The Volokh Conspiracy
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The Saving Construction in NFIB and the Anti-Saving Construction in Learning Resources
Six justices found that the best reading of statute supports the government, but only three applied the major question doctrine. Why wasn't this a reversal?
In NFIB v. Sebelius, the votes were unusual. Five justices held that the ACA's mandate could not be supported by Congress's commerce powers. Five justices also held that under the best reading of the statute, the penalty enforcing the ACA's mandate cannot be construed as a valid exercise of the taxing power. Chief Justice Roberts, however, used these findings of unconstitutionality as a necessary predicate to applying the saving construction.
This part of the opinion is not well-understood. Some critics charged that Roberts's analysis of the commerce clause was unnecessary since he ultimately upheld the law as a valid exercise of the taxing power. The speculation was that Roberts wanted to gift conservative some jurisprudential victory on the Commerce Clause while upholding Obamacare. The Chief Justice could only get to the saving construction after fully considering whether the law was otherwise unconstitutional. Under the saving construction, the Chief Justice was able to construe the penalty as a tax. To be sure, Roberts acknowledged the saving construction wasn't the best reading of the statute, but it was a reasonable reading for purposes of constitutional avoidance. Justices Ginsburg, Breyer, Sotomayor, and Kagan joined that portion of the saving construction, giving it five votes, and making that a majority opinion.
Learning Resources operates in something of a mirror fashion. Chief Justice Roberts, as well as Justices Gorsuch and Barrett, found that under the major questions doctrine, the plaintiffs would prevail. While constitutional avoidance in NFIB compelled a saving construction, constitutional avoidance in Learning Resources compelled an anti-saving construction. For a duly-enacted statute, the Court reads the statute to uphold Congress's handiwork. But for a novel executive branch interpretation of an old statute, the Court reads the statute to cut against the President's handiwork. To use Justice Gorsuch's phrasing, "When Congress failed to speak clearly, courts put a thumb on the scale in favor of delegated power. " In other words, Congress puts a thumb on the scale against the executive branch.
The only way that Roberts, Gorsuch, and Barrett could have reached the Major Questions Doctrine is by finding the plaintiffs do not prevail under the best reading of the statute. I'll admit this point is not stated expressly in the opinion. Part II-A-2 of the Chief's opinion sort of just jumps into MQD without explaining why. And Justice Kagan does not join II-A-2. But why apply this canon (whatever the basis) if the plaintiffs plainly win under the statute? Justices Kagan, joined by Justices Sotomayor and Jackson, found that the plaintiffs had the best "straight-up" reading of the statute. But these three refused to join the Court's application of the Major Questions Doctrine. Kagan wrote, "For all those reasons, straight-up statutory construction resolves this case for me; I need no major-questions thumb on the interpretive scales."
I think Kagan is right that there is a big difference between "straight-up" statutory interpretation, and MQD statutory interpretation. Whether you approach this from the perspective of substantive canons (like Justice Gorsuch) or "common sense" (like Justice Barrett), the MQD is doing something different than the traditional tools of statutory interpretation. When I went to law school two decades ago, and studied statutory interpretation, the MQD wasn't really a thing. Sure we read Brown & Williamson and a few other cases, but no one thought this was a revolutionary doctrine. But it is a thing now. If the MQD is simply another name for statutory interpretation, then why call it something else?
I think the Roberts opinion has to be seen as expressly rejecting this "straight-up" reading of the statute. Otherwise, there would be no need to go down the Major Questions Doctrine route. In NFIB, the Chief Justice made clear why he was applying the saving construction. But in Learning Resources, the Chief Justice did not explain why he was applying the anti-saving construction. Indeed, Roberts could have joined Kagan's opinion, which endorsed the plaintiffs' statutory reading. But that didn't happen.
Justices Kavanaugh, joined by Justices Thomas and Alito, found that the plaintiffs do not prevail under the "straight-up" reading of the statute, nor do they prevail under the Major Questions Doctrine. Justice Kavanaugh found that "In the foreign affairs context, including tariffs, the longstanding rule is simple: Interpret the statute as written, not with a thumb on the scale against the President." Here, "as written" means "straight-up." I think Kagan and Kavanaugh are on the same page here.
Let's count the votes.
Three justices clearly found that the "straight-up" reading of the statute, without the major questions doctrine, supports the government: Kavanaugh, Thomas, Alito. Three justices would have necessarily needed to find that the "straight-up" reading of the statute, without the major questions doctrine, supports the government: Roberts, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh. I count six votes for this position. Three justices found that the statute can be read, under the major questions doctrine, to support the plaintiffs: Roberts, Gorsuch, and Barrett.
Six should beat three. So why was this case a reversal? The simple answer is that Justice Kagan, Sotomayor, and Jackson stated that they concurred in the judgment. But concurring in a judgment does not create a judgment. The judgment should be determined based on which interpretative position garners the most votes. Here, there are six votes to reject the lower court's reasoning on the statute. This is not a case like Marks where no single interpretive position garners a majority. There is a majority, but the Justices do not wish to acknowledge it. You cannot turn a dissent into a concurrence by labelling it as concurring in judgment. Here, a majority of the Court squarely rejected the plaintiffs' statutory argument, and only three members adopted the plaintiffs' backup argument under the MQD. Why did the government lose?
All of the above analysis would be wrong if the major questions doctrine is not viewed as some sort of avoidance canon. But if it's not an avoidance canon, what is it? I realize there is an ongoing debate in the literature, and on the Court, about what triggers the MQD. But I think everyone would agree that it is always the first step, where possible, to apply a "straight-up" method of statutory interpretation. The sort of statutory interpretation we all learned in law school decades ago. In other words, if Justice Kagan is right, then there is no need to ever consider the major questions doctrine. And unlike NFIB, Justice Kagan did not join the anti-saving construction.
I realize this issue is largely academic, as the judgment says "affirm," but I don't think the answer is so clear.
Update:
I had an extended exchange with a colleague who is a federal courts expert.
He said that Roberts has no obligation to reject the straight up-reading. He can jump straight ahead to the MQD.
He said further that even if Roberts had expressly rejected the straight up reading, while Kagan refused to embrace MQD, there would still be an affirmance because six votes voted to affirm. After all, Justices are under no obligation to provide any reasoning. They can simply vote to affirm or reverse.
I will consider both of these points further.
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Refreshing my browser and only seeing the blog title entry, I knew who authored it before scrolling down. Never get tired of riding that hobby horse.
(It's often the case that the best statutory interpretation is because of MQD. I don't accept that the best reading of the statute conflicts with a MQD rationale.)
You should stop right there. If they don't state it, there's no reason to go on building on top of a foundation of them saying that.
No, they didn't "squarely" do that. You just acknowledged that the extra 3 you'd need for a majority didn't expressly state that.
Your prediction that the government would win this case was wrong. You are now struggling to understand why. You should go back to the drawing board and start over.
Another thing: however bad Roberts' opinion in NFIB is, he does at least explain what the saving construction is (the mandate is a tax, and thus Constitutional). Blackman is arguing that Roberts should have engaged in a saving construction here, but doesn't explain what that would be. How is he supposed to construe this law in some other way to make it Constitutional?
The law is constitutional here. They did not rule it unconstitutional. If anything they did save it, because the other reading would have raised delegation/constitutional issues.
It’s an extra 4, not an extra 3. Barrett wrote a concurrence saying that MQD is just ordinary statutory interpretation by another name and doesn’t introduce anything new.
Re Josh’s update:
“ He said further that even if Roberts had expressly rejected the straight up reading, while Kagan refused to embrace MQD, there would still be an affirmance because six votes voted to affirm. After all, Justices are under no obligation to provide any reasoning. They can simply vote to affirm or reverse.”
This doesn’t contradict anything in the OP. It’s exactly consistent with what Josh said: what matters for purposes of affirmance or reversal isn’t what the justices say, but how they vote.
But that has implications here. As John Marshall might have put it, if the Court doesn’t present any reasoning that makes its vote (which is just another way of saying: its judgment) make sense, then it’s still a judgment, but it’s not precedential, because it isn’t supported by any intelligible reasoning that commands a majority of the Court. It’s like a case with no majority opinion. Which is fine: such decisions happen all the time. But they shouldn’t be confused with so-called binding precedents having reasoning entitled to stare decisis effect. (Which is not to say that unreasoned judgments that point in a particular direction can’t have any conceivable stare decisis effect, but it’s certainly of a different and less, well, binding character.)
I will add that at no point did any court rule in favor of the government on statutory grounds. If some court in the future looks to precedent on IEEPA, there won't be a judgment of Trump's orders being deemed to fit in that.
Josh - SCOTUS used to have seriatim opinions like the British House of Lords where justices could have any number of completely divergent reasons for reaching the same result. It creates problems for people attempting to rely on any of the opinions as future precedent if there is no reasoning that clearly obtained a majority of the court, which is why Chiefs from Marshall onwards have striven to avoid seriatim opinions, but it is a fairly basic proposition of how common law courts have always worked that what matters for the outcome of a case is whether there is a majority for the judgment/decretal language, not whether there is agreement on why.
In other words, they are fundamentally voting on what instructions to give the lower court on remand, not on any particular reasoning. If they agree on reasoning, that is useful for later courts. But if they don't, it doesn't make the judgment any less of a judgment.
At any rate, 6 justices *agree* as to the reading of the statute. They disagree on the prior question of which interpretive tools one uses to get there, but it's not nearly as divided as, say, an opinion where some judges think IEEPA is unconstitutional under nondelegation, some think it's unconstitutional because the legislative veto in the National Emergencies Act is nonseverable, some think it's constitutional but doesn't allow tariffs, and some think it allows tariffs but not under these circumstances. But even an opinion that divided would still be an affirmance, because a majority would agree on the decretal language enjoining/declaring invalid the tariffs.
I like your analysis of this comment.
"Three justices would have necessarily needed to find that the "straight-up" reading of the statute, without the major questions doctrine, supports the government: Roberts, Gorsuch, Kavanaugh."
In my opinion, this is wrong, and not just because he mixes up Kavanaugh and Barrett. The MQD is an interpretive canon. Its purpose is to resolve an ambiguity in a statutory text. There are many other interpretive canons with the same purpose. So when a judge applies the MQD, and/or other interpretive canons, that judge has first reached the conclusion that a statutory term is ambiguous.
Here, the three Justices who applied the MQD did not "necessarily" find that a "straight up" reading of the statute favored the government. Rather, they concluded that the text was ambiguous, making a "straight up" reading an unreliable indicator of the statute's meaning. That's why they moved on to canons of construction, including the MQD.
In Blackman's view, it is necessary for the judge to start by choosing which way the case should be resolved if all interpretive canons are ignored. This strikes me as a bizarre interpretive method. Where there is ambiguity, canons of construction need to be part of the process of resolving that ambiguity.
Maybe Roberts, Gorsuch and Barrett were wrong to find the statutory text ambiguous (although the fact that the other Justices split 3-3 on its meaning would seem to be a data point suggesting ambiguity!). But they were not wrong to use the MQD to resolve the ambiguity.
Joshes gonna Josh...
6 justices voted to use a specific tool, and they were 3-3 when they use it. 3 justices didn't but arrived at the same result as 3 of the 6. Obviously, though, the reason that the dissenters didn't use the MQD was that they'd have had to decide against Trump if they had done so.
Josh's argument is peculiar - if the majority use a particular interpretative tool (props to Josh for getting the adjective right), that tool determines how the decision is to be reached. Bizarre.
No, as noted in your update.
But even assuming you are correct for the sake of argument, MQD is a second statutory interpretation method (not an avoidance canon) and the tariffs must pass both "straight-up" and MQD. Thus:
MQD, in theory, like originalism, in theory, is based on the idea motivated modern politicians, AKA beady-eyed power agglomerators, should not use their considerable clever reasoning and gift of gab to expand their powers at their whim beyond what the original legislators (or The Several States and The People) understood it as they approved it.
"But we shouldn't be bound by blah blah blah, also, living constitutionalism!"
How are modern politicians with the gift of gab expanding power at their own whim working out for you? If Trump serves any good, it is in giving the nation this reminder that such politics seems great -- as long as your hero is making the grab.
I think it would he a mistake to regard what Chief Justice Roberts did as applying a “saving construction” different from the statute’s ordinary construction. He applied the statute’s ordinary construction. Congress provided for a penalty. The statute provided for a penalty. Roberts in no way challenged or changed that fact.
What Roberts found was that the statutory penalty was sufficiently tax-like that Congress had the authority under its constitutional taxing power to enact it.
Finding that the penalty RESEMBLED what the taxing clause permits sufficiently to fall within the clause’s taxing power is in no way finding that it WAS a tax. So far as STATUTORY interpretation - what Congress intended and what the statute means - was concerned, the penalty remained a penalty and was never construed as anything but such. Only in CONSTITUTIONAL interpretation - what the taxing clause means by a tax and whether the constitution permitted the penalty to be enacted - did the question of what category it fell in even arise.
Above refers to Sebellius (the ObamaCare case) not the current tarriff case.
A very interesting explanation about the decision. The bottom line seems to be that a majority thought that Trump went too far in his reliance on the statute.
Someone needs to explain to the President that this was not a question of the Justices he appointed forsaking the judicial philosophy he liked in them. Just because you like space rockets doesn't mean that the law of gravity won't apply to them. Reasonable legal minds will differ; primarily this is a court who will apply the rules regardless of the results, not want a result and fashion the rules to get it.
The Justices here most definitely forsook the judicial philosophy he wanted and expected in them. MR. Trump made it perfectly clear that the primary criterion is personal loyalty to him, with “philosophy” a patina of intellectual-sounding bullshit sufficient to satisfy Central Casting and mollify skeptical Senators at confirmation hearings. He in no way wanted people capable of double-crossing him.
He had to settle for less than that in his first presidency to get his nominees confirmed. The Senate was much less patriotic and loyal then than at present. But he most certainly didn’t like doing so.
That would be a pointless exercise, because — aside from the fact that explaining things to Donald Trump is like reasoning with an earthquake — Trump did not like any judicial philosophy in the justices he appointed. He wouldn't know judicial philosophy from quantum electrodynamics. He appointed people that his advisors told him his supporters wanted him to appoint.
Didn't you say you were done with this case?
Prof. Segall has a reply to JB's recent originalism entry:
https://www.dorfonlaw.org/2026/02/if-it-takes-theory-to-beat-theory.html
Not only is it not stated in the opinion — making Blackman's claim wrong — but Blackman's claim completely ignores what Barrett's actual position was, which is that MQD is part of the ordinary construction of a statute, not a special "doctrine."
"But concurring in a judgment does not create a judgment. The judgment should be determined based on which interpretative position garners the most votes."
Who told you this? A judgment determines the rights and obligations of the parties in a specific case. The judgment in this case, which garnered 6 votes, is that the President can't impose tariffs which harm VOS.