Sprawling Towards Gomorrah (or Not)
Kerry Howley | June 12, 2007, 12:59pm
Stalwart sprawl defender Robert Bruegmann says sprawl's glory days are over:
Even many of the most basic facts usually heard about sprawl are just wrong. Contrary to much accepted wisdom, sprawl in the U.S. is not accelerating. It is declining in the city and suburbs as average lot sizes are becoming smaller, and relatively few really affluent people are moving to the edge. This is especially true of the lowest-density cities of the American South and West. The Los Angeles urbanized area (the U.S. Census Bureau's functional definition of the city, which includes the city center and surrounding suburban areas) has become more than 25% denser over the last 50 years, making it the densest in the country.
This fact, together with the continued decline in densities in all large European urban areas, coupled with a spectacular rise in car ownership and use there, means that U.S. and European urban areas are in many ways converging toward a new 21st-century urban equilibrium. In short, densities will be high enough to provide urban amenities but low enough to allow widespread automobile ownership and use.
If sprawl is dissipating organically, the haunting fear that we shall exurb-anize into socially isolated, polluting, Wal-Mart dependent misanthropists (until urban planners save us, that is) may fade as well. But so should the assumption that low-density living is some pure expression of the American soul. To some extent sprawl is going to be the result of huge government subsidies to drivers in the form of roads, and it's not clear that this particular government initiative makes people better off. Long commutes, for example, negatively affect measures of subjective wellbeing (pdf).
reason on sprawl here , here , and here .
JW | June 12, 2007, 3:51pm | #
If you look at homebuyer surveys, the top two motivating factors for suburban homebuyers - by a mile - are good schools and safe neighborhoods.
There is also that niggling little detail of price.
There are many, many neigborhoods and development in Montgomery County, Maryland (suburban DC) that have safe streets and good schools. The trouble is, I can't afford most of them, since the median housing price is north of $500,000. Suffice it to say, that's not even a good starting price for the houses I'm talking about.
Sure, I could buy a house in a new-urbanist development. The trouble is I get to pay for that with a 90 minute to 2 hour commute
one way. Oh, the joy.
Live in the city you say? You must not know a lot about DC. The "safe streets" cost even more there. Good schools don't exist for the hoi polloi.
You should have seen the p.o.s. article Virginia Postrel wrote attacking smart growth as "statist" and defending zoning-induced sprawl as "dynamist."
I can't speak for Ms. Postrel, but not all of us like soylent growth. I don't want to live cheek and jowl with my neighbor, but I also don't want a 1-acre lot; that's too much mowing. So, if I don't want to live and raise my family in a high-rise apartment, I can move into one of the faux-Mayberries or take my chances with the existing neighborhoods with tree-lined streets and established communities. You know, the sprawl.
Too bad that won't be a choice from here on out and we also get the worst of both worlds as the extablished neighborhoods get new developments crammed in between them to satisfy the urban planners' utopian fetish. Funny thing is that prices don't seem to be affected; the new homes are just as, if not more, expensive than the old. No surprise, since the supply isn't going up, it's just being relocated from exurb inward.
So, not only do we get the increased congestion and everything else that goes along with high-density zoning, we don't get the cute ammenities of the faux-Mayberries, like walking to the town center to do our shopping, or the diversity and funkiness of *real* cities. Just a whole lot more pepople crammed in the the same 10 lb salami casing. I still have to get in my car and drive, just now there are twice as many people doing exactly the same thing.
Gee, thanks joe.
rob | June 13, 2007, 10:01am | #
"joe thinks the relative levels of subsidization are out of whack, but considers the provision of public goods like a transportation system to be an appropriate role for government."
Ah. So, taking money at gunpoint is OK if its something you personally support, but not if you don't. This is how subsidizing Planned Parenthood is something some folks on the right loathe and consider a travesty to spend tax money on, while at the same time they support funding "faith-based initiatives." (Frankly I consider it to be a travesty that gov't funds either of them, though I support the good things that both of them do, when they're doing good things.)
In other words, subsidizing public transportation boondoggles when most people prefer individual transportation (driving themselves, riding their bicycle, horse, unicycle, motorcycle, etc) is a wrong-headed approach and funding highways that people actually use in droves is a bad use of that money because it doesn't fit your personal preference for how you feel other people should live. Me, I say cut the tax funding for both and see what happens. In an era of unmatched U.S. prosperity, only a fool would bet that people would choose to ride subways and live closer to one another than they have to.
You're not going to win any points with most folks around here by saying that the real problem is that taxes should fund your personal preference more on the basis of dubious claims that without subsidies people will choose mass transit and denser living conditions over spacious homes, spacious yards, and individual transit.
The idea that people, if they had the money the gov't takes out of their pockets, wouldn't choose to spend it living the way most of them obviously already choose to - despite having their pockets picked - seems a dubious claim without any real supporting evidence.
The argument that highway subsidies are the only reason people can afford to live in the suburbs is just a bridge too far. I think the real argument is that if highway subsidies were diverted to mass transit, then yeah, most wouldn't be able to afford to live in the suburbs. But if you simply let people have the money they earn without re-distributing it, I doubt you'd end up with a vastly different set-up. Possible, but just not very likely, based on my personal opinion and the numbers of people who live in "sprawl" aka "the suburbs."
joe | June 13, 2007, 4:32pm | #
As a matter of fact, Gil, you DID pick out the period of settlement of the Americas because you thought it matched your personal preference. As a matter of fact, you were wrong about that. As a matter of fact, I did point that out. And as a matter of fact, I'm not only an expert on the subject, I hold master's degree in it.
Temper temper. It would probably be best just to say nothing when you've been called out and refuted like that, son.
"Who says it has come back in "such a dramatic manner"?" The author of the article, that author of the blog post, and anyone who's looked at the direction of development trends.
"Are you claiming the aggregate demand for those designs currently exceeds the aggregate demand for suburbs?"
First, I'll tell you again - both types of development are suburbs. Celebration, Florida is a suburb, just like Laurel, Maryland is a suburb.
But no, I'm not making a comparison of aggregate demand, just noting that the demand for smarter-designed suburbs is increasing at a dramatic pace. They make up far more of the market than they did ten years ago, and the trend in that direction continues.
"Uh Huh and it also explains the continued further movement outward as well as it was just a continuation of that process." Yes, it does. And, once again (perhaps it will get through your skull if I repeat it), this isn't a debate about suburban growth vs. no growth, but between two varieties of outward suburban growth.
When you lose your temper like that, Gil, it just draws attention to how badly you are faring in the debate.
rob | June 13, 2007, 5:27pm | #
"Public transportation 'boondoggles' benefit everyone by being more efficient and taking cars off your roads; or at least they would if more people were able to detach themselves from their cars once in a while." - Rhywun
It's funny when you contradict yourself in the same sentence that you backhandedly find yourself agreeing with me (that most people prefer to drive themselves to their exact location of choice rather than swap busses six times trying to get to the right neighborhood) and yet managing to also sneer disdainfully at people who prefer not to use public transportation boondoggles.
"Sprawl of course works against this by being deliberately designed such that you have to drive around to do even the simplest tasks." - Rhywun
Ah, but it works TOWARD making people happy with where they live. Which is obviously the higher value for folks who live in "sprawl."
"Utter[ing] the magical words 'you personally support' doesn't eliminate the reality that there can be better or worse public policies." - joe
Sure. Taxing one's citizens to provide something that the government shouldn't be involved in is a bad public policy - regardless of whether it's highways for individual transportation or mass transit.
"I was fucking right, objectively, in both cases, and trying to pretend there is no difference except my feelings doesn't change the objective reality that one was a wise policy, and the other was the bumbling of corrupt morons." - joe
That echo chamber must sure be warm and cozy...
"Nor does noting that people made choices eliminate the fact that the choices available to them have been dramatically expanded in one area (sprawl development) and significantly reduced in another (smart development) through government action." - joe
You say this but you can't really support it. I can't prove that people would choose to live in the suburbs without what you claim is subsidization, but my personal feeling is that if the gov't got out of the road-building and public transit business there'd be less public transit lines and more highways. The U.S. national character just seems (to me) to be that way.
"I'll take a glass of water over a glass of wine and punch in the nose. I'll take a glass of water and a $20 bill over a glass of wine. Gee, I guess my revealed preference is for water over wine." - joe
That made no sense whatsoever. Because the reality is that living in the burbs is the glass of wine without the punch in the nose if you remove subsidies. Mass transit is the glass of water you'd like to steal $20 from me to deliver.
"You completely whiffed on both the fact that sprawl has been subsidized, and that alternatives to it have been forbidden." - joe
No, but you've certainly shown that you feel this to be true (like all the other things you calim to be "objectively" right about - in the Al Gore-ish and incredibly arrogant belief that only idiots disagree with you.)
"And as far as 'people around here,' in case you haven't noticed, most of the comments on this thread agree with me." - joe
No, most libertarians agree with you that subsidizing highways is bad - that doesn't mean they agree with you that subsidizing mass transit is good. But it doesn't surprise me that you can't understand that over the reverberations of your own nonsense in the echo chamber that is the "Mind of joe."
BTW, joe, just answer your question for Gil about where you reveal your desire to mandate your preferred choice, when you stump for greater subsidies for your preferred choice (mass transit, denser neighborhoods) it means that you are as wrong as those who support the highway subsidies. You see the one as wrong, but not the other. Why is that? If one is gov't intervention that is wrong, so is the other. It doesn't matter which of your neighbors you steal from or why you stole from them, it's still a crime.
joe | June 13, 2007, 6:50pm | #
"You say this but you can't really support it."
Yes, I can. Why don't you call up the zoning map for a few suburban communities, and compare the areas where small lots, mixed uses, and multifamily homes are allowed, to the areas that only allow large lot single family housing.
"my personal feeling is that if the gov't got out of the road-building and public transit business there'd be less public transit lines and more highways." If you look back at what I've written, I've been attributing the growth of sprawl development to prohibitionary snob zoning regulations in the suburbs, not to transportation funding. Perhaps you got me confused with someone else.
And your response is - what? Sharing your feelings? Stop sharing your feelings, rob, and try to learn something about development, real estate, and planning if you want to argue this subject with me. Feelings. Gee, that's nice.
BTW, it is fucking hilarious that you can read the exchange between Gil and me and conclude that I've gotten my ass kicked. It just goes to the lack of objectivity and wishful thinking that guides you in these threads - you just cannot see what is in front of your eyes, and you've just proven that to anyone who bothers to read this far down in the thread.
You're usually more of a challenge than this, rob. All you've managed to put up is to refute a transportation argument I didn't make; make a laughably false assertion about suburban communities not restricting land use to sprawl patterns; and lauding Gilbert Martin for his debating skills.
LoL.
rob | June 13, 2007, 6:52pm | #
Wow, that was a zinger of a come-back, joe. It's like the Swiss Army Knife of weak posts... One tool that can't fix anything. (Actually, now that I think of it, "one tool that can't fix anything" is probably the dictionary entry next to "joe.")
You could strenghten your point - instead of confirming defeat - if you'd actually responded to points I made. Everyone understands that for you to actually refuting any of my points is just a bridge too far for you.
Here's an example of addressing specific points, feel free to adapt it to your personal writing style:
"That echo chamber is two thirds of the public and growing." - joe
The echo chamber inside your head is an individual problem, joe, don't try to pawn it off on the rest of the public.
"People like you are openly mocked throughout the country these days." - joe
Yeah, people openly mock people who believe in equality before the law, the rule of law, democratic capitalism as means of improving the lot of most people, and private property. I see a lot of that going on. But it's by drooling goof-balls like Lou Dobbs.
"Clinging to obvious failure will do that."
Clinging to obvious failure? Aren't you the guy who is still whining about stolen presidential elections? Sheesh... Talk about lame talking points with a desperate death-grip on obvious failures.
rob | June 13, 2007, 7:21pm | #
"Why don't you call up the zoning map for a few suburban communities, and compare the areas where small lots, mixed uses, and multifamily homes are allowed, to the areas that only allow large lot single family housing." - joe
Or maybe you could link to something that shows you to be undeniably in the right on this? I'm sure a "brilliant" city planner such as yourself has many such examples close to hand.
"you look back at what I've written, I've been attributing the growth of sprawl development to prohibitionary snob zoning regulations in the suburbs, not to transportation funding. Perhaps you got me confused with someone else." -joe
You haven't made that claim? Maybe not on this thread, but I'm willing to bet you've made it before on HNR. Are you willing to go to the tale of the tape on that one? I sure am...
And regardless of your shifting rationale, you're still claiming that it's those evil people you don't like ("snobs") who are creating the "evil sprawl" through icky gov't regulation. But you refuse to face the reality that it's the gov't regulation that's the problem, instead pretending that it's what that regulation is designed to accomplish that's wrong.
"And your response is - what? Sharing your feelings? Stop sharing your feelings, rob, and try to learn something about development, real estate, and planning if you want to argue this subject with me. Feelings. Gee, that's nice." - joe
You're kinda sad, really. I point out that you've based your argument on your personal feelings and point out that I have feelings that are contrary to yours to show you how little weight your feelings about good vs. bad gov't regulation should carry, and you try to take me to task for talking about feelings? I guess it's not satire if you can't spot the irony.
"it is fucking hilarious that you can read the exchange between Gil and me and conclude that I've gotten my ass kicked." - joe
Actually, I was just pointing out that you always do that BS victory dance when you're unable to actually carry your points.
"It just goes to the lack of objectivity and wishful thinking that guides you in these threads - you just cannot see what is in front of your eyes, and you've just proven that to anyone who bothers to read this far down in the thread.
"You're usually more of a challenge than this, rob." - joe
You usually try to make actual points, joe. it's hard to bring my "A Game" against a line of thought that doesn't even require effort to refute it.
Allow me to provide the Cliff's Notes version for you:
joe: "Gov't regulation has led to things I don't like and consider to be BAD and hence these are BAD gov't regulations, but if we regulated things the way I think it should be, then it would be GOOD and that means it would be GOOD gov't regulation."
rob: "Most, if not all, gov't regulation is BAD gov't regulation. Regulating to subsidize or regulate people into what you think is good is essentially the same BAD thing you decry, and in my opinion worse (because I prefer to live the way I do, which happens to dove-tail with what you dislike)."
joe: "I WIN! Everyone who disagrees with me is a big, fat, and worst of all REPUBLICAN idiot!"
rob: "Here we go again."