David Weigel | December 13, 2006
The "libertarian vote" controversy - the data-driven one, not the Lindsey-driven one - spills over onto TCS Daily, where Davids Boaz and Kirby point this out:
One more bit from our post-election Zogby poll: We asked voters if they considered themselves "fiscally conservative and socially liberal." A whopping 59 percent said they did. When we added to the question "also known as libertarian," 44 percent still claimed that description.
The Reason Foundation's Adrian Moore speculates
(over e-mail) A commenter named Bill speculates that
the terrible public image of the LP is the reason for that gap.
Anyone have a better theory?
UPDATE: I originally misattributed the source of this wisdom. Who actually suggested it? Or as Camper Van Beethoven would phrase it, "Where the hell is Bill?"
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The Reason Foundation's Adrian Moore speculates (over
e-mail) that the terrible public image of the LP is the reason for
that gap. Anyone have a better theory?
Yes, that most people have no idea what the hell they believe and
will say they are anything that initially sounds positive.
Replace "fiscally conservative and socially liberal" with "for
keeping jobs in America and socially conservative" and you'd
probably get the same results.
And I'm surprised even 44% of people even have heard of the
libertarian party, to be honest with you. And people don't want to
appear uninformed on current events, so they wouldn't admit if they
didn't.
Polls are bullshit.
To many, libertarian means pro-big business more than that other
definition Zogby gave.
The 15% are those who are fiscally conservative, socially liberal
and eiether neutral or anti on big business related issues.
I think I have a better theory.
Uninformed Republicans see the word "libertarian" as being too
close to the word "Liberal"... semi-informed Democrats know that
it's the basis of traditional Republicanism (smaller government),
and also that it's endorsed by some of their most hated pundits,
such as Rush Limbaugh and John Stossel (though anyone's definition
of libertarian is flexible from the pundits... it's better when
it's a philosophy, and not a party).
And everyone else feels that third-parties are usually full of
"weirdoes"... Ross Perot, Ralph Nader, and dare I say Michael
Badnarik.
I had class once taught by a guy named Henry Bellman who had
been the first Republican governor of Oklahoma. When he ran for
governor there were about as many registered Republicans in
Oklahoma as there are self proclaimed libertarians now. He said
that when he went to a town on a campaign stop, he never told the
local Republicans he was coming. The reason for this is that the
town's two or three Republicans were invariably the two most
annoying and disliked people in town and to be associated with them
was political suicide. Sure enough he won the election, so people
really didn't disagree with him substantively, he just had to
disassociate himself from the local gadflies and rejects that were
the Oklahoma Republican Party at that time.
I bring this up because it illustrates the problems with starting
and running a small minority party. People like to play on the
winning team and like to fit in with large groups. It is just human
nature. If you have a small group, you are going to attract the
gadflies and freaks. There is no way around it. My guess is that
most people associate the LP with political whack jobs one step
above the LaRouchies and want nothing to do with the party even
though they agree with a lot of what the party has to say.
Socially liberal also refers to, say, supporting the Civil
Rights Act, or thinking that McGassbagg's secretary's options for
recourse should be limited to either blowing her boss or quitting
her job.
So I think the term "libertarian" loses quite a few socially
liberal people right there.
"Socially Liberal" is one of those vague terms that includes drugs and guns and fucking in the streets libertines as well as slavery reparations,State mandated comparable-worth wages,prohibition of guns SUVs drugs meat etc liberals.Define Socially Liberal.Fiscally Conservative can mean taxing the snot out of "the rich" to pay for socialist programs.Define fiscally conservative.
There's probably a fair number of people who are just being honest. Someone who wants to raise taxes to reduce the deficit might consider himself "fiscally conservative"; someone who supports affirmative action and mandatory recycling might consider himself "socially liberal." But he probably knows better than to add that up to "libertarian."
Most people who say they are fiscally conservative (if you're talking about smaller gov't) are lying, whether they know it or not.
I think to most people "fiscally conservative" means some combination of raising someone else's taxes and cutting spending on programs someone else benifits from to make the government pay for itself, not necessarily shrink its size. "Socially liberal" just means they can get their 17 year old daughter an abortion if she gets knocked up.
"Libertarian" probably loses a few more "socially liberal/economically conservative" folks on issues of foreign policy (especially among TCS readers) and the environment. Neither of those sets of issues are captured by the "social" or "economic" axes.
Jonah,
Ahem.... Rush Limbaugh is a libertarian??!? You're going to have to
cite some heavy-hitting sources on that one.
It's hard to imagine with Michael Badnarik, People Magazine's Sexiest Man of the Last Millenium, being the 2004 candidate.
Even in my college days, when many people on this board would have called me a socialist, I would have described myself as "fiscally conservative." Meaning I believed government spending should be kept in line with government revenues. That doesn't mean I wanted to reduce the size of government, just that I thought our level of deficit spending was nuts.
Polls may be "bullshit" but they keep the blog monster fed. And I would guess that many people equate "libertarian" with dog-fucker and coke-head, if only because they have little or no educational experience with history, philosophy and economics.
"Even in my college days, when many people on this board would
have called me a socialist, I would have described myself as
"fiscally conservative." Meaning I believed government spending
should be kept in line with government revenues."
You were probably in line with the majority of people in this
country Brian, especially if not running a deficit meant raising
someone else's taxes and cutting spending that you didn't benefit
from. People do in some sense get the government they want and
deserve. We didn't get a multi trillion dollar federal government
by accident or through some sinsiter conspiracy.
I think Jesse is right. The terms liberal, conservative, fiscal,
and social mean different things to different people. To boil
libertarianism down to a certain combination of them misses the
point entirely. Libertarianism, small 'l' of course, is about
individual freedom, which in practice can come off as a different
combinations of terms to different people.
Unfortunately most people really don't support real liberty and
freedom, no matter how much they claim to be fiscally con. and
socially lib. The idea of everyone being left alone scares most
people.
There are a lot of people still not knowing who the libertarian
party is, or maybe HAVE heard of them but don't know what they
stand for.
I still encounter people like this from time to time.
Ahem.... Rush Limbaugh is a libertarian??!?
Limbaugh has claimed the description for himself.
As Jonah noted (and can be seen in this poll) some people's
definitions are somewhat flexible.
"The idea of everyone being left alone scares most
people."
No. It is the idea of leaving other people alone that scares
people. Most people even self proclaimed libertarians only want
freedom as long as people use that freedom to make choices that are
acceptable to them. The idea that people are free to do stupid
things is a pretty objectionable one to most people.
jkp
Rush was really tight with Thomas Hazlett.
When he got busted lefties had a real hard time dredging up a
pro-drug war quote, from years of 3 hour daily blather,to make him
look like a hypocrite.Compared to Hannity and the other righty
talkers(except boortz) Rush is a libertarian.
Pol,
Rush has never been a big drug war guy as you point out. Also,
railing against PC speech codes and the like which he at least used
to do on a daily basis is certainly libertarian as well.
Most people who said they were "fiscally conservative and socially liberal" probably thought this meant, "I don't think we should waste money or set gay people on fire." Not a useful poll question, I am afraid.
One theory...
Libertarian is what dorky conservatives call themselves when they
want to get laid :)
"I don't think we should waste money or set gay people on
fire."
On the other hand, you could probably get 20% of the vote by saying
that we should.
If you want to be taken seriously and you just have to have a label, call yourself "independent". It forces your audience to listen to your words rather than dismissing you and your party affiliation out of prejudice and preconceived expectations.
I'd imagine the discrepancy can be largely explained by simple
unfamiliarity, of varying degrees, with the word "libertarian" and
its meaning. People know (or think they know, which, for the
purposes of this poll, is the same thing) what "fiscally
conservative" and "socially liberal" means. People have a less
tenuous grasp on "libertarian" and are thus less likely to ID
themselves as one.
It might not be a perfect analogy, but I bet if you asked the same
questions to bunch of libertarians, but ended the second question
with "also known as classic liberalism", you'd see a similar
discrepancy (though likely not as large).
fiscally conservative and socially liberal
To the extent that most people I hear who consider themselves
socially liberal are also fans of government intrusion in the
simplest of matters and huge proponents of the welfare state, I
find that appellation to be oxymoronic and useless at capturing the
libertarian perspective. As has been observed, there are plenty of
fiscally conservative perspectives that are void of small
government tropism as well.
invariably the…most annoying and disliked people in
town
If my experiences are representative that is the libertarian
reception in a nutshell. The entrenched see a libertarian as
somebody who just shit in the punch bowl.
I think the perception dilemma is on display in the questions I
got in an email from a collegue yesterday who shared his "off the
cuff" thoughts on the problems he has with libertarianism:
"I'm concerned about at least 4 points concerning libertarianism at
this stage:
The fact that most proponents seem to be those who already enjoy
the most privilege: white males.
The struggle for equality: racial, gender, sexual, etc. It seems
like libertarianism discounts the necessary contribution that
government has played in encouraging this equality.
The environment. So far the best strategy we've come up with to
pressure polluters to curb their destructive ways is to tempt them
with the possibility of paying less in taxes to government. How
could this same effect be accomplished without the presence of a
government?
Countering the dangers posed by private holders of guns. So we
don't like our government holding guns to us (which technically
isn't much of a problem for most white males), but we certainly
don't want lesser savory entities to have a monopoly on gun usage
either. How is this dilemma reconciled by libertarianism?"
I'm not even sure where to start in putting together answers that
might help this otherwise smart guy to "come to Jesus."
Rush has never been a big drug war guy as you point
out.
I don't know, it's been a while but I distinctly recall him
addressing the issue of sentencing for crack vs. cocaine. He
acknowledged that there was a problem, but his solution left quite
a bit to be desired: Don't lower the punishment for crack, raise
the punishment for cocaine.
Government didn't do jack on gender equality. The private sector
did that, and it supports a libertarian viewpoint.
Race is more complicated, but I think the government stopped
helping and started hurting on race issues. Like Jennifer, and IIRC
some of SCOTUS, I would be more comfortable with affirmative action
measures if they had sunset clauses. I remember having that thought
as far back as 1984 or 85, when I first learned what a sunset
clause was.
In other words, one libertraian perspective on race relations is
not to throw out the entire civil rights legacy, but rather to
identify measures that are counterproductive and remove those.
Libertarians can be extremely useful in doing this process
rationally.
All we learn from this poll is that 43% of the population doesn't know what "libertarian" means.
"Government didn't do jack on gender equality. The private
sector did that, and it supports a libertarian viewpoint."
Really? The inclusion of sex in the Civil Rights Act, and the
impressive body of case law built around gender discrimination in
general and sexual harassment in particular, didn't influence how
the private sector's attitude towards employing women has changed
over the last 50 years?
Or the push to increase female employment during WW2? That didn't
change the culture?
Or the 19th Amendment?
Sam Franklin,
Even I have to admit Joe has got you on this one. I am afraid the
government did a lot, perhaps too much, on gender equality.
How could this same effect be accomplished without the
presence of a government?
With regards to the environment, have your colleague brush up on
the Coase
Theorem. The government enforces property rights, the market
allocates the solution.
The inclusion of sex in the Civil Rights Act, and the
impressive body of case law built around gender discrimination in
general and sexual harassment in particular, didn't influence how
the private sector's attitude towards employing women has changed
over the last 50 years?
That legislation only codified what was already in the Constitution
from Day 1. Either that or grossly misinterpreted it.
swillfredo,
However you choose to describe it, the legislation brought about
material changes in how the government treated women, and how
private empolyers and places of public accommodation treated
women.
All we learn from this poll is that 43% of the population
doesn't know what "libertarian" means.
Exactly right, I think.
To Swillfredo (from your linked article):
"The above examples show that the Coase theorem cannot be applied
as an anti-pollution policy in many critical cases. To claim that
we can solve the world's environmental problems simply by assigning
strong property rights alone is therefore naïve. But to be fair,
most Coasians make more sophisticated arguments attempting to show
how the theorem might be applied."
response to joe:
I don't think those government actions were very much responsible
for gender equality. I don't think they hurt. I don't think they
helped much, either. This is based on the totality of my
experience. I think the law was pro-active on race issues and
reactive on gender issues. I think that women would be where they
are in 2006, even if they had never, ever been allowed the vote,
and had not been named in the Civil Rights Act.
I don't expect you to agree with me on this, but that is how I
feel.
Not only that, I am glad the law is rective on gender issues. I am glad the ERA Amendment did not pass. I like gender equality, but prefer it as private ordering when possible (as it often is, as everybody knows now).
"Countering the dangers posed by private holders of guns. So we
don't like our government holding guns to us (which technically
isn't much of a problem for most white males), but we certainly
don't want lesser savory entities to have a monopoly on gun usage
either. How is this dilemma reconciled by libertarianism?"
i'm confused as to what, exactly, he's saying cause if i read this
straight the answer is concealed carry laws and relaxed
restrictions on gun ownership for private, law-abiding
citizens.
which is uh, a pretty basic libertarian theme. so what does he
actually mean by this?
Rush Limbaugh has read whole paragraphs from Ayn Rand and
praised her clarity of thought. He could very well be a small l
libertarian.
He does play a role on radio and I am positive that character is
similar but not identical to his true persona.
All we learn from this poll is that 43% of the population
doesn't know what "libertarian" means.
The truth is more sinister than that. Many of those same people
cannot tell the difference between the term "libertarian" and
"LaRouchian" on account of their both starting with "L"
"i'm confused as to what, exactly, he's saying cause if i read
this straight the answer is concealed carry laws and relaxed
restrictions on gun ownership for private, law-abiding
citizens.
which is uh, a pretty basic libertarian theme. so what does he
actually mean by this?"
I'm pretty sure that he makes the all to common mistake of
conflating "society" with "government" here.
It there a simple source of data I can point him to on the
effectiveness of "More Guns, Less Crime?"
Any qualifier you'd add would cause assent to
drop some. However, I'm afraid the Libertarian
Party has in fact brought a bad cachet to the word. CATO ran away
from it for many years. The Libertarian Book Club, founded in 1948
(or '46, I keep forgetting) considered changing its name, but just
included disclaimers re LP instead.
Anyway, in 1987 I polled people here in the Bronx by phone, and
only about 1/3 said they'd heard of the word "libertrarian".
However, on hearing it, the vast majority correctly deduced that it
had to do with liberty. (That's a lot better than you get with the
word "conservative".) By 1989-90 the proportion who'd heard of the
word had increased to 2/3. Still, hardly anyone volunteered the
Libertarian Party as the name of what was then considered the 3rd
largest political party in the nation, or even named it on an open
ended question of naming any political parties they could think of;
of course in NY LP could never have been considered higher than 5th
place or so among political parties, so that affected my
results.
Anyway, I think the avg. person's understanding of
the word "libertarian" is at least as good as the avg. person's
understanding of the words "liberal" and "conservative". Many
libertarian activists lamenting the supposed misunderstood nature
of libertarianism are actually lamenting the fact that most people
aren't political philosophers. They think their perspective is that
of the libertarian, but really their relevant
perspective is that of the highly interested person (as thinker or
activist) vs. that of most people -- which goes for any
subject!
People are frightened and confused by long words. I sincerely think that that explains a large portion of the discrepancy.
According to a 2001 poll of 1,513 adults, the percentage who agree with the following statement, "People should be allowed to take any drug they want so long as they don't hurt someone else." is 12. So that's the upper limit.
According to a 2001 poll of 1,513 adults, the percentage who
agree with the following statement, "People should be allowed to
take any drug they want so long as they don't hurt someone else."
is 12. So that's the upper limit.
That'd be an upper bound only for radical or extreme libertarians.
If we counted only the extremes of every ideology, there'd be very
few people you could use any common poli-sci type adjective on
rightly.
If drug policy were the only issue, I'd count anyone who agrees
that, "People should have greater freedom to use drugs legally than
they have here and now" as at least a moderate libertarian.
And can you imagine what the results would have been 10 to 15
years ago?
No, the Libertarian Party deserves a great deal of hearty
congratulations for popularizing the term.
The only thing is, they'll never reap the benefits in the long run.
Popularizing "libertarian" means that regular Joe Republicans are
more apt to describe themselves as such. In other words, it's the
libertarian Republicans who will benefit.
Robert: That'd be an upper bound only for radical or extreme
libertarians
"Radical or extreme"? Isn't the basic principle of 'don't meddle in
my affairs if I don't in yours' a basic linchpin of libertarianism.
Many liberals do share some limited common ground with
conservatives and vice versa, but that doesn't mean that one can be
counted among the other. The demarcating criteria are the
foundational principles, and as per that, only 12% qualified in
2001.
"The demarcating criteria are the foundational
principles,"
Nope, sorry, they ain't. If you had to go by that, most isms would
devolve onto a tiny fraction of what we'd usually consider their
adherents. Only radicals can be demarcated by principles, and the
radicals of any ism are only a fraction of the whole.
The only useful way to size up anything in the public policy realm
is to norm everything. Compare it to a useful marker, and I think
the most useful marker is the average. The average will differ from
place to place & time to time, but what's being called for are
here-and-now measurements, after all.
Outside of that realm, it's how we usually judge people. What
determines whether someone is "tall" or "short"? Comparison to the
avg. Same for all the usual descriptors you'd have for someone --
smart or dumb, rich or poor, etc. Why should it be any different
for determining whether someone is libertarian or
authoritarian?
If you had to go by that, most isms would devolve onto a
tiny fraction of what we'd usually consider their
adherents.
The principle of 'golden rule' is a basic principle, not some
obscure 15th commandment. Akin to the maxim that one can't be a
Christian if one doesn't believe in the basic theology. Of course,
beyond that, there are 101 denominations, but there's a set of
basic principles you have to believe in, to be a Christian. Same
here.
Nope. You don't have to believe anything to count as Catholic,
for instance. People feel an attachment to the Catholic church that
transcends belief. You could think the Pope was Satan and still be
Catholic, just because that's how you think of yourself. And if
you're Catholic you're Christian even if you don't believe in
Christ, just because Catholics are automatically Christian.
Same if you're Unitarian Universalist. Hey, they
must be Christian if they've got "unitarian" in
your name, because that's how they account for Christ, and you
can't have Christ without Christianity. Yet you can be an
individual UU without believing in any of the Christ stuff.
OTOH, if you're a Jew for Jesus, you have all the beliefs, but
you're not Christian, because you have "Jews" in your religion's
name. But you're not a Jew either, even though you think of
yourself as one. So it's not as if the criterion for isms is
predictably either what you think you are
or what you think; it varies case to case.
Meanwhile, I thought it was Camphor van
Beethoven.
Anyway, sometimes you can't formulate any rule at
all to decide what someone is, yet you can do it based on an
intuitive sense. Even hear Lenny Bruce on Jewish vs. goyish? I
started a thread on alt.fan.cecil-adams and we independently had a
very high degree of agreement as to whether certain persons or
things were Jewish or goyish. We could pretty much classify any
tangible thing or abstraction as either Jewish or goyish, but those
of us who could do so could not teach anyone else the difference.
Some posters, the ones who couldn't grok it, got very upset about
it.
Nope. You don't have to believe anything to count as
Catholic, for instance.
Two points:
1)You're confusing cultural accomodation/nomination with the
definition of a Christian. The latter, indeed, has to believe in
the theology.
2)By that logic, anyone who calls him/herself a libertarian becomes
one, even if the principles they believe in, belong to fascism.
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