New Hampshire Takes Us Closer to a Trump-Biden Rematch
Donald Trump won an unsurprising victory in the New Hampshire primary against his hawkish rival Nikki Haley.

With 23 percent of the votes counted, the Associated Press reports that former President Donald Trump has beaten former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, his lone remaining primary opponent. With 25 percent of the ballots counted, Trump has captured 53.6 percent of the vote, compared to Haley's 45.5 percent.
Haley handily outperformed the most recent polls, which had her losing by over 20 percent. Her concession speech was upbeat, vowing to fight on and taking a few digs at Trump.
"With Donald Trump, Republicans have lost almost every competitive election," she said tonight. "You can't fix Joe Biden's chaos with Republican chaos."
Still, she wasn't running against the polls; she was running against Trump, who pulled off a clear victory in the two-person race.
A majority of the Republican Party appears to be consolidating around Trump. The past couple of days also saw him collect the endorsements of former opponents Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Tim Scott, and Doug Burgum.
Haley's noticeably didn't even net the endorsement of Chris Christie, the most anti-Trump of the former GOP primary contestants.
Even some of Haley's campaign surrogates seem disappointed in her performance. Politico captured some awkward moments where New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, a Haley backer, had to watch his candidate flub interview questions while he whispered alternative answers to himself.
Haley's lack of personal charisma was potentially compounded by the fact that her campaign largely skirted policy issues in the New Hampshire primary, while Trump relentlessly attacked her for being soft on immigration, ready to cut Social Security, and allegedly willing to raise taxes.
One issue the candidates did spar on was war and foreign intervention.
Haley's stump speech in New Hampshire was heavy on calls to stand up to China, Russia, and Iran. Meanwhile, Trump called Haley a "warmonger" and his campaign emails attacked her for being the candidate of "globalists." (And also for allegedly being soft on China. Trump is not exactly a consistent dove himself.)
Haley is not contesting the February 8 Nevada GOP caucus, where Trump had 73 percent in the polls before DeSantis dropped out. Trump is also averaging 62 percent support in South Carolina, which will hold its primary on February 24.
On the Democratic side, more than 70 percent of the votes at this stage of the counting are unprocessed write-ins, most of them presumably for President Joe Biden, whose name is not on the ballot. Rep. Dean Phillips (D–Minn.) and Marianne Williamson are presently getting 20 percent and 4 percent of the vote, respectively. Democratic candidate Vermin Supreme, known for promising free ponies and wearing a boot on his head, currently has 46 votes.
Because of a dispute between New Hampshire Democrats and the Democratic National Committee about when to hold the state's primary, none of the state's votes will actually count for anything in determining the nomination.
The bottom line: Tonight's results bring us one contest closer to the depressing prospect of a Donald Trump/Joe Biden rematch.
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Haley handily outperformed the most recent polls, which had her losing by over 20 percent. Her concession speech was upbeat, vowing to fight on and taking a few digs at Trump.
And all it took was a campaign for democrats to switch their vote to try to take out trump. Even if they won't vote for her in the general.
Sometimes you need a Francis Marion to defeat the authoritarians. Marion wasn't a nice guy but he thrashed the Brits and helped start their retreat to Yorktown and the big win for the USA. Maybe Trump can defeat the deep state and also take down the cultural marxists and their degenercy.
Aye, the Swamp Fox.
The basis for Benjamin Martin, in the timeless portrayal by Mel Gibson in The Patriot.
...why should I trade one tyrant three thousand miles away for three thousand tyrants one mile away? An elected legislature can trample a man's rights as easily as a king can.
God I love that movie.
Per CNN only 30% if Haley votes were from registered GOP members and overall only 47% of those who voted in the primary were registered conservatives. And she still lost.
End Wokeness
@EndWokeness
Nikki Haley voter in New Hampshire:
.
"It was a strategic vote… I wouldn't vote for her in a general election. A vote for Haley helps diminish Trump's influence."
(Video)
https://twitter.com/EndWokeness/status/1749964661640790246
She also spent roughly $40 million to lose by 12 points. If she doesn’t drop out, she’s just embarrassing herself.
Really, the only reason for her to stay in the race is to be positioned in case Trump strokes out or stops a bullet. But that was as true a week ago as today.
And she's not even well positioned for that. If Trump is taken out early, DeSantis reactivates his campaign, and she loses to him.
If he's taken out late, a majority of the delegates are Trump delegates, who will likely have DeSantis as their second choice.
If he's taken out in the middle, she might win some primaries while DeSantis is getting his campaign running again. Perhaps he has a stroke just before Super Tuesday.
But, seriously, I don't see any plausible route to victory for her. But that was just as true a week ago, she never had a plausible route to victory, she's just not somebody Republicans want as their nominee.
It's unsurprising when the Republican primary has more non-Republicans vote than Republicans? This is due to clever trickery by the Bush Chaney Globalist Gov Sununu and the Uniparty /Democrat donors that have flocked around Biden Lite, aka Nikki Haley. Dem donors like LinkedIn's Reid Hoffman aren't satisfied rigging the DNC process, they need to expand their election interference. Ambulance chasing a dingbat who can't even remember the year that Trump allegedly assulted her is just so much more of the Dems new bloodsport, lawfare to save democracy by imprisoning the opposition. Authoritarian much?
Out of a stupid idea that he needed a big Clyburn orchestrated win, first, Biden's people, in the LieCheatSteal party, declared that no New Hampshire delegates would be seated at the convention.
If it's that easy to decide delegates won't be seated, why don't the Republicans refuse to seat delegates, from states that don't restrict primary voters, to only registered Republicans, that have been that way for at least six months?
If the states want to let their party members be included in the selection process, they will have to change their idiotic "open" primaries.
Letting the enemy have a say in who we nominate, is stupidity, on steroids.
Sometimes you need a Francis Marion to defeat the authoritarians. Marion wasn't a nice guy but he thrashed the Brits and helped start their retreat to Yorktown and the big win for the USA. Maybe Trump can defeat the deep state and also take down the cultural marxists and their degenercy.
^Bot^
No, just Reason's screwed up commenting system.
Wait, are you saying that is two different things?
In libertarian news.....
The feds just announced they are going to retry the Backpage.com trial.
Or re-re-re-re-try.
https://twitter.com/stephenlemons/status/1749946795860566327?t=frTjS1HcMVC-XYt5UTS6oA&s=19
Really good to see my federal tax dollars aren't totally wasted on stupid and frivolous persecutions.
Anyone have info on just how much this is costing the Feds? You can do the math, salaries for the prosecutors, court time, judge and bailiffs, plus all the witnesses. Someone has to have, but I couldn't find it with a quick duck duck search.
You'd think an intrepid journalist willing to dig for a juicy story on government excess might even compile such data and use them for a good article. If actual journalists still existed, I mean.
The Feds? Nothing. It's costing the taxpayers a bundle.
Wasn’t Kamala one of the State AG’s who kicked off that whole thing?
Haley handily outperformed the most recent polls, which had her losing by over 20 percent.
Didn’t we already learn polls are useless?
On a relevant note.
https://pjmedia.com/stephen-kruiser/2024/01/23/the-morning-briefing-desantis-should-sue-his-campaign-consultants-for-malpractice-n4925741
Rent Free is a weekly newsletter from Christian Britschgi.
Is this a newsletter about Trump living in the minds of journalists and certain Reason commenters?
Like Sullum? He dumped his steaming pile of TDS at midnight.
The Trump-Biden rematch no one really wants.
Standings so far (77% reporting)
Trump 135K
Haley 107K
Biden 18K
Dean Phillips 17K
Marianne Williamson 4K
Desantis 1,697
Christie 557
Derek Nadeau 474
Ramaswamy 345
Vermin Supreme 283
Mike Pence 193
Interesting that he ignored the results on the Democrat side. Granted, Biden had to be written in and plenty of his voters probably voted Haley, but it's certainly interesting that he's barely beating the guy nobody had heard of until this past week
That's if you believe the story that the LieCheatSteal party actually got that many of its voters to write in Biden.
The idea seems eminently fishy, since it would look really bad, if they didn't, and he lost the first primary.
It's surprising that Trump hasn't called foul by claiming voter fraud yet. Oh wait, he supposedly has more primary votes so it's all good.
Man. The lefty act blue employees get dumber by the post.
They aren’t sending their best.
If this is your A game, you progs are in a lot of trouble……..
wearetheasshole has never had an A game.
Good point.
Haley is not a particularly good candidate but she is running against two clearly bad candidates.
I really do not understand the degree of delusion necessary to support either Trump or Biden. I do agree with Haley on one thing though, whichever party drops their geriatric nincompoop candidate is likely to win the general election.
I really do not understand the degree of delusion necessary to support either Trump or Biden.
Emotion. Specifically, fear - fear of the other.
Yep, that’s the only reason.
I really do not understand the degree of delusion necessary to support either Trump or Biden.
Haley is a classical GOP candidate. Maybe you like that. Many people despise it.
I do agree with Haley on one thing though, whichever party drops their geriatric nincompoop candidate is likely to win the general election.
She's wrong on that too. She would lose against pretty much any Democrat.
I think you are wrong on both of those points. Both Biden and Trump are fear candidates. They rest their chances of success in driving fear of their opponent as their major motivating force for voters.
Neither of these geezers are/were popular presidents and in the general election if either party put forth a reasonable candidate who was not them they significantly increase their chances of winning.
Haley isn't up to running a general election. Democrats would wipe the floor with her. By November, most Americans would believe she is the reincarnation of Irma Grese. That's on top of her stupid "I'm a brown woman" grievance mongering.
And Trump has enthusiastic supporters. However, most people who consider voting for him (like myself) simply believe that, despite all his verbal diarrhea, he is a fairly moderate Republican in practice.
If one party drops their geriatric nincompoop, the other party will do so immediately, by any means necessary. Trump can only win against Biden. Biden can only win against Trump. It will be both or neither on the ballot.
Who do you see the Democrats replacing Biden with, who isn't a nincompoop? Harris? Michelle Obama?
I don't see who else they have on tap besides nincompoops. They've already basically kicked Gabbard out of the party.
Almost anyone. Virtually any Democrat congressman or governor under 70 would beat Trump. Virtually any Republican congressman or governor under 70 would beat Biden.
I agree with you completely on that.
While Bret also has a point I think I'd extend that to both parties rather than just Democrats. Neither side really has compelling candidates.
"I really do not understand the degree of delusion necessary to support either Trump or Biden."
One more TDS-addled asshole heard from.
Donald Trump won an unsurprising victory in the New Hampshire primary against his hawkish rival Nikki Haley.
Voters reject the neocon, war mongering, globalist candidate.
Reason writers hardest hit.
Instead they embrace the incompetent authoritarian who has done more to destabilize the world than anyone else alive.
They do not seem to support Biden much on the GOP side. Evidence to the contrary?
"Instead they embrace the incompetent authoritarian who has done more to destabilize the world than anyone else alive."
TDS-addled shit piles like you own that award. Fuck off and die, asshole.
Yes, a lot of Republicans want a Trump/Biden rematch. They generally liked the job Trump did while in office, and believe that he has done a far better job than Biden has, by almost any metric. And believe that they were robbed, when counting was halted in 5 key big cities in purple states, with Trump comfortably ahead, Republican election officials sent home for the night, counting resumed without them, and Biden then mysteriously getting hundreds of thousands of votes counted without the presence of Republican election monitors, giving him enough votes to win.
What you are saying is that Republicans want this because they believe Trump's lies rather than reality.
Biden is a bad president, Trump was also a bad president. Trump's policies were damaging for the country and set the stage for Biden.
Trump was a symptom of a far deeper problem. The disdain for the main electoral system is not new and did not start with Trump. Also will not end with Trump.
And Biden has been dramatically more destructive than Trump in literally every possible manner.
Energy independence wasn't a lie.
A (more) closed border wasn't a lie.
The Abraham accords aren't a lie.
An economy improving everyone's lot wasn't a lie.
Biden selling the SPR wasn't a lie.
Giving Iran enough money to rekindle the middle east wasn't a lie.
Biden's massive inflation isn't/wasn't a lie.
Ending US energy production wasn't a lie.
etc
You're dealing with a run of the mill TDS-addled pile of shit; the only reality assholes like that care about are mean tweets..
Nonya, fuck off and die.
Don't forget; That the election was stolen, wasn't a lie.
Constantly attacking all questions has not worked well YET...but I bet it will eventually pay off.
Hey, didn't Biden say McAuliffe was the "real" governor of VA?
I guess election (D)enial is not really a problem....
What damage prior to states shutting down the economy?
What you are saying is that Republicans want this because they believe Trump’s lies rather than reality.
Reality is that the 2020 elections were not free and fair; Democrats widely violated laws and abused loopholes in the election code.
In fact, elections in the US haven’t been free, fair, and trustworthy for decades. But perhaps you are too young to remember Gore vs Bush. Democrats have challenged every presidential election of a Republican for decades and denied the legitimacy of every Republican president. The US election system and election law need a major overhaul.
Biden is a bad president, Trump was also a bad president.
True, but Trump’s faults were within normal, moderate Republican faults. Biden’s screw up are orders of magnitude worse.
This lawsuit sounds a lot like the accusations against someone else we know:
https://www.aclu.org/news/free-speech/our-protest-rights-are-in-the-supreme-courts-hands?initms_aff=nat&
The question people need to ask is why we are likely to have the same race we had in 2020, the one everyone seems to not want? What drives the country back to this point? I can't help but think that for some Republicans it was an unfinished election in 2020. Their candidate did not win so it has to be run again. I found it unpleasant in 2020 and I doubt 2024 will be any better. I also doubt the results will be much different.
I think the reason has more to do with the inherent flaws in the 'two party system's and the way those party primaries are run. The system is not designed to select candidates with wide appeal but rather those with appeal to the zealots of each party.
The two-party system is designed to select candidates with wide appeal and does that better than any multi-party system.
The system of presidential primaries tends to select more fringe candidates. However, we switched to that system because candidate selection by party committees didn't work all that well either.
If we didn't have the primary system and it was up to party insiders, we would have had Hillary vs Jeb Bush in 2016, with Hillary destined to win. And we'd be facing Biden vs Christie in 2024, with Biden destined to win.
A lot of people want Trump.
A lot of people want Biden.
That's why.
Nobody wants Biden.
The Democrats I know don't want Biden; they simply don't want Trump.
It does have the feel of WWII being a continuation of WWI due to the Germans' sense of being cheated from victory and the general bad economy and unrest of post-Versailles Germany...UH OH.
This has been a joke. Had this been an actual Godwin comment, it would be followed by me being flamed relentlessly.
Ignoring Germany's complaints about Versailles (which are a bit hollow given their demands with Brest-Litovsk) certainly did not end up working well in the end.
Ignoring complaints about 2020 has certainly not ended that issue. Nor has the draconian punishments (that Biden seeks to further expand) involving 1/6.
Why bother flaming someone who is so historically illiterate?
Do tell, Professor, what makes you say I'm historically illiterate?
What drives the country back to this point?
The radical left-wing nutcases in the Democratic party and their election strategies have been driving the country back to this point, with their Alinsky-style tactics and persistent lies and character assassination.
Trump may not be the ideal candidate from a governance perspective, but he's the only guy who seems to be able to stand up to that. We have seen how normal Republicans (like Romney) wilt when exposed to Democrat propaganda and attacks.
"I also doubt the results will be much different."
Depends on how much cheating Democrats get away with. Last time, they got away with murder (figuratively speaking).
And what is so infuriating about the 2020 election is the Democrats left no evidence that they cheated. Anyone looking at the results can only see a fair election. I think they did it by letting the Republican have a good year in 2020 and only cheating on the Presidential election. That make Trump look like an under performer. It is simply ingenious.
The evidence, for anyone willing to look, is overwhelming.
There are none, so blind, as those who will not see.
Trump may not be the ideal candidate from a governance perspective, but he’s the only guy who seems to be able to stand up to that.
The only reason Trump is "the only guy" is because of republican voters. Vivek, for starters, would stand up. He's smarter, more educated in economics and policy and more libertarian than Trump. Trump failed miserably at this his 1st try, which is why Biden is now president.
It could not matter less at this point who is occupying the White House. Trump took some executive-order initiatives during his term as President, none of which stuck, while frittering away his credibility on trade war with China that hurt only American consumers; and on a “big, beautiful wall” that never got built; because he had no broad coalition to implement anything in Congress or in the entrenched, permanent, professional bureaucracy. Biden, meanwhile, is simply a wind-up toy who, at best, reads the script and signs the documents the staff put in front of him; and, at worst, drifts off to sleep or wanders off the set.
Anyone who is paying attention knows precisely who is actually running the government and controlling the policies and actions behind the scenes. The prime-time political entertainment is for show only and anyone who buys the narratives of the R’s and D’s deserves what we’re all going to get!
Grateful for the update on the New Hampshire primary results. It's interesting to see the dynamics within the Republican Party, with Donald Trump securing a clear victory. My Boy provides insightful perspectives on political landscapes, offering a comprehensive analysis of election dynamics, policy focuses, and the diverse issues that shape party dynamics. Nikki Haley's resilience is commendable, and her commitment to continue the fight is evident. The differences in policy focus and the emphasis on issues like immigration and foreign intervention highlight the diversity within the party. Looking forward to how these developments shape the upcoming primaries. Thanks for keeping us informed!