What a $500 Billion Fraud Reveals About Our Broken System
Government agencies rarely check whether their handouts go to the right people. Why?
Americans want to help people in need, but when government does that, about 500 billion taxpayer dollars get stolen.
It's how the system is designed, says the United Council on Welfare Fraud's Andrew McClenahan in this new video. "You're measuring success by the amount of money you put out."
Because of that, government agencies rarely check whether their handouts go to the right people.
Minnesota is just the latest example.
Government officials didn't uncover that fraud—YouTuber Nick Shirley did.
I say to McClenahan, "It's weird that a kid did what government investigators couldn't do."
"Articles back in 2018 talked about millions of dollars in suitcases being flown out of Minneapolis," he replies. "But it took a 20-year-old with an iPhone to go in there and expose it on Twitter."
After Shirley publicized the fraud, the White House froze billions in welfare payments.
Progressives didn't like that.
"What they are doing is creating confusion, chaos, trying to intimidate people," complains Rep. Ilhan Omar (D–Minn.). "There is no reason for them to fully stop funding these programs. The only reason they're doing that is for PR purposes."
Minnesota's Gov. Tim Walz was hardly better. "This is on my watch. I am accountable," he said.
But he did nothing about the fraud.
During the pandemic, President Joe Biden said: "My message to those cheats out there is this: You can't hide. We're going to find you!"
But they didn't.
Of the hundreds of billions stolen in 2024, the Department of Justice barely recovered $2.9 billion.
Is there nothing we can do to stop fraud?
"Sure, you can!" says McClenahan. "It takes less than a second to verify things with data connections these days."
But government rarely uses modern data connections.
Elon Musk, when he ran the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), complained that government records weren't computerized. Many agencies doled money out without even saying what the money was for, or where it went! He calls government recordkeeping a "time warp."
"They're relying on rules and regulations written for pen and paper," says McClenahan.
Poor recordkeeping makes fraud easier.
Some people openly brag about it.
During President Donald Trump's first term, a rapper wrote a song about stealing benefits that Trump rushed out for pandemic relief: "I gotta shout-out to Donald Trump. I just might swipe me a lump sum."
That was in California. There's lot of fraud there. The state gave phone subsidies to 94,000 accounts of dead people.
"Everybody knows that the United States is the easiest game in town," says McClenahan.
Some stolen funds go to alleged terrorists.
"We literally rang the dinner bell for the whole world, and they answered," he says.
"These are American programs," I point out. "People in other countries aren't eligible."
"But if you're not checking to see where somebody lives, where they're applying from, who they are, you're not going to find them!" says McClenahan.
In addition, many state politicians don't try to find fraud. Handouts mostly come from the federal government, so local politicians reason: "People in other states pay, but my taxpayers collect! Why make a big effort to stop that?"
Trump recently gave investigators more access to state data, so fraud could be better tracked. But some states don't want to reveal that data.
"They're actively suing the government!" complains McClenahan.
Whenever government gives handouts, it creates bad incentives.
Before our government started welfare payments, Americans were steadily lifting themselves out of poverty. When welfare checks began, progress continued for several years but then stopped.
Handouts have taught some people to stay dependent!
What should be done? McClenahan says to verify eligibility first. That way you prevent fraud before money goes out. And no one should get benefits without trying to work.
"You've got to be looking for a job, volunteering, or at least getting job training. The best welfare program is a job."
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Please to post comments
And then nothing happened.
Stossel, there was no fraud and it was all committed by white people anyway.
Breaking:
Seattle Times:
Suspect in Canada shooting is identified as an 18-year-old with history of police visits to her home
Government agencies rarely check whether their handouts go to the right people. Why?
The handouts were going to the right people. Try to keep up, Stossel.
What should be done? McClenahan says to verify eligibility first.
They did verify eligibility. There's a checkbox right on the web form that reads, "I certify that blah blah blah..."
"Of the hundreds of billions stolen in 2024, ..." writes Stossel, without backing it up, or the $500 billion in the title. Usually he does better work than this! WHERE do these number come from? The meager link given merely discusses what was recovered or at least revealed.
Stossel is cooking the books a bit here, mangling some numbers together, according to my favorite AI, "Perplexity" See below...
The specific “500 billion” number in Stossel’s column is not a standard, well‑established health‑care statistic, but it is loosely anchored in two different strands of real estimates that people are now blending together: (1) broad “all federal fraud” estimates, and (2) more focused “health‑care fraud” estimates expressed as a percentage of spending. [worldofdtcmarketing](https://worldofdtcmarketing.com/the-80-billion-leak-in-americas-health-care-system-whats-really-going-on/)
## What credible sources say about health‑care fraud
- The National Health Care Anti‑Fraud Association (NHCAA) has long said that **conservative estimates put health‑care fraud at “tens of billions” per year**, and that some experts believe it could be **up to about 3–10% of total health‑care spending**, which would be in the **hundreds of billions** given U.S. spending over 4 trillion dollars. [lhermanlaw](https://www.lhermanlaw.com/how-common-is-fraud-in-the-healthcare-industry/)
- An insurance‑fraud review using FBI and industry data notes that **law‑enforcement and anti‑fraud organizations commonly use that same 3–10% range**, again implying “tens to potentially hundreds of billions of dollars each year” in health‑care fraud. [worldofdtcmarketing](https://worldofdtcmarketing.com/the-80-billion-leak-in-americas-health-care-system-whats-really-going-on/)
Those are **rough ratios on a huge base**, not audited counts; no agency is literally adding up 500 billion dollars of proved health‑care fraud cases each year.
## Where a “$500 billion” headline is coming from
- A 2024 Government Accountability Office (GAO) report estimated that **the federal government as a whole** could be losing between **233 and 521 billion dollars each year to fraud across all programs**, not just health care (this range includes pandemic loans, unemployment, tax credits, etc.). [ccagw](https://ccagw.org/in_the_news/gao-report-details-up-to-500-billion-in-annual-fraud/)
- News pieces summarizing that report repeat the “between 233 and 521 billion per year” line as a broad upper‑bound estimate of total federal fraud. [newschannel9](https://newschannel9.com/news/nation-world/fact-check-team-federal-government-loses-billions-annually-to-fraud-gao-report-reveals-losses-medicare-medicaid-snap)
If you combine:
- The GAO’s **“up to 521 billion per year in all federal fraud”** estimate, with
- The anti‑fraud groups’ **“up to 10% of health‑care spending”** rule of thumb,
you can rhetorically get to a **“$500 billion fraud”** talking point, but that is a **stacking of upper‑range estimates** rather than a single grounded measurement of confirmed health‑care fraud. [ccagw](https://ccagw.org/in_the_news/gao-report-details-up-to-500-billion-in-annual-fraud/)
## What the actual, tracked numbers look like
The numbers we can point to concretely for health‑care fraud are much smaller than 500 billion, though still big:
- The Association of Certified Fraud Examiners notes that in the federal system, **447 health‑care fraud cases were sentenced in FY 2023**, with median case losses around **1.4 million dollars** per case. [cms.acfe](https://cms.acfe.com/fraud-magazine/all-issues/issue/article?s=what-data-says-about-health-care-fraud)
- Department of Justice False Claims Act data show **health‑related qui tam (whistleblower) cases generating about 1.2 billion dollars in settlements and judgments in FY 2024 where the government intervened**, plus roughly 189 million where it didn’t. [cms.acfe](https://cms.acfe.com/fraud-magazine/all-issues/issue/article?s=what-data-says-about-health-care-fraud)
Those are **documented enforcement outcomes**, not total fraud; everyone agrees there is more undetected fraud behind that, but it illustrates how far we are from literally counting 500 billion dollars of identified health‑care fraud in a year. [lhermanlaw](https://www.lhermanlaw.com/how-common-is-fraud-in-the-healthcare-industry/)
## So: does Stossel’s number have any basis?
- It has **some conceptual basis** in the sense that:
- GAO and others now talk about **hundreds of billions per year in total federal fraud risk** across all programs. [newschannel9](https://newschannel9.com/news/nation-world/fact-check-team-federal-government-loses-billions-annually-to-fraud-gao-report-reveals-losses-medicare-medicaid-snap)
- Health‑care‑specific groups say fraud might be **3–10% of total health‑care spending**, which on multi‑trillion‑dollar spending is indeed in the **hundreds of billions**. [worldofdtcmarketing](https://worldofdtcmarketing.com/the-80-billion-leak-in-americas-health-care-system-whats-really-going-on/)
- But **no mainstream official source is publishing “500 billion per year of health‑care fraud” as a measured figure**. Instead:
- The 500‑ish number is at best **an upper‑end extrapolation** (high‑end percent of spending times huge base, or top of GAO’s all‑program fraud range). [ccagw](https://ccagw.org/in_the_news/gao-report-details-up-to-500-billion-in-annual-fraud/)
- It’s being used rhetorically as a “staggering” headline, not as an audited total of proven health‑care fraud cases.
If you read it as “there are serious estimates that, in worst‑case scenarios, fraud could plausibly be on the order of a few hundred billion dollars across federal programs, and health care is a major part of that,” that’s in the ballpark of what GAO and anti‑fraud groups say. [lhermanlaw](https://www.lhermanlaw.com/how-common-is-fraud-in-the-healthcare-industry/)
If you read it as “the U.S. has 500 billion dollars per year of *confirmed health‑care fraud*,” that is not something the data support.
Unreadable.
Idiots can SNOT read! More news at 6:66!!!
Why do we do this over and over?
Stossel, you know why the handouts aren't verified. The 'welfare' and 'NGO' (QuaNGOs) system is used by the Democrats as method to launder money into the pockets of powerful Democrats through an international network of quangos.
This is why Democrats scream so loudly when you start cutting the funding and why Democrat jurisdictions prevent police from investigating fraud - their grift is threatened.
We need to stop pretending that this is still incompetence and not malice.
'Government agencies rarely check whether their handouts go to the right people. Why?
I think Stossel might be a wee bit naive. Of course money goes to the right people. The people who provide votes and donations and "jobs" and international transgender opera and even people who actually want to fuck the USA and see easy targets.
Aren't these your "right people"?
Government agencies rarely check whether their handouts go to the right people.
Soon to be illegal in VA thanks to Reeeeason's preferred candidate, the 'moderate' Spanberger.
Did Reason "prefer" Spanberger? Let's say, for the sake of argument, that they gave a hearty endorsement to her. Do some of you really think Reason's opinion sways enough votes to matter in a state election?
Classical case of blame-shifting.
Who really STOLE the $ first ... hint, hint; D.C.?