David Weigel | April 22, 2008
Celebrate Earth Week (it's a week now?) with this Jill Stewart expose of the efforts of the "smart growth" lobby to dominate the global warming debate in California. Stewart finds head-scratching scientific skepticism of the idea that smart growth and clustered populations cut down pollution... and then watches Attorney General Jerry Brown buy the idea completely and utterly.
Jerry Brown is so certain he’s right about urban density as a method for reducing warming that he is using his office’s power, recently suing San Bernardino County, largely as an object lesson. (See accompanying story.)
Brown also speaks at statewide global warming “workshops” that offer virtually no scientific data and are, in fact, promotional events presenting his view that suburbs cause global warming and urban density fights global warming.
These sessions are not financed by the state government, but by smart-growth proponents who created a non-profit group calling itself the Local Government Commission (LCG) to tout their ideas. Aside from Brown, the group’s promotional sessions also feature speakers from EDAW, a global firm of some 50,000 employees that is one of the world’s most ardent, for-profit peddlers of dense, urban “smart-growth.”
The science offered is so thin that, at one “workshop” last month, a smart growth proponent presented online photographs comparing an ugly, suburban shopping center to a cozy block of cute, urban shops. This was offered as an example of how suburbia creates distance and global warming.
More reason on the "smart growth" dogma here.
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Why Are
Environmentalists Wishing For The End Of The World?
Warning: it's a hit-piece by that arch-conservative rag
Slate.
Brown also speaks at statewide global warming "workshops"
that offer virtually no scientific data and are, in fact,
promotional events presenting his view that suburbs cause global
warming and urban density fights global warming.
Wow, now he is ripping off Al Gore, but not using the codeword
"sprawl". That is one tricky lawyer!
So, for Lennin's birthday we get to warm up with the CA Gov. and
Attorney General Jerry Brown. I wonder how high we will get in the
chain? Al Gore? The "Yuppies"? The "Yippies"? More SDS/Weather
Underground folks? A "Ramparts" reunion? Perhaps coverage of an
editorial board meeting with "The Nation"?
I am refreshing as fast as I can!
Jerry Brown's still a pig-ignorant hippie after all these years?
Gee, who could have guessed?
-jcr
Just clicked the link.
Why would you link to such a weak piece? There's nothing
there.
Some scientists think that there are better uses of public
investments aimed at reducing global warming, and the proposition
that less driving and more energy-efficient buildings result in
smaller GHG footprints is controversial.
Underwhelmed.
Take a look at some maps of per capita GHG emissions vs distance from a city center. It's pretty telling, and it makes sense given that people living close to their jobs don't have to drive as far, are more likely to use public transit, are more likely to live in smaller areas and thus to heat and air condition smaller areas. I don't think that putting smart growth mandates in place is the way to do it, but it's silly to say that a person doesn't emit more when they live in the suburbs than when they live in a city center.
I thought Brown's aura smiles and never frowns. That Jello guy is full of shit.
joe,
The story here is that the state government, in concert with a
vested-interest private group, is acting on assumptions with
conflicted scientific support. This action, by its very nature as
state policy, may be well-nigh irreversible once enacted.
It's never happened before.
Jorgen,
A lot of things "make sense" that aren't necessarily so. If the
maps are so compelling, then why is this controversial? Got any
links to said maps? I'm not trying to be snarky, I'm genuinely
curious.
I agree with Joe...
Libertarians shouldn't feel the need to reflexively defend strip
malls and suburbia as somehow the result of free markets and
personal decisions. Rather, libertarians would be better off
pointing out how governments have subsidized people to live further
away from urban centers -- through the building of massive new
roads and schools, expanding the electric grid etc. -- thus causing
an overall increase in pollution by enabling people to live in
places that they probably otherwise would not.
It makes sense (even if people like Jerry Brown are making the
case) that more densely built areas would lessen the need for long
commutes and perhaps automobiles in general. Now libertarians could
argue that the problem of inefficient suburban living is a direct
result of state intervention, and that the solution is to eliminate
new road projects and other government subsidies that enable it --
but one shouldn't pretend it's not a problem that exists just
because you don't agree with the solutions being offered.
Speaking as someone who lives and works in the same structure
(it's a barn, not a house), I am absolutely opposed to single-use
zoning.
If "smart growth" means allowing individuals to do as they wish,
then I have no objection.
P Brooks,
You are my hero! I wish I had a barn/home/workshop so I could begin
my crusade to offer an affordable muscle car to those who can only
afford hybrids. A barn could make the perfect workshop!
charlie,
There are some people who are willing to trade the space and
relative quiet of the suburbs for the pace and accessibility of the
city.
On the other hand, there are people who are willing to trade longer
commutes in order to have their own little castle.
Imposing a one-size-fits all growth plan onto everyone is no kind
of solution.
Rather, libertarians would be better off pointing out how governments have subsidized people to live further away from urban centers -- through the building of massive new roads and schools, expanding the electric grid etc. -- thus causing an overall increase in pollution by enabling people to live in places that they probably otherwise would not.
I think you're misstating the cause and effect relationship. The
government did not direct Henry Ford to build automobiles to be
driven on roads which they had already built.
The government did not exactly have to send troops into the cities
to drive the populace into the countryside.
I have a mallet. I have a wooden stake. I'll I need now is to know where Jerry Brown sleeps.
"Smart growth" seems to mean either "low growth" (i.e. snob
zoning) or "dense growth". "Smart" is apparently in the eyes of the
beholder, and the lack of a good definition for "smart growth"
tends to obscure the debate.
I don't have a lot of issue for non-financial incentives supporting
"dense growth". But too often, "dense growth" is a Field of Dreams
scenario (if you build it, they will come), and I'm not prepared to
financially support someone's dream.
As for snob zoning, it sucks. It's the worst form of democratic
imperialism. It's why I despise zoning as a whole, because zoning
gives rise to the unfettered impulse for everyone to attempt to
force their preferences on their neighbors. And snob zoning
epitomizes that impulse.
Rather, libertarians would be better off pointing out how
governments have subsidized people to live further away from urban
centers -- through the building of massive new roads and schools,
expanding the electric grid etc.
I continue to be mystified by how delivering utility and
transportation infrastructure where people want it is a
"subsidy".
If "smart growth" means allowing individuals to do as they
wish, then I have no objection.
It doesn't. Its just a different set of zoning mandates.
I don't have a lot of issue for non-financial incentives
supporting "dense growth".
Out of curiosity, what non-financial incentives are there besides
restrictive zoning ordinances? Most dense growth results from high
valued land, leading owners to try to maximize the income potential
of that land by increasing the density. Or am I missing
something?
Rather, libertarians would be better off pointing out how
governments have subsidized people to live further away from urban
centers -- through the building of massive new roads and schools,
expanding the electric grid etc.
I always hear people saying these things are subsidized, but they
aren't.
You want to talk about subsidies, talk about the massive subsidies
public transit agencies get, which are always increasing and are
always too small. Talk about the subsidies large cities hand out
with TIF districts. Talk about the corporate welfare being handed
out.
Some people like a suburban lifestyle, some like an urban
lifestyle. All the jabbering on either side is nothing but
snobbery.
Out of curiosity, what non-financial incentives are there
besides restrictive zoning ordinances?
Actually, restrictive ordinances impede density. The best
"non-financial" incentive is the removal of existing ordinances.
Most limitations on density are due to existing restrictive
ordinances. Even in Manhattan, it's incredibly difficult to build a
new high rise housing unit without hitting major governmental
resistance.
NIMBYism is the biggest enemy of density.
P Brooks,
Henry Ford may have mass produced the automobile, but he didn't
have the power of eminent domain to kick up to 60,000 people a year
off their land to build the interstate highway system. There's no
doubt some people would still choose to live far away from cities
without that highway system, but I'd wager the numbers would be
much fewer than what we see now.
And as Bill Kauffman points out in this article --
http://www.taemag.com/issues/articleid.17332/article_detail.asp --
the use of state power to drive (poor) people out of their urban
homes, in addition to causing a large shift in the makeup of the
United States, also stoked militant movements among people upset
their land was being stolen.
If you're talking suburbs, you're talking single-family homes. If you're talking single-family homes, you're talking 30-year mortgages and federal mortgage insurance - none of which existed until the FDR administration.
charlie,
kicking people out of their urban homes in favor of highways was
the "smart growth" of the 60's.
Russ-
Look, if you prefer a suburban lifestyle than that's great, but
that doesn't take away from the fact that it's only possible due to
massive state intervention, with the use of eminent domain and
taxes to construct a national highway system -- a subsidy to
suburbanites and businesses that rely heavily on
transportation.
And if you look at the federal budget, taxes dedicated to public
transit pale in comparison to the budget for highways and road
construction.
I think you're misstating the cause and effect relationship.
The government did not direct Henry Ford to build automobiles to be
driven on roads which they had already built.
The government did not exactly have to send troops into the cities
to drive the populace into the countryside.
True, but the government did start zoning the shit out of every
city. Personally, I think everything started going downhill when
cities started shutting down corner taverns. Seriously.
Invisible finger --
There's no doubt the highway system was pitched as the smart growth
of its time, which is why we should be wary of attempts to the use
the state to impose the hot new fad among urban planners.
That said, we should still recognize the problems associated with
suburban sprawl and point out how it doesn't represent a "market
failure", but rather typical government-mandated short-sightedness
and inefficiency.
Did anyone but me read the article?
Reason Magazine is now linking positively to a piece which
approvingly quotes one scientist saying that global warming is
caused by overpopulation, and cannot be restrained by any means
other than restricting population; and which uses the phrase
"forcing density on Los Angeles" to refer to the elimination of
regulation that restrict developers from building higher.
It always strikes me how eager Reason is to abandon the principles
it claims are its core beliefs, in order to defend
government-engineered sprawl.
The National Home Builders Association sure does get its money's
worth.
joe | April 22, 2008, 10:51am | #
It always strikes me how eager Reason is to abandon the principles it claims are its core beliefs, in order to defend government-engineered sprawl.
Drink?
Some living arangements do impact the environment more than others, but market forces can fix that. Just charge for negative externalities and people will decide for themselves if a neighborhood layout is worth the environmental costs. The current suburban sprawl is the result of environmentalist objections to urban development. I have seen enough urban planning mistakes to know that intelligent design is imposible.
The current suburban sprawl is the result of
environmentalist objections to urban development.
Since urban sprawl began in the 40s and 50s, and there was no
environmental movement until the 60s at the earliest (most people
point to the first Earth Day, in 1970, as the foundation), that
cannot possibly be true.
joe,
The folks around here have a hard time getting their heads around
the concept that there are policy changes that involve reducing
regulation and eliminating subsidies.
Smart growth policy examples:
Eliminate requirements to have parking spaces.
Eliminate density restrictions.
Eliminate restrictions on mixed use.
Eliminate subsidies to developers in the form of infrastructure
support (e.g., make them pay for the roads and power out to their
development).
Because the government would be "doing" these things, they must be
bad see, because anything the government does is bad.
NM,
I think most of them would have no trouble figuring out that
concept, if it weren't for the fact that the people making those
recommendations are on the wrong side of the culture war.
It always strikes me how eager Reason is to abandon the
principles it claims are its core beliefs, in order to defend
government-engineered sprawl.
I don't see that as being the case here. The article is not
specific in regards to proposed regulation (or deregulation).
Instead, I think the article successfully criticizes the unfounded
basis (i.e. that suburbanization equates to global warming) being
used to drive land use policies in CA.
The policy basis for density in CA should be efficiency instead of
GW. Basing it on GW undermines the integrity of the density
effort.
Most people, who bother to read up on it, set the beginning of the "environmental movement" at the publication of Silent Spring by Rachel Carson and published by Houghton Mifflin in September 1962, not on the 100th birthday of Vladimer Lenin.
I got this computer thing connected to the intertubes, so my boss let's me work overtime from home rather than drive in on weekends. I think my boss might let me work from home during the week some time soon too.
The government will have policies regarding building and
development.
Those policies should be as smart as they can be.
Most smart policies are minimal and simple.
The current complex layering of regulations is far from simple and
clean.
Smart growth policies start, in most cases, with a concerted effort
to clean out all the bad policies. Most will not be replaced with
something new.
I this is an interesting tidbit:
A recent Minnesota study of three communities
found that when agricultural land was subdivided,
it cost the local government more to provide
the newly required services than the newly
generated tax revenues paid. More surprising,
though, was the finding that, used for farming,
the land generates twice as much local tax revenue
as it demands back in public services.
"Farmland and Tax Bill: The Cost of Community
Services in Three Minnesota Cities." American
Farmland Trust, Washington DC and Land
Stewardship Project, Marine on St. Croix MN, 1994.
NM,
My only problem is they dont go far enough. Eliminate all that
stuff - fine. Now eliminate zoning. Even finer!!!!
The good is the enemy of the perfect.
Also, if the government would eliminate itself, I wont be
complaining about its action in that case.
NM,
The government will have policies regarding building and
development.
It shouldnt.
Those policies should be as smart as they can be.
Okay, whatever that means.
Most smart policies are minimal and simple.
To paraphase Thoreau (or was it Emerson?), the most minimal and
simplist would be none at all.
The current complex layering of regulations is far from simple
and clean.
Agreed.
Smart growth policies start, in most cases, with a concerted
effort to clean out all the bad policies. Most will not be replaced
with something new.
It would be even easier to eliminate all policies. That way you
dont have to judge levels of badness.
MP,
In this case, it wasn't an embrace of regulation and its outcomes I
was noting, but, for example, the scientist quoted as blaming
global warming on "overpopulation."
Reason can usually be counted on to give hell to the ZPG people,
but like everything else, that goes out the door when the subject
is sprawl.
MP,
The policy basis for density in CA should be efficiency instead
of GW. Basing it on GW undermines the integrity of the density
effort.
But efficiency is the primary means for reducing green house gas
emissions. There is no conflict...you are just talking about how to
frame the issue. The goals and methods are equivalent whether you
want to increase efficiency or decrease GHG footprint...no?
robc,
Let's call that Plan A.
Should Plan B be the existing zoning mess (which Reason never gets
around to criticizing), or the less-intrusive, more liberal
regulatory system NM describes?
NM,
My point in all this is I dont trust ANYONE to be able to
accurately determine good/bad and smart/dumb. For every decision
they get right, they will get two wrong. I havent seen any evidence
to the contrary at any level of government.
robc,
The good is the enemy of the perfect.
A phrase that helps sustain the bad.
A phrase that helps sustain the bad.
Thats what both sides tell me when I vote LP too. I dont believe it
then, why should I now?
A ready example of smart growth policies.
And yes, they started with central planning of some aspects of the
city's development. The ideas, however, were simple and effective.
Good as the enemy of the bad, realizing that perfect lives only in
robc's head.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Curitiba
joe,
Im not sure Plan A is actually better. It is differently bad from
Plan B.
Think Kerry/Bush. I didnt want Bush for term 2, but I didnt want
President Kerry either. It was the exact same kind of choice. So I
voted for Badnarik.
I enjoy living in my head. Cant recommend a better place. Sure beats most other heads I have encountered.
Just to clarify joe's point for robc, Plan A is your plan of
having no plan.
Plan C would be smart growth.
I agree that Plan A would be as bad as B for different
reasons.
Another example of successful urban planning?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haussmann's_renovation_of_Paris
joe,
So instead of focusing on bad science driving public policy
decisions, the focus should have been on one quote in the
article?
Back on topic, reading between the lines it seems that suburbs
might have beneficial aspects. All new suburbs around here leave
significant amounts of green space in addition to all the lawns,
which apparently helps more than the pave it all urban core.
Also, I live in Houston, which has no zoning. I don't think this
town is a model, by anybody's standards, for how to encourage
density and discourage sprawl. The whole "eliminate regulation and
density will come" model might have some flaws.
This thread made me realize something, nothing here is a
surprise, even to me, but I never quite put it in words
before.
I enjoy chaos and radical change.
I enjoy history and stability and tradition.
Incremental change pisses me off.
Even applies to weather. I once said that I wouldnt mind living
winters in Wisconsin and summers in Georgia. Splitting the
difference actually works because we get all kinds of weather in
Louisville and it seems to change rapidly, not slowly. Weather in
Florida or Southern California would suck.
My lifestyle is that way too. I tend to be a very habit oriented
person who every now and then radically changes his life.
Huh. Make of that what you will.
But efficiency is the primary means for reducing green house
gas emissions. There is no conflict...you are just talking about
how to frame the issue. The goals and methods are equivalent
whether you want to increase efficiency or decrease GHG
footprint...no?
Economic efficiency is not the same as
environmental efficiency. Gains in one may tangentially
relate to gains in another, but the correlation is far from 1. No
one has shown that density would have anything beyond a marginal
effect on GW. Yet there's plenty of empirical evidence that shows
how density impacts economic efficiency.
Thus, it's important to frame the issue with what's known vs.
what's speculated in order to have your justification be better
accepted by the population you are trying to convince.
NM,
I thought Plan A was smart growth. He said "lets call that plan A".
Isnt "that" referring to smart growth?
Altevogt says the 2006 global-warming act requires that the
California government adopt only those ideas that are
technologically feasible and economically wise. "
No problem; I'm completely satisfied.
NM,
After rereading joe's post, I think you are right. His 2nd sentence
was confusing to me because I thought the "that" in plan A referred
to smart growth.
So, I vote either the radical change of plan A, or just keep up
what we are doing now. Dont futz around the edges.
T,
Neither the article nor the post offers the slightest bit of
evidence that there actually is bad science driving public
policy decisions.
Did you read it?
All new suburbs around here leave significant amounts of green
space in addition to all the lawns, which apparently helps more
than the pave it all urban core.
The fact that you see more green space does not make the
development pattern more beneficial.
2000 acres of pavement and 98,000 undeveloped acres is far, far
better for the environment than 100,000 acres of lawns and specks
of woods. Not to mention, have you ever actually considered the
paved acreage of a multi-lane highway?
Altevogt says the 2006 global-warming act requires that the
California government adopt only those ideas that are
technologically feasible and economically wise. "
No problem; I'm completely satisfied.
Yeah. Isn't this the same state that mandated a certain percentage
of zero-emissions vehicles? How'd that one work out?
What if the Home Owners' Association banned all vehicles above a certain GVW, and required everybody to drive a Smart Car?
I also opposed Bush's SS plan because half-assed efforts
fiddling around with "private" accounts is worse than real
reform.
Ditto tax code changes. Even if they didnt eliminate the income
tax, I would prefer a tax reform plan that starts from scratch.
Dont modify the current code, throw it out and start over.
MP,
Economic efficiency is not the same as environmental
efficiency.
Not equivalent, sure, but nearly so.
Thus, it's important to frame the issue with what's known vs.
what's speculated in order to have your justification be better
accepted by the population you are trying to convince.
I agree.
That is what baffles me about some of the attitudes I see on this
issue. The people who argue against the economic inefficiency of
many government policies advocate many of the same changes in
policy that those who argue against the environmental harm of those
policy suggest. But because they have different motivations and
come from different sides of the culture war, they can't get
together and make the change they both want.
robc,
"that" typically would refer to the most recent possible referent,
in this case your suggestion to get rid of all regulations.
joe can correct me if I read that wrong.
Since urban sprawl began in the 40s and 50s, and there was
no environmental movement until the 60s at the earliest
Grrr! Fucking arrogant hippy baby boomers, ignorant of
history.
As a rational environmentalist I'd like to point out
Ducks Unlimited, Michigan United Conservation
Club, and many other environmental organizations existed prior
to the '60s. The "environmental movement" should be groveling at
the feet of sportsman clubs. Unless preserving wetlands and forests
by said sportsman, doesn't count.
JsubD,
I would say you need to go back at least as far as
Walden by Henry David Thoreau - 1854
robc,
Muir, is, of course, another excellent benchmark.
I'll recommend a good read on the history of environmentalism from
an old friend.
http://yalepress.yale.edu/yupbooks/book.asp?isbn=9780300053708
JsD,
In modern terms, "environmentalist movement" is reserved for the
most unreasonable, inconvenient, business killing, Socialistic
approaches that one can devise. That's why it starts with
Silent Spring and gets worse.
The reasonable groups you mention, by being reasonable, exclude
them from the modern movement. When has a Isaac Walton League
member ever burned a subdivision under construction or an SUV lot
(other than to collect insurance money)?
joe,
Neither the article nor the post offers the slightest bit of
evidence that there actually is bad science driving public policy
decisions.
But joe, some reported stated that the science was shaky. They even
found a couple of scientists who would go on record supporting
their assertion. It must be true.
;^)
Guy M,
That was the most idiotic thing you have ever written...a high bar.
Kudos my friend. Kudos.
Why, yes, joe, I did read the article. Perhaps you missed lines
like
despite what California leaders are saying, there's no
certainty about the relative roles of dense urban living and
suburban living in reducing global warming.
and then this
Despite Altevogt's assurances, the governor's Climate Action
Team has already concluded, largely ignoring the shaky science,
that about 12 percent of the total reduction in
transportation-related global-warming emissions in California must
come from changes in land-use patterns.
So, nobody knows what the various density patterns do for global
warming, but fuck it, 12% of the reductions are going to come from
land use changes. Yeah, I'll definitely chalk that one up under bad
science driving public policy decisions. More precisely, an
inability to understand science driving public policy decisions.
It's classic California public policy: wishing makes it so.
Yes, joe, I'm aware of the paved acreage of a multi-lane highway.
I'm also aware that realistically, the choice isn't a 2%/98% split.
Houston is 600 square miles and LA is almost 500. These are not
places where you're going to fix the problem by density increases
absent draconian measures. If the choice is pavement or
neighborhood greenspace, which is better?
I meant that the Rainbow Puppy Island system of land use robc
endorses is Plan A for reforming our zoning problem.
It might be worthwhile to consider a Plan B, if you actually are
against the status quo.
robc, smart growth is not a half-step. It is as fundamental a
change of direction as one could imagine. Just because most of this
change is not aligned along the axis you are primarily interested
in (more vs. less regulation) does not mean it is only a trivial
change - although some of it is. There are other issues out
there.
The earlier conservation movements were not what we would call
"environmentalist" organizations in contemporary terms. Nor did
they play any role in promoting sprawl.
Some scientists think that there are better uses of public
investments aimed at reducing global warming, and the proposition
that less driving and more energy-efficient buildings result in
smaller GHG footprints is controversial.
Joe's idea of aimed public investment is government telling people
where they can build their homes on their own land.
T,
Neither of those quotes provides any evidence. They provide mere
assertions. My statement was about "evidence," not the opinion of a
writer for a free weekly.
If the choice is pavement or neighborhood greenspace That
is not the choice. That is a false choice.
If the total amount of development - in terms of housing units and
retail space - is a given, all you do by leaving green spaces in
your neighborhood is to move that development somewhere else,
whether by cutting down an equal amount of greenspace somewhere
else (for example, by eating away at a larger, less degraded area
of open space further out, or by densifying an existing developed
area.
Joe's idea of aimed public investment is government telling
people where they can build their homes on their own
land.
...and therefore, it cannot be true that smart growth results in
less carbon emissions than sprawl.
This basically sums up Reason's position on the issue; bad
"statist" people have made an observation, so it is false.
Since urban sprawl began in the 40s and 50s
You mean the 2050's BC?
http://www.amazon.com/Sprawl-Compact-History-Robert-Bruegmann/dp/0226076911/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1208881061&sr=1-1&tag=reasonmagazineA
joe,
Don't forget.
Someone has made assertion that a proposed policy is
bad...therefore their assertion is based on sound analysis.
Jerry Brown is so certain he's right about urban
density
Moonbeam is also primarily responsible for California's
transportation woes. He spent his 8 years as governor canceling
every highway project he could. It worked. We now have horrific
traffic but it didn't get anyone out of their car and onto the
bus.
TWC,
Yeah...only 250,000 riders a day on LA's subway.
Add buses and there's not even 500 million rides a year.
Also, I live in Houston, which has no zoning. I don't think
this town is a model, by anybody's standards, for how to encourage
density and discourage sprawl.
Amen to that. Houston is a sprawling nightmare. That said, the lack
of zoning regulations has little to no effect compared to the
massive, massive, massive highway structure when it comes to
sprawl.
I'm all for reducing or eliminating zoning regulations, but if you
really want to have any effect on sprawl, the conversation begins
and ends with roads. Of course, not only would the gov't have to
stop building roads, but they would also have to prevent private
businesses from doing same. I am unconvinced that forcing people to
live in increasingly dense conditions is good for the environment
or for the people.
joe,
robc, smart growth is not a half-step. It is as fundamental a
change of direction as one could imagine.
You dont know my imagination. :)
It is a fair point though, maybe "smart growth" is equivalent to
the "fair tax", in that it is a radical change, but just not in any
direction Im interested in. However, the smart growth developments
Ive seen dont seem radically different to me.
Now, an arcology, that would be radically different.
BTW, If I can ever afford to buy a private island, I am going to
rename it to Rainbow Puppy Island.
The only "smart growth" plan I can get behind is a Dyson Sphere. Even a ringworld in only a half-assed incremental plan. :)
"Jerry Brown is so certain he's right about urban density as a
method for reducing warming that he is using his office's power,
recently suing San Bernardino County, largely as an object
lesson."
Since when does the scope of duties of an Attorny General include
trying to influence real estate development patterns?
Right cause, wrong reasons. It does nothing to affect climate change except encourage unnecessary driving. People should shun urban sprawl simply because it's clone-like, uncreative and ugly, and it takes too long to get from point A to point B, and because suburbia only supports mega-corporations, hence independent enterprise is suppressed. It's an inefficient way to live altogether, and there are plenty of reasons to detest it. Climate change isn't one of them.
Neu Mejican,
So you think sporting groups are unreasonable like
eco-terrorists?
Talk about idiotic posts.
I could never figure it out: are suede and denim what the secret police wear, or are they taking away kids who are wearing suede and denim?
Smart growth policy examples:
Eliminate requirements to have parking spaces.
Eliminate density restrictions.
Eliminate restrictions on mixed use.
Eliminate subsidies to developers in the form of infrastructure
support (e.g., make them pay for the roads and power out to their
development).
That's all good, but I suspect "smart growth" is far too amorphous
to be useful.
I have heard it used in the past as the marketing wrapper for
pro-density restrictions on lot and house size, and to mandate
no-development greenbelts around urban cores.
I think its really hard to sustain an argument that what drives
suburban sprawl is zoning requirements and roadbuilding. Both of
these respond to, rather than drive, generational migration out of
cities.
Those zoning requirements are generally pushed by developers who
have a pretty good idea what their target market wants; namely, to
live in a certain kind of neighborhood. A lot of what people may
think are government zoning requirements may actually be private
development rules.
Same with roadbuilding. By and large, roads are built to and from
where people want to live and want to work. For the most part, new
roads are built either where (a) existing roads are inadequate for
existing demand or (b) in an effort to get ahead of clear trends in
where people are moving.
People should shun urban sprawl simply because it's
clone-like, uncreative and ugly, and it takes too long to get from
point A to point B,
Subjective and irrational aesthetic judgments are no basis for
public policy.
and because suburbia only supports mega-corporations, hence
independent enterprise is suppressed.
This certainly begs for some kind of supporting data.
joe,
At some point in every thread, it becomes pointless to have a
discussion with you because you won't accept the premises of the
discussion. If the writer is lying or inaccurate, provide evidence.
If the people she cites are not informed on the subject matter,
provide evidence. If the facts as listed in the article are wrong,
provide evidence. In the meantime, you're not adding to the
discussion by claiming everything you disagree with is an assertion
and needs evidence to back it up. You're the one claiming the
article lacks credibility. Provide evidence of your assertions or
crawl back under your rock.
Moving right along, discussing how to handle the situation if the
total amount of retail space/living area remains constant doesn't
seem like the relevant discussion from here. California still has
population growth last time I checked. Depending on which set of
trends you believe, the population around here is projected to hit
8 million in 4 more years. The total amount of space has to
increase, and changing the regulation to remove density
discouraging measures like NM suggested hasn't worked here. In the
case that more space is needed, what's the solution? Either jam
people together in urban cores, which empirically few people here
want, or they spread out. Leaving aside any other ideological or
practical considerations, how do you stop the sprawl? Short of
telling people, "no, you can't build that there", there's no
practical method that I see. Maybe you and NM have a solution, but
whatever it is, it either hasn't been applied or doesn't work,
because I know of no growing metropolis in this country that is not
subject to sprawl to some degree.
Guy M,
So you think sporting groups are unreasonable like
eco-terrorists?
I spoke too soon.
See the problem is you are equating ""environmentalist movement""
with "eco-terrorists."
And idiotic thing to do.
It would be more apt to equate the "sporting groups" with the
"environmentalist movement" see...and keep the discussion of
"eco-terrorism" where it belongs...in discussions of
eco-terrorism.
T,
changing the regulation to remove density discouraging measures
like NM suggested hasn't worked here.
It seems to be working in Seattle...which recently lifted its
restriction on how tall buildings could be...tall building
instantly started springing up everywhere they were allowed. Since
most are mixed use, this increases density...
Smart growth policies, of course, are more comprehensive that what
Houston has. They would look at both requirements and restrictions
and work towards a best solution for a particular area rather than
slavishly committing to a particular strategy.
Different solutions will be effective dependent upon the local
context.
I am unconvinced that forcing people to live in increasingly
dense conditions is good for the environment or for the
people.
The studies of rats and population density are fairly interesting
and possibly relevant here. With rats, as you increase population
density, intraspecies violence also increases. Crime rates in large
cities compared to suburbs and exurbs indicate (do not prove) that
the same thing happens to people.
Hmmm.
They would look at both requirements and restrictions and
work towards a best solution for a particular area rather than
slavishly committing to a particular strategy.
The best way to not slavishly commit to a particular strategy is to
let each individual property owner decide. Strategies galore!
Plus, all of them will be the smartest* use for the individual
properties.
*smart here means "what the property owner wants". I cant get think
of a better definition. If you are using a different definition of
smart, you are wrong.
RC Dean,
Same with roadbuilding. By and large, roads are built to and
from where people want to live and want to work.
This doesn't ring true to me.
A random (simplified) example.
Albuquerque has a large sprawl to the West, Rio Rancho.
Historically people moved to Rio Rancho because of the lower taxes
and lower prices of homes compared to Albuquerque. They chose to
move there despite the lack of roads and infrastructure. It was a
community built without any thought for these issues. As years went
by, people in Rio Rancho started getting tired roads inadequate for
the traffic, lack of services, and lack of infrastructure.
What did they propose as a solution?
Have Albuquerque tax payers pay to build them a road, some bridges,
a school system, etc...after all, they worked in Albuquerque.
What were they unwilling to consider?
Increasing their local taxes to pay for those services
themselves.
To the degree that Albuquerque gave in and provided those services,
they subsidized the costs of living in Rio Rancho.
Eventually Albuquerque stopped footing the bill. Rio Rancho now has
to raise the funds and provide the services for themselves.
So how does this relate?
People didn't "want to live" outside the city in an inconvenient
village with no infrastructure...they wanted to have their cake and
eat it too. The urban center (not that you can really call
Albuquerque urban) subsidized the freeloaders in Rio Rancho for
decades, encouraging sprawl. Building them roads and bridges for
free. They made their choices without having to see the true costs
because government subsidized this kind of development.
If development policy in Albuquerque had not subsidized Rio Ranchos
development, people would have lived where there were already roads
and infrastructure because the cost of moving to Rio Rancho would
not have been so attractive without the subsidy.
Historical note: Rio Rancho's origins are largely the result of a
land scam...scammers bought worthless land in the middle of nowhere
and sold it to people promising them much that they never delivered
on.
Smart growth policies, of course, are more comprehensive
that what Houston has. They would look at both requirements and
restrictions and work towards a best solution for a particular area
rather than slavishly committing to a particular
strategy.
Strategy? Houston has a strategy?
Well, I guess pour more concrete could be considered a strategy.
It's kind of a knee-jerk reaction around here, though.
robc,
If you are using a different definition of smart, you are
wrong.
Let me see--
smart = what everyone "wants"
An unusual semantics rumbles around in your head for sure.
Hate to tell you, but many people want things that are not "smart"
in any sense of the word.
T,
Strategy? Houston has a strategy?
The lack of a strategy is the strategy that robc is advocating. So
in the context of this discussion, Houston has a strategy.
NM,
Interesting story. It does run counter to the Houston model, which
lets outlying suburbs develop until there's a tax base, then ETJ or
annex them and provide a crappier level of service than the suburbs
had before. It's happened to both Clear Lake and Kingwood, and was
about to happen to the Woodlands, although there are water issues
to consider with The Woodlands as well.
NM,
smart = what everyone "wants"
No. smart = people know what is best for themselves
I trust people to do what is right. Or to live with the
consequences. Seems smarter than trusting some elected/appointed
official to do the same. Especially since he doesnt have to live
with the consequences.
The urban center (not that you can really call Albuquerque
urban) subsidized the freeloaders in Rio Rancho for decades,
encouraging sprawl. Building them roads and bridges for free. They
made their choices without having to see the true costs because
government subsidized this kind of development.
Proving my point from my previous post. Thanks!
robc,
No. smart = people know what is best for themselves
Sure, sure.
But the aggregate results of what is best of those property owners
is not always what is best for the community. So, when we are
talking about what policies are smart for the community there is
not a one-to-one mapping.
But you know that.
Proving my point from my previous post. Thanks!
We have not been disagreeing on the fact that many current policies
are counter productive.
Or that getting rid of many of them is the right choice.
Many will be replaced with nothing.
Some, may need to be replaced with a restriction for best
results.
NM,
hypothetical:
Lets say someone want to build a pub in the empty lot next to my
house (it does exist outside the hypothetical). Zoning (even under
smart growth, mixed use isnt allowed everywhere) prevents it.
If the pub was a successful business, then that would make the
owner smart and the zoning dumb. And even if it wasnt really
successful, I would think it was smart because I would have a pub
in walking range.
How can the planners (whether zoning or not) no better than an
owner what should go on a property? Who are they to think they
qualify as "smart". They didnt even have the forethought to buy the
property.
best results
Best, according to who? Who gets to decide? This comes down to the
basic premise of libertarianism, methinks. And, I (and libertarians
generally agree) claim that property owners get to decide.
robc,
Not sure where that last post went, but...
Who gets to decide?
Why, the government of the people, for the people and by the
people, methinks.
NM,
We have not been disagreeing on the fact that many current
policies are counter productive.
Of course. My response is "meet the new boss, same as the old
boss". Why will the new policies also not be counter
productive?
NM,
Why, the government of the people, for the people and by the
people, methinks.
Well, as you are well aware, rights override the will of the
people. Tyranny of the masses and all that. I think Im just arguing
for wider scale property rights (absolute even, I oppose ED - and
not just Kelo style, but the "good" style to).
Smart growth has been in effect for nearly 20 years in
Washington state and the end result is more costly housing with no
benefit.
Joe sees this and his first reaction is to ask for more.
Why will the new policies also not be counter
productive?
Well, if they are truly "smart growth" policies, that would be
because the are smarter policies.
If they are counter productive, then they aren't smart growth
policies.
Duh.
Smart growth has been in effect for nearly 20 years in
Washington state and the end result is more costly housing with no
benefit.
No benefit?
Why have prices gone up then?
NM,
If you want to call something "smart growth", you need to prove it
in advance of implementing it. You cant wait until its been
implemented and doesnt work and then say "Just Kidding!".
Otherwise, call it, "some new growth we hope might maybe be
better".
NM,
How about you just let everyone decide for themselves and embrace
the chaos?
Its not like developers wont be deed restricting everything
anyway.
T,
Also, I live in Houston, which has no zoning. I don't think
this town is a model, by anybody's standards, for how to encourage
density and discourage sprawl.
Houston doesn't have centralized zoning (though I'm pretty sure
another try at it is coming, according to Sunday's Chronicle).
That's not to say that it doesn't have a patchwork of land-use
controls via deed restrictions that restrict land that is now urban
core to the suburban densities that made more sense decades ago
when those areas were suburbs. Unlike silly,
misguided zoning (which we have in Austin, and exists to some
degree or another in just about every sizable city), the deed
restrictions are nearly impossible to change via a political
process, and don't have any sort of variance process, except by the
forbearance of all parties with standing to sue to enforce the
restrictions.
the government of the people, for the people and by the
people
Change that to "of the activists, for the activists, and by the
activists" and I will listen to you.
Less than half of the people vote, and the "winning" side gets less
than fifty per cent of that. I'm pretty sure the half of the
population who decline to vote are not all doing so because they
think everything is going fine. It's more likely they have
something more productive to do on election day than make a special
trip to the polling place so they can cast a write-in vote for Pat
Paulsen. Or Ron Paul.
If you want to call something "smart growth", you need to
prove it in advance of implementing it. You cant wait until its
been implemented and doesnt work and then say "Just
Kidding!".
Otherwise, call it, "some new growth we hope might maybe be
better".
The perfect as the enemy of the good again.
Policies with evidence-based support may not always work out as
planned, but they have a better chance than policies that have been
shown NOT to work.
How about you just let everyone decide for themselves and
embrace the chaos?
Part of that chaos is the inevitable development of coercive
coalitions who will restrict the actions of members of the
community.
Embrace that if you want, but I would hope that policies are put in
place that limits the harm those coalitions can cause for the rest
of the community.
Of course, you can always join the most violent gang, and maximize
your gain, I guess.
It's more likely they have something more productive to do
on election day than make a special trip to the polling place so
they can cast a write-in vote for Pat Paulsen. Or Ron
Paul.
If it is more productive, then I guess they won't complain about
the decisions made by those who bothered to cast a vote. Their cost
benefit analysis said that the issue being voted on was less
important than whatever they were doing that day, meaning that
whatever policy is implemented as a result is fine with them.
Not voting is a vote for the winner's side by default.
N M- it seems to me you refuted your own point with the Rio
Rancho example. The city of ABQ did not build roads and services
first, in order to entice people to move out there to the river
bottom; the people went first, and then, as people do, clamored for
access to the public teat. I would be quite happy to see ABQ shrug
its figurative shoulders and say, "Tough- you ought to have
considered things more carefully."
Governments react to development patterns, they do not cause
them.
P Brooks,
Governments react to development patterns, they do not cause
them.
They provide the regulatory context in which those development
patterns emerge.
In the case of Albuquerque/Rio Rancho it was unregulated
development that allowed a problematic development pattern to
emerge on Albuquerque's outskirts. Maybe (probably) Albuquerque
should have ignored the problem and let Rio Rancho deal with it,
but that would have required that they ignore the problems Rio
Ranchos development caused within Albuquerque as well.
Albuquerque city government had to react to the problem because
they did not have policies in place to prevent the problem from
arising in the first place. When they reacted, rather than planned,
they made the wrong choice.
Their cost benefit analysis said that the issue being voted
on was less important than whatever they were doing that day,
meaning that whatever policy is implemented as a result is
fine with them.
You're much too smart to believe that.
And I propose to perpetually protest the perfidy of
politicians.
Smart growth has been in effect for nearly 20 years in
Washington state and the end result is more costly housing with no
benefit.
No benefit?
Why have prices gone up then?
Paying more for a thing today that would have cost less 5 years ago
is not an increase in value it is inflation. In this case it is
inflation due to the state artificially constraining the supply of
buildable lots. By your same logic it would be beneficial for the
state to limit the amount of crops that can be grown because it
would make the crops more valuable.
Paying more for a thing today that would have cost less 5
years ago is not an increase in value it is inflation. In this case
it is inflation due to the state artificially constraining the
supply of buildable lots.
If people do not see sufficient value added by what an area has to
offer they will not build in the area. They will choose a different
community. The fact that Washington continues to grow and property
values continue to go up indicates that people see the benefits of
living there inclusive of the smart growth policies.
Supply restrictions only raise prices to the degree that demand
supports those increases.
But you know that.
P Brooks.
I find the voting abstinence argument to be silly and
counter-productive.
In the late seventies, I lived for a while outside of Aspen,
Colorado where I got an invaluable lesson on government "control"
of growth. The Pitkin County Planning and Zoning Commission decided
they could no longer stand by and permit runaway growth in their
beloved, quaintly trendy village of Aspen. They imposed a
"moratorium" on growth.
What do you think happened? Almost overnight, houses began to
spring up just across the county line, in Basalt. The result was
more traffic, more commuters and cars in Aspen, and the already
high house prices went out of sight.
Even in Manhattan, it's incredibly difficult to build a new high rise housing unit without hitting major governmental resistance.
Manhattan I just don't get. The politics of development there are
certifiably insane.
Trump was talking about one of his buildings (I think it was 40
Wall St) which is currently 52 stories, but Manhattan downzoned the
area to 19 stories in the 1960s. It meant he couldn't replace the
building with a new one like he wanted, because it would have to be
a lot smaller. What I don't get is why? What possible reason did
Manhattan government have for stopping development of high-rise
buildings in an area already populated with high-rise buildings? It
severely limits their tax base, for one thing, since a 50-story
building is going to pay a lot more property tax than a 19 story
one, and Manhattan has never been shy about grinding down its
citizens for more taxes.
Trump also built (or is building) a condo-hotel in a warehouse
district, but he had to prove to the government and the activists
it wasn't going to be a regular residential building. I don't
understand why the activists would care. What possible harm would
come if a residential condo tower were built instead of a hotel?
Why would anybody object to a shiny new building replacing a
dilapidated old one?
which uses the phrase "forcing density on Los Angeles" to refer to the elimination of regulation that restrict developers from building higher.
That, Joe, is simply a lie. The plan doesn't merely eliminate
restrictions on density, it mandates it. A develop who
wants to develop at less than the minimum required density
can't. Moreover, it will prevent rural landowners from developing
their land, in order to stop developers from going leaving the
super-dense zone.
That's why your claim that smart growth is merely a lifting of
restrictions is an outright fraud. Smart growthers don't merely
want to lift restrictions, they want to mandate new ones. Every
smart growth activist that's actively lobbying government (ones
that don't lobby are irrelevant no matter what their views are
because they aren't affecting policy) wants to mandate density in
order to force people to live in ways approved by them. All of
them. I am not aware of a single one that publicly says lifting
density restrictions is sufficient.
But the aggregate results of what is best of those property owners is not always what is best for the community. So, when we are talking about what policies are smart for the community there is not a one-to-one mapping.
But you know that.
Actually, I know no such thing. The collective activities of the
community, including the development decisions of its landowners,
is in fact what's best for the community. That's what a free market
is, after all. You aren't smart enough to know what's best, and
neither is any other bureaucrat. Get out of the way and the market
will tell you what the community wants. If it isn't what you or
some bureaucrat think they should want, too effing bad.
Part of that chaos is the inevitable development of coercive coalitions who will restrict the actions of members of the community.
In the absence of zoning, how will they do that? That's why
government power to drive land use policy is bad, it makes such
power susceptible to capture by coercive coalitions.
Bob Smith,
Pretty circular there.
The coercive coalition is the government.
They will impose some policy.
It will happen.
Given that fact, it should be a policy crafted to do the least harm
and create the most benefit.
The collective activities of the community, including the
development decisions of its landowners, is in fact what's best for
the community.
That's why anarchy is the most common form of societal organization
on the planet...because it provides the best results.
Supply restrictions only raise prices to the degree that
demand supports those increases.
Again by that same model people have to pay for food or they will
starve....so the state should constrain the supply to add
value.
The fun thing about what your saying is that smart growth was sold
to the public as a way to keep Californians from moving to
Washington.
So you are correct...a shit load of people did not move to
Washington because the prices are to high. This in no way changes
the fact that homes in Washington have inflated prices due to smart
growth with no benefit....well i guess we have less
Californians...is that the coveted amenity that planners are always
talking about?
joshua,
You framed this in terms of "smart growth" equaling supply
restrictions, not I. But given that premise...
Washington's development policies seem to have resulted in an area
that people want to move to...that they are willing to pay high
prices to live in, increasingly high prices.
The only way your analogy to food works is if Washington's policies
reduce the overall supply of land for development (even outside
their jurisdiction).
But they don't.
They just regulate the development within their jurisdiction. If
this has resulted in no benefit, but higher prices, it has made
Washington less desirable as a place to live.
The growing population and increasing prices seem to provide
evidence to the contrary. People continue to want what Washington
has to offer, including "smart growth policies" and are willing to
pay high prices to get it.
Might be because the prices buy a good quality of life that is
worth the cost. In other words, those policies seem to have
contributed to a tangible benefit that is reflected in price of
property.
For some rough data:
Approximately 63 percent of Washington's population growth
between 1990 and 2000 was due to net migration - more people moving
in than moving out.
http://www.ofm.wa.gov/trends/tables/fig302.asp
Net migration - people moving in less people moving out - has
accounted for about 58 percent of Washington's population growth
since 2000.
http://www.ofm.wa.gov/trends/tables/fig303.asp
Another look at the issue...
In the final analysis, Eicher believes Seattle's regulatory
climate exists because its residents want it. "My sense is land-use
restrictions are imposed to generate socially desirable outcomes,"
he says. "We all love parks and green spaces. But we must also be
informed about the costs. It's very easy to vote for a park if you
think the cost is free."
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/businesstechnology/2004181704_eicher14.html
Joshua will use this study to support his position. But it doesn't
really do so. It demonstrates how much the benefits the smart
growth plan cost, not that there is "no benefit."
For what its worth.
Urban living has higher housing costs, but overall costs may not be
that much more.
In denser neighborhoods you can get by without a car, have lower
utilities, more free time, more quality time with your family. All
benefits that offset the some of the high housing costs.
Smarter policies would mitigate the costs without eliminating the
benefits by eliminating the inefficiencies that increase cost
without contributing to the benefits.
NM,
Neither Bob Smith nor I were arguing for anarchism (although I did
suggest the government eliminate itself somewhere above, but that
was a joke). It is possible to not have zoning without descending
into anarchism (although Houston may be a counter example). Hell,
the property rights I was talking about REQUIRE a government to
exist to enforce them.
The chaos I was referring to was the chaos of people naturally
creating mix-used neighborhoods via their right to use their
property however they see fit.
Bob Smith hit something dead on, I tried to say it, but his version
was better - leaving it up to the individual owner is the smartest
decision:
The collective activities of the community, including the
development decisions of its landowners, is in fact what's best for
the community.
Whats best is to not plan and let everyone do what they think best
with their property.
In denser neighborhoods you can get by without a car, have
lower utilities, more free time, more quality time with your
family. All benefits that offset the some of the high housing
costs.
I agree with the first 2 (although the 2nd is only true due to
smaller living areas, I think). I have no idea how you can claim
the last 2 though. I, for example, live in the suburb and commute
10 minutes to work. If I lived in a dense downtown neighborhood, I
would have a 30 minute commute. Longer if I didnt have a car. Much,
much longer.
Of course, I refuse to work downtown. I like the suburbs and I hate
communting, so I live near work on purpose. Or, actually, I work
near where I live on purpose.
robc,
Neither Bob Smith nor I were arguing for anarchism
I know. Libertarianism suffers, however, from its reliance on the
ideal of anarchy to make its arguments. Once you let in governance,
then the debate moves to which policies are "smarter." Makes a poor
foil to "smart growth policies," imho. Minarchy is always in the
eye of the beholder in other words. You want certain restrictions
on freedom and not others...it is really just an argument about
where to draw the line. If someone doesn't buy your axioms, your
arguments fall apart.
All natural complex systems include regulatory mechanisms.
Communities are part of that class of objects. Occasionally you
need to clean house to get rid of the detritus, but the process
will re-instate regulations no matter what you do. The more
evidence-based (smart) those regulations are, the less negative
effects they will have. Communities have lots of history to examine
to choose strategies that have worked out well in the past. There
is no reason not to take advantage of that resource.
If I lived in a dense downtown neighborhood, I would have a 30
minute commute. Longer if I didnt have a car. Much, much
longer.
Why would you choose to live farther from your office if you moved
to a denser neighborhood. I thought you didn't like
commuting?
Working in close proximity to your home saves lots of time. Easy to
do in dense communities. If the grocery store and all your other
needs are as close, then you can see how time is saved for free
time and family. When I lived in Manhattan, there were no basic
needs that could not be met within 200 yards of my apartment. I
did, by choice, work in Harlem so I had more than a 10 minute to
work commute, but that was by choice. I could have worked closer to
where I lived or lived closer to my work had I chosen. No need for
a car.
On average, those in a dense community will be more likely live
near their work because the have more choices. Off course, some
people live in the city and work in the suburbs, or work all the
way across town.
But on average I would be willing to bet most city dwellers have
shorter commutes than suburb dwellers. Particularly in communities
that have used smarter growth policies.
LA, Phoenix and similar cities don't count, of course.
But on average I would be willing to bet most city dwellers have shorter commutes than suburb dwellers. Particularly in communities that have used smarter growth policies.
In terms of miles, probably. In terms of time, doubtful. The
pundits for great density think your time has no value, or they
wouldn't wax ecstatic about public transportation. It's terrible
for getting anywhere in reasonable time.
Bob Smith,
Do you use public transportation?
Let's meet in Manhattan.
You get in your car, I'll get on the subway at 5pm and we'll see
who can get from my old job in Harlem to my old apartment
faster.
Winner buys dinner at any restaurant of your choice.
Of course, public transportation only works when density is high
enough.
If you are in Albuquerque, the car is faster.
Kinda the point of the "planning" aspect of development.
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