Ronald Bailey | September 1, 2009
The genome sequencing company
Illumina has just delivered the results of a complete human genome
sequencing to a customer. InSequence
reports:
The company said that it generated more than 110 gigabases of data, sequencing the genome to more than 30-fold coverage, at its CLIA-certified laboratory, which is also accredited by the College of American Pathologists, using its Genome Analyzer technology.
Illumina delivered the genome to the customer — Hermann Hauser, a partner of Amadeus Capital Partners, and an investor in Solexa, which Illumina acquired in early 2007 — on Aug. 20. in the presence of Hauser's physician, Michael Nova, chief medical officer of San Diego-based direct-to-consumer DNA testing company Pathway Genomics. The analysis revealed 300,000 novel SNPs in Hauser's genome, according to Illumina.
The company launched its $48,000 personal genome sequencing service, which it offers through physicians, in June.
I just got back this afternoon from a National Academy of Sciences workshop on direct-to-consumer gene testing. One participant confidently predicted that the first $1,000 whole genome scan will become available in the next two years.
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One participant confidently predicted that the first $1,000
whole genome scan will become available in the next two
years.
I'm working with a genetics startup that will provide whole genome
analysis, and we are counting on this price decrease for our
business model.
Ron: Who is the confident participant who predicted the $1K genome within two years?
"The company launched its $48,000 personal genome sequencing
service, which it offers through physicians, in June."
$48K? But personal genome sequencing services are a RIGHT! Goddam
greedy doctors.
MD: Actually several basically accepted the proposition, but the guy who specifically said it was British molecular geneticist Timothy Aitman.
Wow, at $1000 I might buy it. The difficulty I see in it for a customer is interpretation, e.g. say you are interested in using your genome to shed light on your genealogy, how do you use the info to do that?
$1000 in two years is too optimistic, but half price every two years much like Moore's law is totally possible: $24K in two years, $12K in 4, $6K in 6, $3K in 8 an $1500 in 10 years.
David N: You may be way too pessimistic. Gene scanning is
dropping in price much faster than Moore's Law. This quote from a
Forbes June 2007 article:
Small biotechs are starting to produce ultrafast gene machines that
aim to unravel all 3 billion DNA letters that contain the human
blueprint for $100,000. It would be a thirtyfold cost reduction in
seven years. "That beats Moore's Law hands down,"
says Eric Lander, head of the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard,
funded by billionaire Eli Broad. "It's a wonderfully disruptive
technology."
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