Damon W. Root | July 22, 2009
Daniel Griswold, the director of the Cato Institute's Center for Trade Policy Studies, has a very interesting new paper arguing that as immigrants arrive in the U.S., native-born Americans become better off in terms of both skills and income. A snippet:
One argument raised against expanded legal immigration has been that allowing more low-skilled foreign-born workers to enter the United States will swell the ranks of the underclass. The critics warn that by "importing poverty," immigration reform would bring in its wake rising rates of poverty, higher government welfare expenditures, and a rise in crime. The argument resonates with many Americans concerned about the expanding size of government and a perceived breakdown in social order.
As plausible as the argument sounds, it is not supported by the social and economic trends of the past 15 years. Even though the number of legal and illegal immigrants in the United States has risen strongly since the early 1990s, the size of the economic underclass has not. In fact, by several measures the number of Americans living on the bottom rungs of the economic ladder has been in a long-term decline, even as the number of immigrants continues to climb. Other indicators associated with the underclass, such as the crime rate, have also shown improvement. The inflow of low-skilled immigrants may even be playing a positive role in pushing nativeborn Americans up the skills and income ladder.
Whole thing here. Read Reason's extensive immigration coverage here. And click below to watch Reason.tv's Drew Carey on the tragically high cost of building a border wall.
And click below again to watch the Wall Street Journal's Jason Riley make the case for open borders.
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"Immigration: Good for Immigrants, Good for America"
I beg to differ.
I think a nation has every right to defend it's borders.
Unfortunately, our problem is not that the borders are no defended
well enough, it's that it's too damned hard to come here
legally.
We're artificially driving up the numbers that come here illegally.
Instead of putting more fingers in the leaking dam, how about we do
something about the rising water? Give immigrants an easy path to
citizenship, and they'll take it.
Daniel Griswold, the director of theCato
Institute's Center for Trade Policy Studies, has a very
interesting new paper arguing that as immigrants arrive in the
U.S., native-born Americans become better off in terms of both
skills and income.
Well gee! The Cato Institute finds immigration is good for us!
Whoda ever thunk it?
Ok - does anyone here have the wherewithal to play Find The
Bullshit with this article (again), or at this point can we just
assume it's in there and move on?
"...as immigrants arrive in the U.S., native-born Americans
become better off in terms of both skills and income."
Even if the immigrant's name is Barack?
/heh, heh.
As plausible as the argument sounds, it is not supported by
the social and economic trends of the past 15 years. Even though
the number of legal and illegal immigrants in the United States has
risen strongly since the early 1990s, the size of the economic
underclass has not.
Some people say that Hispanics commit a lot of crime. The number of
Hispanics has increased, but crime hasn't gone up. Despite the fact
that Hispanics do actually commit more crime, the overall stats
show that Hispanics don't have a high crime rate, right?
NO!
That's the same argument here.
Some people say immigrants increases the size of the underclass.
Indeed, the number of underclass immigrants has risen. But for
society as a whole, the poverty rate has gone down. Thus,
immigration reduces poverty.
Pure idiocy.
Legal immigration should be expanded and illegal immigration
should be decreased.
Regardless, it should be cause for concern that millions of people
come into this country illegally and most from a country that those
people helped run like crap.
People should want to flee Mexico, but people should also want to
stay and improve things. When the going gets tough, these people
run. I'm not sure that's a good sign.
…people should also want to stay and improve things. When the
going gets tough, these people run. I'm not sure that's a good
sign.…
Couldn't one say that about every single immigrant to the US
ever?
At what point is it okay for someone to say, "Fuck it, this place
is too screwed up, I'm going someplace better."?
People should want to flee Mexico, but people should also want to stay and improve things. When the going gets tough, these people run. I'm not sure that's a good sign.
People emigrate for their own benefit. This should not come as a surprise.
Ok - does anyone here have the wherewithal to play Find The
Bullshit with this article (again), or at this point can we just
assume it's in there and move on?
Since you said "(again)", can you offer an example from the recent
past?
Failing that, can you give us a hint what to look for in this
article?
"Legal immigration should be expanded and illegal immigration
should be decreased."
Why do you view the one as better than the other? Just because a
politician passes a law it is better? Please explain your
thinking.
Some people say immigrants increases the size of the underclass. Indeed, the number of underclass immigrants has risen. But for society as a whole, the poverty rate has gone down. Thus, immigration reduces poverty.
pure idiocy
f, are you familiar with Simpson's
paradox? The situation here is fairly close. Indeed, if
everyone already in the US is better off, but very poor people come
to the US and become better off, it's possible for everyone to be
better off but the overall US statistics look worse. In this case,
it's remarkable that the overall statistics actually got
better.
The poor will always be with us. Merely because recent immigrants
make up the poor does not mean that others would not replace them
if there weren't immigrants.
I wish the open borders types all the luck in the world - or at least enough luck to create the kind of backlash they created in Europe. Who knows? Maybe a homegrown SVP or Vlaams Belang or BNP will manage to get some people elected here.
Illegal immigration is worse because it is illegal. Like it or
not, society must be governed by laws, and disregarding those laws
degrades the effectiveness of the whole system. Our laws are
overbearing, overly complex, and for the federal government, well
beyond their mandate. Yet that still doesn't excuse the millions of
people that disrespect our laws, and by doing so disrespect those
people who are using the system to become American citizens, within
the law, and those who through their work, pay for the services
that the law-breakers didn't earn.
For disclosure, I do not consider myself a libertarian. I am not a
fan of open borders, at least not so long as we have federal
taxation on American corporations, income taxes, social security,
and all of the social programs those pay for. Even then I think
there needs to be some kind of mechanism in place to encourage, and
aid immigrants in becoming Americans, not just in citizenship, but
in heart and mind also.
Mike in PA completely agree with your 12:26pm comment,
until:
Give immigrants an easy path to citizenship, and they'll take it.
Many immigrants are not interested in staying longterm. Many would
just as soon be seasonal or intermittent.
Some would just as soon come for long enough to build up a stake to
build a house and/or a small business back home and then go back
more or less permanently.
I see this as a plus for both countries. While there are profound
problems of misrule and corruption, Mexico is nowhere near the
hellhole that many conservatives seem to think it is. Having its
middle class built up would be a big improvement, in my
opinion.
Of course, ending the war on drugs is essential for stabilizing
Mexico. But then everyone here knows that.
Having said that, I am in favor of only one class of immigrant. But
pushing immigrants into citizenship is not an awfully big priority
for me.
On the other hand, if an itinerant or temporary class if
immigration is necessary to make it politically palatable in my
view it would be better than what we have.
Dear non-libertarian reader:
You know how libertarians like to play cute dress-up games, with
the tri-corner hats and the like? They pretend they're pro-America,
but their policies are anything but that. In fact, when you examine
their policies you say that they're both anti-American and
un-American.
Strong words? Well, for an example, see this takedown
of Daniel Griswold (by NRO). How could anyone say he support
pro-American policies? He's as tranzi and a tranzi.
For another example, see the Bush guest worker
program that he inspired and was involved in in some way. That
plan would have eviscerated the middle class, lowering wages for
skilled occupations like teaching and nursing to near the minimum
wage.
Communism used to be one of the main threats to the U.S., and it
still is. Over the past several years another threat has emerged:
globalist libertarians who have no patriotic interest in the U.S.
but who simply see us as yet another branch of Wal*Mart.
If you want to learn the truth about this issue, subscribe to my
feed or search my archives. I have thousands of posts about the
wider topic covering nearly every politician who's been involved in
this area. And, unlike Reason, I'll tell you the truth.
P.S. In case anyone replies to this, their responses will almost
assuredly be ad homs, thereby conceding my points and showing the
childish, anti-intellectual nature of libertarians.
Argh, I meant to include a second point in that first paragraph. Security reasons dictate a certain amount of control over the flow of immigration. We can't in good conscience allow people in who are coming here to cause problems for those who are already citizens. It would be valuing the immigrant over the citizen. That would cause a clear degradation of the quality of the society, and eventually the death of that society.
Maybe a homegrown SVP or Vlaams Belang or BNP will manage to get some people elected here.
Our more-open borders are what have prevented that from
happening.
HOLY CRAP!!! ARE THEY CRAZY? Think of all the Irish that would flood this country if we opened borders. What about those damn Quakers? They can't be trusted. You know, if we allow imigrants to come here simply by getting off a boat and giving thier name (which is subseqwuently misspelled) then this country would disintigrate. I we get one more German, or Russian, or Indian then all us real Americans will be out numebred. We can't have that. Mr Schmidt down the street might lose his job to a German worker. My O'Dell may have to close his brewery. And let us not forget about thoe insipid Canadians. GRETSKY GO HOME!!! SCREW BOB SAGGAT!!! I am sure glad we have stringant imigration laws that have been in place for hunrdreds of year to protect us from the ravages of immigration. Adn that law thing? You know you are right. I think outlawing alcahol was a great idea and if more people had just been moral creatures we would would not have had to set up organized crime task forces. You know if we had not had those tight requirements in the early 1900s we might see a country FULL of imigrants. Thank god for border legislation.
Wow perspective man, way to have nuanced and reasoned debate. Nothing like hyperbole to shut things down, eh?
24AheadDotCom,
That NRO "takedown" was obsessed with illegal immigrants who may
turn out to be terrorists.
Surely you see -- even if the NRO's John Fonte does not -- that the
problem here is that it is easy to hide a few terrorists in a flood
of half a million illegal immigrants a year.
The solution, of course, is to make all migration legal unless the
individual immigrants are individually proven to be threats to the
country, such as terrorists, foreign agents, violent felons, or
carriers of contagion. Then you are pretty sure that illegal
immigrants actually deserve to be illegal.
f: nice job, you beat me to the argument I was going to make. If
we're going to let in immigrants, lets at least make sure that they
are
1. Smarter and harder working than the average American
2. More libertarian than the average American
3. Not all from the same part of the world
We can't in good conscience allow people in who are coming
here to cause problems for those who are already citizens. It would
be valuing the immigrant over the citizen.
Exactly what limits would you put on the "problems" caused for
citizens that you think should be handled by the force of
government?
I would agree that the "problem" of being killed by terrorists
would be one that the government should try to handle.
How about the "problem" of hearing Spanish spoken at the grocery
store?
Interestingly, I draw the line for government action in thwarting
problems caused by immigrants for citizens in pretty much the same
place that I draw the line for problems caused by citizens for
citizens. Where do you draw it?
At what point is it okay for someone to say, "Fuck it, this
place is too screwed up, I'm going someplace better."
I don't have much problem with this, but I do have problems with
millions of people having that attitude while simultaneously
deciding to ignore the laws of the place they think is
better.
People that run from problems and ignore the law is not a good
combination.
"Like it or not, society must be governed by laws"
And why do you assume laws must be created and / or enforced by a
government?
"and disregarding those laws degrades the effectiveness of the
whole system."
So the problem is . . . .
"at least not so long as we have federal taxation on American
corporations, income taxes, social security, and all of the social
programs those pay for."
All things libertarians oppose.
f: nice job, you beat me to the argument I was going to
make.
qwerty, perhaps you could try to make the argument f was trying to
make. I didn't really understand f's point.
Unless f's point was that individuals born in poorer places don't
deserve the same rights as individuals born in richer places.
That's easy to understand. It's wrong, but easy to understand.
I wish the open borders types all the luck in the world - or
at least enough luck to create the kind of backlash they created in
Europe.
Keep dreaming, pal.
Immigration to the US can only create that kind of backlash if
Latin Americans are as a culturally foreign to the USA as Turks and
Algerians are to Europe.
Exactly what limits would you put on the "problems" caused
for citizens that you think should be handled by the force of
government?
You seem to have missed my point. We should attempt to weed out
people who are coming here for the purpose of causing death,
destruction, and/or the breakdown of our way of life. The specifics
of that would clearly be difficult to address in a small space
provided here (not to mention time).
I agree with allowing more in legally while taking steps to
decrease illegal immigration. Sadly, the current legal process
seems to allow in too few, is overly complicated and takes too
long.
In answer to Yahoo Answer's question about the value of legal vs.
illegal immigration:
Legal immigration allows us to know who is coming and to filter out
criminals, the unproductive, the diseased, etc… Additionally, it
can help the immigrant by ensuring they understand our shared
values, our laws and our language.
By contrast, illegal immigration has no filters.
We can debate the value of the filters and how they are weighted,
but I don't think it is unreasonable for a society to want certain
limits on membership. Culture, economics, health, values and
security all play a role and should be considered.
--------------------------------
As a Republican, I was never against legal immigration, as stated
above, I'm for increasing it. However, I opposed the general
amnesty proposed not too long ago. My reasoning was that congress
has lost all credibility on the issue - they promised enforcement
in the past and failed to deliver. Amnesty without enforcement only
serves to encourage more illegal immigration. That is why I wanted
enforcement first. I wanted congress to prove they were serious
about enforcement and then we could look at amnesty for those
already established here.
Immigration to the US can only create that kind of backlash
if Latin Americans are as a culturally foreign to the USA as Turks
and Algerians are to Europe.
I wouldn't bet the ranch on that.
If people are pissed off already, I have little reason to believe
more immigration will make them less pissed off.
@24AheadDotCom
You're right. We hate the Americans. We hate them for their
freedoms.
STFULW
SCREW BOB SAGGAT???
I wouldn't even screw that bitch with Weigel's dick.
"for a society to want certain limits on membership. Culture,
economics, health, values and security all play a role and should
be considered."
How do you define society? Who sets these limits? In our present
paradigm the limits are set by corrupt politicians and the
bureaucrats who work for them.
And why do you assume laws must be created and / or enforced
by a government?
Did I say that? Hmmmm....nope, guess not. However, we do in fact
have a constitution, and a system of government. I am 100% behind
any effort to reduce the role of the federal government to it's
constitutional mandate, but would not support pursuing anarchy. I
would consider my dream of limited federal government to be pretty
extreme under the circumstances, but being without government is,
well, incomprehensible. In addition, I don't believe you can show
me any system where there hasn't been some sort of government, that
has been successful. I don't think there are a high enough portion
of the population that can live peaceably enough, accepting their
lot in life, to keep a society without government from collapsing
in upon itself.
I'm aware of the fact that those things I stated shouldn't be,
income taxes and such are opposed by libertarians. However, just
because we agree on those things, doesn't mean I therefore need to
be supportive of open borders. If I had my way, and we had a
constitutional federal government, allowing the local and state
governments to manage social programs as they each saw fit, I would
be much more open to nearly open boarders. Keeping in mind that we
still need to keep those with malicious intent, and history out. As
we currently have a system that includes massive, and expensive
federal social programs, I am of the opinion that people let in,
should have to demonstrate the ability to be self sufficient before
being granted citizenship. They should have a reasonable time
within which they need to prove that they are going to positively
contribute to society, not harm.
Yahoo, you sure do ask a lot of big questions that seem to muddy the discussion for someone who is listed as an answerer. I'm 100% certain that punditjoe wasn't suggesting that our current system of government was perfect. I'm also certain that asking him, or anyone to define precisely how he defines society, or who defines limits is going to make the slightest bit of difference in your opinion. His bit was clearly understandable, and well written. I agree with what he said and held the same position on the immigration debate last time around.
qwerty, perhaps you could try to make the argument f was
trying to make. I didn't really understand f's point.
Suppose that 10 years ago I had two kids, ages 8 and 6. Their
average age would have been 7. Suppose now I have three kids, ages
18, 16, and 5. Now the average age is 13. Griswold's argument is
equivalent to saying "See, you had a baby, and the average age of
your children still went up, therefore the new child didn't lower
the average age." Of course, he would be wrong, because without the
new child, the average age would have been 17.
Similarly, just because we have more immigrants and less poverty
doesn't mean that someone can claim that immigration can't create
poverty. It is possible that there would have been even less
poverty without the immigrants (at least the unskilled ones--I'm
all for admitting smart, skilled immigrants).
The things we should be encouraging the rest of the world to
give us:
* Their smartest and hardest working people
* Their best vocabulary
* Their best recipes
As long as we keep getting these things (and don't spend ourselves
into hyper-inflation, but that is another thread) we'll remain on
the top of the heap.
We have been neglecting the first point for some time now.
Aelhues,
"Did I say that?"
Your argument that people should be prevented from crossing an
invisible line said it. You did not have to say it directly. Where
are these immigration laws going to come from if not from a
government?
"but being without government is, well, incomprehensible."
It was for me at first as well. Now it seems incomprehensible I
ever would have supported government. I sometimes find myself
arguing with people who remind me of myself five years ago. This
may help http://tolfa.us/
"In addition, I don't believe you can show me any system where
there hasn't been some sort of government, that has been
successful."
The argument that a thing has not yet occurred is not an argument
that it could not occur. Those in power have an incentive to
prevent anarco-capitalism from forming anywhere.
In fact, when you examine their policies you say that
they're both anti-American and un-American.
How paradoxical. I'm a native-born American of native-born American
WASP parents, yet I have the wrong political views. It's almost
like I'm an individual who doesn't conform to the political views
that you ascribe to the demographic group to which you have
consigned me.
I wonder if it would be possible for a Latin immigrants to have
individual political views that vary from the those programmed into
him by the MexicanGovernment. Nah.
Similarly, just because we have more immigrants and less
poverty doesn't mean that someone can claim that immigration can't
create poverty. It is possible that there would have been even less
poverty without the immigrants (at least the unskilled ones--I'm
all for admitting smart, skilled immigrants).
So every single individual in the country could be better off due
to the immigration, yet because some collective metric is lower
than it might otherwise be, it is a bad thing?
No wonder I didn't understand it.
So every single individual in the country could be better
off due to the immigration, yet because some collective metric is
lower than it might otherwise be, it is a bad thing?
No wonder I didn't understand it.
God you're simple. Let's put it another way. Today I find $100.
Somebody reaches into my pocket and takes out $20. He then goes, "I
didn't take any money from you, we're both better off!"
Today I find $100. Somebody reaches into my pocket and takes
out $20. He then goes, "I didn't take any money from you, we're
both better off!"
In order for the analogy to hold, I had to find the $100 because
the person is now available to take the $20 from me.
Without the person, I have $0 and he has $0. With the person, I
have $80 and he has $20.
"Somebody reaches into my pocket and takes out $20. He then
goes, "I didn't take any money from you, we're both better
off!"
So who is the thief then? If your argument is that the immigrant is
a thief because they accept government-welfare would you support
deporting ANYONE who accepts government-welfare? Or, better yet,
getting rid of government-welfare? Just asking.
aelhues,
We should attempt to weed out people who are coming here for
the purpose of causing death, destruction, and/or the breakdown of
our way of life. The specifics of that would clearly be difficult
to address in a small space provided here (not to mention
time).
How could the specifics of that simple directive you offer be much
more complex than "terrorists, foreign agents, violent felons, or
carriers of contagion?"
In my experience, there are two groups that don't like Hispanic
immigrants.
1) Unskilled "blue-collar" types who blame "illegals" for the fact
that having zero knowledge and zero skills, and making no attempt
to boost same, is not the sure path to middle-class happiness it
used to be.
2) Old people, who are self-explanatory.
Wow Yahoo Answer - I just read some of the stuff at the site you
recommended.
Your linked site lays the blame for the Holocaust on the US as well
as Britain's war against Hitler.
I quote:
"…absent US intervention or the prospect of it Britain would have
had to reach an accommodation with Germany such as Hitler
repeatedly sought; absent that Western Front Hitler would almost
certainly have prevailed over the Soviet Union and a
German-dominated peace, of sorts, would have been restored in
Europe. That would have been dreadful, of course, but it's quite
possible that Jews would have been allowed to emigrate (as they
were actually, through 1940) rather than be murdered…"
Did it ever occur to you that sometimes people do things for their
own reasons that have nothing to do with you? Hitler was an evil
bastard for his own reasons; our opposing him didn't force him to
divert resources away from the war in order to murder of millions
of Jews. He did it because he was a rotten murdering bastard.
Additionally, we all saw how well "accommodations" with Hitler
worked out for Russia. How long would it have been, in the scenario
listed above, before Britain befell the same fate?
Yahoo Answerer, I think our world views are sufficiently different
that any further interaction with you would simply be a waste of
time for both of us.
I can't say the ILLEGAL ALIENS are completely to blame for the
shape of our economy, but they are a BIG part of the problem. The
ILLEGAL ALIENS send BILLIONS upon BILLIONS out of this Country
every year, money we will NEVER see again. Does this help our
economy?
How about the BILLIONS the American taxpayers fork out for the
ILLEGAL ALIEN BABIES, the schooling of them, the medical care and
the list goes on, and on, and on.
How about the MILLIONS upon MILLIONS paid to jail ILLEGAL ALIENS
for the crimes, then the cost to deport them. Does this help our
economy?
Then you have these activist groups, the Catholic Church and the
ACLU that want AMNESTY for these ILLEGAL ALIENS. It would be
absolute suicide for this Country if AMNESTY were granted to the 20
million or so ILLEGAL ALIENS. We have more and more people out of
work everyday and they want to add another 20 million to this
Country? I say, "NO"!
If AMNESTY were ever granted to these 20 million ILLEGAL ALIENS,
you can bet big money that 3 years from now, there would be ANOTHER
3-5 million ILLEGAL ALIENS demonstrating on our soil for
AMNESTY.
An end MUST come to this illegal immigration. The perfect tool we
have so far is E-Verify. It MUST be used by ALL businesses and
Government Social Services. EVERY employee must be checked! If they
are illegal, they are to be dismissed!
I believe it is time for all 50 States to pass a State law, like
Arizona, Oklahoma, Mississippi, Missouri, South Carolina and a few
others. It is time for these ILLEGAL ALIENS to go back to their
home Country and get out of this Country. The problems they are
causing will not go away until the ILLEGAL ALIENS are out of this
Country. I think that is plain to see.
It's time for ZERO TOLERENCE with these ILLEGAL ALIENS. It's time
for them to get back to their own country where they belong. If
they truly want to be part of America, let them apply and wait
their turn like the millions of others who want to come to America
LEGALLY. They will then be welcomed with open arms.
The ILLEGAL ALIENS send BILLIONS upon BILLIONS out of this
Country every year, money we will NEVER see again. Does this help
our economy?
Actually, yes, it does. Not only should you be paying more
attention to the wealth the illegal aliens produce rather than the
little green pieces of paper they are given for it, the only way
those little green pieces of paper can be useful to their foreign
recipients is to eventually come back to the US.
Incidentally, thank you for putting the 17th century economic
thinking at the top of your rant. Usually one needs to suffer the
whole thing before getting to the mercantilist payoff.
If they truly want to be part of America, let them apply and
wait their turn like the millions of others who want to come to
America LEGALLY. They will then be welcomed with open
arms.
Number of illegal immigrants per year: 500,000.
Number of visas they qualify for per year: 5,000.
Average number of years before applicants will be welcomed with
open arms: ∞.
How about the BILLIONS the American taxpayers fork out for
the ILLEGAL ALIEN BABIES, the schooling of them, the medical care
and the list goes on, and on, and on.
To be fair, I think that one thing that does needs repair is that
citizen children of immigrants should be on the welfare schedules
of their parents and not on the welfare schedule of long-time
citizens. Just as there are means testing, residence durations, and
other qualifications for welfare, another qualification should be
that your parents are eligible for it.
But to be even fairer, the list does not go "on, and on, and on."
With the simple modification I propose here, the list contains
those two items and nothing else.
"Hitler was an evil bastard for his own reasons"
Yes, of course he was evil. But let us go to the root of his
motivation. He, and the people who adored him, were bitter over the
shaft the Germany got after the end of World War I (at the time it
was known as "The Great War".
"He did it because he was a rotten murdering bastard."
Yes, he was a rotten murdering bastard. No disagreement here. Let
us go to the root of why he was popular however. What was it that
the German people craved and why did they crave it. It was not
judenhass qua judenhass. Judenhass was merely a convienient
vehicle. They sought pride, pride that they lost at the end of the
First World War.
"Yahoo Answerer, I think our world views are sufficiently different
that any further interaction with you would simply be a waste of
time for both of us."
Why? I enjoy debating people who have very different world
views.
How about the BILLIONS the American taxpayers fork out for
the ILLEGAL ALIEN BABIES, the schooling of them, the medical care
and the list goes on, and on, and on.
By ILLEGAL ALIEN BABIES you mean young American citizens. What, you
want to punish them because they didn't choose the right
parents?
An end MUST come to this illegal immigration. The perfect
tool we have so far is E-Verify. It MUST be used by ALL businesses
and Government Social Services. EVERY employee must be checked! If
they are illegal, they are to be dismissed!
Sounds really expensive and complicated. I have an idea -- let's
make the illegal immigrants legal by making more visas available.
Then we could make sure they are paying taxes just like the rest of
us. All the problems you mention solved!
A comprehensive immigration reform is a matter of when not if. And it is the just thing to do. No yhuman being is illegal. This is no longer a good'ole boy America, Billy Bob! Get used to it! Demographics is a losing game for you!
More lying with statistics. I clicked in the article, intrigued
and found data comparisons between 1993 (business cycle bottom) and
2007 (top) trying to show trends.
If you choose 1989-2007, the actual cycle peak years for the data
in question, you see that families in poverty *increased* by 1.2
million from 6.8 to 7.6 million. But if you choose 1993-2007 you
see a 0.8 million *decrease* from 8.4 to 7.6 million, all because
of the 1.6 million rise from 6.8 million (business cycle peak in
1989) to 8.4 million (business cycle trough in 1993).
You have to take business cycles into consideration if you want to
get valid data, but then of course this is Cato and so that is not
their goal.
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