David Weigel | October 12, 2007
Me and some bloggers talked
budgets with OMB Director Jim Nussle this morning and Phil Klein
typed up
a report over at the American Spectator.
Asked about spending growth during the Bush years, he said that Bush had a much smaller degree of control over discretionary spending than his predecessors because of the rise of mandatory spending, and after the Clinton years we faced a "security deficit." So, the increase in defense and homeland security spending is what lead to the rise.
That was my question: I asked Nussle about the unanimous ire coming from the 2008 GOP field about spending increases during the Bush years. He's pretty new in the job, so has he learned something they don't know? Are they naive? And that was, largely his answer.
"Most people will answer that Bush and the Republican Congress, top line, did a good job controlling spending, compared even to Ronald Reagan." Hm, debatable. "You have to take into account the Department of Homeland Security, which was created in a bipartisan effort and then had to be funded. Before 2001 we weren't concerned enough about security." Also: "We can debate the war, but once that decision is made you have to fund it."
Yes, we can debate it, but Nussle's basically right. The Republicans who whine the most about government spending—McCain, Romney—are talking largely about pork that doesn't make a big dent in the overall picture. They're talking haltingly about entitlement reforms; they're not talking at all about cutting military spending or defense spending.
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Questioning military spending? What's the matter, Weigal? Don't
you realize nothing's too good for our boys?! What are you? Some
kind of dove-diddling peacenik?
/sarc
They're talking haltingly about entitlement reforms; they're
not talking at all about cutting military spending or defense
spending.
No they're not--and they won't while they still have any way to
avoid it.
In related news, the loonie is at US$1.0294.
It has occurred to me lately that the collapse of Bretton Woods and
the end of the Vietnam War occurred about the same time. (Foreign
nations got sick of importing US inflation.) Coincidence? Or might
the current fall of the US dollar have at least one silver
lining--a quicker end to an Iraq war getting less affordable every
day now?
I can hope.
From now on, I think we should refer to Bush as "Hillary Clinton in a suit and tie" (in the tradition of the Chavez-in-a-pants-suit meme).
"You have to take into account the Department of Homeland
Security, which was created in a bipartisan effort and then had to
be funded. Before 2001 we weren't concerned enough about
security."
Does the actual cost of the war compute in this as well, or is that
debt somewhere else? Did our President not tell us to go shopping?
Have you complied with this direct order? Has every good American
not gone shopping? Hell, America, we can not even go shopping when
called upon. Maybe Brokaw had something with his 'Greatest
Generation' book. You can bet your bottom dollar that that
generation would have gone shopping if told.
Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit
nussle used to be my congressman in iowa's first district. I met
him a few times. he is kinda a douche who really, really wants to
be president (but he lost the most recent election for governor in
iowa.)
anyway, my point is i don't like jim nussle.
Medicare Prescription Drug Coverage. Nah, that's not going to
cost much, now or in the future. Definately fiscally responsible.
NCLB, almost free. Fiscally responsible.
"We can debate the war, but once that decision is made you have to
fund it." Fiscally responsibility rules! I know he can't come out
and tell the truth. I'm just wondering why any self respecting
person would try to defend '00-'06 spending. And still blaming
Clinton? Jeezus fuck, that has gotten really old.
(I couldn't immediateky find a NCLB cost link. Too lazy to do a
real search. Sorry.)
From now on, I think we should refer to Bush as "Hillary
Clinton in a suit and tie"
Seconded. Also, what Fluffy said.
Between the war and the Medicare expansion, it looks like Bush declared a fatwa against fiscal sanity.
Me and some bloggers . .
Some bloggers and I . .
Artistic license.
Sheesh, give the ink-stained wretch a break!*
*OK, "keyboard-fatigued wretch", in keeping with the situation.
I would point out that Ronald Reagan, far from "controlling
spending," massively increased it--all for defense, of course. We
still have to pay that money back, you know. Bush's prescription
drug plan added several trillion dollars to future government
obligations. For defense, we now have two defense budgets: a Cold
War defense budget, that spends hundreds of billions to protect us
from attack by the Soviet Union, which no longer exists, plus a War
on Terror defense budget, which has spent $500 billion in Iraq to
get us to square zero.
Nussle's basically right? No, he's very, very wrong. Sloppy work,
Dave.
Can people start putting the words "entitlement" and "discretionary" spending in scare quotes as they concede far too much morally.
nussle used to be my congressman in iowa's first district. I
met him a few times. he is kinda a douche who really, really wants
to be president (but he lost the most recent election for governor
in iowa.)
Totally agree; I have vivid district convention memories of him
coming and talking down to all us highschool brats. He compared
politics to ordering a pizza, which annoyed me, but later I got to
watch people yelling about gays in the military, so it was all
good.
If our current situation is anything like the Euro Rhineland
1936 problem (YMMV), then a failure to invest in military action
could lead to huge costs down the road.
Of course the only way to find out is to bring the boys home RIGHT
NOW.
Given the way Congress has been voting on the subject, I'd say
Americans are not ready to take that risk.
M.Simon,
The situation in Vietnam in 1957 had some things in common with the
Rhineland in 1936, and investing in military action turned out to
be a really, really bad choice there. It's unfortunate that pro-war
types insist that every war is WW2, and anti-war types insist that
every war is Vietnam, since this war isn't either one. We have to
evaluate the merits of staying and the merits of leaving based on
the current situation, not some vaguely similar situation from the
past that backs up our pre-existing beliefs.
The folks talking about entitlements are on the right track with
this one.
The war in Iraq has cost about $100 billion USD per year. Of course
this is taken out of a nearly $12 trillion USD economy. For those
complaining about the price of the war keep in mind the cost of
this conflict as a percentage of the nation's earning power is
about .83%. Frankly, it is irrelevant from an economic standpoint.
Also it is only a short to mid term liability. Sooner or later the
conflict will wind down.
Total defense spending is about 4% of GDP. Keeping this number
constant is fairly easy as it is both "discretionary" and is not
driven by demographic/ageing/other uncontrollable factors within US
society.
The same cannot be said of the medicare/medicade/social security
debacle. Social security accounts for about 4.2% and meidcare
currently comes in at 3.1%. Social security is expected in some
quarters to rise to 6.3% and medicare to 11% over the next 20 to 30
years. Of course all of this assumes the status quo remains in
place during that time period.
Someone needs to deal with entitlements sooner rather than later.
Whining about military spending and "pork barrel spending" is just
a dodge on the issue.
Of course the good news is that the US problem with entitlements is
nothing compared to the coming shit storm in Europe over the same
issue.
Wow, this may be the closest an HnR bloggist has come to
actually coming out and saying:
"cut defense spending."
Go Weigs!
I'm all the way on board with cutting defense spending. Start by
closing all overseas bases (All our base belong to them?).
But even if you take defense off the table. The Bush years have
plenty to answer for. Decades of the good fight to limit
agricultural spending, right down the shitter. Pork bonanza
transportation spending. And of course brand new entitlement
spending. The list goes on. Bush rightly deserves the lions share
of the blame, but he had lots of help form both sides of the
aisle.
Without Department of Homeland Security, how can we stop suspected perps from not taking off shoes before boarding an airplane?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/13/AR2007101301071.html
This link has absolutely nothing to do, at all, with this story,
but I am posting it anyway. Why? Because for weeks, this website
posted the same old tired bullshit about how people that claimed
Iraq was improving were liars peddling vile propaganda. However,
given the nature of this site, I expect to see no blog entries at
all making corrections. Therefore I will be posting this link in
every blog entries comments section. Time to eat crow,
assholes.
I would rather spend on defense than welfare. With defense, you get a lot of spin-off benefits, one being the internet where we are discussing this.
For defense, we now have two defense budgets: a Cold War defense budget, that spends hundreds of billions to protect us from attack by the Soviet Union, which no longer exists, plus a War on Terror defense budget, which has spent $500 billion in Iraq to get us to square zero.
Alan, have you seen the recent photos of the Russian Bear bombers
on patrol far outside Russian borders? Are you aware that China is
ramping into a cold-war style military build up?
Alan... Alan... it's medication time.
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