California Is Trying To Drive Landlords Out of Business
Which is bad news for anyone hoping to rent a place to live.

What do the state's insurance and housing crises have in common? Obviously, homeowner policies have an impact on housing costs, but I'm referring to something different, namely the concept of open-ended risk. Insurers are exiting the market because state policies limit their ability to price policies to reflect the risk of a major wildfire season. They rather pull out of California than risk the destruction of their assets.
I'd argue the same thing is happening in the rental market, thanks to a fusillade of pro-tenant laws that subject landlords to an incalculable level of risk. Landlords have freely entered the business and understand the various ups and downs. They can calculate the costs of mortgages, taxes, insurance, and maintenance. They expect to, say, replace carpets and paint between tenants. They know the cost of the eviction process in those instances where it's necessary.
But the Legislature's anti-property-rights crusade—done in the name of protecting tenants in a tight housing market—has not only increased those easily calculated costs, but also the costs that are potentially devastating. It's one thing to realize it might require x-number of legal fees to remove a bad tenant and quite another to wrap one's head around the possibility of someone staying in a rent-controlled unit forever.
And it's impossible to calculate the emotional drain of, say, fighting with highly sophisticated squatters who have illegally moved into your temporarily vacant home, exerted some right—and are going to strip the place to its studs while you scurry for a legal remedy. I know plenty of would-be landlords who wouldn't dream of renting out their home for those reasons. Most mom-and-pop landlords I know are discussing an exit strategy.
That's reducing needed rental inventory. Why does San Francisco, which has some of the strictest tenant laws in the country, have 52,000-plus vacant rental units? Some of the explanations are ordinary (units are in process of renovation or are on the market), but a major one often is overlooked—especially by city politicians who recently passed an Empty Homes Tax that essentially blames property owners for the situation.
Many owners are afraid if they let strangers rent their units they'll never be able to reclaim them. They rather forego $3,300 a month in rent than take that potentially devastating risk. That's because the risk is not calculable. Investors can navigate their way around costs they understand (extra property taxes, higher insurance rates) but will exit if the risks are too high.
We've seen the news stories. Someone moves into a short-term rental then refuses to leave. In Oakland, a group of organized homeless women commandeered a vacant house. In Los Angeles, alleged squatters turned an empty mansion into a party house. If housing is a "human right," then owners no longer have a right to their property.
The number of incidents has soared, so much so that one entrepreneur has started a business helping landlords retake their own properties. In a sane society, no one should have to worry about this. Other states have passed (or are considering) laws to expedite the removal of these home invaders, but California requires an overly drawn-out process, leaving owners at the mercy of progressive judges.
Does that situation make you more or less likely to invest in rental properties? What's your tolerance for risk? Same questions regarding Assembly Bill 2216 by Matt Haney (D–San Francisco) that's moving through the Legislature. It requires landlords to accept pets and forbids them from charging extra rent or security deposits. Landlords can expect obvious costs (carpet cleaning, various repair costs), but they can't calculate the less-obvious ones.
The landlords would not be allowed to ask tenants if they plan to have a household pet until after they've accepted the application. They would be allowed to impose "reasonable conditions" on the pets, but "reasonable" is ill defined. For instance, the bill refers to "common household pets" but is not limited to cats and dogs. Apparently, that means a tenant could have large aquariums with heat lamps that can cause incredible damage. There's no limit (beyond local ordinances) on the number of pets. It keeps owners from dealing with tenant pet disputes.
Sure, the Assembly analysis explains that a "reasonable condition" includes the right to limit potentially dangerous pets, but it does not allow a prohibition based on breeds, such as Pit Bulls and Rottweilers. Yet insurers typically use a list of potentially vicious breeds that they forbid owners from allowing. If a landlord allows such a breed and it mauls a neighbor, the landlord won't be covered. If this bill becomes law, lawmakers will force landlords to accept an unlimited amount of risk.
I love pets, but don't be surprised when landlords exit the business and invest their money into, say, a mutual fund that doesn't bite toddlers or call them about unplugging a clogged toilet.
This column was first published in The Orange County Register.
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"That's because the risk is not calculable."
Maybe high tech will come to the rescue? Brain scans! Before I will rent to you, you must submit to a brain scan, to see if you are a decent and responsible person! No brain scan? No rental!
Would the Californicated Government Almighty permit this? I'll not be holding my breath!
of course it's calculable. that's what the eggheads do. the actuaries have more data now than ever before and better ability to comb through it. THE LEGISLATED ELEMENTS ARE WHAT MAKE IT IFFY TO RELY ON
Well let me just say that more and more power to Government Almighty means more and more risks to individuals and organizations (such as businesses), since Government Almighty can (and will) make random and arbitrary changes and decisions. Until we can predict Government Almighty behavior, we risk these unknown unknowns!
and THAT's why the insurers are racing for the door. i am NOT a fan of tort reform in ANY form so until we get a sane regulatory environment (sarcasm) we are going to be paying through the nose and anus. sadly, there is no hope for the state
If the brain scan could weed out non-progressive true believers, you bet your last dollar the CA state government would approve of it
Sorry, California law prevents you from assessing the creditworthiness of potential renters. You might discriminate against them.
Don’t even joke about the idea of being able to predict someone’s future actions based on a brain scan. Newsom will make passing that scan a prerequisite for anyone looking to purchase any item more dangerous than a whiffle-bat or nerf soccer ball (American footballs being prohibited because the sport they’re used for will soon be deemed too “violent” to allow people to engage in without a permit (which will be based on some other fictitious criteria).
Look, to true-believing new-age socialists, property ownership is counter-revolutionary, and forcing other people to "pay rent" is colonizing oppression, and often racist and sexist. Housing is a human right, and Equity! means people can occupy any building they want and not pay rent.
Let’s all get together and go squat at Newsome’s place. Let him spend two years in court to evict us.
Just don't forget your land acknowledgement to the wise and noble Clovis Culture people who lived in harmony with the land while they hunted most of the North American mega fauna to extinction.
Of course they are. They are communists.
Expropriate!
Better to just execute all the Marxists.
And yet Californians vote for this. I understand, not all, but a significant majority. There's a limit to how much sympathy y'all can expect for self-imposed misery. If you didn't vote for it, maybe it's time to look for greener pastures. Just leave your California politics in California.
By and large, it's the coastal urban elites who do. While still the majority population, they are but a fraction of the counties and population of the state. Pretty much like everywhere. Kansas is ruled by Witchita voters, after all.
The big problem is something else, something most states do not have: A referendum process where anything goes, where politicians routinely dump bills they don't want to be seen voting on.
That's why there are laws in the state about insurance prices. Because there were a series of referendums to literally vote for lower insurance premiums, or to vote to prevent any premium increases. What's a voter going to do? Of course the average voter is going to vote in their own short term interest! That's why the politicians put that legislation before the voters!
This referendum system dates back more than a century. And while it does occasionally provide a check against the politicians (Proposition 13), once the politicians learned to game the system, it's mostly been used against us by leveraging the economic ignorance of the average voter. And every state has an ignorant average voter.
wrong.
When the State runs the schools, is it any wonder that most of the state is both economically ignorant, and unaware of the concept/nature of higher-order effects (such as inflation)?
I've been voting in CA since 1996, and can't remember an insurance-related ballot prop which would actually prevent premium increases. The last ones I remember were a couple of attempts by the only company in the state which had a "continuous coverage discount" to undo the law which prohibited them from crediting new customers for years of continuous coverage with their previous carrier as eligibility for such a discount; they were defeated due to a combination of opposition from the Sate Establishment (I guess that company just doesn't pay enough into campaign coffers?) and some law firm which calls itself "consumer watchdog".
There might have been one that somehow limited or prohibited auto insurance companies from basing their risk calculations on Zip code, but I'm not aware of any company in the state which actually ever complied with that law.
I know there's something in the State regulations which prohibit property/casualty insurance from using location as a factor in assessing the risk of damage due to wildfire. As a result, my premiums went up something like 20-30% in the year after the major fires (which resulted as much from reckless State land management policies as from any other combination of factors) in Napa/Sonoma Counties and the Malibu areas despite being separated from the nearest forested area by 35 miles (or more) of fully developed land, which would put my danger of losing my house to a wildfire (or landslide resulting from the vegetation loss from a wildfire) as near to zero as possible.
'Just leave your California politics in California.'
Wishful thinking. Righteous elites can't resist "helping".
That’s why they have to go. They have no right to do the things they do. Best to just rid ourselves of them.
…because that’s what criminals do.
Conquer and Consume until the ‘icky’ people’s labors/assets are all consumed and then moving-on to the next victim. Packing ‘Gov-Guns’ and self-projecting (calling their victims criminals) and painting their selfishness dog-eat-dog barbaric criminal society as a ‘utopian’ dream.
Until that day the constant criminal consumption drains the magical money well and all that’s left to eat is ‘Guns’ in their all-consuming zero-sum (no-earning/creating-resources) utopia of gangland theft.
Maybe it would be better if people just stopped renting anyway. Sell the houses and be done. Invest in something else. Renting is bad long term for people because they do not build equity. Many rentors do not respect what they rent. And I expect owners in neighborhoods do not like having rentors nearby. Appropriate use for short term people who just moved to town, young adults, etc sure, but this culture of long term renting is probably not good. And of course this does not mean govt needs to force the issue. Let the market decide, but I think we are seeing some of the consequences.
How long after that will it take before Biden does Mortgage Loan Forgiveness to stop the homeless of over-borrowed mortgages? Maybe rent is a good option for those who haven't earned the trust to borrow on an estate. Sounds like a good plan to launch another 2008 housing crisis.
My friend owns an eight bedroom (!) home in Berkeley. Originally built for the express purpose of subletting to students. He stopped renting twenty years ago. Because this shit all started in Berkeley. And he can't sell it, no one wants to buy rental property in Berkeley.
HE MOST CERTAINLY CAN SELL IT...JUST NOT FOR WHAT HE/SHE THINKS IT'S WORTH. the rent control regimes, building codes, tenant protections and such mean it's simply poorly located. put that shack in many other college towns (even eugene OR) and it's a dead bang winner. in fact, in that hood your friend has LIKELY voted for this situation. his gubmint has delivered exactly what they promised. please extend my apologies if i have called him/her a democrat voter...just playing the odds and betting
“…. called him/her a democrat….”
Do you even realize that you’re committing “non-binary erasure”?
Haha. Learned a new term the other day. God, I love 2024!
put that shack in many other college towns (even eugene OR) and it’s a dead bang winner.
Oh, so the guy should buy a plot of vacant land in some other college town and have the building airlifted to it, and then sell it. Maybe he'll recoup his loss, plus he'll have a vacant plot in Berkeley to sell too!
BRILLIANT!
Hey, brandyshit! Who'd s/he vote for?
Sell it to students to start a fraternity. That would really freak out Berkeley.
To be a buyer, and a home-owner, one must have self-discipline and be willing to sacrifice other desires.
In case you have not heard, those are patriarchal white privilege values that must be eliminated.
i need to make some patriarch shirts that i say “iron my shirt bitch” any other ideas for slogans…fun shall be had
No, renting durable anything makes sense. It's part of the division of labor. We use the temporary services of innumerable other things and never think about owning them, because that'd be silly.
Someone still “owns” it. Are you suggesting government ownership?
That’s the plan. And then either entities like Blackwater, or state/federal government will own all the housing. Then you will live wherever they assign you. This is their goal.
Always has been. So it’s time to cleanse America of the Marxist democrat scourge.
I looked at one apartment complex in Silicon Valley that had a 30-year renter living there. I’m sure his rent went up from 300 bucks a month to 3,000 for his one bedroom apartment. Meanwhile, if he had bought a 100K condo back in day, it would be worth one million dollars now, and would be paid for by now.
You ever cripple a Monopoly opponent by causing a building shortage? Little known rule is that the number of houses is a design limit, and that you need 4 houses on the lot before you can put up a hotel there, albeit you do it "all at once".
Not sure if it has changed, but in the rules decades ago, you had to develop each property in a set to the same level before adding more. (One house on each before a second house on any of them, etc.) So you can't 'do it all at once' unless you can afford to do it all at once for all properties in the set.
De rigeur — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ll7GSiad0ko
“In the name of …” is the key phrase here. Since their game is not to actually protect tenants or make housing more affordable or more available, they have to constantly come up with plausible sounding excuses for pursuing their socialist agenda. Fortunately a combination of wishful thinking generally and talented propagandists in their fold make that easy. The elimination of private property was one of the biggest agenda items on Karl Marx’s list. He was either too delusional to recognize – or too evil to admit – that collectivism was the goal in and of itself, not the liberation of the proletariat from the money class. California socialists have finally latched on to the winning modus operandi in the Socialist Workers State of Pacifica.
Marx was fully aware that he was an autocrat. The entire purpose of communism is the pursuit of power to loot with impunity. All that happy horseshit about equality is just the sales pitch.
-jcr
Read a few months ago insurers pulling out were concerned about overvaluation and liquidity in California. Californians can’t help themselves on the ten thousand square foot thirty million dollar mansions.
Incidentally, Philadelphia has neighborhoods containing old, beautiful, large stone mansions from the early 1900s that are now non liquid decaying tear downs.
Everyone in LA is getting out of their mansions if they cost more than 6 million dollars. The transfer taxes are a bear.
The big insurers are shorting California.
Crime, organized theft and violent felons with federal housing vouchers, mandates to accept housing vouchers, taxes on anyone who works or owns anything and a Governor who stood at the podium and declared that progressive taxation works(tax the rich). Mandates and bans on everything. Hell, even developers are not jumping at the chance to build with all the building mandates placed on local governments/tax breaks.
I was a landlord of affordable housing in Minneapolis. We had a fourplex and it was occupied by nice people until one tenant let “Big Daddy” move in. He turned the property into a drug lab (plastic sheeting on the windows and doors, scales, huge number of unknown credit cards, filth). Our tenant on the lease gave notice to leave effective November 1, Big Daddy said he’d be out Dec 1, then stopped taking our calls, we knew he had rights of tenancy at that point. After no word we went in and changed the locks January 7 on an obviously destroyed property that didn’t have beds etc. thought it was vacant, but still filed in housing court to be all the way on the up and up. Got to Housing Court and was served with a $285,000 lawsuit by criminal lawyers saying that we stole his $100k tennis shoe collection and $100k in cash. Big Daddy also terrorized the other tenants to the point that they left. Courts found us guilty of $1702 in damages from changing the locks, blew off the rest of the nonsense, but because we were liable for something insurance didn’t cover us. $25k in legal bills and a vacant trashed building. Sold that and everything else in that godforsaken city.
Government Almighty DAMN shit all to HELL and back, now THAT is a sad story!!! Sorry to hear of shit! VOTE THE BUMS OUT!!!!
(Sad to say, the bums have a LOT of allies!!! Shit seems that anyone that has two nickels to rub together, is an EVIL, greedy capitalist, and we can just VOTE our way to THEIR money!!!)
"Don't tax you, don't tax me, tax the fella behind the tree!" The fella behind the tree just MIGHT pay for your losses? We can always hope!!! (Actually, Good Luck with THAT particular hope! Evil, greedy capitalists do not DESERVE hope, last time that I checked!)
If only you could have realized that big cities were going down the toilet before you were flushed down with them. I feel your pain ...
This squatter situation creates an opportunity for highly persuasive organizations to greatly improve their popularity with the public.
If the government won't bounce trespassers out of your property but some local MC chapter will arrange for them to wash up under the golden gate bridge pro bono...
-jcr
I mean, I doubt it'll be pro bono, but vastly cheaper than the "official" process.
They would be allowed to impose "reasonable conditions" on the pets, but "reasonable"
No, it isn't ill defined. It is understood to mean NO conditions will be considered reasonable.
Just small landlords. They are a happy to take kickbacks from big corporate apartment companies, to increase density and stack 'em 6 floors high near the train stations with inadequate parking.
Just part of the state's war on small businesses in general. Small business owners tend to be conservatives. Large business owners may also be conservative, but are more easily controlled by laws on the composition of the corporate boards, ESG financial pressure, and worker activism.