The Volokh Conspiracy
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New York's Migrant Crisis is Caused by a Combination of Federal Work Restrictions and Local Zoning Policy
It's the predictable result of the combination of federal regulations barring asylum seekers from working legally and local policies offering free housing, while severely restricting new housing construction.

New York City's migrant crisis has been in the news lately. The basic story is that the city is having difficulty housing some 58,000 aslyum-seeking migrants that have arrived in recent months. Critics understandably focus on the role played by the city's guarantee of free shelter, which has attracted asylum-seekers to New York. That is indeed part of the problem, and NYC should reconsider it.
But two other flawed policies are even more significant, especially in the long run: one federal and one local. The federal culprit is the rule that asylum seekers are not allowed to work legally in the US until at least 6 months after arrival, and in practice the wait can be much longer. I have written about this problem in detail previously. The obvious bottom line is that the vast majority of asylum-seekers (like other migrants) could support themselves, if only the federal government would let them. That's especially true in a city like New York, which has a significant labor shortage. Immigrants can and do make major contributions to our economy, including ones that enormously benefit natives. But they can't do it if we don't let them work.
New York authorities are not to blame for this federal rule. But they have made the situation worse by perpetuating some of the nation's most severe zoning restrictions on the construction of new housing, which predictably drives up the cost and reduces the availability of apartments for migrants and natives alike. This is a major problem even aside from asylum-seekers. NYC, like other cities, would do well to abolish exclusionary zoning and let property owners build new housing in response to demand. It would simultaneously promote economic growth, and enormously benefit working and lower-middle class people of all origins - white and minority, native and immigrant.
Earlier this year, New York Governor Kathy Hochul did in fact propose a pretty good zoning reform bill. But, sadly, it was defeated in the state legislature by a combination of NIMBY forces from both left and right.
If you restrict the construction of new housing while offering it for free, basic Economics 101 suggests you will end up with shortages. Those shortages get worse if you bar many people from working to support themselves, leaving the putatively free housing as their only viable option in the city.
In sum, the feds should let asylum seekers work legally, and state and local government should replace offers of free housing with curbs on exclusionary zoning. In that way, migrants could support themselves, the city's economy could benefit from their contributions, and immigrants and natives alike could get better and cheaper housing, thereby enabling more people of all backgrounds to move to places that offer better work and educational opportunities.
The Big Apple has been such a destination for many, throughout American history. And it can be so again, if only federal, state, and local officials would revoke some awful restrictions on migrant employment and housing construction.
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It's mostly caused by the Biden administration deliberately not enforcing our immigration laws, though.
As you well know.
Bingo. The "migrant" problem in NY and other cities is caused by the open border policies of the Biden administration. NY has only received a handful of illegal aliens compared to cities along the southern border. They are an avowed "sanctuary city" and have previously stated "all are welcome here". NY needs to stand behind their rhetoric. Surely the governor's residence can house a couple dozen families. Why hasn't that resource been used for housing?
Reason writers think anyone and everyone who wants to come to the US should be allowed to come, no matter the strain on housing, crime, health services, and our economy.
But I've yet to hear of a Reason writer vacating their home and jobs, and turning over their property to an illegal alien. Nor have they offered their wives or daughters as rape victims for the uninvited guests. They just want others to do so.
When conservatives have a suggestion for greater "enforcement" that isn't either a pork belly project for well-connected developers or plainly illegal, maybe I'll listen to their complaints on this issue.
Trump's immigration policy essentially voided our laws on asylum, made a mockery of safe third country agreements, wasted money on go-nowhere construction projects, created chaos on the border (just on the other side of the border), unwittingly played into the hands of human trafficking groups, abused public health-related immigration laws, bent or broke laws on the housing of minors and families, and undermined other important negotiations with Mexico and other central American countries on other issues.
Put simply, Trump broke the law to serve his domestic xenophobic base, which was not only counterproductive, but hurt America's geopolitical interests. Biden is just reorienting immigration policy so that it is more lawful, and more properly prioritized. Migrants are a headache for border communities and "sanctuary cities" like NYC, but they are not by any stretch of the imagination our most pressing national problem right now.
"made a mockery of safe third country agreements"
Hmm, safe third party country agreements include:
"asylum seekers are required to make a claim for asylum in the country where they first arrive"
Kind of a key part of safe third-party country agreements. Given Mexico's assisting of caravans travelling thru Mexico, seems they are wildly in violation of it.
"wasted money on go-nowhere construction projects"
Yes, the same political party handing over cash as quickly as possible to one of the Biden families' key benefactor countries was concerned about the cost of the wall.
Weird that Ukraine's border is sacrosanct but ours...isn't.
"created chaos on the border (just on the other side of the border)"
Mexico's border issues are our concern...WHY?
They give no shits about our border. Why should we give the tiniest tinkerbell of a damn about theirs?
"unwittingly played into the hands of human trafficking groups"
Thank God the new policy is not doing that. *rolleyes*
"bent or broke laws on the housing of minors and families"
Number of minors who were WITH families and not, say, coyotes or just randos is still unknown. It is insane to assume that they are all families without some DNA testing.
"undermined other important negotiations with Mexico and other central American countries on other issues."
Would Mexico prefer us adopt their policies towards THEIR southern border?
How about 7 million "migrants" flooding the country?????
Yep, if something about immigration goes bad, it couldn't be too many illegal immigrants. Illegal immigrants are always good, so more of them is always better.
It's caused by mass illegal migration, Somin.
You're not very observant.
Ilya wouldn't be able to diagnose a hole in the hull of a sinking ship.
No, he'd call the hole a great thing and busily work to ensure it spanned the circumference of the ship. All the while he'd be declaring he loves his crewmates and that finding the saboteur on board is his top priority.
In theory, I would support guest workers to allay a labor shortage-- but let's be real here, it's a permanent solution to a temporary problem, they're not leaving when the economy inevitably turns. So that leaves us with practice-- it's far faster to load them on to buses and send them back home than it is to build housing. This looks like a job for Greyhound.
"Labor shortage" is employer for, "I don't want to pay market wages."
Or employee speak for why do that I can get more for nothing from the government. Not saying you're wrong but privation is a great motivator for those who can work but refuse to.
Yeah, to be sure, we make things way too easy on people who don't want to work.
But, that's kind of the point of driving up income inequality: Politicians win on both ends: More money in wealthy hands, capable of paying kickbacks and employing your do nothing son for no-show jobs, and more poor people whose votes can be bought cheaply with the dole.
The people in the middle, the middle class, are a waste of skin so far as your average politician is concerned. (Not that they can dare say that!) Too poor to be a source of kickbacks, too well off to cheaply buy their votes. What good are they, aside from keeping the country running?
Do you have any illegal immigrants, or migrants as you say, living in your home? Are you paying for any of their expenses? No. Hypocrite!
A job for Orlin -- they make bullets.
Ukraine's problems are caused by intolerance of Russian soldiers and Ukraine government officials' insistence on maintaining their authority. Give Putin whatever he asks for and the crisis in Ukraine will be ended.
Now do Hitler and England.
Did you think it’s only America’s fault when people invade America and it causes a crisis? That must also apply to Ukraine. You can do your own ancient historical parallels for other invasions if you want.
It’s not peak Somin kook factor, but it’s more kooky than Somin average.
Give Hitler whatever he wants and the crisis in Europe will be ended.
Give migrants in New York what they want and the migrant crisis is ended.
"New York's Migrant Crisis is Caused by a Combination of Federal Work Restrictions and Local Zoning Policy"
Absolutely unhinged take. The migrant crisis is caused by the wide-open southern border.
Good thing no "migrant" would ever violate labor laws or zoning capacity restrictions after illegally entering the country.
Somin has a lot of bad takes on immigration, but this one may be the stupidest one. It's like someone dared him to work all of his hobby-horses into one post, and this is what he came up with.
He only cites himself 6 times, though, so maybe he's making progress on that front.
I mean, Somin could probably justify the Holocaust as being due to zoning and immigration issues if he wanted to.
Ooh, new challenge for the forum. Pretend to be Somin and justify or rationalize the Holocaust.
This is the Blame America First mentality, BTW. The crisis is New Yorkers' fault and Americans' fault for not having everything setup the migrants' way.
You guys should all probably apologize to the migrants. Maybe Obama can apologize on your behalf. I hope the migrants are willing to accept your apology without reparations.
Let's say all the asylum seeking migrants can work.
In a world of increasing use of AI and automation, how many jobs here are there really for unskilled manual laborers who mostly can't speak English?
There's a crisis?
I thought migrants are all rainbows and unicorn farts.
As a husband of a migrant, a legal migrant, I can tell you there are complications.
Shorter Ilya Somin: The policies I advocate are perfect, but they must be implemented in their entirety without deviation. If they are made subject to the normal give and take of democratic politics, the results will be worse than what we have. That is your fault, for failing to implement everything I recommend completely and simultaneously.
Shorter y81: Prof. Somin's policies are generally ill-advised. They might work in Erewhon, but not here in the USA.
NYC certainly seems to be attracting migrants due to its general obligation to provide housing to unhoused populations (that is the loophole here – we don’t provide housing to migrants, per se; we provide housing to people who need it, which in this case means that a homeless migrant shows up…).
But the fumbling of the issue in some ways reflects the same dysfunction happening on a federal level. Specifically, Hochul is refusing to take action to help manage the migrants coming to NYC; she isn’t, for instance, trying to relocate them to other parts of the state, where they can assimilate more easily, in smaller numbers. Meanwhile Adams is content to stamp his foot and demand federal assistance. Which Biden, for his part, is not eager to elevate into the national discourse, where Democrats are generally weak on the immigration issue. So the problem is allowed to fester. Right now Adams’ strategy is: make the problem very visually unappealing to New Yorkers, in a broader attempt to push the politics.
So glad we elected the cop.
But, Ilya, in re: exclusionary zoning in NYC – there are a lot of problems with housing in NYC, but single-family zoning is not one of them. Very, very little of the city is set aside exclusively for single-family homes. But it is hard to engage in the kind of organic, incremental development here, due to NIMBYism and other entrenched interests. We tend to get new housing only when financially-backed developers swoop in with a project encompassing city blocks, who then use their money and influence to negotiate tax breaks and other variances; and then they build for mass affluent residents, which jacks up prices. I hope that eventually the supply at the top end of the market will start to “trickle down” to more middle-class residents, but it’s hard to find much evidence of that happening, yet.
Among the more insane arguments I have read, "NYC is not densely populated enough" is right up there.
Although this is a close second:
"Earlier this year, New York Governor Kathy Hochul did in fact propose a pretty good zoning reform bill. But, sadly, it was defeated in the state legislature by a combination of NIMBY forces from both left and right."
Always interesting seeing "new liberal" values.
Two sides of the same coin, queenie.
The 'elites' that run both parties love illegal immigration, because it drives down the cost of unskilled labor, while doing nothing much to their own wages. So it's all win for them.
And it's a win for the illegal immigrants, who even with the depressed wages are still doing better than they would back home.
It's not a win for the people who would have been doing those jobs at non-depressed wages, though.
Democrats owe the migrants an apology for not setting up policies the migrants' way.
Except for those who have been previously removed, everyone arrested is released on their own recognizance, flown wherever they want to go in the US, and given a court date far off in the future. Zero consequences if they don't show up.
That's deliberately refusing to enforce our immigration laws.
Patrolling the border with A-10s and "shoot on sight" orders is the moral equivalence of Ilya's hare-brained schemes.
That said, what about WORK CAMPS...
The Civillian Conservation Corps (CCC) was good enough for native-born Americans 90 years ago, many of whom were honorably-discharged WW-I veteran -- why isn't good enough for ILLEGAL ALIENS?!? The primary demographic (young single males) is the same and we have a lot of conservation work -- manual labor -- that needs to be done.
The island of Maui comes to immediate mind -- there is a bleepload of non-native grasses that need to be chopped out, removed, and the land seeded with native grasses. That's unskilled labor.
In exchange we offer decent housing. clothing (uniforms), food, and medical care -- the same quality our military gets. Maybe sometimes tents and MREs, but that's what our military gets. Like the CCC, we give them a modest spending allowances, and the opportunity to learn to read & write English.
Learn English, enlist in any branch of the military, and upon getting an honorable discharge, you're a citizen...
Tens of thousands of arrests when there are hundreds of thousands of crimes is not law enforcement. It's San Francisco. Stop destroying our nation!
Always reverting to form.
Queen - As always - being a jerk instead of addressing the merits.
It is when you're talking millions per year, and the arrests hugely out number the deportations.
Can you cite these deportations? I mean people INSIDE the USA being forced out, just not people being allowed in.
As far as arrests, as was mentioned earlier, releasing them with no bail, a court date in the future, and zero repurcussions for no-showing is not enforcing anything.
You can't do that. The Unions would scream bloody murder, like they did at the original CCC.
Queenie like most leftists has trouble distinguishing between realty and discredited leftist talking points
https://www.dhs.gov/news/2023/04/27/dhs-conducts-dozens-removal-flights-every-week
1.2 million so far this year.
A preemptive no new goalposts.
I think shadowy elites and their agenda running our country is nonsense with a bad history.
I agree with you as to labor markets and wages being part of the issue.
Americans could be made willing to do agricultural work for at the number, quality and speed required with sufficient pay.
It would be inflationary as heck though.
Also people and cohorts are not interchangeable from one job to another, even when the job is unskilled labor; there would be transition costs.
That being said, I’d love it if we weaned ourself off this pseudo peasant economy we have going on. Gradually. But I don’t see the will in the American people to make that sacrifice.
"It’s not a win for the people who would have been doing those jobs at non-depressed wages, though."
Elites have homeless camps and fentanyl overdoses on offer for them.
The math does not add up. The 225k plus 453k = 678k which is just over half of the 1.2m claimed by the DHS
"DHS conducted over 1.2 million expulsions, removals and returns in first half of fiscal year 2023.
During the first half of Fiscal Year (FY) 2023, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) increased removals and returns to 225,483, up from 170,896 over the same period in Fiscal Year (FY) 2022. That number includes nearly 66,000 removals, 48,381 of which were conducted through U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removal flights. Those numbers are in addition to U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) total southwest land border Title 42 expulsions, which reached 453,322 in that same timeframe. "
Fuck the unions -- it isn't like they are going to feed/house these illegal aliens.
Summary executions.