Ronald Bailey | October 6, 2008
As European stock markets tank, the Irish government guarantees bank deposits, the Benelux countries nationalize Fortis bank, Germany bails out Hypo Real Estate Holdings, and Denmark also guarantees bank deposits and dismally so forth, the question arises: Who knew that Europe, of all places, was so under-regulated? Or maybe de-regulation is not the chief cause for the outbreak of financial chaos? Just wondering.
Help Reason celebrate its next 40 years. Donate Now!
Try Reason's award-winning print edition today! Your first issue is FREE if you are not completely satisfied.
It was the *wrong* regulation. If only Europe had elected the
right people they would have applied the proper regulations.
Duh.
I feel dumber just from typing that.
Fat mouths couldn't keep their mouth shut. The European's love
gloating but almost never put their money where their mouth
is...
Wait, Socialism isn't working either...
Hmmmm
Also, of note is that the dollar is gaining.
Of course they're under regulated - they've haven't ALL been
nationalized just yet.
Once they have been, then the smart guys and gals in government
will do an AMAZING job of running things without that pesky profit
motive getting in the way. After all, history is a great teacher on
how effective govt. run economies work.
I'm guessing the leftist-statist response would be that the US's unregulated banks brought everyone else down. Or that corporations have the Euros bought out too. Or something. There's always something!
Or maybe de-regulation is not the chief cause for the
outbreak of financial chaos?
You're right. There is also GreedN'Corruption!
Especially greed. But especially corruption.
[/Sideshow Bob]
I was wondering when we would get a post on this. You have any good articles or columns to link to, Jerry?
It would seem that anyone who invested in repackaged sub-prime
or poorly backed loans would be in for trouble.
Not that I'm suggesting that's what happened here, but I would bet
that smart money abroad likes to invest in the U.S. because we're
realtively politically stable and give good returns.
So, has anyone looked at the effect of the sub-prime mess on long
term foreign investment in the U.S.?
Oh, I was waiting with bated breath to hear the words "New World Order" applied to the financial system after this event. I was not disappointed. Heard it this morning on NPR while driving to work. The New Dealists are wetting themselves over this.
The narrative in Europe is that they were duped by the
greedy Americans.
Of course they were, the poor dears. They are never anything but
victims.
I can't quite square that posture with their vaunted
sophistication, their centuries of accumulated experience, their
world-weary wisdom...I mean, they're Europeans, for
heaven's sake, and we're just a bunch of crass rednecks, so how do
we manage to lead them off the paths of rightgeousness so regularly
and so painfully? And why do we always recover so much more
quickly, and more completely? It's almost like our system works
better than theirs, or that we know something they don't...
or, as I tell my Euro friends way too often - age doesn't
automatically confer wisdom. Sometimes all it confers is senility.
Weakness. Corruption and decay. Europe is about 75 years overdue
for a nice, long nap and some warm broth. something bland that
doesn't require chewing.
And I remain placid. Assuming we (the west) don't go all
tarifficky, this will be a *gasp* recession.
Been through them before. Survived too.
You know what? The consensus in Europe will actually be that
this is proof of under-regulation. Americanization, Thatcher,
greed, Bush, the neoliberal EU (really), and let's throw in McD's
and Starbucks as well (I don't know why, but they usually get
blamed for stuff).
International banks = free markets in Europe. And I guess some
people in US will agree.
Been through them before. Survived too.
I can do recessions standing on my head. Those of us that don't
have much to begin with ain't got so much to lose.
I think Spiegel tends to put down the general narrative
that is soon to be repeated across Europe.
America
Loses Its Dominant Economic Role
I think Spiegel tends to put down the general narrative that
is soon to be repeated across Europe. America Loses Its Dominant
Economic Role
"Still, this is no time to gloat."
But we will anyway!!
Reading a little bit of that reminded me of a tidbit I caught off
the BBC, of a Labor Party member telling Parliament something along
the lines of, "If the banks, why not the utilities?" As someone
else said on Hit & Run, it's a mixed economy and both sides can
blame the other (rather like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, I'll
add!), but the clearer picture for most of the world, here and
elsewhere, is that the Republicans, keepers of the free market
flame, in the public's perception anyway, have pretty much
capitulated and sold the free market down the river with this
bailout. Thanks to the bailout, free market rhetoric will sound
more and more hollow, and thus we've probably lost the argument
every bit as much as we thought we were winning it this past
generation or so. I guess it's not just business that goes in
cycles!
Not to worry about recession, someone on a friend's Facebook
page says Mercury is in retrograde. When it gets all postitivegrade
again we'll have a boom...
If only Congresscritters and Senatecritters knew about this, they
might have just waited and not got all excitable and stuff.
"I mean, they're Europeans, for heaven's sake, and we're just a
bunch of crass rednecks, so how do we manage to lead them off the
paths of rightgeousness so regularly and so painfully?"
Cause everybody loves a young whore.
Err, I hate to, err, point this out, but, ahem, um, doesn't this
argument turn around the other way?
I mean, you can't blame government intervention for the mess if
nations of varying levels of government intervention are suffering
the same problems...
MNG, there's a lot of govt intervention on both sides of the Atlantic. The argument only turns around if a very lightly regulated economy suffers these problems, but unfortunately such a thing does not exist on either side of the Atlantic.
Of course it could also be like this: a row of wooden houses built next to each other where each house took variable levels of fire protection measures. The house with the lowest level catches fire and then it spreads to the neighboring houses which had higher levels of fire protection. That wouldn't negate the conclusion that low levels of fire protection methods were the cause of the mess.
"The argument only turns around if a very lightly regulated
economy suffers these problems, but unfortunately such a thing does
not exist on either side of the Atlantic."
You mean FORTUNATELY I think. As I've said many times this is the
libertarian magic lucky charm: there never has nor is there
currently any nation without some government intervention.
Therefore the libertarian fundamentalist, when faced with any
negative phenomena, can simply hunt around until they find some
government intervention, and then blame it. It's unfalsifiable,
like many magical claims.
In the real world though one would expect, if the claim "government
interference fucks things up" is a true one, that nations with
comparitevely higher or lower levels of government interference
should NOT be have similar levels of things being fucked up...
I mean, you can't blame government intervention for the mess
if nations of varying levels of government intervention are
suffering the same problems...
You read, but you do not understand. If the argument is that too
much regulation in the US was contributory to the sub-prime fiasco
(it was) than a more regulated Europe having problems is completely
in sync with that argument.
Jiminy Cricket! It's not that difficult of an argument to
understand. You need not agree, but damn, Europe having problems
while highly regulated hardly refutes the point that the US was
over-regulated as well.
So if you look at the Great Depression, which began in a time of
comparatively very low levels of government intervention (as
established ironically by libertarian fundamentalists who are
always telling us what a massive socialization occurred with the
New Deal), you just hunt around until you find some example of
government intervention (remember, there will always be something),
and viola, SMOOT-HAWLEY!
I've just seen this trick used too many times in the many
libertarian articles and books I've read. It's just too cute by
half...
MNG,
Your analogy doesnt work. The higher level fire protection houses
shouldnt catch on fire. They have the frickin protection. Unless,
they used the wrong protection, then see my 6:33 post.
I didn't say we'd need a Libertopia to have these problems, I
said a lightly regulated economy. Those have existed in the past --
19th century US and Britain would be good examples.
Therefore the libertarian fundamentalist, when faced with any
negative phenomena, can simply hunt around until they find some
government intervention, and then blame it.
Only if they can provide evidence of a plausible link should they
be believed...just like the champions of more regulation should
provide evidence of a link between lax regulation [NOT misapplied
or selectively enforced regulation, either] and these problems.
But J, how can that be? If over-regulation is the problem, and
the US is obviously less regulated, then we should be having less
problems here, right? I mean, how else would that work?
However, if the economic problems are the result of something more
complicated than most people's ideology, say it is not a cause of
"too little" or "too much" regulation but a result of myriad and
complex economic forces that most non-experts don't and probably
won't understand, then this same mess happening in nations with
varying levels of regulation (or government intervention in the
economy, or whatever) would be a little more sensible.
Economic theory teachez awr dat, unfortunately, artifishal credit expanshun adn teh (fiduciary) inflashun uv media uv exchange ofer noes shortkut ta stable adn sustaineded economic development, noes wai uv avoidin teh necessary sacrifiec adn disciplien beehien awl voluntary savin.
The narrative in Europe is that they were duped by the greedy Americans.
So, the Europeans admit that they are idiots. 'Bout time.
"The higher level fire protection houses shouldnt catch on fire.
They have the frickin protection."
robc-It's not like they sheathed their houses in diamonds. They
made it less likely to catch fire from normal events. But negligent
neighbor's house next to yours blazing like an inferno, not the
normal thing the fire protection was for.
The house with the lowest level catches fire and then it
spreads to the neighboring houses which had higher levels of fire
protection.
So what's the point of having higher level of fire protection if it
doesn't protect you from the lowest common denominator?
That's like saying that communism failed because it was encircled
by capitalists. It was supposed to succeed in spite of capitalism.
Actually, because of it. If the so-called 'unregulated'
American Banking system could utterly gut everyone elses, then the
regulations they had were probably unnecessary and pointless.
"You mean FORTUNATELY I think. As I've said many times this is
the libertarian magic lucky charm: there never has nor is there
currently any nation without some government intervention."
I remember Hong Kong business in the pre-British handover era being
both untaxed and unregulated. That's why it grew so quickly. That's
also why Red China coveted it.
"just like the champions of more regulation should provide
evidence of a link between lax regulation [NOT misapplied or
selectively enforced regulation, either] and these problems."
And the little fact that many of the financial products at the
center of this mess were deregulated a little while ago doesn't
provide just as much of a "just so" ad hoc point of evidence as the
libertarian just so stories I'm talking about? I mean whatever you
think, it's at least reasonable.
MNG, that's like saying that a girl who has sex every day should be expected to get more pregnant than one that has sex once a week. Once it happens, it happens. Once the bottom falls out of the economy, it falls out.
"But J, how can that be? If over-regulation is the problem, and
the US is obviously less regulated, then we should be having less
problems here, right? I mean, how else would that work?"
Teh United Statez iz an economic chimera. Hybridz do not always liv
happeh healthy livez. Jus look at teh liger.
"So what's the point of having higher level of fire protection
if it doesn't protect you from the lowest common
denominator?"
You guys are making me think that more libertarians than I thought
live in a magical universe. In the real world it's pretty rare to
get any "absolute" protections from anything. I mean, if I'm smart
I'll get a car with a crash-resistant frame and good airbags but
still some dorkwad can ram his Honda civic into me at 65 mph and
injure or kill me...
"I remember Hong Kong business in the pre-British handover era
being both untaxed and unregulated."
There are a lot of reasons that Hong Kong might have done so well
that have nothing to do with its level of government interference.
I mean, you can't think of some differences between Hong Kong and
most nations that would explain their economic success right of the
bat, ones that have nothing to do with the lower tax rates?
I mean, for that matter, say, Witchita KS has much lower tax rates
than NYC. But not exactly an economic dynamo that Witchita.
"But J, how can that be? If over-regulation is the problem, and
the US is obviously less regulated, then we should be having less
problems here, right? I mean, how else would that work?"
Goverment forcing lenders via the threat of lawsuits to provide
morgages to people who can't afford them IS government
regulation.
However, if the economic problems are the result of
something more complicated than most people's ideology, say it is
not a cause of "too little" or "too much" regulation but a result
of myriad and complex economic forces that most non-experts don't
and probably won't understand, then this same mess happening in
nations with varying levels of regulation (or government
intervention in the economy, or whatever) would be a little more
sensible.
Yes. Agree totally. This is not an issue of over/under regulation.
This is a deleveraging/risk discovery issue. And a very complex one
at that.
The shrill cries of "We need more regulation!" are almost
laughable. Particularly when one asks "What regulation?" and "How
would it have prevented this?"
Additional regulation MAY have made the deleveraging less painful.
But it may not have. It's really hard to model that.
But the Democrats have their excuse to increase the level of
government, regardless of the substance of their position, thus
"MORE REGULATION!" rules the day.
An economy is like an ecosystem. When something goes wrong it means there has either been an artificial element added or a natural element taken away. Left alone, an ecosystem, like an economy functions smoothly.
"Left alone, an ecosystem, like an economy functions
smoothly."
Uhh, not for every member of the ecosystem...
I mean, if Canada took NYC and then made it a protectorate, then
it would seem like an economic dynamo. But I doubt many here would
say "see, that nanny-state stuff NYC does is quite the model to
follow."
And btw, as a lover of NYC I can say it is full of nanny-state
bullshit. Way too much if you ask me.
"There are a lot of reasons that Hong Kong might have done so
well that have nothing to do with its level of government
interference. I mean, you can't think of some differences between
Hong Kong and most nations that would explain their economic
success right of the bat, ones that have nothing to do with the
lower tax rates?"
Why don't you think of some differences and get back to us? I'm
simply relating what I learned in an economics classback in 1974
when it was actually happening.
"I mean, for that matter, say, Witchita KS has much lower tax
rates than NYC. But not exactly an economic dynamo that
Witchita."
President Ford to NYC: Drop Dead
NY Daily News - 1975
I don't recall any president saying anything remotely simalar to
Witchita.
Uhh, Sam, look at some of my recent posts for a hint. Hong Kong,
like NYC is essentially a port city.
Does NYC's economic success establish that its high regulation
nanny-statism is conducive to economic success? Or could it be a
success for reasons unrelated (or maybe even in spite of) all
that?
How did we get from Ron's "maybe deregulation didn't cause this"
to "if there were no regulations, none of this would ever
happen".
I don't see you, MNG, trying to get anyone to fault deregulation;
rather, you are starting to think you're surrounded by
econopagans...about right?
From an objective standpoint the standard of living of the poor souls who actually live in NYC is low compared to other parts of the United States - or Canda. A big apartment in NYC is the size of a living room in Ohio or Florida. It would be the size of a bathroom in Texas.
"Uhh, not for every member of the ecosystem..."
I interfered with that ecosystem.
"Uhh, not for every member of the ecosystem..."
Very true. reminds me tangentially of a Human Geography class I
took that likened London to a moldy sandwich. As the inner-most
circles died the city expanded out in ever greater circles. Had
too. Pretty common for cities actually, but geographically, London
provided a prime example.
"Uhh, Sam, look at some of my recent posts for a hint. Hong
Kong, like NYC is essentially a port city."
So is Liverpool.
"From an objective standpoint the standard of living of the poor
souls who actually live in NYC is low compared to other parts of
the United States - or Canda. A big apartment in NYC is the size of
a living room in Ohio or Florida. It would be the size of a
bathroom in Texas."
Absolutely. I have a friend who moved his successful consulting
business after twenty years from Manhattan to Omaha for that very
reason.
BTW New Orleans is a port city. Wanna live there?
[Dr Nick] "Now, there are many options for dangerously under-regulated economies, like yourself." [/Dr Nick]
"...if the economic problems are the result of something more
complicated than most people's ideology, say it is not a cause of
"too little" or "too much" regulation but a result of myriad and
complex economic forces that most non-experts don't and probably
won't understand, then this same mess happening in nations with
varying levels of regulation (or government intervention in the
economy, or whatever) would be a little more sensible."-Mr. Nice
Guy
There's a lot in what you wrote that I beleive is true. That
doesn't help the argument of the people who want more government
regulation and oversight, in fact, it argues against their point.
If the problem is not well understood, any new regulations will
likely be trying to fix the wrong thing and causing new problems.
The simplistic blaming of vague "deregulation" and "out control"
markets is a dangerous call for action, the wiser course is likely
to do little and let this play itself out.
An economy is like an ecosystem. When something goes wrong
it means there has either been an artificial element added or a
natural element taken away. Left alone, an ecosystem, like an
economy functions smoothly.
Define artificial and natural. For instance, are beaver dams
artificial or natural? How about invasive species like kudzu and
zebra mussels? Hell, define ecosystem for that matter. Are meteors
part of the ecosystem? How about tsunamis? Good luck.
Meteor | October 6, 2008, 8:21pm | #
"Uhh, not for every member of the ecosystem..."
I interfered with that ecosystem.
You're not artificial (except perhaps in the Intelligent Design
sense, but then everything is).
I am a non-native element. Like introducing the Brown Tree Snake to guam. The Brown Tree Snake is not artificial but it *IS* non-native.
From an objective standpoint the standard of living of the
poor souls who actually live in NYC is low compared to other parts
of the United States - or Canda.
You mean the objective standpoint that doesn't take notice of the
much higher economic and social opportunities that NYC affords. You
know, the reason people pay astronomical rents for the tiny places
you mentioned.
I hear you can get a nice big place in the Sudan fairly cheap. I
wonder why anyone would live in the US instead--objectively
speaking, that is.
Since Polar Bears are not native to the Arctic -- their ancestors came from temperate zones -- their extinction will be a net plus to the Arctic ecosystem. Right?
The economy of Wichita Kansas just hasn't taken off yet because they're still being occupied with finding them 4000 year old dinosaur bones.
I'm with cunnivore on NY. I'd rather live a 6x6x6 box with a
family of Cuban refugees in Manhatten than an expansive ranch in
Texas (ok, I exaggerate). But I just like big cities, I like living
around huge numbers of anonymous strangers, I like the arts, I like
the food choices... it's hard to sort living standards into
objective points... it's all about what you want.
And this whole economics thing. It's too complicated to fully
understand, and ideology helps all of us sort through the mess. I'm
for the free market, so I'll support it... maybe I'll bend and
allow a little bit of regulation into my world-view, but it's scary
to try... I don't want to open a floodgate.
Cunnivore, the key word here is ELEMENT. Kudzu is a natural element of the ecosystem in Japan. It is not a natural element of the ecosystem in the Southeastern United States. It is possible, even likely, that the ecosystem in the Southeastern United States could adapt to this change. As for hurricanes, they are part of a larger cycle and native plants and animals in hurricane prone areas have evolved to adapt to this. The cabbage palm (Sabal palmetto ) in Florida seems to brush them off. The non-native (but quite beautiful) Norfolk Island Pine (Araucaria heterophylla) breaks like toothpick under hurricane force winds.
"if Canada took NYC and then made it a protectorate, then it
would seem like an economic dynamo."
Well, except being an outpost of the British Empire helped make
Hong Kong a dynamo. Making NYC an outpost of Canada, probabaly
would do nothing positive for the city.
"Since Polar Bears are not native to the Arctic -- their
ancestors came from temperate zones -- their extinction will be a
net plus to the Arctic ecosystem. Right?"
Damn straight!
Everything is cyclical. But the cycles we can see, they scare us.
People fear change.
"Since Polar Bears are not native to the Arctic -- their
ancestors came from temperate zones -- their extinction will be a
net plus to the Arctic ecosystem. Right?"
See my comment about SE U.S. and Kudzu eventually becoming part of
the ecosystem there. Polar Bears became an important part of that
ecosystem over time.
The point, dear Ironic, is that everything that is now native and "an element of the ecosystem" was once non-native and out of place. We see the world as it is now, in the blink of an eye in cosmic terms, and assume that the way it exists now is the "natural" and right way for it to be. But that is just temporal chauvinism.
"You mean the objective standpoint that doesn't take notice of
the much higher economic and social opportunities that NYC affords.
You know, the reason people pay astronomical rents for the tiny
places you mentioned."
Name one specific social opportunity you can find in NYC that you
cannot find in, as an example, Southern Florida. I am not speaking
of a BRAND NAME, I am speaking of a category of activity. As for
stock trading - perhaps you have never heard of the Internet. You
can trade stocks on the Internet and not have your car broken
into.
"The point, dear Ironic, is that everything that is now native
and "an element of the ecosystem" was once non-native and out of
place. We see the world as it is now, in the blink of an eye in
cosmic terms, and assume that the way it exists now is the
"natural" and right way for it to be. But that is just temporal
chauvinism."
I know that. What is your point?
And keep in mind that there are no rules in an ecosystem. Government intervention to prevent and punish fraud and theft are most certainly artificial in your analogy.
My point is that statements like "left alone an ecosystem functions smoothly" are vague and useless pablum that may tickle the ears but don't stand up to scrutiny. The ecosystems that exist today would not be functional, and in many cases would not exist, were it not for being "tampered with" at some time in the past.
"Government intervention to prevent and punish fraud and theft
are most certainly artificial in your analogy."
Do you think that because a government does not do something that
it will not get done? On of the greatest assets a business has is
reputation. A business that has a reputation for fraud will not
last long in a true free market where government bailout money
cannot be extracted at the point of a gun. Private security already
exists and without government regulations would have more
flexibility.
A business that has a reputation for fraud will not last
long in a true free market
No prob. Just change your business name often enough, employ
different facades, move between anarcho-capitalist citadels quick
enough, and reputation won't matter.
Private security already exists and without government
regulations would have more flexibility.
As bad as some police depts are getting, I don't think you really
want to live in an area where various private security firms have
"flexibility" in the means by which they protect their clients.
that's like saying that a girl who has sex every day should
be expected to get more pregnant than one that has sex once a week.
Once it happens, it happens. Once the bottom falls out of the
economy, it falls out.
The economy looked at least 16 to me.
But not exactly an economic dynamo that Witchita.
Location, location, location.
Not just regulation, regulation, regulation.
"My point is that statements like "left alone an ecosystem
functions smoothly" are vague and useless pablum that may tickle
the ears but don't stand up to scrutiny. The ecosystems that exist
today would not be functional, and in many cases would not exist,
were it not for being "tampered with" at some time in the
past."
The ecosystems would be different but not inherently better. This
is like saying "without government tampering with the economy we
would not have the economy we have today." Electric Boat Company
might not exist were it not exist were it not for DOD contracts but
other "boat companies" would exist that would produce boats for
civilian use.
"No prob. Just change your business name often enough, employ
different facades, move between anarcho-capitalist citadels quick
enough, and reputation won't matter."
In a true free market mechanisms such as social shunning would
exist to take care of such people. Reputation always matters -
except aparently in governmental politics where you can let your
friend drown while you call your lawyer and maintain your position
of power.
"As bad as some police depts are getting, I don't think you really
want to live in an area where various private security firms have
"flexibility" in the means by which they protect their
clients."
Yes, I would. I would not hire a firm that would break my door down
in the middle of the night in a no-knock raid. I have no such
choice at the moment. Police departments force me at the point of a
gun to pay for their services.
"Do you think that because a government does not do something
that it will not get done? "
Exactly what Hong Kong circa 1974 was all about.
I worked in a US factory in 1977 that provided Cadillac pay and
benefits in order to keep the workers from unionizing.
From the worker's perspective, unionizing wouldn't improve things,
so why bite the hand that feeds you steak and lobster?
The company's position was that providing top-shelf compensation
was far, far better than letting in the union.
Executive summary: Workers happy, shareholders happy, unions
covetous, just like Red China.
"No prob. Just change your business name often enough, employ
different facades, move between anarcho-capitalist citadels quick
enough, and reputation won't matter."
But you'll never build one either.
Of course. But that just means you're starting from the same place that other new businesses are.
Ironic, I think you misunderstand my point about the security
firms. I wasn't talking about the security firm YOU hire...but the
security firms others hire that consider you a target.
Oh yeah, I know what the response will be: the security firm YOU
hire will fight off those other security firms. Maybe you could go
to Baghdad for some advice from the natives on the best ways of
getting by in that kind of society.
"Location, location, location.
Not just regulation, regulation, regulation."
If that were true, today, Duluth, MN would dwarf, Minneapolis/St.
Paul. But back in the early 20th Century, Twin Cities agribusiness
successfully lobbied the Army Corp of Engineers to run the majority
of Northern Minnesota's watershed (and massive wheat crop) to the
Mississippi River instead of to Duluth (on Lake Superior). I seem
to recall the Courts had a hand in it via rulings on riparian
rights.
Location, regulation, education, demographics. It all plays a
role.
I don't think Wilmington, DE, would be much without lax corporate
and trial lawyer regulations.
"Ironic, I think you misunderstand my point about the security
firms. I wasn't talking about the security firm YOU hire...but the
security firms others hire that consider you a target."
War (even on a small scale) is cost-prohibitive and simply could
not be afforded without the mechanisms of the state to force
taxpayers to pay for them. Without the strong-arm of the state
there is not financial advantage to engage in them.
"Oh yeah, I know what the response will be: the security firm YOU
hire will fight off those other security firms."
Apparently you did not know what my response would be.
"Maybe you could go to Baghdad for some advice from the natives on
the best ways of getting by in that kind of society."
Funny you should bring up Iraq. Do you really think Iraq has no
governmental interference in its economic and social system at the
moment?
Mr Meteor,
I am a non-native element. Like introducing the Brown Tree Snake to
guam. The Brown Tree Snake is not artificial but it *IS*
non-native.
Whether you are native or not depends on where we draw the system
boundaries. If an ecosystem is a closed system, we have to draw
them wide enough to include you. If an open system, well, hell,
anything goes then, you have to expect and plan for invasion.
"I don't think Wilmington, DE, would be much without lax
corporate and trial lawyer regulations."
Quite true. If you live in the United States pull out any major
credit card you own. Look at the corporate address. I will be
willing to bet that the address is located somewhere in the state
of Delaware, probably Wilmington.
"Did the communists really lose the cold war after all?"
No, they just renamed themselves.
"Did the communists really lose the cold war after all?"
No, we did not.
The only thing that I would hate more than knowing my government
ran Fannie & Freddie would be knowing my government invested in
them.
As an American, I'm glad there is seemingly an endless supply of
greater fools out there!
This post makes silly overly broad analogies. Ireland is a
beacon of free market de-regulation. The fact that it guarantees
bank deposits does not make it a more regulated financial system
than us.
http://www.independent.ie/business/world/tighter-regulation-is-the-future-for-banking-1484777.html
They are just as deregulated as us when it comes to banks and
finance.
War (even on a small scale) is cost-prohibitive and simply
could not be afforded without the mechanisms of the state to force
taxpayers to pay for them.
Bullshit. War predates the state, and still goes on alongside it
without state involvement (think urban gang wars). The losers at
the market "game" -- those who cannot survive through peaceful
trade -- will ever attempt to do so by violence.
Well, the problem with Ireland is that they do a lot of business with the UK and USA, which are both outside the Eurozone. They should drop the euro and EU.
War (even on a small scale) is cost-prohibitive and simply
could not be afforded without the mechanisms of the state to force
taxpayers to pay for them.
You're forgetting about my...er...business model.
Also, I too think Sarah Palin is hot. She must have Mongol blood in
her.
"Also, I too think Sarah Palin is hot. She must have Mongol
blood in her."
Makes sense.
"The losers at the market "game" -- those who cannot survive
through peaceful trade -- will ever attempt to do so by
violence."
That you, Suge???
Just because we were malregulated (-if- we were) doesn't
necessarily mean we need more regulations. Sometimes a malnourished
person needs to eat more, sometimes they just need to eat well.
Hell, you can be ridiculously fat and be malnourished. Libertarians
and pro-regulators are equally bad about tossing around the word
"regulation" with no qualifications or elaboration.
I suspect our regulations/laws contributed to this crisis, but I
haven't seen a lot of detailed discussion about specific changes
that would solve this crisis or prevent future crashes; maybe we
need to add some regulations, maybe take some away. Maybe we
already have the ones we need and have to ensure that they are
enforced, impartially and strictly.
Regulations on operations are bad. Is that qualified enough,
perilisk? The CRA is disgusting redistribution pap.
Regulations on reporting can be good. But in the case of the
mark-to-market securities, a regulation of reporting feeds back
into other regulations that tie reporting back into operating in a
way that fueled illiquidity. That is, transparency is good, but
fishing line fixed to specific places on the saran wrap is
bad.
More importantly, tax monies are forcibly taken from me and, in a
rush panic of legislative flury by statists, given to companies to
reward them for failing (well, it was the government's fault, I
figure; but it's still my money). If money weren't regulated the
way it is, and if taxes weren't the way they are, I could have the
choice to either completely insulate myself from any monetary or
financial risk or choose this time to buy in heavily to these
failing companies, voluntarily accept the risk, and possibly get a
good return on that investment.
"The CRA is disgusting redistribution pap."
Any connection between the CRA and eminent domain abuses? No idea,
just curious.
No idea, Matilda. Sounds like a basis for a good
reason article if any connection shows up.
/me pokes all those magazine guys with RB for initials with a
stick
I predict that by this time next year, most of the squishy urban
liberal class will have discovered that they really don't like
state-socialism after all.
All of a sudden they wake up and find a giant monolithic government
controlling the economy for the benefit of a few entrenched
industrial and banking intrests. Then they're like "Wait. I thought
socialism was supposed to be some kind of freedom loving utopia
where we all got free shit and long vacations. What happened? How
come this isn't as fun as I thought it was going to be?"
All of a sudden they wake up and find a giant monolithic
government controlling the economy
Then they look at the calendar and it's 1935.
Most here are assuming European banks were more heavily
regulated because, duh, they're in Europe and everyone knows Europe
is full of regulation. Well, most here are wrong.
I'm a banking reporter in Ireland, so I know a bit about why
European banks are having the same or similar problems to American
banks. First of all, bank regulation throughout the EU is pretty
light. Brussels issues general directives which the member nations
are required to follow, but implementation at the national level is
at the discretion of national governments and regulators. So, for
instance, in Ireland and Britain, oversight is very light. It's a
bit tighter in other countries, but the EU allows 'passporting'
across national borders, so banks can 'forum shop' for the most
suitable regime for certain operations. Unsurprisingly, just about
every major bank in Europe set up conduit operations in Dublin.
HRE's public finance arm, Depfa, is also located in Dublin.
Yet although structured investment vehicles showed the first signs
of strain in the credit crunch, the fundamental underlying problem
for most banks - and especially banks in the Anglo Saxon countries
- was cheap credit leading to an asset bubble. Irish banks had very
little exposure to subprime securities, but lots of exposure to
property lending at inflated prices - subprime by another name.
Many banks are now looking insolvency in the face as asset prices
plummet below deposit levels, destroying shareholders' equity/bank
capital. Under those circumstances, banks won't lend to each other
and so we have systemic illiquidity.#
If Europe truly had the tighter regulations that so many here
assume prevailed, the central banks would have stepped in about
three years ago to restrict credit and force pre-emptive
recapitalisation. Instead they worried about inflation and trivial
consumer finance issues. The result was that we had the same 8-10x
salary multiples, originate and securitise mortgage lending and
overleveraged derivatis trading that has wrecked banks in the US.
There's not a whole lot of daylight between the regimes either side
of the Atlantic, you know.
Outstanding comment, Sean! I didn't know any of that.
Following up on that, I've had the chance to work with some staff
members of Senators and Congressmen. These are the folks who do the
real thinking and heavy lifting when it comes to legislation. If
you watch CSPAN, you'll see that most Senators and Congressmen
simply read their remarks. That's because someone else wrote
them.
The staffers know a little about a lot of subjects. Some of them
are experts, but not many. Many are young and inexperienced and are
simply there to be close to power, get laid, grab cash, etc. If the
American people knew who was involved in the drafting of
legislation, they'd be appalled.
As the powers of the Federal government grow, the responsibilities
laid on these turkeys do, too. They just aren't up for the task. We
ask them to choose solar power investments, regulate beekeeping,
discuss global warming, regulate banks ...
It's no wonder that it all gets done in a sloppy fashion. Rather
than ask for a small, efficient and thrifty government that does
just a few things well, we've got the equivalent of a hippopotomus
in our backyard.
Sean, actually I was somewhat aware of the level of regulation
in Europe. It's one of the reasons I've found the whole
"deregulation....bushhitler...cowboy...evil...cheneyhalliburton...miltonfriedman...USAbad"
talk so odd.
It seems there has been a widespread consensus that market forces
are a good thing.
What nobody seems to like is the fact that every so often the
market has to correct. Especially after a long period of
insanity.
Or to put it another way, everyone loves the free market when they're winning. Not so much when they're losing.
We ain't
seen the bottom of this rabbit hole yet:
The Federal Reserve, invoking Depression-era power under "unusual and exigent circumstances," will buy "commercial paper," a short-term financing mechanism that many companies rely on to finance their day-to-day operations, such as purchasing supplies or making payrolls.
The $99.4 billion daily market for this crucial financing, which relies on investors rather than banks, has virtually dried up. Most investors have become too jittery to buy paper for longer than overnight or a couple days.
BTW, just so you fuckers will get off of Wichita, KS:
Cessna and Beechcraft, the big two in small aircraft, headquartered
and main factories located in Wichita
Boeing's 2nd largest facility located in Wichita
Pizza Hut, before it sold out to Pepsico, founded and headquartered
in Wichita
Koch Industries (If you don't recognize that name, you're on the
wrong site) headquartered in Wichita
Wichita doesn't enjoy the advantage of a deep-water port (duh,
they're 800 miles from nearest salt water) or early settlement like
NYC, but they are doing all right. Kansas is persistently in the
top 10 on the eco freedom index, while NY is persistently in the
bottom 5.
They also don't enjoy a huge gang/junkie/mugger/crack whore problem
and cucarachas that can carry away a small child. And without
Kansas, NY would subsist on fish guts and effluvia.
GET OFF MY JAYHAWKS! *grin*
Or to put it another way, everyone loves the free market
when they're winning. Not so much when they're losing.
Well, yes, that's definitely very much in evidence in Europe right
now. In Ireland the sequence of recent regulatory events went like
this:
1) 'investigate' market rumors favorable to short-sellers
2) ban short-selling
3) raise retail deposit guarantee to €100,000 - but provide no
details on how this will be funded
4) provide sovereign guarantee of all liabilities (deposits and
debt) of the six Irish-headquartered banks - without imposing
conditions
5) extend sovereign guarantee to foreign-owned banks with retail
presence in Ireland
Total contingent liability to the Irish taxpayer: €500bn-plus
For some reason, 83% of Irish people think this is great. Actually,
I know the reason. They've lost 70% of stock market gains and 30%
of housing equity in the last 15 months. They'll do anything for a
fix. We are now in a methadone economy.
So, has anyone looked at the effect of the sub-prime mess on
long term foreign investment in the U.S.?
Well, right now the forex markets are fleeing to quality in the
form of the US Dollar.
Probably a little early to say where a flight to quality in the
equity and debt markets will take them, but I wouldn't rule out the
US>
You mean, everyone loves the free market when there's a bubble
and they can convince themselves that they have guarenteed returns
on dot-com stocks or oil or housing, or whatever.
Then when the bubble pops, they prefer to cling to the illusion
that it wasn't a bubble, and demand that the government step in to
keep everything insane. "Nooooo!!!.... Housing prices are supposed
to go UP. Make them go UP!!!! (And loan more money to poor people
to purchase overvalued homes while you are at it.) "
You mean, everyone loves the free market when there's a bubble and they can convince themselves that they have guarenteed returns on dot-com stocks or oil or housing, or whatever.
Markets absolutely suck at guaranteeing profits.
Yes, Hazel, that pretty much sums it up.
The newest welfare entitlement is a guarantee that the value of
your home or your stock portfolio will never go down. The Federal
government will devote endless resources to this.
Markets absolutely suck at guaranteeing profits.
I disagree. Markets are absolutely infallible in guaranteeing
profits to somebody, somewhere. It just won't be you, all the
time.
"Bullshit. War predates the state, and still goes on alongside
it without state involvement (think urban gang wars). The losers at
the market "game" -- those who cannot survive through peaceful
trade -- will ever attempt to do so by violence."
Urban Gang wars exist because of the state. Remember the War on
Drugs and the War on Alchohol before it? Of course war predates
that state - that is how the state was created.
"You're forgetting about my...er...business model."
I did not realize that Genghis Khan was an anarchist.
I'm not defending European economic/business systems here, but is the U.S. is arguably getting slammed by this financial crisis more than any other developed nation.
European tie ins to underregulated American derivatives would be the simplest explanation.
Yes, because in a global economy where US markets affect every
other market, their problems are actually due to too much
regulation...
Does basic logic escape you people?
Sean is correct. The author of the original post clearly has
only a passing familiarity with the nature of financial markets in
Europe. Any semi-competent international MBA student will tell you
that European markets are less regulated than the U.S ones.
NYSE actually lost a lot of business to LSE when Sarbanes-Oxley and
other regulations passed:
http://money.cnn.com/2005/12/15/commentary/pluggedin_fortune/index.htm
Absolutely great post. But don't worry, Obama will fix with his
magic regulation-wand that solves all problems.
Can't we ship that socialist over to Europe? They seem to love him
over there...they can have him.
The assumption behind the snarky comments here is that European
financial markets have greater regulation than American ones. Is
this actually the case?
The European *financial* markets are just as capitalist as the
American ones are.
The problem is no one really wants things to just be "fair" - we
want to come out ahead. When we get ahead, we want to leverage our
power to get even more ahead.
People with power/money use it to get more. Whatever system we set
up, it will be subverted. Corruption is inevitable, because people
can BUY their way around whatever rules get put in place.
The underlying problem is built into human nature. Eventually
things will act a lot like anarchy, effectively, but with a veneer
of lawfulness to confuse people.
But giving speculators the greenlight to LEVERAGE their bets as
never before - and you bet I'm talking deregulation here, in 2004
-- is the gasoline that makes our housefire into a
neighborhood-destroying iinferno.
on the front page of the NYTimes, Oct 3:
"Many events in Washington, on Wall Street and elsewhere around the
country have led to what has been called the most serious financial
crisis since the 1930s. But decisions made at a brief meeting on
April 28, 2004, explain why the problems could spin out of control.
The agency's failure to follow through on those decisions also
explains why Washington regulators did not see what was
coming.
On that bright spring afternoon, the five members of the Securities
and Exchange Commission met in a basement hearing room to consider
an urgent plea by the big investment banks.
They wanted an exemption for their brokerage units from an old
regulation that limited the amount of debt they could take on. The
exemption would unshackle billions of dollars held in reserve as a
cushion against losses on their investments. Those funds could then
flow up to the parent company, enabling it to invest in the
fast-growing but opaque world of mortgage-backed securities; credit
derivatives, a form of insurance for bond holders; and other exotic
instruments.
The five investment banks led the charge, including Goldman Sachs,
which was headed by Henry M. Paulson Jr. Two years later, he left
to become Treasury secretary.
..."We've said these are the big guys," Mr. Goldschmid said,
provoking nervous laughter, "but that means if anything goes wrong,
it's going to be an awfully big mess."
Anyone want pointers to the LATEST dereguation, in the same
direction (fractional reserve reduction AKA increased
leverage/risk/ volatility/irresponsibility) actually built into the
bailout?!?!
Site comments/questions:
Media Inquiries and Reprint Permissions:
(310) 367-6109
Editorial & Production Offices:
3415 S. Sepulveda Blvd.
Suite 400
Los Angeles, CA 90034
(310) 391-2245