Nick Gillespie | September 4, 2008
Go figure:
CBS) The presidential race between Barack Obama and John McCain is now even at 42 percent, according to a new CBS News poll conducted Monday-Wednesday of this week. Twelve percent are undecided according to the poll, and one percent said they wouldn't vote.
This is in contrast to a poll conducted last weekend, where the Obama-Biden ticket led McCain-Palin by eight points, 48 percent to 40 percent.
Genuinely surprising, though don't know what it means by, say, tomorrow at noon.
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This one by itself doesn't mean much. It's only of ~ 800
Registered (not likely) voters.
It will be more worthwhile to wait for the first post-GOP
convention polls at the beginning of next week.
Either the American people really are turned off by styrofoam columns, or the Palin pick was even better than I thought it was.
joe,
Yeah, the two tracking polls at RCP have Obama ahead by 5% and 7%
respectively.
i told my Obama obsessed co-workers that Palin now made it close. America loves a cutie, whether its Obama or Palin. 50/50. /me pats self on back
BDB, a buddy at work nailed it. He's convinced that McCain wins and the Illuminati kills him a month after the inauguration.
I reiterate my prediction from last Wednesday:
Dream scenario: McCain picks Sarah Palin as his VP nominee. They win. McCain has a debilitating stroke. Palin becomes the first woman president. The heads of Hillary, Bill, and all the PUMAs explode simultaneously.
According to the conventional wisdom, I've already nailed the hard
part.
Dudes, this is Reason. Head over to Intrade for the monetary
betting scoop on who will win. www.intrade.com
You can't argue with those results, because if you think that they
are wrong, or a product of the msm or whatever, you can make real
money by trading those contracts. So, the poll says 50/50, but you
can buy John McCain for $.39 to pay a dollar if he wins. The price
efficiently aggregates all of the different polling info into one
number, including registered vs. likely voters, state by state
outcomes, etc.
Drudge links to Rasmussin that says Palin now has higher
favorable rating than either Obama or McCain.
I guess she's a blank canvss on which everyone can paint their own
agenda.
Cbs.Poll is not an accurate survey of the race for President. Their survey was conducted among a random sampling of 835 adults nationwide including 734 registered voters. The Demographics does not include a survey among Blacks of Hipanics.The demographics polled include White Evangelicals. CBS pollsters are under the mistaken belief that there are no Black Evcangelicals. In the most recent Gallup Poll Obama received 93% of non-Hispanic Blacks to McCain,s 3% Obama received 64% of the Hispanics surveyed and McCain received 24%. That fact alone would indicate that the CBS Poll is inaccurate and misleading to the public. Let's report honestly CBS
GAME ON!!! The Republicans have EXPERIENCE AND CHANGE....not just a senator that has been in the senate for 150 days. I am so excited about out ticket!!!
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