The Volokh Conspiracy
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Prof. Eric Claeys (George Mason) Guest-Blogging on "Dobbs and the Holdings of Roe and Casey"
I'm delighted to report that Prof. Claeys will be guest-blogging this week about this new article of his; here's the Abstract:
The U.S. Supreme Court is currently considering the case Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization. In Dobbs, the State of Mississippi has asked the Court to overrule Roe v. Wade (1973) and Planned Parenthood v. Casey (1992). At oral argument, many of the Justices seemed to agree that Dobbs fairly presents the question whether Roe and Casey should be reaffirmed or overruled. At argument, however, Chief Justice John Roberts explored an alternative theory. In this exploratory theory, Roe and Casey entitle women only to a fair or meaningful opportunity to obtain abortions during pregnancy. Neither Roe nor Casey entitles women to obtain abortions, the theory suggests, up to the time when their fetuses are likely to be viable after birth.
This Article studies that exploratory theory with the two most relevant sets of legal doctrines. Because the theory raises questions about what Roe, Casey, and other previous abortion cases held, the Article summarizes general legal principles about precedents and judicial authority. Courts rely on these principles when they identify the holdings, reasons for decision, and obiter dicta from earlier decisions. Because Roe, Casey, and the other relevant decisions all considered overbreadth challenges to state abortion restrictions, the Article also summarizes the legal rules federal courts follow when they consider facial overbreadth challenges.
The Article applies those two sets of doctrines to Roe, Casey, and 11 other subsequent cases in which the Court declared unconstitutional state pre-viability restrictions on abortion. In all of those cases, necessary to a judgment was this proposition of law: A state restriction on abortion violates the Fourteenth Amendment Due Process Clause if it restricts a substantial number of pre-viability abortions without justification. Neither Roe, nor Casey, nor any of the other 11 post-Roe and -Casey decisions invalidating pre-viability abortion restrictions can be interpreted as narrowly as they would need to be for the theory explored at oral argument in Dobbs to be convincing or faithful to the Court's case law.
This Article helps make clear the choices presented in Dobbs. Justices may reaffirm Roe and Casey, and they may overrule those cases. Unless they depart drastically from standard legal rules about judgments and overbreadth, however, they cannot avoid that choice.
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If Chief Justice Roberts really wants to reconstruct the past, there is always Chief Justice Burger’s concurring opinion in Roe, the one that assured the public that of course the Supreme Court wasn’t legalizing abortion on demand.
But there may not be much practical point in putting off an outright reversal of Roe if 5 Justices are inclined to do this. Why tie oneself in knots to try to get Roe to allow something it hasn’t been thought to allow in decades of application, why bother trying to reconcile Dobbs with some tortured reading of Roe, if the Court is just going to go ahead and get rid of Roe outright anyway the next time a case comes along that goes further than the interim reading, in just a year or two, maybe less?
The Court has to be willing to accept an intermediate endgame if it wants to go down an intermediate path. There is little practical value in an intermediate position if it is only going to be there for a brief transitional period.
That seems right assuming there are 5 votes. If not, Roberts will write the opinion and claim he is complying with Roe and Casey, notwithstanding Claey's argument.
The court needs to accept that precedent is for cowards unwilling to have the courage to say “our predecessors messed up.”
The court needs to realize that many past decisions were made on the basis of bullshit that’s not in the constitution. Shit they made up. Shit they wished was there.
Then it needs to cancel them and start anew.
When have they ever been willing to do that? They never even overruled the Slaughterhouse cases, which is why we've got 'substantive due process' and piecemeal incorporation screwing things up; Instead of just outright saying that the Slaughterhouse Court got it wrong, they invented hokey work-arounds.
The members of the Court seem to think it's essential to their institutional reputation to pretend that they never, ever, make mistakes that need to be thrown out.
And anyway, so much of current jurisprudence is on the basis of bullshit that they're in stark terror of starting down that road.
Why do you hate Anglo-American tradition so much? Maybe move to Europe, hippie.
Conservatives tend to run away when faced with real bullets.
Article I Section 1 gives all lawmaking power to the Congress. "all"
All "herein granted", anyway.
Is there anything unclear about the word, all?
Sir, this is an Arby's. And why are you not wearing any pants?
If I were writing a horror script for a Hollywood movie, I could not come up with a more ghoulish line.
Nah, main characters literally without brains don't allow for much character development. Your film would be worse than Halloween III.
Those "without brains" would include both you and me at a similar point in our development, you do realize that, I know. So why would you intentionally relegate yourself to second class person status? Beats me.
This isn't much of a problem, when you and I developed brains and consciousness we developed the status you're talking about.
By definition, this debate can only be conducted by people whose parents opted not to snuff them out on the supposed grounds they were not yet a person. So the only reason you're able to take this position is because it wasn't used against you.
What a sad little example of "I got mine."
"by people"
Begging the question.
For a site that regularly extols diatribes against orthodoxy and intellectual bubbles it's interesting how we get here essentially a steady stream of Fellow Federalist Society Member Guest Blogger Y on ___(fill in subject of the week). EV might want to think about following the advice so frequently given to 'mainstream' academe and journalism and, I dunno, *challenge* your base/regulars more often.
Prof. Volokh is entitled to operate his blog in the manner he sees fit -- a steady stream of White, male content from the Federalist Society fringe.
This blog objects cranky when strong academic institutions similarly seek to operate as they see fit, however, particularly when mainstream schools refrain from emulating the hundreds of fourth-tier (or unranked) conservative-controlled schools that hire plenty of movement conservatives, though.
(It also likes to offer pointers to the mainstream on freedom of expression . . . and to engage in partisan, viewpoint-driven censorship.)
If the pro-life side wants to reduce the number of late-term abortions, this all-or-nothing argument seems to be poor strategy.
Roberts and Barrett have sent all kinds of subtle and not-so-subtle signals that they're very willing do some significant cutbacks but not eliminate the right all the way back to the moment of conception. Their votes pretty much control what happens. If you successfully "trap" them into repeal-or-affirm you very well might get an affirm.
I got the impression from oral arguments that Kavanaugh want to discard Roe and Casey. I couldn't get a read on Barrett other than to note she emphasized the right to an abortion stems from not carrying a pregnancy to term rather than the freedom to live your life the way you want free from rearing a child.
If Roberts wins over one of the four other conservatives, I predict they will neither affirm nor discard Roe and Casey, leaving it for another day whether the Texas law (6 weeks) is constitutional.
FROM BIG CHILLL TO SILENCING DISSIDENTS
Speaking of "censorship" when is the last time you saw a pro-life view allowed being expressed on the Dorf- and Wasser-mensch blawgs? This pro-l hyphenation is actually taboo.
Only "nice" commentary is welcome, if any. "Nice" scholarly discourse would involve things such war-gaming how to bring down any "anti-choice" colleague that might still be standing and failing to remain mum out of sheer need for professional self-preservation.
Better paragon still: A "nice" high-quality colloquy about devising appropriate doctrines of legal liablity to bankrupt such above-referenced irritants if they were to -- say -- submit a pro-life amicus brief in Dobbs, not to mention filing and prosecuting an actual case to test the constitutionality of SB8 without declaring themselves to be pro-c on the cover page.