Great Moments in Unintended Consequences: Transcontinental Railroad, Cash for Ash, Cobra Problem (Vol. 5)
Good intentions, bad results.
HD DownloadHere are even more of Reason's "great moments in unintended consequences"—stories of when something that sounds like a terrific idea goes horribly wrong. Watch the whole series here.
Part 1: The Transcontinental Tango
The year: 1862.
The problem: There's no railroad connecting coastal elites!
The solution: Pay rail companies for each mile of track laid for a brand new transcontinental railroad.
Sounds like a great idea, with the best of intentions. What could possibly go wrong?
While Congress has never been great at keeping an eye on spending, it's even worse at it during a Civil War. With no one looking, the Union Pacific unnecessarily lengthened the route, adding miles of track and pocketing almost half a million dollars.
After two and a half years of construction, the Union Pacific laid track all the way from Omaha to…40 miles outside of Omaha.
I choo-choo-choose to screw taxpayers.
Part 2: Burning Cash
The year: 2012.
The problem: An over-reliance on fossil fuels in Northern Ireland.
The solution: A subsidy for heat generated from renewable sources.
Sounds like a great idea, with the best of intentions. What could possibly go wrong?
Well, it turns out the rate paid by the subsidy was greater than the cost of the fuel being used—so the more wood pellets you burned, the greater your profit. Voila: the "Cash for Ash" program, with farmers heating empty buildings just to collect a paycheck.
In the fallout, Northern Ireland's first minister refused to stand aside during any inquiry, the deputy first minister resigned in protest, the Northern Ireland Assembly dissolved, and the executive branch collapsed for almost three full years.
Not to mention a whole lot of taxpayer dollars up in smoke.
Part 3. All right, fine. We'll do the cobra thing.
The year: Uhhh…some time in the 19th century? Maybe? Not sure. Might not even be true. Who knows?
The problem: The English colonial city of Delhi is infested with venomous cobras.
The solution: Give money to anyone who brings in a dead cobra.
Sounds like a great idea, with the best of intentions. What could possibly go wrong?
It didn't take long for folks to realize that the bounty paid for a dead cobra was greater than the cost of raising a cobra. Once city officials got wind of lucrative snake breeding farms, they repealed the bounty—leading cobra farmers to release their now worthless snakes into the wild. Net result: more cobras than ever, a lot of wasted cash, and a book by a German guy with a title that sounds like it's straight out of G.I. Joe.
While the veracity of the cobra story is hard to pin down, a similar story was documented in Hanoi under French colonial rule—only this time the issue was rats, with a bounty paid for every rat tail brought to the authorities. It wasn't long before officials began to notice rats without tails, having been set free by rat catchers with a basic understanding of economics.
But don't worry, we learned our lesson and it never happened ag—
In Fort Benning, Georgia, where the feral pig population was out of control, the bounty—for some forehead slapping reason—was pig tails, which once again…blah, blah, blah…more pigs.
They eventually discontinued the bounty, so don't worry, everything is swine now.
Great moments in unintended consequences. Good intentions, bad results.
Written and produced by Meredith and Austin Bragg; narrated by Austin Bragg.
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Fuck Joe Biden
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How about fuck you? Aren't you a little off topic?
Who the fuck are you, and why does that make you so butthurt?
Here; Fuck Joe Biden.
That's a great idea for the name of a US Congressional bill: Build Back Butthurt!
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Whose sock are you?
It's socks all the way down.
Fuck Joe Biden.
I’d rather not. He probably doesn’t wash well, likely has incontinence, and would probably bleed like a pig, if I did.
Ah. And who are you, who are so wise in the ways of politics?
Also, Let's Go, Brandon!!
The problem: An over-reliance on fossil fuels in Northern Ireland.
The solution: A subsidy for heat generated from renewable sources.
Potatoes?
Imported Canadian wood. So you not only increase wood consumption and deforestation, but once you account for the fossil use of the logging equipment and shipment, the reduction in CO2 was negligible in the first place.
Many, if not most, "green power" initiatives end up being merely greenwashing.
I don't think it's inaccurate to say all "green power" initiatives start and end as greenwashing, nominally and essentially. Pretty much anything other than terraforming another, more fuel-rich planet fits the bill.
They may not all start that way, but yes, they all end as greenwashing.
Similar things happen in business all the time (those "six-sigma" people can tell you that) Metrics and measurements are powerful and drive behaviors, so if we’re not thoughtful in how we set and monitor them, bad things will happen.
Management guru Peter Drucker: “What gets measured gets managed – even when it’s pointless to measure and manage it, and even if it harms the purpose of the organization to do so.”
Accounting historian H. Thomas Johnson: “Perhaps what you measure is what you get. More likely, what you measure is all you’ll get. What you don’t (or can’t) measure is lost.”
Business authority Eliyahu Moshe Goldratt: “Tell me how you measure me and I will tell you how I will behave. If you measure me in an illogical way…do not complain about illogical behavior.”
Goodhart’s Law is expressed simply as: “When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.” In other words, when we set one specific goal, people will tend to optimize for that objective regardless of the consequences.
I have no idea why this posted here. It was meant to be a top-level comment.
One example:
In higher education, colleges manipulated their data to achieve a higher spot in the influential U.S. News & World Report rankings. Since the number of applications counts, some colleges counted every postcard expressing interest as an application. And since a high rejection rate is considered prestigious, some colleges “rejected” applicants for fall admission, only to admit them for the spring semester.
If you booked the fossil fuel use of logging and shipping all that wood against Northern Ireland it would probably result in a net increase in their CO2 emissions.
Since the Northern Irish Government invNorthern Irelad collapsed under "Cash-For-Ash," did AnCaps laud Northern Ireland as well as Somalia?
These aren’t good examples of unintended consequences. These are examples of bad implementation. The law of unintended consequences states that you often get unintended and onerous consequences despite “correct” implementation. Example: a stimulus program intends to, and does, put money in people’s hands. Unintended consequence: no one wants to be employed anymore.
This seems like a distinction without a difference. Wouldn't someone say that you merely had a "bad implementation" of your stimulus program by not requiring people to try to work in order to earn it?
"Pay people to kill certain animals leads people to raise more of the animals rather than hunt other ones" seems like a perfect unintended consequence.
If the consequence of an act is unintended, that is an unintended consequence, implementation be damned. I caught a whiff of "communism just hasn't been successfully implemented" from that post.
Yeh, you're full of it. They are perfectly cromulent examples of unintended consequences. Did the British intend to raise more cobras? Did the French intend to raise more rats? Did Ft Benning intend .... blah blah blah.
Like Overt says, you can hand wave all sorts of problems away with "bad implementation." Socialists have been doing that for over a century; Statists for far longer. "This time will be different, True socialism has never been tried yet."
Bah.
It didn't take long for folks to realize that the bounty paid for a dead cobra was greater than the cost of raising a cobra.
Economic stimulus!
The scales were tipped in their favor.
Fangs for the reminder.
You guys just don't understand. Cobras were our future and the early adopters were just following the market signals about how popular cobras really are.
While Congress has never been great at keeping an eye on spending, it's even worse at it during a Civil War.
So do you want to be like Abraham Lincoln, or Jefferson Davis?
Teddy Roosevelt
Foreseeable consequence are by definition not unintended. If you know the down side of something being implimented you are doing a cost benifite analysis. All of the progtards saying they didn't understand the consequences of their policies are lying, retarded, evil, or all three
But those people just didn't do it right. It will be different this time! I swear!
/nutcase
Never mind that...how about that sparkling, super-modern bathroom and bedroom in the Amanda Booth video? I hope that was part of her deal with Tubby Todd.
From a libertarian point of view though, offering a bounty on problem animals is better than the ultimate solution - the government having to kill those animal themselves.
But unfortunately it illustrates the problem with libertarianism - it relies on people not being assholes
Someday you'll come to realize that people can be assholes all on their own without government, but when you get the government involved the assholery becomes a requirement.
Re Railroad construction: The railroad didn't 'choo-choo choose' to pass the Revenue Act of 1861 to screw the citizens into becoming tax-payers.
Great story about the construction of the transcontinental. Yeah - would've been better for all of us without the (as usual) corruption at the top among the powers-that-be. But it's always good to read about the actual heroic work by the folks who actually worked.
...it's fitting you get excited over stories of gov't waste and crooks.
Belated trivia note:
"Bubsy the Bobcat" was a series of video games based on a (very) short-lived cartoon. At the beginning of each level/chapter/challenge, Bubsy would ask, optimistically, "What could possibly go wrong?".
This was made more amusing by the fact that the primary charm of the game was the vast number of ways in which the protagonist could be dispatched. Shot, burned, exploded, smashed, accordioned, swiss-cheesed, sliced, diced and smithereened, most of them taken from Loony Toons/Merrie Melodies era ultraviolent cartoonery.
At one time, the habitat of the North American Red Wolf was huge. Found mostly in the south and southeast, their habitat ranged from the Texas Gulf Coast east all the way to Florida and the eastern seaboard. I don't know what other states did, but Texas regulators started paying a $50 dollar bounty for every wolf killed. What could possibly go wrong? Well, a lot of people started hunting and killing wolves and getting 50 dollars for every pair of wolf ears they sent to Austin.
This and habitat destruction by commercial interests drove the red wolf to be declared biologically extinct in the wild in 1980. Restoration attempts began later that decade with the release of four pairs of wolves in North Carolina. Those wolves grew the wild population gradually to around 100 in 2014 but political interference has sandbagged recovery efforts and caused that number to drop to about 20 wolves today.
source: https://www.endangered.org/wolves/