Steve Chapman | January 14, 2008
The presidential campaign feels like it has been going on for three years and will not produce a winner till nearly 10 months from now. But eventually, it will end. When it does, the victor will finally take a look at the challenges ahead and recall the man in Abraham Lincoln's story who was tarred and feathered: If it weren't such an honor, he said, he could do without it.
That's because life after Election Day is short on giddy moments of upbeat anthems, cheering crowds and confetti showers. It is long, though, on the toil of budget-making. And in the next administration, that will be not only an arduous task but a thankless one.
The federal budget suffers from only two problems. The first is that expenditures are expected to rise. The second is that revenues are scheduled to fall. Consequently, the deficit, a not-insignificant $163 billion last year, is set to grow by leaps and bounds for the foreseeable future. So is the size of government, which is on track to break all previous records for bloat.
Unless, of course, our leaders acknowledge the looming crisis and take the steps needed to avert it. But most of the presidential candidates would rather kiss Dick Cheney on the lips than admit the need for Americans to accept painful sacrifices.
Listening to the Democratic contenders, for example, is like listening to a 4-year-old tell Santa what she wants for Christmas—an array of cherished desires, and no sense that someone has to pay for them. Universal health insurance! Affordable college! Grants for child care! Money for schools! Every doll ever made by American Girl!
According to the nonpartisan website PolitiFact, which assesses the accuracy of what candidates say, all the programs envisioned by Hillary Clinton would add about $174 billion a year in outlays. And that was before she unveiled a $70 billion fiscal stimulus plan Friday. Barack Obama, according to a November analysis in the McClatchy newspapers, has promised "at least $181 billion in new annual spending on middle-class tax cuts, health care and retirement and energy plans."
How would they pay for it all? Their prime source is repealing the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest households. What they don't acknowledge is that those tax cuts are already scheduled to expire in 2010, helping to eliminate the deficit. But if the money is going to be used to close the fiscal shortfall, it can't be used to pay for new programs.
Clinton says she intends not only to shower us with blessings but balance the budget. Can that be done? Of course—if she is prepared to raise taxes far more than she has let on.
If Democrats love spending money, Republicans love cutting taxes. Not so long ago, they assured us that lower taxes would inevitably force lower spending. In his time in office, though, President Bush has refuted that claim.
Since 2001, federal revenues have declined by 7 percent as a share of gross domestic product, while federal outlays have grown by 9 percent as a share of GDP. When you increase spending without increasing revenue, you aren't cutting taxes but raising them—for future taxpayers.
Things are not about to improve on the spending side, even if the GOP contenders were far more frugal than the incumbent. In fact, the retirement of the Baby Boomers, coupled with rising health care costs and other obligations, promises to make Bush look like Silas Marner.
Federal spending now amounts to less than 20 percent of our income. The Congressional Budget Office says that given current trends, it could rise to a whopping 56 percent of our income by 2050—more, on an annual basis, than we spent to win World War II.
But among the Republicans, only Fred Thompson has been willing to risk the wrath of the elderly by calling for a cut in the growth of Social Security benefits. The supposedly fearless John McCain targets pork-barrel goodies, which are only a small part of the problem. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee strenuously dodge the entitlement issue. No one is publishing lists of programs to be cancelled and departments to be razed.
This suggests a dismal lack of ambition. Less than a decade ago, the federal budget was not just balanced but piling up surpluses. Everyone agrees it was a great achievement. And everyone running for president seems to agree it should never happen again.
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"A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves money from the Public Treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most benefits from the Public Treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy always followed by dictatorship." From: "The Decline and Fall of the Athenian Republic".
But why should *we* have to make sacrifices. It should be the *corporations* who are taxed their fare share, so that *we* can have the things that all the *civilized* nations on earth have.
There's a lot of ways to get a balanced budget and I'm sure that
we'll hear a fair share of them in this thread, unfortunately, most
of them are impractical from a politic standpoint. Someone with the
balls to push through pension reform and get the government out of
education and health care would be a good start.
For Gaijin: Your argument/quote is wrong on a basic level, people
don't vote money out of the treasury and is there a democracy that
has ever ended in that way ?
The first is that expenditures are expected to rise. The
second is that revenues are scheduled to fall.
I think we're on the wrong end of the Laffer curve, here.
I know, joe's gonna kill me, but we need serious tax cuts and
program cuts across the board; the tax cuts stimulate growth for
future overlays, while the program cuts give us instant reduced
spending.
Somebody's gonna have to look some folks in the face and say "no
free goodies for you this year; mommy and daddy need to pay their
bills".
As Chapman alludes, the 800 lb gorilla in the corner isn't
discretionary spending, it's the entitlements. Either Ken Shultz or
the Commonsewer is where I heard it first, but I think you can
reform Social Security by treating it as a welfare program for the
elderly/disabled, something to prevent Gramps from having to eat
dog food at 75. As a welfare program, you can means test it, and
kick out everyone who doesn't need it to avoid starvation.
This is in addition to what will be tried: raising social security
taxes (that will be the first thing tried, guaranteed.); raising
eligibility ages, lowering payouts. This means of course, that many
people---boomers---will see no return from their lifetime of
contributions. To which I say, get in line with the rest of us. I
agree with the commentator I heard who said he'd gladly give up all
rights to the Soc. Sec. contributions he'd already made, if he was
allowed to cease future contributions to the system. He had as much
faith as I do---zero---that money would be there when we retire. So
means test Soc. Sec., which will leave a surplus, which will help
defray some of the other expenses of Gov't.
That puts the gorilla on a diet, but still leaves a good 500 lbs to
go: Medicare/Medicaid. I have no idea how you begin to pay off on
the promises already made on that sucker. Borrowing J sub D's
crystal ball, like Soc. Sec tweaks, it'll probably start with
raising taxes in an attempt to cover expenditures. Then will come
price controls. Doctors will not be paid above "X", and will be
prohibited from turning away M/M patients, as it will be re-defined
as age discrimination. I see Texas style malpractice "reform"
becoming national, in an attempt to cut costs. Google Proposition 2
for details.
Ultimately, the answer to Chapman's question will be that we simply
can't afford all of these expenditures and promises, and so we will
redefine what those promises actually say.
Absolutely - if entitlement spending continues to grow at the projected rate, cuts in defence and non-defence discretionary will be pissing on a forest fire. Public finance will be the key issue for the next administration... but will it recognise that? I wish I were more confident - hell, I wish I had any confidence at all.
But most of the presidential candidates would rather kiss
Dick Cheney on the lips than admit the need for Americans to accept
painful sacrifices.
Not quite accurate. The candidates are more than willing for us to
sacrifice earned income, civil rights, and personal liberty. But I
suppose they don't consider those "painful."
Either Ken Shultz or the Commonsewer is where I heard it first,
but I think you can reform Social Security by treating it as a
welfare program for the elderly/disabled, something to prevent
Gramps from having to eat dog food at 75.
I'm afraid any government run by the two major parties is far more
likely to ban dog food.
But why should *we* have to make sacrifices. It should be
the *corporations* who are taxed their fare share, so that *we* can
have the things that all the *civilized* nations on earth
have.
After all, it's the *corporations* that benefit from public
expenditures for infrastructure, like power generation and
interstate transportation, so they may power their factories and
move goods and services to their customers.
And isn't it the *corporations* that benefit disproportionately
from a public education system? After all, the student *might* get
an education, but the corporation is guaranteed a pool of
literate and numerate, basically obedient and well-socialized
potential employees.
If the government provides health insurance and retirement
insurance, that means that *corporations* don't have to, and since
health care is guaranteed, that means that employees will stay on
average healthier and thus more productive.
As you can tell, I find the standard libertarian response to
corporate taxation to be, eh, *stupid*.
. Then will come price controls. Doctors will not be paid
above "X"
Government price "ceilings" have a funny way of becoming "floors."
That's where a great deal of price inflation in medical costs came
from in the first place, I believe. Rationing of "free" health care
is not only inevitable but beneficial in the aggregate.
How many measles shots and similar sorts of basic high-return
procedures are we willing to forego in order to provide a liver
transplant for a single comatose leukemia patient?
As you can tell, I find the standard libertarian response to
corporate taxation to be, eh, *stupid*.
I wish I'd coined this. "Corporations don't pat taxes, corporations
collect taxes." Wherever and whenever I read/heard that it struck
me as an obvious truth. Rebuttals?
Your argument/quote is wrong on a basic level, people don't
vote money out of the treasury and is there a democracy that has
ever ended in that way ?
As to the first objection, I am satisfied that the quote is
accurate if, in a representative democracy, the people vote
themselves money out of the Public Treasury via representatives who
campaign on this basis.
As to the second, you know, offhand, I can't think of any. The
democracies that have fallen have fallen either to invasion from
outside or to internal revolution, with the revolutionaries
generally promising to spend the Public Treasury on, you guessed
it, The Peepul.
After all, it's the *corporations* that benefit from public
expenditures for infrastructure, like power generation and
interstate transportation, so they may power their factories and
move goods and services to their customers.
They don't benefit any more than indiviudals do from public
infrastructure. Why should they pay a disproportionate share for
it, which payments will only be passed on to their customers
anyway?
And isn't it the *corporations* that benefit disproportionately
from a public education system? After all, the student *might* get
an education, but the corporation is guaranteed a pool of literate
and numerate, basically obedient and well-socialized potential
employees.
How do corporations benefit from education more than the people who
are actually educated. Those folks not only get the intangible
benefits of education, they also get better jobs and, indirectly, a
wealthier economy to live in?
And, again, taxing corporations disproportionately will only result
in the extra cost being passed on, etc.
If the government provides health insurance and retirement
insurance, that means that *corporations* don't have to, and since
health care is guaranteed, that means that employees will stay on
average healthier and thus more productive.
If you think corporations will not continue to offer benefits in
excess of the state minimum, you are sadly mistaken. After all, we
have had Social Security for generations, yet during that entire
period the private sector has continued to offer pension and
retirement benefits.
Really, though, the fundamental objection is that taxes on
corporations are indirect taxes of consumers. Because they are
passed on as the cost of goods and services, they are functionally
equivalent to a sales tax (which tend to be regressive). I am
always amused by progressives pushing regressive tax schemes.
Elemenope -
I wasn't advocating lower corporate taxes at the expense of others.
I was merely trying to make the point that somehow outrageous
spending is seen as affordable as long as its direct source is
somewhere other than our own pockets.
Of course *we* can have universal health care. We'll just make the
wealthy people pay for it for everyone!
Also, I should point out that it goes both ways. Why should I, as a
business owner/operator, be forced to pay into systems which I
don't wish to use any more than a private citizen is? Public higher
education is a huge government subsidy to business, but what if I
had a business for which there was no program of *study* in higher
education and both had to pay in-part for the training of everyone
else's employees and in-full for my own?
Also, I concur with P Brooks that price ceilings become price floors, or at the very least, pricing points.
I'm a fan of private retirement accounts. Having said that, from
a fiscal perspective they might actually make things worse. You'll
still need to pay benefits to those retired and retiring under the
old system, but you'll miss the money of "contributors" who switch
to the private system. It could be like cutting the wrong wire of
the fiscal time bomb.
And while we're at it, can someone explain why there is a cap on
taxable wages at all? It seems like there would be strong
bipartisan consensus in doing away with them, even with things
going smoothly: Liberals would be appalled at such blatant
regressivity, and conservatives would be more than happy to give up
the cap in exchange for a lower rate.
Chapman says "none" of the candidates talk about gutting
departments or programs.
ER,Steve--Ron Paul talks constantly about gutting the military
industrial complex, the medical industrial complex, the Departments
of Education, Energy and Commerce, etc.
Oh, right! He's not cosmopolitan enough! I forgot!
people don't vote money out of the treasury and is there a
democracy that has ever ended in that way ?
One could argue that the federal republic structure of the US was,
for all intents and purposes, destroyed by just such an event in
the elections of 1932, and replaced by a totally different form of
govt with power concentrated in the national govt.
Much as I'm sure I'll be flamed for saying this, health care costs would drop a lot if we repealed the federal laws prohibiting ERs from turning patients away.
Also, while people voting money out of the treasury may not be the immediate cause of a democracy's fall, it is sure to weaken the society by perverting the economic system (why work when you can just sit at home and collect welfare?), making such a democracy ripe for invasion or overthrow.
Reinmoose --
Oh, I know, and I agree; we should buy only what we can pay for,
and the money collected for different social and infrastructural
projects should not be disguised through indirect taxation.
However, I maintain that corporations are as entities, on average,
greater *direct* beneficiaries of public expenditures than any
average collection of citizens who compose them, and yet they are
not taxed proportionately to that benefit.
RCD --
Really, though, the fundamental objection is that taxes on
corporations are indirect taxes of consumers. Because they are
passed on as the cost of goods and services, they are functionally
equivalent to a sales tax (which tend to be regressive).
That would only be a useful argument if salaries increased
proportionately to corporate profits (they don't). Instead, past
behavior indicates that the relative economic benefits of lower
corporate taxes would benefit only a small minority of corporate
agents and stockholders (i.e. corporations are capital 'sponges',
which distribute net profits away from the consumable market) at
the expense of employees *and* customers (who, by-and-large, are
employees of a similar corporation).
The regressiveness only comes into play because market pressures
are insufficient to incentivize corporate reinvestment in employees
/consumers directly (that is, in a manner that encourages lateral
consumption) such as increased salaries and lower prices or goods.
Instead, market pressures are valved out by corporations by raising
the price of goods; this is a choice they make willingly, and is
not inevitably a consequence of corporate tax hikes, per se.
health care costs would drop a lot if we repealed the
federal laws prohibiting ERs from turning patients away.
We could allow evil corporashuns to open Kwik E Kare facilities
which could alleviate the need for people to use the ER as a
doctor's office. But what would Mayor Menino say?
P Brooks,
That also helps, but I'm thinking more of the people who use the ER
as a *free* doctor's office, which the Kwik E Kare won't substitute
for.
Windtell:
For Gaijin: Your argument/quote is wrong on a basic level,
people don't vote money out of the treasury and is there a
democracy that has ever ended in that way ?
Honestly, I don;t think the quote is even real...but as to the idea
of voting money out fo the treasury, it doesn;t take much to infer
the relationship between the treasury and voting for pols who
promise your special interest some entitlement paid out of the
treasury (e.g., healthcare, education)for the "quote" to be
logical/relevant.
I think Crimethink and RCDean make valid points unnecessary of
repetition regarding the implications.
Less than a decade ago, the federal budget was not just
balanced but piling up surpluses.
Although looking at the data, the
deficit reduced in each year of the Clinton administration, that
was a happy windfall caused by the tremendous run-up in the stock
and real estate markets and general economic growth, not by sound
fiscal planning.
And we've had exactly 5 years of surpluses in the past 46.
interesting (to me) question related to the corporate tax
thing:
Could we (effectively) institute the fair tax by eliminating the
individual income tax and upping the corporate tax (the question
about S corps becomes big at this point, not that I would mind
passing thru my profits to me at a 0% tax rate. However, if Im
forced to become a C corp, I sure as hell am raising my base salary
to something more reasonable).
This gets around all the fair tax arguments but does become a sales
tax on corporations basically, especially if it is a fairly flat
rate.
I agree with you, Crimethink, but the minimal infrastructure
requirements combined with General Practitioner's office -style
staff, of Kwik E Kare make it more likely to be affordable, even
for the "self-insured."
There will inevitably be some people who will spend a full day in
the ER waiting for an aspirin and a band-aid, just so they can skip
out on the bill.
How would they pay for it all? Their prime source is repealing the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest households. What they don't acknowledge is that those tax cuts are already scheduled to expire in 2010, helping to eliminate the deficit. But if the money is going to be used to close the fiscal shortfall, it can't be used to pay for new programs.
But...but...John Edwards says repealing the tax cuts will eliminate
the deficit! And give us universal healthcare! And energy
independence! And more Social Security benefits! And a prepetual
motion machine! And a lifetime supply of Sierra Nevada Pale Ale for
everyone!/snark
I should point out, ex post, that there is a way out of the
quandary of corporate sponging (which has already been proposed in
legislation by, of all people, Ron Paul and Dennis Kucinich). That
is encouraging through the tax-system the formation of
employee-owned corporations. It is the only way to guarantee that
as profits go up, the income is distributed back into the consumer
market.
What Paul and Kucinich proposed was essentially huge tax-breaks for
corporations that do some significant form of direct profit sharing
at all levels of the corporation. That, in addition to a decently
high base corporate tax rate, would reduce the regressiveness of a
high corporate tax.
this is gonna seem petty, but I think it's important.
"Barack Obama, according to a November analysis in the McClatchy
newspapers, has promised 'at least $181 billion in new annual
spending on middle-class tax cuts, health care and retirement and
energy plans.'"
Tax cuts ARE NOT spending. I would hope Reason would get this
right.
Tax cuts ARE NOT spending. I would hope Reason would get this right.
If they don't come attatched to spending cuts, they're just as bad
as spending.
Cesar,
They are just as bad "on the deficit" as spending (unless of course
we are on the other side of the laffer curve, in which case, never
mind) but they are not just as bad as spending.
They are just as bad "on the deficit" as spending (unless of course we are on the other side of the laffer curve, in which case, never mind) but they are not just as bad as spending.
They lead to more spending by increasing the size of our debt,
meaning we get stuck with bigger and bigger interest payments which
is spending.
If met with spending cuts in an equal amount, however, tax cuts are
great.
Of course, for the voting money out of the treasury, the
relationship between people voting for pol's and the pol's granting
pork projects is obvious, but "the people" still can't vote the
money out, which is a good thing because there's lots of greedy
folk out there.
I don't think welfare quite qualifies as this as well, although I
don't want you to think that I'm a fan of welfare. As for the sit
at home and collect welfare for a living, I remember I got about
$500 a month when I was on welfare for a couple months, I'd rather
go out and make something of myself, as would 99% of people out
there I'm sure.
When I was going to Bizniss Skool, the cool kids all said,
"Paying dividends is like an admission to the stockholders- that
is, the people you work for- that they might be just as smart as
you. This is unacceptable; if you cannot avoid paying a dividend,
it should be as small as possible." I suspect this still is the
case.
As much as I am in favor of eliminating the corporate income tax,
this is a problem. Taxing earnings which are passed through to the
owners only works if those earnings are actually passed through.
But I'd be willing to give it a shot.
Public higher education is a huge government subsidy to
business,
Reinmoose,
I think this is a sweeping statement. Private entities on the
national average educate children at around half the cost with much
better results. So if you split the excessive cost 25% personal
income tax and 25% corporate tax you still get the same result.
While corp tax hurts profits, 25% increase in tax on the consumer
shrinks potential markets.
Secondly the quality of the education is so poor that you have
people routinely say the vowel o for the numeral 0. If you talk to
the average people in your day to day life, some of them need a
dictionary. Think about how much of Higher Education is spent in
remedial studies. The Cost that adds to getting the degree. I would
love to see what that number comes out to.
Since the government guarantees payment through various programs to
universities you see something interesting. People are now getting
degrees in things like Philosophy, so they can think deep thoughts
about unemployment. Instead of say something in computer technology
or some sort of engineering. Also if you compare what the
government pays federally to a university to what say a Trust does
when they offer a grant to the university, you can see anywhere
from 300 to 500% differences in charges. Which again is a cost that
nomatter who is passed onto hurts corporations.
So now corporations have to go to places like India, who has a much
larger silicon valley than we do, and compete for human capital.
Competing not only with corporations in the USA, but globally, to
find someone to write that computer code required to be written
overnight.
Looking forward to your reply..
And think of how much time, energy, and cash would be freed up
by removing the perverse incentives currently embodied in the tax
code for corporations.
I like efficiency.
And while we're at it, can someone explain why there is a
cap on taxable wages at all?
The idea was that since there is a maximum SS yearly payout, then
they should tax only the salaries up to a certain point to give the
appearance of contributing to a retirement savings account
(otherwise, it would appear too much like a redistribution of
wealth).
It seems like there would be strong bipartisan consensus in
doing away with them, even with things going smoothly: Liberals
would be appalled at such blatant regressivity, and conservatives
would be more than happy to give up the cap in exchange for a lower
rate.
The rate would have to be a whole lot less for conservatives to be
happy with it. Someone making $200K/year (in 2007) would
effectively pay a rate of 6.1% (because of the cap at $97,500)
instead of the current 12.4%. Someone making $1M/year has an
effective SS tax rate of 1.2%
Raising the eligibility age for SS/Medicare would seem to be the
most politically palatable solution, since you could "grandfather
in" anyone who is already on the dole and make the age go up
gradually to appease people who are counting on getting on the dole
soon.
Personally, I think we're going continue to ride this train right
over the broken tracks into the canyon. It will cause a collapse of
the American financial system and it will be the 1930's all over
again.
Social Security- *blood red lettering* What you don't know can
kill you!
We're never gonna pay that 35 trillion we promised for social
security. I'm sure they'll raise the age. I'm sure they'll cut
benefits. I think they'll lift that stupid income cap for those who
receive SS. It basically discourages you from having a livable wage
on the side. For instance: if you make over 12,000 a year, they
begin to deduct specific percentages off your check. It's punishing
people for being productive!!!
I don't see anything wrong with someone below 25 paying 6% to
Social Security and 6% however they want. With the understanding
that they wouldn't see the 6% contributed to Social Security. We
could call it the: "Because Grandpa and Grandma are blood sucking
parasites Fund." Once you hit 25 you could determine how you wanted
to allocate the 6% you were contributing to SS.
The Idea that Medicare is going to go unmolested is also a joke.
Soon Doctors will be allowed to perform free services to medicare
patients without being charged with a felony. As stated before the
Dr's Fees schedules will go down or become "Fixed." I think you're
going to see Medicare Drug programs start to use generic drugs(a
lil neo-mercantilism: no generic drugs can be used in that bill at
this time).I think you're gonna see the government start to also
look at the licensing of generic drugs more "broadly" so that
pharmaceuticals can't buy them all.
Medicaid will start to fade away in my opinion. Most of the 300
Billion(7% growth annually at this moment) is going to "Acute
Longterm Care(nursing homes)." Which is Baby Boomer code for "Cold
Apathetic Discarding of the Greatest Generation." Of course the
self centered baby boomers will never allow themselves to be herded
into homes and forced to swallow meds while secretly wishing for
the dignity to die with comfort. So you can expect a substantial
drop in Medicaid.
Personally, I think we're going continue to ride this train right over the broken tracks into the canyon. It will cause a collapse of the American financial system and it will be the 1930's all over again.
Hooray! I can put my Y2K supplies to good use.
From The Keystrokes of John Q. Public -
All excellent points. It was perhaps a sweeping statement, but I
still stand behind it to a degree. Also please note that I put
forward that the education subsidy was not universal and in-fact
hurt at least some companies.
A subsidy doesn't have to be efficient in order to be a subsidy,
does it? The quality of the resulting work-force decreases as state
involvement in education increases - agreed. Should (especially)
higher education have been left purely to private entities, we
would not have this ridiculous spike in college attendance and
sense of urgency that *everyone* needs to go to college to have a
decent life. This push leads to a lot of uninspiring people
obtaining degrees that certify them as inspired, eventually
perverting the private economy after a couple of generations.
Think about how much of Higher Education is spent in remedial
studies
Worse! Higher Education spends a lot of time ignoring that they
have remedial students.
So ultimately, the whole system is screwed. It would be interesting
to actually see some numbers on the effect of government-run
schools on corporate profits, but with so many levels of
interference and subsidy, it's almost impossible to
calculate.
Incompetent people hire incompetent people, because they can relate
to each other. Incompetent teachers teach incompetently to create
incompetent people, who can hire other people based on the same
incompetent criteria they were held to. This cycle of egos will
ultimately lead to the downfall of the economy. It's really a
wonder how anything gets successfully invented at all, and it must
be a function of sheer volume of attempts.
To try to stay on topic, there is an entire government-aided
industry for everyone to pay for poor-quality training of the work
force. Additionally, the trend is such that the employee
him/herself subsidizes their eventual employer by taking on the
costs of training, except that the training isn't specific to their
eventual employer's needs, so there is a lot of waste. This does
not mean, however, that the corporation is not subsidized. It
simply means that, given your choice between paying 100% of your
employee's training costs even though you're already paying taxes
for 90% of their necessary training or paying only the remaining
10% of your employee's training (to clean up the specifics that
public education missed) in addition to your existing taxes, you
take the subsidy whether it's optimal or not.
Did that make sense?
It is the only way to guarantee that as profits go up, the
income is distributed back into the consumer market.
I'm not sure it makes any difference. If profits are distributed to
rich people, they are either spent (in the consumer market, good
for the economy) or invested (in the capital markets, also good for
the economy in a different way).
Taxing those profits, though, is worse for the economy than either
cycling them through rich people or working people. Surely we can
all agree on that.
There is one canidate who is sending the message of reducing
government spending by reducing government.
You can't effectively reduce government spending without reducing
the size of the government.
Look and you shall find..
John
Did that make sense?
Dear Reinmoose,
*hits buzzer*
Yes? haha
R C Dean-
I'm not sure it makes any difference. If profits are
distributed to rich people, they are either spent (in the consumer
market, good for the economy) or invested (in the capital markets,
also good for the economy in a different way).
The first is guaranteed to stimulate the economy, and actual
consumption stimulates capital investment that is inherently stable
(compared to others, at least.)
The problem with direct capital investment is that the article of
faith that all capital investments stimulate the economy is flatly
wrong. Capital investment in proportion to total demand for product
is healthy (but naturally follows from increasing consumer
dollars), but the essentially surplus capital that enters the
coffers of the "rich" dur to corporate investment is not restrained
by the need to match production demand when it is reinvested.
Hence, there are many ways to invest money that are either
unproductive economically or actually destructive, like currency
arbitrage and hedge funding. These inherently unstable investments
encourage inflation of currencies (since even the most robust
fractional reserve system is vulnerable to a run that it cannot
cover) and destruction of markets, harming existing productivity of
capital and driving consumption downwards.
I agree with your statement that taxing this surplus is not helpful
directly, as government is excessively wasteful in redistribution;
however, coupled with incentives in the form of tax breaks for
redistributing the surplus capital to the direct consumers to
spend, a high corporate tax can encourage a steady growth of
consumer demand and encourage more stable (read: sane) investment
patterns.
Much as I'm sure I'll be flamed for saying this, health care
costs would drop a lot if we repealed the federal laws prohibiting
ERs from turning patients away.
Kaiser Hospital near me remodeled their ER to be vehicle accessible
only. An urgent care facility was opened next door.
The cochtopus and his cosmotarians have abandoned Ron once again. Heres a budget saver you assholes. STOP INVADING OTHER COUNTRIES!
Someone said it above: "Corporations don't pay taxes, they
collect taxes."
I'm just amazed that there are still people who believe that
"corporations" actually pay taxes. It's (sadly) hilarious that so
many have so little idea of how businesses run...as if they had a
big, secret vault into which they can be grudgingly arm-twisted
into dipping to pay "their fair share."
If you haven't learned by now how corporate taxes get paid, then I
suppose it's too late for you--unless you're a high school student
reading Reason in order to add to your term paper's bibliography.
Here's how corporations 'pay' taxes:
1. They spend less on capital re-investments, which lowers
productivity, lowers the U.S. GDP, and puts employees out of a job,
or reduces the hiring of entry level employees
2. They spend less on benefits and employee programs, which makes
employees either go without, or pay for them out of their own
earnings
3. They pay employees lower wages than they would otherwise
4. They make lower returns on invested capital, giving investors
incentives to move their investments to higher return (lower taxed)
locales (overseas)
5. They charge higher prices for their goods and services, reducing
demand and, again, lowering U.S. GDP
So, next time do not ask for whom the corporate taxman's bell
tolls: it tolls for thee.
The difference between a 'tax and spend' Democrat and a 'borrow
and spend' Republican is lost on me. Either way it is spending and,
by any standard, spending way too much. Is decreasing current
resources that could remain in productive use (tax-spend)really
worse than borrow-spend where you pay later + interest?
Vowing to tax the 'rich' is a joke if by rich you mean high income
earners. Wealth does not equal wealth. Income is earned, wealth is
invested. Taxing and spending current income, whether for
'programs' or debt service simply destroys what could have been
investable wealth.
The revenue side of federal, state and local spending is not the
problem. It is expenditures that are ruing this nation and its
citizens. Do not look to either Democrats or Republicans to
understand. They are co-opted via vote buying. How to solve this
and remain free?
I was going to mention a candidate whose initials are R.P., but
he's evidently not a "contender." And what does one have to do in
order to be considered a contender? Why, he/she has to be Santa
Claus! Presents under the tree for everyone. Don't ask how they get
there.
We could dismantle the American empire and phase out the welfare
state over the next 10-20 years, but that doesn't win presidential
elections. So I guess we will follow in the path of all previous
imperial powers and implode from within.
Or you could vote for Ron Paul before it's too late.
"And everyone running for president seems to agree it should
never happen again."
Not 'everyone' agrees with that, Ron Paul vehemently disagrees with
that.
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