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A Reversal in Rahimi Will Be Tougher to Write Than Critics Admit
Courts are "not insensitive to domestic violence" but are "sensitive to the constitutional rights of the accused."
The conventional wisdom is that the Supreme Court will certainly reverse the Fifth Circuit in Rahimi. Indeed I've voiced that position myself several times, especially in light of a potential grant in Range. (The New York Times picked up Justice Barrett's question). But let me challenge that conventional wisdom: an opinion reversing Rahimi will be tougher to write than most critics will admit.
Let's start with a premise: Rahimi was a faithful application of Bruen. Efforts to "clarify" Bruen are really an attempt to rewrite the precedent. I don't think anyone seriously doubts this premise. Now the reason why the Court may "clarify" Bruen is because certain members of the Court don't like the results that it yields: namely, that a dangerous person like Rahimi can possess a firearm. Again, the correctness of the Bruen precedent should be able to stand without regard to how it may be applied in future cases. But that's where we are. Some members of the Court who profess to be originalists are still motivated by consequentialism. And these concerns came out loud and clear during oral argument.
Still, there is a long time between November and June. A majority opinion has to be written. And that opinion will have to navigate an issue that didn't get much attention during oral argument: what other constitutional rights should dangerous people lose? Certainly this case can't just be about guns.
One of my first published articles, The Constitutionality of Social Cost, was published in the Harvard Journal of Law & Public Policy in 2011. I had started thinking about the topic in 2009, before McDonald v. Chicago was decided. The basic premise of my article was that there are many dangerous rights, and the Second Amendment was not an outlier. Here is a snippet from the introduction:
Although the Second Amendment has been singled out from its brethren in the Bill of Rights as the most dangerous right, it is not the only dangerous right. The Supreme Court has developed over a century of jurisprudence to deal with forms of liberty that yield negative externalities. The right to speak freely is balanced with the possible harm that can result from people preaching hate, violence, intolerance, and even fomenting revolution. The freedom of the press permits the media to report on matters that may harm national security. The freedom of association allows people to congregate to advocate for certain types of violence. The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects against unreasonable searches and seizures enables the possession of the fruits and instrumentalities of crime with impunity. Inculpatory evidence seized in violation of this right is generally inadmissible during trial, permitting crimes to go unpunished. Likewise, a violation of a person's Miranda rights renders certain confessions—even an uncoerced inculpatory confession—inadmissible. Procedural rights during the criminal trial—including the right to grand jury indictment, the right against self‐incrimination, the right against double jeopardy, the right of compulsory process, the right of confrontation, the right of a speedy and public trial, and the right of trial by jury—all make the prosecution of culpable defendants significantly harder. The Due Process Clause, which imposes limitations on all government actions, places the burden of proof beyond a reasonable doubt on the prosecution. The right to non‐excessive bail and reasonable fines make it easier for suspects to avoid prison during prosecutions and may allow them to abscond before trial. The right against cruel and unusual punishments removes certain forms of retribution from the quiver of the state, thereby limiting the range of punishments for those found guilty of a crime. The right of habeas corpus ensures that a person—however dangerous—cannot be detained indefinitely without proper procedures. Liberty's harm to society takes many forms—not just from the exercise of the right to keep and bear arms. These precedents show how the Court balances freedom and the harm that may result from its exercise. Although a "primary concern of every government [is] a concern for the safety and indeed the lives of its citizens," this concern is not constitutionally sacrosanct.
Not much has changed since I wrote these words more than a decade ago. The Supreme Court, often with lopsided majorities, protects the constitutional rights of very dangerous people. Yet when it comes to the Second Amendment, it's as if all of these precedents vanish.
This point was recently made in United States v. Kersee, a case from the Fifth Circuit. Here, the defendant pleaded guilty to transporting a minor across state lines with intent to engage in sexual activity. He was sentenced to ten years in prison and five years of supervised release. After he was released from prison, the probation officer submitted a petition to revoke Kersee's supervised release for several charges, including felony aggravated robbery, and misdemeanor family assault. Kersee's girlfriend was the complaining witness for these charges. The charges were later dismissed. Kersee's girlfriend did not testify at the revocation hearing. Thus, Kersee could not challenge out-of-court statements made by Kersee. The district judge revoked Kersee's supervised release, and sentenced him to six months in custody.
Kersee appealed the revocation to the Fifth Circuit. The panel (Graves, Higginson, and Ho) vacated the revocation of supervised released, and remanded for a new hearing. Why would the panel allow this dangerous person back on the street? Under circuit precedent, due process "entitles the defendant to a 'qualified right to confront and cross-examine adverse witnesses.'" This is not exactly the Confrontation Clause, as construed in Crawford v. Washington, but some more nebulous facet of the Due Process Clause. The panel explained:
On balance, the district court failed to make a showing of good cause. Kersee's interest in confronting the adverse witnesses outweighs the government's interest in denying that opportunity. Thus, the district court erred in denying Kersee his due process right to confront and cross-examine adverse witnesses.
To be very clear, the Fifth Circuit ordered that a dangerous criminal, who was alleged to have engaged in domestic violence, was entitled to a new hearing because of a purported constitutional right. If allowed back on the street, Kersee has shown a propensity to harm those around him. Yet, the Constitution prevails.
Judge Ho wrote a four-page concurrence. The introduction speaks to the dangerousness of constitutional rights more broadly, and Rahimi more precisely.
Violent criminals should be prosecuted, convicted, disarmed, and incarcerated. United States v. Rahimi, 61 F.4th 443, 463 (5th Cir. 2023) (Ho, J., concurring), cert. granted, 143 S. Ct. 2688 (2023). But we don't presume that citizens are dangerous criminals. We presume they're innocent. And to overcome that presumption, we require more than just notice and a hearing. We afford the accused with the assistance of counsel and a meaningful opportunity to present evidence and confront adverse witnesses. We impose a robust burden of proof on the government. And when in doubt, we err on the side of liberty. . . . I write separately to observe that the court grants relief, not because it is insensitive to domestic violence or the safety of Kersee's girlfriend, but because it is sensitive to the constitutional rights of the accused.
The emphasized sentence is important. In other contexts, the constitutional rights of the accused are not diminished because of what the accused may do with those rights. Those rights are protected in spite of what the accused may do with those rights. Judge Ho includes a string-cite that explains all of the ways that the Supreme Court has afforded broad constitutional protections to dangerous people:
The Supreme Court has repeatedly granted relief to dangerous criminals out of concern about the procedures used to determine their dangerousness. See, e.g., Ramos v. Louisiana, 140 S. Ct. 1390 (2020) (murder); United States v. Davis, 139 S. Ct. 2319 (2019) (violent felonies); Johnson v. United States, 576 U.S. 591 (2015) (armed career criminals); Crawford v. Washington, 541 U.S. 36 (2004) (assault and attempted murder); Maryland v. Craig, 497 U.S. 836 (1990) (sexual abuse of a child); Miranda v. Arizona, 384 U.S. 436 (1966) (kidnapping and rape); Gideon v. Wainwright, 372 U.S. 335 (1963) (burglary).
In these cases, the Supreme Court did not shy away from the constitutional right because the defendant was presumptively dangerous:
In none of these cases did the Supreme Court decline to uphold constitutional safeguards just because the defendant was credibly accused of a dangerous crime. If government must turn "square corners" when it comes to the removal of illegal aliens, Niz-Chavez v. Garland, 141 S. Ct. 1474, 1486 (2021), surely it must do the same when it comes to the basic rights of our own citizens.
In Rahimi, presumably, a majority of Justices will want to write that the Second Amendment rights must be taken away from people merely accused of being dangerous, even if they are not convicted, let alone indicted. I think that opinion will be harder to write than one may think. The Court will have to reconcile that holding with the cases in Judge Ho's string cite, and the cases I identified in my article. How will the Court explain why people convicted of violent crimes should be released onto the street due to the government's failure to comply with constitutional procedures, but a person who has not been convicted of anything will lose a constitutional right?
Of course, the Court can simply ignore the rest of the law and treat Rahimi as a one-off. This would be a salient point for any concurrence or dissent to point out. If members of the Court insist on treating the Second Amendment differently from all other rights, then they should address the inconsistencies with other areas of the law. And if the Court fails to address these other rights, then I think lower courts may rightly assume in future cases that other rights of dangerous people may likewise be curtailed, if "history and tradition" so provides. Rahimi will not be decided in a vaccum.
One last point. I could imagine that a ruling in favor of Rahimi would result in a salutary change to process. If people accused of domestic violence are so dangerous, then they should be indicted and prosecuted for domestic violence. Perhaps a ruling for Rahimi will increase the number of domestic abusers who are put behind bars, rather than being allowed on the street where they can cause mayhem. Like Judge Ho said, "Violent criminals should be prosecuted, convicted, disarmed, and incarcerated."
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An “opinion harder to write” depends on who is doing the writing. That said, Bruen is harder to “right” than those opposing it might expect.
As an aside, I love Blackman's extension of Coasian ideas to the domain of constitutional law. For my part, Coase's insight that harms are always reciprocal or jointly-caused is the single-most disturbing idea that I learned in law school, one that has radical implications for normative work in morality and political philosophy. I explore the origins of this insight in my paper "Coase's Parable": https://digitalcommons.law.mercer.edu/jour_mlr/vol74/iss3/9/
A truck was used by a single person to murder 80+ people in France not long ago. Certainly confiscating the motor vehicles (and knives) from anyone a judge deems dangerous makes sense.
Might motor vehicles have uses, important livelihood-allowing and/or life-enhancing uses even, other than killing people?
Might knives be everyday utensils used for any number of daily tasks other than defense or killing?
And neither of those above statements i true for guns (except for very limited cases of, say a professional hunting guide, but even then it's questionable whether they actually need a gun unless they are guides for hunting large carnivores).
Granting these, might the benefit (and costs) to society versus the cost to the individual be radically different when comparing laws banning dangerous persons from possessing guns to laws banning dangerous persons from possessing cars or knives?
And you intuitively understand all this, but just choose to ignore it.
Why do so many on the right pretend not to understand elementary things about life and the world?
In fact, both those statements are true for guns. The fact that you don't understand that (or more likely, refuse to see it) is a you problem.
Since you are wrong on your opening premise, it's no surprise that you get to a wrong result.
Are you claiming the state of the law by looking to a 5th Circuit concurrence from the biggest partisan crank on the federal appellate bench?
Don't dress an ought argument up like an is argument.
It's pretty easy for the Court to say 'Bruen doesn't work like that' actually. Because a faithful application of Bruen includes the entire span of gun policy.
Bruen provides bad guidance, is what I'm saying.
To be fair to Blackman, treating extreme concurrences and dissents as the real law has been a thing on the right for awhile now. It’s been Thomas’s MO for years and was a big part of California v Texas.
*Are you claiming the state of the law by looking to a 5th Circuit concurrence from the biggest partisan crank on the federal appellate bench?*
No, he isn't.
*Don’t dress an ought argument up like an is argument.*
That's funny. Almost everything Professor Somin says on this blog, including 'a' and 'the', is an ought argument dressed up like an is argument. Yet I have never seen you say that in a comment to one of his posts. Why treat Professor Blackman differently? And in any case aren't such arguments common in legal proceedings and even more so in legal scholarship?
*It’s pretty easy for the Court to say ‘Bruen doesn’t work like that’ actually.*
It's pretty easy for the Court to do whatever it wants most of the time, like most 800-pound gorillas. Whether it's valid legal reasoning or not.
*a faithful application of Bruen includes the entire span of gun policy*
Including all the past policy premised on reasoning contrary to Heller and Bruen? Does a faithful application of Brown v. Board of Education include the entire span of Jim Crow policy?
*Bruen provides bad guidance, is what I’m saying.*
Wait -- are you arguing Blackman is wrong because he is not following Bruen, or because he *is* following it and it's wrong?
Prof. Somin’s ought arguments are pretty clearly ought arguments.
I think he’s wrong but his advocacy is not hidden.
Bruen is nowhere near as directive as Brown. Brown says segregation in schools is unconstitutional. Bruen says faff about with history and an unclear threshold and that is what the court should rule.
That you are reading Bruen as instantiating all your gun liberty policy preferences but for so many evil judges doing a gun Jim Crow is itself a sign.
Brown didn’t end Jim Crow. Took a lot of cases and not just cases to do that.
It's also really easy to just say "there's a domestic violence exception to the Second Amendment". (For an example of SCOTUS doing this, see New York v. Quarles-- "there's a public safety exception to Miranda"). They won't say that, of course, but Blackman's point about opinions not writing is stupid. It's very easy to create doctrine here.
Most of Blackman's post are not just wrong, but stupid.
The Court can, as you note, write that there is an exception- something that they've done countless times in countless areas of the law.
The Court could just overturn Bruen entirely, say that it is unworkable, and provide a different framework. I doubt they would do that, but the Court has done that before. Sometimes within a year. Doubt they would actually do this, but they could.
The Court could "clarify" Bruen, but in actuality provide guidance- in other words, provide various tests that would apply. Again, not a big deal. Happens all the time.
Of course, none of this would be difficult. Because all of this rests on two things that Blackman doesn't bother mentioning-
1. Bruen announced a bizarre "test" that doesn't apply to any of the other constitutional rights. What, do you think that every time a free speech challenge is brought to a district court, that a historical battle starts? Nope.
2. The lower courts have repeatedly, and loudly, announced that they are struggling to apply this test because it isn't a real test. This is just a fever dream of people that have spent too long talking about the law, and no time doing actual practice in front of trial courts.
So yeah, other than that, JB is (as always) batting 1.000.
Did you forget Sotomayor’s dissent in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard where she argued that the original public meaning of 14th amendment did not prohibit pro-black discrimination? History and tradition is what originalism requires.
“ If people accused of domestic violence are so dangerous, then they should be indicted and prosecuted for domestic violence. Perhaps a ruling for Rahimi will increase the number of domestic abusers who are put behind bars, rather than being allowed on the street where they can cause mayhem. Like Judge Ho said, "Violent criminals should be prosecuted, convicted, disarmed, and incarcerated."
These are the kind takes you get from law professors and judges who spend their careers obsessed with federal court and have never bothered to represent an actual human individual, either defendant or victim, or even prosecute a case in state trial court.
If Blackman or Ho had any useful experience or done any research they’d know there is no magic “prosecute more DV offenders” button a prosecutor’s office can push because most DV situations involve very complex interpersonal dynamics that make these cases difficult to prosecute! Lots of victims don’t cooperate. Even cooperating ones don’t want their abuser in jail necessarily because they don’t think it will be good for their children or for other reasons. Initial assaults might be classified as misdemeanors…but things tend to escalate in DV!
Whatever the right result is for Rahimi under Bruen…it’s clear that these two goofuses don’t know anything about the issue of domestic violence and we shouldn’t take their claims that they care or are sensitive to the issue seriously.
A majority opinion has to be written. And that opinion will have to navigate an issue that didn't get much attention during oral argument: what other constitutional rights should dangerous people lose? Certainly this case can't just be about guns.
If the 2A is just about guns, then this case can be just about guns. Maybe Rahimi should be barred from serving in the militia, though.
There is exactly one other constitutional provision for which the Supreme Court had adapted an historical approach, and that’s the Establishment. Clause. Any Establishment Clause absolutist will tell you that the Supreme Court has indeed taken away people’s Establishment Clause rights just because those rights have historically been taken away, and that’s what Marsh v. Chambers and its progeny did.
However, because the Supreme Court hasn’t adopted this approach for any other enumerated constitutional right, it’s hard to argue that this would occur for any other enumerated right.
Seventh Amendment?
All the example rights Professor Blackman gave, all the ones the Supreme Court said can’t be taken away just because someone is considered dangerous, are classified as fundamental rights. Because the Supreme Court has never held the 7th Amendment is a fundamental right, it doesn’t apply to the states to begin with. This means a state can take it away for any rational basis. For example, it can not have civil juries just to save money or not inconvenience the public. There’s no historical analysis involved. And its not being a fundamental right in the first place wasn’t based on any historical analysis either.
So I don’t think it’s a valid example.
“There is exactly one other constitutional provision for which the Supreme Court had adapted an historical approach.”
You stated this categorically.
Bruen is a bad decision, but Rahimi is worse. Judge Wilson’s reference to “boilerplate” orders matches up to a part of the statute not necessary to Rahimi’s conviction. Judge Ho’s references to mutual DV orders and abuse of DV orders, reinforced by last Friday’s Kersee concurrence, show that he either knows nothing about domestic relations law or has deliberately disregarded what he does know. The Court is going to get itself over to a ‘dangerousness’ standard somehow, and it’s going to be messy, but it’s not going to be as hard as Prof. Blackman wishes it were.
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But will it be more difficult to write about than recent events involving Elon Musk, Donald Trump, John Eastman, Jeffrey Clark, etc. (at the Volokh Conspiracy)?
This post is Professor Blackman at his best. He is unable to resist some of his typical touches (like making it about himself), but whether or not one agrees with him, with _Bruen_, or with Judge Ho's concurrence, Blackman makes a valid legal argument, and makes it clearly, concisely, and pretty savagely. More like this, please.
Do you think his best is good enough to enable him to do better than one of America’s worst law schools? After a decade or so of being mired in that failure?
There could be a decision difficult to write on this issue, but it's not Rahimi. Rahimi brought a facial, rather than as applied, challenge. And he didn't raise a due process argument. My guess is 8-1 against him.
9-0
You lose Blackman and Hallbrook, you lose Alito IMO.
Panic from Hallbrook. Panic from Blackman.
In the real world, one of the reasons people think SG Prelogar's argument was so great is she told them exactly how to write the opinion.
I foresee no real difficulty writing a decision. The three liberals would vote to abolish the Second Amendment. Roberts has already signalled that he thinks federal gun laws are legitimate and he will find some excuse to uphold this one. What's the broadest decision that attracts a fifth vote? Writing a decision that pleases Blackman, that will be a harder task and not one the justices attempt.
I suggest that the right that has caused the most death, the most violence, the most harm to humanity is the right to vote.
From War to Jim Crow to the slaughter of innocent children in the womb, nothing has caused more destruction in the "free" world.
In United States v Salerno, the court decided that defendants can be detained pre-trial based on a showing of “future dangerousness”, even though they’re legally innocent at the time and would otherwise post bail. So a court hearing about “future dangerousness” could temporarily curtail constitutional rights if there are enough procedural protections.