Election 2014

Republican David Jolly Wins Special Election in Florida's CD13, Libertarian Covers Spread

David Jolly wins 48.43 to 46.55, Libertarian Lucas Overby took nearly 5 percent.


What's Happening Today, March 12:

Republican David Jolly won the special election in Florida's 13th congressional district yesterday. Unofficial results show Jolly taking 89,099 votes, or 48.43 percent, his Democratic opponent Alex Sink taking 85,652 votes, or 46.55 percent, and the Libertarian candidate Lucas Overby taking 8,893 votes, or 4.83 percent. The election was held to fill the seat previously held by Republican Bill Young, who died in October, during his 22nd term in Congress. Jolly once served as an aide to Young, and also worked as a lobbyist in Washington.

New Anaylsis:

In focusing on the election and candidates, the Washington Post described Libertarian Lucas Overby as someone who could end up "stealing voters" from the Democrat or Republican. Yet the Post admitted that Overby's "focused on attracting the type of voters who don't usually vote in a midterm." One percent of the district's voters are registered Libertarians and Overby won with nearly five percent of the vote, winning more votes than the difference between the winner and runner-up. Overby is a 27-year-old commercial diver.

NPR called the district "one of the few remaining competitive congressional districts," and offered that the election was being viewed by Democrats, and Republicans, as a proxy for Obamacare's roll-out. The NPR article, published before the election was held, pointed toward a steady, if slim, lead in the polls by the Democrat Alex Sink. Politico suggested the election was an important one for Democrats to win in order to show that contrary to popular belief, Democrats aren't destined to take losses in the November mid-terms.

At Slate, David Weigel writes that the election was the most important in America, last night. Democrats had begun to eye the district as a possible pick-up when the 82-year-old Bill Young announced he would be retiring at the end of his current term: Barack Obama won the district in 2008 and 2012, even though George W. Bush won it in the previous two elections.

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  1. “In focusing on the election and candidates, the Washington Post described Libertarian Lucas Overby as someone who could end up “stealing voters” from the Democrat or Republican. Yet the Post admitted that Overby’s “focused on attracting the type of voters who don’t usually vote in a midterm.”

    I would like to get more info. If indeed he was taking votes from both sides – he is clearly taking them from someone, I would like to see those %s. Nonetheless, a 27 yr old with no money, experience, and name recognition, winning 5% of the vote shows that his propositions are resonating. Good sign.

    1. It probably helped that he was actually included in the debates.

  2. Also notable, Obamacare will sink the dems in November – pun intended.

    1. What pun?

      The only wordplay visible in the artiicle or comments concerned an old guy named Young.

      1. I can’t tell if you’re serious. But the lady’s name is Alex Sink.

  3. So did Overby take (nay, steal) votes from the Dems or the GOP? That’s the important questions here. Because if they’re taking vote from GOP, then we have to stop the libertarian candidate if Rand Paul is nominated. Diminish their self esteem by not including them in debates.

    If they’re stealing votes from Dems, then GOP give them ambassador position, or other meaningless role that doesn’t affect policy but pays a lot of money. We’re not barbarians here, friends deserve rewards.

    Also, how much money did the Koch brothers spend on this special election? We all know about their subliminal TV messages.

  4. It wasn’t just Obama who carried the district; Sink herself carried the district in the 2010 gubernatorial election.

  5. Pretending the Libertarian didn’t take most of his votes from the Republicans is wishful thinking by some. What are the left’s “libertarian” stances? Drugs and gay marriage are not major issues in the Sunshine State. This was a BIG win for the Republicans who would’ve taken most of the Libertarian votes minus a strong Libertarian showing.

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