Get notifications of new releases from the Reason-Rupe Poll.

The Big Mo: Ron Paul Skyrockets in South Carolina While Rick Santorum Plummets

Apparently the political science concept of “Big Mo,” or the concept of big momentum pushing candidates who win early caucuses and primaries ahead in subsequent primary and caucus states’ polls, applies to Ron Paul as well.

As the Hill reports, the American Research Group released its most recent poll of likely Republican primary voters in South Carolina showing Ron Paul skyrocketing from 9 percent to 20 percent in today’s latest poll.

Paul’s previous 9 percent number comes from a poll conducted just a few days earlier, on Jan 4-5. However, after Jan 10th’s New Hampshire primary and Ron Paul’s strong 2nd place finish, this poll finds his support significantly raised to 20 percent. Romney placed first at 29 percent and Gingrich second at 25 percent.

Big Mo can also have the reversed effect for candidates underperforming. For instance, despite Rick Santorum’s surprise near-win in Iowa, Santorum significantly underperformed in New Hampshire, coming in a distant fifth at 8 percent. Likely as a consequence, the ARG poll finds his numbers plummeting from 24 percent in the Jan 4-5 poll to merely 7 percent by Jan 11-12.

American Research Group Poll of Likely South Carolina GOP Primary Voters

 

Source: American Research Group poll of South Carolina likely GOP primary voters. Click here for full methodology.

Follow Emily Ekins on Twitter @emilyekins

Editor's Note: We invite comments and request that they be civil and on-topic. We do not moderate or assume any responsibility for comments, which are owned by the readers who post them. Comments do not represent the views of Reason.com or Reason Foundation. We reserve the right to delete any comment for any reason at any time.

  • | |

    Emily please stop with the buffoonery...

    for those interested, consider the source, search for "Dumb Looks Still Free" article on the illustrious American research group...

  • anon| |

    But Ron Paul is unelectable! Even though he polls best against Obama!

  • squishua| |

    Romney placed first at 29 percent and Gingrich second at 25 percent.


    Yet more proof that either these polls are skewed or the Republican base has a strong contingent of nationalist maniacs and J.R. Ewing fans.
    http://www.dvdinmypants.com/re.....allas1.jpg

  • Beats By Dr Dre Detox| |

    a href="http://www.ebeatsbydrdre.com/" rel="dofollow">Beats By Dr Dre Solo

  • Beats By Dr Dre Detox| |

  • vans shoes store| |

    Policymakers have considered increasing the federal gas tax, currently 18.4 cents per gallon in efforts to

  • ralph lauren outlet uk| |

    Amidst the ephemeral rise and fall of most of the GOP field (Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum) Ron Paul has found a

  • dressus| |

  • monster powerbeats by dre| |

    a href="http://www.ibeatsbydrepro.net/" rel="dofollow">monster limited edition
    beats by dre studio

  • vans shoes sale uk| |

    aul also won the moderate vote with 40 percent and Romney closely followed with 35 percent.

  • vans shoes sale uk| |

    aul also won the moderate vote with 40 percent and Romney closely followed with

  • cheap corsets| |

    It is well known that the christian louboutin Evening shoescan show your beauty and fasion. By wearing them, you wll be the most beautiful woman in the world. Also, the boots are important for your health. The beautiful and sexy boots can help tone the body, condition muscles and improve the sex life by working out the pelvic muscles.

advertisement