Katherine Mangu-Ward | February 1, 2008
As the developing world snaps up tin can cars of the future (like the $2,500 Tata Nano) in ever-increasing numbers at ever-decreasing prices, doomsayers everywhere have jumped in with bleak predictions about pollution, traffic congestion, and the decline of mass transit. As an antidote, enjoy a little 1950s optimism about the glorious transportation future, filled with land-to-water RVs, teletype traffic updates, punch card vacation itineraries, fog "dispelling devices," and in-car radar.
Via Bronwyn Hartung
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Where's Wonelacko to denounce such obvious propaganda for the NAFTA Superhighway?
doomsayers everywhere have jumped in with bleak predictions
about pollution, traffic congestion, and the decline of mass
transit.
I'm not so sure that "the decline of mass transit" is necessarily
"doom".
Smells like freedom, to me.
I guess I knew even then that the 120 mph superhighways touted
in Pop Science would never see the light of day in the good 'ol
usa.
Come Feb '09, immediately following SCOTUS pre-approval of
legislation declaring personal arms illegal to sell/possess/use,
Pres Hellary will return us to the thrilling days of 55, with
violations defined as terrorism, with appropriate penalties.
Not to worry: Tata is currently in talks to purchase Jaguar, and we all know what happened to the last 3 owners.
"Tomorrow living in spacious, well-planned communities will be
closely integrated with the highway system."
HA!!!!!!!
commuting radius expanded... If anything the highways probably make
people wish they could live as close as possible to work.
and the decline of mass transit.
Too late, an "express" bus in Seattle takes 45 minutes to travel
six miles. Guess how long the non-express bus takes?
Did anyone else notice that all the traffic traveled in the same
direction?
Oh so many questions!
If the highways are so safe in the future, why the wrecked
car?
And why is Father the one who gets to "drive" and not Mother?
You know, I bet it was Mother who wrecked the car. She's been
spending far too much time in the kitchen with that Radarange, and
it probably scrambled her brain a little.
Much of that technology that they talked about in the first 2/3rds of the cartoon has been created on some scale. . . until they got to the 'car of the future'. After that, I couldn't stop laughing.
Automotive optimism sure does look silly in
hindsight.
Oddly, though, I would expect upwards of 90% of the people who live
in the US to agree with the proposition that widespread auto
ownership has vastly improved the quality of life.
If anything the highways probably make people wish they
could live as close as possible to work.
Nothing is stopping any of those people with 90 minute commutes
from living much closer to where they work. Every urban area has
housing close to jobs.
The reason they don't live 15 minutes from the office is because
they would rather live somewhere else. They've looked at the
tradeoff of the long commute, and decided its worth it.
Now, personally, I don't get it. I hate commuting. But I don't need
to get it, as long as they do.
Yeah, some (most?) of the stuff silly. But some stuff, like the containerized cargo bit, is pretty close to how the China -> Costco system actually works these days. And they were spot on with 'sprawl'; in fact it seems that's exactly what they were trying for.
I really could have used that radiant heat on the highway during my 14 mile drive to O'Hare this morning that only took and hour and forty five minutes.
When are we going to get slide rules and punch cards to help us
with the drudgery of engineering and deciding upon our next
vacation? This was almost too optimistic on those points.
I think we got all the rest of that video was pretty close to what
we have now.
With all that automation you would think that everybody would be fat in the future. Apparently they left out the part where they banned video games to end the fat-fuck epidemic.
Oddly, though, I would expect upwards of 90% of the people
who live in the US to agree with the proposition that widespread
auto ownership has vastly improved the quality of life.
There was already widespread car ownership when that short was
made, and there had been since the 1920s. That move is not about
owning cars; its about arranging our society and landscape around
them.
It's not the cars, it's everything else they were telling us would
be so wonderful. Driving log distances to work on clean, efficient
highways - you think 90% of Americans are going to say their
morning commute has vastly improved their quality of life?
BTW, inner cities haven't been the major job centers in this
country for 20 years, so no, the availability of housing in cities
isn't an opportunity for most people to live close to their jobs.
Those jobs are scattered in office parks along those clean,
efficient highways. Like I was saying, automobile optimism sure
does look silly in hindsight.
So father is going to be able to get from his garage at home
right to his own office without encountering a single other human
being, not even his coworkers in the office...
Yet having highways across the world will lead to better
understanding among nations.
Hmm. Is that how it's worked here? Highways have produced better
understanding and harmony between, say, Simi Valley and Watts?
I once had an Aussie lover visit me for 1/2 year here in the
states. When she saw one of the freeways in San Diego, she proudly
noted "Big deal, we have one of these in Sydney". I pointed out
that you could drive from San Diego to Portland, ME, stopping only
for fuel and tolls. When we got back home, I had to break out the
road atlas before she'd believe me. IMHO, the greatest construction
project (size, mass, usefulness) in the history of mankind is the
US Interstate system.
Standard Libertarian Disclaimer #5 (privately owned roads would be
blah, blah, blah) goes here.
I think we got all the rest of that video was pretty close
to what we have now.
In the sense that the dingy parking deck that takes up half a block
is the "same thing" as the gleaming, monumental structure in the
artist's rendering, sure.
J sub D,
Only if you consider the interstate system one project, but the
installation of sewers and treatment plants that's occurred over
the same period to be discreet projects.
Only if you consider the interstate system one project, but
the installation of sewers and treatment plants that's occurred
over the same period to be discreet projects.
That does get tricky. Also both were often done in conjunction with
each other. You can toss in some flood control as well.
Your basic point about sanitation is not going to get an argument.
The treatment plants and sewage systems have save more lives than
all of the MD's combined. From an occasionally heretic libertarian,
that job was a proper function of government.
I want to live in this massively voluminous and sparsely
populated future! Maybe it was post-apocolypse and Walt just edited
that part out.
The reason they don't live 15 minutes from the office is
because they would rather live somewhere else. They've looked at
the tradeoff of the long commute, and decided its worth it.
Now, personally, I don't get it. I hate commuting. But I don't need
to get it, as long as they do.
I hate it too, which is why I won't move further out. Economics
playes the biggest role; more expensive closer in, less so further
out, all things being equal.
I live 4 miles outside of the DC line, 14 miles to work total, and
it still takes me 45 minutes to get to work. If I lived 15 minutes
from my office in the city, it would cost me around a cool
$800,000-$1,000,000 to live there. And then I would get the
privilege of sending my children to the worst performing school
system in the country.
There are plenty of houses available in Anacostia, JW.
And there's the rub; buying further out is NOT a consequence of
people liking longer commutes, or even liking sprawl-style
develdopment. There are million-dollar neighborhoods throughout
Northwest that are built almost exactly like those in Southeast or
the nastier parts of Capitol Hill.
It's the schools, and the safety that leads people to buy homes in
suburbs that only allow sprawl-style development. Suburbs that
allow neo-trad development are selling like hotcakes, too.
If the highways are so safe in the future, why the wrecked
car?
I love how they take the injured "driver" *and* the car. "Hold on
bub. I know you have masssive internal injuries, but I gotta get
this heap of twisted metal outa the way."
And why is Father the one who gets to "drive" and not
Mother?
Because, even in the future, they still know their place.
I see this short foretold of the one-child future. Now I know why
it is sparsely populated. They're breeding at sub-replacement
levels! Sad to see the human race fizzle out like that, but damn,
they sure had ssome kick-ass highways.
There are plenty of houses available in Anacostia,
JW.
**Runs to Anacostia** Awwww, you tricked me. It's just a baseball
stadium.
There are million-dollar neighborhoods throughout Northwest
that are built almost exactly like those in Southeast or the
nastier parts of Capitol Hill.
Exactly like the houses in NW, except for the poverty, ghetto life,
crime, and burnt-out $1,000,000 Victorians working as crack
houses.
Capitol hill is an enigma to me. One block is run-down ghetto, the
next block is full of $800,000++ with the non-black DC power elite
living in them, the next 2 are ghetto, the 2 after that,
uber-expensive homes again. Very strange.
Before you laugh too long, take another look at the last scene, where the superhighway passes through a land with elephants and buildings that look like the Taj Mahal. They got the Future Superpower right, at least.
My ears perked up at the "highly specialized pleasure vehicles" mentioned at 5:18? Reminds me of a van I had in 1979.
JW,
Exactly like the houses in NW, except for the poverty, ghetto
life, crime, and burnt-out $1,000,000 Victorians working as crack
houses.
Yes, that was my point: the neighborhoods were built the same, but
they have vastly different levels of livability. This tells us that
it is not how the inner-city neighborhoods were built that makes
them unappealing for the modern buyer.
But I agree, the neighborhoods change faster in DC than anywhere
else I've ever been.
joe--I knew that was your point. That was only for the benefit
of the non-DCers here.
There are terrific neighborhoods in DC: Cleveland Park, Woodley
Park, Dupont Circle. Cathedral Heights, but you have to earn major
money to live in any of them. Very little room for the middle class
in DC, unless you don't mind being an early adoptor for
gentrification or like living in 800 sq. feet for a family of
4.
Unfortunately, that is also the pattern for much of the DC metro
area. If you are wealthy or poor, you have a neighborhood to live
in that gernally meets your expecatations. The middle class, while
there is plenty of housing, you sacrifice in some other area. You
get all of the costs of living in such a wealthy area, but few of
the benefits.
For instance, I live in Montgomery County, one of the wealthiest
counties in the country; #6 or something like that. In the western
part of the county, where the uber-wealthy live, they get what they
pay for in terms of public services, including the public schools.
They rival many private schools in the quality of education the
kids receive.
However, in the eastern half where I am, it's lots and lots of poor
latino immigrants mixed in with native middle class residents. We
get shafted on public services, even though our tax rates are the
same. (As an example, my kids' school was built in 1960 and has
never been renovated, while schools in the western half, built long
after our school was, have been completly rebuilt.)
For us to move where the schools are good in the county would
bankrupt us. Moving further out to another county would mean 2-3
hours+ commuting each day for *each* parent. It's nuts.
It's gotten so bad, that the wife and I are seriously considering
moving out of the area, where the cost of living is lower, the
schools are good, the communities a bit more socio-economically
homogenous, and the commutes are shorter. Much, much shorter.
JW,
What about places like Mt. Pleasant - that was a decent
middle-class neighborhood when I was there. Have prices gone
through the roof?
Yep. Real estate in DC is insane; depending on the area, some
homes tripled or quadrupled in value since the late 90's. It's come
off a bit since the bubble popped, but not by much. It's still a
great market to sell and move out of.
Not Manhattan or San Fran levels, mind you, but still out of the
reach for most civil servant/white collar workers. You either have
to be single/gay with good disposable income, or if you have a
family, in the upper 10% or so of income to afford any decent house
in DC. Either that, or make a LOT of sacrifices.
Mt. Pleasant also has a very large latino immigrant population
pulling down the living standards somewhat. You have privileged
yuppies and laborers living cheek and jowl. Driving down Columbia
Rd. is a taste of 3rd world chaos. Crime has gone up in Mt.
Pleasant too.
Don't get me wrong, I don't mind diversity (or immigrants) in a
community at all, it makes it more interesting, but I would like to
have a happy middle, rather than the extremes that seem to populate
the area.
I want to live in this massively voluminous and sparsely
populated future! Maybe it was post-apocolypse and Walt just edited
that part out.
You could have JW , but for (1) the 1965 immigration act and (2)
our governments refusal to enforce the ridiculously lax immigration
laws we do have. Think of California with 2/3's of its present
population. A real paradise.
Yes, but who will pick the lettuce for your salads or serve you
ice-cold drinks on your plantation?
Oh right, it's the future: Robots. Made in Korea.
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