Jesse Walker | March 22, 2004
Eric Margolis published an interesting column yesterday on the former KGB's consolidation of power in Vladimir Putin's Russia. Much of the story's been told before, but Margolis adds a bit of unexpected background:
The USSR crumbled in 1991.
That year, I reported from Moscow that the younger generation of KGB -- the USSR's best educated and brightest youth, with extensive experience abroad and contempt for communist ideology -- were going to ditch the moribund Communist party and attempt to seize power themselves.
Intriguingly, the KGB's Young Turks repeatedly told me their role models for the "new" Russia were two right-wing military strongmen, South Korea's Gen. Park Chung-hee, and Chile's Gen. Augusto Pinochet. "We will make Russians work at bayonet point," were the words of an exasperated KGB colonel.
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The thing about the right wing dictators is that both Park and
Pinochet allowed a transition to a more democratic regime once they
felt they had gotten their countries on the right track. This was
especially true of Pinochet who explicitly promised such a
transition. You can also see a similar transition in Taiwan.
So yes. The right wing thugs are better for a country (generally)
than the left. Their plan is to maintain stability until their
countries are economically viable as democracies (about $3K to $4K
per year per capita very roughly).
So if Putin's gang has chosen Pinochet as the model I think in the
long term things will turn out all right.
Right-wing dictators make much better role models [than
left-wing ones].
The primary difference between left-wing and right-wing dictators
is that in a left-wing dictatorship, you starve to death before the
death squads can get to you. :)
It's also easier for right-wing dictatorships to transition to
stable democracy, simply because they're less-likely to have
completely destroyed their economy.
The primary difference between left-wing and right-wing
dictators is that in a left-wing dictatorship, you starve to death
before the death squads can get to you. :)
That about sums it up! :)
It's also easier for right-wing dictatorships to transition to
stable democracy, simply because they're less-likely to have
completely destroyed their economy.
Good point. But I doubt that's much consolation to those who have
lived under right-wing dictatorships that the US sponsored. Telling
them "Oh, trust us, it would have been even worse if the
other dictator had taken over" probably won't inspire much
confidence.
In summary, right-wing dictators may be lesser-evils compared to
many left-wing dictators, but they're hardly worth supporting.
Pinochet may have called in the Chicago Boys, but he didn't "let
the free market run wild." The typical right-wing dictator's idea
of "getting things on the right track" includes:
1) selling off government assets to international corporations for
a tiny fraction of their value, when those assets had been created
at taxpayer expense to profit those same corporations in the first
place.
2) using secret police or death squad terror to suppress labor
organizers, cooperatives, and every other institution in civil
society that might enable ordinary people to bargain in the
marketplace as equals.
Of course, once the working population has been brutally terrorized
into thinking like coolies or peons, and beaten into obedience, and
civil society has been gutted of any power to resist the masters,
it finally becomes safe to let some neoliberal version of
"democracy" be installed. The masses get to choose, every two
years, which of two men in suits will be taking orders from the
IMF.
Real democracy (direct, participatory, and organized from the
bottom up) is possible only when people are in the habit of
discussing, debating, participating in decisions, and questioning
authority. It's no wonder right-wing dictators feel it is safe to
introduce some kind of spectator democracy once the population has
had these habits beaten out of them.
As just one example, consider the right-wing dictator Suharto, who
was installed by the U.S. Until after his overthrow, organizing an
independent labor union was a criminal offense. It's still,
unofficially, a pretty dangerous thing to do. Anybody wonder why
Indonesia is one of the favorite locations for sweatshop
employers?
Too bad Uncle Milty wasn't around to advise Hitler on introducing
"free market" reforms. I'm sure when Adolf had got things "on the
right track," and got the population's minds right, he would
eventually have gotten around to restoring some kind of
democracy.
M Simon wrote:
The thing about the right wing dictators is that both Park and Pinochet allowed a transition to a more democratic regime once they felt they had gotten their countries on the right track. This was especially true of Pinochet who explicitly promised such a transition. You can also see a similar transition in Taiwan.
I think that there is some pretty good evidence for this. Consider
the following:
Taiwan versus China
South Korea versus North Korea
Chile versus Cuba
In each case the United States backed up a right-leaning strongman
to oppose having the Soviets take over a nation. The right-wing
strongman did admittedly do some pretty terrible things but we were
able to eventually push for more liberalized reforms into a stable
more republican form of government. In contrast with the
dictatorships set up by the Soviets along Marxist lines, the
atrocities were generally worse, more oppression with less freedom,
lower economic growth, and they�re still
there.
All things considered, we probably chose the better of several bad
options during the Cold War when we consider the most likely
alternatives in China, North Korea, and Cuba.
So yes. The right wing thugs are better for a country
(generally) than the left. Their plan is to maintain stability
until their countries are economically viable as democracies (about
$3K to $4K per year per capita very roughly).
I am a bit more skeptical, if I may extend the concept of
'right-wing' to include 'theocratic' as a way of describing a
regime.
I highly doubt a lot of countries with, for example, radical
religious leadership can stand to gain as much economic development
as more left-wing ones if they insist on treating half of their
population as mere breeding units and impose deadly penalties for
engaging in irreligious activities or businesses. Any society that
would outlaw porn by is missing out on a 6-billion-dollar industry,
for example.
Put differently: If by 'left-wing' you include societies that
ensure rights for women and homosexuals, then I respectfully
disagree with your claim. Afghanistan needed to be dragged into the
20th century, and while I'm glad it was the Americans and not the
Soviets that accomplished this, I think the people would have been
more free - secularly speaking - under either one. Even the people
of the USSR and Vietnam were able to bring about change, why
couldn't we expect the same of a Taliban-free Afghanistan?
"The thing about the right wing dictators is that both Park and
Pinochet allowed a transition to a more democratic regime once they
felt they had gotten their countries on the right track."
That wasn't true of Park; nor was it true of Franco really (in the
latter case, Franco's right-hand stooge was killed by Eta and this
ended Franco's designs for continuing his dictatorship after his
death).
"The right wing thugs are better for a country (generally) than the
left."
That has not been established; nor have you included right-wing
dictatorships that were clearly very bad for their countries (and
the rest of the planet I might add) - those experienced in Japan,
Germany and Italy.
"Their plan is to maintain stability until their countries are
economically viable as democracies (about $3K to $4K per year per
capita very roughly)."
How do you know that this is "their plan?"
BTW, does the following history of Park's regime engender one to
his dictatorship?:
In May 1961 the second republic's government (only formed recently
after a coup against authoritarian and corrupt President Syngman
Rhee) was overthrown by a military coup led by General Park Chung
Lee who established a military Junta. In 1962 the military rule
ended and Park became the civilian President of the third republic.
President Park was reelected in 1967 and 1971 under suspicious
circumstances; during this period labor and political strife was
common; as were "disappearances," extra-judicialy executions, etc.
In October 1972 President Park suspended the constitution and
dissolved the National Assembly, following which he established a
new and greater authoritarian constitution which broadened his
presidential powers. During the 1970's there were protests and
growing unrest with demands for greater liberalization. In Dec.
1978 President Park won a rigged reelected and on Oct. 26, 1979 was
assassinated by the head of the secret police he had used to fight
the call for liberalization. In December 1979 a military coup
seized control of the government and in August 1980 Chun Doo Hwan
assumed the presidency while in October the fifth republic's
constitution was inaugurated.
Whatever liberalization occurred, started after Park was dead at
the hands of his own secret police; furthermore, whatever
"stability" occurred during this period was clearly not because of
Park's policies, but perhaps in spite of them.
I find it despicable that libetarians would defend regimes like
this.
BTW, everyone also forgets that the reason why Pinochet was booted from power was not because he designed the 1980 constitution to do this, but because his economic policies (crony capitalism at best) led to a deep recession in Chile in the 1980s, fueling protests in the streets, which in turn forced Pinochet's hand in arranging for a plebiscite that he arrogantly assumed that he would win (which he in turn lost). After this, under threat that he would call out the armed forces and suspend the constitution, he negotiated a deal that saved his ass. Please let's not "romanticize" tyrants.
FML wrote:
I am a bit more skeptical, if I may extend the concept of 'right-wing' to include 'theocratic' as a way of describing a regime.
If you did, you�d be wrong since most of the theocracies in Middle
East tended to (a) side with the Soviets over the Americans and (b)
despite their purportedly religious leanings, tended to blend the
Marxian Political Economy with their Islamic Schema to create
�revolutionary Islam� (particularly in Iran).
Jean Bart wrote:
Please let's not "romanticize" tyrants.
Romanticize? No.
Support them when the next most likely (and worse) alternative was
a Soviet-backed regime in the hopes that the one we supported can
be pressured to reform and/or removed? Yes.
A few things:
First, it's always fun to play the game of "which dictator is
worse?" and I admit to playing it. For instance, I'll go out on a
limb and say that Pinochet wasn't as bad as Hitler or Stalin. And
I'll even concede that some right-wing despots haven't been as
disastrous as a lot of left-wing despots.
BUT, if given a choice between a lefty despot and
a right-wing despot, I'd probably do like Captain Kirk in that
no-win simulation (I forget which Star Trek movie it was in) and
find a third option, i.e. immigrate to a country with more
freedom.
Also, however much realpolitik sense it might have made to back
certain despots as lesser evils compared to other despots, we
shouldn't be shocked if a lot of people nonetheless get angry over
it. If your spouse gets taken by the death squads, you won't be too
interested in explanations of how a comparatively more liberal
economy will ease the eventual transition to a democratic state,
whereas centralized planning would have introduced inefficience
that would have made it even worse in the long run. People at
funerals generally prefer eulogies over lectures on political and
economic development.
Finally, before we get too rosy in our evaluation of the great
economic programs implemented by right-wing despots, the fact
remains that the removal of a right-wing dictator usually leads to
greater prosperity, just like the removal of a left-wing dictator.
Clearly the right-wing dictators aren't exactly economic boons, but
rather they simply do less damage than their left-wing
counterparts. Indeed, how much economic freedom do you have if your
business can be shut down the second you offend the secret
police?
Thorley Winston,
"Support them when the next most likely (and worse) alternative was
a Soviet-backed regime in the hopes that the one we supported can
be pressured to reform and/or removed? Yes."
Well, there was never any pressure to do either; indeed, turning a
"blind eye" is a more appropriate statement. I mean if your policy
is to support the enemy of my enemy, etc., fine; but don't go
claiming that when that regime turns out to be run by thugs, etc.,
that you were really doing to support "human rights." In other
words, don't be a hypocrite.
Thorley Winston,
In most cases, I think the threat of a "pro-Soviet" regime was just
an ideological mechanism the leadership used to sell its policies
to itself and to the public. If you look at cases like the
overthrow of Arbenz in Guatemala, Suhart on Indonesia, Mossadegh in
Iran, etc., the strongest immediate pressure for intervention came
from United Fruit Company, Royal Dutch Shell, or some other
corporation whose interests were threatened by a left-leaning
government.
Since the forumulation of the "Grand Area" concept during WWII, and
the U.S. rise to "hegemonic power in a system of world order," any
refusal to have one's markets and resources incorporated into that
world order has been treated as equivalent, in operational terms,
to being pro-Soviet. But there's a high degree of continuity
between the pre-WWII era gunboat diplomacy and backing of
right-wing dictators, described by Smedley Butler, with the Cold
War and post-Cold War coups, counter-insurgency operations,
etc.
As the authors of NSC-68 pointed out, the basic structure of the
world order the U.S. created post-1945 (the Bretton Woods agencies,
the U.S. national security state, etc.) would have existed even
without the USSR. The US has seen itself as the guarantor, on a
global scale, of a particular political-economic order. And any
local regime that refuses to be incorporated into that order is
seen as a threat, regardless of the particular enemy (fascism,
communism, islamism) that it is allegedly defecting to.
In fact, most such left-wing nationalists would have preferred to
be non-aligned and to continue trade with the U.S. Even genuine
Marxist-Leninist regimes, had they been free to pursue an
independent foreign policy without regard to the superpower
competition, would have likely evolved some independent variety of
national communism while trading with all sides.
Both Ho and Castro, for example, were initially open to friendly
relations with the U.S. Even when it was forced to rely on foreign
military aid from communist regimes, Vietnam uneasily tried to play
the Soviets and Chinese off against each other. Castro, although
certainly a left-wing thug, was far from a doctrinaire
Marxist-Leninist when he came to power. It was only after his tilt
toward Soviet patronage, in the face of U.S. hostility, that he
proclaimed himself a Leninist; and he had to carry out a massive
purge in his own guerrilla movement in order to force it to accept
a merger with the Communist Party (with which he had not initially
been affiliated).
Although it is ridiculed, there is nothing inherently ridiculous in
the idea that a Third World left-wing regime might become more
authoritarian under the influence of superpower competition and the
need to turn to the Soviets for strategic support. There are
degrees of authoritarianism, and the most authoritarian elements of
a regime find perpetual warfare with a superpower a very useful
pretext for consolidating their own power.
And as thoreau suggested above, authoritarian regimes of both left
and right differ a great deal among themselves in their degree of
authoritarianism. The brutality of Pol Pot and of the Indonesians
in East Timor are at the high end of the scale. The Stalinist
purges of the '30s and the hundreds of thousands of death squad
murders in Central America are a step down. And a bureaucratic,
authoritarian state like Franco's Spain, Brezhnev's USSR, or
Castro's Cuba, is a step further down still.
It is a mistake to say that Pinochet's regime even approximated a
free market. In every form of statist society, the free market is
allowed to function only in the interstices, to the extent that it
is compatible with the privieges of the ruling class. That is true
in the corporate capitalist countries, as well: although they use
"free market" as a legitimizing term, it conceals a high degree of
state intervention on behalf of the privileged classes. Various
forms of legal privilege, that restrain the bargaining power of
labor, small business, and the conumer, are disguised as a
"neutral" legal framework. It is only within the parameters of this
structure that a market price system is allowed to operate. The
neoliberal version of the "free market" is like one of those old
"automatic" chess-playing machine that had a dwarf hidden inside,
moving the levers.
(a) side with the Soviets over the Americans
About what, pray tell? If Afghanistan, the specific example I used,
was so Soviet-friendly, why were they engaged in war with
them?
(b) despite their purportedly religious leanings, tended to
blend the Marxian Political Economy with their Islamic Schema to
create �revolutionary Islam� (particularly in Iran).
You're going to have to expound on this a bit. Iranians, in my
opinion, had every right to protest the torture and brutality under
SAVAK, regardless of the hint of future benefits. If a moral code
(i.e, Islam) which protested these methods (which I'll wager most
religions do) that were a logical extension of morality-free market
capitalism, then I suppose you could use the term 'Marxian', but I
think it's a stretch to expand the label of all Middle-Eastern
theocratic states to refer to 'left-wing dictatorships', depending
on what side of the left-right divide religion should fall (not
easy to do, admittedly).
thoreau,
Again, some people get all romantic about right-wing thugs; just as
some people get all romantic about left-wing thugs (Castro for
example). Look at how American conservatives wet their pants over
the pathetically corrupt regime of Lon Nol in Cambodia, trying to
describe him as the "George Washington" of Cambodia. Indeed, a
regime that was so corrupt that entire enclaves of his regime paid
the Khmer Rouge protecton money; indeed, even U.S. military
estimates show that 80% of the Khmer Rouge's arms from 1970-1975
came from the U.S. because members of the Lon Nol regime sold them
the arms after they received them from the U.S. Not only was his
regime hopelessly authoritarian, it was so corrupt that it could
not even stop from killing itself.
"...the fact remains that the removal of a right-wing dictator
usually leads to greater prosperity, just like the removal of a
left-wing dictator."
Right-wing dictatorships are marked by crony capitalism; indeed,
one of the reasons why they tend to implode is due to the
corruption and political repression that eats away at whatever
popular support they might have. A perfect example of this is the
right-wing dictatorship of Porfirio Diaz. Again, given that three
of the most destructive regimes in the 20th century were right-wing
dictatorships, its hard for me to see how such are any better than
the left-wing variety.
Shannon Love,
Well, Park never called in the Chicago boys as far as I can tell;
and Pinochet used their economic theories to gloss his cronyism
with. The level of corruption seen in his regime had been unknown
since the 1930s. This is readily apparent in the pension funds
scandal that helped bring down his regime.
Backing right-wing dicators hasn't always worked for the US. It
failed in Vietnam and we paid a very heavy price for it.
As for left-wing versus right-wing dicators, what about the various
ex-Warsaw Pact countries? A number of them have done fairly
well.
Thoreau wrote:
BUT, if given a choice between a lefty despot and a right-wing despot, I'd probably do like Captain Kirk in that no-win simulation (I forget which Star Trek movie it was in) and find a third option, i.e. immigrate to a country with more freedom.
The Kobayashi Maru test from ST II: The Wrath of Khan.
Oh and it�s William Shatner�s seventy-first birthday today.
dragoon,
Yes, I think the success of Poland, the Czech and Slovak Republics,
etc. completely undermines the argument that right-wing
dictatorships end up with "better results." Excellent
observation.
I don't think the Young Turks Soviet era education taught them much of the details of of either Park's or Pinochet's economic policies. I don't see Putin calling in the Chicago boys and letting the free market run wild.
Well, as we discussed in a thread below, at least they didn't
take their cues from left-wing dictators. That would be a
disaster. Right-wing dictators make much better role models.
Or something...
As usual KC hits it on the head. Do you neoliberals/neocons
think the US is a market economy? Well think again! It is the
*same* as North Korea or Cuba.
In fact, since all inequality is because the State, we can see that
the US and Russia are even more fascist since they are even more
inequal and have corporate rule, while Cuba does't. If it wasnt for
corporations like United Fruit or AT&T sheming at the table
(like Godfather Part 2) Cuba would probably be richer than the
corporate-rule US.
Well, how 'bout this one, then, Jean Bart.
All the right wing dictatorships in the entire 20th century, didn't
amass even half the pile of corpses created by the top left wing
dictatorship, China (over 100 million served).
How 'bout this one then. All the fascist and right wing
dictatorships in the world during the 20th century didn't amass the
pile of corspes stacked up by the #2 left wing dictatorship, the
Soviets.
It seems to me that Hayek was right - there isn't a whole lot of
difference between right and left wing collectivist
totalitarianism. Maybe the difference is the right wing
totalitarians don't try as hard to kill off all the customers. For
whatever reason, they seem a hell of a lot less efficient at it,
maybe because corrupt corporatism is still corporatism, and it's
not aimed at wiping out capitalism.
I don't know why you are so offended by by the observation, Jean
Bart.
And Rothbardtucker, please go back to reading Rothbard. It is
distinctly anti-libertarian to presume that we would all be equal,
but for the action of the state. The functioning of the free market
is premised on the notion of inequality - otherwise, everything
would always be at equilibrium, and there'd be no commerce
whatsoever.
Stephen Fetchet,
"All the right wing dictatorships in the entire 20th century,
didn't amass even half the pile of corpses created by the top left
wing dictatorship, China (over 100 million served)."
If your argument depends on measuring body counts then I think
you've lost the argument. Furthermore, given that 19th century
China saw equally large numbers dead when Europeans "ruled" China,
its hardly a unique situation for the communists.
exactly, how dare right wingers use a comparison of citizens murdered by the their own governemnt! A cheap shot! Sometimes you must break a few skulls, to make an omlett.
Stephen Fetchet,
I think you've been had. "Rothbardtucker" obviously intended a
satire of my views.
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