Super Tuesday Tip Sheet

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So ABC News has a "comprehensive guide" to today's contests.

Here's how they're calling the races:

Alaska: Went for Mitt Romney in 2008, should do same.

Georgia: Newt Gingrich's backyard and despite his being well-known there, he still maintains "a comfortable lead in the state going into Tuesday's contest."

Idaho: Big Mormon population should tip toward Romney but "Ron Paul's ability to draw out supporters in a caucus format cannot be underestimated."

Massachusetts: God, what a bunch of jerks live in that state—the only thing worse that Patriots fans are Bosox fans. "Mitt Romney is expected to carry the state he represented as governor." 

North Dakota: Paul pushing hard here but Romney won in 2008.

Ohio: Rick Santorum's last stand but he "faces a delegate disadvantage in the state however. Santorum failed to qualify for the ballot in three congressional districts; the 6th district, 9th and 13th. In spite of this, Santorum will actually be spending Tuesday night in Steubenville, Ohio, located in the 6th district."

Oklahoma: It's looking like Santo!

Tennessee: Mike Huckabee won in 2008, followed by John McCain. Worst part of the Volunteer State's indecision? It gives rise to journo-blather such as "Tennessee is another jewel that Santorum and Romney would love to add to their bounty of winnings." Mmm, yes, another jewel…

Vermont: Romney.

Virginia: Only Romney and Paul are on the ballot here and the question, says ABC, is whether Der Mittster can snag all the delegates or just a large number. "The portion of the state to watch is the southwestern area, around Roanoke, Blacksburg and Harrisburg," which means we'll find out who got what in a few weeks assuming the stagecoaches can get through the mountains.

Read more and watch annoying video featuring "Dianne and George—and the Powerhouse Political Team" at America's second-place broadcast news channel.

Elswhere, the LA Times tells the world that Mittmentum is here, baby, and that former Gov. Romney "seems to be riding into Super Tuesday with the 'Big Mo.'" Who writes this stuff? Can't we outsource news cliches already? But before you break out the sparkling cider, the LAT warns that 

In a hypothetical general election matchup, Obama leads Romney 50% to 44%, about even with the 49% to 43% advantage he had in January.

Romney also has a net-negative favorability rating, with 28% viewing him positively and 39% negatively. At the same point in 2008, John McCain's rating  was 47% positive, 27% negative.

NEXT: A. Barton Hinkle on the Blunt Amendment

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  1. Georgia: Newt Gingrich’s backyard and despite his being well-known there, he still maintains “a comfortable lead in the state going into Tuesday’s contest.”

    (Emphasis added)

    Win.

    1. Heh, yeah, I thought that was funny too.

    2. Yeah, I saw what Nick did there, but you posted first.

  2. Best results for continued muddle: Paul does extremely well in Alaska, Idaho, North Dakota, Vermont, and Virginia. Santorum wins Ohio, Oklahoma, and Tennessee. Gingrich wins huge in Georgia and comes in second in Tennessee. Romney under performs everywhere. If Paul could win just one state somehow, and Romney won five or less, that would be about as good as it could get.

  3. STEUBENVILLE!
    The ‘burb of the ‘Burgh.

    Yes, that is the lyric for the official Steubenville TV promotional rap.

    1. Such a shithole.

      1. The ‘burb of the ‘Burgh.
        The ‘burb of the ‘Burgh.

  4. God, what a bunch of jerks live in that state – the only thing worse tha[n] Patriots fans are Bosox fans.

    I love you.

    1. Yankees fans are the worst.

      1. Living outside NYC, my exposure to Boston fans is expat Massholes and bandwagoners just looking to hate on the locals (aka disgruntled Mets fans). Collectively that’s significantly worse than fans of the local teams.

        The Sox are historically chock full of players that I can’t stand. Youk, Papi, Pedroia, Varitek, Beckett, Millar, and Papelbon (and Manny, but I love Manny) have pissed and moaned over every little fucking thing for the past decade. Get over yourself and get back in the goddamn box already. Aside from Brady, the Pats at least tend to avoid this but since Brady is such a huge focus they’re more hateable than they probably should be.

        1. Whoa, whoa, whoa – Pedroia?! What games have you been watching?

  5. “God, what a bunch of jerks live in that state – the only thing worse that Patriots fans are Bosox fans.”

    Hey!

    1. They’re libertarians, of course they have a problem with winning.

      1. Winners like the New York Giants? I always thought they were in New Jersey.

        1. Winning means never having to have an accurate name.

          1. So I don’t know what the Jets’ excuse is.

    2. Yo, Nick: the Hoodie beats the Jacket. But love ya, anyway. Is this why you guys don’t come up here for book signings and parties?

      1. They did something at (I think) BU a few months ago, but they only announced it like 2 hours before.

  6. …seems to be riding into Super Tuesday with the ‘Big Mo.’

    If that’s what it takes Santorum doesn’t even want to win.

    1. You sure about that? His hate has to come from somewhere.

  7. what, bass duets?

  8. Pretty sure Virginia is winner take all if a candidate gets a majority, so Paul will get fewer delegates than if a third candidate qualified.

    1. It’s winner take all by district, but with only two people, yeah, he’s going to have a tough time getting 50% + 1 in any districts. Unless Santorum and Gingrich voters wise up and decide to vote against Romney.

  9. “The portion of the state to watch is the southwestern area, around Roanoke, Blacksburg and HarrisONburg,”

    1. Except Harrisonburg is not in the southwestern part of the state…

      1. Apparently anything on I-81 is considered southwestern, somehow.

        They could have said Bristol.

  10. “Ron Paul’s ability to draw out supporters in a caucus format cannot be underestimated.”

    Huh?

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