The Volokh Conspiracy
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A "Diplomatic" Boycott of the Beijing Olympics isn't Good Enough
Only a real boycott - with athletes staying away - can have any meaningful effect.
President Biden recently indicated he is considering a "diplomatic" boycott of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing:
President Joe Biden said Thursday that the United States was considering a diplomatic boycott of next year's Winter Olympics in Beijing over China's human rights abuses, a move that would keep American dignitaries, but not athletes, from the Games.
Speaking to reporters as he hosted Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in the Oval Office, Biden said backing a boycott of the Olympics in February is "something we're considering."
I very much support the idea of boycotting the Beijing Games in response to the Chinese government's many horrific human rights violations. I laid out the case for doing so in this February post, where I also addressed some possible objections.
But a "diplomatic" boycott is unlikely to accomplish anything of value. Few people care whether various American "dignitaries"- presumably meaning politicians and diplomats - attend the Games or not. People watch the Games to see the athletes compete, not to see dignitaries sitting in the stands. Thus, even if various dignitaries stay away, the Games will go on and be just as much a propaganda showcase for the Beijing regime. Few viewers will even notice the dignitaries' absence, much less connect it with Chinese human rights violations.
By contrast, a true boycott will deny the regime a valuable propaganda opportunity, and make it pay a real price for its actions. It would be even better if the threat of a boycott by liberal democratic states forced the International Olympic Committee to move the Games out of China, for fear of losing TV revenue and undermining the quality of competition. Alternatively, if the IOC refuses to listen to reason, boycotting nations can hold their own alternative games - call them the Freedom Games or something similar. This would further divert viewers from the Chinese Games, and also mitigate the harm to athletes' careers caused by denying them the opportunity to compete in Beijing. I discuss both of these scenarios in my earlier post on this topic.
Time is growing short, as the Games are scheduled to begin on February 4. But, if the political will is there (an admittedly big if), it's not too late to mount a real boycott, as opposed to an essentially worthless "diplomatic" one.
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In that vein, are we also boycotting the World Cup in Qatar next year?
Can't boycott if you don't qualify. See 2018.
How about blocking transmission of opening and closing ceremonies in the US and EU?
TV executives can be "convinced."
Blackman could.
For better or worse, looks like we are going to qualify this time.
You want a serious answer? Because the President doesn't have the power. Congress could, of course, pass a law prohibiting the US from participating. But the President has no unilateral power to stop US teams from competing in international sports events.
The Olympics are a historical anomaly in that regard, in that they were created in an era where it was impossible to put on a big international sports event without substantial governmental involvement. So governments had to be involved.
Unfortunately, that has created a situation where completely untalented politicians can crush the dreams that talented athletes have worked their lives to achieve, working 400 times harder than anyone in politics ever works, dreams that can only be achieved once every four years. This was terrible when Carter did it, and it was terrible when the Soviets did it.
Athletes are not a fricking diplomatic tool. If Prof. Somin doesn't want to watch sports, don't watch them. But don't screw with athletes' lives. They work so hard for this and that work has nothing to do with geopolitical strategy.
What about an athlete boycott of the opening/closing ceremony. At least if 2008 is any guide, those ceremonies are always the propaganda highlight and the opening ceremony in particular is one of the most-watched events in the world. A disappointing opening ceremony would be a real blow to the IOC and the CCP. (The IOC knows this. It's why they've worked so hard in the past to resolve boycott threats involving single countries such as Greece.)
+1
Hardly seems fair to the athletes. In addition to disappointing them directly, they would then be targets for retribution during the rest of the games.
Right.
And also, what if some of the athletes support the Chinese government? Why should they be required to boycott the ceremony?
This whole exercise is about imposing the views of other people on the athletes rather than just letting them compete.
Why would any athlete put their health and freedom at risk going to a communist country that spreads deadly viruses?
I'm not sure I believe the data they put out, but it seems safer there than over here.
Seems more like you just wanted to dump on China to show how into nationalism you are.
Dalian is currently quarantining 800,000 people in the city and 400,000 outside. That's just one city and they've had frequent outbreaks throughout the country recently. They also locked down Lanzhou at the end of October, which has four million people. The Chinese vaccines suck, so that doesn't help.
Sure, but that goes to them being authoritarian blockheads, not to the Covid rate. If you believe their death rate, it's really small.
I don't think you can consider yourself safe when such authoritarian 'blockheads' (that term minimizes the suffering they cause) are in complete control over your entire future. It's not as if they've been shy about fucking up foreigners for perceived issues and black foreigners in particular have found it incredibly difficult to deal with the current attitudes in China.
Why would you, or anyone really, believe their death rate? That's almost a non-sequitur. Everyone knows it's much higher than they pretend, just as everyone knows that US soldiers weren't traipsing around in the Chinese forest trying to start COVID there.
Sorry if you think blockheads is an endorsement of China because I didn't foam at the mouth.
Your thesis is quite different than the OP, but is not on better ground. China won't fuck with the US Olympic Team. They may be blockheads, but they aren't stupid.
Why wouldn't they? They might not arrest them en masse but the CCP has already used COVID response and COVID itself as a tool against inconvenient people. Ask Tibetans. In any case the government is just fine with arresting foreign nationals to use as leverage, as everyone saw with regards to Huawei.
"it seems safer there than over here."
Not if you're a tennis player.
Quite right. Surely they relish the idea of staying here in a god-fearing capitalist country that spreads deadly viruses.
Communist China is the only country that allowed international travel while locking down internal travel. I can not think of any explanation other than needing the virus spread worldwide to insure widespread economic impact.
Longtobefree : "I can not think of any explanation...."
Makes me wonder how you interpret this country's pro-Covid political party. After all, our own Right-wing has scarcely missed an opportunity to promote the spread of the virus. They programed their followers to think the disease isn't serious, its effects are exaggerated, its spread overstated, its recorded deaths conspiratorial lies, the measures against it irrelevant & driven by secret agenda, the public health officials who fight it evil villains, and quack treatments against it secrets being hidden from the public. They turned their entire hive-mind zombie-hoard base into wacko anti-vaxx loons.
So sure, you make a strong case the Chinese care more about their own people than others worldwide. That's contemptable and exactly what I'd expect from such a loathsome regime. But where does that leave this country's Right?
They sold out their own damn people with disinformation about a pandemic disease - and did so through focused, concentrated & consistent agitprop messaging - and did so only for a few percentage points of polling gain.
I guess you'd call that loathsome-squared, right?
Zika enters the chat
I'd worry more about pollution, unless they shut down industry again.
Strange view for a libertarian.
The Reds would probably like a US boycott. More golds for the glorious athletes of the Han people.
I disagree with him, but I don't think it's hard to understand why a libertarian might want the US to publicly disassociate from China as much as possible.
Do you suppose that demonstrating that you disapprove of China is a principled libertarian reason to deprive individual athletes of a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for which they trained for years?
My guess is that any such boycott will only harden Chinese determination on rights abuses. What reason does anyone suggest that it would actually work?
It seems wrong both ways. I am surprised Somin proposes this.
It's a terrible idea.
It was a terrible idea in 1980.
It was a terrible idea in 1984.
It's a terrible idea today.
Exactly correct.
Most of all the human rights violation of creating the COVID virus, oops, with Fauci's help.
Should the US have boycotted the 1936 Olympics, with Jesse Owens never given a chance to run?
Owens is a good feeling story, but what exactly was gained by his heroism?
Hitler got bad US press. He was not removed from power, he still stared a world war, still murdered millions.
Boycott would also have made no difference.
Don't discount the power of that myth on the non-German side.
We still talk about him for a reason.
Owens and Joe Louis were crucial in calling attention to the Nazi threat.
"crucial in calling attention to the Nazi threat."
Exactly, that is why their invasions of Poland, Low Countries and France failed. Its also why Hitler was overthrown in 1937.
Isolationism was very popular in the '30's. Without Owens and Louis, perhaps FDR doesn't get the popular support necessary to do lend/lease.
"We still talk about him for a reason."
Sure, its a great story. Plucky American, suffering from Jim Crow here, showed the "master race" off.
It just made no difference in the real world. Likewise that great satire, The Great Dictator, makes us feel good but did bupkis in stopping Hitler.
Don't be daft - national stories like that one sure do make a difference in the world.
What if he had lost?
I'm torn on this, because a full boycott punishes the athletes more than anyone else. They train very hard for the Olympics, and skipping one Olympics can mean the difference between gold and not even competing for some. I would say send the athletes, but no one participates in opening or closing ceremonies and no dignitaries. That takes away the big propaganda moments but still lets the athletes compete.
A "diplomatic boycott" is the typical poorly thought-through action that has been the hallmark of Mr. Biden's presidency.
Who in the world cares if Biden, Harris, or Blinken stay away? No one and especially not Mr. Xi
make it pay a real price for its actions
And what exactly price is that? You think the Soviets really gave a shit? The Cold War didn't end because some athletes didn't fly to Moscow to play games.
They gave enough of a shit that they did a tit-for-tat four years later.
Throw this on the trash pile with “Here’s a great idea about lowering the voting age to 6 years old (really, I’m just venting again about stupid people voting)!” The only thing accomplished by this would be a further souring of our sour relationship with China, and wasting the efforts and talents of America’s Olympic athletes.
>make it pay a real price for its actions.
A traditional boycott would make US athletes pay a price. For many/most, this is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to make some money in their sport.
>hold their own alternative games - call them the Freedom Games or something similar.
Which nobody will watch...
If we actually gave a shit about genocide and labor camps, we'd ban the importation of Chinese goods.
Though I don't agree with the specific example, yeah, you have the spirit of the thing. Prof. Somin's proposal is to force the most talented Americans to bear the cost of validating his personal feelings, rather than doing something that might impact Prof. Somin's own life.
Just pull the US name out of it and let them compete under the Olympic flag. I'm not sure how the government has the power to stop them from competing since the committee is a private organization that isn't government funded.
Of all the ways to show disapproval of Chinese policies it seems that your proposal is one of the worst. For many athletes their prime will occur for one and only one Olympics and then that's it.
It's seems that you're proposing a hard line on the Olympics out of frustration with, and as a proxy for, the soft line we take with China at the government and private industry level. If you can't get woke Silicon Valley, Academia, and Wall Street onboard with at least *not censoring* criticism of the CCP then leave the poor athletes who have no power at all alone.