Michael C. Moynihan | April 17, 2009
An Economist editorial reminds its readers that, in the mania to assign blame for the global financial mess—think sinister bankers, monocled capitalists, Wall Street gangsters, Jim Cramer—we run the risk of overlooking a more obvious culprit: government. And specifically a government obsession with raising rates of home ownership:
BANKERS, frauds, predatory insurers: there has been a stampede to punish the villains of the global meltdown. Yet one culprit is not only rarely seen as an offender, but is also being cosseted and protected. Governments' obsession about home ownership has contributed as much to the meltdown as any moustache-twirling financier.
The bust began in America's housing market and soon spread to government-sponsored institutions created to increase home ownership, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Part of the problem came about because of policy. In most rich countries the state subsidises private housing. Some places (America, Ireland and Spain) give tax relief on mortgage-interest payments. Others, such as Britain, eliminate or lower the tax on capital gains from sales of someone's main house. Still others use state-backed outfits to direct credit to housing or to make it easier for first-time buyers or the poor to buy their own homes. Subsidies are not to blame for everything-the housing bubble affected a range of markets regardless of how much they were subsidised-but the distortions aggravated the boom and bust by making housing artificially attractive.
The whole piece, which weighs the economic and social benefits of home ownership, is worth a read.
The Economist is surely right that government is more often than not viewed as a savior of the American economy. And it is also true that media accounts of the crisis tend to underplay Washington's role in the current mess. But for the enlightened readers of this magazine, it isn't an unfamiliar argument. In January, for instance, I sat down with Stanford University economics professor John B. Taylor, author of the new book Getting Off Track: How Government Actions and Interventions Caused, Prolonged, and Worsened the Financial Crisis, to discuss the American government's role in creating the current financial crisis:
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What's funny is that bankers and mortgage lenders were bitching about the government pushing home ownership with one hand while forbidding risk-based pricing (or making loans to the unqualified) with the other. It looked crazy back then, but, unfortunately, most of the lenders didn't see how bad that would get in combination with other factors, including a little too much risk taking by them.
Whatever you do, don't blame the big, big, big companies. They are our friends and are here to help us!
Some places...give tax relief on mortgage-interest payments
America, check.
Others...eliminate...the tax on capital gains from sales of someone's...house
America, check.
Still others use state-backed outfits to direct credit to housing or to make it easier for first-time buyers or the poor to buy their own homes.
America: state-backed check, first-time check, and... poor
check.
I LOVE this country!!
(Clearly, I need to buy more house. But I'm waiting for the price
to drop.)
At least in CA, they can't pursue you personally for the deficiency on a home foreclosure. So you didn't have a whole lot to worry about if they did foreclose on you, it'd suck sure, but you wouldn't have them coming after you for 300,000. The mortgage company bears all the risk there, would encourage me at least to buy more house than I could handle since there is really a lot of upside while relatively minor downsides.
Whatever you do, don't blame the big, big, big companies.
They are our friends and are here to help us!
Whatever you do, don't blame our benevolent overlords. They are our
friends and are here to help us!
THE ECONOMIST IS SHILLING FOR THE FAR RIGHT BANKERS AND CAPITALISTS DOWN WITH CAPITALISM DOWN WITH BANKERS GAD i HAt MY lIFE!
I hate big corporations. Big corporations are evil. They bug our houses and read our minds with their satellites and suck our souls out with their computers.
Cue joe or Tony or someone showing up to insist that only
far-right wingnut Republican idjuts think that Fannie Mae or
Freddie Mac had anything to do with the problem. Don't you know it
was all cause by "deregulation" and the evil, evil, capitalism run
amok?
Down with free markets! I want my life run by the government!
Hazel,
I think they're missing the elephant room. Specifically, the
federal reserve policy from roughly the 2001 recession to today.
Sustained artificially low interest rates create bubbles in durable
goods and capital. This is why, when the bust inevitably comes, it
is concentrated on capital, while the decrease in spending on
consumer goods is fairly mild.
It's control over the interest rate and money supply is, arguably,
the federal government's most potent tool for manipulating the
economy, and the one which it uses most irresponsibly.
Should be "Its" rather than "It's". A mild joe'z law but nonetheless...
It's far more pernicious than just raising home ownership. The
government manipulates the capital structure of everyone and
everything. Why do you think a lot of debt is deductible from your
taxes for both corporations and individuals?
The fed also drove the rate into the tank and shifted investors
from treasuries to MBS both privately provided and quasi GSE
provided. All the time quietly allowing the belief that the private
sector MBS were relatively safe since it was ok for quasi GSEs to
create them. (a sort of implicit affirmation of reduced risk)Of
course this just furthered the get everyone a home policy. The
viciousness of the cycle really kicks in when you start making
money damn near free and introduce a fuckton of leverage. The whole
process turned out to be a grand idea.
Well, then there's always the issue that high house values raise
property taxes, so governments have an incentive to inflate
property values.
Plus the whole "housing starts drive the economy" meme. it was just
a matter of time before artificially pushing housing starts became
a preferred means fort he government to "stimulate" growth.
"it was just a matter of time before artificially pushing
housing starts became a preferred means fort he government to
'stimulate' growth."
What do you mean "just a matter of time"? The government hasn't yet
changed it's policy. Of course, low housing prices are bad, so
sayeth the ruler of Be'ethos, so allowing housing prices to deflate
as a way to increase homeownership is out.
Dammit, I did the same thing again. It's "Its" not "it's". Joe is getting his revenge on me, it seems.
think sinister bankers, monocled capitalists, Wall Street
gangsters
Stop right there. "Wall Street gangsters" says it all. They're the
pushers, the pimps, the enablers. Without their Ivy League
creativity we'd be slogging along at 2% annual growth. Where's the
fun in that? Try getting a summer home in the Hamptons at 2%.
Derivatives, baybee! It's what separates the rich from the
suckers.
You know, the real cause was government. It was the fed keeping
rates too low for too long.
...just like all the other cycles of misinvestmnent and the
unwinding of those investments.
The world was awash in liquidity. All that cheap money was
competing for the same investments.
Investors overpaid. When the suckers line up like that, they get
all upset if you offer 'em an even break. Of course overpaying,
like hindsight, is 20/20. The trick is to not overpay in the first
place.
So who do you blame overpaying on? Problem of induction? Past
performance really is no guarantee of future results. Character
flaw?
I am not sure which is more deranged, the American Left in its sub-literate howling about the bankers, or you people in the bizarro world point fingers at government with thread bare excuses.
I didn't write anymore because what else can be said? Private market actors wents nuts buying, selling, insuring, etc., these terrible risks.
There is no "real cause." There are several variables or forces that added up to a bad situation. The forces come from government, the public, the corporations, the banks, the people, hell you could probably tie in duck shit if you tried hard enough. To trying to argue there is a single cause of the current situation means you a) have an ulterior motive like all the talking heads on TV and politicians or b) you think you are smarter than the market itself. You can make some assumptions about which force may have had more of an impact and I'm sure people will be doing that for the next 20 years.
"I am not sure which is more deranged, the American Left in its
sub-literate howling about the bankers, or you people in the
bizarro world point fingers at government with thread bare
excuses."
Or they could all be right to some degree. You know, cause true
absolutes are a rare thing when talking about an economy.
Free market theory doesn't claim that private actors won't ever
do anything stupid. It just says that if you don't bail them out,
they will stop doing stupid things in the future.
Markets are self-correcting - if you let them correct
themselves.
Actually it just says the stupid things will stop at a certain point for a given period. The stupid things are often repeated in the future. It's that whole cyclical thingy.
"I am not sure which is more deranged, the American Left in
its sub-literate howling about the bankers, or you people in the
bizarro world point fingers at government with thread bare
excuses."
You got us. We are just making this shit up out of whole cloth
because we are blinded by ideology, and we are so far from what the
all wise mainstream has to say on the matter. Idiot.
September 30, 1999, New York Times:
In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among
minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is
easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from
banks and other lenders.
The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks
in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will
encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose
credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional
loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide
program by next spring.
Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has
been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to
expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt
pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in
profits. (emphasis mine)
In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have
been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called
subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings
and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans,
can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher
interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points
higher than conventional loans.
''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families
in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said
Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive
officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just
a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been
relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the
so-called subprime market.
I eat you for lunch.
Ethics? Save it for the middle class.
Baby needs hair plugs.
Follow the money. Where does it all lead back to? Hint: It was established in 1916. It was billed as a way to keep things like this from happening. Two words. First word begins with f, second word begins with r.
"In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies
have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to
so-called subprime borrowers."
You see! It was all the fault of the big corporations!
I find it funny that the article claims that this issue has been
over-looked. Really? Conservatives have been harping on it since
day one, as it is absolutely critical for them to be able to peg
the blame on the government. Indeed, conservatives NEED big
government precisely because their ideology would come crashing
down if they couldn't connect every problem to the government
somehow.
That being said, the housing subsidy issue was and is a problem,
but only a small fraction of the cause of this mess. Largely, it
was just a classic bubble of large proportions, and yet another
refutation of the efficient market hypothesis.
If anything, the biggest subsidies of home ownership were not even
noted in the article, though. Homes are massive wastes of resources
and space, and not all of that is counted in their costs.
Hazel
The problem with that is that those chasing this funny money wre
surely not thinking "oh boy, this is risky, but I can count on a
bailout if we lose" they were thinking "we are going to be so
RICH!". They were'nt planning to fail,, they were too certain they
were going to win, because in their mind they had been winning on
this for so long...
It's like criminals. They don't count on getting sprung on a
liberal technicality, they count on never getting caught.
Conservatives have been harping on it since day
one
Harping is the operative word, as in FOX News. They
occasionally get things right, but as much of their reporting comes
with an unintentionally comical far-right bias, it's hard at times
to tell when they're being objective, insofar as any mainstream
outlet can be objective. With the likes of Sean Hannity
and Bill O'Reilly crying wolf five times a week, only the devoted
choir is paying attention.
Chad,
Largely, it was just a classic bubble of large proportions, and
yet another refutation of the efficient market
hypothesis.
Bzzzzzttt. This, in fact, proves the efficient market hypothesis,
in that the market fucking corrected. Do stupid bubbly behavior
and, in the absence of bailouts, the market will punish you with
extreme prejudice for being inefficient.
The response time is slower than some people expect, but they are
just silly.
The cause of the bubbly behavior was primarily the fed, by
encouraging capital to flow to less efficient areas.
For those that dont understand efficient market theory, it
doesnt say the market will always price everything right - it says
that when things are misprices, an arbitrage opportunity will be
created. Eventually, someone will take advantage of this, pushing
the price towards the proper equilibrium. However, like with many
system, it will oscillate and eventually dampen (via the repeated
arbitraging) so that the swing are much smaller around the true
price.
In the housing bubble, we had a bunch of new tools that no one new
how to price properly, which in combination with the fed pushing
money into housing, led to some extreme arbitrage opportunities.
Paulson (the other one) seems to be the main guy to take advantage
of this opportunity, as he made billions figuring out how to short
the housing market via purchasing of underpriced credit default
swaps and etc.
Next go around, the oscillations wont be as big because the
derivatives will be priced better, even if the fed misbehaves
again.
Oh, and one more thing, about the worst thing you can do policy-wise is create regulations that restrict arbitrage. Mechanisms that prevent price pressure pushing back are bad.
Like I've said, I have a very Austrian view of the causes of
credit crunches like this, and I see credit crunches as part of the
solution to problems associated with the cycle, rather than the
problem itself...
But I think some of you are answering the wrong question. You're
being asked about the cause of the cycle but your answers are about
the causes of the bailouts.
The bailouts were not a natural consequence of anything, but some
of you talk about them like they were a natural force, like gravity
or something...
But they weren't. There wasn't anything inevitable or absolutely
necessary about the bailouts. The bailouts were a decision made by
government and only the government is responsible for them. The
bailouts were a feeble attempt to counter the effects of the credit
crunch, which, as I've already said, are a part of the solution
rather than the cause of the problem.
Blaming individuals for making the best they can of where they are
in the cycle is like blaming the birds for flying south for the
winter. Blaming the government for squandering our resources on
trying to stop them from flying south, on the other hand, that's
hitting the nail on the head.
about the worst thing you can do policy-wise is create
regulations that restrict arbitrage. Mechanisms that prevent price
pressure pushing back are bad.
But short sellers are eeeeeevulllll!
They must be punished for saying bad stuff about the emperor's
wardrobe.
"Next go around, the oscillations wont be as big because the
derivatives will be priced better, even if the fed misbehaves
again."
Next time around it will be just different enough that no one will
notice. We had S&Ls lending on poor standards just over 20
years ago (not the only factor). Markets do not have a memory. Just
like people don't.
Short selling is not evil. Short selling has several good reasons
for existing. Naked short selling should be illegal or bonded
(which makes it not naked).
I have to admit I spend far too much of my spare time reading
the economist
The mainly for coverage of non EU/US affairs which is always
good
But Its a little bit late from the economist,
although they claim impartiality they seemed to be backing Obama
from the start and didn't want to bring up the whole
Democrats/FannieMac thing and ruin his chances by association
Other UK liberals like The Adam Smith institute called it straight
off
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24526673-5015664,00.html
The Economist had a vested interest in not mentioning it. The
election of an african american is an advert for the strengths of
liberal democracy and hence it was worth playing down the
candidate's party's involvement in the crisis.
Whatever you do, don't blame our benevolent overlords. They
are our friends and are here to help us!
Do you know anybody who has this attitude? Bitching about the
government is something everybody does. Everybody is critical of
the government. Liberals are the most vocal critics of the Obama
administration on civil liberties. Just because we agree with his
general approach to the economy (with significant caveats) doesn't
make us mindless tools.
That would be the conservatives over the last 8 years who called
anyone who didn't support even the most sadistic acts of the Bush
administration traitors.
"Liberals are the most vocal critics of the Obama administration
on civil liberties."
Excuse my while I laugh my ass off.
"That would be the conservatives over the last 8 years who
called anyone who didn't support even the most sadistic acts of the
Bush administration traitors."
FOR THE LAST, LEFITE-BOT, WE ARE LIBERTARIANS, not conservatives,
and certainly not Bush shills. If you want to argue with Bush
shills, there are plenty of Team Red blogs for you troll on.
Dammit. We've said this fifty times already.
I love to shill. And libertarians are all Bush shills. I know it because they have defended everything Bush ever did. Barack Obama is the messiah. I am a liberal shill. Liberals are Barack Obama's harshest critics on civil liberties, but Barack Obama has never done anything to disappoint liberals on civil liberties. I hate libertarians because they shill for Bush.
It's a good thing they're going to solve all those problems about artificially inflated house prices by giving away free money for buying houses and propping up interest rates.
Rightwing libertarian Repbublic assholez I hat you so much I wish you would all just shut up and GET OUT OF MY HEAD GET OUT OF MY HEAD YOU LIBERTARDIAN WINGNUTS! Your'e aalll just jealous that I'm so much smarter than you are!
economist
I'm not sure Tony was saying that libertarians are like that, just
comparing liberals to conservatives. At least I hope not, because
I'm liberal and long time H&R participant who can say for sure
that there was always little love for Bush here.
That said, I will defend Tony's assertion that liberals are
critical of Obama. For example, the uber-liberal organization the
ACLU has been on his ass for his treading water on state secrets,
wiretapping, etc.
MNG,
Given that whenever anyone here complains about Obama, Tony's
response is "Bush sucked", I tend to think that Tony is wedded to
the image of libertarians as thoroughgoing Bush shills.
I've been hearing this meme, the liberals are turning a blind
eye to Obama! Look, Look!
It may surprise folks that I don't read liberal magazines like the
Nation or Mother Jones much. So I just googled the Nation, and what
do you know? Their head story is, well, critical of Obama...
http://www.thenation.com/blogs/notion/427979/the_torture_memos_obama_and_the_banality_of_evil?rel=hp_picks
I mean, damn, that didn't take much research to dispel!
I'm not sure thats the right read of that last post, but if it is position its a misplaced and foolish one here. Libertarians hated Bush possibly more than liberals did from what I can tell....
Pretty garbled, but what I meant to say is that I think one can fairly read Tony's last point taken alone in the way I mention, but if indeed he is accusing libertarians here at H&R of being Bush apologists he is simply very wrong.
@MNG
The American usage of the word liberal is awesome, Liberals are
people who are not economically liberal therefore they are called
Liberals :)
The term just seems to be a blanket expression for any left wing
political opinion but would you really class the Nation as
liberal?
seems more unashamedly socialist to me
I'd say that a American liberal really would be a socially liberal
Keynesian, something typified by journals like The new republic.
its not my cup of tea but its a rational political stance
It really is riduculous to class someone like Krugman who is what
I'd say a textbook american liberal with the socialist types that
write for the Nation (Klein,Choamsky etc)
The Nation crowd has a pathological hatred of America and possibly
humanity itself and will critize any American leader
regardless
Lets face it the New Republic isn't being particularly harsh on
Obama's civil liberties.
I must admit I find the journal an interesting read but I havnt
seem anything critizing Teh Big O
www.tnr.com
As one who tried home ownership and hated it, here are my main
objections to it: Back in the day of the Good Samaritan, how much
time did the Good Samaritan spend on his riding mower? How many
chemicals did he spread on his lawn making life harder and harder
for honeybees?
Naturally governments will never propose subsidizing Good
Samaritanism versus home ownership, because it would distract
attention from hare-brained ideas that draw votes.
MNG sez They were'nt planning to fail,, they were too
certain they were going to win, because in their mind they had been
winning on this for so long...
Wow. What insight. People only lose in the marketplace, or the
casino when they PLAN to lose! Dammit, I plan to win tonight, I'll
be RICH!
Actually MNG, I think you gave an almost textbook definition of
stupid there.
juris
Like a lot of economics and psychology, it seems like common sense,
doesn't it? Of course, it totally gut the idea of moral hazard
thrown around here and other parts, so maybe it's a bit more
complicated, eh?
Monkee Man
Modern liberals have their pedigree from "classical liberals." I
think the author of On Liberty's life is a good example if you want
to understand how modern liberalism inherited the mantle of the
word liberal from classical liberals. Classical liberals thought
negative rights alone would create liberty. Modern liberals were
classical liberals who started to think "some affirmative rights
are important to that project."
Saying that TNR is more representative of liberalism than the
Nation because the Nation is really socialist is goofy. The Nation,
as far as I know, does not call for mass nationalization of all
private enterprise and property, so not socialist. Further left
than TNR, yes. But left, of course. And critical of Obama. Hence my
point.
"The Nation, as far as I know, does not call for mass
nationalization of all private enterprise and property, so not
socialist."
The definition of socialism is a proper bugger, isn't it? Depending
on who you talk to, socialism is a. what we have now (I would
describe as a retched corporatist-socialist-vestigial free market
chimaera) b. Something like the economic system in Sweden or c.
Pure communism (kind of like, say, Cuba). Perhaps we need a Reason
Dictionary (tm) describing exactly what terms like economic
liberal, socialist, capitalist, communist, free market, etc. should
mean when they're used in discussions here, in order to avoid
confusion.
MaterialMonkee,
I would argue that both modern libertarianism and modern liberalism
trace their pedigree from classical liberalism. As I see it, there
were two elements of the classical liberal movement: an egalitarian
element and a libertarian element. Back when both were devoted
primarily to getting rid of state interventions (special subsidies,
charters, land grants, tariffs, etc.) that created economic
inequalities, the two were largely indistinguishable (although in
many European countries there was a definite distinction between
the classical liberals and the socialists, most of whom today would
probably be classed as liberals). As government privileges became
less important as sources of wealth, the two movements started to
diverge. The libertarian element was generally concerned with
getting rid of the last vestiges of state-imposed privileges and
then leaving well enough alone. They generally formed some of the
elements (though not the majority) of the American "old right". The
egalitarian element, on the other hand, thought that since
inequalities existed even without the government weighting the
scales in favor of some, it should be OK for the government to
weight the scales in favor of greater equality. This element became
dominant in the United States, with the libertarian element being
largely relegated to the right or the fringes, and even moreso in
Europe, where in most cases there were not (and still are not) any
significant political parties or movements with an identifiably
libertarian philosophy.
I just wrote a lot. If I had said it out loud, it would have been a
mouthful.
Like a lot of economics and psychology, it seems like common
sense, doesn't it?
From what little I've read about the derivatives market, the
sellers were offering "magic beans", and the magic in these beans
were "guaranteed" by Moodys, S&P, etc. based on the general
credit worthiness of the seller. No buyer could actually understand
what he was buying, but bought because the raters had established
AAA or whatever on the instruments. The real beauty in this little
game is that the credit raters are paid by the sellers for
providing the rating. Three card monty goes to Wall Street.
Then again, at the same time, you had Madoff scamming people left
and right.
Now, the market does eventually punish stupidity, but like children
everywhere, investors don't think they should have to pay for their
bad judgment.
"From what little I've read about the derivatives market, the
sellers were offering 'magic beans'"
Back in my college days I ate some magic beans. Not a good
idea.
That would be the conservatives over the last 8 years who
called anyone who didn't support even the most sadistic acts of the
Bush administration traitors.
I don't think there is anyone who fits that description. Granted,
there were a lot of leftists openly rooting for the Iraqi
insurgents, which makes it pretty legit to call them traitors, imo,
but that's a far cry from calling "anyone who didn't support even
the most sadistic acts" of the Bush administration traitors.
There's a very large distance between wingnut Ward Churchill's who
think America got what it deserved (of which there are many), and
civil libertarians who objected to Guantanamo (of which there are
also many).
How can Dave W. be listed as a troll on the "A Wiki Called Reason" and Lefti not be on there?
The truth is here - this video by Alex Jones explains the connections between the mainstream pols like Obama/Bush/Clinton and the high financiers: http://www.brasschecktv.com/page/593.html
@MNG & Economist
"Saying that TNR is more representative of liberalism than the
Nation because the Nation is really socialist is goofy"
I was just wondering if the American usage of Liberalism had any
kind of more solid definition
Like is there a line to the left you can cross when youre no longer
a liberal? Or if it really is just now a blanket term for left
wing
Certainly to me It seems ridiculous to categorize say Paul Krugman
with Noam Choamsky.
"even moreso in Europe, where in most cases there were not (and
still are not) any significant political parties or movements with
an identifiably libertarian philosophy."
That kind of tally's in with what I say in that on this side of the
Atlantic Liberalism is still pretty much considered centerist to
right wing and usually more socially liberal but not libertarian in
the anarchist sense.
The economist (the newspaper not the poster), for example say they
are liberals and use the term as the polar opposite of
socialism
Generally Liberal parties in the EU generally have power in
centerist or right wing coalitions and probably have more political
sway than any socially and economically liberal groups on the rest
of the planet.
getting a few links
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Party_(Iceland)
"The Liberal Party is an Icelandic centre-right political
party"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal_Party_(Denmark)
Some describe it as a classical liberal party, since the current
leader (Anders Fogh Rasmussen) is known for his authorship of the
book "Fra Socialstat til Minimalstat" (English: From Social State
to Minimal State). His book advocated an extensive reform of the
Danish welfare state along classical liberal lines, including lower
taxes and less government interference in corporate and individual
matters.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_Democratic_Party_of_Germany
The Free Democratic Party (Freie Demokratische Partei, FDP) is a
liberal political party in Germany. The party's ideology
encompasses beliefs in individual liberty, in a government "that is
as extensive as necessary, and as limited as possible" (In German:
so viel Staat wie nötig, so wenig Staat wie möglich!). It promotes
a market economy, with reformed features of the German social
welfare system. In foreign policy the FDP supports European
integration and transatlantic partnership between the European
Union and the United States. The FDP is currently the third-largest
party in the Bundestag.
"Certainly to me It seems ridiculous to categorize say Paul
Krugman with Noam Choamsky."
Agreed.
"The definition of socialism is a proper bugger, isn't it?"
Also agreed.
robc | April 18, 2009, 9:28am | #
Bzzzzzttt. This, in fact, proves the efficient market hypothesis,
in that the market fucking corrected. Do stupid bubbly behavior
and, in the absence of bailouts, the market will punish you with
extreme prejudice for being inefficient.
I bzzzzttt your bzzzzttt and raise you one. An efficient market
would not have been in need of correction in the first place.
I will defend Tony's assertion that liberals are critical of
Obama.
That was not his assertion. His assertion was that liberals were
the most critical of Obama on civil liberties. I disagree, I think
libertarians are more criticial of Obama, for one thing we started
earlier. We just assumed he was going to suck before he started
sucking.
How can Dave W. be listed as a troll on the "A Wiki Called Reason" and Lefti not be on there?
There is a lot of information and more'n a few commenters
omitted/not yet added to the thang. Someone needs to update
it.
***not it!*** runs to far corner of internet
robc,
I see your point, but am glad that Tony actually had a reasonable
and honest assertion
I bzzzzttt your bzzzzttt and raise you one. An efficient
market would not have been in need of correction in the first
place.
Read my next post on efficient markets (the one right after the one
you responded to). You will then understand why you are wrong.
Efficient markets arent efficient at every instance in time, they
merely have a mechanism for getting there.
If you want to define an efficient market as one that is perfectly
efficient at all times, then I agree with you that that doesnt
exist. But no one claims it does. That isnt what anyone means by
that term.
The biggest problem with most people's views on economics is that they consider companies failing, foreclosures, unemployment, etc as bad things.
"I bzzzzttt your bzzzzttt and raise you one. An efficient market
would not have been in need of correction in the first
place."
No one here (apart from the passing idiot) has argued that markets
are perfectly efficient in the short run, or that people don't
occasionally do stupide things. What we're arguing is that markets
are more efficient in the long run, but that if one gets rid of
mechanisms that allow it to correct (through, for example, bailouts
and their concomitant moral hazard) the long-term correction is
hampered. Yes, it sucks that some people in the market are
short-sighted and buy into bubbles. It also sucks that there are
people in government who created policies that encourage this sort
of behavior (Federal Reserver interest rates, Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, "universal home ownership"). In general, it's futile
to hope that people in government will be any smarter than market
actors when viewing the economy. Apart from a few "fringe" figures
like Ron Paul, the fashionable opinion was that everything would be
OK, that if the fed permanently lowered interest rates, we could
always have a "quasi-boom", and that lending standards were for
evil racists and monocled plutocrats trampling on the working
classes. Yet, whenever the government fails to see a problem in the
market until it's too late (and makes it bigger in the process),
the solution is somehow always "WE MUST HAVE MORE OF TEH
GOVERNMENT, BECAUSE IT WILL PROTECT US AGAINST TEH EVIL
CAPITUHLISTS!"
To add on to what economist said, that explains why we are
always blaming the government. It isnt that other people werent at
fault too, its that, with some exceptions, those people had to pay
for their mistakes. Homeowners, failed banks, etc have paid the
price. Bailed out companies (which is the governments fault) and
the government havent paid the price. What government agencies got
shut down as government revenue fell?
Did 50% of the fed reserve get fired for the mistakes they made? Do
they even acknowledge their mistakes?
I think there are plenty of regular people who learned a lesson and
will never again buy a home they cant afford or without a
reasonable downpayment. They wont assume the housing market will
keep going up forever. There will be a new generation to make the
same mistake, but some people wont do it again.
"Did 50% of the fed reserve get fired for the mistakes they
made? Do they even acknowledge their mistakes?"
What mistakes? I see no mistakes here? And the fed didn't have
anything to do with the Great Depression, either.
Certainly to me It seems ridiculous to categorize say Paul
Krugman with Noam Choamsky.
Hey, that isn't as odd as it might sound. Both are brilliant in
their primary fields, and eyeball deep in wing-nut soup outside of
their respective specialties.
The biggest problem with most people's views on economics is
that they consider companies failing, foreclosures, unemployment,
etc as bad things.
The problem with most people is their visceral and overwhelming
fear of change.
"The biggest problem with most people's views on economics is
that they consider companies failing, foreclosures, unemployment,
etc as bad things.
The problem with most people is their visceral and overwhelming
fear of change."
Sorry guys, but it's pretty fucked up not to consider foreclosures
and unemployment as bad things. It's a human thing to feel empathy
for someone who has lost their home or job, a lot of human
suffering goes on in both situations. Anyone who, seeing that goes
"Oh Hosanna to the Market God for His Wise Creative Destruction and
Proper Re-Allocation of Capital to More Productive Uses" is pretty
fucked up...This is the problem with some libertarians, market
efficiency becomes something so important and focused on that it
can be split from human welfare.
"This is the problem with some libertarians, market efficiency
becomes something so important and focused on that it can be split
from human welfare."
And the problem with some liberals is that they get so focused on
averting short-term suffering that they ignore the long-term
consequences of their actions.
Honestly, it's not as if people are starving to death or on the streets. If they got foreclosed, more likely than not they moved into a rented apartment. If they lost their job, there's unemployment (Yes, I know, not standard libertarian policy, but it's one of those things I'm usually willing to budge somewhat on).
Should have read "unemployment insurance".
I really do need to start using the "preview" function.
Sorry guys, but it's pretty fucked up not to consider
foreclosures and unemployment as bad things.
It can be bad things for the individual involved, though not
necessarily a long-term bad thing. Moving out of a house you can't
afford into a rental you can afford can make you happier in the
long run. Becoming unemployed if you're a Wall Street banker who
made money slicing and dicing tranches of worthless mortgages suck
for said Wall Streeter, but in the long run they may find
employment more useful.
Now, advocating having the government prop up people with mortgages
they can't afford and jobs they should be fired from because they
fucked up other people's lives with bad decisions, and financing
all these wrong-headed subsidies by confiscating money from people
who didn't screw up and are actually contributing value to society
-- now that, from a libertarian perspective, is truly fucked up and
lacking in compassion.
This is the problem with some libertarians, market
efficiency becomes something so important and focused on that it
can be split from human welfare.
Thanks for that, MNG. It could not possibly be that libertarians
view the individually bad as necessary evils. I mean, do you
want to revive the candle and horse-buggy
industries, or do you want to stop beating strawmen?
economist | April 19, 2009, 10:55am | #
occasionally do stupide things. What we're arguing is that markets
are more efficient in the long run
Does 25 years qualify as the long run? Because in the last 25
years, we have largely invested the proceeds from a generally
excellent economy in McMansions, SUVs, tons of cheap Chinese crap,
and numerous mechanisms for outsourcing real jobs....and
essentially bankrupted our nation in doing so. How much longer
should we wait for your vaunted efficiency to come around?
Rather than being efficient, our private-sector economy has largely
lurched from chasing one bubble to the next, while spending on
short-term consumption rather than long-term investments.
I am confident that the government could use a blind monkey in
order to chose what to invest in, and they would do better than
anything the private sector has given us lately.
engineer | April 19, 2009, 3:31pm | #
And the problem with some liberals is that they get so focused on
averting short-term suffering that they ignore the long-term
consequences of their actions.
THAT has to be the most ironic comment I have ever seen posted
here. Please explain the vaunted long-term benefits of McMansions,
SUVs, and cheap Chinese crap that breaks months after you buy
it....as opposed to, say, a large public transportation network
that lasts indefinitely.
Do you know anybody who has this attitude? Bitching about
the government is something everybody does. Everybody is critical
of the government. Liberals are the most vocal critics of the Obama
administration on civil liberties. Just because we agree with his
general approach to the economy (with significant caveats) doesn't
make us mindless tools.
That would be the conservatives over the last 8 years who called
anyone who didn't support even the most sadistic acts of the Bush
administration traitors.
You seem to have completely missed the point that I was parodying a
particular post, then you stated a bunch of things that, whether
true or false, seem to be neither here nor here. You're a strange
bird.
Please explain the vaunted long-term benefits of McMansions,
SUVs, and cheap Chinese crap
Some people gain pleasure from owning McMansions (btw, please
define, and no SCOTUS obscenity definitions allowed :) ), SUVs and
cheap Chinese crap. Maybe they like the taste of lead.
Is pleasure not a good enough benefit for you? I dont know about
you, but I dont know what else the purpose of more money than mere
survival is for. Pleasure seems like a good thing to use it on.
essentially bankrupted our nation
Nations dont go bankrupt.
Individuals do. Governments do. Nations dont. This government may
fall and be replaced by who the fuck knows what, but I will still
love my nation (while hypothetically attempting to overthrow its
new government).
Then again, the nation that I love isnt entirely defined by
geography, which confuses some people.
Please explain the vaunted long-term benefits of McMansions,
SUVs, and cheap Chinese crap that breaks months after you buy
it
*looks around*
I have on my desk a digital alarm clock that automatically sets
itself when you plug it in or when the power goes out. It remembers
the settings so, if the power does go out in the middle of the
night, I won't be late in the morning. It's Made in China and I've
had it about five years now. it cost me 15 bucks.
My favorite pair of shoes (black leather loafers...modesty forbids
I namedrop the brand) say "Made in China". I've had them probably
two or three years now.
That's just two, little bigot. Look around your house at some of
your clothes and electronics and I'll bet that A) they're made in
China and B) you've had a vast majority of them more than a
year.
oh, and the long-term personal benefits of a house should be
obvious. as should the long-term personal benefits of a car.
It's clear that Chad is saying "Yeah, but what has that SUV done
for ME lately?", and the answer is "nothing, chumly, it ain't
yours. Stop whining and go buy your own."
"and the long-term personal benefits of a house should be
obvious"
Ditto for a job. But losing your house a la foreclosure or your job
a la layoff is a good thing. Don't be upset about it, think about
the wonderful reallocation of capital to more productive uses!
"It could not possibly be that libertarians view the
individually bad as necessary evils."
And since what's necessary is good...
You have two nations.
One nation has an unemployment rate of 10%, the other of 3%.
How many people think things are "going good" in the first?
Ditto for foreclosures dudes.
MNG,
I didnt say good thing, I said "not a bad thing". Totally
different.
Also, a house you can afford is a blessing. A house you cant afford
is a curse. Getting rid of the 2nd (preferably other than
foreclosure, but that is better than stuck with a debt you cant
handle) is a good thing for many people. And a thing for the rest.
Never a bad thing.
MNG,
Depends why the rate is 3%. Makework BS Soviet Union "we have 0%
unemployment jobs"? Then I will take the 10%.
I would rather live in Carter's America (and I did) than Breshnev's
USSR.
Thats the choice you are giving.
And, yes, I would rather live in Clinton's America than Carter's
America. But both were better than most of the other options.
"Thats the choice you are giving."
I don't think so, I think its the one you are giving.
Being foreclosed upon is a terrible thing for anyone who has ever
been through it I would imagine.
More importantly, a nation that has shitloads of foreclosures is a
nation doing worse than a nation that has very few.
And I think if buying Chinese stuff puts more Americans out of
work, or cuts the average American wage and results in more Chinese
being put to work and raises their average wage, then I am
concerned about it. Because I care about the well being of my
fellow Americans more than I do the well being of Chinese.
Which shouldn't be so far out to someone who feels that the
President of the United States personifies and represents us all so
that his bowing to an Arab king has sullied and outraged us
all...
But I'm not digging folks like Chad's hate of "McMansions." Why hate on big houses per se? People have to build and service these big houses, they create jobs and such. And people like to live in houses.
And the benefits of an SUV is that if you have a big family you
can fit them and a lot of stuff in there.
But I imagine what you're getting at is that for whatever benefits
SUV's have, they are offset by certain social costs (contributing
to environmental ills). If that's the case you should just say so
rather than hating on them because, well, I dunno why...
you're conflating two concepts, MNG. Individual foreclosure =
bad for the individual; the existence and concept of foreclosures =
a good thing...at least better than trying to somehow eliminate
them.
Foreclosures and unemployment don't happen in a bubble. The
existence of those two unfortunate individual circumstances do not
unmake the need for the system which allows them to happen.
And I think if buying Chinese stuff puts more Americans out
of work, or cuts the average American wage and results in more
Chinese being put to work and raises their average wage, then I am
concerned about it. Because I care about the well being of my
fellow Americans more than I do the well being of
Chinese.
OTOH, implementing trade barriers or autarky harms everybody. I
like lower-priced goods because I care about the 300 million
Americans who buy stuff more than I care about the 5 million who
might be involved in making the stuff.
This is one of the dangers in picking and choosing outcomes you
like and dislike. For one, no one person, or even a council or
Congress, can or should dictate the free choices we make as
individuals everyday, for moral reasons and utilitarian ones.
Again, you don't think a nation with less foreclosures per
capita is better off than one with more foreclosures per capita?
Ditto for unemployment.
As to trade policy, the question is partly an empirical one (which
is why I said "if" these policies result in what I mention then I
would be against them), but the moral question is: do the increases
in national welfare from more lower priced goods surpass the
decrease in national welfare from lower wages, less job security
and higher unemployment? If the answer is yes, then by all means
free trade, if no then not so much.
And of course if the benefits are felt by 300 million and the costs
by 5 million then those costs are going to have to be heavy indeed
to outweigh the latter...
"no one person, or even a council or Congress, can or should
dictate the free choices we make as individuals everyday, for moral
reasons and utilitarian ones."
That's twiddle twaddle if taken literally (I hope Congress limits
the free choice of those who decide to break into my house and take
my stuff).
You might say that foreclosures and unemployment might be
necessary to get us to a place, a "good" place, where there will be
less overall foreclosures and unemployment, and that would make
some sense and be less morally repugnant, but of course not having
to be in the place where we must go through foreclosures and
unemployment would have been even better.
Regardless, even were lots of foreclosures and unemployment "good
things" as necessary to get the system back in order or to an
ultimately better place we would still morally be required to want
to lessen the suffering of those individuals going through both to
the extent that we could without impeding the movement to that
ultimately better place.
"Please explain the vaunted long-term benefits of
McMansions,"
Geez, what do you have against large houses? Just because not
everyone lives in a two-bedroom 650-square-foot apartment doesn't
make them stupid.
"SUVs"
If you want to talk about the social costs of greenhouse gases,
that's fine, but could you actually focus on that rather than
saying "everybody who doesn't want to drive a hybrid or get packed
like sardines onto MARTA is just stupid".
"and cheap Chinese crap"
Believe it or not, many things are produced in China that are not
crap. If you want to argue about whether we should more carefully
inspect incoming goods (for things like lead contamination), then
we can talk about that. But please avoid the blanket
generalizations. And yes, people do like to buy stuff at lower
costs. They're crazy that way.
"as opposed to, say, a large public transportation network that
lasts indefinitely."
Why wouldn't it be commercially viable, then? Why is it that most
public transit systems continually operate in the red? Could it be
that *gasp*, many Americans dislike the thought of being crammed
like sardines onto public transport? And it doesn't last
"indefinitely". Look at MARTA or the Chicago transit system if you
doubt the veracity of my statement.
Your problem, Chad, is that you're so smug you love the smell of
your own farts. But you don't just love the smell of your own
farts. You think everyone else should love them too. And you think
anyone who doesn't love the smell of your farts is an ignorant
yokel, and they should have their head held down near your ass
while you fart until they learn to appreciate it.
Your use of bizarre and inaccurate eithor-or scenarios (either you
do everything my way or you buy stuff that doesn't work and the
oceans will rise by 20 feet and drown you) make it impossible for
you to come up with any valid points (like, perhaps, that the U.S.
government should impose a carbon tax to hedge against the threat
of AGW), and serve instead just to put your fundamental
intellectual dishonesty on display.
"Because I care about the well being of my fellow Americans more
than I do the well being of Chinese."
MNG is TEH RACIST!
If you have certain types of cancer a bone marrow transplant,
while being a horrible experience, is ultimately a good thing. That
doesn't mean that a nation that has shitloads of bone marrow
transplants is in a good place though. It's of course better off
than a nation that has shitloads of those certain types of cancer
and no bone marrow transplants, but it's worse off than a nation
that has low levels of those certain types of cancer in the first
place and so has no bone marrow transplants either. And of course,
the transplants are still awful things to go through, and those who
go through them deserve pity not scorn, and we should help them as
much as we can to make it as little painful as necessary, though of
course preventing them from getting bone marrow transplants or
doing something that brings those folks a little relief but that
will make it more likely they will have to get another one are
things we should not do.
I think everyone can see the analogy to unemployment and
foreclosures implicit (?) in this post...
This is the problem with some libertarians, market
efficiency becomes something so important and focused on that it
can be split from human welfare.
The problem with liberals is that they don't see the innate
connection between market efficiency and human welfare.
The most efficient market is one which maximizes production of
goods and services - ergo more "stuff" to go around for everyone,
lower prices, and a net higher standard of living for the entire
society.
You can practically draw a straight line between efficient markets
and social utility. How hard is it to get that?
I am confident that the government could use a blind monkey
in order to chose what to invest in, and they would do better than
anything the private sector has given us lately.
Leaving aside the issue of government pumping of the housing
market, that's a huge mistake. You're looking at a single
macro-economic trend, blithely ignoring the fact that investment
decisions are quietly dispersed throughout the entire economic
network. They go on all the time at a lower level without
government interference and do allocate resources largely
efficiently. It's what keeps the vast majority of the everyday
economy running. The mortage securities business was a particular
slice of "high finance", not the sum total of the whole
economy.
Moreover, when bubbles have occured in the last 20 years,
governments have been enthusiastic cheerleaders of them. They
certainly have plenty of incentives to be such, and neither then
incentive to try to pop them, nor the financial expertise to
identify them.
"I am confident that the government could use a blind
monkey"
Racist!
Hazel,
You're killing Chad's angry rant. Y'know, for someone who claims
he's a scientist, what he says seems to be predicated more on his
rather volatile emotions than on a "reasoned or nuanced" analysis
of the issues at hand.
Case in point:
"SUVs cause global warming, so the free market sux!"
we should help them as much as we can to make it as little
painful as necessary
I don't have a problem with people helping people, but the concept
of charity is meaningless if it's forced.
"MNG is TEH RACIST!"
If having more concern for my fellow Americans welfare than for
Chinese citizens makes one a racist, then I'm the frigging Imperial
Wizard brother.
I wish the best for Chinese citizens, but not at the expense of
Americans.
MNG sez More importantly, a nation that has shitloads of
foreclosures is a nation doing worse than a nation that has very
few.
Depends doesn't it? I mean if you are talking about when it happens
to someone on their one and only home, yes. A lot of foreclosures
though landed on people trying to flip houses. You still feel as
teary-eyed for a speculator that got burned by his own greed?
"Leaving aside the issue of government pumping of the housing
market, that's a huge mistake."
Hazel, how many times do I have to say it? Don't pay attention to
the federal reserve, federally backed mortgage banks, and perverse
incentives behind the curtain. This was all caused by those evil
capitulists!
MNG,
The exaggerated tone of the post seems to suggest the poster was
being sarcastic.
"but the concept of charity is meaningless if it's
forced."
Maybe not for the persons helped.
I wish the best for Chinese citizens, but not at the expense
of Americans.
If you really did, you would care enough for individual Americans
to decide whether they want to trade with other Americans or
Chinese people. If I want to buy my alarm clock from China, please
don't deign to tell me I cannot because you "care for Americans",
because you obviously don't give two shits what I care about.
but of course not having to be in the place where we must go
through foreclosures and unemployment would have been even
better.
A world with no sticks - just carrots, is that about it?
*to allow them to decide whether
Maybe not for the persons helped.
I suppose you could say the same thing for the syphilitic who were
helped by the Tuskegee experiment.
Just remember, AO, MNG's a fairly innocuous lefty type. Chad could post here more, and he's an a-hole.
I'm not trying to be cagey or lay a trap here, but what is the role of the federal reserve in this mess according to you guys? Is it that they made it easier to extend credit and so more risky loans were made, and then these risky loans blew up? I'm just not sure how the feds doings "made" banks make such dumb loans, and then made others buy the dumb loans packaged as derivatives or to insure the derivatives. Please explain.
"A world with no sticks - just carrots, is that about it?"
I wouldn't mind that, but I also don't think it's possible.
But I'm not digging folks like Chad's hate of "McMansions."
Why hate on big houses per se? People have to build and service
these big houses, they create jobs and such. And people like to
live in houses.
Five reasons to hate big houses
1: Beyond a reasonable level, they do NOT make you happier. A
number of studies have shown that beyond a certain point obtaining
more doesn't make you happier, but obtaining more than your
neighbor does. There is essentially no relationship between
happiness and income/wealth once you are basically comfortable. The
reason people pursue the bigger house, faster car, and monster bank
account is so that they can prove they have the biggest dick on the
block. THAT makes them happy, but is zero sum. Like the tails of
peakcocks, we could cut them all in half and they would all be
better off.
2: They are massive wastes of non-renewable resources. We are
stealing from our children.
3: They are a critical element of the soul-less, unhealthy suburban
culture, and all of its negative externalities (ugliness, lack of
community, forced reliance on cars, etc).
4: They only are viable due to massive government subsidies of road
transport and fossil fuels.
5: Most of them are cheaply built crap that has to be gutted to the
studs periodically.
TAO
I'm not sure what you are talking about re the Tuskegee thing, as
they were not helped and that was the problem. We were talking
about third party C's forcing of help from one person or class A of
persons to another B. Who are the Tuskegee subjects supposed to be
there?
If a certain amount of help were shown to be given to those worthy
of it through charity, and a higher amount of help were shown to be
provided through forced charity, then to the extent the help
benefits the persons who get the help the latter situation is
better for the persons getting the help. No?
"Is it that they made it easier to extend credit and so more
risky loans were made, and then these risky loans blew up?"
Essentially, yes. Easy credit often leads to people to spend like
drunken sailors. Additionally, the federal government's other
actions helped to inflate the housing market creating, alternately,
the positive "it's an investment you can't lose on" carrot and the
"buy now or you'll never be able to in the future" stick.
MNG - I suppose you could say that nobody made anybody do anything, but (not to appeal to Econ 101 here) people respond to incentives: it's as foreseeable and predictable as the sun rising in the East. I mean, if we don't want X business moving into Y local city, why does Y City offer it a tax break?
"I'm not sure what you are talking about re the Tuskegee thing,
as they were not helped and that was the problem."
I think TAO was referring to whatever knowledge may have been
gleaned from the study, and the individuals helped by that
knowledge.
we're talking past each other. I'm just saying "don't have the audacity to call it charity when it's forced." It runs counter to the concept. It might be a certain percentage more helpful when you force aid, but that doesn't make it more charitable.
Chad
I think you have a point on point on point 2 and 4.
If the big houses make people on average unhappy then your goal
should be to get that message out and let those who are made happy
by them have them and everyone else hopefully follow their self
interest and move on.
I can't agree with your wholesale condemnation on suburban life.
People flock to the suburbs because of the real goods they seem to
offer to them and their families. I live in one. There was a time
when intellectuals fashionably derided cities (Jefferson) as
unhealthy and alienating, now they decry suburbs.
engineer - yes. It may be the case that future syphilitic
patients were helped by the Tuskegee experiment, but that doesn't
make it ethical nor an optimal thing to do.
When you do a thing, imagine if it were (as close to)
universalized: when you forcefully take money from A to give to B,
imagine if everyone did that? If you deny treatment and lie to
patient C to garner information for future patients, imagine if
that always happened?
Chad, let's make a deal. You agree that no government money
should go to the maintenance or building of mass transit, or
anything like mass transit, and I'll agree that no government money
should go to roads, either development or maintenance
thereof.
If you make this deal, you'll be respectable. If you don't, it just
shows you want your values subsidized at the expense of other
peoples' values.
Deal?
I know I'm just the poor ignorant fool here, Chad, but might
people who buy big houses not necessarily fit your caricature? I
come from a family of nine, and a big house is rather important for
us.
"3: They are a critical element of the soul-less, unhealthy
suburban culture, and all of its negative externalities (ugliness,
lack of community, forced reliance on cars, etc)."
1. Since when did you have the insight to declare that all suburban
culture is "soulless and unhealthy.
2. The things you listed (except possibly for the last one) aren't
externalities. If you're referring to pollution from cars, then,
once again, we can talk about carbon taxes, but who says it
necessarily means we must all give up houses in the suburbs?
Eco-friendly, welfare state Sweden has rather vast suburbs, and
big-box stores.
3. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder. Some suburban houses are
ugly, some aren't. It's not really for you to decide whether people
should live in them or not.
4. "Lack of community"? Really? First of all, you seem like a smug,
self-satisfied prick, and the last thing I would want is to be "in
community" with you or anyone like you. Second, if neighbors don't
want to be all buddy-buddy with each other all the time, it's
really none of your beeswax.
Good lord, AO, I wasn't justifying the Tuskegee study! I was
merely pointing out to Chad the point of your post, which was that
gains to others do not justify the use of force against a
particular individual or group of individuals. I'm sorry if
anything in my post gave you that impression.
I'm not a ghoul.
Even though my personal values trend "vertical" rather than "horizontal" with respect to this particular battle of the Culture War, I find it hilarious that Chad thinks there's more "sense of community" in a New York City tenement than there is in a suburban cul-de-sac. That's just fucking ignorant.
uh, engineer? I never, ever would assume that you endorsed such a thing! I was just glad that you explained it, is all. you and I are on the same page.
I propose a different deal to Chad: All roads must be funded entirely through user fees (tolls, gasoline tax, etc.). In exchange, his beloved mass transit system must also support itself through user fees (fares). If it's really more efficient, it can survive commercially. THEN Chad will be intellectually honest, and we can avoid the unhappy state of having no infrastructure whatsoever.
AO,
Sorry if I misinterpreted your post. It just seemed that you
mistook what I was trying to say in my own post, and wanted to set
the record straight.
Sorry.
Of course, every mass transit booster will claim that roads have an unfair leg up because of prior investment.
Now that I look at AO's post more closely, I can see that it was
simply an affirmation, not an accusation.
Must remember to use the preview function.
It must be nice to be a libertarian. You never accept blame for anything because your ideology has not been implemented yet. Therefore, everyone except YOU is blame! Perfect cult behavior.
AO,
They can claim all they want. If their system is really more
efficient, it can compete with roads. But given that most mass
transit systems run a constant loss and have to be subsidized to
survive, I'm kinda doubting that such a deal would be to the liking
of mass transit boosters.
Yes, Ray, it's amazing that people whose ideas haven't really been implemented get annoyed when others blame their ideas for the suffering of millions. We're just nuts that way.
Libertarian ideas, by definition, cannot be implemented. That's
the whole point.
Thanks for playing, Ray.
"I'm just saying "don't have the audacity to call it charity
when it's forced." It runs counter to the concept."
Point taken, but I think it depends on what is fundamental about
charity, the result or the voluntariness of it. Like a good
utilitarian I say the result, like a good libertarian you say the
voluntariness.
Well, AO, by "implented", I mostly meant that the government
kept its hands off. My point was that since (as Ray all but
admitted) libertarian ideas have never been followed in government
policy (and certainly not in the last eight years), it's foolish to
say "YOU LIBERTARIANS CAUSED THE CRISIS!"
Someone else here said it, and unfortunately remember who it was to
give him/her credit, but we really are the Jews of the political
world.
"when you forcefully take money from A to give to B, imagine if
everyone did that?"
But if everyone forcefully took money from those that had plenty to
give to those that really needed it, I'm not sure that would be a
bad thing at all.
"every mass transit booster will claim that roads have an unfair
leg up because of prior investment."
Yeah, if I were Chad that would surely be my next move
there...
I don't like the liberal push for mass transit. I can sort of see a
justification for it for environmental reasons, but for most
people, myself included, it would suck balls to have to take mass
transit more. I like being able to get in my car and go whenever
and whereever.
"I like being able to get in my car and go whenever and
whereever."
You're being antisocial and not a community player, MNG. Chad's
perfect world can't have your type.
Ray let me add some more nuance to your idea, because as is I'm not buying it. But if you mean that libertarians sometimes have this annoying tendency to respond to anyone who points to a decrease in government regulation or control which seemed to lead to a bad result with the reply "well that wasn't REAL liberty" or "well that wasn't REAL free market reform", or if you are getting at the sentiment of "well we've never had a REALLY free market" in order to be able to not have to attach yourself to any negative historical consequence, then I smell what you are cooking...
Dangit, should have said "I can't remember who he/she was to give him/her credit."
MNG,
If the government gets rid of regulations on a body, but continues
to give them special privileges (such as guaranteeing the loans
they make) then no, that's not real free-market reform.
"You're being antisocial and not a community player, MNG."
Hey my ride seats four.
"when you forcefully take money from A to give to B, imagine if
everyone did that?"
I personally don't think it's gonna matter in ten or twenty years,
cause a dollar won't be worth peanuts.
MNG,
But how can we have Chad's wonderful sense of community if us
common folk can travel about willy-nilly? It's going to contribute
to anomie and community breakdown and...stuff.
O shit guys, O Brother Where Art Thou is on the tube, CMT. Gotta go for a while, nice talking.
"O shit guys, O Brother Where Art Thou is on the tube,
CMT."
I hate college. We only have basic cable. Yeah, go ahead everybody
who went to college in the dark ages and call me a whiner.
Well, this sucks. I came here in an argumentative mood, and
everyone I might argue with has left.
Maybe I'll turn in for the night.
I know I'm just the poor ignorant fool here, Chad, but might
people who buy big houses not necessarily fit your
caricature?
You dare question the almighty Chad?!? Chad KNOWS what is in your
heart and he will rip it out if it offends HIM! Heed the words of
Chad and learn to live a humble life.
O Brother Where Art Thou
Oddly enough, I loved that the first time I saw it, and I've been
less impressed each time since.
COD,
I apologize profusely for angering the almighty Chad, our lord and
master from whom all good things come. As penance I shall ride the
MARTA for all of my transportation needs for the next year, and eat
no meat.
The Angry Optimist | April 19, 2009, 8:24pm | #
Chad, let's make a deal. You agree that no government money should
go to the maintenance or building of mass transit, or anything like
mass transit, and I'll agree that no government money should go to
roads, either development or maintenance thereof.
If you make this deal, you'll be respectable. If you don't, it just
shows you want your values subsidized at the expense of other
peoples' values.
Deal?
No deal. The massive subsidies given to roads have given them an
insurmountable head start. Let's rip up everything and start over,
and then see what happens.
Actually, you still not get the right answer, due to yet another
market failure. Transportation networks are non-linear in terms of
value...the first road or train line is worth very little, the
second worth more, the third even more still. They roughly scale as
N squared rather than N. This implies that while one may be better
at a small scale, the other could be better at a large scale. The
problem is that markets will almost assuredly start building the
one that works better at the small scale, even though in the long
run it is the inferior option. The market fails because the better
project is simply too big for one company to do, and collusion is
both tricky and often illegal.
Btw, the Japanese rail system is cheap, efficient, the best on
earth, and runs almost entirely free of subsidies. You sure can't
say that about roads in America.
engineer | April 19, 2009, 9:10pm | #
COD,
I apologize profusely for angering the almighty Chad, our lord and
master from whom all good things come. As penance I shall ride the
MARTA for all of my transportation needs for the next year, and eat
no meat.
You can borrow or rent a car once a month for a big shopping run,
and can have a nice steak on your birthday....I won't mind.
Well gee Chad, how about instead of ripping up the roads we build a railroad network? You can even have it run by the government. It just can't be subsidized after the initial investment. But still tell me: Why do mass transit systems so often require subsidies to survive? And no, Japan's situation (with high population density and thus corresponding economies of scale) does not translate to an American setting.
"The problem is that markets will almost assuredly start
building the one that works better at the small scale, even though
in the long run it is the inferior option."
Hardly. You just have to convince someone to make a sufficient
initial investment. Granted, this is somewhat difficult, and with
good reason. It generally doesn't pay to throw around multibillion
dollar investments willy-nilly.
Let's rip up everything and start over, and then see what
happens.
Sorry man, if revolutionary anarchy is what you're after, I'm not
buying it. I mean, I'm inclined to agree with you (very, very
narrowly) on this one issue, but you need to reside in reality.
Come up with something people are going to agree on rather than
"burn the m----rf----r down"
My first three steps are as follows:
1. End the municipal/private civil engineering "joint projects"
that are suburbs. It transfers some of the costs of roads and
utilities (partially - I believe that developers frequently pay
70-80%) and make the developer, and therefore the subsequent
homeowner, pay the full costs of extending and increasing the
burden on roads and utilities.
2. Privatize as many roads as practically possible, with a
stipulation that the follow-on profit model not unduly increase
traffic (i.e. your tollbooth cannot take five minutes a car, or
whatever...)
3. If you want cities to be habited again, cities have to stop
subsidizing big, flashy projects that eat up land, raise taxes and
push out practical businesses. Example: there are a thousand bars,
one arena, one convention center and one baseball stadium in our
Arena District, along with condos and apartments. You know what
there isn't in any decent range? A grocery store; a hardware
store....stuff that makes these places livable. Doesn't Wal-Mart
have a model for multi-story stores?
Transportation networks are non-linear in terms of
value...the first road or train line is worth very little, the
second worth more, the third even more still. They roughly scale as
N squared rather than N.
Well, it must be just a wee bit more complicated then that,
otherwise the most value is derived when the entire ground surface
of the planet is covered with one mode of transportation (or the
other). Let alone would that model work for air or sea.
Hint: think diminishing returns.
"If you want cities to be habited again, cities have to stop
subsidizing big, flashy projects that eat up land, raise taxes and
push out practical businesses."
We need those big flashy projects, though!
juris imprudent,
I understand Chad's point, just don't agree that it's necessarily a
reason why railroads would not exist in a free market sans
government interference.
MNG,
you don't think a nation with less foreclosures per capita is
better off than one with more foreclosures per capita?
Not necessarily. If there are a lot of people who cant afford their
mortgages, then foreclosures are a good thing, so that 5 years from
now we have a low number of foreclosures. It is better to have a
nation where everyone buys the amount of house they will be able to
afford - but that isnt a realistic scenario. In the real world,
some people will have bad situations or make bad situations and the
best thing to have happen is it gets corrected, and foreclosure is
one of those correction mechanisms. If you want to pick out someone
and pay off their mortgage for them, I wont stand in your way, that
is a good thing. But Im working on my remaining 51% first.
MNG,
I hope Congress limits the free choice of those who decide to
break into my house and take my stuff
Wrong. Its none of congresses business. That should be handled at
the state level. :)
That is a problem with liberals*, not understanding delegation of
powers, always wanting to push local issues up to the federal
level.
*and many conservatives too. And probably some libertarians. While
federalism != libertarianism, they do seem to fit nicely
together.
I think everyone can see the analogy to unemployment and
foreclosures implicit (?) in this post...
Yes. And it in no way refutes my original point, that foreclosures
and layoffs and whatever are not bad things. They arent the BEST
possible outcome, but they arent bad.
You have been arguing with a beast of straw for a while today.
I mean, I catch his point, though...there should be State action to prevent the theft of goods from a house, but there's no problem with universalizing that notion (What if the State always prevented burglary? Uhh, that's a good thing). On the other hand, he needs to universalize the notion of "The Haves should fund the life choices of the Have Nots". The long-term ramifications of such a maxim are that there will be no Have-Nots.
I wish the best for Chinese citizens, but not at the expense
of Americans.
See, this is where we are different. Americans I dont know and
Chinese I dont know are equal to me. Because I dont know them. I
care more about people I know (and not all of them).
I mean, the fact is, is that it doesn't matter whether you care about Americans or Chinese or whomever...you shouldn't be able to forcibly restrain people from peaceful activity just because you *think* it will "Do America Right".
engineer,
You are a whiner.
Although, we had more than basic cable in our dorm, just only in
the TV lounge. And the one foreign student who didnt own a TV and
would beat us there and watch over the air shows when we wanted to
watch ESPN.
For some reason, running cable to the actual dorm rooms hadnt
occurred to anyone.
I just outed myself, didn't I?
I dont know about that, but Im thinking we went to the same school.
:)
NATS I assume?
NE '91
market failure
Pet peeve of mine, markets cannot fail. Whatever they do is the
right thing. :)
Markets are a tautology.
So, Chad, how do you feel about Obama's stimulus package, which
shoveled billions of dollars into road building projects?
Shouldn't you be out there loudly protesting this unjust subsidy to
out now-state-run automobile industry?
Did you even go to any "tea parties"? Are you planning to picket
the home of the new GM-CEO- cum-road-constructor-in-cheif,
President Obama?
"I dont know about that, but Im thinking we went to the same
school. :)
NATS I assume?
NE '91"
'Fraid I didn't get the NATS acronym. But Nuclear Engineering '91 I
understood.
Georgia Tech?
robc - markets can, and do, fail. Unfortunately, that term has been abused and conflated with "The Market didn't do what I wanted!", which is not the same as "market failure".
"Shouldn't you be out there loudly protesting this unjust
subsidy to out now-state-run automobile industry?"
Hazel, how many times do I have to tell you this? Waste is
stimulative!
engineer,
NATS - North Avenue Trade School
Dont they teach the standard acronyms anymore?
And yeah, GT NukE - Class of 1991 (with highest honor, for those
who question my intelligence at times)
The campus authorities seem detached. How can I drink my whiskey clear if I'm not allowed to have whiskey?
TAO,
If you define a market* as two (or more)
people/organizations/whatever freely agreeing to exchange goods or
services with each other for other good/services/cash then I dont
see the possibility of a failure.
If they cant reach a price both agree on, that isnt a
failure.
*and I do.
robc,
Sorry, completely forgot NATS. They don't mention the North Avenue
Trade School designation as much anymore. Many here have gotten
full of the research insitute pomp. Not that there's anything wrong
with research.
I wish I was on track to graduate with highest honor. 70th
percentile, maybe.
How can I drink my whiskey clear if I'm not allowed to have
whiskey?
Like everyone else has done for the last 100 years: Pour it in the
"mixers" sold by the roaming concession guys.
Okay, outside of football games, um, the answer always seemed to be
"no one cared as long as you didnt make an ass of yourself". You
know, like falling to your death while stealing the T and things
like that. Asshole moves.
robc,
I think TAO's mainly got externalities on his mind there. But no,
under the strict definition, a market cannot fail.
robc,
Yeah, it's just that I'm on the network, and they periodically
monitor our internet use.
engineer,
NATS was always used ironically. Is "Designing Tomorrow Today"
still the motto or slogan or whatever? We always used "Designing
Tomorrow the Night Before" instead.
As an old geezer moment, you know those big trees surrounding the
Burger Bowl? They were planted while I was a student. For some
reason, the time I nearly drowned in the library fountain just
popped into my head. Good times. :)
I've seen a few of the asshole moves. Though none of the deadly falls, so far.
robc - if you and I agree to let me drive a car on your road, other parties have to deal with the subsequent pollution from that car. Personally, I'm in favor of letting [some of] those externalities exist rather than trying to internalize them (for various reasons, supreme among them is that I believe internalizing exhaust fumes is impossible to do effectively) because if one of the costs of living in a civilization is putting up with stuff you don't particularly like (I'm thinking the smells and sounds of city life, for example).
I've seen the motto "Designing Tomorrow Today" some. They don't run the library fountain any more, though, because of the drought.
AO,
You can allow the exhaust fumes, fine by me. But what about more
serious externalities, like farting in a confined space?
Shit, engineer followed by economist - both of my degrees. Just don't ask me how (or why).
"That is a problem with liberals*, not understanding delegation
of powers, always wanting to push local issues up to the federal
level."
I know you were kidding robc, but as I wrote that I thought, I
better say my state legislature or someone's going to call me on
that...I said Congress because it was what TAO (rightly though, he
was talking about trade policy which should be set at the federal,
not state level) said, but it did create a suspect result (though
successful analogy I maintain). Of course a federal B&E law is
goofy.
"you shouldn't be able to forcibly restrain people from peaceful
activity just because you *think* it will "Do America
Right"."
Again, I'm not so sure. Sticking to your topic TAO, trade policy,
surely the government can forcibly restrain people from engaging in
the peaceful activity of trade if it can be shown that they are
trading apples that are likely to have an insect that will thrive
in our nation and decimate our home grown apple crops. And I'm not
sure how far of a jump it is to restrain trade in those apples to
protect the national good to restraining trade in some good that is
shown to undercut the national interest by lowering wages, job
security, etc., to a point that overall welfare dips down as
discussed supra...
As to market failure, I disagree with robc (hanging one's ideology
on an unfalsifiable premise is probably not a good idea either way
btw) and agree with TAO about the possibility of market failure.
However, I actually agree with TAO that too many people use the
term too broadly, usually as he says when something happens they
don't like (or worse, when they could just "imagine" conditions
they would like better and so declare the market to have "failed").
Where I guess I'd disagree with TAO is that I probably am more
likely to conclude there has been a genuine market failure and I'm
more likely to invite government to get involved.
"because if one of the costs of living in a civilization is
putting up with stuff you don't particularly like (I'm thinking the
smells and sounds of city life, for example)."
This just becomes an empirical question, with a bit of a fairness
question thrown in, to me. Part of me thinks: when the negative
effects of the externality outweigh the negative effects of any
restrictions to prevent them then they should be acted upon. But
another part of me says bah to that, if your externality is
impinging on my health or enjoyment of my property screw such
balancing, you're the wrongdoer and I can limit your activity.
Of course a federal B&E law is goofy.
You know that. I know that. Most everyone knows that. Change
B&E to Dept of Educ and suddenly people dont see the same
goofiness.
There are a large number of things that Congress is passing laws on
that properly belong at the state level or lower. Roads. Drinking
age. Drug laws. Etc etc, the list goes on. If congress wasnt
regularly diving into the goofy end of the pool, I wouldnt have
felt the need to correct you.
hanging one's ideology on an unfalsifiable
premise
My ideology doesnt depend on my definition of a market, so that
doesnt apply.
As far as externalities go, between good property rights laws (Im
not an anarchist) and Coasian bargaining, problem solved. I realize
if the transaction costs are high enough, Coase cant solve every
externality, that is where property rights come into play. But, in
most cases, Coase works just fine.
Part of me thinks: when the negative effects of the
externality outweigh the negative effects of any restrictions to
prevent them then they should be acted upon.
Part of the problem with externalities, in my mind, is that people
tend to focus only on a negative externality, and not on whether
the net externality of any given activity is negative or
positive.
Externalities are consequences of economic activity experienced by
third parties. Take a classic NIMBY example: Walmart wants to open
a new store. Increased neighborhood traffic, noise, trash, etc. are
all negative externalities of Walmart doing so, and will be cited
by the NIMBYs.
What never gets mentioned are the positive externalities of a new
Walmart. The benefit to the Walmart customers of lower prices,
greater selection, the jobs created by Walmart, etc. are not
externalities, as the customers, employees, contractors, etc. are
parties to the economic activity, and so don't offset the
externalities in trying to determine if net externalities are
positive or negative.
However, a new Walmart creates all kinds of second-order positive
externalities. One example: most Walmarts turn into "anchor stores"
for new retail developments, as their neighbors "free ride" on the
traffic to the Walmart. The benefits to those new businesses and
their customers are externalities of having a new Walmart, and
should be factored in.
"The benefits to those new businesses and their customers are
externalities of having a new Walmart, and should be factored
in."
Agreed.
I think we're getting a little too broad there with what counts
as an "externality". When you start including things like traffic
congestion on public roads, why not include things like the local
unemployment rate? Why not include the effects on downtown
businesses that suffer from competition with the Wal-Mart?
Basically, nothing that is a result of free consumer choices in the
market should count as an externality. If people start using the
roads more, that's their personal choice, and you aren't entitled
to compensation for it.
Put in Coasian terms, you would have to define property rights over
other people's behavior in order to bargain effectively for such
compensation. That's just inherently wrong and anti-libertarian. I
have, and should not have, any claim to ownership over benefits I
derive from other people's choices which I havn't entered into a
contract with. I can claim ownership of land, of a house, a license
to use a body of water. Physical things only - not other people's
brains and behavior.
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