making that assumption.
"You also fail to comprehend LawTalkingGuy’s point as well as the fact that it actually matters to have representation from disfavored groups in positions of power and authority, so diversity of life experiences, etc., is a defensible reason to consider membership in a historically disfavored group."
No, I'm rejecting it. I'm from the "the way to stop discrimination is to stop discriminating" school of thought. The "racial discrimination is a moral wrong" school of thought.
Is racial discrimination wrong, or isn't it? That's a key question here. If it's wrong, STOP DOING IT. If it isn't wrong, you're going to have a hard time explaining to the majority why they should be the ones discriminated against.
You're actually kind of lucky that the general population rejects racial discrimination, because if that ever changes, they'll want to be the ones benefiting from it...
"(76% versus 60% of practicing attorneys)"
My understanding is that the percentage of woman lawyers has been climbing with time, and unless you're nominating recent graduates from law school to be federal judges, the available pool reflects the composition of the bar some years ago.
So, the average age of Trump nominees was about 47. So I'd guess they graduated from law school about 20 years ago? That's the pool of people you want to look at, not the entire bar.
Muted
K
This is a weird bot. As far as I can tell, "she" appeared here at the VC about a week to ten days ago, and the only thing she has posted is the word "Muted" repeatedly.
At some sites you can game the system that way; Posters who get muted too often end up penalized in some way, so if you deploy bots to mute people you disagree with, you can get rid of them.
I don't think this site operates that way, but after the revelation that they've been going back and erasing whole comment histories from the past threads, I'm not all that confident of it.
It could be that a Bush appointee genuinely felt ashamed that such a man as Trump got to be president and would pick her successor. Which is why she waited until he was gone.
That was my first take. I assume the logical explanation was, "This is a shitty president. This is a shitty person. He's nominating some perfectly qualified people...and some awful judicial candidates. Therefore; no way I'm taking the risk of letting him nominate someone for my current position."