David Weigel | July 13, 2007
James Kirchick calls me out for yesterday's snarky post about Joe Lieberman and his "Iran is killing our troops so let's do something" amendment:
By its actions in Iraq, Iran has essentially declared war on us. How the United States ought to react is still up for debate. Other than snark, what do Dave and those who, however bad their spelling, righteously call Lieberman a "warmongerer" suggest?
Speaking for myself I suggest: Not going to war with Iran. Hyperpowers like the United States are in a unique position where all sorts of small powers want a piece of us and we have the ability, if we so choose, to respond to all of them. When we're losing face and some of our soldiers get killed, it's awfully tempting to do that. It's wise to resist the impulse because it's altogether easy to get bogged down in these responses. That's sort of the lesson of our Iraq adventure, isn't it?
The problem with Lieberman is that his default response to Middle East flare-ups is military action. He has a track record of this stuff, and he tells anyone who'll ask that, yes, he'd support war with Iran. If we answer Iran's rather measly challenge (the bad guys are spending about $3 million a month in Iraq, which is as much as we spend every half hour) with some sort of large-scale military response, what does Lieberman think will happen? Why's he convinced it won't metastize into a larger war?
More Kirchick:
The near-unanimous support for this amendment brings to mind the unanimous support for the 1998 Iraq Liberation Act. That act stated that "It should be the policy of the United States to support efforts to remove the regime headed by Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq and to promote the emergence of a democratic government to replace that regime." Whatever one thinks about the wisdom of the Iraq war, keep in mind that regime change in Iraq was the official, bipartisan policy of the United States government years before it became fashionable for journalists to write tiresome, 5,000-word articles linking Ahmed Chalabi, PNAC and Paul Wolfowitz.
OK, I'm going to get accused of snark again, but... so what if it was a bipartisan policy? The fact that it was a stupid and disastrous policy seems more pertinent.
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So, it's fair to say that your answer to Kirchick's question is "I suggest we ignore Iran?"
Just to add on, who the hell are we anyway to suggests what
countries need "regime change"?
I don't like George W. Bush but I wouldn't be thrilled if, say, the
Indians came to "liberate" us from him.
The fact that it was a stupid and disastrous policy seems
more pertinent.
PWNED!
Iran has been perpetually at war with the United States since it
invaded our embassy in 1979, and it has been killing Americans both
directly and by proxy ever since. But anyone in favor of fighting
back is a warmonger?
Faster, please.
so what if it was a bipartisan policy? The fact that it was a stupid and disastrous policy seems more pertinent.
Quoted for the truth!
The bill banning "Bush Lied" T-shirts in AZ was not only
bi-partisan it was unanimous. That doesn't mean it isn't a
piece-of-shit legislation. Same thing here.
"I don't like George W. Bush but I wouldn't be thrilled if, say,
the Indians came to "liberate" us from him."
We fret about Iran getting a few nukes when we have thousands. How
would we like it if all the non-nuke countries invaded the US to
force us to get rid of them?
Richard-
A twelve year old kid shoots a water pistol at you. Do you respond
by shooting of a sub-machine gun?
"Iran has been perpetually at war with the United States since
it invaded our embassy in 1979, and it has been killing Americans
both directly and by proxy ever since. But anyone in favor of
fighting back is a warmonger?"
Richard, you forgot to mention why they invaded our embassy in the
first place. It wouldn't be because of our meddling policy over
there, would it?
Iran has been perpetually at war with the United States since we overthrew their government and installed the Shah's puppet goverment leading to an Islamic militant uprising, and it has been killing Americans both directly and by proxy ever since.
There, fixed it for you.
You reap what you sow, and the US has sown a lot of bad seeds in the last 50 years. Harvest time is upon us.
Attacking Iran helps Israel. It doesn't help America.
Get smart, people. Joe Lieberman is working in Israel's best
interests, not America's.
I wonder how Holy Joe would feel if China invaded Mexico, set up a puppet government, and had an Aircraft Carrier battle fleet stationed in the Gulf of Mexico, all the while telling everybody their official policy towards us is "regime change"?
Kharg Island, Larak Island, Lavan Island, Sirri Island. Iran doesn't have the amphibious capability to retake them from a U.S. seizure, they're small enough to secure properly, and they are four of Iran's six major oil export terminals.
I don't like George W. Bush but I wouldn't be thrilled if,
say, the Indians came to "liberate" us from him.
Well, one difference is that we have an orderly process by which we
can change our regime every four years (or more often if you count
impeachment). No such process existed in Iraq, and none exists in
Iran today (at least as far as the Guardians are concerned).
Lunatic-
But they can launch an invasion into Iraq if we invade their
territory, leading to a massive lost of life and a huge uprising
from the Shias in Iraq. Try harder, please.
Crimethink-
There is a process, its called revolting, and the people of Eastern
Europe did it quite successfully without us having to invade the
Soviet Union.
David - Your response about what to do is "not go to war with
Iran" while I agree war with Iran would be a bad idea, that is not
a suggestion about what to do, it's a suggestion about what not to
do.
I don't have an answer to this either, but I don't believe we can
simply do nothing. Iran may well take control of Iraq after we pull
out. their insane President not only wants to wipe out Israel, but
America as well.
Iran may not be nearly as powerful as the US, but they are not a 12
year old kid with a water pistol.
"I don't like George W. Bush but I wouldn't be thrilled if, say,
the Indians came to "liberate" us from him."
Hmmmm...I dunno...I might take that trade, especially if we get
some bitchin chana masala and dosas as a part of the deal.
"Well, one difference is that we have an orderly process by
which we can change our regime every four years (or more often if
you count impeachment). No such process existed in Iraq, and none
exists in Iran today (at least as far as the Guardians are
concerned)."
But is it our responsibility to tell them what kind of government
they should have?
I don't have an answer to this either, but I don't believe
we can simply do nothing. Iran may well take control of Iraq after
we pull out. their insane President not only wants to wipe out
Israel, but America as well.
Iran is a 12 year old kid with a water pistol. Their army
is poorly equipped. Their airforce is grounded due to lack of spare
parts. Their navy is a joke. This is a threat to the country that
spends more on its defense budget than the rest of the world put
together, why?
They want a nuclear weapon because they don't want to be invaded by
us.
They look at Iraq--no weapons of mass destruction, invaded.
They look at North Korea--nuclear weapon, not invaded.
Their missiles can't reach the United States. Even if they could,
we would t urn their country into glass if they ever launched a
first strike. I don't buy that they want to die, the current
leadership in Iran had plenty of chances to martyr itself under the
Shah. They didn't.
"David - Your response about what to do is "not go to war with
Iran" while I agree war with Iran would be a bad idea, that is not
a suggestion about what to do, it's a suggestion about what not to
do. I don't have an answer to this either, but I don't believe we
can simply do nothing."
We should build a relationship with Iran the way Nixon did with
China. The only good thing he did.
" Iran may well take control of Iraq after we pull out."
That's our doing by overthrowing Saddam.
"their insane President not only wants to wipe out Israel, but
America as well."
He may want to, but he would be stupid to do so. I don't believe
he's that stupid or even if he is, cooler heads would prevail in
Iran. They know we and Israel could retaliate in a big way if they
were to attack either of us.
Iran is in a bad neighbourhood (and sure, they're one of the reasons it's bad); Iraq and the always unstable Middle East on one side, Afghanistan on the other (with Pakistan and India beyond - both nuclear powers, don't forget), and a resurgent Russia looming to the north - not to mention the enmity of the US. The current Iranian leaders are shits, but if I were in their shoes I'd want the bomb too.
Iran is a 12 year old kid with a water pistol. Their army is
poorly equipped. Their airforce is grounded due to lack of spare
parts. Their navy is a joke.
Then they really shouldn't go killing the soldiers of a country
that spends more on its defense budget than the rest of the world
put together.
Iran is not a 12 year old kid with a water pistol. 12 year olds are
too smart to go about squirting men with submachine guns.
How about this solution:
1) The United States officially abandones "regime change" as its
official policy towards Iran
2) The United States and Iran issue apologies to eachother for 1953
and 1979, respectively
3) Diplomats are exchanged, and relations normalized
4) Iran promises to abandon its nuclear weapons program--backed up
by inspections--and its support for insurgents in Iraq in exchange
for a sweetheart trade deal with the United States
What we've learned from Iraq is that we can topple such governments in a week or two. We just shouldn't hang around for the aftermath. Hey, lesson learned! Heck, maybe we should just look at the Iranians darkly and say that if we do invade, we'll just hand the leftovers to our pals, the Russians. Or our other pals, the Turks. Then leave the whole damned region.
Cesar, that sort of common sensical approach only helps US. It
doesn't help Israel's goal of a permanant hegemony in the middle
east. You silly goose!
Lieberman has a vested interest in Israel and a position of power
in the United States. You do the math:
Iran has the second largest natural gas reserves in the
world.
Uranium and Plutonium deposites in the Zagros Mountains.
The second largest producer of Oil in the world (the reserves
aren't as big as saudi arabia but big enough)
A young population of 70 million, a large portion of which favor
Western styles and will make a fantastic market for everything from
Western TV shows to Levi's jeans and Financial services. (so it'll
pay for itself)
The US Empire has a decided manifest destiny to attack Iran. The US
Republic has no reason to attack Iran but would rather get help
from Iran to stabilize Iraq. We'll see if the empire wins this
debate or the republic.
Blowback is always unpredictable.
Terrorist depend on people like Leiberman and Kirchick. What
would be the point of terrorism if the people you're trying to goad
into making a mistake don't rise to the bait?
And while supporting regime change in Iraq was bipartisan policy,
Operation Iraqi Freedom most certainly was not. I've seen awful lot
of Republicans proclaim that they want to see poor urban areas
redeveloped, but if I equated that with support for a big HUD
project, I'd be laughed out of the room.
Republicans: declaring that supporting a goal commits you to a
massive, poorly-thought-out government initiative to achieve that
goal since 2002.
Terrorist depend on people like Leiberman and
Kirchick.
The inverse of that statement is also true. People like Lieberman
and Kirchick depend on terrorists.
Wow, the last time I saw someone steal the "faster, please"
formulation from National Review, the thing they wanted to happen
"faster, please" was the invasion of Iraq. Boy, good thing we
didn't put THAT off!
Smarter monkeys, please.
For all those of you who think its the job of the United States to ensure a democratic government for everyone in the world, heres your boy!
Cesar,
To be fair, Wilson didn't advocate the conquest of distant
countries as the means to spread democracy and freedom. He actually
advocated the opposite - that those powers that had invaded distant
countries and set up governments to their liking cease doing
so.
To be fair, Wilson didn't advocate the conquest of distant
countries as the means to spread democracy and freedom. He actually
advocated the opposite - that those powers that had invaded distant
countries and set up governments to their liking cease doing
so.
He just lied us into an unnecessary war, transforming us into an
unwitting tool of the British and French Empires.
He is similar to the neocons in that he was extremely, extremely
naieve and idealistic.
So, basically, you're giving up your original point, about
Wilson supporting the conquest of foreign countries for the purpose
of making them Democratic, and changing the subject to other
failures of Wilson? OK.
Yes, he was naive and idealistic, and didn't have the skills to
parlay our assistance to those powers into any gains for his
anti-imperialist ideals. I agree completely on that part.
The near-unanimous support for this amendment brings to mind
the unanimous support for the 1998 Iraq Liberation Act.
And Kirchick considers this an argument for it? Amazing.
(FYI, 38 Congressmen voted against the 1998 Iraq act, including of
course Ron Paul).
joe-
Just as Wilson was naieve enough to believe the British and French
imperialists would fight for the Fourteen Points, the
neoconservatives were just as naieve to believe Iraq was society
ripe to become a Jeffersonian Democracy. That is the point I'm
trying to make.
joe | July 13, 2007, 3:46pm | #
[...]
Smarter monkeys, please.
hier
(story behind it,
hier)
Monkey children with horns and a little barbed thingy on the end
of their tails.
Oh, yeah, with a nearly insatiable sex drive.
For gymnastics equipment.
and automotive spare parts.
(as long as everything we do is for the chidren
(sic), then it's hokae)
I believe that periods of time subsequent to the one we are in now is the future.
the future...
the future...
the future...
Proc VARMAX data=children;
Model high low/p=3 lagmax=5 ecm= (rank=1
normalize=high) cointtest;
Cointeg Rank=1 H=(1, -1);
output out=out1 Lead=50;
ID T Interval=Day;
Run;
******************
The VARMAX Procedure
Variable Type NoMissN Mean...
*** Null Set Error. No future.
No future
No future
No future for you.
Uranium and Plutonium deposites in the Zagros
Mountains.
Plutonium deposits? What, did the Babylonians leave their nuclear
reactor waste there? It doesn't exist naturally.
crimethink
tip for dealing with zealot zipperheads:
Dont ask them rhetorical questions. It gives them more excuse to
spout manifestos. Sometimes better to just nod knowingly, and give
them the,
"Plutonium Deposits, ay? Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish
to subscribe to your newsletter"
http://www.everything2.com/index.pl?node=Your%20ideas%20are%20intriguing%20to%20me%20and%20I%20wish%20to%20subscribe%20to%20your%20newsletter
to add some more substansive comment =
Congress still sucks dead elephant assholes.
Congress still sucks dead elephant assholes.
Congress has been doing that pretty much since 1775.
Iran has been perpetually at war with the United States
since it invaded our embassy in 1979, and it has been killing
Americans both directly and by proxy ever since.
Does that include when we were secretly selling them weapons in the
80's so we could then secretly fund terrorists in Nicaragua?
What a weird war...
Joe Liberman please....please...please....
get off of that Israel thing.....
People like u are goin to get us (Americans that have nothing to do
with this) KILLED!!!
Joe Liberman...If u r willing 2 commit suicide to defend
ISRAEL...THEN U R THE AMERICA Suicide Bomber
I say we bring Israel HERE!!!
There's no need to have a bunch of caucasian (Ex-German) people
living amonst a bunch of suicidal savages.
We haven't had a DAY OF PEACE since the institution of
ISRAEL.
Let it go...
Bring the Jews Here...
We have LOTs of Jews...6 million more won't make a
difference....
Why heck, we may be letting 12 million mexicans stay here...why not
well educated, resourcefull Jews ??
Most criticism of US foreign policy during the cold war is bogus. It does not acknowledge that the problem was SOVIET foreign policy. US foreign policy faced many tough choices, such as putting the Shah in power in Iran, because communists financed a world wide campaign to put totalitarian governments in place all over the world. Through messy, democratic processes over many elections over a half-century of cold war, the US defeated the commies and liberated millions from communist oppression.
As evidenced by his voting record and pronouncements, Lieberman,
like far too many others both inside and outside the government,
but wielding influence with the government, is quite anxious to
sacrifice American blood and money for what he thinks will be good
for the Israeli government and the Likudnik agenda.
Each of us should contact our representative and senators and tell
them that attacking Iran is not in our interest.
http://www.visi.com/juan/congress/
"Is War With Iran Inevitable?
Yes. "
http://antiwar.com/justin/
This one is disturbing cuz Justin Raimondo usually right about
these matters.
BTW, antiwar.com is both the most frequented snti-war site and
libertarian site extant.
Rick Barton-
Lets all of us keep in mind that there is a bigger debate
within Israel over Israeli policy than there is in the
United States over Israeli policy. Its not the Israelis that would
want war with Iran, its just the most extreme, nationalist, and
militarist elements within that country that want it. I don't buy
for a minute the majority of the Israeli people want endless war,
only the fascist elements in that country.
buck smith,
Through messy, democratic processes over many elections over a
half-century of cold war, the US defeated the commies and liberated
millions from communist oppression.
No, this is just wrong. Communism didn't get "rolled back," if fell
from the inside out. It fell first in Berlin and Moscow and Prague.
Why do you think there are still "outposts," but no mother
ship?
Our screwing around in third world countries did nothing to bring
about the fall of the Soviet Empire. Perhaps, in some cases, it
stopped it from expanding - Greece, for example, or South Korea,
but none of these third world fights between proxies weakened the
Soviets in the slightests.
It was the genius of Ronald Reagan that he was able to recognize
that containment had worked, and its end-game had come, even after
he had spent two decades deouncing containment as
ineffective.
The Soviet Union wasn't brought down by American foreign policy;
the Soviet Union was brought down by the people of Russia and
Eastern Europe, because the system it forced them to live under was
unsustainable. All we needed to do was to contain their power and
the damage it did, and wait them out, like Truman and Kennon
said.
Those guys at TNR are determined to make an even bigger joke out of themselves then they already are.
What Cesar said. Which was:
Its not the Israelis that would want war with Iran, its just
the most extreme, nationalist, and militarist elements within that
country that want it. I don't buy for a minute the majority of the
Israeli people want endless war, only the fascist elements in that
country.
Poll after poll reveals that the majority of Israelis want the
occupation of Palestinian land to end. But our government keeps on
funding the occupation.
That's not quite it, Rick. Our government isn't sending funds
earmarked to pout fences around settlers' trailers or
anything.
Our government is funding Israel. Israel is trying to figure out a
way to extract itself from the occupation (most of Israel, anyway,
as you point out), but it's a difficult matter.
joe,
The current Isreali government wants to maintain the occupation and
when our government gives them our money, that makes it easier for
them to do so.
joe,
Are you sure that part of our tax money that is given to the
Israeli government isn't specifically earmarked for the occupation?
IMO, it's bad either way. Either our government is itemizing part
of it for a shameful purpose. or they're saying: "Here are billions
of dollars. Use it for "defense" however you want to."
Okay, since the original version seems to have been eaten since
my attempt to post it, here's the nuance-less, short version
1) Iran doesn't have the ability to mount an invasion of Iraq.
Mixture of defects in their military and logistics, plus the new
era of GPS bombs.
2) The most likely reaction of Shia Iraqis to an Iranian invasion
is to rally around the Maliki government against the invader, not
rising up against it.
3) It's unlikely the result in Iran would include enough blame of
the Iranian government by the people to get it overthrown. Which
means the result would be an expensive stalemate.
Iran is our sworn enemy. It has it's proxies attacking our
soldiers in Iraq. Iran is supplying arms and tactical information
to the so-called insurgents that are killing our people. Iran is at
war with us, but because of political panty wastes, our Military
isn't allowed to engage the enemy in the Iranian theater. This is
ridiculous! We should let our military fight our wars, not the
politicians. Yes, we are a democratic republic, and not a military
oligarchy but in times of war we need to win. We should let the
people who are trained to fight our wars, do so. Not with one arm
tied behind their backs, either. One nuke would ruin our whole day,
so lets blast them back to the neolithic era before they get the
chance. Then maybe, in 400 years or so we can ask them , How do you
like us now?.
But the real problem, of course, is what will Russia and China
might do if we did follow my course of action. They wouldn't pee in
their pants as the progressives would. They would respect our
determination and like wise, be warned. The world would know that
there are consequences to attacking the United States of America,
that there are consequences to killing American soldiers. Yes, the
world would be a more dangerous place, for OUR ENEMIES!
There would no lasting damage to our world image, as everyone in
the world already hates Bush (oops, I mean ) us. It would be more
in our self interest to totally destroy the threat than quitting
and running away from the problem. It would not be pretty, but war
never is. Peace is more than not fighting a war, peace seldom come
to the loser of the war but peace comes when real justice is
established in the world.
When you see "so-called insurgents," it should set off a
bell.
They're NOT insurgents?
but because of political panty wastes
Well, we can't all sweat testosterone from our 26 inch pythons
like, uh, Jonah Goldberg and Bill Kristol. But far be it from me to
condone the waste of panties.
One nuke would ruin our whole day, so lets blast them back to
the neolithic era before they get the chance.
Last time you people dragged that out, we ended up stuck in
Iraq.
They would respect our determination and like wise, be warned.
The world would know that there are consequences to attacking the
United States of America, that there are consequences to killing
American soldiers. Yes, the world would be a more dangerous place,
for OUR ENEMIES!
That's what you said the Iranians would do if we invaded Iraq.
How's that working out? Have they bowed before our might yet?
peace comes when real justice is established in the
world
Once again, that's what you said about invading Iraq - the last
time launching a war was going to create peace in the world. What
it accomplished was to mike Iraq more violent and more dangerous
than it was under Saddam Hussein, and greatly enhance Iran's
strategic position.
All of the arguments offered for an Iran War are those that were
offered for an Iraq War. Fool me one, shame...shame on you. A foo
mah...can't get fooled again!
Mickey Knight-
Let me just let you in on a little secret--foreign policy isn't an
online multi-player session of Halo 2. You don't go up to
a foreign nation, drop bombs on another country and say the
equivalent of HAHAH I GOTZ UR FLAGz n00b. Its a bit more
complicated than that.
I'm confusing, eh?
I'm of the opinion that the Iranian government is an openly
declared enemy of the United States, possesses no legitimate
grievances against the United States that justify its hostility, is
an active danger (if relatively small) to citizens of the United
States, and is utterly lacking in legitimacy due to the character
of the state.
Further, I am of the opinion that limited action effective on the
purely military level can be entirely successful.
(I can go into detail dissecting each of these points, but I'm
unlikely to convince anyone who disagrees with me or vice-versa, so
let's just let them stand for now.)
However, I do not think such successful limited military action
would be likely to resolve any of the objections I have with the
Iranian regime, and therefore, as both a matter of practicality and
preserving human life, it should be avoided.
(I'm ignoring how American wars are financed for the simple reason
that it's a bigger, deeper issue. Since one can object to basic
contractual enforcement in the U.S. on that grounds, it confuses
issues more than it clarifies.)
So we can see I disagree with just about everybody here on some
grounds, and thus am really hard to pigeonhole. But, net, I'm
opposed to attacking Iran.
"The problem with Lieberman is that his default response to
Middle East flare-ups is military action."
Except for, you know, that little flare-up involving the U.S.
Liberty.
"Iran possesses no legitimate grievances against the United
States.
If another nation had replaced our government with a puppet in
1953, I wonder if Warmongering Lunatic would think he had a
legitimate grievance.
Bob, if that had happened to Iran (instead of the actual events
of 1951-1953*), they still wouldn't have a legitimate grievance
today, almost thirty years after the ayatollahs took
over.
(*Iranian Prime Minister Mohammed Mosaddeq managed to alienate both
the clerical and communist factions that supported him in Iran's
parliament-mostly because it wasn't possible to keep the
communists, democrats, and clericalists all happy at the same time,
and assisted by the hardship caused by the British blockade. As his
support slipped, he tried to make himself dictator of Iran through
assumption of emergency powers, suspension of the secret ballot, an
unconstitutional dissolution and suspension of Parliament, and the
exiling of the Shah. The result was pushback from every faction in
Iran that wasn't in favor of a Mosaddeq dictatorship. That
culminated in Mosaddeq being dismissed by the Shah, and the
military backing the legally-appointed replacement Prime Minister
in his effort to take control of the country. MI6 and the CIA took
sides during the power struggles of '53, but only the ignorant,
fools, and agenda-blinded blame Mosaddeq's fall on anything other
than internal Iranian politics.)
Ameircans killed 12,658 american civilians this year. Perhaps we should go to war with ourselves.
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