David Weigel | August 25, 2006
Israelis to their Knesset leadership: Drop dead.
The Israeli government came under increased pressure today with the
publication of a newspaper poll showing that for the first time a
majority want Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to resign over perceived
failings in his handling of the war with Hizbullah.A poll in the
mass-circulation Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper showed 63% want Mr Olmert
to go.The defence minister, Amir Peretz, appears even more vulnerable
with 74% calling for his resignation, while 54% want the chief of
staff, Lieutenant General Dan Halutz, to resign as well.
Who's going to break it to the Israelis that their undermining of the prime minister is emboldening the enemy? Ken Mehlman to Tel Aviv, ASAP!
UPDATE: Philip Klein at the American Spectator makes a valid point:
That comparison makes some
sense and I've personally never made the "don't criticize the president
during wartime" argument because I know that if I disagreed with the
president, I wouldn't want to be silent. But a crucial difference
is that Israel
is a parliamentary system in which elections can be held at any time.
So, by calling for Olmert to go, there's a better chance that a new
government will be put in place. And that's quite common. However, in
the American form of government, barring an extraordinary set of
circumstances, a president who gets elected is going to serve out a
full four years. Only once has a president been forced to resign, and
it had nothing to do with policy. So, by not just criticizing but
villainizing the president, you're just weakening someone who, like it
or not, is going to be in power through the next election.
The dynamics of Israeli and American politics are different, sure, but not all criticism of the president is "villainizing." Long-term, honest public pressure can force an administration to make changes or change course on a failed policy. It works on domestic issues: witness the Porkbusters campaign, which has rapped the president and Congress without apologies in an effort to shame them into cutting spending. The American public has been clamoring for a change of course in Iraq for months now; I think the GOP could have done all of us a favor by responding and opening investigations into the conduct of war, instead of resorting to the "you're undermining the president/troops" political attacks.
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Throw the bums out. Yes, good, fine. Why am I so sure the bums they replace em with will be just as bad?
I guess most Israelis didn't bother read Michael Young's article explaining how they, in fact, won the war.
I agree with Young about the war. That said, it appears that Chicago Tom and Joe and the rest of the Reason staff feel that Israel lost. Maybe you are right. Regardless, could you guys at least try to contain your glee? It is amazing how happy you all seem to be that Israel lost a war to a bunch of fanatical, religious lunatics. Is this Reason or The American Conservative? I can't tell anymore.
I thought the point of this post was to be a (somewhat) indirect criticism of Bush and particularly of pro-war Americans who aren't (as Weigel sees it) critical enough of Bush for how things are going in Iraq, and who believe that criticisms of Bush will be of propaganda value to or simply encourage bad behavior by terrorists and the leadership of places like Iran and North Korea. When I opened the threads I expected to see the thousandth "Why does X hate America?" joke, something like "Why do Israelis hate Israel?"
That said, it appears that Chicago Tom and Joe and the rest
of the Reason staff feel that Israel lost. Maybe you are right.
Regardless, could you guys at least try to contain your
glee?
John what glee? In fact, I personally haven't posted anything about
the cease fire. (or about much at all since I was out of the
country all last week) -- so once again you are spouting out biased
opinion that isn't based on fact, but rather your own personal
demons. ( I challenge you to show me even one post where I took
glee in any of the events that went on between Israel and
Lebanon)
Furthermore, I don't see how you can infer my beliefs about who won
or lost based on a sarcastic comment about Michael Young's "I'm
smarter then everyone else" article.
If you are actually interested about my personal beliefs, I'll tell
you. There were no winners in this war. Ultimately, there was a lot
of destruction and lost lives but very little was gained - so I
just can't see anyone being a "winner". The Lebanese people and
their fledling political system were the biggest losers, IMO.
Strategically speaking, Israel failed to "break the back" of Hez
(which seemed to be their stated goal), and quite likely empowered
and helped them gain support in the region. Hez has most likely
gained in standing and will probably be emboldened and be more
aggressive in the future. I believe this will result in more
instability in the region -- so I guess thats a loss for the whole
world.
If you want to mischaracterize that as "glee" - I can't stop you.
But it will only make you look like more of an ass
olmert and peretz aren't knesset members -- knesset members are like congressman. this is like saying bush and rumsfeld should be given the boot. and why? because they didn't smash lebanon hard enough and they treated the troops and the people up north like shit.
I've been complaining about the outcome, not reveling in
it.
Typical of the dumbassery that's taken over this country's
political discourse, John and Randian can't distinguish between
acknowledging an unfortunate reality and enjoying it. So they just
refuse to acknowledge unfortunate realities.
No different from calling be a "longtime enabler and supporter of
Saddam Hussein" for noticing a couple years before he did that
things weren't going well in Iraq.
it appears that Chicago Tom and Joe and the rest of the
Reason staff feel that Israel lost.
If you didn't win, you lost.
Mobius, they certainly are Knesset members. Israeli has a
parliamentary democracy, not a three branch one like the US. The
government (executive) is drawn from members of the Knesset. The PM
is generally the leader of the party with the most seats.
http://www.knesset.gov.il/mk/eng/mk_eng.asp?mk_individual_id_t=3
Saying they want Olmert to go is roughly equivalent to saying they
want the Democrats in control of Congress.
The fact is Israel did not acheive any of its objectives.
Hostages not rescued or freed.
Hezbollah neither disarmed or crushed.
I'm not sure how that can be considered a success or promoted as a
victory.
I have no dog in the fight.
And I read the other Israel/ Hesbullah thread below, and went back
and forth between what Joe and John believed. Both did good enough
to have me switch sides varios times of who I thought was
right.
I do have one constant quible with Joe though.
I gather that Joe thinks there was somethine else Israel could have
done. Like there is some special forces ninja answer. When to me
the two alternatives to what Israel did was 1)random pinprick
attacks that would have only encouraged Hezbullah. And 2)a
continued with the ground attack and risked many more casualties,
and a much higher cost, and a possible battlefield loss.
To me 2) would have been the better answer. But maybe they knew
something that I don't.
1) would have been a disaster, eventually, and some SF fantasy
would have been worse.
"John and Randian can't distinguish between acknowledging an
unfortunate reality and enjoying it"
A_R:
You seem to be arguing the opposite of what you state on Grylliade.
You defended your position there by stating that you were
distinguishing between speculations of what causes misogyny, but
that you don't think it's right. I guess we'll apply the "Hit and
Run" standard to you - you actually are misogynist.
Isn't that what Chicago T. and Joe are doing? But you're not
cutting them slack.
Your quest for absolutes have gotten you tied up in knots. (BTW: I
loved how you tried bringing "contextualism" into the mix while
stating your absolutes). If you're representative of people from
Columbus (sorry, Iconoclast), may the Maize and Gold win.
Sadly,
Lumpy
"John and Randian can't distinguish between acknowledging an
unfortunate reality and enjoying it"
Right on. John, Lamar, etc. on the posting on Michael Youngs
article predictably jumped on the bandwagon of mental gymnastics to
find that Israel's slaughters were all "worth it" because they
really 'won.' Anything, anything, to keep from ever thinking Israel
has ever done something wrong! But, Whoops, someone forgot to tell
that to the majority of Israelis, who don't seem to think they won,
or the majority of Lebanese and Arabs, who now revere Hez more than
ever...As I've pointed our elsewhere Israels reckless actions have
endangered the US by undermining our strategic allies in the
region, inflaming opinion against us in key areas such as Iraq
where our troops are in danger, and makeing us the laughinstock of
diplomacy (THE world power was not invited to play any major role
in implementing the ceasefire because the rest of the world sees us
as a dishonest broker). I don't "favor" Hez over Israel: Israel has
the freest most enlightened nation in the region. But that does not
give them a blank check to do what they want, violating morality
and injuring the US. And, I might add, not helping themselves in
any way (over 100 citizens now dead because of Olmerts stupid
aggression).
"over 100 citizens now dead because of Olmerts stupid
aggression)".
I guess that pretty much sums it up. What aggression? Hezbollah
invaded Israel and kidnapped Israelis citizens and somehow Israel
is the agressor. It not so much that Tom and Joe and their
supporters are against as much as they can't stand it when anyone
defends themselves against agressive fanatics. The glee on this
forum is really glee over seeing someone stand up for themselves
and it being portrayed as a defeat. No doubt if the Isrealis gladly
went to the gas chambers that Hezbollah would like to build for
them, ChicagoTom and Joe would declare them the winners in the
whole affair.
Ken: I doubt that the Israeli public wants Olmert out and Netanyahu in because it thinks the attack on Lebanon was "stupid agression".
"I think the GOP could have done all of us a favor by responding
and opening investigations into the conduct of war, instead of
resorting to the "you're undermining the president/troops"
political attacks."
The David Weigel theory of military, "you don't win wars by dying
for your country. you win wars by investigating for your country."
WTF is that supposed to mean? You got a better idea for running the
war in Iraq, then bring it on and for God sakes lets have an honest
debate about and if it is a better idea or you can win an election
with it, more power to you.
Jesus, why don't you just be honest and say "GOP could have done us
all a favor and committed ritual suicide on the floor of the house
and all of their supporters could help us out a lot by agreeing to
serve the 20 year sentences in a re-education camp they so richly
deserve." It would make about as much sense.
Ken: I doubt that the Israeli public wants Olmert out and
Netanyahu in because it thinks the attack on Lebanon was "stupid
agression".
Exactomundo, in fact I'd go as far as saying the public feels that
they werent aggresive enough. I very much doubt that the outcry
from the Israely public has anything to do with moral ambiguities
but rather the displeasure with tactical military decissions.
schadenfreude SHOD-n-froy-duh, noun:
A malicious satisfaction obtained from the misfortunes of
others.
Here? Nah.
It's always a good feeling when your opponent demonstrates
himself to a loony. Thanks for the gas chamber reference, John. I
win.
kiran,
A military response that was more carefully calibrated agains
Hezbollah, rather than an effort to punish Lebanese civilians,
would have been both more moral and more effective in promoting
Israel's security. And no, this doesn't descend into Special Forces
Super Ninja territory. Arms shipments from Syria, Hezbollah road
blocks and the like would have been perfectly legitimate targets,
and would have met with no complaints from me. Would that have
ended the problem? Of course not - but it would have incrementally
advanced Israel's security and dealt a setback to Hezbollah, rather
than setting back Israel's position and, most frustratingly,
bolstering Hezbollah. And for what? A combination of idiotic,
discredited neocon ideology and the feeling that "tit for tat"
isn't emotially satisfying enough.
It's the shallow, irresponsible, self-indulgent determination that
hides behind slogans like "no tit for tat" and "transform the
region" that got Israel into this mess, and that ended the lives of
over 1000 innocent people on both sides.
John,
I don't think you should be lecturing anyone on how to win a
war.
Everything you have supported in the past five years on this forum
has led to military disaster, for Israel and for the United
States.
Your military advice is like a south-pointing compass, and this
would be a good time to start keeping your mouth shut.
Yes Joe
"Arms shipments from Syria, Hezbollah road blocks and the like
would have been perfectly legitimate targets, and would have met
with no complaints from me. Would that have ended the problem?
"
You are kidding right? Do you think that Hezbollah put up big neon
signs where there roadblocks and arms shipments are? Hezbollah set
up within cizilian areas making it impossible for Israel to fire
back without killing civilians. There is no way Israel could have
responded without killing civilians. That is a product of Hezbollah
using civilians as human shields. Hezbollah is not stupid. They
know that they can commit war crimes by hiding among civilians and
as soon as Israel defends itself, they can get people like you in
the West condeming Israel for "not having a calibrated response".
Since Hezbollah made it impossible for Israel to defend itself
without killing civlians, you are saying in effect that Israel
should have done nothing in response.
For the record Joe, the gas chamber remark does not call you a fascist, it calls Hezbollah fascists. A name I sure they would accept with pride, since obliterating Israel and the Jews is their primary reason for being.
Arms shipments from Syria, Hezbollah road blocks and the
like would have been perfectly legitimate targets, and would have
met with no complaints from me.
Joe, you usually have fairly reasoned arguments for your opinions,
but that advice is just flat out idiotic. And you actually suggest
to John no to lecture people on how to win a war? I think you
should take a deep breath and take your own advice.
What you basically suggested was that Israel once again occupy
Lebanon, with no specific time line. So you feel that Hezbollah
would simply let those road blocks stand right? Have you actually
ever looked at a map of Lebanon, its whole northern and western
borders are next to Syria. The IDF incursion to set up these
miraculous roadblocks to stop weapon imports would need to cover
the whole area of Lebanon. And what the hell does a road block
accomplish in enemy territory anyways, as soon as the road block is
gone the weapons flow again, unless ofcourse the IDF commits a very
large force indefinetely to enforce the said roadblocks. Thats not
to even mention the massive IDF casualties and logistical problems
that would be inflicted with your plan.
"Do you think that Hezbollah put up big neon signs where there
roadblocks and arms shipments are?"
No, genius, I think Israel has a highly effective, well placed
intelligence apparatus and access to a highly sophisticated
satellite network. If you actually knew, well, anything, you might
have learned that uses these resources to strike resupply convoys
from Syria in the recent war.
Hitting civilians as collateral damage when striking a military
target is one thing; regrettable, and needs to be minimized, but an
unavoidable part of war. What weapons or troop formations were in
the vicinity of the civilian power plants Israel struck? When you
hit a civilian target like that, in the hopes that may 1% of the
people harmed by it are military, it is the military damage that is
collateral to a criminal attack against a civilian target.
Every 17 year old Coast Guard Reserve recruit is taught about the
responsibility to avoid civilian casualties, and the fact that you
remain determinedly ignorant of this is yet more evidence that the
phoney military-man persona you like to adopt is bogus.
"For the record Joe, the gas chamber remark does not call you a
fascist, it calls Hezbollah fascists." And saying I would approve
of that, and of having sympathies for genocidists (when you
yourself are the only one justifying the killing of civilians in
this war) is what, exactly? Other than a projection of your own
delusions, and the desperate lashing out of a cornered rat.
val, I'm sorry you misunderstood. Hezbollah has established a
series of roadblocks and other military facilities, staffed by
their fighters, throughout southern Lebanon. I was singling these
out as appropriate targets for Israel to strike in response to the
incursion and capture of their soldiers, along with arms shipments
coming over the border. I assumed interested readers knew about the
existence of this infrastructure, but apparently not.
I hope this clears things up.
Believe me, Val, I'm the last person who needs an explanation of the problems with such an occupation!
you're just weakening someone who, like it or not, is going
to be in power through the next election.
And if there's one thing we can't have, it's any weakening of
people in power. It's unamerican to allow powerful people to be
weakened.
Chicago Tom and Joe and the rest of the Reason
staff
Well it's news to me, but Joe, Chicago Tom, welcome to the Reason
staff. New hires are responsible for buying donuts.
You know what's really bad for Da Troops and for our
security?
Losing a war, when a change in policy could avert it. Hell of a lot
worse than a president losing a little face.
"And if there's one thing we can't have, it's any weakening of
people in power. It's unamerican to allow powerful people to be
weakened."
Your right Tim.
To weaken the people in power provides comfort to the terrorist and
is treason!!! So why would we hate America.
Well, so the people in power tell me.
"Israel has the freest most enlightened nation in the
region."
Tell that to the Palestinians.
"Hezbollah invaded Israel and kidnapped Israelis citizens and
somehow Israel is the agressor."
Hesbollah kednapped Israeli soldiers to exchange for the freedom of
Lebanese that are being held in Israel without a trial.
Gentlemen, gentlemen ...
Israeli politics is very different than ours and not just because
of their institutions. When the public don't like what is
happening, they blame their leaders and hold them accountable by
making them ex-leaders.
Look back to 1973 (one example of many). Israel defeated their
enemies, no? So what happened to the Chief of Staff? Elazar was
forced out by the conclusions of the Argranat Commission,
1974-1975. But the people were not satisfied by this - many thought
not he but the political leadership responsible for the initial
surprise and near defeat - and forced out Meir and Dayan.
Even the example of the Kahan Commission, 1982-1983, shows this
effect. It was no accident that Eitan (the Chief of Staff) retired
soon after its report and it took Sharon nearly a decade to both
gain control of Likud and win an election.
Of course, we are talking about Jews here, so perhaps they're
neither as susceptible to being deceived by their leaders nor as
timorous in their criticism of them as Americans are.
Although I think we can - or should - all agree that Israel's
punitive raids failed to achieve the objective of recovering its
captured soldiers. Whether or not they will have a deterrent effect
very much remains to be seen.
Tschussie!
Is it too much to ask that our money not be used for this bloody mess? It's unethical and the money that our government gives the Israeli government for war and the prosecution of the occupation engenders hate toward us and makes us terror targets, just as it motivated the 9/11 attacks against us.
"Hezbollah invaded Israel and kidnapped Israelis citizens and
somehow Israel is the agressor."
I think this one needs to have the difference split.
Hezbollah was the aggressor against Israel.
But Israel was the aggressor against Lebanon.
Had Israel not seized on the crisis to carry out a long-desired
plan to attack Lebanon, had they carried out a campaign that
targetted the people who attacked them, the moral calculus of this
war would have been entirely different.
Apostate Jew,
I'd attribute the difference between Israelis' response to their
fiasco and Americans' response to our own in Iraq not to the fact
that they are Jews, but because they do not have the luxury of
indulding their pride and partisanship at the expense of their
nation's security.
Whereas our own stateside Keyboard Kommandos can ignore reality and
congratulate themselves for not flinching as the train goes over
the cliff, without there being the immediate and severe
repercussions that Israel would have to face if it engaged in the
same self-delusion.
In other words, it's material conditions, not culture, dammit!
;-)
Joe, good comments on Israel being the aggressor against Lebanon
though Hezbollah was the aggressor against them. But Israel's
supporters seem to see no moral problem with collective punishment
or disporportionate response.
For the record I think after the kidnapping raid Israel should have
launched a similarly limited attack in response (I have always
maintained on this post that the destruction of the Hez leaders
compound was appropriate). I don't think it would have been
feasible or appropriate to "cut off Hezbollah's arms." Remember Hez
does advocate "death to Israel" but thats largely because they
originated as a resistance movement against Israel's occupation of
their land (Israel and their thuggish Southern Lebanonese Army
proxies). Look, I realize Israelis are (justifiably) paranoid given
the past, but they still have to play by the rules of civilization
or people will call them on it. At least people with some striving
towards objectivity.
I also notice not one person has tried to rebut my argument that
this was astoundingly bad for the US, no matter who was right or
wrong or "started it."
Its also sadly predictable that Israel's fantical supporters (John
for example) then accuse Reason and its posters of being
"anti-Israel" for occasionaly pointing out where Israel breaks the
rules. Don't they know that we are supposed to avert our eyes to
such things and engage in apologetic polemics to protect our great
ally? But the majority of Reason posters actually favor Israel
overall, and while Tim has been mildy (and very mildly compared to
the international consensus) critical of Israel Michael Young has
been stalwartly anti-Hez and behind them...
This Rick Barton guy is a regular one-man anti-Israel campaign. Some Israeli must have harmed a member of his family or something.
Rick Barton-
Wait just a minute. I thought Israel, together with the
Zionist-controlled Bush administration, staged the 9/11 attack to
justify attacking Iraq, Israel's enemy. Now you're telling me the
9/11 attack was motivated by our support for Israel. Who was
motivated? I'm really confused. Could you go over everything one
more time?
Sometimes I find Rick Barton's obsession with Israel to be a bit
creepy, too, but the accusations that he is antisemitic or a fringe
conspiracist are the products of lazy minds who can't be bothered
to refute what he actually says, because they think that uttering
the magic words from an identity politics spellbook obviates the
need.
Israel apologists are falling back on the antisemite charge in the
same intellectually vacant manner that Al Sharpton fell back on the
racist charge during the welfare reform debate. It's indicative of
a lack of a real intellectual foundation for their beliefs, and of
thinkers grown soft from too many meetings of the Mutual Admiration
Society, and too few experiences actually defending their beliefs
through rigorous debate.
I'm a Democrat, and I saw my party go from the post-New Deal
supermajority to 1994 in just a few short years because of this
corpulent laziness. I wouldn't recommend it.
RE: Rick Barton
I've "known" the guy on H&R for years, and my considered
conclusion is that he is not such a bad guy, and not an anti-semite
or a conspiracy-monger.
What is peculiar is the discordance betwwen his obviously ardor
over Israel-Palastinian issues, and his otherwise fairly standard
and consistent Libertarian views.
Tempermentally, most pure Libertarians are unapt to hold to strong
forms of romantic cultural nationalism. I personally have sort of
"mixed" libertarian and conservative sentiments, and such patriotic
loyalties as I hold reside in the more conservative portions of my
beliefs.
I have always assumed RB was Palastinian in background, and feels
he has a personal involvement. That is his business of course, and
doesn't compromise the force (or lack) of any of his
contentions.
On the larger issue, the Israeli air assault on Lebanese
infrastructure was not principally intended to strike at dispersed
Hizbollah targets - it was meant to compell the "Cedar" government
to act against Hizbollah.
It is the ultimate dead end of the "regional transformation"
policy. Suppressing Hezbollah was supposed to be good for the Cedar
Revolution...so let's push 'em into it!
So, like...restart the Lebanese Civil War - and THIS time the Good
Guys win. Last time Syria, Aml and, eventually, Hizbollah and Iran
won. But this time - owing I suppose to a more committed US and
Israel - the winners are the Beirut sophisticates, the Marionites
and the neo-Phalange?
Ah, the Mid East. The very area seems to have always provoked such
wishful thinking! Although Young does not believe so (I'm sure) his
quite understandable wishes for the future of Lebanon are leading
him down this path.
I can attest to a lot of that kind of thing in my own history...so,
no, I certainly feel no schadenfreude.
A good idea from John!
" "GOP could have done us all a favor and committed ritual suicide
on the floor of the house and all of their supporters could help us
out a lot by agreeing to serve the 20 year sentences in a
re-education camp they so richly deserve."
I hereby volunteer to mop up the blood......any volunteers for
chauffers on the drive to Florence Supermax??
One more time, slowly, for Bob:
You are an asshole. Check that. A CREEPY asshole.
One commenter posits
I have always assumed RB was Palastinian in background, and
feels he has a personal involvement. That is his business of
course, and doesn't compromise the force (or lack) of any of his
contentions.
...and another snarks off
It hadn't occurred to me that RB is a Palestinian. That would
explain a lot.
You can figure out for yourselves who's interested in honest
dialogue, and who's too busy with ugly fantasies of ethnicity-based
collective punishment.
Sidney:
This Rick Barton guy is a regular one-man anti-Israel
campaign.
Thank you, but it's the Israeli government and its
supporters that are a problem, not the whole country. I think that
we make a mistake when we inaccurately identify peoples and their
governments as the same.
Bob:
Wait just a minute. I thought Israel, together with the
Zionist-controlled Bush administration, staged the 9/11 attack to
justify attacking Iraq, Israel's enemy.
There is overwhelming evidence that the Israeli government had
prior knowledge of the 9/11 attacks and failed to tell us. I know
of no direct evidence that they had any role in their facilitation.
But in view of the fact that they had pryor knowledge we should, at
least, keep an eye open for any evidence.
But RE my original point; note that the findings of the 9/11
commission reveal:
"Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, the man who conceived and
directed the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, was motivated by his
strong disagreement with American support for Israel, said the
final report of the Sept. 11 commission."
http://www.kentucky.com/mld/heraldleader/news/nation/9222612.htm
And btw, lets say that it's revealed that the Israeli government
marshaled the attacks; it still wouldn't justify antipathy toward
the Israeli population in general.
joe:
Sometimes I find Rick Barton's obsession with Israel to be a
bit creepy
Ouch. Why joe? (I'll ignore the misapplication of "obsession") It
seems that the only reason would be if it were just a cover for
racism, and you know that that's not me. My concern is with the
pursuit of a non-interventionist foreign policy and the Israeli
government and its supporters are the major obstacle here.
So joe, does my "obsession" with the promotion and defense of
capitalism also seem creepy to you sometimes? Ummm, well that
wasn't the best example to use with you but you know what I
mean.
Bob:
Okay, we agree on creepy. And how do you define a fringe
conspiricist
If after reading all of loe's comment that's all you can say,
You're guilty as charged of having a lazy mind.
Andrew,
Thank you. And even with your sometimes neocon leanings, I think
that you're ok too.
...and doesn't compromise the force (or lack) of any of his
contentions.
I commend that scientific view.
For the record; I'm not a Palestinian. Although; I do have a chess
buddy who is. :)
Peoples and their governments are two very different things. It's common knowlegde that Martians staff all the world's governments. Capitalism isn't the same as the people who buy and sell stuff either. Colonel Sanders was an ardvaark.
When we debase conspiracy analysis, we're throwing out an
invaluable tool for understanding real politic. Political power is
often transmitted via the machinations of hidden collusion and
miss-direction. Often, conspiracy theorizing is the only way to
apprehend political reality.
I think we need to engage in conspiracy analysis to understand
political power. We need to ask the question; who benefits? I like
Rothbard's extension of common sense conspiracy analysis from
smaller political situations like the collusion of labor and
management to enact tariffs, to larger things like entry into war,
the creation of the Fed, etc.
Capitalism isn't the same as the people who buy and sell
stuff either.
Actually, capitalism is indeed much more accurately identified with
the people who buy and sell stuff than governments are accurately
identified with the governed cuz people's capitalistic
relationships are voluntary, while relationships with government
are largely based on coercion.
Rick
Some governments have overwhelming popular support.
How exactly does conspiracy analysis work? Can you run through a
concrete example. Thanks.
Dou,
It's true that governments sometimes have overwhelming popular
support and when those governments commit transgressions, the folks
who supported them are to be faulted. Sometimes they are to be
faulted for being too gullible vis a vis the claims of their
governments.
I wanna split now but I'll give an example of conspiracy analysis
sometime Saturday or Sunday. Thanks.
I'm not going to follow the argument, I just have a
comment.
Did Israel win or lose? I have no idea. I just know the people who
most definitely lost where the normal fucking people who's lives
where destroyed because two groups of stupid shitheads decided to
get into a dick measuring contest.
The normal people are always the ones who lose when governments (or
quasi governments) do anything, wars most of all. I'd hope a bunch
of people who read libertarian blogs would get that.
Dou,
Conspiracy analysis starts with a healthy skepticism toward the
claims of government, its supporters, and those who seek to be the
beneficiaries of government power. An example of the type of
dynamic that conspiracy analysts look for (often it's rather common
senseicle) is when certain large concerns work for regulation of
their own industries cuz they are better able to afford the costs
of the regulations than thier smaller competitors are. Thus the
smaller competitors are harmed. The FDA has regulations that
stipulate that on occasions, a fee may be tendered by drug
companies to expedite the long approval time for new medications.
Of course, smaller companies have a harder time paying the fee.
(BTW, besides being unfair, this anti-capitalistic arrangement is
anti-health.)
For a first example (another later if there's time), let's do the
election of 1912 and big buisiness's rejection of the GOP and
support of the Progressive party.
Background:
In his history of the progressive era, The Triumph of
Conservatism Gabriel Kolko (BTW, in the title, Kolko meant
"conservatism" as big business, not a political philosophy), makes
a strong case that the dominant trend in the last three decades of
the nineteenth century and the first two of the twentieth was not
towards increasing centralization but rather was "toward
growing competition. Competition was unacceptable to many key
business and financial leaders, and the merger movement was to a
large extent a reflection of voluntary, unsuccessful business
efforts to bring the irresistible trends (of more players in the
market place) under control."
As new competitors sprang up, and as economic power was diffused
throughout an expanding nation, it became apparent to many
important businessmen that only the national government could
"control and stabilize" the economy. Ironically, it was not the
existence of monopoly which caused the federal government to
intervene in the economy, but the lack of it.
The election of 1912:
Incumbent President William Howard Taft was re-nominated by the
Republican party with the support of the conservative (smaller
government) wing of the party, defeating former president, Theodore
Roosevelt But there was a huge split in the party since after
Roosevelt failed to get the Republican nomination, he called his
own convention and created a new Progressive Party (nicknamed the
"Bull Moose Party").
The election is remarkable cuz it saw so much big business support
and infiltration of the avowedly anti-big business, Progressive
Party. Why?
A number of leaders of big business and big finance claimed to
suddenly agree with the Progressive agenda. Others claimed that it
was Theodore Roosevelt, himself, that motivated their
support.
A look at what transpired since during Wilson's administration
after he won that election, and other evidence indicates a more
likely motivation.
Much of big business abandoned Taft and the GOP since the GOP's
limited government agenda was offering no favors to big business.
The trusts, (merger activity) was to a large extent a reflection of
voluntary, unsuccessful, business leader's efforts to limit the
rampant competition of the day. They were a huge issue. The Taft
position was that the market will take care of the situation (it
largely did exactly that). And while Progressive Party took the
position that trusts were intolerable, the Wilson campaign said
that they could be allowed and regulated for the "public
good".
After Wilson won, big business had the key roles with in the
administration in planning and pushing for regulations which were
billed as being for the public but in fact hampered smaller
competitors.
So the evidence is strong that certain big business's goal in
financing and infiltrating the Progressive party was to make sure
that the GOP didn't win so that the Democrats would likely win, and
their activist agenda was ideologically suited for more regulation,
which some big business wanted in order to limit and hamper new
entrants into different market places. The documentary evidence is
that the Wilson campaign made arrangements with certain big
business during the campaign to implement their agenda after the
election.
The fact that members of some big finance and big business staffed
the Progressive campaign and made position recommendations might be
due to the concern that TR's Bull Moose party could actually win
and thus preparing for that contingency. There were others in the
progressive movement who were aghast at the position changes, but I
think that the progressive's big government agenda would have been
ripe for utilization of large concerns who wanted to limit their
competition. Capitalism was proving to be wonderful for the
consumers but it made it tough to stay on top.
Rick,
You put an awful lot of effort into bashing Israel, its actions,
and its policies, even to the point of introducing the subject on
unrelated threads.
I'd say I agree with most of your criticisms, but I sometimes
wonder why it is such a big deal to you.
I've seen you snarl and beat up on actual antisemites on previous
threads, so I know that's not it.
Doug,
That was an historical example. I'll give a current events example
if time permits.
Doug,
A fuller explanation of the 1912 election example may be found in
the very interesting The Triumph of Conservatism volume by
Gabriel Kolko that I cited.
A current affairs example:
Evidence that the war on Iraq is the fruition of the neocon's, the
war's chief motivators, plans to spill American blood and money for
what they think is good for Israel:
Richard Perle, the man at the nexus of so many neocon
"pro-democracy" organizations that have a long history of
advocating an attack on Iraq, was in 1970, while working for Sen.
"Scoop" Jackson's office caught on a NSA wiretap giving classified
information to the Israeli Embassy.
http://www.amconmag.com/03_24_03/cover.html
. In "A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm", a plan
for Israel for Prime Minister Netanyahu's new government written by
a group headed by Richard Perle in 1996 which included Bill Kristol
and Robert Kagan and other prominent neocons, we find: Israel
can shape its strategic environment, in cooperation with Turkey and
Jordan, by weakening, containing, and even rolling back Syria. This
effort can focus on removing Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq, an
important Israeli strategic objective in its own right.
Baghdad was depicted as the lynch pin in the undermining of both
Iran and Syria for the good of the Israeli State. After A Clean
Break the neocons started a campaign to put forth those goals
laid for the Israeli government as something America must do in its
own interest. Fabrication and exaggeration of Saddam's WMD capacity
were part of this campaign.
"Only ground forces can remove Saddam and his regime from
power and open the way for a new post-Saddam Iraq." PNAC
founder Kristol wrote in a 1997 report. Kristol's Weekly Standard
magazine is owned by News Corp. Chairman Rupert Murdoch, who also
owns the Fox News
http://www.onlinejournal.com/Special_Reports/011604Leopold/011604leopold.html
In 1998, a group of neos including Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Perle,
Kristol and four others who wound up on the Bush team wrote a
letter to Clinton urging him to take out Saddam. And about
Wolfowitz; incredibly, right after 9/11, he argued that Afghanistan
be put on the back burner and Iraq be attacked instead! It was
Wolfowitz' Pentagon Office of Special Plans, OSP, that cooked up
many of the WMD and "terrorist connection" fabrications used to
justify the war. Note that in the current Israeli spy case, Larry
Franklin who worked for Douglas Feith in the Pentagon (second in
command to Wolfowitz) is charged with five counts of handing over
classified information to officials of American Israel Public
Affairs Committee , AIPAC, a pro-Israeli government lobbying group,
who passed it on to Israeli diplomatic personnel is charged along
with two other accused spies, Steve Rosen, who for 20 years was the
chief lobbyist over at AIPAC, and Keith Weissman, AIPAC's top
foreign policy analyst.
In their book "The Mossad", Dennis Eisenberg, and Israeli
journalists and former members of the IDF, Uri Dan and Eli Landau,
the authors provide evidence of the Israeli government tactic of
getting people with assumed allegiance to their native nation but
with real loyalty to the Israeli government in positions of power
in various nations. We may have seen this dynamic played out in the
case of Perle and other neocons.
joe,
There is a neat trick going on here. The old anti-Semitic
conspiracy theories claimed that an international Jewish conspiracy
manipulated world events. The new anti-Semitic conspiracy theories
claim that Israel manipulates world events.
Like any other state Israel is flawed and open to criticism. Its
brutal occupation of the West Bank and Gaza, its use of collective
punishments, the second-class stautus of its Arab citizens--all
this is legitimately criticized both inside and outside Israel by
Jews and non-Jews and has nothing to do with anti-Semitism.
The new anti-Semites mix this legitimate criticism with the old
demonization. Israel isn't just a flawed Middle Eastern democracy;
it's a powerfully dark force just like the old Internation Jewish
conspiracy. Israel may have had--all the evidence isn't in--a hand
in plotting the 9/11 attacks. Just imagine. The attacks were
carried out by radical Islamists--sworn enemies of Israel--but it's
just possible that Israel itself is really behind the attacks. How
do we know? Well, the evidence is overwhelming that Israel knew
that the attacks were imminent but did nothing to warn the U.S. Of
course, the "evidence" for this is highly debatable, but it's
important to just keep repeating it in order to make the much
larger insinuation that Israel actually planned and carried out the
attacks. It's the same old anti-Semitism. It simply substitutes
Israel for the International Jewish Conspiracy and allows the
anti-Semite to deny the charge of anti-Semitism.
Evidence that the main concern of the most influential neocons is what they think is good for the Israeli state, and that they are not conservatives at all, is provided by the fact that Rupert Murdoch, who owns Fox News and Kristol's Weekly Standard magazine, has held two fundraisers for Hillary Clinton. Along with all of her obnoxious big government liberal advocacies, she is a big hawk on Iraq and the MidEast.
Uri,
I don't think that we want to dismiss certain criticisms of the
Israeli state cuz they resemble anti-Jewish racism. No government
deserves that sort of leeway. I understand and sympathize with your
concern, but time in that regard would be better would be better
spent actually fighting anti-Jewish racism.
Also, labeling observations that the Isreali government had prior
knowledge of the 9/11 attack as anti-Semitic will lead folks astray
cuz, for example, as evidenced by my confrontations with
anti-Semites on these threads, I vehemently oppose that ugly and
primitive collectivism.
Suggesting that American blood is being spilt in Iraq to benefit Israel is an example of the most vicious anti-Semitism. It makes the Bush administration a puppet in the hands of clever Israeli infiltrators and manipulators and appeals to a very ugly racism. Your so-called conspiracy analysis focuses on whatever supports the conspiracy and ignores everything else.
Uri:
Suggesting that American blood is being spilt in Iraq to
benefit Israel is an example of the most vicious
anti-Semitism
No it isn't cuz it's a critique of the Israeli government and its
supporters and the US government. I'm sure that it's been used by
anti-Semites to somehow justify their racism, but the critique
itself is not racist. And the Israeli government most certainly did
help make the case, full of lies, that we should attack Iraq.
Don't you see what you're doing? You're giving implicit sanction to
the false and racist proposition that, if the Israeli government
and it's supporters do wrong, it's due to the nature of Jews in
general.
...appeals to a very ugly racism.
But that doesn't mean that it is racism.
Your so-called conspiracy analysis focuses on whatever supports
the conspiracy and ignores everything else.
So tell me why you think so instead of making ridiculous
insinuations of racism. Instead, let's talk about the evidence.
Michael Young in an article in the Wall Street Journal entitled
"Indifferent to Democracy
Why the Arab world roots for American failure in Iraq" wrote the
following:
"Arab rejection of the Iraqi project rested on another foundation:
sympathy for the Palestinians. Here again, Iraq offered
opportunities never considered. How could the U.S. be serious about
Iraqi democracy, the critics muttered, when Palestinians still
suffered? The statement was a non sequitur, but it undercut efforts
to draw on what was best in Iraq to advance Arab liberty and
Palestinian self-determination.
Some neocons indeed argued that victory in Iraq, by sounding the
death knell of terrorism, would oblige Palestinians to accept a
settlement with Israel. This was incredibly simplistic, but no less
so is the widely held view in the Arab world that Iraq was mainly
done to help Israel. There is little evidence of even a consensus
in Israel over Iraq, let alone that the alligator-skinned Ariel
Sharon seriously bought into a plan positing Arab democracy. But
again, that is less important than another question: Could Arabs
have used Iraq to help the Palestinians?
The answer seems evident. From the Arab side, encouragement of a
democratic Iraq, and its fulfillment, would have proved the
viability of an Arab democracy, denting Israel's presumption that
it is the "only democracy in the Middle East." By becoming a
dominant cornerstone of U.S. policy, Iraq would have relativized
Israel's paramountcy; and a truly representative Iraq would have
highlighted Israel's denial of Palestinian representativeness in
the occupied territories. For all these reasons, American
achievement in Iraq could have been looked on with greater
self-interested approval and imagination by the Arab publics. It
never was."
There are many possible reasons for the invasion of Iraq, but the
idea that Israel's supporters tricked the U.S. into invading is not
one taken seriously by serious commentators. Outside the Aarab
world, it is a line pushed by anti-Semites.
but the idea that Israel's supporters tricked the U.S. into
invading is not one taken seriously by serious
commentators
What?? That's ridiculous. "Tricked" is a loaded word but that the
neocons who had long advocated regime change in Iraq were the chief
motivators of the war is common knowledge:
The Israel Lobby
John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt
http://www.lrb.co.uk/v28/n06/mear01_.html
... and is the basis for a debate in the current issue Foreign
Policy
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3501
Was the invation of iraq a jewish conspiracy?
http://www.gregpalast.com/was-the-invasion-of-iraq-a-jewish-conspiracy
There's nothing conspiratorial about advocating a policy, and the assumption that the neo-cons work on behalf of Israel is unjustified. As Michael Young pointed out, Israel isn't necessarily a beneficiary of the U.S. Iraq policy.
Here's another "source."
Why Cindy Sheehan is Right!
By David Duke
Cindy Sheehan, a mother who lost a son in the Iraq War, is
determined to prevent other mothers and fathers from experiencing
the same loss.
Courageously she has gone to Texas near the ranch of President Bush
and braved the elements and a hostile Jewish supremacist media to
demand a meeting with him and a good explanation why her son and
other�s sons and daughters must die and be disfigured in a war for
Israel rather than for America.
Recently, she had the courage to state the obvious that her son
signed up in the military to protect America not to die for
Israel.
In a recent letter to �Nightline,� she wrote the following
hard-hitting words:
Am I emotional? Yes, my first born was murdered. Am I angry? Yes,
he was killed for lies and for a PNAC Neo-Con agenda to benefit
Israel. My son joined the Army to protect America, not Israel. Am I
stupid? No, I know full-well that my son, my family, this nation,
and this world were betrayed by George [W.] Bush who was influenced
by the neo-con PNAC agenda after 9/11. We were told that we were
attacked on 9/11 because the terrorists hate our freedoms and
democracy�not for the real reason, because the Arab-Muslims who
attacked us hate our middle-eastern foreign policy. That hasn�t
changed since America invaded and occupied Iraq�in fact it has
gotten worse.
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