Scott Walker Will Survive Wisconsin Recall: Reason-Rupe Poll Results

Will Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) get bounced from power for busting public employee unions? And what message does the June 5th recall election against Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D) hold for other states struggling to balance their budgets? For the coming showdown between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney?

The latest Reason-Rupe Poll reports from the Badger State. Passed last year, Walker's controversial Act 10 restricted collective bargaining rights for many public employees, causing the backlash that led to the recall election. Walker says such actions were necessary to contain costs and balance a budget facing a multi-billion-dollar shortfall. His opponents say that Walker is paying for tax cuts to the wealthy by cutting salaries and spending that help middle-class residents. (For more on the issues involved, watch this video.)

The Reason-Rupe Poll surveyed 700 Wisconsin residents during May 14-18th and found that while a large majority (71 percent) want public employees to contribute more to cover their health benefits, residents are not clearly against collective bargaining per se (51 percent want to see it "limited"). Fully 57 percent thought that police and firefighters - exempted under Walker's plan - should also pay more their benefits.

Although more residents support Barack Obama (46 percent) than presumptive GOP candidate Mitt Romney (36 percent), 50 percent want Scott Walker to keep his current job, with just 42 percent favoring Tom Barrett.

"A quarter of those who plan to vote for Scott Walker have a favorable opinion of Barack Obama," says Reason Polling Director Emily Ekins, who oversaw the survey. "[That] demonstrates that the desire to reform public employee [compensation] extends beyond partisan lines."

For full results and more analysis, go here.

About three minutes long. Produced by Jim Epstein, with help from Meredith Bragg, Joshua Swain, and Nick Gillespie.

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  • ||

    What Walker's done is just like the Tzar of Russia mobilizing the streltsy to massacre serfs in the name of God. What a barbarian.

    Barack I 2012!

    /Tony

  • Almanian's Evil Twin||

    FAP FAP FAP FAP FAP FAP FAP!

    /Max

  • Paul.||

    Biden 2016!

    /liberals

  • JT||

    Actually, he's Barack II. Though I guess if you're implying royalty, he's I.

  • ||

    Latter. And "implying"? Are you denying the Exalted Autocrat's holy authority?

  • Ben the Duck||

    Has there ever been any political FAIL as flailingly spastic (and demonstrably, inarguably avoidable) as this, in any place not named "Greece"...?

  • PapayaSF||

    Oh man, a bunch of my friends are going to be upset, and a few might have their heads explode.... I will have to control my lulz.

  • Paul.||

    A day without Emily Ekins is a day without sunshine.

  • ||

    I was unaware she was so attractive until now. Good lookin' lady!

  • Ben the Duck||

    Don't let Larry Flynt hear you say that,

  • A Serious Man||

    I cannot wait to troll the forums of certain website once Walker wins a resounding victory.

  • Emmerson Biggins||

    I'm looking forward to seeing Rachel Maddow cry.

  • Ben the Duck||

    "Aw, c'mon, buddy. Man up, f'chrissakes."

  • ||

    Real men don't cry, so you're going to be disappointed on that count.

  • ||

    Am I a horrible person because I LOL'd at this?

  • A Serious Man||

    Just sexist, homophobic, and probably racist.

    //liberal griefer

  • Ben the Duck||

    Mouth breathers over at Firedoglake, meanwhile, are openly entertaining sweet, sweet fantasies of retaliatory violence:

    Elections are not the answer. We are just going to have to find other ways to enact “recalls”

  • Concerned Citizen||

    It's true - the Left is everything they accuse freedom lovers of being. Luckily, we're much better armed, other than Rosie O'Donnel's bodyguards.

  • R||

    I wouldn't worry too much about her bodyguards. Rosie isn't the type to inspire blind loyalty.

  • General Butt Naked||

    HAHAHAHA

    And that, too, is part of the Con strategy. They wrecked the pension and health care plans of private sector workers and that left the public sector workers as the only ones that still had good plans. Now they are going after them and saying, “Look how much better they have it than you”, to the citizens. Never mind that a few years ago the private sector workers made higher wages than their counterparts in the public sector and had the same, and sometimes superior, benefits to what public workers had. The Cons have pitted one segment of the population against another, the strategy has been successful, and we all are sliding backwards down the economic scale. Except for the richest, that is, who have actually increased their wealth during this time.

    HAHAHAHAHA

    I'll be a minute...

    HAHAHAHAHA

  • Concerned Citizen||

    Pace yourself, GBN. We've got the repeal of Obamacare coming, along with Walker's win, and now the Catholic Church is going to smack down the contraceptive mandate. Looks like I picked the wrong year to quit drinking.

  • General Butt Naked||

    Oh, don't worry I'll drink enough for the both of us.

    I don't think my liver will make through Romeny V. Obama, but that's okay because it should be good for many lulz.

  • Concerned Citizen||

    Thanks GBN. My bong, however, will get a good workout. Now, if Fidel were to take a dirt nap with all these leftist disasters going on I may have to rethink my being on the wagon.

  • Apparently a 'statist'||

    "Catholic Church is going to smack down the contraceptive mandate"

    Do you think Jehova's witness institutions should be allowed to exclude blood transfusion from their occupational healthcare plans?

    Banning contraceptives makes women equal to zygotes.

    I know you hate the idea of women being protected by government, and love the idea of punishing poor women who are dumb enough to get pregnant, but people will continue having sex and if you really want welfare costs to go down, you should allow some federal spending on family planning, because babies born in poor families are far costlier.

  • ||

    If you're looking for a screen name, "Non Sequitur Id" would fit.

  • Concerned Citizen||

    Dear Apparently an Idiot:

    Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances.

  • Sevo||

    "And that, too, is part of the Con strategy. They wrecked the pension and health care plans of private sector workers and that left the public sector workers as the only ones that still had good plans. Now they are going after them and saying, “Look how much better they have it than you”, to the citizens..."

    Amazing how the "cons" have such foresight and ability to force such changes, isn't it?
    Obviously, this entire dynamic has nothing to do with, oh, reality. Sorta like, you should be able to tap-out your credit and never have to pay it back if only the "cons" weren't in control. Why, there'd be dollars falling off the trees each autumn if 'they' weren't in control!

  • Tulpa the White||

    I was wondering if Reason had any insights on this recall election. It's not like there haven't been 4 posts on this topic today.

  • SFC B||

    As a Wisconsin resident throughout the whole recallpalooza of the past couple years, I am convinced that all of the recall proponents had this masturbatory fantasy of Russ Feingold running against Walker. Aside from a couple of recall-related appearances Russ has been seemingly absent and disinterested in the process. That he stood them up and left them with a choice of Barrett and Falk has to leave some of the WI Dem folks really, really pissed.

  • Sevo||

    Any idea why RF bailed?

  • Paul.||

    If he'd have won, he'd have this huge budget deficit to plug, and well...

  • Sevo||

    And Bush wasn't there to blame? Oh, so sorry....

  • ||

    Bush is always there to blame. Like Nixon he is Of The Undead.

  • SFC B||

    My take, from what little I know, is that it was a lose-lose proposition for him. If he ran and lost, he's screwed for any attempt at another elected office. If he ran and won, as Paul points out, then he's on the hook for actually changing Walker's actions while not making things worse.

    For all the teeth gnashing and rending of garments done by govt' union folks here in WI, the improvement in county and city budgets is real.

  • sweeterjan||

    Director Emily Ekins, who http://www.vendreshox.com/nike-shox-nz-c-5.html oversaw the survey. "[That] demonstrates that the desire to reform public employee [compensation] extends beyond partisan lines."

  • Sevo||

    sweeterjan|5.24.12 @ 11:41PM|#
    "Director Emily Ekins, who..."
    Fuck you, asshole.
    The link is an ad; has zero to do with the comment or the thread.
    FUCK YOU with a rusty chainsaw, asshole.

  • joy||

    Barrett (D) hold for other states struggling to balance their budgets? http://www.riemeninnl.com/riem-prada-c-25.html For the coming showdown between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney?

  • ||

    How's that registration thing workin' out for you?

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