Brian Doherty | May 11, 2009
Some more reasons why severe restrictions on gun rights from the federal government are unlikely if the Democrats are concerned with their political future, from Washington pundit Michael Barone:
On guns, Gallup has been testing opinion for many years on one extreme proposal that is the goal, usually unstated, of many gun control advocates: banning the possession of handguns. Support was 60 percent in 1960 and 49 percent in 1965. It was as high as 43 percent in the early 1990s, before the Clinton Congress passed the so-called assault weapon ban. In March 2007 it had fallen to 29 percent — a minority, almost a fringe position. In the early 1990s Gallup found that Americans by a 2-1 margin favored stricter gun sale laws over less strict ones or keeping them the same. By fall 2008 they were evenly split.
Some of these shifts in opinion may be responses to events that liberal elites have not deigned to notice. Forty of the 50 states now have concealed weapons laws that allow law-abiding citizens to get permits to carry guns. Gun controllers predicted these would result in traffic shootouts and general mayhem. They haven’t. It turns out that criminals are deterred from attacks less by gun control laws than by the possibility that their intended victims may be armed.
I wondered back in January if Obama and the Democratic Congress were going to shoot themselves in the foot on the gun issue. And for all you ever wanted to know about gun control, see my new book Gun Control on Trial.
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Several have said that the reason the Democrats lost Congress
was because of the assault weapon ban, a ban that did nothing to
reduce crime. I think they're right too. Now, they have Congress
back. If they have half a brain (and I'm not betting on that one),
they won't even think about going after guns in any real way.
Of course, HB 45 is a pretty real way...provided it makes it out of
committee.
Which is more likely to be put forward by Our Masters in
DC:
(1) A significant increase in gun control; or
(2) A significant decrease in the WOD?
Embracing the social cons is the extra crispy fried stupid of the Republicans. Gun control is the extra crispy fried stupid Colonel's special recipe of the Dems. Go for it, morons, and lose your majority.
Of course Team D will try to ban more guns. They can't help
themselves.
Nah. Just the California delegation, from whom no good has ever
come.
I'm not really afraid of more gun control. It might happen, but
I think it's on it's way out.
The thing is, I understand why people gun control seriously as a
debate. I don't understand why people don't just laugh at social
conservative issues.
Gun controllers predicted these would result in traffic shootouts and general mayhem.
Stupid Leftoids! California didn't relax their laws.
I don't understand why people don't just laugh at social
conservative issues.
CUZ TEH GEYS R TAKIN AR MARRIGE AWAY
CUZ TEH GEYS R TAKIN AR MARRIGE AWAY
But I'm not gay and I want to take marriage away. I LAUGH at the
social conservatives. Hum, okay, I laugh but I am not gay about
it.
I wish they would get rid of the federal ban on the M72 LAW. Only then with America be free.
It is funny how everyone associates gay marriage with social cons and no one else. The large majority of blacks and hispanics object to gay marriage. The majority of people in this country object to gay marriage.
John, the dirty little secret is that blacks and hispanics are
socially quite conservative.
The popular image of social cons as fat, sweaty lily white
Southerners is, shall we say, less than accurate.
Elites like gun control because gun control originates from a
elitist view of society.
Gun control is really people control. It seeks to control people's
access to guns. The only reason for doing that is if you think
those people are to stupid and irresponsible to use guns
responsibly. The elitist thinks of themselves as a superior human
being so the disdainful vision of their citizens required for a
person to support gun control comes to them naturally.
Once orignary citizens figure out that the people who elites think
to stupid to own guns is in fact the ordinary law abiding citizen,
they tell the elites to go %$#@!-themselves.
"Can we at least change that image to sweaty lily white southern
belles?"
Southern bells don't sully themselves with things political.
Oh, and hourses sweat, men perspire. Women, just a rosey glow.
The large majority of blacks and hispanics object to gay
marriage.
Apparently not enough to convince the democratic party that its a
losing issue. Just accept it John, they'll be able to file taxes
jointly no matter how much jesus cries.
Forty of the 50 states now have concealed weapons laws that allow law-abiding citizens to get permits to carry guns. Gun controllers predicted these would result in traffic shootouts and general mayhem. They haven't. It turns out that criminals are deterred from attacks less by gun control laws than by the possibility that their intended victims may be armed.
Check out this Right to Carry States
Map from 1986 onward from Wilipedia. Watch it for a little bit
rather than just glance, its changes illustrate the point Brian
Doherty is making very well.
In the interest of seeing where things are going in the future,
I'd be interested to see what the age breakdown is on these
statistics.
Younger people tend to break "left" (i.e. toward the Democrats) on
most issues, which bodes poorly for gun rights.
On the other hand, younger people tend to have a more libertarian
streak than older ones, which is a good sign.
More practically, younger people today don't remember (or only
dimly so) the crime and urban decay of the 1970's and 1980's.
On the one hand, that might make arguments of gun ownership
inevitably leading to the wild west, blood flowing in the streets
less believable to younger people (who have grown up in an era of
widespread gun ownership, including the proliferation of concealed
and open carry laws, and dropping crime rates).
On the other hand, they might also be less likely to buy the
argument that firearms are important for self-defense against the
crooks (who probably will never show up anyway).
On the third hand, they also do not remember that gun control was
essentially ineffective in stopping the crime and decay of the
1970's and 1980's, so they might be more willing to repeat that
'experiment' not being aware that it was already tried, and already
failed.
Younger people tend to break "left" (i.e. toward the
Democrats) on most issues
I am so sick of hearing this talking point. "Young People" have
always tended to break left. And then they get married, have kids,
buy a house, etc and their view mature and change. Some remain on
the left, and other move right.
I mean, how old is that quote that is always misattributed to
Churchill?
"If you're twenty and not a liberal you have no heart. If you're
forty and not a conservative you have no brain."
If you're any age and a right-wing libertarian, your head is so far up your ass that your brain is touching your heart
Forty of the 50 states now have concealed weapons laws that
allow law-abiding citizens to get permits to carry guns.
Actually it's 39. Vermont has no concealed handgun permit, and no
law against carrying.
Gun controllers predicted these would result in traffic
shootouts and general mayhem.
They also predicted that airline pilots who carried would flip out
and shoot unruly passengers, that the end of the "assault weapon"
ban would see bodies stacked like cordwood, that allowing off-duty
cops to carry would cost cities billions in liability, and that .50
caliber rifles would shoot down airliners.
Batting average: .000
Some of these shifts in opinion may be responses to events that
liberal elites have not deigned to notice.
Like D.C. v Heller? A lot of folks who used to answer surveys
favoring "reasonable gun control" got to see the Brady folks call
D.C.s law "reasonable." No handguns, banned long guns, the long
guns you are allowed have to be unloaded/disassembled/ locked up,
loading your shotgun is illegal even if someone is breaking down
your door. "Reasonable gun control" isn't quite as shiny as it used
to be.
Another one you don't hear is that according to the
National Sporting Goods Association consumer spending on
shooting sports overtook former second place golf in 2006, coming
in second only to exercise equipment. Note that 2006 was before
Obama was on the horizon.
OTOH the Hawaii Senate is working on Senate
Bill 126: Dangerous Weapons; Pocket Knives; Sale
"Any person who knowingly manufactures, sells, transfers,
possesses, or transports a pocket knife in the State shall be
guilty of a misdemeanor." A pocket knife is "a knife with a blade
that folds into the handle and which is suitable for carrying in
the pocket." Blade length doesn't seem to matter.
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