Last Night's Debate
Radley Balko | October 8, 2008, 7:12am
A few observations:
• McCain was much stronger than last time, and may well have won on points. But debates aren't about debating skill, or even public policy. They're about likability and not screwing up. I suspect the image most voters will take away is that of an angry, cantankerous old man with clear contempt for his opponent debating a young, articulate, good-looking guy who smiled and appeared gracious. Obama wins.
• Obama's answer on the "Obama Doctrine" sounded like it was written by Sarah Palin. He clearly didn't have an answer about what criteria he'd use in determining which humanitarian crises are worthy of U.S. military force. He was all over the place. What we're left with, then, is, "Iraq never posed a threat to the security of the United States. Which is why we should have sent troops to Darfur, instead."
• Tom Brokaw was very good.
• The most depressing part of the night for me was watching CNN's real-time reaction from undecided Ohio voters. When Obama promised health care for everyone, promised that you could also keep your employer-sponsored health-care, promised to do all of this and bring health care costs down (he really must be Jesus), and capped it all off with a pledge to maintain the current system of employer-sponsored health care, his ratings were off the charts. The Ohio group gave McCain his strongest marks when he promised to buy up all the troubled mortgages. Is there any way to pull off this "democracy" thing without using actual voters?
• Note to McCain: Don't crack jokes in a format where you'll be the only one laughing at them. It's creepy.
• Note to Obama: It's great soundbite to say everyone has a "right" to health care. But there is no "right" that can only be recognized by forcing someone else to give up time, labor, and resources.
• The choices last night on the economy: Mass government intervention pretending to be tangentially related to the free market versus mass government intervention that makes no illusions about any allegiance to the free market.
• The choices last night on foreign policy: Four years of lots more small wars versus four years of a couple more big wars.
joe | October 8, 2008, 11:41am | #
Since it's my argument, Gil, I can assert what it is with a pretty high degree of confidence.
Once again, the argument: the net benefit of a public program to society as a whole can be positive, even if there are individual cases where the benefits produced by serving a particular individual do not exceed the costs. Just as an insurance company can turn a profit - that is, have benefits exceed costs - even if a certain individual collects more in one year than he pays in premiums.
It hasn't been established that healthcare is a "public good" in the first place or that there would be any "net gain" in making it universally available. No, it hasn't, because that's not what I've been arguing. Rather, I've been rebutting the following statement you made above:
And another thing, if you're going to try to push the concept of paying for people's healthcare through the "promote the general Welfare" phrase on the ratinonalization of "increased productivity", then you will have to evaluate whether to pay for any given individual's healthcare or not on a case by case basis based on whether the costs of providing the specific care for that individual exceeds any estimated benefit of keeping him or her healthly or not.
As a matter of fact, you do not. You only have to prove that the net benefit to the system as a whole (that Commerce Insurance's home insurance portfolio as a whole) exceeds the costs (collects more in premiums than it pays in claims).
So called "entitlement programs" So, they're not actually entitlement programs? They're not even "entitlement programs?" They're 'so called "entitlement programs?'" You sure you don't a couple of asterisks, too?
If $100 goes out of my pocket into yours, your gain of $100 is exactly cancelled out by my loss of $100. There is no "net gain".
There are many things wrong with this statement. For example, the security provided by knowing that you will be able to afford health care may well exceed $100. People often pay more in home insurance than they ever collect in claims, but insurance remains worthwhile to them. And then there's the argument that $100 spent vaccinating kids for the mumps produces more good than someone with good health insurance having an additional $100 in your bank account.
And just to spare your typing fingers, noting that you don't wanna pay $100 to vaccinate those kids doesn't actually rebut a point about the economic costs and benefits. I'm responding to what you wrote about utilitarian value.
joe | October 8, 2008, 12:39pm | #
When did I discard it? I'm asking you to respond to it.
Once again, here is the totally non-discarded metaphor:
Public programs such as universal health care is like home insurance, in that the overall system can still produce a net benefit - that is, benefits that exceed the costs - even when there are individual cases where the cost exceeds the benefit. One need not prove that every policy Commerce writes creates a net profit for Commerce in order to prove that Commerce's home insurance portfolio is profitable. Similarly, and contra Gil Martin, one need not prove that every individual will experience productivity gains exceeding the cost of their coverage in order to prove that universal health care will create a net benefit to society.
Totally not discarded. Sitting right there, waiting for an assent, or a rebuttal.
I made an argument with a point too. And you replied in insurance terms to try and refute it. No, I didn't try to refute your point. I acknowledged that it was true -
No, SugarFree, it is not. - then pointed out that it is not relevant to the argument it was intended to rebut.
and you say that you weren't saying at all what you just said. Nope. Once again "what I just said" was NOT that universal health care was equivalent to insurance in all of its particulars. Rather, I made a much more narrow point, one I've now repeated for the fourth or fifth time, and which I don't intend to explain to you any further.
If you wish to argue against my rebuttal to Gil - once again, the point I made about net costs vs. individual costs and benefits - have at it. If you wish to belabor the uncontested poing that universal health coverage does not function like insurance in other ways unrelated to the point, I can't stop you.
PS - did I ever tell you how sexy you are when you start swearing while losing an argument?