Cloud Behavior May Be Producing Negative Global Temperature Feedback
A new study in Geophysical Research Letters using satellite data suggests that clouds are becoming lower which has implications for global temperature trends. ScienceDaily reports:
Scientists at the University of Auckland in New Zealand analyzed the first 10 years of global cloud-top height measurements (from March 2000 to February 2010) from the Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) instrument on NASA's Terra spacecraft. The study, published recently in the journal Geophysical Research Letters, revealed an overall trend of decreasing cloud height. Global average cloud height declined by around one percent over the decade, or by around 100 to 130 feet (30 to 40 meters). Most of the reduction was due to fewer clouds occurring at very high altitudes.
Lead researcher Roger Davies said that while the record is too short to be definitive, it provides a hint that something quite important might be going on. Longer-term monitoring will be required to determine the significance of the observation for global temperatures.
A consistent reduction in cloud height would allow Earth to cool to space more efficiently, reducing the surface temperature of the planet and potentially slowing the effects of global warming. This may represent a "negative feedback" mechanism—a change caused by global warming that works to counteract it. "We don't know exactly what causes the cloud heights to lower," says Davies. "But it must be due to a change in the circulation patterns that give rise to cloud formation at high altitude."
NASA's Terra spacecraft is scheduled to continue gathering data through the remainder of this decade. Scientists will continue to monitor the MISR data closely to see if this trend continues.
I can't resist: The science is settled!
OK, that being said: The fact that cloud heights are dropping does suggest that adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere is having an effect on the parts of the climate system. However, I am curious if the computer climate models have taken this particular feedback (and its magnitude) into account? Will update when I find out.
Note: This is the sort of policy relevant study on which I do report.