Michael C. Moynihan | December 3, 2007
After a day of tension, with opposition leaders and voters wondering just what the hell was taking so long, Hugo Chavez conceded defeat late last night; a surprising development considering the record of the Chavista-controlled CNE and the raft of legitimate questions about the accuracy of previous election results (pdf). As could be expected, Hugo's concession prompted his supporters at home and abroad to point to this as proof that Chavez presides over a democracy little different than our own (Chavez too immediately made this point: "His respect for the verdict, he asserted, proves he is a true democratic leader.") So one of the Huffington Post's house bloggers asks sarcastically if "dictators lose elections?" First: Many people have called Chavez a dictator, though I am not one of them. Second: Yes, sometimes dictators do lose elections (Pinochet did, the Sandinistas did). Before you too celebrate the flowering people's democracy of Venezuela, consider that Chavez's opponents braved serious threats and intimidation from government forces and ignored an onslaught of pro-regime propaganda when voting to reject the rewriting of the constitution. (In the Venezuelan version of authoritarian democracy, pro-government propaganda was ceaseless pumped into Caracas subway stations in the run-up to the referendum, while state television channels like ViVe and VTV act as sock puppets for the government.)
Daniel Larison, a contributing editor at The American Conservative, takes exception to my piece on this weekend's elections in Russia and Venezuela. Larison wouldn't typically waste valuable blogging time debating such ridiculousness, declaring that my comments on the Sovietization of Russian society and the Sandinistaization (clunky, I know) of Venezuela wouldn't ordinarily "merit much comment." But when I try to tell my "audience why they should care about what happens in the domestic politics of other countries"—I am a journalistic imperialist, it would seem—I cited a silly Putin apologia in the The American Conservative by British writer John Laughland. So allow me to borrow a technique of Mr. Larison's and dismiss his criticisms of my column as not worthy of attention, while going right ahead and offering the response that he clearly doesn't deserve.
Putin's reelection, Larison says, "is a fact that should be viewed with some dispassion." (Er, why exactly?) And it is important to look to cranks like Laughland to "provide some balance and perspective about Putin's regime, about which there have been more than a few breathless and hysterical Reason articles in the past." (He's talking to you, Cathy.) Honest John Laughland merely "seeks to get past caricature and vilification." Unfortunately I can't find my copy of the TAC article, and it is neither online nor in Nexis (though I seem to recall him describing Putin's "taut" body). Either way, Larison cruelly debunks my argument by bolding this line from the Laughland piece: "Putin specifically referred to the abandonment of ideology during his long talk with us." Well, I'm glad that's settled. So after a few pages of softball questions, a steady regurgitation of Kremlin talking points (without critical comment) and comparisons between United Russia and your average European Social Democratic party, Larison comments: "If that constitutes a 'defense' of Putin, we have watered down the meaning of apologetics pretty thoroughly."
Well yes, it is pretty clear that Laughland is defending Putin from the cruel biases of the Western press. Larison might have found it helpful to explain to his readers that John Laughland, the man providing "balance", has quite a colorful history of defending the indefensible. Before contributing to the American Conservative, Laughland was a major player in the International Committee to Defend (or provide balance to the unfair coverage of) Slobodan Milosevic. The Economist described Laughland's "human rights" organization as one that frequently "defends dictators": "[Laughland's group] sends observers to eastern Europe, usually to elections, who produce lengthy, annotated first-hand reports, with controversial (critics say bizarre) interpretations of events...Mr Laughland used to have more colleagues. In the early 1990s, sticking up for patriotic east European leaders against politically correct criticism from naïve human-rights outfits was bold, but not batty. But the group lost almost all its supporters when it threw its weight behind people like Mr Milosevic. Another leading member, Christine Stone, has also written approvingly of Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe." Click here for Laughland's own counterbalance to the Western media's irrational Mugabe hatred.
Here, Laughland is attacked in the Guardian for adding balance and nuance to the struggles of Jean-Marie Le Pen. Here another Guardian columnist calls him the "PR man to Europe's nastiest regimes." Blogger and Tufts University professor Dan Drezner debated Laughland and offered this "three word assessment: Completely, totally nuts." The left-leaning academic blog Crooked Timber questioned Laughland's claim that Western interest in the human rights situation in Darfur was a cover for another oil grab, leading it to question just about everything else he has ever written.
But other than that, how dare I suggest Laughland wrote a sycophantic, pro-Putin piece.
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Actually, I would say that Chevez's bowing to the results of the
elections does make him a more democratic leader in practice
despite his personal proclivities.
Democracy isn't about individual leaders. Its about institutions
that function due to the board, often cultural, commitment of the
people to maintain those institutions at the expense of short term
gain. If Venezuelian institution restrain Chevez and forces him to
govern within the boundaries then he becomes a democratic leader
whether he likes it or not.
Every politician represents a threat to liberty in one area or the
other, The most high minded and self-confident are the most
dangerous of all. Any one of us might become a monster if gifted
with unrestrained power. Our institutions prevents this.
I wouldn't lose any sleep over Daniel Larison. I think everyone
Left, Right or orthogonal considers him a loon.
Actually, I would say that Chevez's bowing to the results of
the elections does make him a more democratic leader in practice
despite his personal proclivities.
My guess it has more to do with the realization, after a frantic
day's work, that they couldn't falsify the results without getting
caught.
I have nothing more to say about this topic except that it seems like this Daniel Larison guy is kind of a douche. Then again, other than the anti-war articles, TAC is mostly a loony populist mag anyway (sorry Reason editors, I know you write for them occasionally). I like it better than National Review, though (I don't subscribe to either anymore).
It is truly chilling that in this day and age, one can see the
blatant, slow march of an oncoming tyrant like Putin and willfully
deny such a circumstance.
Laughland is the Cicero to new Russian Caesar.
The foreign policy articles in TAC are sometimes interesting and well-thought out, everything else I disagree with strongly.
Rational thinking requires that every test of a hypothesis have a negative and positive result, and that you allow both the possibility of influencing your thinking - I expected the constitutional reforms to get pushed through, so I have to consider this a good sign for Venezuela. What is necessary to make this a reasonable position is only a sense of proportion: there is a great deal of evidence out there, and this is a very small part of it.
As for falsifying the results -- it lost 51-49 with polling (such as it was, and as I recall) running right around there. If you're going to cheat, that's when you do it. When the desired result, and the actual outcome, are right there in the same margin of error. You DON'T cheat when public opinion is 60-40 against you. You cheat when it's really close to 50-50, because it's harder to prove.
Speaking of dictators losing elections, I recently saw something on the History channel about one of the old Russian leaders (Stalin, Lenin?) having an "election" amoung the folks in "parliment" to reelect him. The vote was 3 in favour and 100+ against. Being a supporter of true democracy, he invalidated the vote on the spot, saying that the ballots must have been tampered with. He then called in his personal guards (to make sure that there was no more cheating) and then called for a show of hands vote. Guess what happened.
As could be expected, Hugo's concession prompted his
supporters at home and abroad to point to this as proof that Chavez
presides over a democracy little different than our own
Everybody clear on that? If you think the success of the election
in Venezuela demonstrates that that country is a democracy, it
means you're a Chavez supporter.
Just so we're clear. I'm sure Michael Moynihan wouldn't want that
to go over anyone's head.
Larison makes a lot of sense here -
"Where Putin's rule has been promoting stability in Russia,
Saakashvili and Musharraf have promoted instability and have in the
process jeopardised real U.S. interests in their respective
regions. It seems to me that Americans should be a great deal more
concerned with what our feckless client states are doing that may
harm U.S. interests, and we should be much less concerned with what
a very powerful potential ally does within its own borders."
For all the vitriol at Putin or Chavez, more concern is merited by
Musharraf and the Client States where America is immediately
involved, since there's much more likelihood of blowback. Leave it
to Venezualan citizens to hate Chavez unless he poses a real threat
to US interests - and it's doubtful that trash-talking & being
an asshole at the UN qualifies him as a threat.
Tip o' the cap, Shannon Love. Just so.
I've been trying to make that point for years, and I've never been
able to put it quite that eloquently.
Trust Democracy.
Actually, I would say that Chevez's bowing to the results of the elections does make him a more democratic leader in practice despite his personal proclivities.
I have a different take - Chavez has plenty of time to get these
amendments through before he is legally obligated to step down. He
just raises his credibility by conceding this time. He can try
again next year.
Chavez's opponents braved serious threats and intimidation
from government forces and ignored an onslaught of pro-regime
propaganda
Gives me some hope for our own troubled political system. I'm
thinking of a certain anti-establishment-presidential candidate.
Then there's Russia, oh boy...
We do trust democracy, we just don't trust Chavez in control of it, any more than one should trust George W Bush shuttering newspapers and attempting to remove presidential term limits, then declaring any opposition to such moves as traitorous.
There is a lot more to a liberal democracy than just holding a vote. Still, this does show Chavez is not quite ready to take the Generalissimo for life plunge without a fig leaf to cover it. A year or two more of passing laws and consolidating power should make future elections the Cuban/Soviet style we know and love.
I don't think this vote makes him democratic, willingly
conceding or not.
There's a lot more to a democracy than one vote. Assuming his
reforms never get passed, we'll see what happens when its time for
him to give up power. A similar thing happened in Nigeria not too
long ago. The current President (who controlled a puppet
congress)tried to get term limits removed -- was denied -- now one
of his cronies is President. Actually, sounds kind of similar to
Russia too.
poorly written...
The then president (that normally controlled institutions such as
the congress) tried to get term limits removed, he was denied, and
then magically one of his boys was elected president.
Everybody clear on that? If you think the success of the
election in Venezuela demonstrates that that country is a
democracy, it means you're a Chavez supporter.
Just so we're clear. I'm sure Michael Moynihan wouldn't want that
to go over anyone's head.
Sorry joe your leaps of logic into the irrational bable (if you
support Hugo's loss then you support Hugo, what sort of bullshit is
that?) will not get you officially barred from entering North
Korea...Moynihan is still cooler then you.
It strikes me that Reason was around when Pinochet took power
and when it ruled. Did they denounce him and his blatant
dictatorial rule with the same regularity and vehemence as the much
more subtle almost "implied" dictatorial rule of Chavez? And if not
ask yourself why?'
And then I REALLY wonder about rags like National Review.
If you think Chavez has been subtle than I don't think reasoning with you will be all that productive.
Morat,
I am not a professional statistician, so I am not going to go to
the mat over these numbers, but these
polls show a larger gap than 2 percent. However, I do think the
lower than expected turn out did play a part.
The fact is, we don't know whether the count was closer or not. It
didn't seem as if the voting and the counting had sufficient
controls (nb - based on news accounts of lack of usual monitors and
reports of opposition candidates locked out of counting
rooms)
As I see it, it is probably the best result for Chavez. He has
shown that he will accept loss, but the loss is close enough that
next time, he won't have to make up as much ground.
If he had won this time around, I think many people would have seen
it as illegitimate and the country would probably experience even
more unrest.
There was very little in here about the actual Laughland
article. I say point goes to Larison.
I would also wonder why you are so enthusiastic about democracy.
Very often it does not come with liberalism.
Mr. Nice Guy,
My understanding of libertarianism is that democracy is neither
good or bad in itself - if it secures the rights of people to amass
private property, it's good; on the other hand, if a dictatorship
like Pinochet secures the rights of private property owners, then
yay dictatorship, boo democracy. Don't be fooled by all this
jibba-jabba about whether Chavez's Venezuela is a democracy or not.
The point is, he believes that there are rights that supercede the
right of private property, and therefore he must be defeated
somehow, be it through democratic means or otherwise.
joe | December 3, 2007, 6:08pm | #
As could be expected, Hugo's concession prompted his supporters at home and abroad to point to this as proof that Chavez presides over a democracy little different than our own
Everybody clear on that? If you think the success of the election in Venezuela demonstrates that that country is a democracy, it means you're a Chavez supporter.
Just so we're clear. I'm sure Michael Moynihan wouldn't want that to go over anyone's head.
Joe, just to clarify (and no intent at snarkiness here - am I even
using the word snarkiness correctly? - is it even a word?), the
implication in the Moynihan quote you reference goes the other way.
Translated:
If you're a Chavez supporter, it means you think (or at least
state) the success of the election in Venezuela demonstrates that
that country is a democracy.
This clearly leaves the option that some might view the results as
encouraging (or even hold the stronger view that the country is a
democracy) without being a Chavez supporter. I've also left aside
the question of whether Moynihan really meant to imply all
Chavez supporters feel this way - the sentence could be taken
either way. In any event, it makes no claims about non-Chavez
supporters, whether or not they find the result to be a positive
one.
"If you think Chavez has been subtle than I don't think
reasoning with you will be all that productive."
I'd love to hear how you think he has not been a hell of a lot more
subtle than Pinochet. When Pinochet came to power he immediately
banned the opposition, and then hunted them down and killed them
(some he even pursued into OTHER nations and killed). Not only was
there no opposition allowed, but a contested election, let alone
one where Pinochet may lose, was unthinkable.
I realize nebby you probably feed at the trough of the Right Wing
Alternate Universe Press, but independent observers have
painstakingly investigated Chavez. Here's one of the more
reliable:
http://hrw.org/englishwr2k7/docs/2007/01/11/venezu14888.htm
So please tell me what in there is worse than Pinochet? Try not to
be a tool all your life buddy
"My understanding of libertarianism is that democracy is neither
good or bad in itself - if it secures the rights of people to amass
private property, it's good; on the other hand, if a dictatorship
like Pinochet secures the rights of private property owners, then
yay dictatorship, boo democracy."
e-I understand this is how many libertarians see things, and this
is what I would call a fetishism of property rights that borders on
insane. Under this kind of mad scheme a dictator is ok as long as
he only kills, tortures and rapes those who wish to impinge on
property rights and an elected democratic leader who allows basic
civil liberties to all, even his opponents, but who impinges on
property rights, is evil incarnate. Thus Free Minds and Free
Markets becomes simply Free Markets.
Let me help nebby. According to the HRW report Chavez is guilty
of the following major infractions on basic human rights:
1. Undermining judicial independence
2. Undermining a free media
3. Continued the practice of extra-judicial police killings that
pre-dated his rule
4. His supporters were responsible for killings, though his
opponents were responsible for more
5. Prison conditions sucked
Now I have a problem with each and every one of them. Every one is
indeed a violation of human rights, troubling, and should be
opposed. However, none of these rises to the level of Pinochet,
Franco, or many other dictators that did and continue to get right
wing support or at least "hey they ain't so bad" shrugs.
Because of his stupidly brazen anti-Americanism and his populists
rhetoric Chavez had become the Devil for many conservatives, and
since they have a whole Right Wing Alternate Universe Press
Apparatus which few of their followers seem to read outside of you
have a lot of people running around acting like they have seen
Satan himself in the form of Chavez. Such people demonstrate more
about themselves (their toolness) than Chavez, who strikes me as an
authoritarian leaning populist who is to a large degree held in
check by the democratic institutions in Venezula. He's low on the
totem pole of worries in my book.
My understanding of libertarianism is that democracy is
neither good or bad in itself - if it secures the rights of people
to amass private property, it's good; on the other hand, if a
dictatorship like Pinochet secures the rights of private property
owners, then yay dictatorship, boo democracy.
No. You're confusing libertarians with Republicans: Dictator
secures private property for the politically connected but fights
the commies, shutters newspapers and arrests the opposition: Yay
dictatorship!
Libertarians are much more principled than this. No, democracy
doesn't always go the way libertarians like*. In fact, simple
majority rule would probably rarely go the way a libertarian would
like. But through certain democratic systems, those impulsive
mob-rule type votes are dampened with other democratic
institutions. Like with a Bill of Rights. You can't vote my right
to free speech away...oh wait.
*In my estimation, you'd end up with a creepy kind of populist
rule: Anti-immigration;, fits of isolationism peppered with
overarching interventionism; economically stifling job-protections;
salary caps; salary minimums; a mish-mash of term limits and
lifetime appointments; a patchwork of wealth distribution programs;
non-existent property rights. Basically, we'd be making it up as we
went... oh wait.
degree held in check by the democratic institutions in
Venezula. He's low on the totem pole of worries in my
book.
MNG:
You gotta start somewhere.
MNG, e - from personal experience, I don't think many
Libertarians view Dictatorship as very OK regardless of
the Dictator's view on property rights, or even freedoms in
general. While, if you had to live in a
dictatorship, it would be nice if your dictator strongly
believed in freedom of speech, religion, property rights, the right
to bear arms, the right to privacy, the right against unreasonable
searches and seisures, freedom of association, etc. etc., and
protected all these rights, I don't think many Libertarians would
hold out much hope that even such a country under such an
implausible dictator would stay very free after his death
and replacement by Dictator Mark 2.0.
In fact, I think that most Libertarians' complaints with Democracy
is not that as a form of government, it's the same as any other,
only as good as whatever rights it gives you, but that it has a
decent chance of developing into a tyranny, just as can any other
form. In other words, most Libertarians do place Democracy >
Dictatorship in terms of quality, but just aren't so sure that
Democracy > All Others. In fact, the only form of Government
that Libertarians probably support over Constitutional
Democracy/Republic in large numbers is Anarchy.
Further, while Libertarians do tend to place a high value on
property rights, I believe for most that they don't
outweigh any other rights listed in the paragraph above.
They may only seem like they do because Libertarians are
usually part of a small minority interested in property rights at
all, while the other rights listed above have a large number of
fans, still including most Libertarians.
Not exactly a beacon of clarity, SWDWTLHJ, was it?
It looked to me that Moynihan was characterizing the issue that
way.
However, none of these rises to the level of
Pinochet
Heck, they don't even rise to the level of Mushariff or Allawi.
The support of some Libertarians for Anarchy is justified by many different reasons. But in part, some Libertarian support for Anarchy is due, I think, to its being the only form of government further in the direction of diluted political power than Democracy (and here I mean both direct Democracy and representative Democracy). In this sense, Anarchy is as far as you can get from Autocracy/Dictatorship.
All of this bashing of democracy looks pretty shoddy in the
light of the opposition's efforts to secure this victory.
If I were them, I would be concentrating on the next round of
assembly elections. Rana, who is apparently from Venzuela, reported
on the other threat that turnout for parliamentary elections runs
around 25-30%. The name of the game for the next few years would be
appear to be checking Chavez, cementing the democratic process, and
maintaining the rule of law. Didn't the rejected amendments pass
the assembly by a wide margin? They ought to make a study of Daily
Kos, Act Blue, and the 2006 midterms.
You know. Democracy.
joe | December 3, 2007, 7:43pm | #
Not exactly a beacon of clarity, SWDWTLHJ, was it?
It looked to me that Moynihan was characterizing the issue that way.
It didn't to me, but then again, sometimes we're all unclear, and I
was probably unclear (or at least too verbose) in my responses to
MNG and [2;1,2,1,1,4,1,1,6,1,1,8...]* above.
Sometimes we're unclear, sometimes we don't understand something
the first time we read it, and sometimes we're drunk.
*Yay! Continued fractions!
If you think the success of the election in Venezuela
demonstrates that that country is a democracy, it means you're a
Chavez supporter.
If I say Catholics celebrate Christmas, does that mean that
everyone who celebrates Christmas is Catholic?
I think you're too invested in a narrative of Moynihan =
asshole.
And Joe, I don't mean to come down too hard with both feet on
the head of Democracy; just explaining Libertarians' suspicions of
it, and what they tend to prefer to it when they have a
preference.
I guess as of now, I'm still kind of agnostic on the whole
Democracy* > Anarchy or Democracy* < Anarchy question.
(Though in fairness, my leanings are probably to the second.)
*With very strong freedom safeguards.
OK enough for now; it's time to grade, and watch Heroes.
Disclaimer: I am a nerd.
I can't speak for all libertarians, but I would have no problem
with a benevolent despot who always governed in a libertarian
fashion. I really don't care who gets to rule, or how the ruler is
chosen, so long as his/her/its/their power is heavily restricted.
Of course, SWDWTLHJ is correct in saying that such a situation
would not only be a stroke of pure luck, but it also would not be
stable.
Then again, democracies can oppress just as heavily as the next
form of govt, and de Tocqueville was on to something when he made
that quip about democracy only being viable until people discover
they can vote themselves money from the public treasury.
"MNG, e - from personal experience, I don't think many
Libertarians view Dictatorship as very OK regardless of the
Dictator's view on property rights, or even freedoms in general.
While, if you had to live in a dictatorship, it would be nice if
your dictator strongly believed in freedom of speech, religion,
property rights, the right to bear arms, the right to privacy, the
right against unreasonable searches and seisures, freedom of
association, etc. etc., and protected all these rights, I don't
think many Libertarians would hold out much hope that even such a
country under such an implausible dictator would stay very free
after his death and replacement by Dictator Mark 2.0. "
I saw this as very reasonable and it makes perfect sense. In fact,
many libtertarians are very consistent on this kind of thing, from
my experience. I did say that to many libertarians right wing
dictatorships that allow the market to run (sort of, they don't let
the market publish critical tracts, or let the market allow one to
hire a talented though communist employee) are OK, and I think I
was right about that. In evidence crimethinks comment:
"I can't speak for all libertarians, but I would have no problem
with a benevolent despot who always governed in a libertarian
fashion."
These are usually the "right wing" libertarians, which I recognize
are not all of them (and I also recognize that some right wing
libtertarians would not agree with this).
I think its a mistaken view because I think one of the crucial
rights, yes more crucial than property rights, that "Free Minds"
have should the be the right to organize and choose their own
governments.
Heck, they don't even rise to the level of Mushariff or
Allawi.
Mmmm... I disagree on Mushariff. In fact, I'd almost argue that
they're very similar to Mushariff's actions.
I can't speak for all libertarians, but I would have no
problem with a benevolent despot who always governed in a
libertarian fashion.
I do have a problem with it, and here's why: You have a government
of men, not a government of laws. What happens when the old man
kicks off and god-knows-what is waiting in the wings?
Makes one think of a similar situation: A current U.S. President
who has secured all manner of powers for the executive, but because
of "democracy", we've got a new frontrunner for the
Dems who might take power. What say you now to unchecked executive
power as long as "your guy" remains in office?
MNG: I'd probably give Free Speech - Free Thought the edge over
Property Rights as well, but it'd be a very,
very slight edge. In fact I think none of
Free Speech, Property Rights, the Right to Privacy, and the Right
of Self Defense can survive without the others, nor can any of the
rights that are offshoots of these.
Also, I'm a little leery of considering it a right to
choose and organize one's own government, as usually it seems that
all that involves is a decision as to whom the majority will
persecute, and which rights they'll decide to take away. You see
this from the right and from the left. If the government has very
strict controls on it, I can favor using the vote to make the
decision of choosing how to decide what the government does with
whatever it has left, but it shouldn't have much left, if anything
at all.
The guy almost got control over their central bank. I mean thats an insane ammount of power to give one man, democractically elected or not. Anybody who believes that that power should be granted to the president in a referendum is fundamentally clueless.
With Pinochet, and Musharraf, you do not see prominent figures
of the Right making pilgrimage to bask in their wisdom, the way
leftists do with Castro and Chavez.
Pinochet and Musharraf and their ilk are supported by the Right
only in that they are alternatives to something worse. Pinochet and
Marcos held their elections after being pressured by the US to do
so, and relinquished power also under US pressure.
Nothing comparable happens from the Left.
Imagine if George W Bush wanted the power to create new states and appoint their governors? Would you call that the mark of a democratic-minded man?
I have no faith in a democracy when its only effective check on the president seizing control of its central bank is a public vote. That's just insane. All this "faith in democracy" stuff is nonsense. They do not have the proper system of checks and balances on the president to ensure an effective one, and Chavez is proving it.
joe, the reason that voter turnout was only 25% in the last
Venezuelan national assembly elections was that they were BOYCOTTED
by the opposition in hopes that it would make it clear that the
elections were rigged. Of course, it did no such thing.
In this referendum also there were calls for a boycott from various
sectors of the opposition. Very wrongheaded and damaging. I think
that the numbers of opposition who boycotted were offset by the
chavistas who stayed home rather than cast a vote against their
beloved Chavez.
I do have a problem with it, and here's why: You have a
government of men, not a government of laws. What happens when the
old man kicks off and god-knows-what is waiting in the
wings?
I understand that point. However, democracies are also subject to
this phenomenon; they are just brought on by calamitous events,
rather than the death of the ruler. Could anyone living in 1925
have imagined how powerful the Federal govt would be ten years
later? Could anyone living in 1997 have imagined the extent to
which our foreign policy and civil liberties would have changed
within 10 years?
Democracy is a means to an end, not an end in itself. To the extent
it serves liberty, I support it; to the extent it does not, I
oppose it.
I'd probably give Free Speech - Free Thought the edge over
Property Rights...
I can't really separate these out. There is almost always some
economic component to speech, if you intend to actually speak to
people. Furthermore, controlling the property, you can control (or
at least limit) the speech. If someone can take your property, they
can probably find a way to shut you up.
Off the main point, but
Could anyone living in 1997 have imagined the extent to which
our foreign policy and civil liberties would have changed within 10
years?
Foreign policy, definitely a different direction, mostly to the
negative.
But civil liberties? Except for about a thousand people who have
gone through Gitmo (which I agree is 1000 too many, without trial
or appeal to any other authority), all the other stuff I could
easily have seen from a Reno justice department. And on the retail
level, I have a suspicion that shit like Radley Balko reports has
always happened, its just in this internet age, we're able to now
read stories that previously would have been only locally
disseminated. (and with everyone with a camera and a youtube
account, we can see innumerably more Rodney Kings)
In fact, I'd almost argue that they're very similar to
Mushariff's actions.
And Mushariff at least as the excuse that he's fighting
well-entrenched and well-funded fanatics. I'm not sure what
Chavez's excuse is.
Democracy is a means to an end, not an end in itself. To the
extent it serves liberty, I support it; to the extent it does not,
I oppose it
Bingo. Democracy is probably a necessary but not sufficient
condition to having a free society. As we have seen over and over
again, the mob is only too willing to take the property and liberty
of their fellows.
President Putin took power a society where had democracy and
rule of law had been completely subverted, with the assistance of
the most loathsome and corrupt class since the fall of the Roman
Empire.
He then immediately turned on his evil benefactors, tamed those few
who could be tamed, and banished those who could not. He has
restored legitimacy, democracy and the rule of law, and in the
process won the love and support of his people to a degree hardly
seen in the world. Deservedly so.
Why does the media-industrial-complex hate this good and noble man
so much? He is no way similar to Chavez, and he is no dictator. He
has in fact scrupulously adhered to constitutional
requirements.
He seems to me a man of Dostoyevski's Holy Russia, certainly not a
Soviet throwback. In fact I liked the comparison of Pres. Putin to
Elliot Ness.
Perhaps the media here are just in the pockets of the same families
of criminals and oligarchs that President Putin has vanquished --
or , to be charitable, maybe they are just just shallow,
ill-informed sensationalists.
Over 50 comments and not a single reference yet to a pants
suit.
Democracy works!
joe,
As could be expected, Hugo's concession prompted his
supporters at home and abroad to point to this as proof that Chavez
presides over a democracy little different than our
own
Everybody clear on that? If you think the success of the
election in Venezuela demonstrates that that country is a
democracy, it means you're a Chavez supporter.
Let A be Chavez supporters
Let B be pointing out democracy
If A then B (as Moynihan claimed)
does NOT NOT NOT NOT NOT imply
If B then A (as joe claimed)
Take a fucking logic class.
"Pinochet and Musharraf and their ilk are supported by the Right
only in that they are alternatives to something worse. Pinochet and
Marcos held their elections after being pressured by the US to do
so, and relinquished power also under US pressure.
Nothing comparable happens from the Left."
Wrong. Chavez just had an election, and he lost, and he did not do
either because of "pressure from the US." It took quite a while for
Pinochet to have elections and it was in the face of overwhelming
world pressure.
As to your theory of leftists paying homage to these dictator scum
you are right about some leftist and wrong about many more. And
your wrong that those on the right don't pay homage to their
dictators. Pat Buchanan's family, when he was a kid, had a picture
of Franco hanging up in their house. Many right wing Christians
held both Franco and Pinbochet up as embattled warriors fighting
"Godless Communism." Part of the old Rights reluctance to get into
WWII pre-Pearl Harboer was certainly due to the feeling that the
Germans were either not that bad or at least they would stick it to
the Communists.
Temper, temper, robc.
It must be nice for a writer to have volunteer spinners like
yourself.
joe,
You were the one spinning. I was just following strict logic rules.
Since you are the one that doesnt like anyone to read anything into
your posts other than literally what you say (most of us arent joe
Fundamentalists, however) you should apply the same standard to
others. Follow ALL symbolic logic rules.
"If I were them, I would be concentrating on the next round of
assembly elections. Rana, who is apparently from Venzuela, reported
on the other threat that turnout for parliamentary elections runs
around 25-30%. The name of the game for the next few years would be
appear to be checking Chavez, cementing the democratic process, and
maintaining the rule of law. Didn't the rejected amendments pass
the assembly by a wide margin? They ought to make a study of Daily
Kos, Act Blue, and the 2006 midterms.
You know. Democracy."
I guess I should have been clear before. The last parliamentary
election turn out was 23% (according to CNE) because there was a
call to boycott the election from opposition leaders.
The ammednments passed the assembly by wide margins because the
National Assembly is pro-Chavez. They "approved", further modified
and added ammendments behind closed doors with no input or
participation from opposition parties. The only choice given to the
people of Venezuela was to vote "Yes" or "No" to all ammendments- a
package deal.
So imagine you arent pro-Chavez. You had no say as to whether the
Constitution should be changed or not; you had no say as to what
should be ammended or how; you had no say as to whether you could
vote on each ammendment seperately. You were just told to vote
"Yes" or "No". Add to this the fact that the CNE is, arguably,
pro-Chavez, and you feel you have been cheated before...
Well, this doesnt leave much room for your faith in
"democracy".
That is why I feel this victory has truly been amazing and it is
more of a testament to the effort of the students and
freedom-lovin' Venezuelans than the "respect" of Hugo Chavez for
democracy.
Certain opposition leaders called to NOT vote because they
claimed the referendum was illegal. They claimed that the proposed
69 ammendments were significant enough to change the
ideology/philosophy of the original constituion (i.e. creating a
NEW constituion). They filed claims as to the illegality of the
referendum with the TSJ (Supreme Court) but were shot down (wonder
why? the TSJ is also pro-Chavez).
Interesting side note: a picture is circulating the internet
showing the President of TSJ placing her ballot into the voting
box. It shows she voted "No".
The announcement of the strike has caused fascists to denounce
unions.
The administration's decision to invade Iraq caused anti-American
leftists to denounce George Bush.
The execution of Saddam Hussein caused Baathist sympathizers to
declare that the Iraqi government was infested with Sadrists.
In robc world, there is nothing wrong with any of the above
statements, nor is there any intent to smear people by association,
because a painfully-literalist bit of logic can be used to show
that they can be interpretted in an inoffensive manner.
"In Venezuela, fascists and supporters of the old oligarchy
voted to reject changes to the Constitution."
Careful, don't object to the clear meaning of the above statement,
or robc will accuse you of not understanding logic.
joe,
You are right, joe, I see nothing wrong with any of your statements
at 11:45. As Im neither a Baathist, a leftist, or a fascist, none
of them can possibly smear me. Im quite sure I agree with all on
some issues, now and again. I dont have a problem with that. I
denounced GWB well before the invasion of Iraq. The anti-american
leftists were late to the party.
This is no different than Dondero/Guiliani saying that Paul blamed
America for 9/11. The poor use of logic leads to people saying all
kinds of stupid things.
RE 11:49 post - isnt the clear meaning that fascists and supporters
voted to reject change? There is nothing else that can be read into
it. Im missing the point. Anyone with a brain realizes that other
people may have also voted to reject the changes.
You are missing the point.
Writers phrase things like for the purpose of lumping everyone who
does Action X into Category Y.
joe,
No. You assume writers do that. And probably some do. So fucking
what. That isnt what they said. Maybe, just maybe, they meant what
they said. Just like you always claim you mean what you write
instead of people's interpretations of what you write. Actually,
since you are a writer (at least on here), you must be doing the
same thing.
Have you lived in this country for the past few years,
rob?
Sincerely,
joe the Saddam-supporting, terrorist-loving, Chavez-supporting
Dhimmi
joe,
Should I answer it like I did your "have you sold a house
recently?" question?
Accept for part of 1991, I have lived in the US since 1969. I
worked in Switzerland for a while, so you can blame my use of logic
on the Swiss if you want.
Here are corrections of some inaccurate information you're
simply repeating from the mainstream media about Venezuela.
For one, the Tascon List does not prove the CNE is controlled by
Chavez. In fact, the CNE condemned the release of the list by Luis
Tascon as did Maria Plaza the Cheif Public Prosecuter.(1) The
Tascon List was a thoughtless move by Luis Tascon in his eagerness
to find out if there were fraudulant signatures in the list. What
came out of it were some Chavez supporters using the list to
discriminate their opposition.
The "legitimate questions" you sources has already been dismissed
as inaccurated by the Center of Economic and Policy Research and
The Carter Center (2)
The author of the Huffington Post's article had a poor definition
of dictatorship. Hitler was an elected Dictator, however there is
no indication whatsoever that Chavez is a dictator. The 1999
constitution put forward by his party and voted by the Venezuelan
people gave he people the power to veto any law put forward by the
government. Only 10% of registered voters are required to put a law
to a referendum vote. 5% for laws by decree.(3) I've never seen a
dictator give his people that much power.
Regarding your claim that Chavez's opponents faces serious threats
(sources please) and an onslaught of pro-regime propaganda, you are
purposefully ignoring the widespread local and international
anti-Chavez propaganda.(4) You mention ViVe and VTV, but you don't
seem to mention the opposition media, Globovision, Venevision, and
CMT. It sure is convenient for you to ignore the powerful corporate
media in Venezuela.(5) Where do you think the idea of him being a
dictator came from? What about the notion of these reforms being
called the "President for Life" reforms by many in the mainstream
media? Since when did removal of presidential term limits equate
"President for Life"? France has no term limits, neither does the
UK, Canada, Australia, and most European democracies. This was the
fear mongering the pro-Chavez and independents in Venezuela had to
face. A "Yes" vote, they were being told, was a vote for
dictatorship.
1.
http://infovenezuela.org/attachments-spanish/T5%20ST02%20N4%20La%20lista%20de%20Tascon.pdf
2. http://www.cartercenter.org/documents/2020.pdf
3.
http://www.misionvenezuela.org/espanol/ConstitutionoftheBolivarianingles.pdf
4.
http://www.therealnews.com/web/index.php?thisdataswitch=0&thisid=648&thisview=item
5. http://www.venezuelanalysis.com/analysis/710
Steve,
I wish I had more time to reply to your points above, but I will
try my best.
You are right about the Tascon List being used to single-out and
discriminate voters who signed against Chavez during the referendum
of 2005. I personally know many people who have been victims of
this list: losing their jobs, etc... A truly democratic leader
would want his governemnt to treat all citizens equally, no? It
should protect the rights of all citizens equally, no?
Regading CNE being "controlled" by Chavez. Well there is no hard
proof but many people fear this may be so because the ex-president
of the CNE, Jorge Rodriguez, was conveniently appointed
Vice-President of Venezuela by Chavez soon after Chavez was
re-elected. This at the very least would make any reasobale person
suspisious, no? (I can hardly see anything like THIS happening in
any truly democratic country without raising some eyebrows).
As to whether Chavez is a dictator or not, well he is not.. por
ahora. But there is no doubt he wants to remain in office for the
rest of his life. And the FACT that he SAYS he will remain in
office until 2050.. well, that makes many people nervous as
well.
Give me a little time to get the hundreds of cases that show
opposition leaders, protesters or simply journalists being
assaulted in Venezuela by chavistas. (Once again, I KNOW quite a
few of them, but Im sure this means nothing to you, but it does to
me).
Globovision is really the ONLY opposition tv channel left.
Venevision and CMT are not. So I think you can do the math... Again
there is evidence to this, I need some time...
The crazy crap Chavez government does in Vz is not seen in, France,
the UK, Australia, Canada. Heck Im sure if the governments of these
countries had inflation/corruption/crime/scarcity rates there is in
Venezuela, they WOULD no longer be in power.
Those are some interesting standards, Steve, concerning the
Tascon List. Let's see, Joe McCarthy never PERSONALLY persecuted
anyone, he merely released the names of people who were suspected
to be communists. And almost all of them were. What Hollywood DID
with their overenthusiasm had zero to do with McCarthy.
Of course, the Tascon List is about 1000 times longer than
McCarthy's, and the consequences 1000 times graver than that, but
hey, you know Latins, they get tired of looking at long lists, so
no big deal.
Steve is so convinced that everyone here is getting their news
from US mainstream sources, he might want to check this out:
http://www.noticias24.com/actualidad/?p=10213e
Mmmm hmmm, that CNE is rrrrrreal independent.
The part about the military refusing to send tanks and soldiers
against protesting students is chilling.
@Rana
I'm not defending the Tascon List. As I mentioned in my post, it
was condemned by Chavez, the CNE, and the Chief Public Prosecutor.
It definitely was a scandal under the Chavez government, but
scandals are not something that's foreign to democratically elected
governments.
As for the CNE's corruption charges, I have yet to see a result
that went largely against the expectation. Many polls were claiming
this referendum was at a "statistical tie".(1) Not surprisingly,
the result was a close one. The 2006 presidential election polls
were all pointing to a clear victory by Chavez(2), and this is what
happened. While the opposition always likes to claim fraud, they
have yet to provide any credible evidence.
"Globovision is really the ONLY opposition tv channel left"
I think you're being a bit disingenuous. And let's not pretend that
RCTV does not exist in Venezuela. Even Fox News airs in Venezuela,
so you're being quite disingenuous when you claim it is the "ONLY
opposition TV channel left". RCTV still airs in Venezuela via cable
and satellite. I wonder what would have happened to the RCTV had
they done what they did in the US. I believe treason is punishable
by death in the US.
"The crazy crap Chavez government does in Vz is not seen in,
France, the UK, Australia, Canada. Heck Im sure if the governments
of these countries had inflation/corruption/crime/scarcity rates
there is in Venezuela, they WOULD no longer be in power."
I love how you bundle a bunch of things as "crap Chavez government
does". The inflation rate has actually been lower under the Chavez
years. I suggest you have a look at the inflation growth rate
before Chavez came into power(3)(4). Crime is indeed something the
Chavez government needs to address. I don't see how this problem is
any different than problems other elected governments face. But you
don't seem to acknowledge all of the good Chavez has done in
Venezuela.(5)(6)
If the opposition was a bit more organized maybe they'd have more
representation. I'm all for a healthy opposition, and hopefully
after this victory they'll stop claiming fraud and giving
Venezuelans a real alternative.
@atrevet:
What you said about the McCarthy and how Hollywood reacted (wasn't
just Hollywood, btw), could be said the same about the Tascon List.
I'd argue that McCarthy was much worse. While Luis Tascon's reason
for publishing the list was to see if fraud had been committed by
the opposition (I disagree with this tactic), McCarthy's purpose of
outing potential communists was to claim they were traitors.
1. http://en.epochtimes.com/news/7-11-30/62489.html
2.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venezuelan_presidential_election,_2006#Polls
- Each poll has citation
3. http://www.venezuelanalysis.com/news/2315
4. http://i6.photobucket.com/albums/y218/oilwars/Image5.gif (Do a
google news archive "All Dates" search for venezuela inflation rate
103.2)
5.
http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/venezuela_2007_07.pdf
6. http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=40088
To go a bit futher on atrvete's comparison of the Tascon List to
McCarthyism.
Are you honestly going to suggest that Tascon's list was worse than
McCarthyism? There is no evidence that the consequences of
releasing the list was supported or mandated by President Chavez.
In fact, Chavez condemned the actions. The same cannot be said
about McCarthyism and President Truman. President Truman signed
Executive Order 9835 which resulted in about 1 of 5 employees
having to pass a "loyalty" review.(1) If Chavez had passed such an
order, there would be international outrage. For you to suggest
that the Tascon list scandal was worse is ridiculous.
The crapola that happened during McCarthyism wasn't some sort of
accident, it was US policy to monitored those who communists. The
estimates of those imprisoned and lost their jobs due to
McCarthyism is estimated to be in the tens of thousands.(2)
It's ridiculous comparisons like these that the opposition love to
make. They'll compare Chavez to Hitler, Stalin, etc. Folks, can we
stop resorting to propaganda and stick to the facts?
1.
http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0038-9765(195903)11%3A2%3C404%3ALASETI%3E2.0.CO%3B2-S
2. http://press.princeton.edu/titles/6698.html
Of COURSE I think Tascon's List is worse than McCarthyism.
Anyone who thinks that Chavez did NOT order this is a fool. Do you
really think Luis Tascon is some kind of loveable clown who was
just trying to help, and he kinda screwed up and now Chavez is all
embarrassed and is somehow taking the heat?
Of course if Chavez denies this he couldn't be lying, could he?
Yes, this list has been far far more damaging to the people who
signed it, as well as it affecting far more people, in ways that
are far more severe.
Rana says she has personal friends who lost jobs, were victims of
violent assaults that were never prosecuted or investigated. Do YOU
have any personal friends who lost their jobs or were similarly
victimized by McCarthyism?
A lot of speculation, but no proof that this was state policy of
Chavez. Again, the same cannot be said about Truman and
McCarthyism. There were several acts passed to discriminate against
those who were thought to be communists or simply not loyal to the
US government.
"Rana says she has personal friends who lost jobs, were victims of
violent assaults that were never prosecuted or investigated. Do YOU
have any personal friends who lost their jobs or were similarly
victimized by McCarthyism?"
It's amazing that the sources I've already pointed out to you is
not enough, but what would convince you is anecdotal evidence.
McCarthyism is a movement that lasted two decades where people were
imprisoned and and lost their jobs. There is plenty of information
out there, you don't need a personal experience from me to
understand it.
The purpose of McCarthyism was to track down potential communists,
interrogate them, get them fired and possibly put them in prison.
This was public policy. As for the Tascon List, there is ZERO
evidence that suggests Chavez supported the discrimination against
his opposition.
I'll say it once again, if Chavez did a FRACTION of what Joe
McCarthy did (publicly call for the dismissal of government
employees tied to communism), there would have been an
international outcry.
Chavez DID a fraction of what Joe McCarthy did. Like, um,
1000000/2.
You might want to check out this evidence. The scope of the Tascon
List is far more insidious in both quality and quantity than
anything McCarthy or Truman could get away with. That's why they
were public about it.
http://blogs.salon.com/0001330/categories/tasconSFascistList/
I don't see how the blog you linked me to shows the scope of the
Tascon List as any deeper than what I've described. What I see is
the blogger constantly labeling Chavez and his government a fascist
regime. Is the Maisanta list what you wanted to show me? Did you
know that in the US the political parties use software with
hundreds of fields of information about voters, and it's perfectly
legal. They would look at this Maisanta DB and laugh.
I suggest you google "microtargeting" to not only understand what
the Maisanta DB is but how pathetic it is compared to the amount of
data the Republicans or Democrats gather.
If this is worse than McCarthyism, then you should be outraged at
the microtargeting happening in practically all democracies with
much more sophisticated data.
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