David Weigel | April 16, 2008
Remember the first Clinton-Obama one-on-one debate in California? Remember how excited Democrats were about their historic choice between their first female nominee or their first black nominee, either one a shoe-in to lead them back into a glorious era of power and judicial appointments?
That was two-and-a-half months ago.
At 8 p.m. ET, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will lock horns and try to destroy each other as viable national candidates. Feed your liveblogging lust at The Corner, or The American Spectator blog.
8:04: Opening statements. Clinton claims the founding fathers would have wanted a black guy and a woman to take over and "provide the good jobs" some day. I hear the sound of Ron Paul's bullet-holed TV exploding.
8:07: But ABC is introducing each segment with quotes from the Constitution! The candidates take notes on which bits they'll disobey.
8:08: Gibson tells Obama and Clinton to suck it up and choose one another as running mates. God, they hate each other almost as much as people hate them.
8:09: "If it worked in colonial times"? Does Gibson really pine for the harmonious polity of the Adams-Jefferson administration?
8:11: Hillary Clinton gets a weird satisfaction from "holding the hands" of women she let down.
8:12: Obama, contrite: "I think there's no doubt that I can see how people were offended." His heralded comments are slowwwly unpacked and distorted for public consumption.
8:14: "I am the granddaughter of a factory worker from Scranton." Obama insulted her father! I... don't think she's making the most of this, but maybe she's learned that packaged one-liners don't work.
8:17: Clinton punts on the opportunity to call Obama unelectable: It'll be left to the HuffPost comment sections, then.
8:18: Clinton: I can win because people started hating me 16 years ago, not just this week.
8:19: Half a point for Obama for saying "there are sportsmen in my state who support me" rather than claiming (like, uh, some candidates) that he shot a bear that was trying to kill the Pope.
8:22: More weird mush from Clinton: "I'm giving people the feeling they can empower themselves."
8:23: Yes, all of these Obama stories broke in the last month. It's sort of miraculous that he's still winning.
8:24: "There is anger in the black community, where it gets expressed in the barbershop or the church." Cue 67 reporters sprinting to Obama's barbershop to look for anti-Semitism.
8:26: "9/11, which happened in my city of New York"... which she says as ads in Pennsylvania paint her as a rough-hewn daughter of Scranton.
8:28: "The church is a community that extends beyond the pastor," says Obama's focus group, which has miraculously taken control of his larynx.
8:29: I think it'll be harder for Clinton to whine that she's getting the hard first questions this time.
8:30: Are we actually going to debate whether Obama's pastor is patriotic enough for one of his parishioners to be president?
8:32: Clinton isn't nearly adroit enough to talk about "bringing people together" and bite Obama's kneecaps in the same sentence.
8:35: Both candidates are trying to talk past the media, painting them as villains trying to distract the voters by how awesome Obama and Clinton are. Gibson and Stephanopolous are making their jobs easier.
8:38: Instead of actually blogging about this idiotic question,
I give you John Prine.
8:42: Shorter Obama: "Fuck you, George."
8:45: I'll be honest: When Obama counterpunched on Ayers and pointed out that Clinton's husband pardoned two members of the Weather Underground, I smiled. She deserved all that and a kick in the teeth.
8:52: What the hell is this question about Iraq doing here? I want to know what angle Barack Obama salutes at!
8:54: Clinton's Iraq solutions... basically the Bush position, plus more ire at Iraqi leaders and "diplomacy." I'm optimistic!
8:56: Obama's position: Telling generals to get ready to leave.
8:59: Should it be U.S. policy to treat an attack on Israel as an attack on the United States? That's sort of a rhetorical question, isn't it?
9:01: Clinton wants an "umbrella of influence" that extends beyond Israel, and would warn Iran that an attack on even more countries would invite destruction.
9:03: I'm either missing something or this is just the Bush Doctrine with fuzzier adjectives.
9:04: Clinton won't raise any taxes on anyone making less than $250,000? That's a hell of a pledge. She's hoping nobody holds her to this.
9:06: Well, Stephanopolous did.
9:09: Why does Obama want to raise taxes if the capital gains tax cut increased revenue? "Fairness."
9:11: Gibson gives him a chance to wiggle away from "taxes all the time, even if they don't work!" Obama hardly move on it. A new capital gains cut "might or might not" increase revenue.
9:12: "I don't want to take one more penny of tax money away from anybody." Some people wonder why she has a credibility problem.
9:24: Guns! Clinton will respect the Second Amendment by hiring more cops and bringing back the assault weapons ban.
9:27: Obama gets asked about Heller... and he "hasn't read the briefs," but "Just because you have an individual right doesn't mean the state or local government can't constrain that right." Oy.
9:32: Obama's not as good tonight at ignoring the questions and pivoting to stuff he wants to discuss.
9:35: Whereas Hillary answers an affirmative action question by talking about early childhood education. "Let's affirmatively invest in our young people!"
9:37: The gas tax moratorium? Really? Really? ... Really? Funding the highway trust fund with a tax on oil companies. They are opening Milton Friedman's grave and pissing on his corpse.
9:46: Who wants to bet the last question will be stupid?
9:47: This is not what Clinton will tell superdelegates, unless by "the White House needs a fighter" she means "the black dude who says 'you know' a lot can't win!" It's good for Obama when she gets these first, though: She's better at distorting the question and flattening his playing field.
9:49: Obama will also repeat his talking points to superdelegates! The odds, they are astounding.
WRAPUP: I don't think the 40-minute early Obama pile-on was bad for him. I think the following round, where he seemed rattled and reliant on his script, was bad for him. To believe it's worth junking the Clintons and giving him the nomination, a Democrat needs to think Obama is at least as resilient as Hillary. And he can take the attacks, but he can't get past them.
Clinton's game hasn't changed since February: It's to win enough delegates to close the gap before the convention, then convince superdelegates that Obama is unelectable. She utilized and validated a boatload of Republican attacks on Obama (Ben Smith noticed that she mentioned 9/11 three times while attacking him). She's watched with obvious surprise as Obama survived every attack, as Democrats cling tighter to him. So she's trying to convince them that Republicans will be more successful than her. It's all very meta and I'm unsure if it'll work.
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This might be fun.....
Hillary is sinking. Her only shot is a knockout left-hook out of
nowhere.
Obama should deflect that and later take out the dying Bush
sycophant.
My bet is placed.
I'll be shocked on several levels if they take more than a few
glancing "nice to know you're awake" shots at each other.
Seriously, modern debates are like scripted tandem press
conferences.
Predictions:
Clinton will sound confident, but slightly mean.
Obama will sound chill, but slightly vague.
I can be a talking head, too!
This is going to be like watching a car crash.
And like a car crash, I'll be watching with a sick sense of
excitement.
At 8 p.m. ET, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will lock horns...
At first I read that as lockhorns. Like the comic strip about the
married couple that hate each other.
Which lead to a mental image of a cartoon Obama and Clinton arguing
over something or other.
It could be funny.
Isn't it kind of a conflict of interest for George Snuffleupagus to be doing a debate with Clinton?
And the "Boss" has endorsed Obama..
Springsteen is the epitome of the working class ethic - the
mechanic or the factory man.
Where McCain has John Hagee and the Christ-Nut types... the
aborto-freaks.
But the Pope is here, dammit. The pedophile vote is vague but
steady!
Is Charlie Gibson really citing a part of the constitution that has been invalid for more than 200 years?
Is Charlie Gibson really citing a part of the constitution
that has been invalid for more than 200 years?
Yeah, he probably should have been clearer that was changed. Kind
of sad the only specific reference to the Constitution after 500
debates was taken out of context.
Yes, John, he is. I wanted one of them to whip out the 12th amendment, and say "hey! John Admas tried it that way, and it really sucked! That's why we changed it!"
8:17 That was a very, ridiculously roundabout way of saying "Yes. I think Obama can beat McCain."
Why does this debate have the feel of a debate for Governor or Senate? The candidate, the moderators and the audience just seem out of it.
Hillary really soft-pedaled "Bittergate." She addressed it -
that's what the question was about, after all - but she used a
light touch, and used the opportunity to sell herself, rather than
pile on him.
I think she can read polls. I think she's figured out that it's
very easy for her to provoke a backlash when she goes negative.
Is Charlie Gibson really citing a part of the constitution that
has been invalid for more than 200 years?
And didn't apply to party primaries?
Are they TRYING to make the country stupider?
joe-
Hillary could tack toward an incessant pummeling of Obama - hoping
he won't respond due to his "politics of hope" and thus making him
look weak and defenseless.
If I were her adviser that would be the game plan.
Hillary made a surprisingly strong statement against
Wright.
She basically accused Obama of thinking the same things Wright
said. Good move politically, but that was really sleazy and
low.
I don't have a dog in this fight, but this has been 30 minutes of Obama-bashing. ABC really sucks.
Not able to see it (apparantly the ABC affiliate here decided to go tape-delay to keep it in prime time) but I am disappointed with Gibson based on what I'm reading here. In the previous rounds, he was far and away the best moderator by avoiding inane questions and/or loaded premises, unlike Russert, Blitzer, and Cooper.
I love how this is a question about Jeremiah Wright's
patriotism.
This is Jeremiah Wright the highly-decorated war
hero...
Ooh, let's move on to sniper fire!
------------
Fuck all, where's the policy?
These questions suck.
Wright? Tuzla?
The hell.
In other news, I just discovered I can create weird symbols with my
alt key.
∫©√ƒ∂ƒ≈ß´®
Kolohe-
I lived in Woodland Hills and Monday Night Football on ABC was
never tape delayed.
So, that bullshit about network news being more legit than cable news is exactly that, eh? BULLSHIT
The overkill on bullshit issues in this debate really makes Obama look good.
The overkill on bullshit issues in this debate really makes
Obama look good.
No it doesn't. Rural hick voters believe this stupid stuff.
Oops, was that elitist?
I just got to watching this debate. So far they have asked Rev Wright, Hillary fibbing about her Bosnia anecdote, and flag lapel pins. These jackasses whining about flag lapel pins make me never want to wear one because I don't want to turn into an ignorant jackass like them. Or maybe instead of wearing one on my lapel, I'll just wear one on my sleeve.
shrike-
they used to tape delay most weekday sporting events in Honolulu
(MNF, World Series, etc), but seem to have stopped about 7 or so
years ago.
However, other 'feature' programming is hit or miss on whether it's
shown live or not. And you really need to avoid the internet if you
don't want spoilers to 'a season finale everyone will be taking
about.'
So, that bullshit about network news being more legit than
cable news is exactly that, eh? BULLSHIT
Um, if this were on FOX news, there would be just as little
substance, but there instead of crap questions they would just be
hitting them with bamboo sticks.
This is awful.
I've been bitching about the CNN debates all season, but this just
might be worse.
Adamness -
I can't believe the disrespect you have for hardworking Americans!
I am SHOCKED, sir. SHOCKED!
OK, ad break.
Maybe that was the "get the idiotic shit out of the way" segment of
the evening.
I can't believe the disrespect you have for hardworking
Americans! I am SHOCKED, sir. SHOCKED!
I'm not running for president, so I can talk shit about the stupid
hicks who believe Obama is a Muslim and hates America.
And fuck the pope too. He should go back to the Vatican and jerk
off little boys. I've been waiting all day to say that.
Oops, was that elitist?
This debate is awful.
Kolohe - (now I see the Hawaii in your name)
Happy hour Monday Night Football in SoCal at 6pm pst LIVE was a
joy. It left plenty of time to recover for Tuesday.
Hawaii - now that would be odd live.
"The overkill on bullshit issues in this debate really makes
Obama look good."
"No it doesn't. Rural hick voters echo chamber media
insiders believe this stupid stuff."
If you can vote, you're generally no longer in middle school. And
if your *really* a rural hick, you never went in the first
place.
"I'm not running for president, so I can talk shit about the
stupid hicks who believe Obama is a Muslim and hates America.
And fuck the pope too. He should go back to the Vatican and jerk
off little boys. I've been waiting all day to say that.
Oops, was that elitist?"
I love it - Big A.
I even plagiarized it.
Why is Stephalufagous allowed to question at the debate? That
seems like a conflict of interest even though I am not sure which
way it tilts. What focus groups does the guy do well with anyway?
Everytime I see him I am reminded of Tommy Boy:
"you're a smug, unhappy little man and you treat people like they
were idiots."
I have to wonder if Democrats are actually enjoying this... show... whatever you want to call it.
I'm going to punch the next person who uses the phrase "on
the ground"
The people on the ground are hoping for a change, my friend.
shrike-
Spending every monday afternoon at hooters starting at three is
more american than you mainland elitists can handle :).
Now guam, where the game starts at 11:00 am Tuesday morning, that's
weird. (During the NBA playoffs, you can see the ESPN games live,
but they would show the *previous weeks* game on ABC - to keep
Wednesday's game on Wednesday. So you could see the Spurs play two
different teams at once - one of which had already been eliminated.
All the network programming was also a week late, so you be a week
behind on Lost, etc.)
Obama needs to pick up the tempo. That's all.
Project confidence (not that Hillary has).
Perception is reality.
You can't go wrong protecting Israel!
or buying IBM!
The closer we get to the election, the pit in my stomach grows knowing one of these two or McCain will be president. That's very disturbing.
Has Petraeus replaced Chuck Norris yet?
Petraeus destroyed the periodic table, because he only recognizes
the element of surprise.
Contrary to popular belief, the Titanic didn't hit an iceberg. The
ship was off course and accidentally ran into Petraeus while he was
doing the backstroke across the Atlantic.
If the economy is the number one issues on Americans' minds, why did it take an hour to ask a question about it?
My wife just turned it to American Idol. I don't mind all that
much. What's wrong with me?
Don't answer that.
Wow, Hillary.
Use Iranian nuclearization to bring other powers in the region
under an American "security umbrella."
She's crafty, that one.
"Spending every monday afternoon at hooters starting at three is
more american than you mainland elitists can handle :)."
HaHa! I love it, Kolohe!
HA and Alaska are the two states I have never set foot in.
But Clearwater, Florida? Home of both the original Hooters and
Scientology!
I'll let you know which one I got "full release" in later....
The capital gains question was the first good question of the night. And Obama will hedge with anti-corporate rhetoric.
Obama is conflating capital gains taxes with hedge funds payroll
(which are the same).
He needs to distinguish the two.
Boo! He blew the capital gains tax question.
The answer to that question is, "Those figures are misleading. When
Wall Street knows there is a change in tax policy coming up, they
time a bunch of their transactions. So, you get this spike or dip
right after it goes into effect, that the levels out, and the
revenues come in like you think they would.
He just switched to popular finance-related topics, like the
mortgage crisis.
Weak.
Let's see here.
The 46 minute discussion of GOP nonsense hurt him more.
He won the exchange about foreign policy.
She's winning the exchange about economic policy.
I've gotta say she's ahead.
Obama's lucky he's fighting a corpse in the next round because he is horrible in the debates.
The media narrative will focus on the ridiculous first-half, but that was actually a pretty good exchange on Social Security. (Maybe my standards have just been lowered)
If you remember back, Obama was sort of awkward in the first few
debates, and then gradually got better through all of those
pre-Iowa debates, but then got very good at it.
It's been, what, two months since the last debate? Seven
weeks?
I think he's rusty.
DailyKos is saying ABC and Hillary conspired with Sean Hannity.
Or something like that.
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/4/16/13329/3501/457/496866
"Boo! He blew the capital gains tax question."
He did. He is going after hedge funds who pay themselves at a 15%
payroll rate because they CLAIM capital gains instead of
FICA/income.
It is a difficult issue and one he should avoid in a public
debate.
You can't have a Democrat talk about guns without the phrase "common sense" being used at least once.
Wow -
The God/Guns/Gays crowd is gaining clarity as these two muddle
through their answers.
Its so much easier to be a wingnut.
While this debate was apparently stacked against Obama, he's not helping his own case.
An hour and a half with no healthcare or Iraq.
Un-frcking-believable.
Not that I don't know their responses in those two issues
-but
ABC does suck - this was terrible.
Hillary looked physically pained trying not to say "No fuckin' way!" while answering the question about using George W. Bush.
The couldn't have two screens and gotten the whole First
Amendment up?
This is a rinky-dink operation.
"A new political coalition"
Barack Obama is pitching the super delegates on a party
realignment.
He's a transformational candidate, she's not.
"shrike, there was a tiny little bit of Iraq after the first
commercial break."
I missed it. I must have been on a Hooters jag - which was more
satisfying anyway.
Its easy to complain but if I were a sincerely undecided voter I
would ask why I should bother.
Democrats? On my Hit&Run?
Chelsea is pretty scary close-up
still a two-bagger after all these years
I am so not looking forward to 4 years of McCain, but that is what
we are gonna get
What is this delusion that Obama means "hedge funds" when he talks
taxing capital gains?
"He's a transformational candidate, she's not."
I fully agree. But I did not see it in the debate.
Chuck Todd on MSNBC is there saying the same things.
"What is this delusion that Obama means "hedge funds" when he
talks taxing capital gains?"
My statement.
If you worked for a hedge fund your income tax rate would be
15%.
Is that hard to understand?
"sprinting to Obama's barbershop to look for
anti-Semitism."
Oy, veh ist mir!
Obama's not an anti-semite, and Hillary just hates anyone who
doesn't obey her.
-jcr
shrike,
only if you are the manager
Chelsea works for a hedge fund- she ain't running it and probably
pays "normal" taxes
I missed where the Dem candidates said they wouldn't tax "mom n
pop" capital gains at the higher rate
8:18: Clinton: I can win because people started hating me 16
years ago, not just this week.
Line of the night, right there.
paleo -
I didn't bring Chelsea up in this regard - nor does she
matter.
from Wiki -
"Private equity funds, however, typically invest on a longer
horizon, with the result that income earned by the funds is
long-term capital gain, taxable to individuals at a maximum 15%
rate. Because the 20% profits share typically is the bulk of the
manager's compensation, and because this compensation can reach, in
the case of the most successful funds, enormous figures, concern
has been raised, both in Congress and in the media, that managers
are taking advantage of tax loopholes to receive what is
effectively a salary without paying the ordinary 35% marginal
income tax rates that an average person would have to pay on such
income."
It is a legitimate issue for the thousands of hedge funds that
exist and, in turn, the dozens of managers in each. Their
compensation is taxed at a lower rate than any other US worker.
LOL that was awesome they really turned up the heat on B.
Hussein tonoght.
So hows it look for your boy now Joe that he has links to a 60s
hippie revolutionary socialist radical??
And the best thing was Sean Hannity got the MSM to ask the
question!!
Can you say "implosion"?
Still sure about those polls Joe?
Yeah hes a "transformational" candidate alright, the same way
McGovern, Mondale, Dukakis, and Kerry were
"transformational".
The Democrats who are still enamored with this guy need to see a
shrink!
"And the best thing was Sean Hannity got the MSM to ask the
question!!"
I can see where you liked that.
But Obama said he was eight years old at the time and not a
supporter of this radical.
Plus - Obama said he was friendly with "crazy radical" Tom Coburn
(R) and please don't fuck him over with that!
Pretty much killed Sean Fucking Douchebag Hannity there!
ROFL Joe maybe he still wins the Democrat nomination (they probably like 60s America-hating radicals) but in the general election? Forget it. Its a patriot war hero against guys who buddies up to radical 1960s socialists. Who wins that contest?
I bet Hillary Clinton really regrets ever even becoming a Democrat now. She shouldve stayed with the winning party (and a party that rewards and doesnt punish loyalty).
I bet Hillary Clinton really regrets ever even becoming a
Democrat now. She shouldve stayed with the winning party (and a
party that rewards and doesnt punish loyalty).
If you're referring to Hillary as a 'Goldwater girl,' I'm sure that
Barry Goldwater is spinning in his grave over what the Republican
party has become.
This Weatherman story is going to be played for days and weeks all over the media. Thank GOD for Sean Hannity!!
Ok Joe explain to me why being hitched to the Weatherman and
1960s radicalism isnt going to hurt Obama greatly?
Remember John Kerry and Jane Fonda and his speech in front of
Congress and being associated with that radical pacifist group? Its
going to be like that.
Ok Joe explain to me why being hitched to the Weatherman and
1960s radicalism isnt going to hurt Obama greatly?
Honestly, the whole "when that shit was going down, I was like
eight years old" response was fairly good as a deflection; makes
people who bring it up sound silly.
Obama is a "transformational" candidate alright, like Lenin without most of the violence or the paper trail. Also his foreign aid giveaway that he has alluded to is very troublesome. Also his foreign policy IS Zbigniew Brzezinski's foreign policy. To think Obama is going to make any great improvements to this country is absurd, the only thing that people could really say is he won't fuck it up as bad as McCain or Hillary but that is nowhere near a given either.
Lenin
Let's steal his corpse and make him president. How much worse could
he be than these three clowns?
John Kerry and Bob Shrum aren't going to be involved in reacting
to the b.s. attacks.
That's what's different.
Oh, and the president's approval rating is over 20 points
lower.
Sorry Joe but you had two clean shots at George W. Bush and
lost. He isnt on the ballot this time, John McCain is. Your not
going to be able to run against him. McCain isnt associated with
Bush in the public mind.
Doesnt seem like the attacks are B.S. since Obama got kind of
rattled there!!
HA! What word have I been using for the past two months?
counterpunching
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0408/9601.html
I'm late to the party, but it seems the boomers still found a
way to make it about the '60s, against all odds.
Christ, this is stupid. It would be like me running for public
office in the 2030s and my opponent tries to make it about the Cold
War, even though I was in third grade when the wall came down.
I think the story tomorrow is about how awful the debate
was.
ABC shit the bed. Their own crowd heckled the hosts.
joe, I'm to see how they make it about themselves when say,
Bobby Jindal (b. 1971) runs for office.
"Governor Jindal, when you were a sperm your mother may have known
a 60s radical!"
And Kneel Bob, you're (notice the apostrophe, that makes it "you
are" rather than "your" which is a completely different word) a
dipshit*.
Obama has never looked "rattled" responding to attacks, hes almost
always kept his temper cool. His policies are liberal and therefore
suck 80% of the time, but he has the best temperament of the Big
Three.
*Before you even start, I'm not a costal elitite by any stretch of
the most fevered right-wing populist imagination. I'm
Yuengling-drinking a gun owner and even George Allen by his own
admission would say I live in the "real world".
"According to family lore, Jindal adopted the name 'Bobby' after
watching The Brady Bunch television program at age four."
--
"Bobby was the 'safety monitor' at his school and occasionally gets
the other siblings into trouble.
I just watched as much of Anderson Cooper as I could take and still keep my dinner down. What a bunch of bias BS was being spouted by that fat-A$$ Candy Crawley and David Gergan. Where in the he// has the concept of fair reporting gone? Those idiots sat there parsing everything Hilary Clinton had to say and putting the most inane spin on it as I have ever seen. That makes CNN look as stupid as they truly are. You are an embarrasment to journalism. If this is the best you can do on coverage of the debate you need to just give it up.
Clinton's husband pardoned two members of the Weather
Underground,
You know, there are so many things I despise bubba for, that I'd
completely forgotten about that one. Was he wearing a Che t-shirt
when he signed the pardon?
-jcr
You know, there are so many things I despise bubba for, that I'd completely forgotten about that one. Was he wearing a Che t-shirt when he signed the pardon?
Probably not. He was probably just getting sucked off.
ROFL Joe maybe he still wins the Democrat
nomination...
Ok Joe explain to me...
Sorry Joe but you had two clean shots...
Neil, I detest Obama's candidacy probably as much as you do. But
please, for the love of God, learn that commas are used in forms of
address -- like the one I just used after your name.
You're otherwise leaving your text ripe for misinterpretation. At
the very least, you present a temporary road bump to your readers,
which is not what you want if your intent is to efficiently convey
your thoughts.
There's exactly one thing that Obama could say that could tempt
me to vote for him: if, just once, in one of these debates he would
turn to Hillary and say "Do you really believe that the American
People are willing to vote for an evil, power-hungry, lying bitch
like you?"
-jcr
Isn't it kind of a conflict of interest for George
Snuffleupagus to be doing a debate with Clinton?
Nah, that rat jumped off the Clinton ship back when Bubba got
busted lying about the fat chick.
-jcr
those kicking and screaming that ABC blew this debate are absolutely correct. over an hour before anyone moved to the issues. apparently flag pins are more important than education, waterboarding, China, and on and on.
"Opening statements. Clinton claims the founding fathers would
have wanted a black guy and a woman to take over and "provide the
good jobs" some day. I hear the sound of Ron Paul's bullet-holed TV
exploding."
The deluded or shamelessly lying Ron Paul claimed the founding
fathers wanted a "robust Christian nation." What a stupid old
fuck.
We would have gotten a more substantive, informative debate with
Arianna Huffington and Glenn Reynolds as the moderators. And that's
a terribly sad observation to make.
Just imagine how much better, more worthwhile tonight would have
been with a genuinely smart, thoughtful moderator, like Virginia
Postrel, and a real debate format.
There's exactly one thing that Obama could say that could
tempt me to vote for him: if, just once, in one of these debates he
would turn to Hillary and say "Do you really believe that the
American People are willing to vote for an evil, power-hungry,
lying bitch like you?"
Actually, that's one of the few ways Obama could blow the
nomination. Short of a total meltdown, OMG-did-he-really-say-THAT
moment, he should have this wrapped up. "Bitter" isn't going to
lose it for him.
But, yeah, it would be great to have that level of candor for
once.
Oh, and Neil -- as a former Republican turned into a libertarian
by events in the last decade or so -- you're not helping your cause
by posting this crap. You're fast approached Donderoooooo levels of
unlikeableness here.
Unless you're a Democratic plant, or doing a piece of performance
art, in which case, strong work! Bravo!
Just imagine how much better, more worthwhile tonight would
have been with a genuinely smart, thoughtful moderator, like
Virginia Postrel
We may need a review by the judges, but I think that comment calls
for a drink according to the H&R Drinking Rules ...
I can't tell the difference between Neil and Edward. Their names
are as generic as their vitriol.
But, what can I say? Trolls all look the same to me.
Edward, what are you going to whack off to once Ron Paul's name goes off the media radar?
Quote of the Night...by a former constitutional lawyer, and for
some their hopeful future president.
"Just because you have an individual right doesn't mean the state
or local government can't constrain that right."
WOW!
Choices always were a problem for you.
What you need is someone strong to guide you.
Deaf and blind and dumb and born to follow,
what you need is someone strong to use you...
like me,
like me.
If you want to get your soul to heaven,
trust in me.
Don't judge or question.
You are broken now,
but faith can heal you.
Just do everything I tell you to do.
Deaf and blind and dumb and born to follow.
Let me lay my holy hand upon you.
My God's will
becomes me.
When he speaks out,
he speaks through me.
He has needs
like I do.
We both want
to rape you.
Barack Obama, why don't you come save my life.
Open my eyes and blind me with your light
and your lies.
"Just because you have an individual right doesn't mean the
state or local government can't constrain that right."
That's not actually a controversial statement. Any Constitutional
scholar would agree with that. See "Fire in a crowded theater" or
"Church of the Pre-Pubescent Boys."
The question is, what kinds of contraints? In our legal system,
laws that constrain a Constitutional right are subject to a
strict-scrutiny test, which is pretty darn demanding, but still
allows - I don't want to use the buzzword "common sense" - a degree
of constraint.
It is precisely because Barack Obama is a Constitutional scholar,
and you're not, that you disagree on this.
So, we got to hear Barack Obama talk about lapel pins
again.
A partial list of issues they just didn't have time to get
to:
The financial crisis
The collapse of housing values in the US and around the world
Afghanistan
Health care
Torture
The declining value of the US Dollar
Education
Trade
Pakistan
Energy
Immigration
The decline of American manufacturing
The Supreme Court
The burgeoning world food crisis.
Global warming
China
The attacks on organized labor and the working class
Terrorism and al Qaeda
Civil liberties and constraints on government surveillance
"Just because you have an individual right doesn't mean the state or local government can't constrain that right."
That's not actually a controversial statement. Any Constitutional scholar would agree with that. See "Fire in a crowded theater" or "Church of the Pre-Pubescent Boys."
The question is, what kinds of contraints? In our legal system, laws that constrain a Constitutional right are subject to a strict-scrutiny test, which is pretty darn demanding, but still allows - I don't want to use the buzzword "common sense" - a degree of constraint.
It is precisely because Barack Obama is a Constitutional scholar, and you're not, that you disagree on this.
There aren't laws that prevent you from yelling fire in a
crowded theater. There are laws that prevent you from causing a
panic but it has nothing to do with freedom of speech.
Your and Barack's argument is completely void.
There aren't laws that prevent you from yelling fire in a
crowded theater. There are laws that prevent you from causing a
panic but it has nothing to do with freedom of speech No, but
the law constrains your speech nonetheless. In the case of the
First Amendment, content-neutrality is part of the strict scrutiny
test.
Any other questions?
I have always found the "fire in a crowded theatre" argument to
be absurd.
Considering the fact that it was offered in defense of the
imprisonment of Eugene Debs, I suppose that isn't surprising.
What's surprising to me is the durability of the argument. It's as
if 80 years later we were lauding the acumen of arguments offered
by the Sacco and Vanzetti prosecutors. The Debs prosecution and
imprisonment were corrupt and tyrannical on their face, and the
obsequious court rulings that allowed it to continue were similarly
despicable.
The argument is absurd because if it's not my theatre, I don't have
the right to yell anything at all. If it is my
theatre, I do in fact have the right to yell "Fire" in it, and if
my conduct causes a panic I should be civilly and criminally liable
for the disordered way in which I run my theatre and not for my
speech per se.
The argument is also absurd because, leaving aside questions of
property for a moment, even if I were to yell "Fire" in a public
commons, it is perfectly reasonable for me to do so if I
actually believe there is a fire, even if that belief turns
out to be incorrect.
He's a transformational candidate, she's not.
I keep hearing this, but I don't get it. As far as I can tell, he's
business-as-usual with better marketing.
How is he transformational?
His policy ideas are standard-issue lefty liberal and he has no
particular record of bipartisanship, so there's not going to be a
political transformation.
His associations with racialist loudmouths pretty well preclude any
kind of racial/cultural transformation.
His off-the-rack campus-liberal squishy-Marxian views on class
preclude any kind of social/cultural transformation.
Where's the transformation going to come from?
By the way, since Joe is the resident Democrat around here, let
me just say that I offer you my condolences for the shabby way in
which ABC ran the debate last night.
I wonder if guys like Gibson are ever ashamed of what they have
done to contribute to the debasement of public debate in this
country.
I'm sure that even a policy debate would not address the types of
fundamental questions that I personally would want to see
addressed, but even a debate dominated by the type of wonkery that
carries deeply encoded statist assumptions would be preferable to
flag pin shit.
And is it just me, or has the recent kerfuffle about Obama's
"elitism" finally exposed the fact that the media doesn't associate
"elitism" with wealth, but with being able to speak as if you have
at least a 9th-grade education?
Apparently, the argument is so bad that you fall into a
variation of "the Nazis built highways" to refute it.
It doesn't matter what the argument was used to defend in the past.
That has nothing to do with its validity. It's either true, or not
true, on its own merits.
If it is my theatre, I do in fact have the right to yell "Fire"
in it Not under our legal or constitutional system, you don't.
If your speech on your property puts others in danger like that,
you run afoul of all sorts of laws. You might as well argue you
have the right to shoot people on your property.
it is perfectly reasonable for me to do so if I actually
believe there is a fire, even if that belief turns out to be
incorrect. And you wouldn't be. That's not what the "fire in a
crowed theater" argument is about.
RC Dean,
The term "transformation candidate" has a specific meaning in
political science. It refers to a candidate that can change voting
patterns. Think of how Reagan was able to gain the votes of
union-types who'd always voted Democrat. McCain might qualify as
such a candidate, too.
It really has nothing to do with whether you like him.
Fluffy,
I used to bitch about Wolf Blitzer and Campbell Brown, but last
night was a new low.
I wonder if guys like Gibson are ever ashamed of what they have
done to contribute to the debasement of public debate in this
country. No, they actually think they're doing the country a
service with this shtick.
"Asking the tough questions." "Hitting the candidates where it
hurts." "Illuminating important facets of the candidates."
David Brooks has a column today congratulating Gibson and
Stephanopolous. He gives them an A.
The journalist's job is to make politicians uncomfortable, to
explore evasions, contradictions and vulnerabilities...We may not
like it, but issues like Jeremiah Wright, flag lapels and the Tuzla
airport will be important in the fall.
The modern American big media type actually believes that the most
important story is about how the heroic journalist got a politician
rattled. That's what's "important."
Sigh, WE MIGHT NOT LIKE IT. Oh, horse shit.
Gotta love the passive voice in that last sentence, huh?
"XYZ will be important in the fall."
Yeah, because the public is clamoring to hear more about flag
pins.
Not under our legal or constitutional system, you don't. If
your speech on your property puts others in danger like that, you
run afoul of all sorts of laws. You might as well argue you have
the right to shoot people on your property.
Joe, you misread my sentence.
Yes, you do in fact run afoul of all sorts of laws. But the laws
you properly run afoul of are the laws regarding your duty of care
to your patrons, and not your speech per se.
After all, if I yell "Fire" in that theatre but it does not create
a hazard or panic, my liability is nil. Actors do so all the
time.
Holmes chose to frame this as if your speech was being limited, and
he cynically did so in order to justify non-analogous limitations
on speech.
And while you are correct that the fact that this argument was
invented in order to carry out an unjust prosecution does not
definitively tell us that the argument is invalid, surely
it informs us that we should employ greater than usual skepticism.
And historically the argument hasn't been treated with skepticism.
It's been treated with something more like relief: "Whew! Somebody
clever finally thought of an argument that lets us ignore the first
amendment. Gosh, that's a real weight off our shoulders! Thanks
bud!"
And you wouldn't be. That's not what the "fire in a crowed
theater" argument is about.
That's exactly what it was about. Debs thought there was a fire so
he yelled "Fire". The state did not think there was a fire, and was
annoyed at the fact that Debs' yelling might interfere with its
purposes, so it sought to declare his speech a "clear and present
danger" to the community that was not protected by the first
amendment. If you do in fact think that it's OK to yell "Fire" if
you personally think there's a fire, then the case was wrongly
argued and wrongly decided.
But the laws you properly run afoul of are the laws
regarding your duty of care to your patrons, and not your speech
per se.
I understand that Fluffy.
I wasn't defending the use of the argument to advance the Debs
prosecution.
My point is a small one - that the government can, in fact, enforce
laws that constrain your rights. Obama's statement to that effect
has been met with shock and derision, but he's absolutely right.
Our legal system has long recognized that there are circumstances
that allow the limitation of Constitutional rights, within a pretty
strict and tightly-defined set of boundaries.
His statement, by itself, is neither controversial, nor in conflict
with constitutional law.
Yes, his statement is noncontroversial and in accord with
current case law. That is definitely true. So I understand your
point more precisely now.
I just don't consider being "noncontroversial" to be the same as
being "correct". But that is because I dispute the current
orthodoxy and reject certain existing precedents. I wasn't arguing
with the historical record of Constitutional law; I was arguing
with his endorsement of that record.
That's not actually a controversial statement. Any
Constitutional scholar would agree with that.
That's true. But to throw it out there without any qualifications
is pretty chilling.
The term "transformation candidate" has a specific meaning in
political science. It refers to a candidate that can change voting
patterns.
Even using that definition, what voting patterns is Obama going to
change? Even with his gift of gab, I don't see an off-the-rack
lefty-lib really changing the playing field, especially one with
his baggage (Rezko, Wright, the campus radical circles he seems so
comfortable in, etc.).
RC Dean,
Actually, one of the ways in which this election cycle is
generating some sympathy on my part for Obama is the media approach
to:
the campus radical circles he seems so comfortable in,
etc.
I think that I do not have to blush before any man in my obvious
disdain for collectivism. But just in the course of having a normal
life with a normal amount of intellectual curiosity, I have been
friends with people of all sorts of ideological perspectives. Am I
somehow politically suspect because I don't immediately socially
shun someone if I determine that they are a Chomskyite?
And I certainly have a much more limited social circle than Obama.
If I had a less parochial life history and career, I'm sure I too
would know all sorts of unsavory writers, think tank guys,
professors, community activists, etc.
Basically the only way to avoid this "Obama trap" is to be a
blithering idiot like W, spending half your life hanging out
drinking your dad's money - or to demonstrate absolutely no
intellectual or personal curiosity about any subject whatsoever,
like McCain.
But to throw it out there without any qualifications is
pretty chilling.
The devil is definitely in the details here.
Even using that definition, what voting patterns is Obama going
to change?
The electoral map, for one. And by making inroads into Republican
constituencies, especially towards the upper end of the income- and
educational-scale.
I don't see an off-the-rack lefty-lib really changing the
playing field Once again, it's really not about your feelings
about his political ideology. Who would have thought that an off
the rack, corporatist, anti-union Republican like Reagan would win
over union voters?
Oh, and could you please repeat the talking points a few more
times. I'm pretty sure you missed "lapel pin."
Fluffy,
The heart of the Republican social organization is homogeneity.
They treat the word "cosmopolitan" as a slur. They really would
only associate with people very similar to themselves, if given a
choice.
If anything, the argument "he moves in a lot of circles, he doesn't
dismiss people because he objects to their beliefs" is going to be
yet another knock on him among the Republican base, not a
defense.
Joe:
I appreciate your responses and agree in most instances that their
are certain instances where there is constraint of an individual
rights.
Let me get this out of the way first, because it was in your first
response. Just because some is a "scholar" of something, doesn't
mean they are right, nor a good one at that.
Democrats, like Obama (and Clinton for that matter) believe the
statement about constraint of an individual's rights more than you
give them credit for. This is the basis of their Robin Hood
schemes. I'll force you, the individual at gun point (via the IRS)
to foot the bill for someone elses retirement. I'll force you at
gun point (via the IRS) to pay for someone elses healthcare, no
matter how irresponible their lifestyle might be...and so on.
My point wasn't about movie theatres or fires. It was about the
insight into the political philosophy of the candidates.
I also now realize that you might think I am off topic with
respect to the individual's rights. The problem, I see, however has
to do with gun ownership, and larger issues like freedoms which are
protected under the constitution.
Obama's answer in the context of those statements, to me implied a
maligned viewpoint.
And furthermore, gangs now have ways to get guns even if the laws
are tightened. Do you know what they do know? They recruit a young
18-19 yr without a record, to go in and buy a series of guns. He
them distrubutes them accordingly. These "constraints" that Obama
refers to, WILL NOT, solve the problems of gun violence.
It's so fun watching joe defend his boyfriend Barack and his beloved Cleptocrats.
If Hillary came out and reasserted herself as being a Goldwater-girl, she could rally Ron Paul supporters to herself and rake in the money bombs. Or not.
My point wasn't about movie theatres or fires. It was about
the insight into the political philosophy of the
candidates.
And, once again, Obama's answer - the words "the government may
constraint constitutional rights" - tells us nothing about his
philosophy, except that he accurately understands this aspect of
ConLaw.
He said the quote in the context of restraining the right to bear arms, by the American citizen. ConLaw Prof, Lecturer, or whatever he has, or has not claimed to be is irrelevant. Obama wants WAY more government constraint on YOUR life. That Sir, is a fact...and just by the virtue of him saying it with such confidence assures me that he's not someone I could stomach voting for!
Hey asshole, I have news for you. A man's very close 20 year
association with a virulent bigot and his association with an
unrepentant terrorist for the purpose of furthering his political
career are issues, whether you say it is or not. And to the idiots
who, after 20+ fucking debates can't quote Obama's and Hillary's
bullshit positions on health care and Iraq verbatim, I can only say
one thing: you are too fucking dumb to be voting.
And I just fucking love the people who claim Stephanopoulus
shouldn't be allowed to participate because he worked for the
Clinton's. I wonder, will you be raising this same objection when
he is questioning McCain? Will you also demand Russert and Chris
Matthews recuse themselves from the proceedings? I highly fucking
doubt it.
It is fucking amazing how Obama's supporters get their panties in a
fucking bunch, but in the same fucking sentence claim this pathetic
pussy has what it takes to talk to America's enemies face to face.
He cries over an ABC debate, but he would be brilliant when
confronting the leader of Iran? Hahaha, give me a fucking break.
The arguments of Obama and his lickspittles following a debate in
which he was slaughtered show what a total stuffed shirt the
worthless fuck is. The media doesn't bow down to him for 90 minutes
and him and his piece of shit supporters go apeshit. What a
worthless turd.
I just love Obama's quip about how sportsmen support him when answering a question about guns. I wonder if he can say the same about people who wish to carry concealed in order to protect themselves from serious bodily harm or death. It amazes me that whenever Democrats speak about gun rights, they always mention the right some random person has to shoot a fucking duck, yet they are strangely silent about my right to shoot some fucking psycho who is trying to tear my fucking head off.
"20 minutes in and not one policy question yet"
Yeah, why and the hell aren't they asking them about Iraq or
healthcare or taxes or Social security, because as we all know they
have not given the same fucking answer to questions about those
same fucking topics over the past 20+ debates. Oh, wait...
Hey, Adamness, if you need the moderators to ask the same policy
questions yet again so that you can hear the same bullshit answers
then you are too fucking stupid to be determining who the next
leader of the United States is. Even Barack "all my friends are
either bigots or terrorists" Obama said he was rethinking doing
another debate because the topics of importance have already been
over-discussed.
The only people I hear bitching about this debate are Obama
supporters who are pissed that the media finally took off their
kidgloves in regard to him, and his performance was so abysmal, he
made James Stockdale in '88 look like Clarence fucking Darrow.
"Not that I don't know their responses in those two issues
-but
ABC does suck - this was terrible."
Then why the fuck do you, and the rest of the American Public need
to hear the same bullshit answers again? It's been 20+ fucking
debates and these idiots have said the same fucking thing about
these issues over and over. If you don't know their positions yet
on Iraq and healthcare A) you are dumber than dirt B) need to visit
their fucking websites. It is refreshing to hear different issues
discussed for once. It just so happens the topics discussed made
Obama look like shit, so of course it is beyond the pale. And since
Stephanopoulus asked a question suggested by Sean Hannity, it can't
possibly be relevant.
I just love how anything that makes the left feel uncomfortable is
a distraction from the real issues. A man's close 20 year
association with a bigot so vile he makes David Duke look like
Gandhi is an issue, an so is his chumminess with an unrepentant
terrorist for the purposes of political expediency. And you better
get fucking used to it now, because commercials featuring "Rev".(he
must have gone to the same seminary as Al Sharpton) Wright and
David Ayers, as well as the comments he gave in San Francisco will
absolutely be saturating the airwaves in the fall. You better hope
his response is not as ineffectual as John Kerry's was to the Swift
Boat Vets, or Obama may not even win Minnesota.
"The heart of the Republican social organization is homogeneity.
They treat the word "cosmopolitan" as a slur. They really would
only associate with people very similar to themselves, if given a
choice."
This is without a doubt the dumbest thing I think I have read by
joe on this site. I just love it when the those on the "tolerant"
left make sweeping generalizations like this while decrying
homogeneity. Hey, pot, meet kettle. joe, you are undeniably one of
the dumbest fucks to ever post on this message board.
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