Earth Day Dopes
Alarmists claim they're for "science," but what they're really for is a left-wing religion.
Expect more craziness this weekend. Earth Day is Saturday. This year's theme: Government must "do more" about climate change because "consequences of inaction are too high to risk."
They make it sound so simple:
1) Man causes global warming.
2) Warming is obviously harmful.
3) Government can stop it.
Each claim is dubious or wrong.
This weekend at a movie, I was surprised to be assaulted again by former Vice President Al Gore. In a preview, a puffy-looking Gore suddenly appeared, attacking Donald Trump and mocking critics of his previous movie, An Inconvenient Truth, the deceitful documentary that spreads fear in classrooms today. Yes, teachers play it in class.
Now Gore claims "the most criticized" part of the film was his assertion that the 9/11 memorial site would flood. Then, during Hurricane Sandy, it did
But Gore creatively misremembers his own movie.
He had claimed the World Trade Center would flood because of a permanent 20-foot sea-level rise.
Actual scientists called that nonsense. It would take hundreds of years for such a thing to possibly happen.
But since the area flooded, briefly, Gore spins that as confirmation of his exaggerations.
This preview was the first I learned that theaters will soon show a sequel to Gore's film.
Google tells us that An Inconvenient Sequel got a standing ovation at the Sundance Film Festival. Trendy Hollywood is so dumb.
At least critics who've watched it gave it poor reviews.
Let's go back to points 1, 2 and 3:
1) Man's greenhouse gases contribute to warming, but scientists don't agree on how much. Of 117 climate models from the 1990s, 114 overpredicted warming.
2) Warming is harmful. Maybe.
But so far it's been good: Over the last century, climates warmed, but climate-related deaths dropped. Since 1933, they fell by 98 percent. Life expectancy doubled.
Much of that is thanks to prosperity created by free markets. But some is due to warming. Cold kills more people than heat.
Carbon dioxide is also good for crop growth. Even The New York Times admits, "Plants have been growing at a rate far faster than at any other time in the last 54,000 years."
But what if Al Gore is right? Maybe our greenhouse gases will eventually cause Greenland's icecaps to melt and flood our cities. Shouldn't government act now? No.
3) Nothing we do today will stop global warming. The Obama regulations that Trump recently repealed, horrifying the Earth Day crowd, had a goal that amounted to a mere one percent reduction in global carbon dioxide. And that was just the goal.
Of course, some think any cut is better than nothing. But cuts are costly. They kill jobs, opportunity. All to accomplish… nothing the Earth will notice.
If warming does become a problem, we're better off if our economy is very strong when the science tells us clearly that action will make a difference.
We should be especially wary of expensive government projects given how often alarmists were wrong in the past.
As Cato's Pat Michaels says, "I've lived through eight environmental apocalypses… overpopulation… resource depletion… Silent Spring… global cooling… acid rain… the ozone hole… global warming… the next one is going to be ocean acidification."
In the '70s, environmentalist Paul Ehrlich won fame with his book The Population Bomb. Ehrlich predicted: "I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000."
Oops.
Ehrlich now admits: "When you predict the future, you get things wrong." But he says there's a grain of truth in his prediction, because: "If you look closely at England, what can I tell you? They're having all kinds of problems."
Give me a break.
Saturday's Earth Day nonsense will include a "March for Science." The media will hype it, claiming Trump's proposed budget will poison the Earth.
It won't.
The alarmists claim they're marching for "science," but they're really marching for a left-wing religion.
Instead of celebrating Earth Day Saturday, I'll celebrate Human Achievement Hour. The think tank behind it, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, says Human Achievement Hour pays tribute to "our basic human right to use energy to improve everyone's quality of life."
Some ways to celebrate:
- Use your phone or computer
- Drive a car
- Take a hot shower
Good idea! Let's celebrate progress instead of attacking it.
COPYRIGHT 2017 BY JFS PRODUCTIONS INC.
Editor's Note: As of February 29, 2024, commenting privileges on reason.com posts are limited to Reason Plus subscribers. Past commenters are grandfathered in for a temporary period. Subscribe here to preserve your ability to comment. Your Reason Plus subscription also gives you an ad-free version of reason.com, along with full access to the digital edition and archives of Reason magazine. We request that comments be civil and on-topic. We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. Comments do not represent the views of reason.com or Reason Foundation. We reserve the right to delete any comment and ban commenters for any reason at any time. Comments may only be edited within 5 minutes of posting. Report abuses.
Please
to post comments
Saturday I will celebrate my ability to cross the US in 5 hours instead of 5 months.
And you should celebrate that ability. It is amazing. AND you can also be concerned about our carbon dioxide emissions.
Not concerned about carbon emissions in the least Ben. If human activity is indeed imperiling the earth, then when the time actually arrives that it gets to hot outside, I would rather put my faith in the hands of a market economy to come up with a solution. After all, the only way that sustainable energy dreams will ever come true is when other forms of cheap energy become to expensive to exploit.
Economies cannot function properly with manipulated price controls and distorted capital allocations. All green energy scams are the previous sentence visible in its fruition. Just like insurmountable debt, it is a pipedream to think that an economy can function under such albatrosses.
Any other argument to the contrary is a actually a call for the suffering of millions in impoverished nations who would like the access to cheap energy to improve their lives. And since solar and wind energy are diffused energy sources and we don't have adequate battery storage yet, it is inhumane to wish for absolute mandate of an inferior energy source.
Excellent comment - thank you!
now that I can accept from you - I understand that you are really not concerned about climate change. And that you do not like the implications that accepting climate change would lead you to. I just ask that you consider if you are on the wrong site - this is a Libertarian site, not a Conservative site. "Personally, I find that the most objectionable feature of the conservative attitude is its propensity to reject well-substantiated new knowledge because it dislikes some of the consequences which seem to follow from it" (Friedrich Hayek)
I'd just ask people step back and evaluate if they understand climate science better than the National Academies of all major developed countries (G7 & BRICS), the American Meteorological Society, American Chemical Society, and American Geological Society (to name a few organizations with formal statements).
I understand science better than they do, because I understand that actual scientists publish all their UNALTERED data, and welcome criticism.
Well Finny,
I have never watched demonstrate one iota of climate knowledge. Surprise me.
You're still waiting.
As have climate scientists.
here: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/data-sources/
And it is data that non-climate scientists and former skeptics like Richard Muller on a Koch grant examined and agreed with the conclusions of the climate scientists.
Ben, the institutions you cite are the sole reason for my skepticism. Supposed dependable institutions have been caught in manipulations of data, partisan findings, and outright lies over this subject as time went on. Obvious examples are the penn state emails and I believe it was the doctored findings in the oxford studies maybe? Regardless, there have been so many doomsday predictions that were utterly false, and mandated regulations on business that have been extremely expensive and some cases crippling, that one who believes in free markets has a perfectly valid reason to suspect these so called experts.
Also, when government funding or university funding is entirely how you make your living, one can surmise that the recipient of those funds has incentive to guarantee his income.
I guess a shorter way of saying all of this is here; if the all knowing benevolent government is routinely and consistently a failure at solving almost every problem they tackle, why do the masses flock like zombie sheep to their feet begging for solutions?
There is also the prediction of less co2 is better and no co2 is best. That has been worked out in the science.
^^^This right here^^^
This is the kind of retardation we have to deal with.
No, the 'science' has not said that "no CO2 is best"
Actually there is a discussion of negative co2 emissions. Meaning burying co2 to bring down co2 concentrations over time in the atmosphere.
Whose science?
CO2 is plant food, less CO2 means less food for mankind.
The is a boundary for CO2 (~150ppm) below which photosynthesis stops. Lower CO2 enough and we all die.
" if the all knowing benevolent government is routinely and consistently a failure at solving almost every problem they tackle, why do the masses flock like zombie sheep to their feet begging for solutions?"
Because solutions are perpetually 'just around the corner' so keep having faith. Every so often, change the cadence, timber, and rhythm of the whole song and dance to make it look like progress.
"Personally, I find that the most objectionable feature of the conservative attitude is its propensity to reject well-substantiated new knowledge because it dislikes some of the consequences which seem to follow from it" (Friedrich Hayek)
Do you go around winning disingenuous acontextual quoting awards? I mean you might as well recite the Cleansing Of the Temples as justification that Conservatives are Communists.
The only way you read that whole statement as an implication that an individual should care about their carbon emissions is if you reject the absolute entirety of everything else Hayek wrote or said.
I mean you might as well recite the Cleansing Of the Temples as justification that Conservatives are Communists support violent socialism.
One doesn't have to be a scientist to observe patterns. Over the last quarter century the warmist have made SOOOOOOO many predictions that were wrong.
I'd ask those societies to tell me what the weather will be in 2 weeks.
They'd all claim forecasts that far out are impossible to be accurate.
Yet 200 years out seems perfectly accurate.
Odd.
damikesc|4.21.17 @ 12:32PM|#
Forecasting climate and weather are quite different. Sounds like you don't know the difference.
The natural ups and downs have short variations and cancel out to zero over time. CO2 and other ghg's are slow and consistent in warming the earth over time. How much warming will take place over 100 and 200 years when also increase downward radiation from ghg's. The earth actually takes several thousand years to settle out from ghg increase. Weather is of no concern in this situation.
I understand climate science better than any of the above. I have an objective view with no pressure to publish or defend my work or seek funding.
I am more sure pf the harm of global cooling than I am of harm from warming
I just ask that you consider if you are on the wrong site - this is a Libertarian site, not a Conservative site.
I just ask you consider that. This is a site packed with Republicans posing as libertarians. Very few actually are.
The validity of science here is not determined by the evidence, but by how incapable most Republicans are in offering a solution *if* they assumed to be true ("free markets" is a slogan, not how you combat global warming), and how strongly the "leftists" support the science.
Nope, he is a reason.com Republican posing as a libertarian. He'll be trying to do burning the most fuel
Nope, he is a reason.com Republican posing as a libertarian. He'll be trying to do burning the most fuel
50 years ago you could cross the US in 4 hours & change-- aerodynamically more efficient 21st century airliners make Greens happy and lower fuel bills by flying slower than the jet set's beloved 707.
Nothing ever makes the Greens 'happy'. Even when they get their way, they just go looking for something else to be 'unhappy' about.
Ragoftag|4.20.17 @ 11:47AM|#
Are you happy Rago?
50 years ago, you could flush a toilet once and have your shit go bye-bye. Those days have ended.
50 years ago, we had soap that could actually clean stuff really well. Those days have ended as well.
"Nothing we do today will stop global warming. The Obama regulations that Trump recently repealed, horrifying the Earth Day crowd, had a goal that amounted to a mere one percent reduction in global carbon dioxide. And that was just the goal."
That is the whole thing I have a problem with the hysteria. The only chance we had to stop this ended 40 years ago when we killed off the nuclear energy industry. We reached the point of no return a long time ago.
Even if Al Gore won in 2000 and magically got US carbon emissions down to zero by 2001, the effects on the climate wouldn't be seen for half a century. Also, because of fracking and Europe's general trend of shutting down nuclear plants, America has been decreasing their emissions faster than Europe.
I have not read any author that wants to try to "stop global warming" by returning our atmosphere to 285 ppm. I think this article truly represents as much hysteria as comes from the left. It is not a matter of "stopping" global warming as acting responsibly. Our actions right now on what energy sources we are investing in do make a difference for the amount of fossil fuels we will burn, and thus the carbon dioxide concentrations in the air, and thus the amount of change we are forcing on future cities, property owners and people. I suggest Reason take a serious look at its own content to see if it is not acting just as hysterical as the left.
It is not a matter of "stopping" global warming as acting responsibly.
So Ben, is it responsible to drastically jack up the costs of energy with the intent of causing a miniscule reduction in global temperature if it means that millions will lose their jobs and many of the less fortunate will not be able to afford to heat their homes or buy enough food for their families?
What about mining and processing all those rare earth metals to make solar panels and batteries for the electric cars, then discarding them when they run out- I haven't heard of a "sustainable" way to do that.
As long as the top men ensure the proceeds go to right-thinking people with strong feelings for all those lesser people, and not to those dirty Exxon people or two brothers in Wichita, well, you're on the right track.
NoVanNick needs a new playbook -- "all those rare earth metals" he yammmers about go into wind turbine magnets, not solar cells or batteries, and their combined CO2 cost (( 8,500 tonnes of Ne-Fe-B magnets a year= ~ 250,000 tonnes CO2 ) is less than the global share of 10,000 Americans
When we go to 100% renewable energy, this will go way down.
When will that be and how will that happen?
It will be when we make it happen. There is a lot of study going on and labs working to launch ideas and products into the mainstream. There is pleny of renewable resources world wide that every country can have energy independence in the world. Don't need no stinking oil or coal.
There are mire jobs in renewable energy than in fossil fuels
Because renewable energy is less efficient, so more labor is needed by it.
Also, there's a certain amount of fudging in determining what counts as a green job. A roofer who installs some solar panels in the summer shouldn't be counted as a green job, but is.
On the contrary a roofer that does should be counted. Install solar, solar job.
"It is not a matter of "stopping" global warming as acting responsibly."
"Acting responsibly" without commensurate or even attainable results?
That sound a bit like doing something for the sake of doing something so you can feel good about it, even it causes economic damage with no discernible benefits.
I love the natural world, the outdoors, and all aspects of the beauty of the earth. I truly believe we need to protect that as much as is feasible, and not let natural areas go to development without absolute need of doing so [and not just limited benefit of a few or for profit]. But I do not think we do the earth a damned bit of good by signing onto unfounded, histrionic and "feel good" movements and initiatives that do little more than give some misguided "progressives" the feeling that they are saving the earth.
What about the fact that the cleanest and healthiest of nations have functioning(albeit manipulated)market economies with a flash of capitalism in there?
it is so moronic and a total luddite argument to call for4the suppression of progress brought about by affordable and exploitable energy when all of the poorest, socialist, third world country shitholes are filthy and garbage strewn.
Price of renewable is decreasing while fossil fuels are getting harder to reach with increasing costs and prices. Investing now helps to get us to zero co2 emissions lowering the possible damage to our own living space on earth.
So to you any force applied by government without any evidence of actual positive effect, although often detrimental, is an acceptable risk. Given that calling back even the onerous and accepted by fiat regulations, Obamas orders overturned by Trump as an example, receive unending shrieks from a large portion of the population, how do you suggest that continually added onerous regulation supposedly enacted with nothing less than benevolence don't eventually become a mountain that can't be crossed?
We can all sit back and pretend to be pragmatic soldiers of logic, but when your logic produces nothing more than a continual slide into the abyss forgive me if I call you foolish.
The problem with climate science is there is no way to test the core prediction, that the Earth will heat substantially in response to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, other than to wait and see.
Important secondary predictions which should be observable by now, such as the missing tropospheric hotspot, or a projected acceleration in sea level rise, have not manifested.
Even more embarrassing, mainstream models cannot even tell us what climate sensitivity to CO2 actually is.
Set Us Up The Chipper|4.19.17 @ 2:25PM|#
The problem with climate science is there is no way to test the core prediction, that the Earth will heat substantially in response to anthropogenic CO2 emissions, other than to wait and see.
We are nearly at 1*C warming and the warming is all anthropogenic.
Important secondary predictions which should be observable by now, such as the missing tropospheric hotspot, or a projected acceleration in sea level rise, have not manifested.
Absolute humidity has risen which is also a ghg. That only rises in tandem with co2 rising pushing temperature up.
Even more embarrassing, mainstream models cannot even tell us what climate sensitivity to CO2 actually is.
3*C for a doubling of co2.
Say the extreme alarmists. The IPCC says only that "more than half" is anthropogenic.
As it rises it encourages the formation of low-level clouds, which increase albedo, a negative feedback.
No, it rises if the earth warms from natural variability too.
That was the warmists' guess five years ago. The latest papers have cut that by more than half.
We are nearly at 1*C warming and the warming is all anthropogenic.
Say the extreme alarmists. The IPCC says only that "more than half" is anthropogenic.
https://goo.gl/qJSTh7
Earth should be mildly cooling into the next ice age and yet we warmed. Human activity overwhelmed the mild cooling and warmed 1*C. Over 150 years all the natural variability zeros out, because they are of much shorter duration in cycles.
Absolute humidity has risen which is also a ghg.
As it rises it encourages the formation of low-level clouds, which increase albedo, a negative feedback.
Actually higher temperatures produce higher clouds which have positive feedback producing even higher temperatures.
That only rises in tandem with co2 rising pushing temperature up.
No, it rises if the earth warms from natural variability too.
Again compared to 150 years, natural variability zeroes out because of short cycles. We are 100% human warming.
3*C for a doubling of CO2.
That was the warmists' guess five years ago. The latest papers have cut that by more than half.
https://goo.gl/kIsU7h
There really is no upper limit to climate sensitivity in what it might be, but it is clearly not less than 1.5. Several papers show 3 and can possibly go very high centuries out.
"The problem with climate science"
It's climate modelling you seem to have a problem with, given the examples you give here. Climate science is as sound as ever.
Thank you! I had a feeling that information had a large bias in it
Is it hysterical to note that by the year 2027, a mere 10 years away, at least 10% of the current population of the planet will be dead? I think not, 10% is hundreds of millions of human beings that will die in the next ten years.
It is hysterical, in both senses of the word, to believe that there is anything the government can do that will prevent 10% of the current population form dying.
Death is not a problem to be solved. The death rate remains the same as it has always been -- 1 per person.
100% of the people born in the 18th century are dead. Is there something that could have been done to prevent that?
Is it something government can do.
Hysterical indeed.
The death rate remains the same as it has always been -- 1 per person.
I suppose that's true in some sense. But it's absolutely useless when talking about the effects that environmental change has on human life.
Hurricane Sandy was influenced by AGW. Causing deaths and several billion dollars in damage.
Prove it.
Really???? As CptNerd says, "Prove it"
Billion dollars in damage, could this be because we built a crap load ton of stuff near the water where hurricanes are? Could this be because the value of said "crap load ton of stuff" is prices extremely high because it is near the water?
Been through hurricanes, live close the water, fact of life, going to have them. Deaths are always a risk during them, damage is always a result of them.
There are three different ways climate change might have influenced Sandy: through the effects of sea level rise; through abnormally warm sea surface temperatures; and possibly through an unusual weather pattern that some scientists think bore the fingerprint of rapidly disappearing Arctic sea ice.
If this were a criminal case, detectives would be treating global warming as a likely accomplice in the crime
Some researchers who warn that climate change is already being felt in extreme weather events, such as Kevin Trenberth of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., are not yet convinced of the Arctic connection. Others, such as Hayhoe, think it is a "plausible theory" that is worth investigating, although she noted there is evidence that Arctic warming may cause more blocking during the winter rather than during the fall.
https://goo.gl/XwEpaA
Hurricane Sandy was a 65 billion dollar cost. Warmer seas, higher sea levels,
"Scientists cannot yet answer the specific question of whether climate change made Hurricane Sandy more likely to occur"
That's the OPENING of the SECOND PARAGRAPH from your link.
And any science that can use snowfall, storms, AND heat ALL to prove it is "true" isn't a science. It is a faith. Your faith is non-falsifiable.
You are interpreting science from a warped fossil fueled point of view. Just because you are afraid of the truth does mean you have to deny it.
This is an honest post about climate change and hurricanes.
You have 90 mph winds coming into New york
You have 1 foot of sea level rise since 1850 at New York
You had a full moon at the same time as Hurricane Sandy struck..
You also had warmer waters in the area due to global warming.
With that you get 65 billion dollars in damage and a lot of people killed.
It was a perfect storm
Full Moon?
What?
Werewolves now cause global warming?
Death is not a problem to be solved. The death rate remains the same as it has always been -- 1 per person.
Seriously? What is happening with so many people making tediously idiotic comments like this?
Sooooo you don't go to a doctor?
Is it hysterical to note that by the year 2027, a mere 10 years away, at least 10% of the current population of the planet will be dead?
I suppose it depends on how you say it.
don't worry those dead will be replaced by births. But I think you were being sarcastic, I hope
10% of the current population dying from what? 10% more than would die naturally? Exactly what are you talking about?
Are you saying that in 10 years the temperature will go up enough to kill off 10% of the population? If so, wow! You must think people are fucking stupid. If (big if) temperature got so bad in some place that people couldn't live, don't you think they would move? Don't you think we could adapt?
>blockquote>The alarmists claim they're marching for "science," but they're really marching for a left-wing religion.
You're not suggesting that they don't really "fucking love science" are you?
HTML tag fail. Been a while since I fucked those up.
They fucking love science when a raging leftist zombie is preaching their version of it.
My favorite part of the whole hysteria is that this entire 40-60 crusade by leftist(Marxists) is still just a theory.
We don't destroy entire economies over other theories do we?
Sure, just ask the Russians who lived around 1917.
Sure, just look at Russia in 1917.
Science should not be a political pawn in this. It is well studied evidence showing that AGW is true and real. That is why you need denier consensus with no proof that it is wrong. A philosophy of life should not embrace denial of reality. Actually libertarians should reject this article based on no evidence. This article is stressing doubt without any evidence. Snark as a way of life just is a big fail.
But not CAGW--that's speculative, depending on a positive feedback whose likelihood is undermined by the absence of the upper tropospheric tropical hot spot.
Sound reasons for skepticism were presented by Christy, Curry, and Pielke Jr. on "Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications and the Scientific Method" at the U, S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, hearing on March 29, 2016 Here are links to their written testimony
goo.gl/2gnS2i
https://goo.gl/KqInT0
https://goo.gl/ZTGFxH
Oops--that first link should be: https://goo.gl/2gnS2i
And here are links to Curry's two threads on the hearings:
https://goo.gl/VvDj3T
https://goo.gl/B98ZM9
For some reason the links above don't work, although they are the best ones I could find on Google.
Here are links to Curry's two threads on the hearings:
https://goo.gl/VvDj3T
https://goo.gl/B98ZM9
It is well studied evidence showing that AGW is true and real.
But not CAGW--that's speculative, depending on a positive feedback whose likelihood is undermined by the absence of the upper tropospheric tropical hot spot.
Hot spot or not, CAGW is true at the extremes. We go to 1000 ppm co2, that is clearly CAGW. Its about 10,000 years of hell on earth. Negative co2 emissions is the very best, no co2 emissions is good, extreme co2 emissions is very bad.
That is why you need denier consensus with no proof that it is wrong. A philosophy of life should not embrace denial of reality. Actually libertarians should reject this article based on no evidence. This article is stressing doubt without any evidence.
There is good reason why the Republican party invites them in. Don't want to hear main stream science. Talking about exagerated uncertainty does not bode well for honesty.
Sound reasons for skepticism were presented by Christy, Curry, and Pielke Jr. on "Climate Science: Assumptions, Policy Implications and the Scientific Method" at the U, S. House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, hearing on March 29, 2016 Here are links to their written testimony
Science and truth are one in the same. Its ok to test things, but to not accept your total inability to discredit the ideas, then you are getting into denial that leads to all kinds reality distortions.
The global warming alarmists would have you believe the government can determine the perfect temperature for the earth (was it perfect 10 years ago? 20? 100?) and not only that but that the government can control it if only we pay a huge new tax.
Now that is truly living in an alternate reality.
It is not about picking a perfect temperature. It is about recognizing that when we cause a shift in temperature there will be consequences - more droughts in some areas, higher peak rain events in some areas, and certainly raising sea levels to the degree that peoples property along ocean coast lines will be impacted. But, if you believe that we do not need to be responsible for our impacts on other peoples property - then you shouldn't care what we do.
all weather conditions you describe have occurred in different parts of the world though out history and have been dealt with through technology or simply relocating and we can continue to do so. Note not one weather or storm can be attributed to global warming and many models predict a calmer weather pattern but you cant get people to pay higher taxes with claims of better weather.
If the sea level rises in Bangladesh, why does it not rise on the east coast of the US?
I have lived here my whole life and see no signs that the water marks on thousands of structures are rising.
Water rise is consistent. if you put a large rock in a pool, the whole thing rises consistently.
I know there will be plenty that say other forces at work actually make if different. I call utter bullshit.
It's because the Earth is fatter around the equator so water levels will be higher closer to the equator than far away from it. Bangladesh is closer to the equator than any point of the US east coast.
That is a fair argument for the pull of the moon at certain latitudes. Does that account for some sort of precipitous rise due to factories only affecting the topics and zero effect further north? Miami is not sinking and it is pretty far south.
"Miami is not sinking"
Rising sea levels in Miami have been observed and measured. Have you heard otherwise?
Miami is sinking primarily because of ground water extraction and other non-AGW reasons. And its sea level statistics haven't been reported in full context:
https://goo.gl/0r7Nku
People in Miami are spending lots of money raising their buildings to stay above the rising waters. Quibbling over statistics is not going to protect their property.
He's not referring to the tides, the earth is an oblate spheroid due to it's angular momentum.
However, the sea floor being higher up does not raise the ocean above it.
You need a larger rock and a bigger jacuzzzi.
Sea level on the east coast is rising a little faster than the rest of the world. About a third of the US population lives in vulnerable sea level rise areas.
https://goo.gl/w7DnQ9
Ben where is the hot spot, what is CO2 doubling sensitivity? If you don't know the answers to those questions (I know you don't know the second one), then shut the fuck up.
Soooooo Chippy,
real attitude you got there. General consensus around climate sensitivity is 3*C for a doubling of co2 to 560ppm by 2100. But, there is the long term effect going beyond 2100 and the sensitivity goes up even more. James Hansen puts it at 4.5*C for a doubling of co2 going out a few hundred years.
As a "scientist" (I have a Ph.D. in molecular biology and worked as a researcher for several years but am no longer doing that ), I can say that there are two types of scientists: (1) actual scientists: People who are inspired by their love of discovery and look to solve problems first, rather than whine about them. (2) science cult followers: these people may or may not have actual education or training in a scientific field (most do not) but somehow science defines their identity as a leftist substitute for religion; their idea of science comes from the likes of Al Gore, Bill Nye, and Chris Mooney-these will be the vast majority of the science marchers. There may be some actual scientists there too who are concerned about cuts to government funding, but a march isn't going to help their cause.
I have a bachelor of arts degree, and I concur with this assessment.
nova, my guess is that everyone in your latter categorization are either university or otherwise government funded scientists or politician scum.
OMG! After reading the comments on this article I popped over to Reddit. And, apparently Bill Nye is currently doing an AMA. And, this is the Tittle he chose "I am Bill Nye and I'm here to dare I say it?. save the world. Ask Me Anything!". He's going to Save the world people These F'ing people really do have a messiah complex don't they?
I'm a scientist too (Ph. D. in physical chemistry) but hope not to be doing it much longer. I agree with your assessment, but will add that many of the "actual scientists" are indeed educated and smart, but they are also very political and very partisan (leftist). It gives them a permanent blind spot to anything that might be "good news" on the climate front. They can be very logical on other scientific topics, but anything approaching healthy skepticism on anything climate-change related will be met with a huge dose of scorn.
I'm an engineer, which I consider to be more of a scientist than any social science. Do we really think that any amount of evidence would convince many scientists that glyphosate is not dangerous at low levels? Is there any amount of evidence that would get them to admit that fracking has no effect on groundwater? Absolutely not. Is there any climate scientist today who doesn't go into the field already dead set on proving how apocalyptic global warming will be? Doubtful.
colorblindkid, you obviously don't know many climate scientists. Your prejudgments might help you sleep good at night but don't reflect reality.
Irony: the leftist warmist talking about "prejudgments".
Ben, the "scientists" want the money.
It is why alarmists always poo-pooed skeptics as being "funded by big oil". Because only SOME people are, apparently, motivated by money. Thank God "climate scientists" aren't like that.
"Is there any amount of evidence that would get them to admit that fracking has no effect on groundwater?"
Have you got such evidence?
I'm wondering if this is all PHD huffing going on is a big bluff. Again this is a very broad brush stroke going on that is easily taken down. Why would you do that to yourself.
NoVaNick|4.19.17 @ 9:55AM|#
That's a pretty broad brush picture you are painting. Very unscientific if I might add. What about the conservatives that know AGW to be true?
The fact is, and always has been, the Terra gives not a whit about Man. We are, at best, a pesky moss on the geologic time scale. Our failure to observe such scales is understandable. Whether real or otherwise, the only solution to the potential issue is an engineering and scientific solution to cope with the result. Design in the coastal regions more to assist migrations rather than reclaim flooded lands at a ridiculous price. Science to make once arable lands arable once more.
At this point with a planning horizon so wide, contemplation is in order. Later, as confirmation is clearer (or not,) more intense action can begin. Not the pessimist, but the realist in me believes that the will just doesn't exist to spend the inordinate assets necessary to defeat a problem that is so speculative.
Mark E. Deardorff
http://www.ScienceViaMarkets.com
Will should not have to exist until there is an economic reason to do so.
Markets are far more efficient and capable of allocating capital towards a profitable return on such an endeavor.
Things such as price signals, innovation, creative destruction, and profit motive will be a much faster solution to this problem, if it even exists, than anything that a central planning dumbass bureaucrat can ever fathom.
The Marxists have zero understanding of this time proven truth so they will be willing to ignore that solution in favor of killing and eating capitalists.
And after all, that is the central tenet of the global warming ruse and why scum politicians capitalized on it with such meteoric fervor.
"Markets are far more efficient "
I'm always interested in market solutions to this climate change thing, and figure Reason is the place to go to learn of them. But I don't see any. The science writer here promotes nuclear and carbon sequestration, anything but market solutions. Do you have other solutions or do you follow the Reason line?
Solar panels on home. Electric car charged by solar. Small wind turbines for power needs after the Sun goes down. Batteries are not great but always have enough electricity, usually too much and sell it back to the power company.
I am on track to the solar and wind systems paying for themselves in about 10 years. Imagine if government would get out of the energy business and technology would improve solar panels, batteries and non-fossil fuel energy production. Plus, markets could decide what energy sources would be the winners and losers.
mtrue,
the solutions have yet to be invented. In the past, necessity has always been the mother of invention.
I have faith that the invisible hand will tackle a problem when it presents itself. The deflationary benefits of innovation and technology will present themselves with a viable alternative to fossil fuels when fossil fuels become too expensive.
Batteries are making tremendous progress and will be good but there is an argument for the expensive inputs that go into them and their disposal.
My only point continues to be that a market solution driven by the profit motive, price discovery, and innovation for market share will solve this problem far more efficiently because enormous amounts of capital will not have been wasted on government boondoggles. What governments all over the world have been doing is throwing enormous sums of basically confiscated and FED created money at a problem that has little in the solutions department and very little in the proven catastrophe department.
That is an insanely bad investment of capital that could have been deployed by individuals for the greater good. Instead, the proponents of global warming advocate for more cronyism, more debt, more waste, and more corruption while those same people protest everything under the sun.
"Instead, the proponents of global warming .."
Proponents is a strange word. I suppose that makes you an opponent of global warming. I doubt the market shares your opposition. The most powerful entities on the market own vast reserves of fossil fuels.
Yet funding for CAGW research dwarfs skeptic research. By orders of magnitude.
The government can accelerate the trend of the market if that is necessary. Time is lost changing our emissions, that is kicking the can down the road making it harder on the future generations. In a lot of ways, the market wants to be led on some things. Some markets need rules to be stable and deal with the bad actors. That is why we have laws.
You may be correct but battery tech is not there yet. It may come, whether or not it is ultimately 'carbon free' is a different matter.
"if government would get out of the energy business...:
Are you familiar with the current secretary of state? Not long ago he was the head of one of the largest companies of the planet, an energy one at that. It goes both ways.
You may be correct but battery tech is not there yet. It may come, whether or not it is ultimately 'carbon free' is a different matter.
We may go to carbon sequestration. Burying it in the ground. May have to do it anyway for several centuries to keep sea levels lower.
There isn't a market solution to the problem yet because as far as the market is concerned, there is no problem yet. AGW is very much a 1% problem.
It is a tiny percentage of people worrying over fractions of a degree rise per year that are often completely reversed and subsumed the next year.
If it becomes an actual problem, that actually affects people, there will be a market solution.
Soooo are the market and Jesus one here? Its was about 3 million years ago co2 levels were this high. And it was much warmer then.
Yes, it was.
And the planet was much more fertile, more biodiverse, more livable.
Ice ages are extinction events.
Nothing on the planet evolved for the cold--it adapted TO the cold, but it evolved FOR a warmer Earth.
Changes brought about by man made climate change will bring on extinction events which the earth has not experienced in this fast or strong of magnitude. For life to recover the natural way we are looking at about a million years just to begin. Our crops will be stressed in the areas we are growing them now. Sea level rise alone will be in the trillions of dollars as we have to abandon out coastal cities. You look at the refugee problem in the world now, it will be a few magnitudes greater as sea level inches higher .
"a pesky moss on the geologic time scale"
Humans are a rather recent addition to life on earth. Mosses and such plants have been around incomparably longer. Mosses have been able to survive billions of years not due to science or engineering but because to their ability to adapt to new circumstances. If humans find themselves unable to survive on the planet without the benefits of their burning fossil fuels, chances are going to die out.
My gripe with the moss analogy is that moss is slow growing. Humans are more like a radish planted in the geologic timescale.
For most of humanity's existence they didn't burn fossil fuels.
Not the pessimist, but the realist in me believes that the will just doesn't exist to spend the inordinate assets necessary to defeat a problem that is so speculative.
There have been 5 IPCC's and not one has been speculative about whether or not there is global warming. They looked at the evidence to see if the evidence followed global warming theory. James Hansen and many others projected a warming trend and there has been a clear warming trend that is only from humans.
FTFY
Mere anger and resentment isn't letting you see what is true in the world.
Trendy Hollywood is so dumb.
Wiser words were never spoken.
Some ways to celebrate:
Use your phone or computer
Drive a car
Take a hot shower
I plan on parking near one of these Earth Day rallies and letting my cardle idle with the ac blasting and the windows down...with a 2-stroke pwc on a trailer behind me, also idling.
Markets (though not exactly free) are prevailing in one form of global warming alarmist control- light bulbs. Went to the store today and noticed the incandescent light bulbs are on the shelves in large numbers again but marketed as "specialty bulbs" which are not required to be LED (ugly light), florescent (hurts my eyes) or halogen (have no idea what that means). I bought the specialty "soft white" which is what I used to use. Price wasn't much different. There were daylight spectrum bulbs, the ever popular 3 way bulbs and, my favorite, the rugged bulb with a filament that can withstand some extra abuse- just in case you want play a game of catch with it, I guess.
It really bothers me because I have a 5 room house that is 950 sq. ft. and has 3 or fewer bulbs in each room yet I'm expected make ugly changes to make up for those people in the 3,000 sq ft homes that have like 28 light bulbs in their kitchens alone and just as many or more in their other 10 rooms.
halogen's are just a special incandescent that's a lil more efficient because the filament can run hotter.
Some LED bulbs are the same colr as incandescents.
I read an article that said 95% of published science papers don't even follow the scientific method.
This is from so long ago I lost the citation:
Adviser Daniel Patrick Moynihan, notable as a Democrat in the administration, urged the administration to initiate a worldwide system of monitoring carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, decades before the issue of global warming came to the public's attention.
There is widespread agreement that carbon dioxide content will rise 25 percent by 2000, Moynihan wrote in a September 1969 memo.
"This could increase the average temperature near the earth's surface by 7 degrees Fahrenheit," he wrote. "This in turn could raise the level of the sea by 10 feet. Goodbye New York. Goodbye Washington, for that matter."
Wrong then (1969), wrong now (2017). "Widespread" agreement does not constitute truth; see flat earth.
I was taught that carbon dioxide was necessary for plant life; has that changed?
The earth thaws very slowly. We have gone up 40% in carbon dioxide now. Thaw heads poleward on the earth releasing even more co2 and ch4. This is a pos. feedback in the system destabilizing the earth all the more.
They make it sound so simple:
1) Man causes global warming.
Man is the only reason the earth is warming. Otherwise we would be going into the next ice age in the next 40,000 years.
2) Warming is obviously harmful.
Our food is vulnerable to warming. Crops production will be stressed as temperatures go higher.
3) Government can stop it.
Government helps to stop it. With universties, government, and the private sector working together to acheive the outcome.
Each claim is dubious or wrong.
Stossel has been dubious on this post all the way through.
Other planets are warming as well. Is man doing that, too? Or is it possible that there's something going on that we haven't figured out yet?
Our food grows better in warm climates. Warm climates will lead to higher and better food production. Additionally, more land will move into the arable range as water is freed from it's solid form.
Government has turned a scientific effort into a power grab--and it will continue to do this--AGW/CC is the perfect generator of intrusive legislation. Anything that happens can be attributed to the 'effects' of AGW or CC--and all of those things MUST be prevented!! AND it has the added bonus that it isn't really a problem at all.
Are you sure you know what 'dubious' means?
3) Nothing we do today will stop global warming. The Obama regulations that Trump recently repealed, horrifying the Earth Day crowd, had a goal that amounted to a mere one percent reduction in global carbon dioxide. And that was just the goal.
What a load of garbage. The end goal is zero co2 emissions and 100% renewable energy.
For the developed world. But it won't make any difference, because the developing world, whose emissions will in time dwarf ours, won't get on board unless we give them trillions we don't have.
Roger Knights|4.19.17 @ 10:29PM|#
The end goal is zero co2 emissions and 100% renewable energy.
For the developed world. But it won't make any difference, because the developing world, whose emissions will in time dwarf ours, won't get on board unless we give them trillions we don't have.
Help them learn how to have a more developed world based on renewable energy. After awhile they will earn their own money.
Instead of celebrating Earth Day Saturday, I'll celebrate Human Achievement Hour. The think tank behind it, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, says Human Achievement Hour pays tribute to "our basic human right to use energy to improve everyone's quality of life."
Everyone can enjoy 100% renewable energy cheaper than fossil fuels in the future.
How much per hour do you make working at home on your computer posting about why we should by solar panels? Enough to but (but not charge) a Tesla...
You don't have to buy solar panels. You can buy renewable energy from the grid made by someone else. I'm already doing it.
Actually, you're buying power from the local power plant and it comes from standard sources, but you pay a third party that claims to be 'producing' the power you use with 'renewable' resources.
You have no way of knowing where your power is coming from. Even if you've toured their 'plant' you have no proof that it's tied to 'the grid'.
You're buying indulgences.
Azathoth!!|4.20.17 @ 9:09AM|#
You are entitled to your opinion. The power generation is recorded bought and sold. Certificates are developed with an accounting system to keep track of it.
Yes, a record of your indulgences is kept that you may ascend to Environmental Heaven upon your carbon-neutral discorporation.
Praise Gaia!
The power generation is recorded bought and sold. Certificates are developed with an accounting system to keep track of it.
Yes, a record of your indulgences is kept that you may ascend to Environmental Heaven upon your carbon-neutral discorporation.
Praise Gaia!
Actually its to slow down our descent into hell and high water. Negative carbon emissions: best, zero carbon emissions better, increasing carbon emissions the worst.
"Everyone can enjoy 100% renewable energy cheaper than fossil fuels in the future."
Yep, as soon as fusion becomes a viable source.
You are full of shit.
Well at least I am not hungry. We all have shit inside us, including you.
https://goo.gl/ts9Agz
There are about 35 million people in the world living with 100% renewable energy now. This will only grow larger.
I've been involved in weather for 15+ years, and have studied local climate for the last 10. Is our climate changing? Sure. There's no longer 3 miles of ice over Minnesota. What does the future climate look like? One of 4 possibilities - cold and wet, cold and dry, warm and dry, and may favorite warm and wet. It's nice when you're with your lady but bad when you're in the jungle (to loosely quote Good Morning Viet Nam). Anyway, Mother Nature wins every time. If you're that concerned about CO2 plant a tree.
How many trees does it take to remove 15 gigatons from the atmosphere for every 2 ppm co2?
Don't forget to post the link to this page onto Neil deGrasse Tyson's page at https://www.facebook.com
/neildegrassetyson/?fref=nf
in reply to his latest short video.
🙂
Any carbon-limiting AGW mitigation strategy, in simple terms, Will. Not. Work. Apart from the enormous market forces that will thwart it, there's the cold reality that the BRICS nations will not comply, not to the degree we are told is necessary. They shouldn't, not when their people are still rising out of subsistence living (1/4 of India still doesn't have electricity, IIRC).
It is the height of arrogance and callousness that the West demand the imposition of enormous human suffering (and the avoidable deaths of millions of the world's poorest, because that will be the result of wholesale carbon caps and taxes) to mitigate a problem that remains insufficiently understood or quantified, and whose worst-case effects are literally a hundred or more years away.
The only solutions to AGW-induced problems, should they be required, will be technological in nature. Not brute-force carbon caps/taxes or brute-force "alternative energy" mandates in contravention of free market outcomes.
Actually carbon limiting is already working. Pollution is flat while the world economy expands. You don't have to have pollution as a part of life.
This site just eats my comments and they never go up. Fuck this site, it can't even get its act together..
If the following chart (reconstructed global temperature over the past 420,000 years based on the Vostok ice core from Antarctica) is an accurate representation of world temperature, what prediction, if any, could be made for the next century or two? The data are rather noisy.
http://www.climate4you.com/images/Vos.....000 BP.gif
"The alarmists claim they're marching for "science," but they're really marching for a left-wing religion." And you sound like you are marching for a right wing religion. That's how science works a "majority" have an opinion. Is this case the majority including NASA, U.S. National Academy of Sciences, American Meteorological Society believe global warming is acouring. Action needs to be taken to stop it. That does not mean I believe Gores absurd predictions.It seem like Stossel who generally uses common sense throws that aside when the science will cost big business, or it's not what he would like it to be. He's quick to believe right wing nonsense while rejecting left wing nonsense.
^^This right here^^^
"That's how science works a "majority" have an opinion"
These people really believe that this is true.
Science does not care what a 'majority' says.
If one person discovers a scientific principle, all on his own and dies before telling anyone, that principle still applies--whether anyone ever discovers it again or not.
https://goo.gl/sD54t1
Elon Musk is now coming out with an electric semi and also an electric truck. Tesla has same market cap value as GM
Google pay's us monthly... Everybody can earn now from home 10000+ USD monthly... I am just working 3 to 4 hours in a day and generate extra cash... You also can earn... you can join or check more information by below site.......................
-------------->>> http://www.netcash2.com
Question for renewableguy if he's still here-he seems to be getting paid per comment to troll this thread.
Where I live, the sewage plant uses methane generated from the wastewater it processes to generate electricity-so does poop count as renewable, or do you not like this because it still produces CO2 emissions when it is burned?
Ideally I'd like to see human poop used for fertilizer to grow more food. That doesn't work. Take it back one step farther is that we use fossil fuels to grow our food efficiently and productively. Its a true challenge to become more sustainable. Burning methane looks good for now.
In areas where native soil is of poor quality, the local population may weigh the risk of using night soil. The use of unprocessed human feces as fertilizer is a risky practice as it may contain disease-causing pathogens. Nevertheless, in some developing nations it is still widespread.
Night soil - Wikipedia
So, Gore predicted the flooding, which means he predicted Sandy.
And did nothing to stop it.
What an asshole.
I think NYC is awfully terrible, but if I knew a hurricane was going to wreck their shit, I'd be screaming it.
actually Gore didn't predict the huricane coming. That's satellite data. What Gore showed was if one came and the sesa level came up 10 feet from the action of the hurricane, here is where it would flood New York city. Actually he did no such thing by himself. He hires a scientist or two to help him with the graphics of flooding New York. He is good at staying on script of what the science is telling us.
I survived both the radon gas and cancer-causing power lines (I think it was cancer, anyway) scares of the 1990s. Did you?
Some people didn't. Glad you did though.
"They make it sound so simple:
1) Man causes global warming.
2) Warming is obviously harmful.
3) Government can stop it.
Each claim is dubious or wrong."
By continuing to falsely insist 1 and 2 are "dubious or wrong," you've completely ceded the "solution" to the left wing. As a result, you're getting nothing but top-down government mandates. Acknowledge scientific reality and start the debate over the solution. The argument that market and technological solutions are better than these arbitrary government mandates (75% of 1990 emissions!...ok why?) is an easy one to make, but no one is making it.
When "An Inconvenient Truth" came out, the president of the company I worked for tried to mandate that we all sit and watch it.
Somehow I had an IT emergency come up... Convenient, no?
The arguments of the Church of Climate Change basically boil down to, "Look, Zog. Many numbers! Numbers *good*! Numbers *scientific*!" The idea that you can trace causal relations and make predictions by modeling a system as complex and chaotic as global climate is just plain silly. Who can say that we even know all the factors governing the system? If and only if 'climate scientists' can explain why the earth is as *cold* as it is, then I will accept the idea that our moving toward a climate more like that that obtained 2-1/2 million to 250 million years ago, where there were no polar ice caps, no Greenland-sized glaciers, no 200-plus degree Fahrenheit differences between the poles and the Equator, no places on earth where creatures like polar bears, emperor penguins, and musk oxen could survive at all, is all our fault.
They make it sound so simple:
1) Man causes global warming.
2) Warming is obviously harmful.
3) Government can stop it.
Each claim is dubious or wrong.
"Man, Stossel is a scientist, now. Like me" ~ Marco Rubio
I am creating $100 to $130 systematically by carrying down facebook. i used to be unemployed a pair of years earlier , but currently I actually have a very extraordinary occupation with that i build my very own specific pay .I am very appreciative to God and my director .If you wish to induce a good quantity of wage per month like ME , you'll check my details by clicking the link
>>>> http://www.JobBiz5.com
my neighbor's aunt gets 79 every hour at home, she has been fired from work for seven months, the previous month her profit was 13294 just working at home 2 hours each day, check ?? JOB START ONLINE????-
Being a simple man, I wonder about things in simple ways.
...From my perspective it appears that sea level rise is the most concerning of the predictions by AGW proponents. If that is a case, has anyone considered a mechanical solution to removing water from our planet? I know that sounds preposterous. Maybe it isn't?
...What if the concept of "space elevator" were adapted to remove water into low Earth orbit? I know, it's a long shot but...could there not be some kind of "space pipe" that could pump water into space? What's more, isn't vacuum on the other end, making the pumping issue more interesting?
...Yes, I know it is preposterous. But there might be more reasons to want to remove water than just climate change. Real estate could be another.
...Nothing wrong with ideas, right?
Would it not be cheaper and easier to do H2O sequestration in the Sahara?
Just a thought ...
Or start paying engineers, inventors & and scientists to come up with the real solutions: Weather control satellites & impenetrable bubble sheilds we can drop on the pollution vomiting factories in China.