Santorum the New Winner of the Iowa Caucuses

The Des Moines Register reported this morning that a new vote tally effectively eviscerated Mitt Romney’s narrow lead in the primary. It notes:

There are too many holes in the certified totals from the Iowa caucuses to know for certain who won, but Rick Santorum wound up with a 34-vote advantage.

Results from eight precincts are missing — any of which could hold an advantage for Mitt Romney — and will never be recovered and certified, Republican Party of Iowa officials said Wednesday.

GOP officials discovered inaccuracies in 131 precincts, although not all the changes affected the two leaders. Changes in one precinct alone shifted the vote by 50 — a margin greater than the certified tally.

The certified vote totals from Jan. 3 caucuses will be formally released by the Iowa Republican Party Thursday morning.

No doubt the punditocracy will declare the Iowa primary null and void now that the most establishment candidate did  not win.

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  • ||

    Santorum Tsumani Swamps Iowa! No film at 11!

  • Dan Savage||

    now we're getting down to the root in iowa !

  • Epi||

    Voting is merely participating in a rigged, bullshit game where you have no statistical effect but when you participate you give it legitimacy. Fuck that.

  • SIV||

    Rick Santorum: 29,839
    Mitt Romney: 29,805
    Ron Paul: 26,036
    Newt Gingrich: 16,163
    Rick Perry: 12,557
    Michele Bachmann: 6,046
    Jon Huntsman: 739
    Others: No preference, 147; Herman Cain, 45; Sarah Palin, 23; Buddy Roemer, 17; Fred Karger, 10; Gary Johnson, 8; Donald Trump, 5; Paul Ryan, 3; Condoleeza Rice, 2; Roy Moore, 2; Ben Lange, 2; Mike Huckabee, 2; Rudy Giuliani, 2; Tim Pawlenty, 2; Scott Walker, 1; John McCain, 1; Ralph Nader, 1; Pat Buchanan, 1; Robert D. Ray, 1; Jared Blankenship, 1.

    GARY JOHNSON LOSES TO FRED KARGER: EDGES OUT TRUMP

  • The Ghost of Muammar Gaddafi||

    Condoleeza Rice, 2

    I'd like to think I had something to do with that.

  • o3||

    +69!

  • Live Free or Diet||

    Others: No Preference, 147

    One hundred forty seven people took the time and effort to go vote in a primary and yet didn't bother to express a preference?

    NO COMMENT, DAMNIT, AND YOU CAN QUOTE ME ON THAT!

  • annonymous commenter some guy||

    IOWA CAUCUSES: MAJORITY OF CANDIDATES LOSE TO "NO PREFERENCE"

  • Bill||

    Wow, that makes nearly 60,000 idiots when you add the Santorum and Romney votes.

    Sadly, when you add together Perry, Bachman, Newt, and Santorum you get more than 50% of the votes.

  • Suki||

    Morning links at 9:13AM.

  • Suki||

    -11

  • Fist of Etiquette||

    Congratulations, Iowa. Your irrelevance has been certified.

  • ||

    Why do we care about this joke vote in Iowa every four years? They can't even count.

  • robc||

    I think most evidence suggests Paul won* Iowa, as I believe he has the most number of county delegates.

    *okay, leads, as we wont know who won until June, when they select national delegates

  • robc||

    Far too much reporting on the straw poll results and not enough on the caucus results.

  • Bee Tagger||

    Far too little concern about the media's precious but quite fragile narrative from robc.

  • ||

    Indeed.

  • ||

    "Who won" is irrelevant anyway, since the real point of the caucus is electing delegates. The vote that they're talking about is "beauty contest" only, has *nothing* to do with the delegate count.

    Just shows how obsessed people are with FPTP, that they care about it even in an explicitly proportional representation situation.

  • ||

    This is silly.

    They should just ask Governor Braindead who won. His vote is the only meaningful one.

  • Bee Tagger||

    Iowa is now known as the state that prefers Santorum as president and the state that let Field of Dreams be filmed there?

    Safe to say they won't be having Matt Welch as a tourist any time soon.

  • Keystone aint dead !||

    The Keystone XL project is far from resolved, as TransCanada is allowed to resubmit its permitting application, which the company says it will have ready by September or October.

    Following Obama’s decision, the company announced it will work with the Nebraska Department of Environmental Quality to determine a possible new route to avoid running the pipeline over portions of the Ogallala Aquifer, a major source of fresh water for drinking and agriculture that runs under several states in the US heartland.

    Last year, Nebraska Gov. Dave Heineman, a Republican, asked Obama to block the pipeline as outlined in its current proposal, but said he would support the project if a new route were developed to avoid such sensitive agricultural terrain.

    Russ Girling, president and chief executive officer of TransCanada, said in a statement that while he disappointed with the decision, he expects the pipeline to start operations in 2014.
    http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/P.....y-deadline

  • DJF||

    """"Results from eight precincts are missing — any of which could hold an advantage for Mitt Romney — and will never be recovered and certified"

    Once again showing the incompetence of politicians in that they can't even run a election without screwing it up. If a person or a company can’t give out accurate figures on how many widgets they made they get thrown in jail for fraud yet politicians can’t even count votes accurately and they wan to run the world.

  • ||

    And how does this even possibly happen that the votes from 8 precincts are missing? How is this in any way acceptable? How is it not criminal?

  • DJF||

    Because they police themselves.

  • robc||

    Becuase it was a straw poll, so who gives a fuck?

    As long as the county delegate selection wasnt lost, everything is kosher.

  • Zeb||

    It's a caucus, not an election. It is acceptable because it really doesn't matter at all. These votes are meaningless.

  • annonymous commenter some guy||

    Has anyone ever done a comprehensive study on the accuracy of vote tallies?

    Many elections look like they are within the margin of error (2000 presidential comes to mind), yet politicians and the media refuse to acknowledge that such a thing exists...

  • robc||

    Ive suggested a six-sigma approach to vote tallying.

  • Zeb||

    They have to pretend that every vote counts and come up with an actual number.

    The census woudl be a lot more accurate too if they used statistical methods rather than a direct count.

  • ||

    And yet our "progressive" posters think I'm being totally unreasonable when I say that I don't want these incompetent asswipes making my health care decisions for me.

  • ||

    But think of what this will do to poor Mittens! There may be tears. (Well, I hope so anyway because that would be funny.)

  • 0x90||

    Democracy: having your future determined by the shifting whims of statistically-insignificant numbers of your fellows.

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