Bush's Truman Show
George Bush's Oval Office speech suggested it. And his 60 Minutes performance cinched it: The increased deployment of American troops to Iraq is principally about showing the world that George Bush is still in charge. Congress may have changed hands, but Bush has not changed his mind.
On the surface this effort may look like clumsy agitprop. After all, inviting the old-guard yet still potent network news mag along for an exclusive walk in the woods with the president to hear the president insist he doesn't care what anyone thinks is a little transparent. But the dodgy staging has had the desired effect on the rest of the world.
For example, a BCC headline
reads, "Bush stands firm over Iraq policy," while an L.A.
Times
dispatch read, "Congress can't stop buildup, Bush says." The
latter is an important consideration for foreign audiences more
familiar with parliamentary government. They might have expected
the November election to have had some impact on the American
executive branch. Message: Not a chance.
Another major theme is reflected in a
headline out of Australia, "Bush warns Iran to keep clear of
Iraq." A huge part of Bush's target audience is the ruling class in
Tehran. In keeping with the consistent Bush administration theme
that the Middle East must always be dealt with via grand gestures
of strength, Bush is making it clear that on his word alone America
can and will send 20,000 troops to war on Iran's doorstep. Another
aircraft carrier to the Persian Gulf wouldn't be much trouble,
either.
And if
critics see Bush bunkering down LBJ style circa 1968 or Richard
Nixon taking a war next door via executive order, it is clear the
Bush team draws inspiration not from the messy narrative of the
Vietnam war, but from the righteously linear conflict in Korea. The
bad guys attacked, the U.S. and its allies responded, had some
initial success, then some setbacks, even some command troubles,
but stayed the course and rallied for, if not victory, at least a
respectable draw.
Harry Truman,
like Bush, was very unpopular among domestic audiences while he
has trying to prosecute a limited, preventative war in a far-off,
strange land. Like Truman, Bush is absolutely convinced that
America is fighting an ideological struggle against an implacable
foe. But Truman had the bad luck to fight his war while trying to
run a presidential campaign. His political career crashed and
burned in a New Hampshire primary. Bush has no such notoriously
picky and feckless audience left to win over.
And if you squint very hard
toward Somalia you can also see the outlines of a Bush
administration flanking maneuver. Nowhere near as direct and bold
as Douglas MacArthur's landings at Inchon, but alike in that both
seek to use tremendous American resources in air and naval power to
reach beyond stagnated front lines and surprise an outclassed
foe.
Unfortunately for Bush, a more nimble, global response also recalls
the road not taken. The March 2003 invasion of Iraq did not have to
have regime change as its primary objective. Any perceived terror
or WMD threat to the U.S. could have been neutralized without
reference to American responsibility for running the entire
country.
Instead, Bush took on the role of a 19th century
balance-of-power imperialist. America would raise up, tacitly at first, an Arab
Shiite counterbalance to Iran's Persian Shiite power. Now subtlety
is out the window when it comes to Iraq. The U.S stands squarely
the middle with a Shiite government, trying to shield it from a
Sunni insurgency while keeping even more radical Shiite elements at
arm's length.
Oddly enough, if you follow the Bush script, this is where the
rally begins. Like his generals in Baghdad, Bush is ringed
with enemies in Washington. Bush doesn't find this daunting. He
finds it liberating -- comforting even. He finally has the conflict
out in the open, with all the threads coming together for a final
act.
No wonder Bush can tell his audience with such conviction, "I'm
blessed to be the president."