Brian Doherty | September 19, 2007
A lot less than you probably think, says economist Robin Hanson.
While we are thinking about Hillary Clinton's latest plan that promises to get more health care to more Americans, let's ask: What's so damn great about health care anyway?
Here's part of what Hanson's saying, over at Cato Unbound:
Our main problem in health policy is a huge overemphasis on medicine. The U.S. spends one sixth of national income on medicine, more than on all manufacturing. But health policy experts know that we see at best only weak aggregate relations between health and medicine, in contrast to apparently strong aggregate relations between health and many other factors, such as exercise, diet, sleep, smoking, pollution, climate, and social status. Cutting half of medical spending would seem to cost little in health, and yet would free up vast resources for other health and utility gains. To their shame, health experts have not said this loudly and clearly enough.
Non-health-policy experts are probably shocked to hear my claims. Most students in my eight years of teaching health economics have simply not believed me, even after a semester of reviewing the evidence. Heroic medicine is just too central to our culture, a culture where economists like me have far less authority than doctors. Worse, even most standard textbooks in health economics fail to make the point clearly....
So I want to say loudly and clearly what has yet to be said loudly and clearly enough: In the aggregate, variations in medical spending usually show no statistically significant medical effect on health. (At least they do not in studies with enough good controls.) It has long been nearly a consensus among those who have reviewed the relevant studies that differences in aggregate medical spending show little relation to differences in health, compared to other factors like exercise or diet. I not only want to make this point clearly; I want to dare other health policy experts to either publicly agree or disagree with this claim and its apparent policy implications.
The most important such policy implication is: we should be spending less on medicine as a nation--perhaps even half as much.
How should we cut medical spending? There are many possibilities, and I may prefer some possibilities to others. But I do not want such preferences to distract from the main point: most any way to implement such a cut would likely give big gains.
After giving detailed accounts of many of the studies and data that support his controversial contention--read the whole thing--Hanson knows you are wondering: Why is almost everyone so mistaken on such a vital matter?
If you wonder how the usual medical literature could give such a misleading impression of aggregate medical effects on health, I will point to funding and publication selection biases, statistical tests ignoring data mining, leaky placebo effects, differences between lab and field environments, and the fact that most treatments today have no studies. If you wonder how medicine could suffer so much more from such problems than other subjects, I’ll point you to my forthcoming Medical Hypotheses article, wherein I suggest humans long ago evolved a tendency to use medicine to “show that we care,” rather than just to get healthy.
Back in 2000, before I was familiar with Hanson's arguments, I made a similar point in comedic form over at Suck.com
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This is not really surprising as a hugely disproportionate amount of health care dollars are spent on elderly patients during the last months of their lives. The trouble is, would you say no to such treatments when you or someone you love is the patient?
I bet this post was very interesting, but I did not read it
because I could not read the whole thing. The website's designers
have apparently decided to have ads for Fred Thompson and
celebrations of Ayn Rand ON TOP OF the text, instead of off to the
side.
I do not like to guess at what the covered-up words are. It makes
reading the post take too long.
"Heroic medicine is just too central to our culture...."
If we treated Doctors more like plumbers, health care would
improve, and prices would fall. My new solution; money-back
guarantees.
I've long contended that the real, unsung heroes of 1st world's increased life expectancy are the engineers and workers who designed and built modern water and sewage systems. Extrapolating that to the 3rd world raise the question, are the World Health Organization and similar charitable agencies spending the dollars wisely?
If you just have to hate on professionals, perhaps it is time to
take some of that hatred of lawyers and put it on doctors instead.
They are the ones actually getting your money for little utility in
return.
. . . "publication selection biases": Paging, T. If you won't
listen to me, hopefully Robin Hanson can get thru. This is an
especially important point for you in particular.
"many other factors, such as exercise, diet, sleep, smoking,
pollution, climate, and social status."
The last three problems are ones with no easy short-term solutions.
The first four may be treated with preventive care, i.e. going to
the doctor for a regular check-up may prevent more costly medical
problems later on.
Anyone remember the phrase "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure"? Public health professionals would readily tell you that preventive health care is often less expensive and more effective than traditional curative medicine.
I don't see any way to stop the coming explosion in health care spending. HRC is most likely to be the next POTUS. No matter how strong Hanson's thesis is, no politician will ever dare acknowledge it.
To hell with all these "studies" and "data."
When I get the sniffles, I want to go to the emergency room and
have a person with 20 years of education tell me to eat some
chicken soup, take some NyQuil, and - if I'm pushy enough - give me
antibiotics that are completely ineffective for the virus I
have.
Cost? Who cares how much it costs! Gimme my amoxicilin!!
After everything is said and done in this election, a few
insightful folks may soon recognize the Iraq War as the most
serious thing threatening the future of the USA. I hope your
readers have read New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson's op/ed piece
from the Washington Post on how and why we must get out of Iraq,
from about 11 days ago.If not, here it is, in full, after a few
introductory remarks by me:
There is a much larger scale confrontation with Bush from the
candidates regarding the Iraq War and the problems it is continuing
to cause, after six years of Halliburton and Brown and Root and
Blackwater corporate kleptocracy. Only one candidate, it is
abundantly clear to me, is really slamming the truth and providing
the logistics and rationale for ending this disastrous war: Bill
Richardson. This article was printed in the Washington Post about
10 days ago, and please take the time to read it:
_______________________
Why We Should Exit Iraq Now
By Bill Richardson
Saturday, September 8, 2007; A15
Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards have suggested that
there is little difference among us on Iraq. This is not true: I am
the only leading Democratic candidate committed to getting all our
troops out and doing so quickly.
In the most recent debate, I asked the other candidates how many
troops they would leave in Iraq and for what purposes. I got no
answers. The American people need answers. If we elect a president
who thinks that troops should stay in Iraq for years, they will
stay for years - a tragic mistake.
Clinton, Obama and Edwards reflect the inside-the-Beltway thinking
that a complete withdrawal of all American forces somehow would be
"irresponsible." On the contrary, the facts suggest that a rapid,
complete withdrawal - not a drawn-out, Vietnam-like process -would
be the most responsible and effective course of action.
Those who think we need to keep troops in Iraq misunderstand the
MiddleEast. I have met and negotiated successfully with many
regional leaders,including Saddam Hussein. I am convinced that only
a complete withdrawal can sufficiently shift the politics of Iraq
and its neighbors to break the deadlock that has been killing so
many people for so long.
Our troops have done everything they were asked to do with courage
& professionalism, but they cannot win someone else's civil
war. So long as American troops are in Iraq, reconciliation among
Iraqi factions is postponed. Leaving forces there enables the
Iraqis to delay taking the steps to end the violence. And it
prevents us from using diplomacy to bring in other nations to help
stabilize and rebuild the country.
The presence of American forces in Iraq weakens us in the war
against al- Qaeda. It endows the anti-American propaganda of those
who portray us as occupiers plundering Iraq's oil and repressing
Muslims. The day we leave, this myth collapses, and the Iraqis will
drive foreign jihadists out of their country. Our departure would
also enable us to focus on defeating the terrorists who attacked us
on Sept. 11, those headquartered along the Pakistan-Afghanistan
border - not in Iraq.
Logistically, it would be possible to withdraw in six to eight
months. We moved as many as 240,000 troops into and out of Iraq
through Kuwait in as little as a three-month period during major
troop rotations. After the Persian Gulf War, we redeployed nearly a
half-million troops in a few months. We could redeploy even faster
if we negotiated with the Turks to open a route out through
Turkey.
As our withdrawal begins, we will gain diplomatic leverage. Iraqis
will start seeing us as brokers, not occupiers. Iraq's neighbors
will face the reality that if they don't help with stabilization,
they will face the consequences of Iraq's collapse - including even
greater refugee flows over their borders and possible war.
The United States can facilitate Iraqi reconciliation and regional
cooperation by holding a conference similar to that which brought
peace to Bosnia. We will need regional security negotiations among
all of Iraq's neighbors and discussions of donations from wealthy
nations - including oil- rich Muslim countries - to help rebuild
Iraq. None of this can happen until we remove the biggest obstacle
to
diplomacy: the presence of U.S. forces in Iraq.
My plan is realistic because:
It is less risky. Leaving forces behind leaves them vulnerable.
Would we need another surge to protect them?
It gets our troops out of the quagmire and strengthens us for our
real challenges. It is foolish to think that 20,000 to 75,000
troops could bring peace to Iraq when 160,000 have not. We need to
get our troops out of the crossfire in Iraq so that we can defeat
the terrorists who attacked us on Sept. 11.
By hastening the peace process, the likelihood of prolonged
bloodshed is reduced. President Richard Nixon withdrew U.S. forces
slowly from Vietnam - with disastrous consequences. Over the seven
years it took to get our troops out, 21,000 more Americans and
perhaps a million Vietnamese, most of them civilians, died. All
this death and destruction accomplished nothing - the communists
took over as soon as we left.
My position has been clear since I entered this race: Remove all
the troops and launch energetic diplomatic efforts in Iraq and
internationally to bring stability. If Congress fails to end this
war, I will remove all troops without delay, and without
hesitation, beginning on my first day in office.
Let's stop pretending that all Democratic plans are similar. The
American people deserve precise answers from anyone who would be
commander in chief. How many troops would you leave in Iraq? For
how long? To do what, exactly? And the media should be asking these
questions of the candidates, rather than allowing them to continue
saying, "We are against the war . . . but please don't read the
small print."
The writer is governor of New Mexico and a candidate for the
Democratic presidential nomination.
I can see how it's possible to spend too much on health care. Imagine the extreme case of getting a full body MRI every week as a check up and working 12 hours per day 7 days a week to pay for it. The stress from work and the lack of exercise time would do more damage than the weekly MRI could offset.
The website's designers have apparently decided to have ads
for Fred Thompson and celebrations of Ayn Rand ON TOP OF the text,
instead of off to the side.
There are ads on this site? May I introduce you to Firefox and
Adblock?
There's really nothing shocking (or shouldn't be for anyone not living under a rock) about the notion that lifestyle choices play a major role in one's health. That said, I haven't generally heard this concept pitted against the use of health care assets in the way Mr. Hanson has done, which, along with his advocacy of cutting health care spending, is what raises the eyebrow. But then, maybe it's for good reason that I haven't heard these matters juxtaposed in such a way because it would seem they have little to nothing to do with each other. While it's true that I cannot go to the gym and the doctor simultaneously, there's no drop in their value if I go to them alternately. I don't see the either/or or why skipping a doctor's visit would improve my diet. As for the effect of cutting health spending to "free up resources," how is this to be accomplished? If he means cutting public, tax-supported health care spending, he would certainly have supportors here, though I don't know if our reasoning would be the same. And if he doesn't mean that per se, how does he propose to limit private spending? Whatever decisions an individual makes that affects his health however much more greatly than whatever happens once he decides he wants to see a doctor, an individual with a serious disease will want whatever resources are necessary and available (whereever they come from!) to be used to make him better!
Aha, I see. If a guy gets cancer, he doesn't need a doctor. He needs to work on the factors--bad life style, low social status, bad climate, and polution--that gave him cancer in the first place. Fuck, let's just wait for the Messaiah, er, I mean Libertopia.
I wonder how much extra, ineffective medicine is utilized by people without health insurance who didn't go to the doctor regularly and ended up in the emergy with an advanced form of a disease which would have been cheap and easy to treat if found early?
Here's another heresy, healthy lifestyle education is a waste of
money as well.
Smoking is bad for you.
Exercise is good for you.
A balanced diet is good for you.
Excessive recreational drug use is bad for you.
Wearing dark clothing while walking down the road is bad for
you.
Working in coal mines is bad for you.
There's more, but you all know what they are.
Those adults who are unaware of these facts will hopefully die
before they breed.
Don't worry; when the Christian Scientists take over, medicine will be a thing of the past!
I should add that most of the lifestyle choices one can make that can affect one's health prospects cost very little (going to a gym being a relatively bad example), and that's another reason why I see little to no crowding out effect or interdependence between the two areas. It's not like people maintain bad health habits in order to save up money for seeing the doctor!
"99% of patients get better in spite of treatment."
This was one of my father's favorite sayings and was perhaps his
keenest observation of the observations of the medicine he
practiced for the better part of half a century.
I wonder how much extra, ineffective medicine is utilized by
people without health insurance who didn't go to the doctor
regularly and ended up in the emergy with an advanced form of a
disease which would have been cheap and easy to treat if found
early?
Probably a little. :-)
(Can't imagine what you're point is! :-) )
This could be self correcting, like most of our big problems,
when the boomer population has dwindled. Right now we spend all of
our money on old people and there are ever increasing numbers of
old people. That won't always be the case.
Regarding preventive medicine, I wonder what all that entails. I
mean, not smoking, exercising, and not eating like crap have to be
the dominant considerations in improving public health. None of
those things change with some sort of institutionalized preventive
care regime.
JasonL,
*snap*
OK, now just relax, breath easily, and try not to think about
"Deliverance."
There's some preventive medicine for ya!
It would be interesting to see if the correlation is any stronger or weaker in other countries.
How come people think its so hard to fix this?
Get rid of Medicare/Medicaid and tax health insurance the same as
other income. Problem solved.
I've long contended that the real, unsung heroes of 1st
world's increased life expectancy are the engineers and workers who
designed and built modern water and sewage systems.
Between clean water, waste disposal and electricity, mere tradesmen
have saved a bunch of lives.
A response to Hanson's article demonstrates that yes, 50% waste
isn't that crazy an idea. Overly defensive medicine and
administrative overhead are responsible for about 35% of cost
overruns alone.
The non-stop yammering about "health care" and how the government
is supposed to "fix" it is making me sick.
...health policy experts know that we see at best only weak
aggregate relations between health and medicine, in contrast to
apparently strong aggregate relations between health and many other
factors, such as exercise, diet, sleep, smoking, pollution,
climate, and social status.
A reason for this could be the strong emphasis that allopathic
medicine places on treating the effects of disease, instead of
emphasizing the importance of not becoming afflicted with avoidable
diseases in the first place.
The non-stop yammering about "health care" and how the
government is supposed to "fix" it is making me sick.
Perhaps you should see a doctor?
A serious flaw in the article is that it seems to only care
about death rates, mortality, and overall spending. What about
quality of life? I take allergy medications and get desensitization
injections to make my life more enjoyable. Admittedly I wouldn't
die if I didn't take them, but it makes my life better.
Why the hell should Hanson (or Hillary) be making decisions about
my health or my use of medicines?
"But health policy experts know that we see at best only weak
aggregate relations between health and medicine, in contrast to
apparently strong aggregate relations between health and many other
factors, such as exercise, diet, sleep, smoking, pollution,
climate, and social status. Cutting half of medical spending would
seem to cost little in health, and yet would free up vast resources
for other health and utility gains"
What an amoral piece of shit. As Fyodor rightly points out,
spending on prevention does not preclude spending on treatment. The
assumption of the argument seems to be that the whole point of
healthcare is to increase life expectancy so that we can all live
longer and be better amoral corporate drones like this guy. I would
argue that health care also serves the function of alieviating
people's suffering and improving the quality of people's lives.
Spending money on medicine to reduce nausia for people taking
chemotherapy doesn't do a thing for thier life expentancy but it
sure as hell increases their quality of life. Same goes for pain
medicine. Treating someone with arthtritis or chronic pain is not
going to extend their life expenancy. It just helps them live a
better life.
What this guy is really saying is "why the hell spending all of
this money treating sick people who are going to die anyway when we
would be better off letting them die and saving the money?". I
guess if you are totally amoral and completly indifferent to human
suffering, that is a pretty compelling argument. For those of us
who are human beings, however, it is pretty thin gruel.
I've long contended that the real, unsung heroes of 1st
world's increased life expectancy are the engineers and workers who
designed and built modern water and sewage systems.
Spot on, not to mention improvements in transportation,
specifically referigerated transport, which makes fresh meat and
produce available year round.
One other point. Treating anyone over the age of 50 or so for a serious illness will never pay for itself. If I get cancer when I am 55 and it takes a couple of million to put it into remission allowing me to live say another 15 years until I am 70 and die of other causes or a reoccurance of cancer, it is very unlikly my productivity for society will ever equal the amount of resources it took to save me. By Hanson's logic, society should have saved the money and let me die. Make if amoral corporate creeps like Hanson were ever allowed into any position of authority, those kinds of calculations would be made and if you had the misfortune of being sick and old, you would be screwed.
John -
WTF? That's not at all what he's saying. His premise is that
medicine is mostly a feel-good-about-ourselves mechanism. On his
own blog he argues how it's similar to the monkey trap, where you
put food in a small hole in a coconut. We can't let go of the idea
that medicine makes everyone better off even if the evidence says
otherwise. It just feeds the "we need to do something!" mentality,
even if doing something doesn't actually do anything.
My new solution; money-back guarantees.
Some TV show I was watching the other day claimed that Chinese
tradition is to pay the doctor only if he cures you. I saw it on
TV, so it's probably true.
A reason for this could be the strong emphasis that allopathic medicine places on treating the effects of disease, instead of emphasizing the importance of not becoming afflicted with avoidable diseases in the first place.
It's unfair to put all the blame on the physician. Most of primary
care is preventive medicine and psychiatry, with a little
dermatology thrown in. One of the reasons that preventive medicine
has problems is because people don't go to the doctor until they
get sick. A lot of available preventive care is simply not utilized
by people who take their health for granted until something goes
wrong.
Some TV show I was watching the other day claimed that Chinese tradition is to pay the doctor only if he cures you. I saw it on TV, so it's probably true.
I thought it was Chinese tradition to pay the doctor only when you
continued to be well, and he worked for free when you were
sick.
"Cutting half of medical spending would seem to cost little in
health, and yet would free up vast resources for other health and
utility gains."
As judged by what? In Hanson's view it is judged strictly by life
expectancy. That is bullshit. Yes, we could save money by stopping
throwing away resources on hopeless cases. But how much money? and
what cases?
I've not read all the comments yet, but as the wife of a
practicing physician, I can attest to the fact that there are
unrealistic expectations on the part of patients. They go to the
doc with an ailment that should just run its course, but get pissed
if the doc doesn't prescribe some sort of medication to cure the
ailment. Then the patient heads to Walgreens to fill the Rx that is
really unneeded but isn't compliant with the med course anyway.
Insured patient thinks this costs $30. Uninsured patient sees the
true cost but is now pissed that somebody got a "better deal" for
the care. Congress gets involved but nobody is looking at the real
problem. The ailment required no f'ing medical treatment.
Everybody involved is complicit in skyrocketing costs and new
little resistant strains of germs. And that is just one facet of
brilliant cut problem.
I'm so happy that my husband only sees acutely ill patients; ones
that are hospitalized and truly need medical intervention. He is
not part of the problem.
"I've long contended that the real, unsung heroes of 1st world's
increased life expectancy are the engineers and workers who
designed and built modern water and sewage systems."
I've used this idea to the shock of my school teacher girlfriend's
compatriots whenever they have moaned on about not being paid in
accordance to their worth to society. They never seem to be able to
grasp the idea that if people were paid in accordance to their
importance to society that the garbage men and sewage treatment
plant operators would be among the best paid of all workers.
People, if they managed to live past twelve, used to live nearly as
long as they to today 300 years ago; the heroic treatment that
extends an eighty year olds life another year is statistically
insignificant. Having clean water that allows a one year old to not
die of dysentery and live to 65 has a dramatic effect on the
"median life expectancy from birth" statistic.
"As judged by what? In Hanson's view it is judged strictly by
life expectancy. That is bullshit. Yes, we could save money by
stopping throwing away resources on hopeless cases. But how much
money? and what cases?"
John,
I wonder the same thing. My son has cystic fibrosis and is a
hopeless case in the long-term. I wonder at what point Hanson would
suggest that the treatment be cutoff to my son. He's not quite
twenty now and with treatment he is unlikley to see 50, without
treatment 30. Should we cut our losses and stop spending money on
him now?
There are a number of comments that are making some
assumptions:
"Preventive care will save money"
There have been quite a few sudies written on the subject. There
are specific public health interventions that give remarkable
returns - vaccines, clean water, discouraging smoking. But health
insurance is not one of them. For example, a study of diabetics
found that more intervention not only did not save money, but
resulted in MORE amputations
2. "Health care is good" Most people do not have the day to day
experience and education to understand that many medical
interventions are of extremely dubious utility. Remember treating
menopause with estrogen? Vioxx? tonisilectomies? It isn't only
because of self interest in pecuniary gain, but more profound - who
doesn't, when they are sick or dying, want to believe that an
intervention won't help? Look at the amount of money spent on
supplements.
I think national health insurance is coming, and like religion, if
that gives comfort to the sick and dying, I'm all for it. But when
I look at objective fact, it is doubtful that it will have any
positive affect.
I wonder how much extra, ineffective medicine is utilized by people without health insurance who didn't go to the doctor regularly and ended up in the emergy with an advanced form of a disease which would have been cheap and easy to treat if found early?
It's hard to get anoyone to show up for preventive care visits,
free or not, and this is worse for people in lower socioeconomic
classes who have jobs that are less flexible and tend to be, to put
it bluntly, less educated about health issues. The issues with
preventive care are more cultural than financial in the United
States. We just don't like to go to doctors until we get sick.
"They go to the doc with an ailment that should just run its
course, but get pissed if the doc doesn't prescribe some sort of
medication to cure the ailment."
Miche,
I lived in the UK for a significant part of my adult life and was
treated on NHS. The problem you describe is even worse in the UK.
While I won't argue with the scenario you paint, as what you write
most definitely is true for many patients, think on how it would be
if health care was "free."
I know what happens. Rather than go to the chemist shop (UK name
for drug store) and by some Nyquil, go to bed and let their body
take care of the cold, because there is no charge to see a doctor
and no charge for the medicine, the patients plug the doctor's
office getting their "free" Nyquil after wasting the doctor's time.
Then, since the doctor's time is wasted on treating colds, the
doctor's have no time to properly examine actually sick kids like
mine with what I now know to be obvious symptoms and they end-up
not being treated for a life-threatening disease for eleven years.
The NHS suxs worse than Mayor Omalley.
Tacos mmm... :
You've hit the nail on the head there. I'm remiss in my
resposibilty to get a complete physical as we speak. In the
military, personnel are ORDERED to get preventive
care because many won't on their own. Cost is obviously not an
issue there.
Miche,
Thanks for contributing and I understand your point that people see
doctors for problems that doctors cannot relieve and are thus
wasting money.
But I wonder what can be done about this and whether criticizing
people for wasting money on doctors is akin to criticizing them for
buying pet rocks or any other expenditure that could be seen as a
waste. In other words, if this is what people want, it's what they
want, in lieu of wholesale changes in society wide beliefs and
attitudes. I don't see any way to directly address this other than
to pass laws that determine when people can see their doctor and
when they can't because it would be a waste of money. Naturally I
would oppose such laws for a variety of reasons. This may or may
not be how Hanson would cut health spending in half, but if not, I
don't know how else he would do it. If he thinks people are wasting
money because their health care is subsidized, I'm with him, but I
don't see that argument in the quoted passage.
I'd like to see transparency in health care pricing.
A recent ultra-sound procedure I had done has a list price of
$713.00 US. My insurance company ended up paying them $ 50.00
US.
Reason has always lauded medical advances as do I. However, sometimes the benefits are not worth the costs. The market where insurance premiums create unnaturally high demands on treatments causes researchers to introduce more and more products, with less and less benefit.
An ounce of prevention is worth a bound of
cure.
Ur Not going 2 get people to:
-- Stop Eating Steak
-- Stop Eating Pizza
-- Stop Smoking Cigareets
-- Stop Driving dangerously
-- Start working out
-- Start Eating Health
Plus...Many diseases like Diabetes, Heart Disease, and even cancer
are passed on by parents to kids.
The Last thing any of us need is some Smart-Ass
pushing that Healthcare be CUT in half.
The real problem doesn't exist with goin 2 the Dr. too much
for a Pill. The real problem exists when u r dying of Cancer...and
the insurance company refuses to cover u, the bills skyrocket, you
loose ur entire net worth, and u die b-4 wining any lawsuit against
the insurance co.
I don't think it's actually costs that are a problem here, lots
of people piss away money on unnecessary shit, just look at the
Starbucks corporation.
The promblem is will I be forced to insure people who will piss
away my money unecessarily?
One poster stated that perhaps this is taking the place of religion
for the sick and dying, but my church gets ten bucks a week, not 5%
per paycheck or whatever Hillarycare will cost.
Several changes in our whole health environment, which our
system hasn't really caught up with.
It used to be that the reason most people went to the doctor was
for acute problems (broken leg, disease, appendicitis, etc.)
What we're now seeing is more and more medication/physician care
going to treat chronic symptoms due to lifestyle choices--diabetes,
heart disease, etc. This hasn't been helped by the fact that on the
whole, the average American lifestyle is awfully unhealthy. We have
to deliberately re-engineer our lifestyles (scheduled hours at the
sports club, avoidance of the cheap-and-easily-accessible food,
etc) in order to get the sort of health benefits that are automatic
in countries that have different environments. (Try being fat in
Tokyo--difficult because you end up walking everywhere.)
Japan ends up dealing with the chronic symptoms problem within its
NHS by a) making it almost impossible to avoid health check-ups if
you are working in any entity of any size whatsoever, and b)
exhorting people over and over to carry out certain behavior. Since
Japan has very much of a communal mentality, this goes over much
better than equivalent marketing would in the US.
And yes, we're caught here in the US between the hypochondriacs who
want the latest-and-greatest for the season's sniffle, and the
slug-a-beds who wouldn't go to a clinic for a check-up if it would
roll up to the door.
Is a puzzlement.
A recent ultra-sound procedure I had done has a list price
of $713.00 US. My insurance company ended up paying them $ 50.00
US.
Sounds like you got your transparency and what you would really
like to see is competitive pricing by dint of less market power for
insurance companies.
One of the biggest problems is the aged + hopeless population in
hospitals. By that I mean elderly people who are chronically ill,
and have no chance of getting better.
I'm certain that a substantial percentage of health care costs go
towards keeping these people alive. Obviously, anyone trying to fix
this would run up against having to make the decision to stop
life-saving treatment, which would have to be anathema to anyone
trained in medicine.
Obviously, anyone trying to fix this would run up against having to make the decision to stop life-saving treatment,[or alternatively place them on a waiting list, which is how the Brits and Canadians handle the situation]
One of the biggest problems is the aged + ho[m]eless
population in hospitals. By that I mean elderly people who are
chronically ill, and have no chance of getting better.
I've heard anecdoters say those folks get the plugged pulled mighty
quickly in countries with national health care. And then there's
former Colorado Governor Dick Lamm's "duty to die" stuff.
Cutting half of medical spending would seem to cost little
in health, and yet would free up vast resources for other health
and utility gains
I thought this was a libertarian forum; this sounds like a
prescription for a top-down reallocation of "wellness"
dollars.
Sure, here's an example of people making seemingly irrational
choices. Healthy people spend a ton of money on health insurance
that they really don't need, and end up subsidizing sick people
with almost limitless resources. You can say that much of the money
spent on health care is wasted treating hopeless cases and those
that have compromised their health through poor lifestyle choices.
It doesn't really matter, even health freaks usually face some kind
of debilitating illness at some point in their lives. (Their
lifestyle simply shifts the odds around so that it's probably going
to be later)
Might a rational, health-conscious, healthy person in their 20's or
30's be willing to pay 15%+ of their income to health insurance of
one kind or another in order to maintain continuous coverage, with
the expectation that when that day came, they'd be able to call on
the vast resources of modern medicine to try to extend and enrich
their lives?
I can see a place for the health insurance companies to encourage
good behavior by taking lifestyle risk into account in their
policies, but other than that, I don't see how you're going to get
people to give up modern medicine (flawed as it is) in return for
improved "exercise, diet, sleep, smoking, pollution, climate, and
social status" (Much of which involves adopting a more ascetic
lifestyle)
I'm sure that the hundreds of patients my wife has made
pain-free due to her performing elective surgery would be surprised
to hear that health care didn't really help them.
I'm kind of surprised to hear that the doctor cutting a lump of
cancer the size of my fist out of my armpit wasn't really advancing
my health, that I'd be just as healthy if I were ... you know ...
dead.
Yes, much of people's health problems are due to their personal
choices. Anyone studying statistics about how residents of Utah are
the healthiest in the nation can probably deduce that the high
number of Mormons in the state not smoking and drinking, etc. has
something to do with that. But to say that it doesn't help much to
use medicine to minimize the consequences of those unhealthy
decisions? Bah.
I'm certain that a substantial percentage of health care costs go towards keeping these people alive. Obviously, anyone trying to fix this would run up against having to make the decision to stop life-saving treatment, which would have to be anathema to anyone trained in medicine.
Not really. It doesn't take long for physicians to see the
pointlessness of much of the non-palliative end-of-life care that
they do. It's the families that usually insist that death be
dragged out on the slim hope that grandma might live and return to
the nursing home for a few days before bouncing back to the
hospital.
Libertarians are being a little inconsistent if they use public
health arguments against expanded medical care, but otherwise
disregard public health entirely -- I've heard libertarians say,
"there is no such thing as 'public health', it's a collectivist
illusion like 'social justice'."
Also, which half of medical spending does he propose to
cut? Is there a neat dotted line somewhere in the economy that we
can snip along?
But I wonder what can be done about this and whether criticizing people for wasting money on doctors is akin to criticizing them for buying pet rocks or any other expenditure that could be seen as a waste.
In the situation I described, the answer wouldn't involve limiting
visits. It's about explaining that some things must simply run
their course and, rather than forcing Americans to participate in a
flawed pricing system, providing encouragement to take more
responsibility for the cost. A big step in the cost arena would be
getting away from employer and government sponsored healthcare
coverage. For most people, it is less expensive to go, on their
own, to an insurer for a plan that covers major events. The catch
is this: you must plan for it. The deductibles aren't crippling and
you can find something with OOPs as low as $1500. Insurance is
designed to cover catastrophic events, not regular checkups.
It makes little sense to force people into a thousands of dollars
per year plan for coverage of a $250 (before provider w/o) yearly
gyno exam.
If we filed homeowner's claims every time we had to replace a
doorknob or toilet stopper, we would see many people uninsured in
that area too.
I know that this would not immediately work for every single person
in this country, and those with sick children/spouses/parents have
my sympathy. But forcing a change in the system and requiring
others to participate in something not needed or desired because
you are having a rough go at it isn't noble or sustainable.
I've heard libertarians say, "there is no such thing as
'public health', it's a collectivist illusion like 'social
justice'."
Rest assured that there are many libertarians that realize that
epidemic diseases aren't stopped by political philosophizing. Of
course, I'm talking about real diseases, not overblown nanny
crusades.
It would be interesting to see if the correlation is any
stronger or weaker in other countries.
Evra
Klein has gone over this issue for a while (scroll down to
April 2005 for some head-to-head comparisons). The thing that jumps
out at you is that American health care spending is
incredibly high compared to other developed nations (per
capita $5,267 in 2002, compared to around $2,000-$3,000 for
others), and yet Americans are not better off, healthwise, for all
that spending (54th in fairness, 15th in goal attainment, and 37th
in overall performance, 1997
WHO stats).
Americans are not getting a good deal for their money. It's as
simple as that, and it is a mix of special interest lobbying, fear
of change, confusion, and out-and-out pride that prevents us from
changing course.
Anyone studying statistics about how residents of Utah are
the healthiest in the nation can probably deduce that the high
number of Mormons in the state not smoking and drinking, etc. has
something to do with that.
As an aside, where can one find such statistics? I assume you do
not mean a simple indicator like Average Life Expectancy, in which
Utah ties Connecticut for the #3 spot (not to mention it also
comes in behind those notorious smoking, drinking
French and Germans).
I agree with you in specifics, however. We like to quote down-home
jokes with made-up statistics like "99% of patients get better in
spite of treatment," but oh, that 1%. It's the killer.
Good health care makes a difference. The question is, are Americans
getting the best health care for the best price, and if not, why
not?
fyodor & OMalleySux - I can believe the anecdotes, simply
because the existance of a pre-determined course of action often
makes it easier for people to make hard choices. Also, it protects
the Docs in national health care systems against malpractice
suits.
Tacos mmm - funny you should mention that. I remember when my
grandmother passed at 84. She'd been very active until about 6
weeks before she died, and then after that she was bouncing back
and forth between the hospital & nursing home. No one
(including her) wanted to see her like that. The only thing I can
think of about the "one more day" types is that a lot of people
have unresolved issues they're deluding themselves can be solved
with a deathbed conversation.
Somewhat OT, I also wonder how much of the aggregate figure of how
much "Americans spend on health care" includes boob jobs, hair
plugs, etc. I'm certain as a nation we WAY outspend eveyone else on
elective, cosmetic procedures, and if these figures are included in
with the health care totals, It could help provide a misleading
idea of how inefficient american health care is.
joseph dietrich:
OK, perhaps I should have phrased it as "Utah is one of the
healthiest, if not the healthiest, state because ..."
But, most measures of health you find will show Utah at or near the
top of the health rankings, such as the link you provided, or
this:
http://www.in.gov/itpc/files/research_90.pdf
Actually, time after time, when comparing statistics by state, and
not just for health, Utah routinely winds up as an outlier near the
top or bottom of the list, because the Mormon culture changes how
people live their lives compared to more homogenized states.
Note that Hawaii topped the list you provided, with the AJAs
leading the charge there. Eating a lot of fish and rice, and
restricting calories, will tend to extend your lifespan.
Bottom line -- lifestyle matters greatly in determining your
health.
Bottom line -- lifestyle matters greatly in determining your health.
Kind of. The most significant thing that the average person can do
to improve their long-term health outlook is quit smoking. Most of
the other measures that people take to improve their health are of
such a small effect that they can only be measured statistically.
Health, and lifespan in particular, mostly seems to be luck.
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