Patrick Ruffini: Why Did Trump Win?
Author and GOP strategist Patrick Ruffini discusses Trump's re-election and the ways in which the party is changing.
Why did Donald Trump win?
Trump is back. Back again. He's secured the Electoral College majority needed to become America's 47th president and looks on track for a popular vote majority—the first Republican to pull that off in more than 20 years.
A New York Times breakdown shows that across just about every type of county—urban, suburban, older population, younger, white, black, Latino—Trump improved his numbers.
Surprising to many was Trump's large improvement among Latinos of all kinds, despite—or maybe in some cases because of—his hardline immigration stances and insult comic Tony Hinchcliffe calling Puerto Rico a "floating island of garbage" at his Madison Square Garden rally shortly before the election. Yet seven percent more Puerto Rican Americans appear to have voted for Trump this year than in 2020.
One person who is less surprised than many is today's guest, Patrick Ruffini, who wrote a book predicting much of this called Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. He's a Republican Party strategist, a pollster for Echelon Insights, and writes at The Intersection.
Sources Referenced:
- 2024 Presidential General Election Results
- The New York Times: Early Results Show a Red Shift Across the U.S.
- The Wall Street Journal: How Different Groups Voted in the 2024 Election
- The married/unmarried gap
- Associated Press: How America voted in 2024 (demographic breakdowns)
- National Center for Education Statistics: College Enrollment Rates
- Florida election results 2024 vs. 2012
- VoteCommon Kamala Harris Ad
- Producer: John Osterhoudt
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The dems didn't call people nazi enough
Don’t worry. They’re already starting to double down on that in anticipation of the 2026 midterms. They’ll probably also invent another freakshow protected class between now and then too.
The party of MORE [Na]tional So[zi]al[ism] didn’t Self-Project enough?
Contrary to the [WE] gang of National Socialist simplistic name-calling minds; Words usually have definition that goes beyond just name-calling.
He got the most votes? (Both popular and electoral).
And ran an amazing campaign with an even more impressive ground game. I also have to give major props to Lara Trump and Michael Whatley. They got the RNC’s shit together after years of complacent feckless leadership from Ronna McDaniel. They really fended off a lot of the democrat fraud this time.
The democrats lost because they didn't have a biological male posing as a woman to run for the POTUS.
Hopefully, the democrats have learned this important political lesson.
Michelle declined to run.
Mike dropped
Why are these questions?
I mean, Kamala was the worst candidate of the bunch when she ran. Which was 4 years ago. She never got a single primary vote this time around and was appointed. Nobody with credibility was actually excited about Kamala. She was getting the blue no matter who vote and the neocon vote.
Biden was a nightmare. The chants of “Fuck Joe Biden” started YEARS ago, and we’re not talking about online fifty centers. More like rounds of FJB at sporting events. Let’s go Brandon! Covering for him would have reduced the media’s credibility if they still had any. These are bad candidates.
Anyone who didn’t see that was blind. Of course, there are none so blind as those who will not see (which describes a lot of Reason’s staff) but any election where Trump isn’t beaten by a landslide with the entire establishment media and the entire deep state running cover for the Democrats is entirely the fault of the Democrat’s hubris.
We were lied to, plain and simple. America was told that Biden was going to govern as a fairly standard moderate, center-left democrat and the country would be allowed to return to normal after the Covid nightmare. Instead, he immediately decided to let the country be put through far left wing hell pretty much from day one. Normalcy never even came remotely close to happening!
And then it was obvious to anyone with any sense that Biden was going to be a complete and total unmitigated incompetent disaster seven months in when the Afghanistan fiasco happened and he clearly showed that he just didn't give a flying fuck. Heck, he could barely even bring himself to PRETEND that he did!
I said at the time that happened that it was the beginning of the end of his credibility as a president and that he wouldn't recover from it, and of course I was right (as I am far more often than not). For the dems to believe that anyone could win by riding on his coattails was simply insane beyond anything I've ever seen politically.
If the democratic party "elite" (especially in the media) was anywhere near as smart as they like to believe they are, they would talk a hell of a lot less and listen a hell of a lot more. But I don't think that they can. I think they're far too arrogant and insulated from reality at this point and the Dunning-Kruger Effect is just too strong within them.
It also doesn’t help that everything started falling apart as soon as Harris/Biden got their fingers on it. A special combination of malignancy and incompetence
Oh, yeah. They were fucked, but then they doubled down on exactly the wrong things to do. Pouring money on inflation, mandating vaccinations (and ignoring mitigating factors like previous exposure to the 'rona) after they admitted it didn't stop transmission, constantly pushing unconstitutional mandates/loan forgiveness/whatever Biden wanted... they were antagonistic and divisive from the beginning at a time the nation needed healing.
You ever see the videos to teach fire fighting on an aircraft carrier? I know this is arcane, bear with me. In one they show a crew blasting a fuel fire with a normal fire hose and it sprays the fire all over everything and everyone. Biden and Congress did exactly that in 2021, metaphorically speaking.
Pure fucking hubris. And, in 2024, another bout of pure fucking hubris made 'em run these asshats again, like we wouldn't remember.
Some of us said that Joe Biden was the Second Coming of Jimmy Carter.
We were not wrong.
I actually listened to this real time.
Liz voted Trump. She has more balls than all the man boys at reason combined.
Patrick is measured and good people.
She has more balls than all the man boys at reason combined.
Probably my personal favorite Dad joke in terms of eliciting groans and repulsed reactions, that I used to make well before this scene was ever shot, is that whenever someone tells someone to "Grow a pair!" in Mrs. Casual's presence, I point out that shew grew three pairs.
I like the cut of your jib.
every once in awhile We the People fucking mean it.
I don't need a talking head to tell me how Trump won. The Dems have been telling us for 4 years Americans are Nazi's, White Supremacist's, Domestic Terrorists, Bigots, Racists and so on for noticing what they are doing to our country. People in America may disagree on politics but are none of these things and have had enough.
Nearly half of Americans do not vote for Gee Oh Pee Nazis, White Supremacists, Terrists, Bigots, Racial collectivists or Girl-bullying cowards. That same segment also refuses to vote for tax-happy communists, power plant saboteurs, Sharknado Warmunism Shiites or female impersonators too cowardly to bully the babes themselves. Nor do they vote Libertarian--especially since the LP was Anschlussed by Christian National Socialists, Orangopox Trumpanzees, Jesus Caucus joiks and RFKrackpots. Like Mangu--and unlike Aussie transportees and Brazilian integralistas--they refuse to vote.
Awwwwww.
Go sit in the corner cuck
And notice how he just spouts this crap and runs away. He doesn’t have the functioning brain cells or the spine to actually debate anything.
At least Hihn had the good grace to drop dead after he went batshit senile.
That same segment DID vote for tax happy communists Hank. The majority of us voted for freedom.
I for one will not die until I see the day when each of our brave and strong transgender female candidates compare testicle size to decide who the president will be.
Because the voters found out that Chase is gay and refused to cast a ballot for him. That’s why.
Sarc spoiled it by outing chase .
So this Paddy shill is Army Of God and not Ku-Klux Klavern, right?
Hank, how did your voting go? The candidates you voted for won?
He voted for William Jennings Bryan.
Not Benedict Arnold?
DID YOU KNOW THE LIBERTARIAN PARTY PLATFORM OF 1970 LED TO THE ROE V WADE DECISION
LIBERTARIAN SPOILER VOTES LED TO THE ROE V WADE DECISION
ALL I CARE ABOUT IS ABORTION AND I CANT GO 5 MINUTES WITHOUT MENTIONING ABORTION
I WOULD GLADLY LIVE UNDER A COMMUNIST DICTATORSHIP AS LONG AS THAT COMMUNIST DICTATORSHIP PROVIDED FREE ABORTION
Is that you ENB?
Are she and Hank related?
His communist flag would include a hammer and a
sicklecoat hanger.Ooohhhhhh….. I’ll be suing that one a lot with my democrat acquaintances.
‘Using’……
Fucking autocorrect,
Needs more Comstock.
And looters.
That was quite EMPHATIC!
Izzat you Lizard? Inside the Klan robes? Ceausescu was the antiabortion Communist dictator Nixon and Ford lined up to bootlick--this after Nixon tried to outlaw the US having ABM defenses, remember? https://libertariantranslator.wordpress.com/2018/08/30/romanian-comstock-laws/
Why did Trump win?
Duh, racism and penises.
I thought it was the masses of black and brown men embracing White Supremacy.
They ain't black.
It’s funny how old white democrats get to decide who is worthy of their blackness.
Reason 'editors' sure are butt hurt for a bunch who declared they wouldn't be voting for Harris.
A common thread in their answers was J6 and "election denialism." Regardless of the name they gave, that reveals establishment thinking and an affinity for the deep state democrat narratives.
Maybe they vote for Oliver or no vote, but they side with progressives.
Trump broke them…… AGAIN!
I’ve been popping popcorn all week while watching the festivities. I hope you’re all as much fun as me. Now I’m waiting for all the democrat tears in the likely event that Republicans hold the House.
Those tears will make a fine after dinner beverage.
Why Kamala lost is simple. She received 68mm votes. Biden received 81mm. Trump stayed flat almost hitting his 2020 total of 74mm.
Where did the 13MM democratic voters vanish to? Trump played the ultimate heel. He plannend his re-election strategy the day after he lost. Stolen election ruse was a false flag campaign to allow him a rematch in 2024. He then became the obsession of the media and democratic politicians for next four years. Those 13mm voters realize the democrats are as phony as a pro wrestling match and stayed home.
Masterful plan by Trump. He is in the pro wrestling hall of fame afterall.
You’re a conspiracy theorist for noticing stuff.
Two million of them looked toward the pro-freedom Libertarian party that had shifted 127 electoral votes in 2016 and saw it replaced by Witch-burning Torquemada Inquisition mystics--except for the handful of candidates with integrity not shut out entirely. Many others doubtless read candidate statements of Jesus Caucus whack jobs cross-dressing as libertarian in local elections and interpreted that to mean the entire LP had converted to the Powerhouse Temple of the Presumptuous Assumption of the Blinded Trumpanzistas.
Those 12mm voters don't exist.
If they had, we'd have seen them when Obama was running.
The Steal just revealed itself as real.
Surprising to many was Trump's large improvement among Latinos of all kinds . . .
My favorite, and my whole Latino family's favorite, reaction to this on Lefty Twitter (X), was how the Latinos who voted for Trump were voting for their own deportation, and would deserve it when it happened.
Surprising to many was Trump's large improvement among Latinos of all kinds,
Surprising to those whose only contact with hispanics is their maid... who really wants to keep her job.
despite—or maybe in some cases because of—his hardline immigration stances and insult comic Tony Hinchcliffe calling Puerto Rico a "floating island of garbage" at his Madison Square Garden rally shortly before the election. Yet seven percent more Puerto Rican Americans appear to have voted for Trump this year than in 2020.
"Hey Rick James, I hear you live in that floating pile of garbage called Seattle!"
Response 1: It is NOT a pile of garbage you insensitive ninny! This city is a jewel of progressive values and morality. You just don't like the fact that we're a city where everyone has a place, regardless if they're unhoused or not, and your bigoted, hateful comments are not appreciated and don't reflect Our Values and threaten Our Democracy. Go away, Trumpanzee!
Response 2: *looks around* Yeah, that's me. *high fives*
People forget that, once upon a time, folks had a sense of humor.
I vaguely remember it. Like when cable TV first happened and you'd always see a guy standing in front of a brick wall commenting on life, and we'd all laugh and think "Oh, shit, yeah, I've done that."
Ahh, good times. It feels so long ago. Fucking millennials ruined everything.
Anybody but a D.C. hack (?Regime Libertarians?) wouldn't need flappy-gas on why Trump won. He has already proven to be the most Libertarian President in the last century (Tax-Cuts and De-Regulation).
Yet the Reasons regime-libertarians did nothing but complain about Tariffs and National Security over and over and over again endlessly because it was the only two things they could think of to curse Trump for. TDS is not pretty by any means.
Sorted listing of States won by each presidential candidate indicating if the state has a voter ID law.
| State | Winner | Voter ID Law |
|——-|——–|————–|
| Alabama | Trump | Yes |
| Alaska | Trump | Yes |
| Arizona | Trump | Yes |
| Arkansas | Trump | Yes |
| Florida | Trump | Yes |
| Georgia | Trump | Yes |
| Idaho | Trump | Yes |
| Indiana | Trump | Yes |
| Iowa | Trump | Yes |
| Kansas | Trump | Yes |
| Kentucky | Trump | Yes |
| Louisiana | Trump | Yes |
| Mississippi | Trump | Yes |
| Missouri | Trump | Yes |
| Montana | Trump | Yes |
| Nebraska | Trump | Yes |
| North Carolina | Trump | Yes |
| North Dakota | Trump | Yes |
| Ohio | Trump | Yes |
| Oklahoma | Trump | Yes |
| Pennsylvania | Trump | No |
| South Carolina | Trump | Yes |
| South Dakota | Trump | Yes |
| Tennessee | Trump | Yes |
| Texas | Trump | Yes |
| Utah | Trump | Yes |
| West Virginia | Trump | Yes |
| Wisconsin | Trump | Yes |
| Wyoming | Trump | Yes |
| California | Harris | No |
| Colorado | Harris | No |
| Connecticut | Harris | No |
| Delaware | Harris | No |
| Hawaii | Harris | No |
| Illinois | Harris | No |
| Maine | Harris | No |
| Maryland | Harris | No |
| Massachusetts | Harris | No |
| Michigan | Harris | No |
| Minnesota | Harris | No |
| Nevada | Harris | No |
| New Hampshire | Harris | No |
| New Jersey | Harris | No |
| New Mexico | Harris | No |
| New York | Harris | No |
| Oregon | Harris | No |
| Rhode Island | Harris | No |
| Vermont | Harris | No |
| Virginia | Harris | No |
| Washington | Harris | No |
| Washington, D.C. | Harris | No |
Summary:
– Donald Trump won 29 states with voter ID laws and 1 state without voter ID laws.
– Kamala Harris won 0 states with voter ID laws and 21 states without voter ID laws.
This table and summary provides a clear view of the election results and the presence of voter ID laws in each state. It also illustrates an interesting “coincidence”. Is it Apophenia or Randomania?
Wow.. That really is amazing.
https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-voter-id-laws-state-1950691
An exact match with Democrat strong-holds.
Free election-fraud States.
Trump won Nevada, not Harris.
Because things get more expensive by the week. Was going to make my usual salad but went to store and small jar of green olives (small) was over $5
Biden , when he was campaigning, said his proposed budget upon re-election was 7.3 TRILLION. All major economics texts prior to Stephanie Kelton and MMT said that even a 1/7 of that will induce inflation.