Benchmarking the Convention Bounce

Here's a link to USA Today/CNN/Gallup Polls on the eve of the Democratic National Convention. The latest numbers, based on surveys conducted with likely voters and others over July 19-21, have Kerry/Edwards over Bush/Cheney by 2 percentage points, 49 percent to 47 percent. Forty-three percent of likely voters are "certain" they'll go for Kerry and 40 percent are sure to go for Bush.

Whole shebang here.

Comments

[Ironchef]

Convention hype aside, I only see the gap growing larger. Mainstream public opinion, (spurred on by the entertainment/celebrity crowd) is turning increasingly anti-Bush. Hate propoganda is no longer questioned: see hip-hop artist Jadakiss song "Why" for "Why did Bush knock down the Two Towers?". The Dixie Chicks said much less.

This mainstream attitude will only snowball as we get near the election.

[Lucas Wiman]

Umm, given that the margin of error is +/- 3%, there could be a Bush lead right now for all this poll says. I take it to mean that there is roughly a dead heat between the two candidates.

[Douglas Fletcher]

Ironchef, lighten up. The ingredient this week is Boston Baked Beans. Not much even you can do with it. Just hold your nose for a few days & open some windows to clear out the gas & you'll get through it fine.