Kerry Howley | November 2, 2007
The H-1B Visa program allows U.S. employers to recruit skilled, college educated foreigners, but an arbitrary visa cap forces tens of thousands of educated workers with American job offers to take their skills elsewhere. The first day the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services began accepting 2007 applications for H-1B visas, it received 120,000 requests for the 65,000 available slots. Democrats led by Speaker Pelosi have been talking about increasing the supply of visas to ease a "talent crisis." The Republican response?
Last week Mr. Grassley, the Iowa Republican, slipped an amendment into a spending bill that would tax businesses that hire skilled immigrants an additional $3,500 per visa to a total of $5,000 each. According to the National Foundation for American Policy, this represents a $3.1 billion tax increase over five years on some of America's fastest growing companies.
YaleGlobal has more on the tech quota here, and Bill Gates argues for an infinite supply of H-1Bs here.
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Last week Mr. Grassley, the Iowa Republican, slipped an
amendment into a spending bill that would tax businesses that hire
skilled immigrants an additional $3,500 per visa to a total of
$5,000 each.
Lemmee get this straight, A talented, educated and motivated worker
wants to uproot his life, come to America, work, produce and pay
taxes. His employer is even willing to eat $1500 to hire him.
Senator GrAssley perceives this as A)a problem or B)a
cash cow to be milked. He'll be re-elected, of course.
Somehow most of the Republican Party has ended up
divided between neo-cons, evangelicals and
know-nothings.
we need a new party, lets call it the Conservative Party, since
real conservatives really have no place to go.
Actually, if companies are willing to pay $3500 per visa and are petitioning Congress to double the number of visas, Congress could have a $7.2 billion tax increase over the next 5 years (please check my math) if they just kept it at $3500 per.
sixstring, you misread. It's a $3500 increase. They presently pay $1500. Back to the calculator, now!
But the ScarybrownEngineers will be taking MeaningfulJobs from HardworkingAmericansFor Less pay!
Shit! Never do math on an empty stomach. I'm going to correct the latter. I'm thinking Lobster Bisque and a salad. The math I'll leave for you.
H-1Bs are basically highly paid, willing indentured servants.
It's no wonder that Bill Gates wants an unlimited supply. That way,
he doesn't have to pay competitive wages. How about expanding
(greatly) the number of legal immigrants who could negotiate with
Bill Gates and any other employer. You know, sort of a free-market
thing. Or would that be too radical?
(Yeah, I know, the likelihood of opening the door to immigrants in
this day and age is damned low, but, please, let's not picture
Chairman Bill as Mr. Selfless.)
Grassley's actions kind of flies in the face of the standard Republicain "I'm-against-ILLEGAL-immigration" stance doesn't it?
But the ScarybrownEngineers will be taking MeaningfulJobs
from HardworkingAmericansFor Less pay!
Oh yeah, I forgot about that. Lets reduce the H-1B visas down to
sixteen. And charge the employers a million dollars each for them.
That should make everybody happy.
I'm sure Bill Gates has nefarious ForeignLinks and is in the pocket of the HinduOverlords in their SecretPlan to complete the ConquestOfSeattle.
I've been in the US for 12.5 years, either on F1 (student) or H1-B visa. I'm currently with the latter, and able to remain for another 2.5 years. In mid-December I'm flying to Europe for two months, partially to do some job and apartment hunting. Thanks to the very generous system under which I came first to this country (student visa, full merit scholarship both for undergrad and graduate), and thanks to good choices of employment, I've gained enough knowledge and experience to find a well-paying and fulfilling job in Europe. It's been a great decade and then some; I've had a lot of fun and few worries. I found the life here very cheap, and saved enough to cover my move back to Europe and live off my savings for a while. However, all fun must end sometimes, and I'd rather be somewhere where my skills and experience are a little more appreciated.
Mike | November 2, 2007, 12:31pm | #
Somehow mMost of the Republican Partyhas ended up divided between neo-cons, evangelicals andare know-nothings, just like the Democrats.
Corrections made.
Senator GrAssley perceives this as A)a problem or B)a cash
cow to be milked. He'll be re-elected, of course.
On a related note: the reason I can't even wholeheartedly endorse
Ron Paul (for example) is even he's gotten on the anti-immigrant
bandwagon, endorsing the Anti-Immigrant Protection Line on the
Mexican border (for example). Open borders are pretty
non-negotiable for me.
Can anyone name a candidate for president who wants to make legal
immigration easier rather than more difficult?
Disclosure: I'm an H-1b foreign worker from Canada, living in
the USA.
The H-1b cap has made hiring foreign nationals a total pain in the
ass. Now, you have to apply in April to get an H-1b for October
1st, so you have to have a phenominally long lead time in order to
get anyone inside the door. Previously, when the cap wasn't being
hit until into the fiscal year, you could find some talented guy
in, say, Paris on December day, and hire him and have him in your
office sometime in February. A tolerable situation, if a bit slower
and more expensive than hiring someone from Tucson (which it
probably should be).
Now though, the dynamics are very different. It's difficult in
practice to actually hire people from other first world countries.
Our hypothetical Parisian programmer looking to move to Boston is
not going to be happy when we tell him in December that sure we'd
like to hire him, we'll do paperwork in April or May, and we'll get
him at his desk on October 1st. By April, let alone October, he'll
have another job. Why should he wait for us and put his life on
hold?
On the other hand, another kind of business and employee is fine
with this. There are consulting companies that operate basically as
H-1b factories. They get H-1bs to bring foreign workers in from
India or China, the developers come in, and basically find their
own jobs as consultants, and go work at the company they found;
giving a portion of their wages to the factor that holds the
H-1b.
These guys, being from the third world, don't mind waiting for
their kick at first world wages.
But but but... really skilled technical professionals are more
commonly found in other rich countries! So hitting this cap the way
that we are is actually hurting our ability to hire good talent
into the USA.
Something should be done. Raising the cap so we don't run out is
one idea, having an infinite number is another. Or, releasing the
damn things every few weeks, with some auction to see which
employer can get them is another.
Wouldn't it make more sense to expand the visas in a H-1PU
program, bringing in workers for low-paying jobs no one here
wants?
Oh. I forgot. Government:sense=Does Not Compute.
Jozef:
Have you considered Canada? If you're young, experienced and
educated, and speak English or French, our door is still
more-or-less open. And we're still cheaper than most of Europe.
What about letting the market solve the problem? Shortage of
engineers should lead to wage increases which will lead to more
students enrolling in engineering school creating more
engineers.
The combination of H1-B visas and out-sourcing has led to decreases
in engineering school enrollment.
The combination of H1-B visas and out-sourcing has led to
decreases in engineering school enrollment.
Correlation does not equal causation.
DRINK!
Also, Gavin Peters, what is December Day?
Damn Canadians and their weirdo holidays...
For every job in the US, you can find someone cheaper in another country to come here and do that job. Is that what Libertarians stand for ?
H1Bs have been used for years in the high tech industries to undercut wages of skilled US workers. They were intended to take up vacancies but companies found they could lay off their older experienced workers and bring in young H1Bs for bargain basement prices, which drove down wages of newly graduated US tech workers. Hi tech companies have been asking for more and more H1Bs for 20 years.
Jozef
Please consider staying anyway. Some of us do appreciate you (at
least as you represent yourself), and we would like you to stay.
Our immigration system is Byzantine, but there are those of us who
can navigate Byzantium's currents who are wiling to help.
And so are once-powerful nations brought down to size (or bring themselves there, to be accurate). When all of brainy stuff occurs elsewhere, perhaps Senator Grassley will change his opinion? Of course, his constituents are more likely to be hog-sloppers than software developers, so he probably doesn't give a damn...
My company has a very hard time finding qualified candidates for engineering software development. We are a multi-cultural company and have people from all over the world developing here in the US, but partly thanks to the government, instead of bringing over qualified well paid engineers over here where they would pay taxes and consume US goods, we are opening up development offices overseas. We prefer not to this (in fact it probably doesn't save any more money by doing this), but in a world will you are seeking the best and brightest, dumb policies like this will only encourage more hiring in the other countries.
Taktix® | November 2, 2007, 1:29pm | #
Also, Gavin Peters, what is December Day?
Damn Canadians and their weirdo holidays...
Yeah. We Canucks should have normal holidays, like "Martin Luther
King Day", "President's Day" and "Columbus Day", not to mention
"Groundhog Day" and "Sadie Hawkins Day" and "Monday".
Hmm, I wonder how long it'll be before Mr. Grassley is caught in a republican gay-sex scandal...
For every job in the US, you can find someone cheaper in
another country to come here and do that job. Is that what
Libertarians stand for ?
Something like that, fuckwit. Now you can tell your buddies how you
figured us out.
"What about letting the market solve the problem?"
Well, we have to be clear about what the problem is. The problem is
not that we don't have enough AMERICAN engineers. There's nothing,
after all, that uniquely qualifies Americans for these job. The
problem is that we want access to more engineering skill than we
have.
There are two ways to get more engineering skill: we can grow it
domestically or we can buy it pre-made from overseas. At any given
time, either may be the more efficient solution; it depends on the
international supply of pre-made engineers. But even when it's more
efficient to import engineering skill, the government limits our
ability to do so.
Now, the market can certainly work around this limit; we can always
pay more for home-grown engineers. That's a market solution, but
it's not a FREE-market solution. The free-market solution is to let
corporations evaluate for themselves whether it's more efficient to
buy foreign or domestic engineering skill, and then to let them do
so.
Fuckwit, what is a fuckwit ?
So what is your profession, other than being an assshole ?
Have you considered Canada? If you're young, experienced and
educated, and speak English or French, our door is still
more-or-less open. And we're still cheaper than most of
Europe.
And colder! ;-)
"...and I'd rather be somewhere where my skills and
experience are a little more appreciated."
Yes, Jozef. Because here in this country we stopped respecting
intelligence and education long ago. Good luck!
What is a
fuckwit?
A "fuckwit" is a person who has consistently failed to obtain any
degree of 'clue'.
This will often be in a technical sense, such as 'top posting' to
usenet, quoting the entire text of a usenet post or email in your
reply and adding a few words in response, or continually being a
complete dickhead.
(Additional reference may be found on Dick Gaughan's site)
A fuckwit is often the cause of an id-iot interface error
Spammers are always fuckwits.
The term "fuckwit" may now be used quite easily in non-technical
circles and probably applies just as equally to many people we meet
in everyday life. Rude people, devoid of manners. Loud people,
especially those who use their mobile telephone in totally
inappropriate environments and only know two voice volumes
('silent' and 'shouting').
Many fuckwits drive buses. Actually, many fuckwits just 'drive' -
badly.
However, not all drivers, of buses or otherwise, are
fuckwits.
Fuckwits park on pavements and in disabled parking spaces when they
are not entitled to do so.
Fuckwits always believe they have 'right of way'.
Fuckwits drop litter in the street.
Fuckwits only generally care about themselves and this is evident
in their overall attitude toward everything and everyone
else.
Fuckwits always know absolutely everything in the history of
everythingness.
Fuckwits talk lots and listen little.
Fuckwits never allow evidence to prevent them continuing to be a
fuckwit.
Fuckwits, basically, are fuckwits.
There is no cure.
You'll know when you meet a fuckwit.
For every job in the US, you can find someone cheaper in
another country to come here and do that job. Is that what
Libertarians stand for ?
It's called "freedom". Kind of odd, isn't it.
Aresen,
"Sadie Hawkins" (a dance in many American schools in the fall) is a
celebration for which Americans dress like Canadians.
Taktix,
I believe "December Day" is a day that falls during the month
between November and January upon which all Canadians agree is
December. They celebrate it because they are all able to agree
without appealing to a socialist government for government
assistance
Ottawa:
Paul only wants closed borders for as long as we have a welfare
state. It is not fiscally responsible to have both open borders and
a welfare state. Once the federal government is no longer paying
for services that individuals should be paying for than we can open
the borders back up. Paul is a libertarian but also knows that you
can't keep a completely open border with the entitlement system we
have.
Tim:
That isn't true at all. See what is happening in India now. They
(engineers) were much cheaper a few years ago but now they demand
wages close (with the overhead added in) to what companies can find
here. So now we are looking to eastern europe and elsewhere
(vietnam etc.).
The Indians i work with make the same as i do. they aren't
dumb.
adrian
The Indians i work with make the same as i do. they aren't
dumb.
Duh! They're engineers. They can do that math stuff.
What about letting the market solve the problem? Shortage of
engineers should lead to wage increases which will lead to more
students enrolling in engineering school creating more
engineers.
Hey, let's ban all imports. Let the market solve the problem!
Shortages of all goods should lead to price increases which will
lead to more American manufacturing. And if you REALLY believe in
the market, you should want to ban all interstate commerce.
"For every job in the US, you can find someone cheaper in
another country to come here and do that job. Is that what
Libertarians stand for?"
It sure looks that way.
Leigh, where does your company have offices? I develop CAE
software.
Our India office is now our biggest in terms of headcount
(including our American based HQ).
I've worked as a software engineer for 25 years and have
programmed everything from mainframes to F-15 fighters and radar
displays to PCs. It's a field I would never enter now.
Any job that doesn't require a direct, physical presence can be
sent to a 3rd world country that has much lower costs of living and
hence, much lower wages.
What we're witnessing is a race to the bottom.
"Hey, let's ban all imports. Let the market solve the problem!
Shortages of all goods should lead to price increases which will
lead to more American manufacturing. And if you REALLY believe in
the market, you should want to ban all interstate commerce."
People aren't products. Free trade doesn't have value in and of
itself. It's only value is if it increases the living standard of
those who participate in it.
Free trade in jobs will turn the US into a 3rd world country.
Ottawa Reader-
I was looking at possibly living in Nova Scotia for about half the
year after I retire in a decade or so. I would need to earn some
supplemental income to do this. From looking at the Government
Canada websites, its seems very difficult for a non-citizen (esp
from the US) to work legally in Canada unless they are a path
toward citizenship. Am I not reading this right?
Tim,
Free trade in jobs will turn the US into a 3rd world
country.
The free trade in jobs is why all states are as poor as
Mississippi.
It's a field I would never enter now.
Since software engineer was number 1 of their
Best Jobs in America, I gather that Money Magazine would
disagree with you...
What is a fuckwit?
A "fuckwit" is a person who has consistently failed to obtain any
degree of 'clue'.
This will often be in a technical sense, such as 'top posting' to
usenet, quoting the entire text of a usenet post or email in your
reply and adding a few words in response, or continually being a
complete dickhead.
(Additional reference may be found on Dick Gaughan's site)
A fuckwit is often the cause of an id-iot interface error
Spammers are always fuckwits.
The term "fuckwit" may now be used quite easily in non-technical
circles and probably applies just as equally to many people we meet
in everyday life. Rude people, devoid of manners. Loud people,
especially those who use their mobile telephone in totally
inappropriate environments and only know two voice volumes
('silent' and 'shouting').
Many fuckwits drive buses. Actually, many fuckwits just 'drive' -
badly.
However, not all drivers, of buses or otherwise, are
fuckwits.
Fuckwits park on pavements and in disabled parking spaces when they
are not entitled to do so.
Fuckwits always believe they have 'right of way'.
Fuckwits drop litter in the street.
Fuckwits only generally care about themselves and this is evident
in their overall attitude toward everything and everyone
else.
Fuckwits always know absolutely everything in the history of
everythingness.
Fuckwits talk lots and listen little.
Fuckwits never allow evidence to prevent them continuing to be a
fuckwit.
Fuckwits, basically, are fuckwits.
There is no cure.
You'll know when you meet a fuckwit.
Ditto
I have a really hard time buying the argument that H1Bs are suppressing wages. And that is mostly because IT workers are highly paid to begin with. As adrian points out everyone I know makes the same as their US counterparts. And as I look around my office today every IT worker (developer, systems admin, infrastructure, and other) makes above average wages - most, if not all, own homes, take pretty decent vacations, etc I have no degree but make 6 figures and have since I was 25. Meanwhile all my non-IT friends my age (outside of lawyers and physicians) are scrapping by. Will an large increase in H1Bs suppress wages? Doubtful but the market should be left to figure that out.
People aren't products. Free trade doesn't have value in and
of itself. It's only value is if it increases the living standard
of those who participate in it.
No, people are not products, but their labor is a
commodity, for which they trade for money.
Companies pay for that labor, and like anything else, they get what
they pay for. Sure, it might be cheaper to buy some relatively
valueless labor from overseas.
But what you economic-mental-midgets don't realize is that the
extra capital they save is put into development and growth,
creating more jobs here that cannot be filled cheaply
overseas.
People don't seem to realize that corporate profits are not just
rolled into the CEO's salary. In fact, that's called embezzlement.
The money is used to make the company better, usually through
hiring, diversifying and opening up new markets.
The idea that corporate profits are just being used to wallpaper
the homes of CEOs is just plain Marxism.
An Ottawa Reader: I have indeed considered
Canada, and it's still high on my list. However, there's a chance
to stay with the company I'm working for now (and greatly enjoying
it) in one of its European offices. We don't have an office in
Canada, though, but if we had or if I left the company, Canada
would be again my first choice.
Scop: I appreciate your support. But it's
difficult to remain upbeat on the immigration system if my previous
sponsor, when trying to employ the help of his good friends Jimmy
Carter and James Baker, was told that neither dared to mess with
the INS. The system appears to be quite byzantine indeed.
People aren't products.
Yes they are.
Free trade doesn't have value in and of itself.
Yes it does.
Its only value is if it increases the living standard of those
who participate in it.
No it's not.
Free trade in jobs will turn the US into a 3rd world
country.
No it won't.
That should answer your concerns.
An article was just published an article for CIO magazine that
has more on the H-1B vs green card controversy -- it's called
Wadhwamania. Check it out at:
http://advice.cio.com/rob_sanchez/wadhwamania
I've worked as a software engineer for 25 years and have
programmed everything from mainframes to F-15 fighters and radar
displays to PCs. It's a field I would never enter now.
I spent a few months working at a defense contractor before I fled
in horror. I think that spending years at one has made you bitter
and possibly brain-crippled.
What is a fuckwit?
A "fuckwit" is a person who has consistently failed to obtain any
degree of 'clue'.
This will often be in a technical sense, such as 'top posting' to
usenet, quoting the entire text of a usenet post or email in your
reply and adding a few words in response, or continually being a
complete dickhead.
(Additional reference may be found on Dick Gaughan's site)
A fuckwit is often the cause of an id-iot interface error
Spammers are always fuckwits.
The term "fuckwit" may now be used quite easily in non-technical
circles and probably applies just as equally to many people we meet
in everyday life. Rude people, devoid of manners. Loud people,
especially those who use their mobile telephone in totally
inappropriate environments and only know two voice volumes
('silent' and 'shouting').
Many fuckwits drive buses. Actually, many fuckwits just 'drive' -
badly.
However, not all drivers, of buses or otherwise, are
fuckwits.
Fuckwits park on pavements and in disabled parking spaces when they
are not entitled to do so.
Fuckwits always believe they have 'right of way'.
Fuckwits drop litter in the street.
Fuckwits only generally care about themselves and this is evident
in their overall attitude toward everything and everyone
else.
Fuckwits always know absolutely everything in the history of
everythingness.
Fuckwits talk lots and listen little.
Fuckwits never allow evidence to prevent them continuing to be a
fuckwit.
Fuckwits, basically, are fuckwits.
There is no cure.
You'll know when you meet a fuckwit.
Ditto
I agree.
I wasn't a defense contractor. I was a DoD employee until I
found a private sector job.
I'm not bitter. I love engineering. I just want jobs to stay in the
U.S. for U.S. citizens at good wages.
Tim,
Software engineering begets software engineering. Compilers may
have disemployed assembly language programmers, but they did not
start a race to the bottom among software engineers each making the
old products more cheaply. Rather they allowed for lower
cost development of better and more feature rich
software.
It is pretty clear that the more software engineering that is done
anywhere in the world, the more software engineering there is to
do. And the more of that software engineering that is done next
door to you, the better you can take advantage of it.
Thus importing as many engineers as the US can find is the best
option. Outsourcing as much engineering as the US can is the second
best option. And protectionist measures to "save US jobs" is the
absolute worst option.
At best, protectionism over software engineering will simply move
software development and, in time, all the high valued labor that
comes with it such as marketing, product design, and entire
companies overseas. At worst, it will seriously stifle the industry
and the wealth it creates for those in it and society as a
whole.
What is a fuckwit?
A "fuckwit" is a person who has consistently failed to obtain any
degree of 'clue'.
This will often be in a technical sense, such as 'top posting' to
usenet, quoting the entire text of a usenet post or email in your
reply and adding a few words in response, or continually being a
complete dickhead.
(Additional reference may be found on Dick Gaughan's site)
A fuckwit is often the cause of an id-iot interface error
Spammers are always fuckwits.
The term "fuckwit" may now be used quite easily in non-technical
circles and probably applies just as equally to many people we meet
in everyday life. Rude people, devoid of manners. Loud people,
especially those who use their mobile telephone in totally
inappropriate environments and only know two voice volumes
('silent' and 'shouting').
Many fuckwits drive buses. Actually, many fuckwits just 'drive' -
badly.
However, not all drivers, of buses or otherwise, are
fuckwits.
Fuckwits park on pavements and in disabled parking spaces when they
are not entitled to do so.
Fuckwits always believe they have 'right of way'.
Fuckwits drop litter in the street.
Fuckwits only generally care about themselves and this is evident
in their overall attitude toward everything and everyone
else.
Fuckwits always know absolutely everything in the history of
everythingness.
Fuckwits talk lots and listen little.
Fuckwits never allow evidence to prevent them continuing to be a
fuckwit.
Fuckwits, basically, are fuckwits.
There is no cure.
You'll know when you meet a fuckwit.
Ditto
I agree.
I see what you did there.
From the CIO article linked above:
during the time period from 1985 to 2000, about 435,000 U.S.
citizens and permanent residents a year graduated with Bachelor's,
Master's, and Doctoral degrees in science and engineering. Over the
same period, there were about 150,000 jobs added annually to the
science and engineering workforce.
I just want jobs to stay in the U.S. for U.S. citizens at
good wages.
So your love of humanity stops at the Atlantic and Pacific
coasts?
"Keeping" jobs in a geographic region -- whether a state, or a
country -- leads to all sorts of government interference that
ultimately hurts the producers and the consumers.
Over the same period, there were about 150,000 jobs added
annually to the science and engineering workforce.
I thought you said all the jobs were going overseas?
Which one is it, Tim?
How about the War on the American Worker?
Have you heard about "HOW NOT TO HIRE AN AMERICAN WORKER?"
www.youtube.com/programmersguild
also for your reading:
www.eng-i.com/E-Newsletters.htm
The above could be a real eye-opener since the AmeriKan Korporate
press won't give you the truth.
dbust1 | November 2, 2007, 1:55pm | #
Aresen,
"Sadie Hawkins" (a dance in many American schools in the fall) is a celebration for which Americans dress like Canadians.
Touché.
FWIW, "Sadie Hawkins Day" is February 29th.* The name was given by
the late Al Capp in his "L'il Abner" comic strip. Traditionally (in
some European countries), on February 29th, women were allowed to
propose to men. Al Capp just put an American spin on it.
*Confirmed batchelors, beware of 2008!
I've spent 7 years wrestling with the US immigration system, and
have had to give up and go home. It's a complicated story (aren't
they all?). On top of other efforts I made, I had an H-1B but the
initial application and labor certification took over three years
and I lost my job in the meantime. That means if I come back and
get another H-1B, I only have about 2 years left on it. If I did
manage to get a new visa, ignoring quotas and processing times, I
still would have problems becoming a permanent resident.
When I tell American friends how difficult to near impossible it is
to emigrate to the United States, even with job offers, they are
astonished. I'm a Canadian who speaks English perfectly and without
a perceptible accent, has a degree in American History (!), has
paid over $400k in taxes to the US Treasury, and has no criminal
record. But I can't get in! (It doesn't help that I'm gay and have
no desire to marry a woman to cement my status, putting aside that
it's much harder to use that work-around today.)
It's too bad because I truly love the United States. LOVE IT. It's
whole way of life is in my DNA and I thrive down there. I love the
people, the energy, the history, you name it. Hell, I should
probably wear a Yankee Doodle Dandy suit. Instead I have to live in
boring Canada.
I really hope you get a modern immigration system because I want to
be buried in the USA.
How the hell does this thread go 60+ comments without LoneWacko? Maybe TGUblahblahwhatever alliance thing actually worked, in which case consider this your nomination for next year's Nobel Peace Prize.
during the time period from 1985 to 2000, about 435,000 U.S.
citizens and permanent residents a year graduated with Bachelor's,
Master's, and Doctoral degrees in science and engineering. Over the
same period, there were about 150,000 jobs added annually to the
science and engineering workforce.
From the original
source (PDF)...
Of course, net employment growth is not a direct measure of employment demand or total job openings, since net growth does not include replacement for retirements or occupational quits, nor do these aggregate numbers indicate the types of workers sought (education level, experience, etc).
Also, I see no indication that that 435,000 degrees was adjusted
for the upwards of 20% of people who account for 2 of them or the
upwards of 7% who account for 3.
To top it off, I see no indication where that 150,000 came from.
That has got to be a tough number to characterize. How do they get
it? A footnote notes that they don't include those working in
fields such as patent law where their education is put to good
use.
How the hell does this thread go 60+ comments without
LoneWacko?
LoneWacko has LostHisJob to IllegalMexicans who get PaidLess to
produce ParanoidConspiracies than HeDoes.
LoneWacko has LostHisJob to IllegalMexicans who get PaidLess
to produce ParanoidConspiracies than HeDoes.
So is that the real reason hes afraid of nutjob Mexican sepratists?
Because they do HisJob ForLess?
He tried to cut down on costs by using less spaces but it wasn't enough. So they TOOK HIS JERB
Dan,
Don't wear a Yankee Doodle Dandy suit, people will think youre
gay.
. . . those working in fields such as patent law where their
education is put to good use.
lol
...those working in fields such as patent law where their
education is put to good use.
Edits made.
"H1Bs have been used for years in the high tech industries to
undercut wages of skilled US workers."
Part of the process for securing an H-1b visa is showing that the
foreign employee will be paid a "prevailing wage;" i.e. that
commonly paid to American employees in a similar position. If the
employer tries to cut out the American employee by paying the
foreign employee a cheaper salary, the employee will not qualify
for an H-1B visa. Therefore, the likelihood of H-1B visas
depressing the wages of skilled American workers is nil.
I was gonna say -- I don't think our T. would have agreed with that.
Personally, I would rather open borders allowing for
immigration, and then people who emigrate here can easily get jobs
for which they are qualified. You still add more labor to the
workforce, but in this case, these people don't have to be
separated from their families.
I am not as comfortable with the idea of importing workers from
other countries and making their right to stay in America
conditional upon staying with the company that sponsored them or
scrambling to find another sponsor (which can be made more
difficult because of the politics involved and the silly laws that
get passed). I am not a fan of giving that amount of control over
the workers' lives to a company and being beholden to that company.
(Yes I know they apply for the visas and submit to those
restrictions voluntarily, but many of them do so because their
options are quite limited and it is the best of bad choices -- a
form of duress IMHO)
I am all for allowing people a chance at a better life and
prosperity, I just prefer if they emigrate here and become a
resident of our great nation, the way that waves of immigrants did
(and my parents did) in the older days.
On the other hand, considering the current state of immigration
laws, I can live with the work visa things and even expanding the
ability amount of them.
during the time period from 1985 to 2000, about 435,000 U.S.
citizens and permanent residents a year graduated with Bachelor's,
Master's, and Doctoral degrees in science and engineering. Over the
same period, there were about 150,000 jobs added annually to the
science and engineering workforce.
Wow, talk about the Dept of Bad Statistics
That 450,000 figure double and triple counts a large number of
individuals; every single person MS needs to have a BS, everyone
with a PHD needs to have both a BS and MS.
That 150,000 undercounts the number of people that entered the
workforce; it is the net gain after you take out the fact that most
of guys (and a few girls) from the Manhattan & Apollo era's
either retired or died from 85-00
Here's an alternative datum for you. The nuclear navy has to spend
about $100,000 these days per person (just salary, benefits make
the price even higher) on engineers to keep them after their first
5 year commitment is up. So the market price for a US citizen w/ a
Bachelors of Science and five years experience since college is
somewhere around that.
Perfect timing for the title and context of this story. I found
out today that I'm to be laid-off next Friday.
(why's everybody gotta hate on geeks?)
:)
Kenny:
TO take a job in Canada, you would need a job offer from a Canadian
employer, who would need permission from Human Resources and Social
Development Canada (HRSDC) to offer a foreigner the job. How easy
that is depends on whether HRSDC consider your field to be in high
demand.
Your usual bureaucratic second-guessing of the labour market. I
said the door was more-or-less open, not open all the way.
Best of luck.
PS http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/work/
Dan:
I sympathize. I feel the same way about Quebec; in an ideal world,
where my French was much better than it is, I'd move to Montreal
tomorrow. As it was, I never seriously considered the Quebec labour
market. I can always visit, and the loss (such as it is) is the
Quebec government's, not mine.
It may be for the best. Canada's no Galt's Gulch, but I'm more
bullish on Canada than on the US every day.
In other news, the loonie is at US$1.0704. It hit a modern-era high
of US$1.0718 today.
However, I'm not losing my job to others. The company just shot itself in the foot (feet) a few too many times and now has no legs to stand on.
Dennis wrote
"Part of the process for securing an H-1b visa is showing that the
foreign employee will be paid a "prevailing wage;" i.e. that
commonly paid to American employees in a similar position. If the
employer tries to cut out the American employee by paying the
foreign employee a cheaper salary, the employee will not qualify
for an H-1B visa. Therefore, the likelihood of H-1B visas
depressing the wages of skilled American workers is nil.?
It is amazing how someone like Dennis, who does not know squat
about the H-1B program, can potificate about it with such
authority.
I refer everyone to 8 USC 1182(n).
Yes, the as part of the H-1B process and employer must submit a
labor condition application LCA giving the wage to be paid and the
prevailing wage. Dennis got that much right -- and that's
all.
In an LCA, the employer determines the prevailing wage. The
employer can use nearly any source for the prevailing wage. While
there are some limitations on sources, they are routinely ignored
because (Dennis, pay close attention here) the law specifically
limits the approval process of an LCA to checking the form is
filled out correctly.
That's right Dennis, an employer can put anything down as the
prevailing wage, use an invalid source (as many do) or simply
invent one and the LCA will be approved.
As of last year, LCAs where the wage to be paid was lower than the
prevailing wage were being approved.
As far as anyone going back to investigate bogus prevailing wage
claims, the law specifically requires the personal approval of the
Secretary of Labor for that. Something that has never
happened.
In the computer industry employer prevailing wage claims on LCAs
average $18,000 below the U.S. median for the same occupation and
location. So Dennis, I hope you can begin see how employers can use
the H-1B program to depress wages.
Your see Dennis, the H-1B statutes have been been written to allow
employers to abuse the program with impunity.
In the computer industry employer prevailing wage claims on
LCAs average $18,000 below the U.S. median for the same occupation
and location.
...and age? ...and experience?
But I seem to agree with you: Scrap the whole visa thing that
limits immigrant workers' market power and let them enter freely
and negotiate their wage in the open market like the rest of
us.
(It doesn't help that I'm gay and have no desire to marry a
woman to cement my status, putting aside that it's much harder to
use that work-around today.)
Some day, in a just and fair world, even gays will have the right
to a loveless marriage of convenience for immigration purposes.
have no desire to marry a woman to cement my
status
Yeah, they're really cracking down on that cuz they know there's
almost no other legal way to stay in America. I learned the hard
way to never, ever date a foreigner again.
How the hell does this thread go 60+ comments without
LoneWacko?
As it deals with legal immigration of skilled and educated law
abiding people he probably has no interest in the thread.
SIV
As it deals with legal immigration of skilled and educated law
abiding people he probably has no interest in the
thread.
I agree, except I don't really care about their education. In my
experience [in Canada] most immigrants work much harder than the
average "born here" Canadian.
I go for coffee at a local shop run by Chinese immigrants. They
work their tails off 10 - 12 hours a day, 6 days a week. It really
gripes me that, when I'm walking to their store, I see healthy 20
year olds cashing their welfare checks at the Money Mart I pass on
the way.
"Scrap the whole visa thing that limits immigrant workers'
market power and let them enter freely and negotiate their wage in
the open market like the rest of us."
Absolutely agree.
I also have worked in IT for about 20 years. My current skills are
as a DBA and programmer - the sweet spot for the types of skills
H1B many holders have. Bring 'em in. If I don't have the skills to
compete, I'll do something else.
All I ask is that I get the benefit of the same kind of openness in
markets where I'm the consumer instead of the producer.
Lots of comments on this, don't you think?
H1-B MEANS CHEAP SLAVE LABOR!!
Just wanted to get that out there.
Un Écouter d'Ottawa-
Thanks for the reply. That's what I thought, that it's almost
impossible to work part-time; it has to be full-time (for it to
make sense for someone to sponsor you) or not at all
But I seem to agree with you: Scrap the whole visa thing
that limits immigrant workers' market power and let them enter
freely and negotiate their wage in the open market like the rest of
us.
Ontario, Canada does this. It is not as fun as you might think,
MikeP. Toronto is becoming less liveable by the year.
Fuckin' Elephant worshipin' dot-head Curry-Bellies stealin' our jobs!
Tim writes:
Free trade in jobs will turn the US into a 3rd world
country.
After NAFTA, the US embarked on the longest growth period in
history. Even with the outsourcing, Cisco is still play $110k /
year for SW engineers. And Google/MS/Apple still employs legions of
American engineers. Explain that.
Yeah, sure, easy to screw the IT guys.
Since this is so great, how about we get H-1B lawyers to do legal
work for $10/hr? No, no, can't have that...
Tim:
I just want jobs to stay in the U.S. for U.S. citizens at good
wages.
I believe in libertarian ideals precisely because I want US to
remain the preeminent economy with good wages. Did India come up
with the iPod? Did China invent the Google or Yahoo search engine?
Only by allowing Americans do what Americans do best are we going
to succeed in this global economy. H1Bs, outsourcing, is all part
of the equation that will keep us on top.
For every job in the US, you can find someone cheaper in
another country to come here and do that job. Is that what
Libertarians stand for ?
It's the law of Comparative Advantage. Libertarians cannot be
against it as much as one can be against the law of gravity.
Outsourcing actually creates jobs in this country, by releasing
resources for other more productive things... well, as long as
those "resources" ARE productive, and not just Union.
"That 450,000 figure double and triple counts a large number of
individuals; every single person MS needs to have a BS, everyone
with a PHD needs to have both a BS and MS."
The 450,000 number is *per year*, not overall. Few if any people
get all of the consecutive degrees in the same year, so it's
unlikely that anyone is being multiply counted in that number.
"Only by allowing Americans do what Americans do best"
Doing something best is not necessarily the same as doing it most
cheaply (unless by 'best' you mean best at manufacturing things
cheaply regardless of quality.)
We might be better at manufacturing something, but the economics
favor moving production to China because of, among other things,
their currency peg and the vast labor surplus. And willingness to
cut corners. Then you get toys painted with lead and retarded
children.
There may be things Americans could do best, but which we aren't
given the opportunity to do, because other countries can do
acceptable work more cheaply due to factors separate from the
actual work.
The 450,000 number is *per year*, not overall. Few if any
people get all of the consecutive degrees in the same year, so it's
unlikely that anyone is being multiply counted in that
number.
That 450,000 is a long-running average, not a single-year snapshot.
It should be apparent that if everyone got three degrees in three
consecutive years and then joined the workforce, then 450,000
degrees each year would produce 150,000 new workers each year. Of
course, not everyone gets more than one degree. Nonetheless, to the
extent that anyone does (20% start an MS and 7% start a PhD
according to the original source), the 450,000 number is
overcounting graduates.
There may be things Americans could do best, but which we
aren't given the opportunity to do, because other countries can do
acceptable work more cheaply due to factors separate from the
actual work.
Of course this is exactly the law of comparative advantage brought
up by Francisco Torres above.
Even if Americans are best at doing everything there is to
do, they become wealthier by doing those things they do the very
best compared to other economies and yielding to other economies
those things they do only a little better.
Put simply, if an American is spending his time painting toys, he
is not producing software. Which is a better use of his limited
time? Which is a better use of an economy's limited resources?
Only by allowing Americans do what Americans do best are we going to succeed in this global economy. H1Bs, outsourcing, is all part of the equation that will keep us on top.
So, let me get this straight. Bringing in foreign electrical
engineers and computer scientist, and outsourcing those jobs to
other countries is going to free up Americans to do jobs higher on
the intellectual ladder? Higher on the ladder than designing the
circuits and software that power the modern world? Out of
curiosity, would you care to name those jobs that are higher on the
intellectual ladder?
if an American is spending his time painting toys, he is not producing software. Which is a better use of his limited time? Which is a better use of an economy's limited resources?
When Bill Gates says he wants an infinite supply of H1Bs, I do not
think he is considering bringing in illiterate Chinese peasants to
paint our children's toys with lead-based paint. Somehow, I am
getting an inkling that he wants to bring in an "infinite" supply
of EEs and Computer Scientists from countries where earning $20,000
per year puts you solidly in the middle class.
Mike, refresh my memory here, when you change the supply/demand
curve by increasing the supply by a large amount (BG's "infinite"),
what happens to the price of that item. It has been a long time
since I have opened an Economics text book but I dimly recall that
the price will plunge to the bottom of the ocean and will in fact
seek the center of the earth.
Here's an alternative datum for you. The nuclear navy has to spend about $100,000 these days per person (just salary, benefits make the price even higher) on engineers to keep them after their first 5 year commitment is up. So the market price for a US citizen w/ a Bachelors of Science and five years experience since college is somewhere around that.
True. A non-citzen (AKA an H1B worker) is not eligible for these
jobs. So, what is your point?
How about we amend the H1B program in this way:
Have the bureau of labor statistics conduct an annual salary survey
for those jobs that US private industry has requested for the H1B
program. Make it a requirement that the minimum salary offer for an
H1B holder is the average salary detemined by the survey. Further,
allow the H1B holders to freely move between companies while in the
US.
Then the H1B program would no longer be a blunt instrument of
trauma wielded by US industry to bludgeon down wages.
It is pretty clear that the more software engineering that is done anywhere in the world, the more software engineering there is to do. And the more of that software engineering that is done next door to you, the better you can take advantage of it.
MikeP, is there a limit or does the software engineering cycle
truly execute in an infinite loop?
is there a limit or does the software engineering cycle
truly execute in an infinite loop?
At this point it's an empirical observation. But it is hard to
fathom a more positive-sum industry.
When assembly language was invented, it became easier to develop
the same applications that were being programmed in machine
language. But it also enabled development of bigger and better
applications. When compilers were invented, they were not used
solely to recode old software: They too presaged a massive
improvement in what could be done with computers. PCs brought their
own new software development requirements. UIs brought even more.
And the internet was not used simply to do spreadsheets
online.
Today software is found in more and more products all over the map.
And the proliferation and complexity of software used for
industrial process control is making even companies such as
semiconductor equipment suppliers reconsider whether their highest
value product is not their hardware, but the software that runs
it.
Each of these innovations, and the thousands of innovations
interspersed between, brought more ideas and more opportunities for
more and more complex software to be built.
Is it infinite? I don't know. But I also don't know of anything
that could derail that process. ...well, except for, as usual,
government meddling.
If you have a different impression, I suggest you write a book with
a title like The End of Software. It'll sell to the
pessimistic masses like wildfire.
when you change the supply/demand curve by increasing the
supply by a large amount (BG's "infinite"), what happens to the
price of that item.
Curiously, the infinite allowances of workers from the rest of the
US moving into Washington state hasn't plunged the price of labor
in Washington to the center of the earth. It hasn't even plunged
the wages in Washington to the level of those in Puerto Rico. Or
Mississippi. Or even Idaho.
MikeP, I did not ask you what did not happen to labor costs in Washington. I asked a first-semester level economics question about the supply demand curve.
MikeP, let me make sure I understand your point about software. To paraphrase, the more SW that is written, the more SW needs to be written. If this is true, then writing software increases the demand for software, hence increasing the demand for SW engineers. Back to Econ 101; what happens to the wages of SW engineers when the demand for their product increases? If you actually answer instead of talking about the wages of shepherds in Idaho I anticipate you will say the SW engineer's wages will increase. So, to summarize, importing H1B SW Engineers will drive up the wages of all SW engineers, according to your hypothesis. Has that actually been the case?
wayne,
I would say that software's begetting software is a mitigating
factor that holds up wages in the face of an increasing supply of
software engineers. I don't think I can prove that it completely
mitigates increased supply, not least because the marginal engineer
is only doing marginal work, but also because of the time it takes
for new software to become familiar to other engineers.
Of course, there are other effects involved that could drive
software engineer wages up. Most important is outsourcing: As lower
valued, lower paid software jobs are moved where they can be done
more cheaply, the remaining jobs are paid higher both because of
simple selection and because they can better leverage the lower
valued work being done elsewhere.
So I can't prove that more software engineers means higher wages.
In my understanding and experience, however, software engineering
wages have done better than median wages over time, even with the
addition of H1B immigrant workers.
I did not ask you what did not happen to labor costs in
Washington. I asked a first-semester level economics question about
the supply demand curve.
Actually, you equated an infinite allowance for something (H1B
workers) for an actually infinite supply of that something. I tried
to point out that those are not equal, or even proxies for each
other. You also seemed to think that the wage would "seek the
center of the earth" and not even be supported by the $20,000 floor
you cited.
Incidentally, the notion that "software begets software" is only
a subset of the notion that "ideas beget ideas" or the more general
"wealth begets wealth".
The number of workers in the US in 2007 is vastly greater than the
number of workers in the US in 1907. Yet their wages are vastly
greater too.
There is clearly something more going on than simple supply and
demand arguments.
"The number of workers in the US in 2007 is vastly greater than
the number of workers in the US in 1907. Yet their wages are vastly
greater too."
Adjusted for inflation?
"Actually, you equated an infinite allowance for something (H1B
workers) for an actually infinite supply of that something. I tried
to point out that those are not equal, or even proxies for each
other. You also seemed to think that the wage would "seek the
center of the earth" and not even be supported by the $20,000 floor
you cited."
I will agree that the wage floor will most likely be a few thousand
dollars higher than the equivalent off-shored IT job, maybe
$23,000.
I don't follow your "allowance" vs "supply" point. I presumed that
BG was hyperbolic when he used the word "infinite"; he merely meant
all limits and restrictions removed.
If BG and others get their way, the wage paid to engineers and
CS'ists will drop significantly. This will cascade to other
occupations. The middle class will take the hit; the rich (the
owners of the companies hiring the third-world engineers) will
benefit in the short term. The US will be less like the US we
currently know, and more like India.
Adjusted for inflation?
Uh...
yes.
That you had to ask explains a lot about your disbelief that one
person's productive work might raise the value of someone else's
productive work. Well, now you know: GDP per capita is up by more
than a factor of six over the last century -- all while population
has risen by more than a factor of 3.
Care to reconsider your opinion on the effects of importing high
skilled labor?
I don't follow your "allowance" vs "supply" point. I
presumed that BG was hyperbolic when he used the word "infinite";
he merely meant all limits and restrictions removed.
If the United States starts a new H1C visa program to regulate the
migration of wookies, they can set the quota to 115,000 or to
infinity. Regardless, the supply of wookies immigrating into the US
will be zero.
Similarly, the supply of software engineers immigrating into the US
under an infinite or effectively infinite quota of H1B visas will
not be effectively infinite. It will be regulated by the quality of
the immigrants and the work there is for them to do. Immigrants who
can do high value software engineering are not terribly common.
Even under an infinite quota, the actual number immigrating will be
limited.
This effect is further regulated by outsourcing. Only the highest
valued engineers doing the highest valued work will be brought to
the US to be paid US wages. Work that can be effectively outsourced
will of course go to laborers in cheaper locales -- even if there
is an infinite number of H1Bs allowed.
The data you cited is for GDP, not wages. I agree that GDP is a good proxy for wages until about 1985 or so. I think real wages in the US have been stagnant for the last decade, or so.
... This effect is further regulated by outsourcing. Only the highest valued engineers doing the highest valued work will be brought to the US to be paid US wages. Work that can be effectively outsourced will of course go to laborers in cheaper locales -- even if there is an infinite number of H1Bs allowed.
so, you conclude that outsourcing and employment of H1Bs will drive
up the demand for, and wages of, American geeks?
Yes. ...just as the demand and wages of California geeks hold up in the presence of Washington geeks, and the demand and wages of Washington geeks hold up in the presence of California geeks -- all in the presence of Illinois geek immigrants and outsourcing to North Carolina geeks.
MikeP,
You must be a college educated economist. Only an economist would
have the gall to use American engineer's wages as a proxy for
Indian engineer's wages when trying to convince skeptics that
outsourcing jobs will directly benefit the group targeted.
As always, our chat has been a pleasant foray into the murky world
of economics statistics. I am sure we will do this again.
The data you cited is for GDP, not wages.
MikeP, one more point about GDP. As you know, raw GDP is adjusted
using the "GDP deflator" to arrive at the inflation adjusted "real"
GDP.
I, and many others, think the US government is lieing about
inflation, and has been for a decade or so. If that is correct,
then the GDP data is a lie as well.
The headline should read "Grassley introduces Send Jobs Overseas
Act of 2007."
When a company hires an H1B worker, there is far more than the cost
of a visa involved. That worker creates jobs and pays taxes for
housing, food, clothes, a car, consumer goods of all types, plus
pays income taxes (as do all of the people who are involved in
supplying the worker's needs and desires).
By boosting the visa cost by 230%, our government will simply add
one more incentive for companies to move those jobs overseas, where
some other country will get the ancillary employment and the tax
money.
BRILLIANT thinking, Grassley! The merchants of Bangalore will sing
your praises.
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