If some environmentalists have their way, writes physicist Russell Seitz, turning fossil fuels into controlled substances today will lead to outright carbon prohibition tomorrow.
New at Reason: Russell Seitz on Less Than Zero Carbon Emissions
Comments to "New at Reason: Russell Seitz on Less Than Zero Carbon Emissions":
Elemenope | July 23, 2008, 12:17pm | #
So...What I'm curious about is, where are they on producing catalyst-driven CO2 converters like we were promised in SimEarth?
Cause if that would be cheaper and quicker than reducing everyone's carbon share to an idiotic amount, why not go that way instead? The R&D may be expensive but it's practically guaranteed to be less expensive than the alternatives.
squarooticus | July 23, 2008, 12:23pm | #
Cause if that would be cheaper and quicker than reducing everyone's carbon share to an idiotic amount, why not go that way instead?Assuming it's possible...
That's not virtuous. You are a bad person for using so much energy. STOP USING ENERGY, damn you! You need to conserve simply because it's the right thing to do.
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 12:26pm | #
That's not virtuous. You are a bad person for using so much energy. STOP USING ENERGY, damn you! You need to conserve simply because it's the right thing to do.[sigh]
LMNOP,
I do think that co2 sequestering is going to be part of the solution.
As for Seitz's article?
Meh.
Not a very serious analysis.
Elemenope | July 23, 2008, 12:34pm | #
Personally, I think we could take a crack at it just by ramping up Arbor Day into a 24/7 365 day sort of thing. We got millions of acres of unused federal land, we got seeds, we got a veritable army of enslaveable sixteen-year olds. Let's get some fucking trees up! They're like little solar-powered CO2 scrubbers.Scratch that. They ARE little solar-powered CO2 scrubbers.
Naga Sadow | July 23, 2008, 12:37pm | #
Elemenope,I like your style. Enslave sixteen year olds for tree planting . . . what about lawn care? I hate mowing my yard. Whats your platform?
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 12:39pm | #
LMNOP,Yeah, even if all we do is replace the 1 Billion acres of forest that we've cut down in the last 200 years in the lower 48.
(to be fair, we're up about 1 Billion acres since the lowest point)
jtuf | July 23, 2008, 12:39pm | #
Circa 1.5 million years ago, humans discovered fire. Today, concerned citizens fight to undo that historic wrong.Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 12:41pm | #
Regarding plants as co2 scrubbers.How many acres of roof-top are there in cities world wide?
Who doesn't like a rooftop garden?
Tim Lambert | July 23, 2008, 12:41pm | #
What an utterly stupid article. It reminds of stuff by peak oil alarmists that can't conceive of fuel sources other than oil.thoreau | July 23, 2008, 12:44pm | #
It reminds of stuff by peak oil alarmists that can't conceive of fuel sources other than oil.Oooh, I like this comment! Comparing the opponents of reducing CO2 emissions to the Peak Oil crowd is a master stroke.
(This comment should not be construed as an endorsement of mandatory reductions in CO2 emission, merely an appreciation of Tim Lambert comparing two groups that are often at odds.)
Wake me up when someone has a reasonable proposal for meaningful CO2 reduction that doesn't involve shattering the US economy and invading China and India to destroy their manufacturing base and turn them back into subsistence farmers.
Elemenope | July 23, 2008, 12:53pm | #
Circa 1.5 million years ago, humans discovered fire. Today, concerned citizens fight to undo that historic wrong.Fucking LOL!
re: my (half-facetious) platform
Drop the voting age to 14, and then pass legislation that before you can vote, you must plant a tree; I don't give a damn where. (This goes for each time you want to cast a vote, see. That's like two dozen per person per election).
Arm everyone, with quality of arms inversely proportional to net worth. That'll balance out to an equilibrium quickly, though perhaps messily; gives a new meaning to 'enlightened self-interest!.
Abolish the federal reserve and bring back a barter system. Whittling classes will be offered.
A home in every computer! (Wait a minute...)
I'm sure I could think of more.
Josh | July 23, 2008, 12:58pm | #
If the environmentalists would support nuclear power instead of feel-good solar and wind generators that barely work, we wouldn't have this problem.MP | July 23, 2008, 12:59pm | #
Lot's of nice ideas Neu, but nothing that satisfies the IPCC criteria of the reduction required to solve global warming.zzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 1:01pm | #
Nuclear power is part of the mix.I say this as an environmentalists.
It is not, however, the silver bullet that Josh makes it out to be.
It is a non-renewable source with significant fuel extraction issues.
It also suffers from being a large point-source power generation model.
Distributed power generation/decentralized systems will take care of a large chunk of the problem moving forward.
Art | July 23, 2008, 1:07pm | #
Old Idea:Carbon based life forms good.
New Idea:
Carbon based life forms bad.
CO2 + Plant food
J sub D | July 23, 2008, 1:10pm | #
What I'm curious about is, where are they on producing catalyst-driven CO2 converters like we were promised in SimEarth?I am a dull and simple lad, but it seems to me that to turn CO2 into carbon and oxygen it would require just as much energy (actually more) as was yielded by combining the two. IIRC, CO2 is fairly inert and does not readily combine* with other substances without an energy input. Chemists, what combines with CO2 without an energy input?
* I think it will combine with fluorine, but getting that requires an energy input as well.
Patrick | July 23, 2008, 1:12pm | #
How about we just let the price of fossil fuel get high enough that clean renewable sources can beat the coal price? Oh and let's remove the petroleum and coal subsidies too.Include the war premium we pay while you are at it.
The opportunity is to have this goal- make fossil fuels like salt- a cheap commodity we used to go to war over.
Now we can't make oil more abundant, or coal less damaging to earth and air, but we can take advantage of the huge amount of solar and kinetic energy that surrounds us, and get rich converting it. Between kinetic and solar there is more energy on the surface of the planet every day than in all the known oil reserves. All of the energy the US needs daily falls in 103 sq miles. The best PV today requires 10,000 sq miles of collection. Just put it over every parking lot in the country and have capacity to spare. Plenty of room for improved optimization. Ten square miles of kinetic generation from passing ocean swell is estimated to be enough to power all of California. We have a garbage gyre 5000 times that size.
Also, make the feds use their consumption for direction of policy. If the US government made commitments to buy the cleanest power available. Start with the most available today and have zero carbon be the goal. Don't legislate technology, but results.
Elemenope | July 23, 2008, 1:17pm | #
I am a dull and simple lad, but it seems to me that to turn CO2 into carbon and oxygen it would require just as much energy (actually more) as was yielded by combining the two. IIRC, CO2 is fairly inert and does not readily combine* with other substances without an energy input. Chemists, what combines with CO2 without an energy input?No, you're right. It was a lead-up to the "trees!" shtick. But more seriously, someone could use solar or geothermal as their energy sources for such a project, and still come out carbon-negative, if you could get the efficiencies up.
Gilbert Martin | July 23, 2008, 1:31pm | #
So the eco-socialist wackos want us all to convert to "alternative" energy, eh?Allrighty then.
We should round all of them up and grind them up into little pieces to use as fuel to generate elecricity.
Now THAT'S some alternative energy!
Elemenope | July 23, 2008, 1:41pm | #
Now THAT'S some alternative energy!Mmm. Smells like Soylent Green. And Soylent Green, of course, tastes like bacon. Win!
J sub D | July 23, 2008, 1:54pm | #
No, you're right. It was a lead-up to the "trees!" shtick. But more seriously, someone could use solar or geothermal as their energy sources for such a project, and still come out carbon-negative, if you could get the efficiencies up.Why use carbon at all then? Carbon combustion = X energy. Breaking down CO2 requires > X energy.
Don't worry about burning oil folks. It will soon (30 years?) be so expensive that simple economics will replace it with something else. On the other hand, coal is plentiful and will remain cheap.
Gilbert Martin | July 23, 2008, 2:00pm | #
"On the other hand, coal is plentiful and will remain cheap."And it can also be used to make synthetic gasoline.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 2:09pm | #
Why use carbon at all then? Carbon combustion = X energy. Breaking down CO2 requires > X energy.First, it may be more efficient to convert solar energy into CO2 sequestration than it is to convert solar energy into electricity. Think, for instance, of bioengineered algae or nanotech CO2 adsorbers.
Second, it may be more efficient to convert solar energy into CO2 sequestration than it is to convert solar energy into motive power. The path from solar energy to electric grid to batteries to electric motors may be less cost effective than simply burning gas to run cars and using the sun to sequester the resulting carbon.
Finally, and most importantly, CO2 sequestration can happen anywhere. So you can do it in the Nevada desert where you can maximize the availability of sunlight yet where you can't do anything else of particular use.
Imperialist | July 23, 2008, 2:10pm | #
Nuclear Winter is the solution to Global Warming. We just need to pick a target.patrick | July 23, 2008, 2:16pm | #
Oil and coal are the 'alternatives' to the original energy falling on your head all day. The problem with nuclear is that a very successful installation passes overhead everyday and mocks you, giving you more than you need for free. All fossil fuels were once sunshine derivatives. That makes them just the next best thing after burning wood. Why burn at all? Burning is unnecessary except for the pleasure it gives you pyros.Coal isn't cheap, when you cost the price of clean air or loss of a mountain top. Oh, your economics is inadequate to include the value of things like clean air or fish without mercury in it? Hmm. What can be done about that market heads? Unless you want carbon cap regulation, you need a way to account for the value of common necessary assets, like air and water.
The laws of chemistry and physics are set. Economics is just a matter of changing your mind- something that you 'must burn to live' folk seem to be out of practice at.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 2:28pm | #
The problem with nuclear is that a very successful installation passes overhead everyday and mocks you, giving you more than you need for free.If it's free, why does the state of California give homeowners $20,000 to take advantage of it, after which they still don't break even for more than two decades? Looking at who actually uses that program, it is nothing but a subsidy for the rich. Why must the state subsidize rich homeowners for something that is free?
The laws of chemistry and physics are set. Economics is just a matter of changing your mind
Uh, no. Economics, or, as you are using it here, breaking the laws of economics, requires changing the minds of a good number of other people, generally through the application of force.
Regardless, no matter how many minds he could change or, failing that, render irrelevant, Stalin couldn't change the laws of economics any more than he could change the laws of physics or chemistry.
patrick | July 23, 2008, 2:56pm | #
"why does the state of California give homeowners $20,000 to take advantage of it"It's free the same way coal and oil are free- it just costs to turn it into something you can use in this society.
" Economics, or, as you are using it here, breaking the laws of economics, requires changing the minds of a good number of other people, generally through the application of force."
In California, 30 years ago, they changed the business model for utilities to decouple production from profit. Since a KW/hr costs about 6.5 cents to constantly generate and only 2.5 cents to save, they made it possible for the utilities to make money by buying the cheaper efficiencies available in better appliances etc. That wasn't 'force'. The result is that per capita energy use in California is at the same level it was then, while in the rest of the USA it has gone up 50%. No broken heads, just changed local PUC regs.
Thinking that force err Stalin, is the model for changing economics suggests that you lack imagination and shouldn't be in a conversation about new ways of doing things. Maybe start with remodeling a kitchen. Don't borrow to do it. Check back here in a year or so.
Show me the economist who, in 1989, had one dollar of growth in their projections for the next decade about the internet. You can't only look back.
We have to know history, but it isn't a set of boundaries we can't exceed.
Gotta go.
Regardless, no matter how many minds he could change or, failing that, render irrelevant, Stalin couldn't change the laws of economics any more than he could change the laws of physics or chemistry.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 3:08pm | #
In California, 30 years ago, they changed the business model for utilities to decouple production from profit.In Ukraine 80 years ago, they changed the business model for farms to decouple production from profit.
I will grant that rolling blackouts aren't quite the same as mass starvation, but actions have effects. When the state sticks its nose into markets by, say, changing business models to make production unprofitable, people shouldn't be surprised to see shortfalls in production.
Since a KW/hr costs about 6.5 cents to constantly generate and only 2.5 cents to save, they made it possible for the utilities to make money by buying the cheaper efficiencies available in better appliances etc. That wasn't 'force'.
If it wasn't "force", then why did the state have to change the business model? Why did the utilities not do it themselves?
Or maybe your "they" is the utilities, not the state. If so, good for them.
DannyK | July 23, 2008, 3:45pm | #
What a disappointment. I thought an actual scientist would have come up with better arguments than the Rush Limbaugh stuff about destroying the economy and not being able to roast turkeys.Please follow this up with an economist who talks only about the physics of climate change, so that the parade of ignorance will be complete.
mediageek | July 23, 2008, 4:23pm | #
On the carbon sequestration front, there's a guy who's claiming to have designed a "synthetic tree" that captures atmospheric carbon, and stores it for later use.CO2 Extractor.
It's an interesting idea.
Sorry but how is it reasonable to compare the 1920's prohibition on alcohol with today's environmental crisis?
One reason that comes to mind: because you used the word 'crisis' where 'issue' would be more accurate.
Patrick | July 23, 2008, 5:03pm | #
"When the state sticks its nose into markets by, say, changing business models to make production unprofitable, people shouldn't be surprised to see shortfalls in production."The blackout disaster of 2001 in California was the result of market deregulation pushed and manipulated by Enron. You ignore the other 29 & 3/4 years of the execution. California's utilities have recovered from that mess. The state's economy didn't even drop its rank in the top ten global list. Not a good argument for keeping business as usual everywhere else.
Since you bring up that old hag "sticking their nose into markets", allow me to paraphrase Jeff Immelt, CEO of GE keynote at the WSJ "Eco-nomics" conference last March. It went something like this- If you aren't at the table, you are on the menu when it comes to regulation. Name the business that government isn't a part of. Who here would own equities if there wasn't an SEC or courts to adjudicate disputes? Over 300 capitalists in the room and not one hand in the air. What authority's currency do you carry?
"why did the state have to change the business model? Why did the utilities not do it themselves?"
Because utilities are monopolies. If you have a built in profit on a cost plus basis, and all you have to do to make more money is do more of the same, why would you change/learn something new? You would change to keep your monopoly which the state awarded you in the first place.
"Or maybe your "they" is the utilities, not the state. If so, good for them."
The 'state' is all of us- when we participate. Companies have had more say than average citizens for quite a while, yet they still haven't gotten everything their way. The utilities have always had representation on the Ca PUC. But the air and water haven't. Maybe if they did, PG&E wouldn't have had to pay $271million for poisoning the water table of Hinckley ( Erin Brockovich's case).
BTW_ it does it bother you that you can't eat tuna anymore?
re"how is it reasonable to compare the 1920's prohibition on alcohol with today's environmental crisis?"
Prohibitions always fail. Incentives for preferred behaviors and outcomes are always better. Some things- like seat belts in cars, and lead out of products- are perfect for regulation, because the generation of the common good is clear and can be generated with a level stable field. Carbon doesn't even have a good standard of measurement yet ( another thing industry should create unless they want government to do it).
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 5:41pm | #
laws of economicsHmmmm....
[scratches head]
Force of gravity = invisible hand?
Hmmmm...
[sigh, erase]
Hmmm....
[scribble]
Legal framework for market activity, monetary policy, SEC...
[erase]
Who enforces the laws of economics?
Nature or the state?
Hmmm....
Laws of economics | July 23, 2008, 5:42pm | #
http://www.law.berkeley.edu/library/online/internationalResearch/economicLaw.htmlIt is with great hope that sanity will quickly return to the American people. Get off of the Goreboil bandwagon, eat, drink, smoke, and drive what pleases you. The dogooders, who are stealing our freedom, need take a strong laxative to revive their faltering brain cells. In reality, our freedom is what is endangerd. Wake up people, this is AMERICA THE LAND OF THE FREE.
Chad | July 23, 2008, 5:58pm | #
"Gilbert Martin | July 23, 2008, 2:00pm | #"On the other hand, coal is plentiful and will remain cheap."
And it can also be used to make synthetic gasoline."
Yep, at double the price and double the pollution. Coal-to-oil and shale-to-oil are simply disasters. They are not cheap, and since one half the energy in the coal or shale has to be used in order to extract the other half, you just doubled all the pollution involved. Niether of these technologies stands a snowball's chance in hell of surviving without subsidies (eg, a free public garbage dump for all the filth they produce).
Get rid of ALL the subsidies (in particular, the free public dumping ground), and renewables will kick the crap out of coal, oil, or anything else that we currently know of. Nuclear is already prohibitavely expensive (wind is cheaper, and has far fewer downsides), and coal only survives due to its massive subsidies. Natural gas would live on for a while without subsidy, until its rarity priced it out of the market.
There is no technical reason we could not have 100% renewables in ten years. And how should we pay for it? Well, I would say the ~10-20 billion barrels of oil in ANWR and the gulf would cover the bill, as long as we are willing to put the screws to whichever oil companies we allow to drill OUR OIL, and hold them to a modest but fair price for their drilling services. Since they have drilled for decades quite profitably at much less than ~$30 a barrel, there is no reason they would need more now. So $100 a barrel for us, 15 billion times over...yeah, 1.5 trillion bucks - all of which should be used to build the renewable energy and public transit infrastructures that we are so far behind on.
I am surprised no politician is talking about how much money we should be able to extract from OUR OIL. And if we can't extract the vast majority of the value of our oil, something is wrong with those who write the contracts.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 7:04pm | #
Who enforces the laws of economics?Nature or the state?
Nature. Surely you recognize that the wealth of nations tracks rather closely with how well the laws and enforcement in each nation correlate with the laws of economics.
Just because one imagines it would be nice to engineer societies doesn't mean it is easy or even possible.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 7:10pm | #
The blackout disaster of 2001 in California was the result of market deregulation pushed and manipulated by Enron.I was under the impression that it was the state that changed the regulatory law. Also "market deregulation" is hardly the right word for freeing prices on the wholesale side while keeping them pegged on the retail side. "Insanity" is a better word. "Flouting the laws of economics" also comes to mind.
Because utilities are monopolies.
Thankfully, the state didn't have anything to do with that.
You would change to keep your monopoly which the state awarded you in the first place.
Oh.
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 7:21pm | #
Nature. Surely you recognize that the wealth of nations tracks rather closely with how well the laws and enforcement in each nation correlate with the laws of economics.Just because one imagines it would be nice to engineer societies doesn't mean it is easy or even possible.
Hmmmm....
Did evolution engineer the species?
Did evolution engineer human nature?
Is it human nature that enforces the laws of economics?
Has human nature changed in the last 1000 years? 10,000 years?
Prior to economies, did the laws of economics apply?
Is economics like language, an adaptable human artifact that has co-evolved with the species and effectively changed human nature?
Or is it more like the law which has been designed by humans to meet specific needs without changing human nature appreciably?
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 7:23pm | #
More to the point...Have the laws of economics changed as human societies have gotten more complex?
Or are economic laws the same now as they were for early hunter-gatherers?
Do economic laws adapt over time?
Is there an economic law that guides that adaptation?
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 7:31pm | #
In response to comment of 7:21pm...Yes.
Yes.
I wouldn't say "enforces". I would say "is constrained by".
Not essentially.
Yes.
No. Again, it is a description of constraints.
Or is it more like the law which has been designed by humans to meet specific needs without changing human nature appreciably?
The laws of economics constrain how individuals each striving for his individual interest can allocate limited resources to disparate ends.
Humans are well advised to make their encoded laws consistent with economic laws, lest their societies bring great misery -- willingly or unwillingly -- to their populations.
MikeP | July 23, 2008, 7:37pm | #
I don't think economic laws adapt. I think the ones that are relevant to a society at a certain evolutionary and cultural point may differ, but the laws themselves do not.I suppose I don't believe that core human nature -- that is, the capabilities of a newborn baby -- has changed that much from clans in caves days. Of course, I have virtually no evidence to support such a conjecture.
Brandybuck | July 23, 2008, 7:56pm | #
Oooh, I like this comment! Comparing the opponents of reducing CO2 emissions to the Peak Oil crowd is a master stroke.If you do a Venn diagram comparing those who want to reduce CO2 emissions and those worrying about peak oil, you'll notice an extraordinary amount of overlap.
Chad | July 23, 2008, 7:59pm | #
" don't think economic laws adapt. I think the ones that are relevant to a society at a certain evolutionary and cultural point may differ, but the laws themselves do not."The laws don't change, but which laws are relevant change, in particular with growing populations. Beyond about 200 people, groups can no longer count on "everyone knowing everyone" and probably being related too, and some fundamentally different rules start taking precedent. In particular, small societies can often escape prisoner-dilemma style situations through direct negotations with all the stake-holders. This obviously doesn't work when the society contains over six billion people. At one level, environmental issues are nothing more than a classic prisoner's dilemma - one from which we cannot expect the market to save us because the cost of negotation and enforcement at an individual level is too high.
This article is both moving and terrifying because there are no sources of energy that do not produce pollution! If only we could magically discover a way to harvest the energy from the sun, or the wind, or the motion of waves, or to unlock the power of the atom, we could survive in this cold, harsh, cruel fossil fuel free world. Alas, it is but a dream!
Jordan | July 23, 2008, 9:04pm | #
Who here would own equities if there wasn't an SEC or courts to adjudicate disputes? Over 300 capitalists in the room and not one hand in the air. What authority's currency do you carry?So you've established that corporations don't mind government interference in the market. This is not new, well except to socialists. Corporations love them some welfare. Of course, the same morons who fail to grasp this also ten d to be the ones who think that placing limitations on freedom of speech is the only way to reduce the influence of lobbyists.
Neu Mejican | July 23, 2008, 9:12pm | #
MikeP,I think we would disagree on the fundamental nature of economic laws.
I think economics is more like linguistics than physics, and language is clearly an adaptive system, so I would assume economies also adaptive. As a result the laws that describe either adaptive system will change over time as the underlying system they attempt to model changes.
Both language and economics seem to include a combination of rules that have evolved through use and rules that were designed to meet a particular need.
I have no way to prove that conjecture.
As for the time frame in which human nature has changed fundamentally. I would subtle changes have occurred in the last 50,000 years as a result of adaptive pressures, including language and complex societies.
I have no data to prove that conjecture.
capt obvious | July 23, 2008, 9:20pm | #
Since most of the available options for off-grid home power are carbon free, why all the doom and gloom about a carbon limit? Just put up some solar panels and turbines, switch your lighting to LEDs and you can live pretty much the same as you do now, except you aren't dependent on on a centralized power utility. Or does Reason suddenly prefer centralized power over individual self-sufficiency?De-plete | July 23, 2008, 10:08pm | #
Math equally simple to that used in the article reveals that you can't have an infinite increase in population and resource use with a finite initial base.Nobody likes passive-aggressive social engineering (well, some do, apparently), but denying simple, bare-bones reality doesn't seem like a wise path, either.
Sam-Hec | July 23, 2008, 10:37pm | #
Seitz and Freinds really ought to look at what is planned for a Zero Fossil Co2 future, instead of guessing it can only mean misery.One such near future installation:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masdar_City
Chad | July 23, 2008, 11:06pm | #
de-plete:There is no evidence that we will experience an infinite growth in population. Indeed, the opposite trend is now emerging...population will start to decrease later this century. Already, the birth rates in industrialized nations are well below replacement rates, and most developing nations are around the break-even point. Only in certain third world countries are birth rates high enough for population growth to continue to accelerate. Birthrates have stabilized in the industrialized nations but are falling everywhere else. As more nations industrialize, there is every reason to expect birthrates to continue to fall and population to first stabilize and then begin to fall.
Indeed, some countries are already knee-deep in this problem and are actively trying to up their birthrates back up to a sustainable rate.
Tim Washburn | July 24, 2008, 12:50am | #
I have an idea about dealing with nuclear waste. Here it is. We establish a base of some sort on the Moon, let's call it "Alpha". It will be used, in part, to monitor the nuclear waste deposits, let's call them Areas' One and Two. Then we'll use multiple transport units, let's call them "Eagles", to transport the nuclear waste to said areas'. What could possibly go wrong with this scenario?Ebeneezer Scrooge | July 24, 2008, 4:24am | #
Well gee, just for starters, you gotta feed those eagles somehow.Prescod | July 24, 2008, 5:35am | #
This article is akin to an anti-prohibitionist arguing that we could not possibly ban beer because people would die of thirst! After all, beer is the only drinkable fluid and carbon-based fuels are the only source of energy we have. By 2050, technology will be exactly like today's except it will all be turned off because of the carbon prohibitionists.Makes sense to me!
MikeP | July 24, 2008, 7:53am | #
Neu Mejican,There is much to be said for the cultural component of economics. And it is true that individuals in a culture are somewhat bound by the economics of the culture, so that a culture and its economics grow and adapt together.
But these are not the economic laws I speak of, which are universal in nature. I would say that cultures whose economic traditions align with economic laws do better economically than those whose economic traditions clash with economic laws.
Perhaps the simplest economic law is that willing exchange between two individuals raises the wealth of society. It is hard to see that law changing regardless of culture. What is traded and how it is valued may change, but the fact that it is valued and the fact that the two parties see marginal improvements in the things they value do not change.
john | July 24, 2008, 8:40am | #
The global warming fraud is the most extraordinary scientific hoax ever perpetrated, simply without any precedent in recorded history. What began as an environmental movement to reduce actual pollutants from the air in 1968, which has been hugely successful, has grown into a clear attempt to collectivize the entire world population under an iron-booted world government. By finally classifying CO-2 as a pollutant, when in fact it's an essential component of the atmosphere without which no plant life (and thus no animal life) could survive, the collectivist loonies of the world believe they've found the perfect scheme to put themselves totally in control of the planet and its hapless inhabitants.The truth is that dangerously unbalanced people such as Al Gore and his deranged minions hate humanity for paying no attention to their collectivist schemes, for what they see as their profligacy and waste, and want to punish them as cruelly as possible. These are the people, with their murderous collectivist governments, who killed more people in the 20th Century than all the wars combined in recorded human history. And these weren't wars - they were the organized slaughter of their own subjects, done ostensibly to rid the world of the "exploiters," which is to say the successful.
The radical environmental movement is the same old communism in new clothing. It seeks to enslave humanity, destroy their freedoms completely, and march them in brutal lockstep into a brave new world of scarcity, want, and poverty. That anybody listens to these crazies, or even tolerates their presence, is remarkable.
Neu Mejican | July 24, 2008, 11:45am | #
has grown into a clear attempt to collectivize the entire world population under an iron-booted world governmentThe truth is that dangerously unbalanced people such as Al Gore and his deranged minions hate humanity for paying no attention to their collectivist schemes
I am interested in your ideas.
Where can I subscribe to your newsletter?
Help stop the EnvironmentalJihad and it CollectivistPowerDreams.
Sully | July 24, 2008, 12:26pm | #
Tim - "I have an idea about dealing with nuclear waste. Here it is. We establish a base of some sort on the Moon, let's call it "Alpha"."The whole controversy over nuclear waste makes me wonder whether we deserve to survive as a species. The Egyptians were able to build pyramids 5,000 years ago that have survived quite well. A couple of pyramids could hold all the nuclear waste we can conceivably generate in the next 5,000 years. You could tuck a couple of pyramids into Death Valley and nobody without a guide would ever be able to find them. As to worrying about primitive peoples breaking into them and burning their fingers in 100,000 years are we going to start fencing off volcanos so primitive people don't fall into their craters?
Jardinero1 | July 24, 2008, 5:22pm | #
Why not do nothing and just let the climate change. If it gets colder we'll deal with it. If it gets warmer we'll deal with it.Sam-Hec | July 24, 2008, 10:46pm | #
Jardenero,Slow climate change can be dealt with. This is what the enviros want to accomplish by limiting CO2 emissions.
Rapid climate change is a bullet which can't be dodged. This is what will transpire given unmitigated CO2 emissions.
We are facing the later. It gets dealt with after the fact by dying out. (or maybe just the end of Civilization.) It gets dealt with in the current context, before the fact, by halting CO2 emissions.
Tim Washburn | July 25, 2008, 1:38am | #
Sully. Thank you for thoughts on the trouble with disposing of nuke waste. I hadn't pictured it that way. The scenario I was proposing was actually the premise of the sci-fi t.v. series called Space:1999. A series I loved (at least it's 1st season) despite the completely improbable premise of the Moon being blasted out of Earth's orbit by a massive explosion of stored nuke waste. Please do not think I'm shooting down your thoughts. You really have thought this out and I for one appreciate it.Jardinero1 | July 25, 2008, 6:03pm | #
It's arguable whether the climate is changing in any meaningful way at all. Until the advent of several climate monitoring satellites in the nineties, all data collection was ground based or ship based and the raw data from such collection was crap. The following website is a collaborative attempt to sift through that data:http://www.climateaudit.org/
Sam-Hec | July 26, 2008, 12:12am | #
On the Contrary.Satellites monitoring the climate began in the late 70's.
Radiosonde balloons also collected data prior to that.
Climate Audit sucks.
Jardinero1 | July 26, 2008, 6:10pm | #
Until the nineties there were only two satellites that monitored air temmperature, the Microwave Sounding Unit; and sea surface temperatures, the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer. Starting in the mid nineties considerably more have been launched measuring not just temperature and humidity in the soil, sea and at various altitudes, but also sea levels. The data being collected is much more comprehensive and of better quality than ever before.edward | July 28, 2008, 12:57am | #
The whole GW and CO2 business sounds pretty bizarre to me. The ice core data clearly shows that actually the temperature change precedes the change of the CO2 level for several centuries.The other important thing is that the level of CO2 concentration will still be for very long time just few tenth of promille and even if the GW theory is valid the danger of new ice age is far more serious for the survival of human species. Big parts of North America and Europe were under shield of ice 2000 m thick during the last ice age. I can imagine to survive in climate few degrees warmer but not under an iceberg. The new ice age is going to happen with great probability (just check the ice core data) whether we like it or not. If CO2 can make it milder why should we stop it is beyond me.
Jardinero1 | July 28, 2008, 1:41pm | #
Latest on satellite data:http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Files.View&FileStore_id=e12b56cb-4c7b-4c21-bd4a-7afbc4ee72f3
TokyoTom | July 30, 2008, 6:00am | #
It's weird to see a physicist adopt such a negative, "can't do" posture.Nuclear is almost completely non-carbon, much cleaner environmentally than all fossil fuels and is available now, and there's fusion somewhere down the pike. All we need to do is to start charging for GHGs and carbon black production, allow offsets for proven CCS and other sequestration methods, and off we go. Even Cato is now supporting carbon taxes: http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=9558, at least in lieu of wasteful subsidies.
George Carty | July 31, 2008, 12:22pm | #
The truth is that dangerously unbalanced people such as Al Gore and his deranged minions hate humanity for paying no attention to their collectivist schemes, for what they see as their profligacy and waste, and want to punish them as cruelly as possible. These are the people, with their murderous collectivist governments, who killed more people in the 20th Century than all the wars combined in recorded human history. And these weren't wars - they were the organized slaughter of their own subjects, done ostensibly to rid the world of the "exploiters," which is to say the successful.Stop drinking Randian Kool-Aid!
Stalin (which I'll take as representive of "murderous collectivists") was motivated by a perceived need to industrialize the Soviet Union as fast as possible (and given what happened in Germany, he was right!). He was anything BUT anti-progress. In fact the only Communist regime which WAS anti-progress was the Khmer Rouge. (Incidentally, both the Khmer Rouge and their Islamist analogues the Taliban arose in war-devastated countries - what excuse do Western eco-freaks have?)
Turning a pre-industrial society where a small elite rules a mass of peasants barely above subsistence into a modern, high-standard-of-living society is HARD. The rise of Western capitalism was even bloodier than the rise of the Soviet Union (with the provisos that the death toll was over a much longer period of time, and was mostly African slaves and Amerindians).
Environmentalists are not socialists, but aristocratic conservatives (note for Americans: conservative does not necessarily equal capitalist) seeking to restore an idyllic pre-industrial past that never actually existed (and which would result in billions of deaths if attempted with today's population levels).