Jesse Walker | December 13, 2007
Bill Weinberg has an interesting report in The Nation about "an active civil resistance in Iraq that opposes the occupation, the torture regime it protects and the Islamist and Baathist insurgencies alike."
The [Iraq Freedom Congress] was formed in 2005, bringing together trade unions, women's organizations, neighborhood assemblies and student groups around two demands: a secular Iraqi state and an end to the occupation....
The IFC's self-governing zone of some 5,000 in Baghdad, established in the district of Husseiniya more than a year ago, is an island of coexistence in a city torn by sectarian cleansing, says [IFC president Samir] Adil. Thanks to the Safety Force, the district has become a no-go zone for sectarian militias. "There has been no sectarian killing in Husseiniya since September 2006," Adil boasts. The IFC is working to establish more self-governing zones in Baghdad's mixed Sunni-Shiite districts, and it has a similar autonomous zone in Kirkuk.
I don't know how seriously to take Adil's claims. I'm certainly skeptical of the idea that there have been "no" sectarian killings in Husseinya in the last 15 months. A quick Google search turned up this story from May, in which "armed men stopped a minibus and shot dead all 11 passengers."
Still, Weinberg's bullshit detector has impressed me in the past. (His coverage of Central America in the '80s refused to idealize the Sandinistas or to paper over their restrictions on civil liberties, for example, even as he declined to become a cheerleader for Reagan's foreign policy.) If you want to take a closer look at the IFC, its website is here. Weinberg wrote about the group's efforts in Kirkuk here.
In other war news: Kevin Drum notes some unpleasant developments. John Robb examines the growth of guerrilla groups and asks: Does size matter? And Patrick Cockburn gives a useful summary of the recent twists and turns among Iraq's different factions. Cockburn's bottom line: "American commentators...look at Iraq in over-simple terms and exaggerate the extent to which the US is making the political weather and is in control of events there."
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"American commentators...look at Iraq in over-simple terms
and exaggerate the extent to which the US is making the political
weather and is in control of events there."
That has always been the central danger to the experiment in Iraq.
You can lead a horse to water but you can't make it drink. You can
give people an opportunity for democracy but you can't force them
to commit to it on the emotional level needed to really make it
work.
Of course, many had serious doubts that Germans, Japanese, Koreans
or Chinese could create stable democracies and though it took time,
they did manage. I think the most important factor is merely time.
If you give the nascent democracy time enough to get stable without
the training wheels people will begin to trust it and believe it
can work. They will stick their necks out to protect it.
This reminds me of some of Christopher Hitchens' stuff. He
befriended some Iraqi professors living in the West and so wrote
articles making the Iraqis look like Western Europeans. He says
stuff like shame on liberals not supporting Iraqis like a woman
working for the Iraqi Communist Party (communist is a good thing in
Hitchens world).
Bless the hearts of all the non-communist/socialist secular Iraqis
trying to make their country a better place. Yet without Saddam
Hussein level brutality, which they don't advocate, it ain't
happening.
There is an old adage that religious folk like to whip out, that
if you were approached by a group of youth late at night, wouldn't
you be happy to find out they were returning home from a religous
function?
Well, in Iraq, I'm sure I'd be much happier to find out they were
coming home from a secular state function.
Sure, blame the Iraqis.
Yeah, kinda. Yes, I blame primarily those neocon inspired nitwit
that destroyed a functioning, if despicable, political regime who
believed against all history, experience, and accumulated western
thought that liberal democracy would magically and spontaneously
erupt to take its place.
However, there was some twisted logic behind the surge; violence
stops with political reconciliation. Instead, the Iraqi congress
went on vacation. We broke it, and bought it to the tune of a
half-trillion dollars, but Ron Paul is right in the sense that its
ultimately their mess (and, duh, *their country*).
Sure, root causes, America is pretty much to blame. But if we were
to pull out tomorrow and the Iraqis went on internecine pogroms and
full-scale (not guerrilla) Civil War, its on the hands of those
pulling the triggers and those who direct them. They could, you
know, *not* kill each other. That would be novel.
Yeah, kinda. Yes, I blame primarily those neocon inspired nitwit
that destroyed a functioning, if despicable, political regime who
believed against all history, experience, and accumulated western
thought that liberal democracy would magically and spontaneously
erupt to take its place.
However, there was some twisted logic behind the surge; violence
stops with political reconciliation. Instead, the Iraqi congress
went on vacation. We broke it, and bought it to the tune of a
half-trillion dollars, but Ron Paul is right in the sense that its
ultimately their mess (and, duh, *their country*).
Sure, root causes, America is pretty much to blame. But if we were
to pull out tomorrow and the Iraqis went on internecine pogroms and
full-scale (not guerrilla) Civil War, its on the hands of those
pulling the triggers and those who direct them. They could, you
know, *not* kill each other. That would be novel.
I agree. You give a loaded gun to a crazy person, and they go on a
shooting spree. Sure, you're a jackass for giving him the gun in
the first place, but it's still the responsibility of the guy whose
going around shooting people.
Elemenope,
We ought to take this on the road.
What do you think American politics would look like if they were
being carried out under foreign occupation, where the occupiers has
consistently favored policies that shifted power from white people
to non-white people?
Of course, many had serious doubts that Germans, Japanese, Koreans or Chinese could create stable democracies and though it took time, they did manage.
China is a democracy?
a secular Iraqi state and an end to the
occupation
Just what every candidate, sitting Congressmen, and the President
want. Of course, if by "secular" then mean crypto-Communist, then
maybe not so much.
Do you think that the occupation of Iraq by a foreign military
that has killed hundreds of thousands of Iraqis, in the name of
democracy, a unified political structure, and human rights, is
going to shift political power towards those who agree with our
platform, or away with them?
The American presence turned al Sadr from a low-level player to the
most powerful Shiite in Iraq, and turned Sistani from the most
powerful Shiite leader to an also-ran to Sadr.
However, there was some twisted logic behind the surge;
violence stops with political reconciliation.
Agreed. An effort to get the violence under control was a necessary
step to achieve political reconcilliation. But it is not, and will
never be, a sufficient step, without an end to the occupation. And
right now, as predicted, we're watching the violence go back up.
Just as it went up after a brief reducation after the re-capture of
Falluja.
This is a classic quagmire. We can't leave or the place will go to
hell, but we can't stay or it will never get any better. Perhaps a
surge as part of an integrated policy of announcing and negiating
the conditions of a gradual withdrawal, would have been the way to
go.
I blame primarily those neocon inspired nitwit that
destroyed a functioning, if despicable, political regime who
believed against all history, experience, and accumulated western
thought that liberal democracy would magically and spontaneously
erupt to take its place.
QFT - but also don't forget, they took away a pan-Arab secular
bulwark against the Islamic fundamentalist nations/kingdoms of
Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Sure, A-R, they destroyed a functioning, if despicable, regime
that was contained; and sure, they removed a bulwark against
violent political Islam.
But let's not forget - they also failed to finish the war in
Afghanistan before opening up a second front against a new
enemy.
So there's that.
Joe --
Agree 100%. The confusion (intentional or otherwise) amongst
politicians and pundits in the US between necessity and sufficiency
is why we still have folks like Krauthammer proclaiming that change
is just around the corner if we do A, B, and C and 'stay the
course'. Some of the necessary steps *can't* be undertaken by or
under the shadow of an occupying force, and so no matter how many
other necessary steps we take, it will fall short of those
sufficient to cause a chance for peace.
On the other matter, I still blame people for killing others
regardless of the conditions which precipitate it, especially if
those killings are not directed against the perpetrators of those
conditions. It's something like "America is favoring our Shi'ite
enemies over us Sunnis...so let's go shoot up a Kurd
neighborhood!"
China is a democracy?
Taiwan is both Chinese and a democracy. That's how I understood the
reference.
LMNOP,
I still blame people for killing others regardless of the
conditions which precipitate it Oh, me too. Absolutely.
My point is that not all, or even most, Iraqis want to go out an
kill each other. What has happened is that the most violent, most
sectarian elements have greatly expanded their influence.
What do you think American politics would look like if they
were being carried out under foreign occupation, where the
occupiers has consistently favored policies that shifted power from
white people to non-white people?
You mean like Little Rock, Birmingham et al in first in the 1870's
then again in the 1960's? Because your paradigm is sure how Bull
Conner and the boys saw it.
My point is that not all, or even most, Iraqis want to go
out an kill each other. What has happened is that the most violent,
most sectarian elements have greatly expanded their
influence.
And their identities are known by their friends, relatives and
neighbors. When the US leaves, starting in January, 2008, are these
silent witnesses going to come forward because of their unquechable
desire for a free, democratic, and secular society? Or will blood,
religious and ethnic considerations convince them to remain silent.
After all, he's only blowing up Sunnis, Shiites, Kurds, (pick one)
no need for one to stick his neck out.
You mean like Little Rock, Birmingham et al in first in the
1870's then again in the 1960's? Because your paradigm is sure how
Bull Conner and the boys saw it.
Yet the bombings were not that common. Yeah, some black churches
got burned down, some uppity local blacks and interloping civil
rights advocates got killed. I'm not forgetting or forgiving that.
Still it was nothing like Iraq today. Which begs (just
kidding) raises the question, Why not?
Kolohe,
No matter how angry Bull Connor and the boys got, those were still
American troops and marshalls. In many cases, they were the local
National Guard. There was no question about the lawful and popular
legitimacy of the United States of America in Arkansas. There was
opposition to their presence, but you might have noticed, there
were very few attacks on them.
As opposed to Americans occupying Iraq.
I admit to being a deliberately a little contrarian on purpose
here, but:
There was no question about the lawful and popular legitimacy
of the United States of America in Arkansas.
It was questioned by a significant minority from 1948-1965, and by
a signicant majority from 1860-1865.
My only point is the assertion "occupied people hate occuppiers"
while universally and tautologically true, is way too simple of an
explanation of an explanation for the violence levels in Iraq
specifically, and any parallel type of scenario in general. There
are way too many factors in play.
Kolohe,
I was talking about the 60s. Obviously, during and immediately
after the Civil War, there were a lot of people who actually did
view federal troops and foreigners. That's why they shot at them.
And didn't in 1960.
joe,
There was no question about the lawful and popular legitimacy
of the United States of America in Arkansas.
Not in the 1960's but in the 1860's-1870's the issues was, shall we
say, "hotly debated."
In any case you make a classic error by imputing to Iraqi the
cultural values of Western Europe. Few Iraqi have the same
emotional commitment to the abstraction of the country of Iraq that
most Westerners do to the whatever nation state or country they
live in. In other words, patriotism never caught on. If it had, our
task would be much easier.
For the Shia and Kurds who make up 80% of the population of Iraq,
living under the often brutal rule of the Sunni amounted to living
under foreign occupation. They fell little emotional connection to
the Sunni just because 80 years ago Europeans drew a line around an
area on a map and declared everyone inside the line to belong to
the same country.
The idea that the "people" of Iraqi resent us as foreign invaders
is simply the projection of our cultural expectations onto a people
with a far different history. When the Iraqi people go to the
poles, they do not elect politicians who demand an immediate end to
the occupation. They understand far better than you the realities
of their situation.
Agreed, Shannon, I was thinking about the 60s.
Back on topic, I'd say the people in Iraq look on American troops
more like the confederates did in 1863 than like their
great-grandsons did in 1963.
And I am NOT imputing western ideas about patriotism to Iraqis.
Some of them hate that dirty foreigners are occupying sacred Muslim
lands. Some of them hate that dirty foreigners are occupying their
tribal lands. Some of them hate that dirty foreigners are occupying
Arab lands. Some of them just plain hate that they are occupying
their neighborhoods or villages. And yes, some of them actually are
Iraqi nationalists, and hate that they're occupying Iraqi
lands.
What's they common thread here? "They" are occupying "our" lands.
"They" are putting their infidel paws up under "our" grannies'
chadors at checkpoints. There is no need to read any "western idea
of nationalism" into my comments - they stand up just fine without
it.
For the Shia and Kurds who make up 80% of the population of
Iraq, living under the often brutal rule of the Sunni amounted to
living under foreign occupation. They fell little emotional
connection to the Sunni just because 80 years ago Europeans drew a
line around an area on a map and declared everyone inside the line
to belong to the same country. Yes, and the very first chance
they got, they took up arms against those occupiers.
When the Iraqi people go to the poles, they do not elect
politicians who demand an immediate end to the
occupation.
And the Oscar for Best Irrelevant Use of "Immediate" to Steal a
Base in an Argument goes to...
This is what I wrote: This is a classic quagmire. We can't
leave or the place will go to hell, but we can't stay or it will
never get any better. Perhaps a surge as part of an integrated
policy of announcing and negiating the conditions of a gradual
withdrawal, would have been the way to go.
Is my actual position so intimidating that you need to make up a
more convenient one?
"The idea that the 'people' of Iraqi resent us as foreign
invaders is simply the projection of our cultural expectations onto
a people with a far different history."
Uh, no it's not. It's actually borne out by polls of Iraqis, the
majority of whom not only resent us, but also support violent acts
against our occupying force.
Yeah, you don't need to have nation-state-based patriotism to have resentment of foreign occupiers.
Do you think that the occupation of Iraq by a foreign
military that has killed hundreds of thousands of
Iraqis,
Assertions that the US military has killed hundreds of thousands of
Iraqis require some proof.
Preferably proof not originally published in the Lancet and
comprehensively debunked.
Yeah, you don't need to have nation-state-based patriotism to
have resentment of foreign occupiers.
Funny that they express their resentment of us by mainly trying to
kill each other.
Has anyone done a recent, comprehensive look at the violence in Iraq and calculated how much of the violence by "insurgents" is being carried out by foreigners, ie Saudi's etc.? Or has it truly shifted back to local factions in secular battles?
The Lancet study is three years old, and the amount of action
American forces have engaged in since then has been much higher
than that engaged in previously.
I don't find the Lancet articles original upper-end estimates
(which is all they were, and all they presented as) to be terribly
reliable, but Iraqi deaths from American action are well into the
six figures by now.
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