October 9, 2008
In the fourth installment of his L.A. Times campaign dust-up with USC professor Kareem Crayton, Editor in Chief Matt Welch uses unscientific anecdotes to suggest that the United States maybe really isn't as racist as all that.
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actually i think obamas race is the only reason he isn't set for a landslide victory *sigh* the more things chang e the more they stay the same.
Damn, CO's been trolling up a storm. A quick word of advice, CO: I have nothing against getting high, but please don't post when you're high. You just make yourself sound stupid(er).
actually i think obamas race is the only reason he won the
democratic primary *sigh* my logic is as good as the concern troll
who posted first.
OK, That was a weak effort, but I did get to use "concern
troll".
'landslide' victories in US prez elections are normally around 56 or so %. Only 2 or 3 times did anyone get more than 60% of the vote.
Put a period before "sigh," and capitalize the M in my. Then it
makes grammatical sense.
Still doesn't make sense, though. In the first half of 2008, the
only reason the most charismatic, eloquent candidate anyone can
remember who, oh yeah, was only the only major candidate to oppose
invading Iraq, won the nomination is because he's black? While his
only significant opponent was a woman?
C'mon.
I think I'm just going to write in "Tom Bradley" when I
vote.
There's your fucking "Bradley Effect".
I'm especially sick of Chris Matthews pretending it's still a
two point race in PA.
He's up nearly fourteen points *on average*, you tool.
concerned observer,
If Obama wins by a larger margin in the general election than he
did in the primaries, are you going to sigh and conclude that
Democrats are, on average, more racist than the general
electorate?
"If Obama wins by a larger margin in the general election than
he did in the primaries, are you going to sigh and conclude that
Democrats are, on average, more racist than the general
electorate?"
No, he'll say ACORN did it.
@Gimme Back My Dog
That's because there was an actual choice in the Democratic
primaries between two fairly good candidates, while in the general
election he's running against an old fart
Did someone say something about Democrats and racism?
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2008/10/confronting-rac.html
Why isn't Richard Pombo Obama's running mate?
co,
Ahh, so the Democratic Primary election results were based on the
strength of the candidates, but the General Election is a
reflection of the racism of the voters?
I don't know if you'd call it an aspect of the "Bradley effect"
or not, but:
What if some people are afraid of the pollster considering them
racist, so they say they plan to vote for Obama when they really
plan to vote for McCain? (let's pretend they have some policy
reason for doing so)
Note: This is not racism, per se (at least on the part of the poll
responder)--it instead is fear of being unfairly labeled
racist.
I've seen several opinion pieces that suggest that the only reason
to _not_ vote for Obama is because of racism--should we be
surprised if some McCain voters hide their preference as a
result?
Personally, I'm not going to be voting for either of them, but
then, my vote won't really count anyway--Obama will win my state no
matter what.
Who the fuck would have a problem pressing a touch-tone button
to signal to a machine that they're voting for McCain because they
might be called racist?
Are we that neurotic as a nation?
Joe-
"the most charismatic, eloquent candidate anyone can remember"? Are
we listening to the same guy? The guy who hems and haws? The guy
the speech of whom is fraught with fillers like aaah and
eeehhh?
He is not eloquent. He is horrible without a teleprompter.
Another thing. Last week I ran into an old friend who happens to be
a stalwart, lifetime democrat. Sure, he has worked in the private
sector all his life, but a democrat just the same. After exchanging
some pleasantries, I asked what he thought of the race, in general,
and Ms. Hockey Mom, in particular. He told me that he thought
Palin's convention speech was the best political speech he ever
heard. BTW, he is 74.
"BTW, he is 74."
That's about the demographic of the Republican Party today.
Senile seniors and cranks.
Racists are a dying breed as cities supplant rural territory. Luckily, I'll live to see the day when their total extinction occurs. Stereotypes will live forever, though.
Joe-
Do you really that Obama is going to do very much to slash defense
spending? Do you think that he is going to stand up to the
Zionists? He has already caved to the Israelis-they know that they
can count on him continuing business as usual.
thats right libertymike, spin your conspiracy theories about the jews how theyre all going to eat your brains
BoB-
Palin's convention speech was better than Obama's. Much the
smoother delivery and rendered with almost no errors. When you
throw in the ability to give the speech once the teleprompter
breaks down without missing a beat, there is no debate as to who is
more eloquent and melifluous.
You read my posts. You know that I utterly loathe the republican
party, in general, and every republican, in particular, save one
soft spoken doctor from Texas.
Concerned observer-
Please support your assertion that I am spinning conspiracy
theories about the jews with specific facts. Good luck. Right now
your logic is that of a loser.
Concerned Observer-
Is one anti-semetic if one supports an end to taxpayer funded
handouts to Israel?
". When you throw in the ability to give the speech once the
teleprompter breaks down without missing a beat"
This is an urban legend. Google it.
Scientific studies seem to actually agree with Welch's
anecdotes. Here's a good example:
http://www.reason.com/blog/show/129385.html#comments
In the primaries, on average, Obama outperformed
the polls by 3.3%; that is, there may be actually a
reverse Bradley Effect. Maybe this is because
blacks tend to tell pollsters to screw themselves, or pollsters are
underestimating their turnout, or white rural voters are afraid to
tell pollsters they are, in fact, voting for the black guy. Who
knows? But the regular Bradley Effect doesn't exist any more.
Keep in mind, the lack of a Bradley Effect doesn't mean there
aren't any racists out there who won't vote for a black guy; it
just means they aren't many who will lie about and say they are, or
at least there aren't as many as those who will lie and say they
aren't voting for the black guy when they really
are.
libertymike,
You are entitled to your opinion. It is an eccentric one. You
realize that, right? That Barack Obama is generally considered to
be a good speaker?
When you throw in the ability to give the speech once the
teleprompter breaks down without missing a beat
You know this is a lie, right?
A widely-debunked lie, refuted by the reporters behind the stage,
right?
Sen. Obama has claimed that more young black men are in prison than
in college. This is actually the opposite of the truth - there
are more young black men in college than in prison. Sen. Obama gets
a pass because (a) he was speaking more in sorrow than in anger,
even if he *was* full of shit, (b) he's half-black, and (c) he's a
Democrat.
I would be very interested to see how the media might deal with
this situation if, for any reason, they wanted to turn on the
Senator.
[Dramatic music]
HOST: Welcome to Your World Right Now. I'm your host, Gwynfred
Hollister. Controversy continues to swirl around statements by
Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, who said . . .
[Cut to clip of Senator Obama speaking in Harlem in November,
2007]
OBAMA: "I don't want to wake up four years from now and discover
that we still have more young black men in prison than in
college."
HOST: We asked Professor so-and-so of Harvard University about this
purported statistic.
PROFESSOR SO-AND-SO: Actually, Grynfred, Senator Obama is wrong.
According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, between 276,600
African-American males between the ages of 18 and 34 were in prison
at the end of 2005. That compares to 710,000 African-Americans in
college. I don't know where Senator Obama gets his
statistics.
HOST: Only his proctologist knows for sure. Now we turn to John
Smith, an African-American engineering student at MIT. Mr. Smith,
how do you react to Senator Obama's assertions?
SMITH: [In his dorm room, surrounded by books, dressed in a suit
and tie] It was like a punch in the gut. Where does this guy get
off, making like there are more young black men in prison than
college? Is this the image he wants to give the country about the
African-American population? Fortunately, I'm too busy studying to
spend a lot of time worrying about these divisive statements.
HOST: And here's Robert Galbraith, an African-American single Dad
in Peoria. Thank you for coming on the show, Bob. Now, we're soon
going to be asking Senator Obama about his statements. Is there
anything you would want to say to him?
GALBRAITH: Only this, Gwynfred. I've always told my son to respect
himself and study hard. Yesterday, he came home from school crying,
saying that the white kids had been teasing him about how he was
more likely to end up in prison than in college. So my question to
Senator Obama is, just because your black father abandoned you and
you were raised by your racist white family (you've admitted that
your white grandma was racist), why are you taking out this racial
hostility on my son? What did my son ever do to you? Is it so
important for you to get votes by appealing to America's worst
racial instincts that you would sink this low?
HOST: Now we have a chance to ask Senator Obama these questions.
He's in our studio right now. Senator Obama, what would you say to
Mr. Galbraith's son? Why did you say these things? Didn't you know
your statistics were wrong?
OBAMA: You see, Gwynfred, I was talking about the total number of
Africa-Americans in prison compared the number in college. Maybe I
didn't express myself very clearly . . .
HOST: You certainly didn't. You specifically said "young black
men," and now you're trying to weasel out of this by saying you
were *really* counting the entire African-American prison
population? Do you expect our viewers to buy that? Weren't you just
trying to appeal to racist sentiments among the white voters?
OBAMA: No way! I just love the col - I mean, my fellow black
people. They have such a sense of rhythm, you know? Why are you
assuming I'm just pandering to racists?
HOST: Senator Barack Obama: Racist or panderer? It's your call. We
report, you decide.
"Racists are a dying breed as cities supplant rural territory.
Luckily, I'll live to see the day when their total extinction
occurs. Stereotypes will live forever, though."
You don't live in the south, now do you?
I live in the south, and, racists are a dying breed as
cities supplant rural territory children attend
integrated schools.
joe,
I was parodying the concerned observer's first post. Honestly I
though my logic (fake as it was) was as good as his.
My response then was the same I make now when anxious
Washington conservatives ask whether I think there'll be some kind
of racial conflict should Obama somehow lose: I have more faith in
America than all of that.
I too have more faith in America, but win or lose I will be
armed.
Joe and BoB-
I took BoB up on his suggestion and just googled "Did the
teleprompter break"? In my quick read, I can find no fact that
establishes that the teleprompter did not break. I read "according
to sources close to John McCain" and other "evidence" that, as a
matter of logic, is not enough to carry the burden of establishing
as a FACT, that the teleprompter did not break.
Right SIV, make sure President Obama doesn't try to move you into that Liberal Fascist gas chamber.
Joe and BoB-
Maybe its more accurate to write that there are conflicting
accounts concenring the teleprompter malfunction.
Nevertheless, she can think on her feet better than Obama and she
can deliver a speech better than him.
I *want* politicians to have a teleprompter. The last President to write his own speeches was Herbert Hoover. How did that work out for him?
Joe-
Moving around standards pretty freely is the living constitution
crowd. You know that I do not run with that pack.
Thanks, TAO. I wanted to say something without looking like a nitpicking jackass. Another person doing it fixes that!
Racism is ending because mostly it's only the rural south now, and everyone is finally moving out of there. I've lived in 5 major cities - Los Angeles, Kansas City, Atlanta, Chicago, and Philadelphia. There was never any racism there.
"I've lived in 5 major cities - Los Angeles, Kansas City,
Atlanta, Chicago, and Philadelphia. There was never any racism
there."
This is H&R's patented sarcasm, right?
No, I'm serious. All racists are from the rural south. City dwellers are too cosmopolitan and informed to be racist. It's only those people in the small places.
Look.
I live in the capital of the Confederacy. Is there racism?
Sure.
Is it directed at Michael Jordan or Tiger Woods? Not so much. Is it
directed at our Mayor, former Governor Doug Wilder? No. Will it be
directed at Barack Obama? I doubt it.
Someone can say "all black people are lazy!" and then vote for
Barack Obama because he's a "good one".
I wanted to say something without looking like a nitpicking
jackass.
You can count on me!
erm...wait...
BDB,
You are "projecting". Who screams "we wuz robbed" whenever it
doesn't go there way? Nixon voters in 1960, the Cal GOP after B-1
Bob Dornan was ousted?
Which Presidents have most egregiously violated the rights of
American Citizens for political purposes. Certainly not Liberal
Progressives like Woodrow Wilson and FDR!
SIV--
I know I can count on YOU not to say ACORN stole it. Because for
one, while we disagree on some stuff, you're not a moronic
dumbass.
And, btw, wartime Presidents ALWAYS violate the most Civil Rights regardless of party. War brings people together...in a really bad way sometimes.
TAO--
I know how bad that sounded after I read it, but I meant it as a
"thank you".
without looking like a nitpicking jackass. Another person
doing it fixes that!
You I have no
imagination.
Mark,
You almost had me fooled for a second.
I don't know if Long Island, NY qualifies as rural/ignorant or
urban/sophisticated, but I literally encountered naked xenophobia
from a guy in a Long Island gym, with a strong NY accent,
complaining about Chinese and foreigners. It seems some Chinese
swimmers weren't giving him enough space in the pool. This proved
how foreigners were so greedy, taking stuff from Americans,
etc.
In an event in the South, I heard a white audience member
complaining about black people. The guy had an NY accent and was
complaining about events in NY.
Look,
I have lived in 7 different states in the deep south, the northwest
including Alaska. There has been racism in every one. The most
sinister, imo, is in the south. While not as pure as joe, I am not
KKK material either. I do recognize some unjust attitudes in myself
that I think have grown out of personal experience and anecdotal
evidence.
Point is, IMHO, racism is very much alive and well all over the
country, jusy not practiced as overtly as it was 50 years ago. I am
tempted to suggeat that it is more harmful to the non-whites now
than back in the days of MLK jr.
"You don't live in the south, now do you?"
You have never actually traveled outside your home town have
you?
BDB - If Obama wins, there will probably be some people in some comment threads somewhere claiming that OMG ACORN STOLE IT. When that happens, you can link them and mock them until you have cum. Until then, though, you don't need to battle the Strawmen from the Future every day no matter the topic of the thread.
I am tempted to suggeat that it is more harmful to the
non-whites now than back in the days of MLK jr.
Resisting temptation is the mark of character. Racism was more
harmful to non-whites when it was the foundation of an apartheid
system of governance that negated their rights and human
dignity.
I don't know if Long Island, NY qualifies as
rural/ignorant
ignorant, yes. a more accurate description would be "guidoed the
fuck up."
I wouldn't put too much stock in what happened in the Democratic Primaries. Due to the Democratic Party's support of racial preferences, among other things, that pool is disproportionately filled with blacks and guilty, self hating whites. There never was any "Bradley Effect" with these folks, so Obama overperforming the polls in the primary might not necessarily lead to overperforming in the general.
dhex,
I had to look that up in Wikipedia. That's one offensive
stereotype! I'm not talking about *all* people in LI - just the
idea that it's totally racism-free.
guido is a fitting post-racial category of boorishness that
transcends class and ethnic boundaries. wherever there are bass
cars and affliction tees; wherever freestyle and cocaine flows
freely; wherever a shirtless idiot who has watched too many ufc pay
per view events yells for "his boys" to hold him back because
several bouncers don't know the answer to "don't you know who i
am?"; there you will find the spirit of the guido.
long island merely has the most comical version.
Everyone with a brain knows the existence of racism in the United States-- especially against blacks-- is completely over-exaggerated. If anything, affirmative action and tokenism that are the big problem in racism because both AA and tokenism prescribe race as anything other than "completely fucking arbitrary."
You don't live in the south, now do you?
I've been to the South. I have friends in the South. Personally I
haven't seen a lick of racism, and racism never came up in any of
my conversations about Southerners. I am not denying its existence,
but it probably only exists among a few 80 year old people who are
all going to thankfully die off in fifteen years.
What I find shocking is that, while you presumably consider
yourself an unprejudiced man, you don't feel any cognitive
dissonance in perpetuating anti-Southern prejudice.
A far more likely event is that many white voters wanted to vote for the black guy and said so in polls but upon examination at the actual act of voting discovered that is a stupid reason to vote for someone, and simply changed their vote.
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No racism in Atlanta, are you kidding me? All you need to do is look up archives of sports forums discussing Mike Vick and you'll see plenty of racism on both sides. I don't see the Bradley effect happenning in Pennsylvania or Ohio, the democrat racists there don't face any PC pressure from cosmopolitans.
I've been to the South. I have friends in the South.
Personally I haven't seen a lick of racism, and racism never came
up in any of my conversations about Southerners. I am not denying
its existence, but it probably only exists among a few 80 year old
people who are all going to thankfully die off in fifteen
years.
I've grown up and lived most of my life in the South. There's
definitely remnants of old style racism, even in the young, but in
my experience it's always among the completely marginalized. I've
never heard a businessman say "I don't like blacks and won't hire
them," or a teacher say "I don't like blacks and don't care about
educating them," or a judge say "I don't like blacks and will not
give them a fair trial," etc... (In fact in those cases it's always
just the opposite.) The last time I read some real racist shit I
was drinking with a friend of mine in a graveyard in Cody, FL
(population maybe 30) and these two redneck 18 year old
construction workers came up cuz they had been there trying to take
pictures of the graves and develop them and call the smudges on the
pics ghosts. And they came up and offered us black and milds and
told us how they'd've killed us if we'd-a been black or fags. So
there's racism, but when it lives out in some trailers by the
wastewater evaporation pond, I think its seriousness is
exaggerated.
The Bradley effect may still be discerible in some states. In
most, it'll get lost in the noise.
I bitch and moan occasionaly about the direction America is headed,
but I'm heartened by the progress we've made in changing racist
attitudes over my adult lifetime.
We can respect Colin Powell and ridicule Al Sharpton without being
called either nigger lover or racist. It's one of the few things
this baby boomer claims as a positive for my g-g-g-eneration.
actually i think obamas race is the only reason he isn't set
for a landslide victory
I disagree. His race is a big reason he was nominated, and is a
major contributor to the immunity he has from serious inquiry or
questioning.
All told, I count it as a mild plus for him.
In the first half of 2008, the only reason the most
charismatic, eloquent
inexperienced, liberal candidate anyone can
remember who, oh yeah, was only the only major candidate to oppose
invading Iraq, won the nomination is because he's
black?
Yeah, I would say it sure helped. Funny, though, that he chose a VP
who voted to invade Iraq. Principled man, that Obama.
Gargh. Stupid HTML. Why don't they at least have a preview
button on this forum?
In the first half of 2008, the only reason the most
charismatic, eloquent inexperienced,
liberal candidate anyone can remember who, oh yeah, was
only the only major candidate to oppose invading Iraq, won the
nomination is because he's black?
Yeah, I would say it sure helped. Funny, though, that he chose a VP
who voted to invade Iraq. Principled man, that Obama.
Nevertheless, she can think on her feet better than Obama
and she can deliver a speech better than him.
Three words; Katie, fucking, Couric. Now, please provide one shred
of evidence that she's even capable of thinking on her
feet about major policy issues. And no, reading comments off a
piece of paper in a "debate" whether they make sense in context or
not doesn't count. Obama may uhhh, and ahhh, but at least once he's
finished talking he's made a goddamn relevent point.
Gargh. Stupid HTML. Why don't they at least have a preview
button on this forum?
They do. It's right next to the "submit comment" button. Works like
a charm.
They do. It's right next to the "submit comment" button.
Works like a charm.
You're new to the whole self-deprecating humor and sarcasm thing,
aren't you?
You're new to the whole self-deprecating humor and sarcasm
thing, aren't you?
Sorry, I'm kinda naive. I was always taught that the hallmark of a
good joke was that it was funny. But hey, given this new piece of
information, most of your posts make a lot more sense now. It's now
clear that you're some kind of underappreciated libertarian comedic
genius, like Andy Kaufman. Y'know, instead of just being a
run-of-the-mill Republican.
I think it's sad that, for whatever reasons, you can't look at
Barack Obama and imagine any reason for his appeal to voters other
than his race, RC.
Carolyn Moseley-Braun had almost the same resume as Barack Obama,
on paper - but keep telling yourself that the Democratic primary
was all about race.
I think it's sad that, for whatever reasons, you can't look
at Barack Obama and imagine any reason for his appeal to voters
other than his race, RC.
Christ on a crutch, joe, where have I said I couldn't imagine any
reason for his appeal to voters other than his race?
I said it was, all told, a "mild plus" for him (you can look it
up!). How you think someone who says "X is a mild plus" thinks "X
is his only appeal", I dunno.
But it doesn't really enhance your credibility on these boards that
you have such a penchant for misrepresenting people you disagree
with.
Carolyn Moseley-Braun had almost the same resume as Barack
Obama, on paper
So does John Edwards. Yet one successfully ran for the nomination,
and the other didn't. There's a lot of reasons for that, including
race.
You aren't saying race is no longer a factor, are you, joe? Or
that, in the Dem party, being black can only hurt you?
Christ on a crutch, joe, where have I said I couldn't imagine
any reason for his appeal to voters other than his race?
Well, there's here: His race is a big reason he was nominated,
and is a major contributor to the immunity he has from serious
inquiry or questioning. and then there's the part where you
crossed out the reasons besides race I gave for his nomination,
leaving only an insult and a political category that applied even
more to many of his opponents.
You aren't saying race is no longer a factor, are you, joe? Or
that, in the Dem party, being black can only hurt you? I'm
saying that the "identity politics in the Democratic Party" fails
spectacularly to explain why Barack Obama bead Hillary Clinton.
The most racist people I know are my old freinds back in the town I grew up in in Massachusetts. The least racist place I've ever lived was Goldsboro NC -- large black population and everyone got along.
Having lived in the south most of my life (though not really southern, as both my parents are from Michigan) I would say that there is plenty of racism here, but it's usually concentrated among poor white trash who blame the blacks and "Mexicans" for taking thur jebs. They can usually be safely ignored.
Shirt,
I call them "green-necks." You can probably figure out why.
Sons of Dapper O'Neil. "Christ, it looks like Saigon in here. I'll
be back with the checks."
I put "Mexican" in quotes because it's sort of a redneck catchall for Hispanics. Actually, since I'm sort of dark and I can speak Spanish, there has occasionally arisen the misimpression that I'm a "Mexican".
Then again, I've also been called "white", which in the particular context in which it was uttered was apparently an insult. So I guess it goes both ways.
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