Julia Gelatt: What Happens if Trump 'Seals the Border'?
Demographer Julia Gelatt of the Migration Policy Institute joins Just Asking Questions to discuss the likely effects of the president's executive orders on immigration.
What happens if President Donald Trump "seals the border"?
Among Trump's Day 1 executive orders is one called Securing Our Borders, which promises to build the wall, detain and deport immigrants who violate federal or state law, prosecute illegal border crossers, and obtain "complete operational control" of the border. He also declared a state of emergency and ordered the military to "seal the border" and repel an "invasion." Perhaps most controversial of all, another order claims to end birthright citizenship.
The crackdown is already in full swing, with NBC News reporting a single-day record 1,179 immigration arrests this past Sunday. Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem posted pictures of herself overseeing a series of arrests in New York on Tuesday.
Today's guest is going to help us understand the myths and realities of the immigration system and offer some suggestions about what pragmatic steps could be taken to reform an immigration system that people on all sides have come to believe just isn't working.
Julia Gelatt is associate director of the U.S. Immigration Policy Program at the Migration Policy Institute, where she studies the legalities of the immigration system, demographic trends, and the interactions between local, state, and federal immigration policy.
Sources Referenced:
- Executive order: Securing Our Borders
- Executive order: Clarifying The Military's Role in Protecting the Territorial Integrity of the United States
- Executive order: Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship
-
Arresting some criminal aliens this morning in NYC - thank you to the brave officers involved. @DHSgov @ICEgov @SecretService @DEAHQ @USMarshalsHQ @NYPDSpecialops pic.twitter.com/uaRxFCvh5h
— Secretary Kristi Noem (@Sec_Noem) January 28, 2025
- "Why Deportations Were Higher Under Biden Than in Trump's First Term," by Albert Sun
- United States Conference of Catholic Bishops statement on immigration raids
- Executive order: Realigning the United States Refugee Admissions Program
- Refugee admissions by region
- "A New Way Forward for Employment-Based Immigration: The Bridge Visa," by Julia Gelatt and Muzaffar Chishti
- U.S. total fertility rate
- "A Turning Point for the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States," by Jennifer Van Hook, Julia Gelatt, and Ariel G. Ruiz Soto
- "Unauthorized Immigrants in the United States: Stable Numbers, Changing Origins," by Randy Capps, Julia Gelatt, Ariel Ruiz Soto, and Jennifer Van Hook
- State Department table on immigration visas issued 2014-2023
- "U.S. Immigrant Population and Share over Time," by the Migration Policy Institute
- Office of the New York State Comptroller's Asylum Seeker Spending Report
Chapters:
- 00:00 Introduction
- 01:56 How did we get here?
- 03:50 The impact of social media on migration
- 05:41 What will the short-term effect of Trump's executive orders look like?
- 10:47 What is life like for someone trying to enter the U.S. through Mexico?
- 13:16 What is/was the CBP One app?
- 14:28 Steelmanning the Trumpian case against immigration
- 25:48 The most common jobs an immigrant takes.
- 29:16 J.D. Vance's spat with the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops
- 36:39 How much money does the government spend to resettle a refugee?
- 37:23 The failures of New York
- 44:32 The reality of government assistance
- 48:31 Immigration, the job market, and fertility rates
- 56:56 The problems with the current visa system
- 01:00:43 Bridge visas
- 01:07:54 Brain Drain?
- 01:11:01 The future of birthright citizenship
- 01:16:15 What is a question that you think that more people should be asking?
- Producer: John Osterhoudt
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" What Happens if Trump 'Seals the Border'?"
There will be fewer American citizens murdered or victimized by illegal aliens let out of jail by their native countries.
Why do you hate food trucks?
What happens if Reason stops using emotive arguments? The border isn't sealed. Trade and legal passage still occurs.
Lol. And they are going with the Americans don't have babies so we need to populate through immigration trope.
It is really a disguised anti-natalist argument ,the old REASON workhorse.
I don't know that demographer but I know this one
The Age of Depopulation: Surviving a World Gone Gray
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/world/age-depopulation-surviving-world-gone-gray-nicholas-eberstadt
Keep the borders open to obscure the disastrous decline that will sink all welfare states -- is that the real motive?
"Julia Gelatt: What Happens if Trump 'Seals the Border'?"
I know! I know! Pick me!
The number of illegal entrants swarming into the country subsides.
Demographer Julia Gelatt of the Migration Policy Institute joins Just Asking Questions
Can we call it "Misdirection Through Leading Questions to Arrive at Predetermined Answers" instead?
>>what pragmatic steps could be taken to reform an immigration system that people on all sides have come to believe just isn't working.
regardless of what people on all sides have come to believe they should read the laws ... changes in opinion may occur.
>But ironically, Trump's action is partly enabled by former President Barack Obama's failure to close the facility in the first place.
Mostly it will mean that my brother and his wife (who just got her green card after only 1 year - including having to resubmit after dealing with a shitty immigration lawyer) will have a longer wait coming back into the US after she visits her adult children in Mexico.
Boo Hoo
Okay but a short wait before being killed by some Tren de Aragua demon might be the alternative. h
What happens if Trump seals the border and no more immigrants join the US population?
I dunno.
What happens if Democrats seal the collective uterus and no more babies join the US population?
Not very earth-based to be blind to what anti-life measures must end up doing to Western Civilization.
Aayan Hirsi Ali says there is an English translation due soon from the Dutch book on the costs of immigration. and it should settle much of what is discussed here.
Are we having a disastrous birth decline
Does the welfare state approach collapse at a certain birth rate
How much are immigrants giveing and taking (schools, medical, etc)
Most of all what is wrong with our politics might be that we are shipping in illegal voters who don't know our principles or care.
You can't talk about immigration without those attendant issues.
A sealed border would stop the 75% [Na]tional So[zi]alist[s] from invading the USA and turning it into a Nazi-Empire.
MOST of these people aren't searching for a USA of Individual Freedom and Responsibility. MOST (75%) are looking for greener-pastures to eat-up JUST like they did their own nation.
If the majority were after Individual Liberty and Justice for all their own Nation would be a better-replica of a real USA than the USA itself - not a sh*t show of 'armed-theft' bureaucracy they're trying to escape.
Welcome those who are real USA patriots and get-rid of those who think the 'Guns' are there to make sh*t for them (better life) and with statistics like 75%+Nazi and 51%+Welfare border control is FAILING HUGELY currently.
REASON has had 3 demogrpahers on in a week. Usually they are restricted to data about populations but you turn them into public intellectuals.
Any improvement is going to have to start by sealing the border.
So I support that. Then we return to: If you come here , you are vetted and you must get on a citizenship path. So what is the big deal about even a couple months stop to immigration? It was way over limits for years under BIden. So what is the problem?