David Weigel | July 30, 2008
Ben Smith analyzes the blowback from John McCain's new-ish, two-pronged strategy of negative (embellished) attacks on Obama and media-bashing.
McCain has long been the New York Times's favorite Republican -- the paper endorsed him in the primary, as its spokeswoman noted when he last complained -- and this represents a real shift in his political career, and a situation he hasn't really faced before: Straightforward opprobium from a media elite whom he'd considered friendly.
His campaign has clearly done the math and decided it's worth the cost, which is now being exacted in the form of a hardening media perception that he's re-running the last two Bush campaigns.
Robert Stacy McCain (no relation) has data on the effects: according to Gallup, a net 24 percent of voters think the media is "unfairly positive" in its coverage of Obama, and a net 20 percent think they're "unfairly negative" covering McCain.
Has McCain run the sloppiest Republican campaign since Dole '96? Sure; I don't think you can look at how he wasted his four-month honeymoon during the Clinton-Obama fight and conclude otherwise. But convincing voters that the media is unfair to him is the most impressive trick McCain has pulled. This is a campaign that, seven months ago, was rebroadcasting Tim Russert's description of McCain's heroism in its TV ads.
I don't think McCain's comeback would have been possible had the
political press not been scoring points for him all throughout
2007. His comeback was willed into existence by reporters; you
could find
helpful analyses of what he could do to win as early as July
last year. It's part of what makes the Obama-McCain battle a fair
fight, not a hopelessly lopsided fight: Both men are beloved by the
press in a way no one's been since, arguably, Carter in 1976.
Seriously, look at the way the ridiculous Wesley Clark story was
covered this month and try to argue that the media's being unfair
to McCain.
Josh Benson and Felix Gillette talk
to some of those devious media conspirators here. Joe
Scarborough:
The great irony of it coming from the McCain camp is that no candidate in modern American politics got more favorable treatment from the press than John McCain in 2000. I would suggest he received more positive press in 2000 than his nearest competitor, Barack Obama, in 2008. For McCain to now cry foul because the media is intrigued by a new exciting candidate is humorous.
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Has McCain run the sloppiest Republican campaign since Dole
'96? Sure; I don't think you can look at how he wasted his
four-month honeymoon during the Clinton-Obama fight and conclude
otherwise
I agree that McCain has run an awful campaign, but I don't think
this is the best example.
He didn't spend those four months on the beach; he spent them
shoring up his battered relationship with the Republican right,
without whom he would have no chance of winning.
Nice piece Dave, but I'm not sure I can buy into it.
What I really need in order to decide this issue is some stories in
the media about the media covering media coverage of the
candidates. That way I'll know who's really getting
sweetheart coverage.
But convincing voters that the media is unfair to him is the
most impressive trick McCain has pulled.
20% of them, Dave. That's less than Bush's approval rating, for
heaven's sake, and you can be certain the former is a subset of the
latter.
I would predict that McCain's strategy of whining about the media
is going to backfire by damaging the tough-as-nails aura he's
worked so hard to cultivate, but I'm continually surprised at the
stupidity of the electorate.
O.t,
Those are net numbers. It isn't 20% of the public, it's 20% more
than believe that he is being treated unfairly.
"Campaigns should be judged in November, not
July."
Campaigns should be judged from the time they begin until the time
they end.
joe,
OK, I see. That's kind of a weird measurement, because it ignores
the larger percentage of people who think the media's being fair.
But it's still only 32% who think he's being treated unfairly, and
as we all know any GOP talking point can automatically gain about
30% support in the polls no matter how absurd.
Getting on the right flank's good side and accusing the media of
bias is the two-part strategy, and it's been somewhat successful.
Many hardcore republicans only rallied to McCain's nomination when
the NYT ran an article suggesting he had an affair with a
lobbyist.
"If the New York Times is smearing McCain, he can't be that
bad."
and as we all know any GOP talking point can automatically
gain about 30% support in the polls no matter how
absurd.
And they could run a chupacabra for president and still have a lock
on 30 states. Unless, of course, the public demanded an end to
outsourcing American imaginary monster jobs to foreign
competitors.
I don't think much of the media rim-job Obama's getting, but McCain
whining about be treated unfairly by the press is just him
boo-hooing enough to be heard in the cheap seats. I bet negative
stories about him have an exact correlative curve with incidents of
him sucking up to the hard-right No-Nothings.
Seems to me that McCain is whining his way into mediocrity and a loss in November.
SugarFree,
I was going to ask to see ElChupacabra's birth certificate to
verify it was really NativeBorn, but you anticipated my
concerns.
I don't watch much cable news or anything, but has McCain's whining resulted in the MSM trying to overcompensate by showering McCain with praise in an effort to look "balanced"?
McCain: loser in the making.
No way. We're getting the crazy old codger for President, I
promise.
Well, duh, of course McCain got lots of positive press treatment back when he was a thorn in the side of conservatives, or when he was seen as the more centrist of Republican nominees in 2000. And of course his "beloved of the press" status has changed now that he's running against a liberal Democrat. It's not ironic, it's just the way the mainstream media works.
She bitched so much, she drove me nuts, and now we're happier
this way.
But convincing voters that the media is unfair to him is the
most impressive trick McCain has pulled.
Honestly, Weigel, I try to like you in spite of your lefty
tendencies but this is just retarded. Did you not see the press
coverage of Obama's trip? The standing ovation yesterday? How can
any sane person believe that a press that gives 20:1 to Obama can
possibly be objective and fair?
I'm from IL, and we hear 10x more about Rezko in regards to Gov.
Blago than the Presidential candidate, despite the fact Rezko was
Obama's neighbor and appears to have engaged in an unethical and
probably illegal landsharing deal with Obama. In what world does
this make sense?
They mention Rezko once or twice and that somehow proves parity?
Huh? They published that crap about McCain's "relationship" even as
they embargo Edwards getting caught visiting his mistress and
apparent love child at 4AM.
Has McCain run the sloppiest Republican campaign since Dole
'96? Sure; I don't think you can look at how he wasted his
four-month honeymoon during the Clinton-Obama fight and conclude
otherwise
Really? Because I recall Obama spending time recently on a
taxpayer-financed junket to places where no American voters (other
than the troops he visited in Iraq) reside, while McCain was doing
the unglamorous job of visiting actual voters in swing states like
Pennsylvania -- and getting derided by Stewart / Colbert for doing
so.
Having secured Eric Dondero's endorsement, my victory is assured, my friends.
What does it mean that the Republicans keep putting out
contradictory spin?
Obama keeps changing his position on Iraq while stubbornly refusing
to change his position on Iraq.
Obama is one of those elitist inner city black guys.
Barack Obama is getting completely unfair levels of press and
adulation over a trip that was a strategic blunder to ever
make.
I think it means they're screwed.
Barack Obama is getting completely unfair levels of press
and adulation over a trip that was a strategic blunder to ever
make.
So, if Obama repeated this trip during the week before election day
while McCain stumped in Ohio and Missouri and Colorado and all the
other swing states -- still really a fantastic idea?
You win presidential elections by talking to and shaking hands with
actual voters in the ten states or so that are in play in a close
election.
Showboating versus doing the necessary grunt work.
Hare v. tortoise
So, if Obama repeated this trip during the week before
election day while McCain stumped in Ohio and Missouri and Colorado
and all the other swing states -- still really a fantastic
idea?
No, that would be a bad idea. Thing is, that's not when he made the
trip.
For McCain to now cry foul because the media is intrigued by
a new exciting candidate is humorous.
Wow...this is hugely idiotic.
How about someone who is not McCain having a problem with Media
bias for any candidate?
Seriously, look at the way the ridiculous Wesley Clark story
was covered this month and try to argue that the media's being
unfair to McCain.
Easy...David Weigel has consistently written more negative articles
about McCain then he has about Obama.
Not only can I argue that but I win the argument all in one
sentence.
Plus there is the fact that "the media's" love affair for McCain in
2000 was during a primary. The bias that Weigel alludes to is
prefaced by the fact that it was only in relation to other
republican candidates. Not by a preference of McCain over Gore.
Why is McCain considered a hero? Seriously. He graduated at the bottom of his Annapolis class, then proceeded to crash 5 planes because he was a horrible flyer (according to military sources). The last plane he crashed was in the enemy's backyard so he became a POW and spent most of the war in captivity. What's heroic about that,and how does that give him experience of any kind? McCain is a nasty, bitter old man who doesn't know where he stands on issues or what he voted for/against in the past.
Your talking points betray you Phx"Republican." We know all
soldiers either commit atrocities or are too helpless and stupid to
fight properly and it's all a capitalist conspiracy by Milton
Friedman, but let's leave the talking points and stick to the topic
at hand.
The press love for McCain was always kind of revolting, but I don't
think it's gone anywhere (I think he'd still enjoy it against
Clinton).
As of now that love is just buried under all the journalist
Barajackulation, which certainly exceeds anything I've seen other
than when I was visiting my friend in Togliatti a few year back.
That we have a free press just makes this all the more shameful and
weird.
Which brings me to people like Weigel and Andrew Sullivan. I can
clearly see why either of them wouldn't like McCain, but why the
Hell would they back Obama (Sullivan admits it and it's getting
pretty obvious with Weigel)? At least Matt Welch's anti-McCain
obsession (with his always-impeccable arguments for its
justification) is counterbalanced with a healthy, if not equal,
dose of pure, unadulterated
My-God-this-guy-who's-not-McCain-really-really-just-sucks-and-sucks-and-sucks-brand
earnesty.
Are the enthusiasms of Weigel because Obama will legalize gay
marriage? BO says he won't. Is it because Obama will legalize
drugs? He says he won't. Is it because Obama will spend less than
McCain? He says he won't and I guarantee both that Congress won't
go with the plan even if he tried, and that Obama won't go against
Congress. Is it because Obama will tax less? He won't. Is it
because Obama's more federalist? McCain's not very federalist, but
he's more federalist than his opponent, which is worse for us than
either of them. Is it because Obama's better on foreign policy?
Seeing how he's made rhetorical gestures toward invading a place
utterly lacks a coherent case for invasion (in Darfur), I actually
think BO's worse than McCain, whose own nigh-unmakeable,
quasi-incoherent case for bombing Iran qualifies him as terrible.
So, it follows that Obama's worse than terrible on FP.
So, again we've got a contest between a Turd Sandwich (McCain) and
a Giant Douche (Obama).
At least Turd Sandwich will have a somewhat obstructionist Congress
and, himself, serve to obstruct Congress. That's one positive.
Another is that McCain will appoint judges that won't be inclined
to reverse Heller, which passed 5-4. Still another is that he's
threatening to veto all farm subsidies and endeavor to end the
federal government's ethanol fraud with the stroke of his red pen
(though, unfortunately, I think those things pass with veto proof
majorities, no?). That's two and a half pretty good reasons to buy
a Turd Sandwich.
While Giant Douche seems like a thoughtful and honest guy by the
low standards of politicians, the only positive I can think of for
him is that his very existence vindicates libertarian arguments
against affirmative action. Voting for a guy based on that is as
dumb as voting for McCain because he was a POW. Issue-wise, Giant
Douche is too far to the right on everything I don't like about
Republicans and too far to the left on everything I do.
I'm not saying Sullivan and Weigel aren't perfectly capable of
deciding for themselves; just that I can't see one damned
issue-based reason for a libertarian or small-government-type to
support the guy they're supporting. I really wish one of them could
at least endeavor to make a rational case--and one not based on the
idea that he's lying about everything.
Sullivan's I-hate-everyone-over-fifty argument was compelling, but
only on an emotional level and didn't make as much sense as he
probably thinks it did. It was 100% emotion, 0% logic.
I want to see the case for voting Obama spelled out in logic.
If one of them makes it, who knows, maybe they perseude me.
Because I recall Obama spending time recently on a
taxpayer-financed junket to places where no American voters (other
than the troops he visited in Iraq) reside, while McCain was doing
the unglamorous job of visiting actual voters in swing states like
Pennsylvania -- and getting derided by Stewart / Colbert for doing
so.
Apparently this commenter missed McCain's trip to Iraq and Israel,
the one where Lieberman had to correct him by whispering in his
ear. He also stopped in London on that trip. He probably would have
given a speech in Germany, but a McCain speech wouldn't draw flies
in Arizona.
McCain's earlier stroll around a Baghdad market, accompanied by
helicopters overhead and something like a platoon of U.S. soldiers,
was unforgettable.
Of course he campaigned in Mexico and Colombia as well. Why? Who
the hell knows?
I know if I ever get the opportunity to take a paid "junket", I'm
heading straight to Iraq.
Easy...David Weigel has consistently written more negative
articles about McCain then he has about Obama.
Maybe McCain's simply a worse candidate than Obama.
You're trying to prove bias by burdening Weigel with a "fairness
doctrine" that simply doesn't apply. When a candidate is as big a
disaster as McCain, constantly changing his story on virtually
every issue of the day, I think the media who portray him
negatively are just doing their jobs. If Weigel gets it, that only
improves my impression of how well Weigel does his job.
"I want to see the case for voting Obama spelled out in
logic."
Mr. Anonymous - to answer your question. In D.C. you get invited to
parties with the cool kids if you profess Obama love. (I'm only
semi-kidding)
P.S. - good post.
To answer your "worst campaign?" query, I refer you to the latest memo from Rick Davis. Turns out that not only is Obama hideously popular, he compounds the offense by working out, eating (actually, demanding) protein bars, and drinking Honest Tea. I think they forgot the part about the orange juice, but that's old news.
Obama's definitely getting more coverage. But it's more bad
coverage according to the latest media research study:
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-onthemedia27-2008jul27,0,2066363,full.story.
Given how bad McCain's campaign has been run, you'd think he'd be
getting more negative coverage than Obama. Not so. Just the
opposite, in fact.
We are truly down the rabbit hole here.
Mr. Anonymous: Good points. I've wondered about Weigel's
inexplicable man-crush on Obama as well.
To add a few more: Obama's support for a global war on poverty. His
support for ending secret ballot unionization elections. His
bizarre "civilian national security force," the one that's going to
be just as powerful and well-funded as the military. His support
for "comparable worth" legislation. The fact that he (like nearly
all Democrats) are in the pockets of the unions and the trial
lawyers. The fact that Democrats are talking about bringing back
the fairness doctrine. Etc.
McCain's no libertarian dream, but he's leagues ahead of Obama on
nearly every score that should matter to libertarians.
I agree with all of that, PapayaSF, and feel shame that I left out Obama's support for "comparable worth" legislation, which, itself, might be enough to get me to vote for the other guy even if Obama wasn't so bad on every other topic of interest.
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