Last week John McCain compared Barack Obama to William Jennings Bryan. This week:
"You know one of his favorite phrases is that I would be a Bush third term. Well I think maybe his proposals could be Carter second term," McCain told Fox.
If we assume that McCain is being clever, it's a nice stilleto stab at Obama's relative weakness with Jewish voters. Jimmy Carter's been working these last 4 years (and arguably longer) to become a Goldstein figure to AIPAC-style Jewish voters, with the publication of Peace Not Apartheid, with his meetings with Hamas, and with slashing rhetoric about the Zionist state.
But if we don't assume that, what is McCain trying to do? The Obama-Carter comparison has been bubbling up on the right, sometimes to talk about Obama's personality, sometimes to talk about the political coalition he could build (for the right) if he failed like Carter, sometimes to talk about energy. But the salience to voters... well, is there any? Reagan defeated Carter when Barack Obama was 19 years old. The Carter presidency predates MS-DOS, VHS tapes, and Cabbage Patch kids. When the Simpsons joked that Carter was "history's greatest monster" back in 1993, and the people of Springfield tore down his statue, it was already ironic.
On second thought, this is an even worse argument for McCain than I thought: He's not rebutting the idea that he's going to continue unpopular Bush policies. It's almost as if the McCain campaign is an echo chamber of well-heeled Republican consultants with very few new ideas. I know, it sounds ridiculous.
UPDATE: To respond to the comments... of course McCain is trying
to link Obama to bad memories of the Carter years. The problem is
that Carter, like every ex-president, has improved his image over
time, and the historical revisionism about his term has been going
on for about a decade now. Yes, there are voters who remember every
painful second of the Carter years and became staunch Alex
Keaton-ish Republicans because of it. But stack them next to the
100 percent of the electorate that's living through the Bush II
years. One argument connects with political junkies and voters who
remember their history, and one argument connects with everybody.
(The Carter revisionism has certainly been sped along by Bush's
failures. It's harder to keep raging about the gas shortage when,
in the here and now, you're paying $4 a gallon for gas.)
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Dave W.|6.10.08 @ 9:09AM|#
Another great Weigel post and vid link.
Quibble dep't: Last paragraph should have been left on cutting room floor. No need to state the obvious.
robc|6.10.08 @ 9:18AM|#
Its the economy, stupid.
Thats what the comparison to Carter means - "If Obama is elected we will have double digit inflation and unemployment".
It has nothing to do with personality, political coalitions or energy. Dave, did you live thru the Carter years?
|6.10.08 @ 9:20AM|#
"Malaise Forever"
|6.10.08 @ 9:22AM|#
It's such an obvious reference to the perceived(*) failure of Carter's policies to address the economic issues of the late 70's that I'm frankly flabbergasted that Weigel doesn't mention this.
(*) Perceived because many historical observers blame late 70's malaise on monetary policy far more than Carter's policies.
EDIT: robc beat me to it.
|6.10.08 @ 9:22AM|#
Dave should do like I did, and ask his parents about the Carter years.
S Dowell|6.10.08 @ 9:24AM|#
I was wondering when McCain folk were going to get around to the "Carter Second Term" in referencing Obama. It seemed like the very obvious retort. Too bad the McCain camp's idea of a timeframe for a comeback to anything Obama says, is two months after the initial retort.
McCain is still going to lose the election (even as we still lose as libertarians with either a McCain OR an Obama-nable presidency).
BakedPenguin|6.10.08 @ 9:26AM|#
I think the Carter reference was also meant to remind people of our relation with Iran at the time.
tarran|6.10.08 @ 9:29AM|#
Sigh
You know Carter gets a lot of crap for the economic fallout of the JFK, LBJ, RMN trifecta of inflation and in the case of Nixon price controls.
Carter wasn't a great president. He is a liar and a hypocrite. However, McCain would do well not to remind people of the 70's - McCain shares Nixon's contempt for matters economic and is likely do make the same boneheaded mistakes that produced double digit inflation and shortages in the mid to late 70's.
Speaking for myself, I am not looking forward to the coming months: my extended family will probably spend hours debating McCain vs. Obama as if it really matters. To me, the whole exercise is a waste of time; no matter who wins the election we're still really fucked.
|6.10.08 @ 9:33AM|#
I also don't think there's a lot of lingering animosity from the Clinton years. So you have to go back to Carter to invoke a strong negative image of a Democratic President.
And as Dave makes apparent, there's a good portion of the electorate which doesn't have a strong recollection of the Carter years. Thus, again, McCain shows his advanced age.
Thesheriff\'sanig*|6.10.08 @ 9:34AM|#
THE MAJIC NEGRO WILL FORGIVE YOUR MANY,MANY,MANY SINS, YOU DIRTY, DIRTY, DIRTY BOY
Mark|6.10.08 @ 9:36AM|#
Can't you just be happy there's a guy running who wants to get out of Iraq, restore habeas corpus, and could actually balance the budget? Someone who is smart enough to know a gas tax holiday is a dumb idea and has enough spine to say so?
|6.10.08 @ 9:37AM|#
If we assume that McCain is being clever
John McCain is a man of many virtues. Were I to begin listing them in order, it might take me some time to get to "clever."
I don't think digging around for subtle meanings in John McCain's statetments is terribly worthwhile. He's a pretty straightforward guy.
|6.10.08 @ 9:39AM|#
Is there any truth to the percepion that Carter was such a decent and good man that he was powerless. That he couldn't/wouldn't play "the game" in Washington and therefore was completely innefective?
Yes, I am serious in my ignorance.
Snappy vid btw. The autoharp thru a tubescreamer into a Dumble would have been keen
tarran|6.10.08 @ 9:39AM|#
So basically he's trying to find the last Democrat president who has a low popularity rating and has to go back a quarter century to do it. Seems reasonable.
God, we are so fucked.
First Little Pig|6.10.08 @ 9:42AM|#
I am in my 40's and while I certainly "get" the message I can't imagine that it will have all that much impact on anyone under 50 and for the under 40-crowd it will only resonate with those raised in Carter-loathing-Republican households in which the kids took what their parents told them to heart. And these people were already going to vote for McCain.
robc|6.10.08 @ 9:47AM|#
And these people were already going to vote for McCain.
Some of us are voting for Barr. Of course, my mom was a Carter-loathing-Democrat so I was raised in a mixed Carter-loathing household. I also was 7 when Carter came into office, so I was old enough to loath him on my own.
Dave W.|6.10.08 @ 9:48AM|#
Is there any truth to the percepion that Carter was such a decent and good man that he was powerless. That he couldn't/wouldn't play "the game" in Washington and therefore was completely innefective?
Yes, I am serious in my ignorance.
I second Brotherben's question (although this board probably isn't the best place to get a fair answer).
And these people were already going to vote for McCain.
I think the idea is that they need these people amped up enough to get to the polls.
jp|6.10.08 @ 9:49AM|#
Who's this Alex Keaton person?
I kid, I kid.
|6.10.08 @ 9:49AM|#
Yes, there are voters who remember every painful second of the Carter years and became staunch Alex Keaton-ish Republicans because of it. But stack them next to the 100 percent of the electorate that's living through the Bush II years.
Let's not forget that John McCain is really, really, really effing old.
robc, a "Carter-hating Democrat?" You mean, a Teddy voter?
|6.10.08 @ 9:53AM|#
OMG, Reason knows that AIPAC exists! I thought otherwise, given the stunning silence on last week's confab. Couldn't you guys get AIPAC to sponsor Moynihan to go cover it?
|6.10.08 @ 9:54AM|#
Like crazy old.
|6.10.08 @ 9:55AM|#
Jimmy Carter appointed both Paul Volker and Alfred Kahn.
McCain's gas tax gimmick makes me think he would be willing to bring back price controls; tell me how Carter 2 would be worse than Nixon 1.7.
BakedPenguin|6.10.08 @ 10:00AM|#
Who's this Alex Keaton person?
He was a banker who was friends with McCain and then invested millions in junk bonds. Also, he hated Woody Harrelson.
jkp|6.10.08 @ 10:04AM|#
Carter has improved his image? In what universe?
robc|6.10.08 @ 10:04AM|#
joe,
I guarantee she didnt vote for Kennedy. Probably voted for Carter in the primary, anyway. I know she voted for Reagan once and regrets it.
She voted for Clinton a few weeks back and is now shopping 3rd party candidates. She will probably vote Barr, but isnt a fan of his.
If the GOP had been smart and chosen Paul, she would be voting GOP for prez for the first time since that Reagan vote.
PC|6.10.08 @ 10:04AM|#
Bush and Carter?
I have always found Teddy Roosevelt and Woodrow Wilson to be closer comparisons for McDole and Obama.
McCain is like Teddy Roosevelt with nukes, a larger army, and advisers who embrace empire very much.
Obama, at least it is my suspicion will be like Woodrow Wilson, raping us domestically with laws and regulations and raping us again with numerous foreign interventions though not as suicidal as McCain would be with choosing interventions.
robc|6.10.08 @ 10:05AM|#
Alex P. Keaton would have never been in favor of stem-cell research.
|6.10.08 @ 10:05AM|#
Its the economy, stupid.
I swear to Christ, we need to find whoever coined this and tattoo "I am a consescending fuck" across his forehead.
Dave W.|6.10.08 @ 10:05AM|#
Quick plug 4 my band:
No, I don't recollect no JFK
But I remember Jimmy Carter and he was okay
He had the Gary Sandy hair
He had a disarming way
Like Japan's Prime Minister, Junichiro Koizumi
[long passage on Japanese politics circa 2002)
Cuz its hard to week tears for JFK
Only meeting the cat yesterday
Shaky in the grains of the siver halide display
Set into the gelatin by Zapruder's Super 8
That song is on the If Not Why Not? album and can be downloaded (fee) via my sig link).
robc|6.10.08 @ 10:06AM|#
Shem,
I agree. I felt dirty using it.
|6.10.08 @ 10:08AM|#
If Obama wants the troops out of Iraq, it's only because he wants to send them to Africa.
|6.10.08 @ 10:09AM|#
McCain is like Teddy Roosevelt with nukes, a larger army, and advisers who embrace empire very much.
So, not really Teddy Roosevelt at all, then? Add all that stuff and all you have left is Teddy's badassery. Hanoi Hilton notwithstanding, McCain is nowhere near badass enough to take a bullet from a would-be assassin and keep speaking for 15 minutes.
|6.10.08 @ 10:10AM|#
I swear to Christ, we need to find whoever coined this and tattoo "I am a consescending fuck" across his forehead.
Is it some sort of mystery that it reply to this