Michael C. Moynihan | August 22, 2007
Via Tyler Cowen, a study from UC Berkeley grad students Saurabh Bhargava and Vikram Pathania finds no positive link between cell phone use and vehicle crashes. From the UC Berkeley press release:
It's conventional wisdom that talking on cell phones while driving is risky business, but two University of California, Berkeley, graduate student economists report that a spike in cell phone use in recent years and on weekday evenings is not matched by an increase in fatal or non-fatal car crashes from 2002-2005.
..."We were quite shocked," admitted Saurabh Bhargava, who with co-author Vikram Pathania set out to satisfy a curiosity about drivers who use their cell phones despite the commonly perceived perils.
The students point to data revealing that the average amount of time a cell phone subscriber spends on calls has surged from 140 to 740 minutes a month since 1993. In addition, about 40 percent of drivers acknowledge using their cell phones at some point while driving, and cell phone ownership is skyrocketing, up from about 2 percent in 1990 to more than 75 percent in 2006.
As Tyler points out, while the authors' results are intriguing,
the jury is still out. The authors themselves concede that over 125
other studies argue a causal relationship between phone use and
accidents, so don't expect the repudiation of these ridiculous laws any time soon.
Full study from Brookings-AEI here. Nick Gillespie and Tyler Cowen's discuss
marginal revolutions and inner economists here.
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The authors themselves concede that over 125 other studies
argue a causal relationship between phone use and accidents, so
don't expect the repudiation of these ridiculous laws any time
soon.
This line almost comes across as self-parody...
So, aside from dialing (which is getting easier due to new technology), how is talking on a cell phone different than having a conversation with a passenger?
So, aside from dialing (which is getting easier due to new
technology), how is talking on a cell phone different than having a
conversation with a passenger?
May (or may not) tie up one hand, and I wouldn't be surprised
(though this is just my speculation) to see that a phone
conversation somehow occupies more attention than talking to
someone sitting next to you.
Taktix® | August 22, 2007, 4:53pm | #
So, aside from dialing (which is getting easier due to new
technology), how is talking on a cell phone different than having a
conversation with a passenger?
It's easier to hang up on someone than to boot them out the door at
65mph.
I can attest that talking on the cell while driving is
distracting and I only do it really to get directions.
However, turning radio stations, eating hamburgers, looking at maps
or anything else that requires more than perirpheral engagement is
equally distracting.
Frankly, most of us will be better off when cars drive
themselves.
It's a distraction, Taktix. Just like eating, drinking coffee, smoking a cigarette, reading a billboard, yelling at your kid, yelling at your pet, fiddlefarting with the radio, adjusting your mirrors, adjusting your windows, adjusting your heater/air conditioner, scratching your head, and screaming at the idiot in front of you. Hey, let's outlaw those things too!
Taktix®,
Use of a hand or two on the phone (unless hands-free phone which I
don't think we are talking about here) and maybe the head turned
sideways and partially paralyzed in position.
I don't care for studies, I use common sense and my own personal
experience: talking on a hand held device is less safe than not
talking on one.
Having said this, I would pass no law. But I would hope insurance
companies would either charge a higher premium, deny a claim, or
enact some other penalty for yakkers.
,i> . . how is talking on a cell phone different than having
a conversation with a passenger?
There were several studies that showed that people get distracted
by talking on a cell phone much worse than talking to a
passenger.
I don't recall ever seeing a theory for why that is true.
Taktix:
Our brains seem to treat the two differently. Perhaps we are
comforted by the physical presence or pick up nonverbal cues with
momentary glances. At the very least, no part of our brain is
trying to conjure up the image of the invisible speaker.
Part of it could be the different conversations one would have with
a passenger. The passenger can see when you are in a situation that
needs your full attention and avoid distratcting you. Your
passenger is rarely bringing you an emergency or asking you to
recall the quarterly sales figures for the meeting you are driving
to. That would make the average cell call more distracting, even if
any particular discussion would be about as distracting if you were
having it with someone next to you.
Whatever the reason, some of those 125 studies will explain reasons
why.
The AAA Foundation informs us that the most distracting thing you
can have in the car is a small child. They did not research what
happens if that small child has a cell phone.
I realize that phones require a hand, but so do stick shifts
(and batin'). Should we outlaw manual transmissions?
It has to come down to the individual, however. Some people are
just easily distracted, some are not.
I can drive my manual Corolla, smoke a cigarette, and talk on the
phone at the same time, in Miami, and I have a spotless driving
record.
But when you blame these types of things on a strawman like
cellphones, it reeks of the slow yet persistent encroachment of
tyranny.
taktix,
it's not just cellphones, its everything listed above. turning the
radio station while driving too close probably caused more
accidents than cellphones. Trying to smack a crying child in the
back of the car while driving, the same. Many people can function
while distracted by many different tasks. They adjust their driving
to do so. But one wonders, how many people avoided YOU that you
never even noticed.
It has been scientifically proven that humans are not really
designed to move faster than running speed, our brains just can't
process the information. They cope by ignoring most of it, but
every extra task they are asked to do narrows the focus and
available knowledge.
People will be best off when cars drive themselves. That's the only
real solution. Everything else is just a patch.
My wife and I have been hit by other drivers four times in total since we were married, and twice the other driver was talking on a cell phone. What people seem to miss is not only is talking on the phone quite distracting, it is also disabling as well- have you ever seen people signalling turns or lane changes while using one? These "ridiculous laws" only ban using hand-held models while driving, and I don't have a problem with that.
If 125 studies show that talking on your cell phone leads to
more accidents, why shouldn't the activity be banned? We're not
talking about a seatbelt law where you're only protecting people
from themselves. We're talking about protecting my body and my
property from somebody else acting recklessly. I mean, I think .08
is too low of a cut-off for drunk driving, but I still feel that
driving at .18 should be illegal because science supports the fact
that it's dangerous.
The one thing I've never understood about many (but not all)
libertarians... They seem to selectively champion and ignore
science. When it's evolution or organic foods, science is used to
support the "logical"/skeptical position. But when it's global
warming or second-hand smoke, the science is suddenly tossed aside
as junk. I'm not saying you have to accept all science, but if
you're going to question certain scientific findings you should
have a basis for your skepticism beyond the fact that it doesn't
fit your political leanings.
I have a problem with banning cell phones while allowing hands-free
devices because studies have shown that the risk is equal whether
you're using a hands-free device or a receiver. But I think the
government has a legitimate interest in banning activities on
public roads that have been scientifically proven to be dangerous
to other motorists.
I've long felt this crusade against talking on cell phones while
driving is bull. Next they will target radio and dvd changers or
cigarette lighters, or heck, your kid in the back seat, or that hot
MILF in the minivan coasting next to you. All require you to take
your eye off the road for a split second. Talking while driving
provides millions of people with enjoyment and serenity (think of
long commuters) while probably providing minimal risks.
"The one thing I've never understood about many (but not all)
libertarians... They seem to selectively champion and ignore
science. When it's evolution or organic foods, science is used to
support the "logical"/skeptical position. But when it's global
warming or second-hand smoke, the science is suddenly tossed aside
as junk. I'm not saying you have to accept all science, but if
you're going to question certain scientific findings you should
have a basis for your skepticism beyond the fact that it doesn't
fit your political leanings."
Hey, no one argues with hard core libertarians on this site more
than I do about global warming, but in their defense, science
cannot tell us what we ought to do. For example I think it
uncontroversial that if all handguns were banned 2morrow that some
number of lives would be saved. I really believe that (consider
accidental shootings and such alone). But you know if we banned
pools, or cars, or driving while talking with cell phones, then you
could probably save some lives too. Where does it stop? Freedom and
liberty are inherently valuable and should trump all but the most
obvious and serious risks. IMO of course...
I'm not saying you have to accept all science, but if you're
going to question certain scientific findings you should have a
basis for your skepticism beyond the fact that it doesn't fit your
political leanings.
Besides being factualy correct, science must also be politically
correct in order to be true.
if you're going to question certain scientific findings you
should have a basis for your skepticism beyond the fact that it
doesn't fit your political leanings.
My skepticism about the purported accident risk due to cell phone
use comes from the fact that it fails the laugh test. If talking on
a cell phone raises the risk of an accident by a factor of four,
then if, say, 10% of drivers at any one time are on cell phones,
the accident rate should increase by 30 freaking percent. It
doesn't.
I don't doubt that cell phones are distracting. I dislike using
them myself while driving and will have long conversations only on
free and clear freeway. And I notice no lack of idiots driving
poorly who turn out to be talking on cell phones. But until
accident rates actually rise with the huge rise in cell phone use,
observations about cell phone use are simply observations, not
scientific proof that they cause more accidents than there would be
were they banned.
Frankly, there should be a simple "driving while distracted" rule.
I heard on NPR yesterday a cop who saw someone shaving while
driving. The cop couldn't do anything about it. Similarly, if
someone is driving slowly and having trouble staying in their lane,
I would want them pulled over whether they were on a cell phone or
eating a Big Mac.
Taktix® | August 22, 2007, 4:53pm | #
So, aside from dialing (which is getting easier due to new
technology), how is talking on a cell phone different than having a
conversation with a passenger?
The main difference is that the passenger in the car shares your
physical context and adjusts their conversation to your driving
needs... pausing when you are busy negotiating a tricky driving
task, giving you a heads up when you don't notice something,
etc...The person on the other end of the phone can't do this.
Cludmedsux, I have to disagree with you about second-hand smoke,
for two reasons
1: Most second-hand-smoke exposure is voluntary
and
2: The SIZE of the dangers of second-hand-smoke is actually quite
small. Smoking regularly increases your lung cancer risk by ~900%.
Living with a smoker for many years increase your risk of lung
cancer by ~25%. That occasional involuntary whiff of
second-hand-smoke you get exposed to causes so little cancer as it
cannot be measured, and is far below other risk-taking behaviors
that we all expose each other to every day.
That being said, anyone who yaps on a cell phone while driving
should be flogged. 125 studies to one? You would be an idiot to bet
on the outlyer (and common sense...who hasn't been nearly hit/run
over by an idiot blabbing away?)
I would not be surprised if some of the factors they cite for
cell phone use (adjustment of driving behavior, experience driving
with cellphones) are also found to be relevant for alcohol.
While people who drink and drive are usually a menace, it is
sometimes scary how well a drunk can adjust where and how they
drive if they have a lot of experience driving while drunk, so as
to avoid accidents or getting pulled over.
How come there's no Mothers Against Cell Phone Drivers?
Having said this, I would pass no law. But I would hope
insurance companies would either charge a higher premium, deny a
claim, or enact some other penalty for yakkers.
Maybe an insurer could offer reduced rates for drivers who agree to
have some smart device monitor their driving. With appropriate
penalties meted out for being involved in an incident while
fiddling with the radio, texting, or putting on nylons.
L_I_T, I, too, await the cars that drive themselves!
I've been almost run into by enough idiots yapping on cell
phones that I have no sympathy, none.
It's not the people who know that using a cell phone requires extra
concentration to the road and to what's around you--it's the idiots
who merrily shut off their brains to everything else, sail around
corners into pedestrians or through red lights because THEY'RE NOT
NOTICING WHAT IS GOING ON.
Of course, after the bimbo-in-the-SUV has squashed the pedestrian
or broadsided the car, of course she's sorry. Fat lot of good it
does then.
So, aside from dialing (which is getting easier due to new
technology), how is talking on a cell phone different than having a
conversation with a passenger?
Before internet use (graphical browser WWW) was widespread,
"cyberspace" was explained as where you are when you are talking on
the telephone.
(Neu makes a good point above as well)
Should we outlaw manual transmissions?.
It would make more sense to mandate them. Manual transmission's
engage and integrate one with the mechanical operation of the auto
while providing more feedback on the road and your driving
situation.
Anecdotally, I have observed a lot more people driving at slow
speeds in the left lane,failing to notice signal changes to stop or
go, lane crossing in multi-lane left turns, merging obliviously and
much more; nearly always these people are on the phone.
For those who desire a car that drives itself, please don't wait for the technology: Take the Fucking Bus!
From personal experience, I agree that talking on the cell phone is distracting to a certain degree. However, as mentioned in several other comments, there are many things that people do while driving which are equally or more distracting. I don't think that the solution is to ban every activity. However, I do think there should be stiffer penalties when some distracted driver causes serious injury to another person. Too often, drivers get away with minor citations, if that, when involved in serious accidents. If the penalties were stiffer, people might consider driving less distractedly.
Anecdotally, I have observed a lot more people driving at
slow speeds in the left lane,failing to notice signal changes to
stop or go, lane crossing in multi-lane left turns, merging
obliviously and much more; nearly always these people are on the
phone.
Perhaps idiots on cell phones force all of us far superior
nonidiots to be more defensive and generally better drivers, and
that is why accident rates have not shot up with cell phone
use.
Bless them, then. Bless them.
On the flip-side of the anecdotes from the people who have been in near accidents with "yappers", in most of my near accidents (while driving, cycling, or walking) I have not noticed drivers on the phone. Most times they are just idiots being idiots, and that's where the problem is.
I think people who speak on cell phones while driving are bad drivers. If they hang up they are still bad drivers. No diff.
"Next they will target radio and dvd changers"
I believe when car radio's became popular a number of state
governments attempted to ban them citing them as a distraction that
led to unsafe driving.
None of that legislation ever passed because most people thought it
was invasive and only addressed a symptom instead of the real
problem (the driver).
None of that legislation ever passed because most people
thought it was invasive and only addressed a symptom instead of the
real problem (the driver).
Surely you're not suggesting that the strong arm tactics of
Motorola had nothing to do with it.
There was a time when hearing the words "Hello Moto" would make
one's blood run cold...
.. there are already perfectly good laws against people who are
doing stupid things while driving .. it's called "careless driving"
.. if someone can use the phone while not driving like an idiot,
let them be .. if they can't drive while changing the radio
station, charge them with careless driving .. we don't need more
laws, just enforce the ones that we have ..
.. Hobbit
"As Tyler points out, while the authors' results are intriguing,
the jury is still out. The authors themselves concede that over 125
other studies argue a causal relationship between phone use and
accidents, so don't expect the repudiation of these ridiculous laws
any time soon"
Yeah and maybe the 100s of studies demonstrating the link between
alcohol and automobile accidents won't prevent us from repealing
those bullshit drunk driving laws either. And there is absolutely
no antecdotal evidence either that driving while on a phone makes
you drive like shit either. I for one have never ever been on the
highway behind an asshole who is weaving all over the road or going
20 miles under the speed limit only to see he is talking on the
phone when I pass him.
Furthermore, I am consistently amazed that a free society can
function when people are prohibited from talking on their cell
phones while driving.
This is precisely why libertarianism will never, ever gain a
foothold in this country. Some individuals on this board
practically equate the passage of common sense laws like this with
a renewal of the Alien and Sedition Acts.
One study does not refute 125 others, and frankly passing laws that
protect the other people driving on the road with you should not
have people using "slippery slope" and "Soviet Russia" in the same
sentence. Such silliness is a huge turn-off to the huge majority of
people in this country
Moynihan, do you really think headset requirements for drivers
is ridiculous? I commute on bicycle in NYC, and it is dangerously
obvious when a driver is talking on a cell phone, particularly when
they're making a turn, and I consider these drivers to be in
reckless disregard of my life.
I accept a certain amount of risk on the road and cell phone use is
not the only distraction out there, but a headset requirement is
hardly invasive. In addition to the 125 other studies that
contradict the finding of this study, there are the "70 percent of
Americans in a 2003 Gallup Poll who said drivers on cell phones
cause accidents." But feel free to disregard driver experience for
your nights and weekends study.
If you're on a cell phone and you almost hit me, expect a boot
through your driver side window at the next light.
... should not have people using "slippery slope" and
"Soviet Russia" in the same sentence. ...
Clever, considering you're the first person to use either of those
terms on this thread.
"I for one have never ever been on the highway behind an asshole
who is weaving all over the road or going 20 miles under the speed
limit only to see he is talking on the phone when I pass him.
Furthermore, I am consistently amazed that a free society can
function when people are prohibited from talking on their cell
phones while driving."
If this asshole is weaving all over the road and or driving too
slow then he should be pulled over for weaving all over the road or
driving too slow, not pulled over because he is talking on the
phone. Maybe I don't weave all over the road or drive too slow when
I'm on the phone in my car. Why should I be pulled over simply for
using my phone? The problem with cell phone laws is they aren't
about making the roads safer, they are about extracting more money
out of the population who use them. These laws are about pulling
you over for talking on the phone so they can give you a ticket for
various other infractions on top of the cell phone ticket, or even
worse, search your car.
In the grand scheme of personal freedom these laws are very minor,
but they add up when stacked up the other various ways the
government extracts money out of joe public. This is just another
tax in the name of road safety and it will do nothing to make our
roads any safer.
"The authors themselves concede that over 125 other studies
argue a causal relationship between phone use and accidents, so
don't expect the repudiation of these ridiculous laws any time
soon."
I am curious, how many studies have to demonstrate that driving
while on a cell phone is dangerous before you conclude these laws
aren't ridiculous? Or will you only be happy when you are totally
unfettered by any laws at all? .
The anti-governemnt purity on this site rises to levels that are so
absurd, it is pathetic. I don't remember who it was, but a
political commmentator recently summed up what, I think, a majority
of individuals feel about libertarians in this country. He wrote (I
am paraphrasing): Libertarians take the views they do not for
intellectual reasons, but merely to show how edgy they are."
You know, I think I read a study indicating driving without
headlights at night is unsafe, but how dare the government tell me
to turn them on.
"The problem with cell phone laws is they aren't about making
the roads safer, they are about extracting more money out of the
population who use them. These laws are about pulling you over for
talking on the phone so they can give you a ticket for various
other infractions on top of the cell phone ticket, or even worse,
search your car."
As opposed to other traffic laws? Maybe we should do away with
those as well.
If there is a demonstrated relationship between talking on the
phone and unsafe driving then it should be prohibited, just as
drunk driving is illegal. You are not the only one on the road, and
if the call is that fucking important, pull over and talk.
It's funny in this country (not this site) how people are willing to have their emails read, their phones tapped, and their asses probed to prevent a terrorist attack. But god forbid you implement road safety measures and everyone fucking flips. 250,000 car accident deaths since 9/11, but goddamnit it's my fucking constitutional right to hold my cellphone to my ear while driving!
"If there is a demonstrated relationship between talking on the
phone and unsafe driving then it should be prohibited, just as
drunk driving is illegal."
As others have posted there are demonstrated relationships between
doing all sorts of things and unsafe driving. Why are all those
other things not illegal as well?
Why not simply pull over people who drive in an unsafe manner
(swerving in lanes, speeding, cutting people off regardless of why)
as opposed to pulling over people who have a cell phone up against
their ear and are otherwise driving safely.
Cops should pull people over for what they do (driving in a
reckless way) and leave the "why" out of the equation.
"I am curious, how many studies have to demonstrate that driving
while on a cell phone is dangerous before you conclude these laws
aren't ridiculous? Or will you only be happy when you are totally
unfettered by any laws at all? ."
Well, we might think that it is not correct to jump and prohibit
everything that studies suggest has a causal relationship to some
danger. Studies suggest having a gun in a home raises the risk of
an accidental shooting, or having a pool in the backyard raises the
risk of a child drowning. Surely your car radio, cigarette lighter,
etc., has a causal relationship to accidents as well. The thing is,
that at some point the risks involved may be statistically
significant but are not so dramatic as to warrant the many tiny
infractions on our freedom and quality of life that prohibiting
everything that has been linked to danger would. It seems easy for
someone like you to take the high ground, your talking about saving
lives dammit and we are talking about the pleasure of making calls.
But even with a "demonstrated relationship" between phone use and
accidents most folks phone use will never cause them to be in any
accident, and our phone use will bring us many, many hours of joy
and comfort. You're asking us to give that up for some slight
(though adimittedly perhaps statistically significant) increase in
the risk of traffic accidents.
Heck, I believe in laws. We have to have some. Some activities are
such direct and obvious dangers and violations of anothers rights
that we must restrain them. But people drive by me all the time
every day talking on the phone and do me no harm. I don't want to
restrict their lives because of the slight increase in risk they
provide by doing that.
our phone use will bring us many, many hours of joy and
comfort. You're asking us to give that up
Mr. Nice Guy,
No, just wear a headset.
Tim,
In my observation, bills to ban cell phone use that make it into
legislatures gets passed without complaint. There are no letters to
the editor indicating that anyone is flipping out. There is a clear
sense that experts said some behavior is bad, the state is doing
something about it, and the people get to comply. Baaa.
"No, just wear a headset."
Sorry, that's still too dangerous.
http://www.engadget.com/2005/07/12/new-study-says-headsets-dont-make-cellphone-driving-safer/
"Cops should pull people over for what they do (driving in a
reckless way) and leave the "why" out of the equation."
Indeed, because there is no relation between the what and the why.
And as we all know,
because a person is not weaving when they pass you or a police
officer it means they will not do so down the road. Just like when
people never slow down when they see a cop with a radar gun.
And the inpinging on your liberty is totally bogus. Is being able
to talk on a cell phone when you are driving the true hall mark of
a free society? This is exactly the point I made in my earlier
posts. Common sense laws like this are not akin to outlawing
freedom or assembly, or religion etc. etc. It is this inflexible
absolutism in the face of all evidence and common sense that will
forever relegate libertarianism to the back benches.
So I spent some time looking for a study -- any study -- that
indicates definitively that cell phone use leads to traffic
accidents. I failed.
Can any of you bring one to light?
"No, just wear a headset."
See, this is where this stuff gets me. So is it just the fact that
I have one hand not on the wheel that is supposed to be the danger?
Because honestly before cell phones came out I very rarely drove
with both hands on the wheel (i'm talking fairly open freeway here,
I often use both hands when navigating denser urban and suburban
areas, I also don't use the phone there). I mean do you guys really
drive your entire drives with both hands on the steering wheel?
That's beyond my belief, really. The only other thing the phone
could bring would be noise, but again who doesn't play their radio
and drive?
MikeP,
Actually, people were flipping out in California while I lived
there every time a handheld ban was proposed. (It finally passed
last year, but isn't yet in effect, I believe.) I heard the "it's
my right" argument over and over, especially from the liberal
Hollywood crowd. I think enough people got sick and tired of people
on cell phones hitting them or nearly doing so to allow its
passage.
Moooo.
Tim,
If you are saying people here are flipping out, well, you may have
a point.
First One-thousand-four-hundred-and-fifty-seventh they
came for my cell phone, but I didn't use a cell phone while
driving.
I guess an eventual question will be: If cellphones are outlawed, shouldn't police radios be as well? They are just as distracting.
Mr. Nice Guy,
In my experience it's not the loss of one hand that increases the
risk, but the loss of peripheral vision and road concentration. Try
to check out your blind spots with the phone up to your ear -
there's a serious loss of road awareness.
And for some reason when people are on the phone they refuse to put
it down when situations require. Haven't you seen people try to
make turn one-handed through a busy intersection? I don't
understand the impulse that causes people to do this, rather than
simply put the phone in their lap while they make the turn or deal
with traffic, but they do.
Tim,
Blind spots are easy with proper positioning of mirrors. You
position the rear-view to cover directly behind you and to your
right rear quarter; you position your right side-view outwards
enough to barely catch the side of your car, but mostly a few feet
out from the side of your car; you position the left side-view
mirror in the same manner; Blind spots eliminated. Even more so if
you pay attention, peripherally, to all mirrors at all time, thus
knowing which cars are coming up behind you, etc. I am always
bothered by people who insist on turning their eyes so far away
from the road ahead of them in order to check the "blind-spots".
Unless you are in box truck, there is no need for this (even then,
you can position the "bubble mirrors", for lack of a better word,
to catch your "blind-spots").
As far as turning the steering wheel with one arm, give me a
break!! Do you really find it that hard of a task to accomplish?
You really should stay off the road if that's the case. Really.
Concentration, I will give you. It does diminish it a little. But as before, so do many (countless) other distractions...
You really should stay off the road if that's the case.
Really.
Like I said, I quit driving due to road rage.
As for turning with one hand, I never had that problem, but many
shitty reckless drivers do, and there are a lot of shitty reckless
drivers out there willing to put others' lives at risk. Yes you can
eliminate blind spots for purposes of casually changing lanes, but
should you need to react quickly, your hand at your ear will reduce
your peripheral vision and your ability to maneuver safely.
Turning with one hand problems - "many shitty reckless drivers
do"...well, there's your problem...they're shitty reckless drivers
with or without a cellphone.
"but should you need to react quickly, your hand at your ear will
reduce your peripheral vision and your ability to maneuver
safely.".....should you need to react quickly either:
(a) You weren't paying attention because you're a shitty, reckless
driver...cell phone or not.
(b) You were paying attention, but some other shitty, reckless
driver caused a situation wherein immediate action is required.
Most people on their cellphones will drop the phone and react
accordingly...a small percentage are shitty, reckless drivers who
won't act accordingly.
(c) Sometimes, cell phone or not, accidents are hard to avoid
(vehicle next to you has a blowout and sideswipes you).
(A&B) Eliminate shitty, reckless drivers, not cellphone
users.
(c) Simply hope that this or something similar does not happen.
I guess an eventual question will be: If cellphones are
outlawed, shouldn't police radios be as well? They are just as
distracting.
But then how will they radio the SWAT team when one of their paid
criminal perjurers tells them an octogenarian is slinging rock
while carrying a surface-to-air missile for protection?
Eliminate shitty, reckless drivers, not cellphone
users.
jimmydageek,
You do realize that now you're calling for far greater regulation
of drivers than a simple ban on handhelds. I'm all for it, but
without mass transit options for most people it just won't
work.
>>> Frankly, most of us will be better off
>>> when cars drive themselves.
Especially the tort lawyers.
Automated highwys will never happen because of the vast legion of
asshattery known as the American legal system.
As for the phones, just about every fricken' close call I have on
the road these days, it's running about 90% some numbnut or
numbnutette on a cell phone. One recent incident was in June. Some
soccer mom completely blew through a stop sign with three kids in
the car. I nearly broadsided them at 40 mph.
She waved as if it makes it all better.
The great part was we were both headed for the local Togo's sammich
shop, and she recognized me. I just stared at her like a mental
patient for the whole time, never saying a word. She kept glancing
at me nervously and corraled her kids close. Hee hee. God, I love
being an amoral SOB sometimes. :)
Quiet Desperation brings up a good point. When I notice shitty driving, its way more often a woman in an SUV than someone on a cell phone. Then again, when I notice a shitty driver on a cell phone, its usually a woman in an SUV too...
Mr. Nice Guy:
For example I think it uncontroversial that if all handguns were
banned 2morrow that some number of lives would be
saved.
Not to go off-topic, but guns & cellphones are different
issues. First, this isn't banning cellphones entirely - you can
still talk on a cellphone while walking or in a restaurant,
annoying everyone around you. Second, the right to bear arms is an
insurance policy against tyranny, and is protected by the 2nd
Amendment. There is no such amendment regarding cellphones in
cars.
I heard on NPR yesterday a cop who saw someone shaving while driving. The cop couldn't do anything about it.
Good. What is wrong with shaving? It may look odd, but it's hardly
distracting at all. Certainly much less distracting than a
conversation with a passenger.
I'm talking electric, of course!
Tim,
I am not calling for greater regulation of drivers. I'm calling for
stricter penalties for those reckless drivers. As a sort of
deterrent and as a way to keep them off the streets for a good
while should they severely injure or kill another. If they can go
their whole lives driving stupidly and not cause any wrecks, then
god bless them.
Also, is there solid evidence / stats which show that the rate
accidents (proportional to growth of number of commuters) have
increased since the invention of cell phones? Until that is proven
I will not support a ban on cell phone use. I think it all boils
down to idiot drivers...and they, as just about everybody, happen
to be using a cell phone at the time.
Nothing is perfect. There seems to have been enough of a
correlation between cellphone use while driving and loss of
concentration that laws are getting passed. This is an imposition
on the segment of the population who could talk on a cell phone
while driving and not have their reaction time go down, but the
same argument could be made about drinking and driving. We still
have laws against DWI.
If you were going to simply wrap yourself and your kids around the
next available concrete pillar, I wouldn't care. Get--get yourself
out of the gene pool--we won't miss you. The problem is (as several
commentators above) is you make yourself a much more dangerous
object to other drivers on the road.
And if talking on the phone is so goddamn important to you, then
pull over. I don't see where Libertarianism means we have to allow
people to be clueless missiles to everyone around them. It's my
car/bike/person that you're going to smash into, lady.
Many of you here are assuming that you have some inalienable
right to drive a vehicle with your current STATE ISSUED license on
government roads. If the roads were privately owned, the owner of
the road could possibly tell you that you are not allowed to use a
handheld cell phone while driving because it impedes traffic flow
(stupid drivers), increases instances of road rage, and ultimately
runs a risk of decreasing the amount of cars they can move on their
roads, thereby costing them (or running the risk of costing them)
money. What say you then?
Honestly, the government does a lot of stupid shit. But arguments
that you have some unalienable right to talking on your phone while
driving are ridiculous. If you think it doesn't actually pose a
risk, that's one thing. But those of you who admit it's a terrible
distraction to people who shouldn't be allowed to drive in the
first place (again, a matter for the private owner of the road to
decide which licenses he/she will accept, etc.) yet still advocate
that they should be allowed to continually do so are not getting
the actual picture here. In a proper libertopia, if talking on a
handheld cell phone while driving was a significant enough risk to
others, it would not be permitted by road owners for their own good
(insurance, road maintenance, etc.), and alternatives (blue tooth
connections, etc.) would be found…
Derrrrrr….
Reinmoose,
I think the point that most people are missing is that cellphone
use is just one tiny additional thing that causes
distractions. You might as well regulate all other distractions
(radio, kids, make-up mirrors, food, drinks, reaching behind for a
purse, looking for coins for a toll, etc, etc, etc.)...
...stupid people will find ways of doing stupid things...banning
cellphones is not the answer.
Edward,
At least it will allow us to say "I told you so" when this becomes
a nanny/police state.
Should we ban people with ADD/ADHD from driving? I am a far less
distracted driver when talking on a cell phone than some of my ADD
friends are when they are 100% trying to concentrate on
driving.
I probably talk on the phone every time i drive. 0 accidents in 10
years....
now shotgun ****jobs... that shit is distracting.
adrian
jimmydageek -
I agree that there are other things one can do while driving that
are also terribly distracting (and I've probably engaged in most of
them). The thing is that it should be a matter of risk management.
I (clearly) am against government ownership of roads, so I would
rather be told whether or not I can talk on my handset by someone
who uses a risk-assessment model to determine if it is a
significant enough risk to others that it warrants restricting, and
someone whose roads I'm paying to use with a certain level of
service promised (well-paved roads, no retarded drivers, etc.). If
it's extremely popular and people find that they like driving on
roads where people aren't talking on a cell, those roads may be
more frequented and other road owners who do allow people to talk
on handsets may also adopt the ban in order to get more business.
Seriously.
Has anyone advocating allowing people to be really bad drivers and
still possess a driver's license been in a serious accident
involving a really bad driver?
Garth
I don't care for studies, I use common sense and my own personal
experience
Sounds like Colbert. Or Chertoff, who doesn't look at the data but
instead feels in his "gut" that another terrorist attack is
coming.
More seriously, common sense and anecdotal evidence is often wrong
and/or contradictory. For example, two common sense phrases: (1)
absence makes the heart grow fonder and (2) out of sight, out of
mind.
Both are common sense, but they contradict each other. That's why
we have this thing called "the scientific method," to gather data
and determine the truth rather than relying on what we think we
already know.
Reinmoose
If the roads were privately owned, the owner of the road could
possibly tell you that you are not allowed to use a handheld cell
phone while driving because it impedes traffic flow (stupid
drivers), increases instances of road rage, and ultimately runs a
risk of decreasing the amount of cars they can move on their roads,
thereby costing them (or running the risk of costing them)
money.
Those are the indeed ffects of using a handheld cell phone, but why
would the owner of private roads and highways want to tell drivers
they cannot use cellphones? Doing so would drive (no pun intended)
customers away, and while they may gain customers who don't like to
be on a road surrounded by cellphone-using drivers, I'm sure that
policy wouldn't pass a cost-benefit analysis since the owners of
the roads don't really pay for the increased danger--that's all
borne by the drivers.
Here in Connecticut, there's a law against using a cell phone
while driving.
Except if you are driving a taxi.
Oh yeah... and an 18 wheeler.
Those are the indeed ffects of using a handheld cell phone,
but why would the owner of private roads and highways want to tell
drivers they cannot use cellphones? Doing so would drive (no pun
intended) customers away, and while they may gain customers who
don't like to be on a road surrounded by cellphone-using drivers,
I'm sure that policy wouldn't pass a cost-benefit analysis since
the owners of the roads don't really pay for the increased
danger--that's all borne by the drivers.
Even if few people agree that cell phones are an actual danger,
many many more will agree that they cause people to drive worse.
Poor drivers cause a reduction in traffic flow, which can reduce
the revenues of a road owner, especially if people choose to use
alternative roads. If the choice is to either increase the number
of lanes or increase the efficiency with which the traffic moves,
the owner will probably choose the cheaper option. Also, accidents
jam traffic and cause customer unhappiness. Again, they may choose
to take a different route the next time.
I'm not saying that policies against cell phones would *definitely*
happen, just that the restriction of use of handsets is not a
completely and totally unlibertarian thing.
MikeP,
Here is a review article.
http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a748691723~db=all
Cell Phones and Driving: Review of Research
Authors: Anne T. Mccartt a; Laurie A. Hellinga a; Keli A. Bratiman
a
Affiliation: a Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Arlington,
Virginia, USA
DOI: 10.1080/15389580600651103
Publication Frequency: 4 issues per year
Published in: journal Traffic Injury Prevention, Volume 7, Issue 2
July 2006 , pages 89 - 106
Abstract
Objective. The research literature on drivers' use of cell phones
was reviewed to identify trends in drivers' phone use and to
determine the state of knowledge about the safety consequences of
such use.
Methods. Approximately 125 studies were reviewed with regard to the
research questions, type and rigor of the methods, and findings.
Reviewed studies included surveys of drivers, experiments,
naturalistic studies (continuous recording of everyday driving by
drivers in instrumented vehicles), studies of crash risk, and
evaluations of laws limiting drivers' phone use.
Results. Observational surveys indicate drivers commonly use cell
phones and that such use is increasing. Drivers report they usually
use hand-held phones. Experimental studies have found that
simulated or instrumented driving tasks, or driving while being
observed, are compromised by tasks intended to replicate phone
conversations, whether using hand-held or hands-free phones, and
may be further compromised by the physical distraction of handling
phones. Effects of phone use on driving performance when drivers
are in their own vehicles are unknown. With representative samples
of adequate size, naturalistic studies in the future may provide
the means to document the patterns and circumstances of drivers'
phone use and their effects on real-world driving. Currently, the
best studies of crash risk used cell phone company billing records
to verify phone use by crash-involved drivers. Two such studies
found a fourfold increase in the risk of a property-damage-only
crash and the risk of an injury crash associated with phone use;
increased risk was similar for males and females, younger and older
drivers, and hands-free and hand-held phones. A number of
jurisdictions in the United States and around the world have made
it illegal for drivers to use hand-held phones. Studies of these
laws show only limited compliance and unclear effects on
safety.
Conclusions. Even if total compliance with bans on drivers'
hand-held cell phone use can be achieved, crash risk will remain to
the extent that drivers continue to use or switch to hands-free
phones. Although the enactment of laws limiting drivers' use of all
phones is consistent with research findings, it is unclear how such
laws could be enforced. At least in the short term, it appears that
drivers' phone use will continue to increase, despite the growing
evidence of the risk it creates. More effective countermeasures are
needed but are not known at this time.
Effects of phone use on driving performance when drivers are in their own vehicles are unknown. With representative samples of adequate size, naturalistic studies in the future may provide the means to document the patterns and circumstances of drivers' phone use and their effects on real-world driving.
Studies to me seem to mostly involve non-real world situations.
Obviously, people involved know that they are being studied and
might alter their driving behavior...either driving too cautiously,
or driving in other manners inconsistent with their personal
habits. I tend to drive a little more nervously and distracted when
a cop is behind me. As they claim, there's no real evidence in
those studies to suggest harm, and more naturalistic studies are
required. That said, no need to ban cellphones while driving.
urrently, the best studies of crash risk used cell phone company billing records to verify phone use by crash-involved drivers. Two such studies found a fourfold increase in the risk of a property-damage-only crash and the risk of an injury crash associated with phone use;
As I said before, cellphone use has increased tremendously. The
fact that there are more crashes in which people are using
cellphones does not adequately show that cellphones are the cause
of the accidents. Again, no real reason to ban cellphones while
driving.
jimmy,
Not sure about this, but I seem to remember the studies used cell
phone records to identify crashes that occurred while the person
was using their phone.
Neu,
I understand that, but again, the fact that cellphones were in use
when the crashes occurred does not equate to cellphones being the
cause of the crashes. I'm sure many crashes occur when people are
chewing gum. Is gum to blame for many crashes?
Not sure about this, but I seem to remember the studies used
cell phone records to identify crashes that occurred while the
person was using their phone.
One must assume that they also used those records to identify
crashes that occurred while the person was not using their
phone. And to identify noncrashes that did not occur while
the person was using their phone.
Presuming they did all that, how did they control for the idiot
factor? That is, idiots drive poorly and crash cars. Cell phones
are a new feature of driving, the careless use of which will
contribute to driving poorly. Idiots will gravitate to cell phones
more readily than nonidiots and use them more carelessly and more
often than nonidiots. So the person having an accident while on the
phone is more likely an idiot. Would the idiot have had the
accident without the phone?
Presuming they were able to control even for that, why haven't
accident rates skyrocketed?
MikeP,
I am not taking a position on the issue here...just
reporting.
But as an evironmentalist, I of course, think the solution is to
ban cars, not phones.
/;^)
Jimmy,
cause of the crashes
These studies don't make claims about cause... they are talking
relative risk.
Neu,
We're going around in circles here...
...again, data showing cellphone use during crashes does not equate
to a higher relative risk because of the cellphones.
jimmy,
You're just wrong on that one.
Relative risk is just calculated from correlation...they found a
correlation.
Jimmy,
To clarify.
"Because" implies that the study is claiming a causal link between
one thing and another. Relative risk just claims that one things is
more likely when another thing obtains.
So there is a relative risk involved when chewing gum as well. Right? When wearing black shoes as opposed to brown? Maybe Edward was right LOL...maybe I do fill up both the moron and idiot categories :)
A decent primer or two on relative risk
http://www.priory.com/anaes/stat.htm
If the relative risk is calculated at 4.0, then the risk of
becoming diseased if you are exposed is four times that of people
who are not exposed.
Just replace "diseased" with "a victim of car crash" and "exposed"
with "driving while on your cell phone."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_risk
Jimmy,
You can calculate relative risk of driving while chewing gum. If it
isn't at least 2 or 3, it ain't important.
A relative risk of four is worth mentioning.
Relative risk of death in a plane crash increases significantly when you board a plane. It does not cause the plane to crash, however.
Relative risk of death in a plane crash increases significantly
when you board a plane.
Boarding the plane, however, is not the cause of your death.
Jimmyda:
what about BATIN? The only relative risk with BATIN is that you're
related to yerself!
VM,
Don't forget the relative risk of getting something in your eye...
:/
that's why you need the URKOBOLD dong-ring and shot
shield.
It will deflect any, um, "air strike ordinance" away from your face
and on to your passenger's.
URKOBOLD has a whole line of bukkake products. Perfect for stocking
stuffers, Grandma, and other, assorted jocularity.
My personal theory is that cell phone-enabled driving is,
indeed, more distracting than most of the other activities noted
above (kids, radio tuning, 'batin, etc.)
The absence of data showing an increased risk of accidents for cell
phone-using drivers has to do not so much with whether there is, in
fact, an increased risk (several anecdotes in this thread point out
the obvious), but that a driver weaving and slowing down and
running stop signs can be identified as a cell phone-driver, and
the rest of us can take defensive action in a more timely fashion,
thus mitigating the risk at that particular moment.
I'll bet the incident with the SUV-driving cell phone user with the
3 kids blowing through the stop sign was mitigated by a
near-instantaneous recognition of the risk by the defensive driver
who avoided the accident. Amusingly, if that same defensive driver
had also been engaged in a cell phone call, they probably would
have collided.
If someone is driving too slow or weaving across lanes, and if they
have a cell phone to their ear, we can take action knowing that we
can predict their behavior to a certain extent, especially when
compared to a similar driver who has no phone and therefore might
be drunk (hard to predict) or ancient (hard to predict, but easier
to pass than a drunk) or having some kind of short-lived issue
(radio tuning, et al.) that will iron itself out quickly and
restore a safer driving environment.
Oops ... badly written ... I was talking on a cell phone
...
My theory is that studies don't illustrate the actual
danger cell phone drivers pose because they are more
easily recognized by other drivers, who then adopt a more defensive
posture.
Cellphone usage more distracting than batin'...hmmm...interesting. I'll have to research that later on...I'm betting my call will encounter some connectivity problems...
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