Brian Doherty | July 9, 2007
Get five libertarians together in a room, and you'll instantly get 10 factions, as the old movement joke goes. Fission in the "Free State Project " movement gets some press attention, as a gang who never liked the idea of naming cold Yankee New Hampshire as the target Free State make waves in Wyoming.
My Dec. 2004 reason feature on the Free State Project .
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NH was a bad choice from the start. The Claremont series of NHSC decisions is making the growth of state government practically inevitable.
I'm working on the Free State Illinois project.
I don't want to move anywhere.
Basically, my Free State project is to cajole my fellow Illinoisans
all the time. The bad thing is, no libertarians can hold office,
because once one gets elected to office in Illinois, the hand goes
right in that kitty and it's "liberty shmiberty, I've hit the
jackpot!"
David's point is well taken. Any libertarian migration to NH is
swamped by the tsunami of Massachusetts residents moving into
southern NH.
And those Massholes are pink, baby. Really, really pink.
The Free State project should have been set up in a state that was
otherwise losing population, so that the demographic trend would
work for you, not against you.
That, and you'd only need like 75 people to have a majority
in Wyoming.
Great - so if we can double the number of libertarians we'll be
halfway there!
If the FSW want to to do their own thing fine, but they
shouldn't make false statements to reporters about the FSP.
They say the FSP is slowing down, yet the FSP just had 450+ people
at its summer gathering (150 or so more than last year), hit 7,777
signers the other day, and will have 1000 moved by the end of 2008.
This is ignoring the political impact members are already having,
which is well beyond their numbers. Anyone who says the FSP is
slowing down isn't paying attention.
I don't know much about the FSP but from where I'm sittin' two free states is better than one.
An interesting experiment no matter what happens. My impression
was that the whole thing was dead and they never got the number of
people they needed to move.
If not, good for them. If so, it can't hurt.
Hear, hear, Ken Schultz.
I can do Wyoming. Been there. Liked it. New Hampshire just seems
kinda intimidating if you are a Westerner. The real estate ads
seemed to be a lot of doublewides on 2 acres of permafrost
ex-forest. In Wyoming, I could get a doublewide and 200 acres of
freezing prairie. And fewer mosquitos.
They each have their advantages. New Hampshire has the precious role of having the first primaries. Wyoming is a nice, open, rural state that could more easily be invaded.
Why not go take over some island country
and get rid of the federalis altogether?
There would have to be a plan, common pool of money and
commitment...the basis of a dictatorship.
Nice to see that the reporter managed to find a pair that perfectly exemplify the whackaloonery of some libertarians.
Number 6,
The more serious libertarians are all hanging around indoors
posting on Hit&Run. They don't have time for interviews.
The Free State project should have been set up in a state
that was otherwise losing population, so that the demographic trend
would work for you, not against you.
Yeah...I hate to brake it to you but my definition of liberty
includes not having to live in fucking North Dakota.
Anyway my suggestion would be Oregon...still relatively
underpopulated...good weather...a western state with frontiersman
individualist traditions and a shifting demographic from Blue to
Red...great place to inject new ideas for a searching
electorate.
a shifting demographic from Blue to Red
Huh? Oregon?? Oregon is most certainly not shifting red.
Quite the opposite, it has been shifting blue for some time
now.
Also, at 3.7 million it is not nearly underpopulated enough for a
small group to make a serious impact electorally. That's three
times the population of New Hampshire and over seven times the
population of Wyoming. It doesn't seem like such a good idea to be
making an already very difficult task that much harder by picking a
much larger state.
Huh? Oregon?? Oregon is most certainly not shifting red.
Quite the opposite, it has been shifting blue for some time
now.
Read this:
http://www.wweek.com/editorial/3236/7763/
Fluffy,
Any libertarian migration to NH is swamped by the tsunami of
Massachusetts residents moving into southern NH.
And those Massholes are pink, baby. Really, really pink.
That's a logical conclusion about why New Hampshire is becoming
more liberal, but it turns out to be wrong. In the 2004 elections,
when New Hampshire voted for the Democratic presidential candidate
for the first time since God knows when, the southern counties
where all the Massachusetts transplants moved voted for Bush more
than the central and northern counties. Think of the Massachusetts
transplants as political refugees, fleeing the despotism of Deval
Patrick.
New Hampshire is turning blue, but it's not because of the
transplants.
joshua,
The thesis of that column is "When life give you lemons, make
lemonade."
First, the author argues that the change in party identification -
with more people registering as independents while fewer register
as Democrats - demonstrates a libertarian shift, then acknowledges
that those independents vote overwhelmingly Democrat.
Then, he argues the old saw about the fastest population growth
being in exurban counties that voted strongly Republican in recent
elections, extrapolating that those counties will continue to vote
Republican in the future, but be much larger. The problem with that
line of thinking is twofold: first, we're talking about very small
counties, which makes their impressive-looking growth rates
translate into very small numbers in real terms. Second, the
newcomers who cause rural counties to turn into exurbs are less
likely to be conservatives than the locals, and each succeeding,
and larger, wave of population growth is more and more
liberal.
And, finally, I'll note that both of these trends are national
ones, not Oregonian ones. People are registering Independent more
in every state. In Blue states, this means a drop in registered
Democrats; in Red states, Republicans. In every state, the
fastest-growing counties, in % terms, are heavily Republican rural
areas that are being turned into exurbs. The trends that are,
allegedly, turing Oregon red are happening nationwide. Do you see a
shift to the right happening nationwide?
Ugh, this libertarian wants out of Wyoming. Atleast the boring,
backwards little town he's living in.
I think the free state project is doomed because very few
libertarians are rich and unemployed or free to move away from
their work. All this does is concentrate a small, crazy section of
libertarians and make for back page publicity.
Face it, all you can do is try and hold true to your beliefs and
hope people in general come to your side (which, given the herding
mentality of most of the general public, isn't likely)
Or buy property on a nice, sunny island. Now that, I'll join you in
doing.
For decades, Oregon Republicans were to the left of the national
party - witness former Sens. Mark Hatfield (against the war in
Vietnam and too liberal to be picked Nixon's VP in 1968) and Bob
Packwood, plus former Gov. Tom McCall. The R's lurched way to the
loony right in the 80s and haven't been in power since. The R's
can't get elected to statewide office anymore because they keep
fielding social-conservative crazies, and the Libertarians can't
get elected to anything because they lurched from fielding potheads
in the 70s and 80s to Republican-lite empty suits of the 90s and of
today.
As for the FSP - why abandon your efforts in the other 49 states to
roll the dice on attempting to create one little haven? I say stay
where you are and work from there.
Do you see a shift to the right happening
nationwide?
depends on the time frame and what you define as "right".
but short answer: Yes
Well, read this:
"Democrats will retain power, analysts predict"
Salem (Oregon) StatesmanJournal
http://www.statesmanjournal.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070705/LEGISLATURE/707050306
Heh. As an amusing anecdote, a hard-core libertarian friend of
mine (whose company supplies flight controls to my company)
recently bought an old Atlas missle silo in a little town about an
hour north of Cheyenne. He moved his family and his company into
the old site. There's something vaguely heartwarming about an
eccentric libertarian rocket scientist buying an old missle silo in
the middle of nowhere Wyoming so he can test rocket engines (up to
100,000lbf) indoors whenever he darned well pleases...
...I doubt that had anything to do with anything, but I thought
some of you might find it amusing.
~Jon
While the FSPers are out on the windy range cleaning their guns and nursing their psychic wounds, I'm going down to my local bar here in Portland to listen to some blues. They can have Wyoming any day.
> In the 2004 elections, when New Hampshire
> voted for the Democratic presidential
> candidate for the first time since God
> knows when, the southern counties where
> all the Massachusetts transplants moved
> voted for Bush more than the central and
> northern counties.
On the other hand, those same southern counties threw out a
well-respected Republican congressman (Charlie Bass) in the 2006
election and put in a Democrat. So I don't think your analysis is
as clear cut as you think.
Gentry,
My point was "more Republican," not "solidly Republican."
I don't think there is any part of New Hampshire that is
safe-Republican above the state senate level anymore.
Idaho was the answer. They have a decent sized city, Boise (500,00 MSA), for those who need work, plenty of smaller towns for others and arguably the most Libertarian governor in the country.
Glenn K | July 9, 2007, 9:17pm | #
Well, read this:
"Democrats will retain power, analysts predict"
Salem (Oregon) StatesmanJournal
Come on Glenn...having the Statesman say it is like having joe say
it...the article calls 2006 a watershed event for democrats...one
that will last quite some time.
This might end up being true... but to say it changes over night
with one blip a 15-20 year trend....well you are going to have to
show me more blips.
Oregon did not pass a good property rights bill and a a bad ban on
gays in 2004 to suddenly pull a lasting switcharo simply cuz Iraq
chaffed with their isolationist sensibilities.
My own Free State Project involves plans to move to the almost
government-free town of Madrid, New Mexico
http://americasoutback.typepad.com/blog/2007/04/the_happiest_pl.html
When the FSP got started, my first thought was; please don't
choose [my home state].
The project is turning New Hampshire, and could turn even Wyoming,
into a socialist state.
Just for the record Scott Beiser resides in Wyoming.
Oh come on, you know Liberty's Cartoonist.
Sorry Pete, no offense intended. We like your stuff too. Loved the
Right To Keep And Bear Bazookas in the most recent edition of
Reason.
Also, at 3.7 million it is not nearly underpopulated enough
for a small group to make a serious impact electorally.
Plus if you move there from Californicate they burn crosses in your
front yard.
Or buy property on a nice, sunny island. Now that, I'll join
you in doing.
Free State Maui!
Scott Beiser's Blog is called Living on Mars (Rambling On The Frontier) something that Lost apparently can identify with.
This might end up being true... but to say it changes over
night with one blip a 15-20 year trend....well you are going to
have to show me more blips.
Oregon's presidential voting since WWII:
48: R (Dewey)
52: R (Eisenhower)
56: R (Eisenhower)
60: R (Nixon)
64: D (Johnson)
68: R (Nixon)
72: R (Nixon)
76: R (Ford)
80: R (Reagan)
84: R (Reagan)
88: D (Dukakis)
92: D (Clinton)
96: D (Clinton)
00: D (Gore)
04: D (Kerry)
There's your 15-20 year trend. We could do the same thing with
vovernor's elections which used to be fairly solidly GOP and is now
firmly in the hands of the Dems. If you want to look at the last
15-20 years in Oregon, the trend has quite obviously been towards
the "blue" rather than "red" states, contrary to your initial
claim.
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