Ronald Bailey | July 3, 2007
The Centers for Disease Control misdiagnosed runaway lawyer Andrew Speaker's type of tuberculosis. It's MDR-TB (multi-drug resistant) TB. That's good news for Speaker. Nevertheless, the CDC insists that it would have raised the same hullabaloo had it known that Speaker suffered from the less serious (though still quite serious) version of tuberculosis.
The World Health Organization recommends:
People known to have infectious TB must not travel by public air transportation until at least two weeks of adequate treatment have been completed. Patients with MDR-TB should not travel until they have been proved to be non-infectious (i.e. culture-negative).
Speaker was apparently culture-postive, so he should not have gotten on an airplane. On the other hand, if the CDC wants to quarantine people, suggesting to them that they charter a $140,000 private plane for a return flight seems like a counterproductive way to talk them into it. And there is some question whether or not CDC officials were clear about how contagious Speaker was.
Speaker is certainly no hero here, but the CDC's keystone cop antics during this episode are worrying too.
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"On the other hand, if the CDC wants to quarantine people,
suggesting to them that they charter a $140,000 private plane for a
return flight seems like a counterproductive way to talk them into
it."
That's obviously ridiculous, but what alternative would you
suggest? You don't want him on a normal flight (with good reason),
and I agree that a chartered flight is out of the question for most
of us mortals.
Seems like the best thing would be for him to have been treated in
Prague, or earlier in his itinerary. I'm sure it would have
disrupted his life, but likely not more than has been the case
anyway. I have to admit that when it comes to things like incurable
fatal diseases, I'd rather that the CDC err on ther side of
caution- you can'ty expect them to get it right, but you can at
least hope they will get it wrong in the way that is least likely
to lead to disastrous consequences, and they seem to have done so
here.
At any rate, though I at first thought that Speaker might well be a
dangerous, silly bastard, I am not so sure now. If he is to be
believed, he was acting in accordance with his doctor's
orders.
Just to get the obligatory dig in, in the US at least, these
strains of TB are largely the result of having such a large inmate
population... we all know that kids are walking vectors because we
pack them into classrooms. Prisons are like kindergartens with a
high percentage of IV drug using rapists.
The lawyer knew he should not have flown back. He did out of his
own self interest and fear. Active TB is serious enough, and his
was thought the worst. He is a lesson in what others will do when
pandemics are possible. He flew to Canada, rented a car and came
home, all without even a simple bandana mask. Damn those exposed,
every man for himself.
The government failed at every proactive measure. The health people
didn't take control despite having the power. The man acted
deliberately. The family didn't cooperate. Foreign cooperation
failed. US border guard ignored order and knowing let him re-enter
the country. CDC has now caught another error, they say.
Lessons:
Even an educated, wealthy, informed individual will act selfishly
when faced with a world wide threat.
The state will fail to use its power.
The medical establishment will err.
Chance will determine the outcome.
Who is confident in the CDC now?
Will government save us from a pandemic?
Who believes the man will act in the best interest of the many?
"Who is confident in the CDC now?"
Note that Mr Bailey's article appears on a website that cannot,
after several years, manage a commenting system that works
reliably. There's something about group dynamics that makes people
entirely incompetent. I don't trust the CDC to do a damned thing.
Got an alternative?
If some writer wants to win a Pulitzer Prize,
try solving the many mysteries of this story:
that a daughter of a world CDC TB specialist
would happen to marry a man with MDR-TB;
that the initial diagnosis was even worse,
that it was also somehow in error, for a month,
that the wedding & diagnosis be simultaneous,
with the one in Greece and the other in the US;
that international travel would thicken the plot;
and, too, was he told to not to fly, or NOT told?
But he was told not to fly back to the US,
and was put on an international no fly list,
but flew to Canada, then drive into the US,
yet was admitted by a guard at the border
despite knowing the man was flagged;
and that all this was simply coincidental, or not!
On the other hand, if the CDC wants to quarantine people,
suggesting to them that they charter a $140,000 private plane for a
return flight seems like a counterproductive way to talk them into
it.
Umm... wasn't this basically the CDC saying "don't come home, get
treated over there" ?
"The Centers for Disease Control misdiagnosed runaway
lawyer patient Andrew Speaker's type
of tuberculosis."
Umm... wasn't this basically the CDC saying "don't come
home, get treated over there" ?
Maybe. OTOH, if the treatments were not available over there, then
it was the CDC's way of saying, "fuck you."
From Bailey's links, it looks like drugs may be working to quell
Speaker's TB-style. Would he have had access to those drugs in
Rome? I haven't heard an answer to that. If he would not have had
access to those drugs in Rome, then, once again, then it was the
CDC's way of saying: "You made a mistake, Flounder, you trusted
us."
Hopefully, if Bailey chooses to dig a little deeper into this
story, then some of Reason's pharma contacts can tell him
whether Speaker would have had access, in Rome, to the drugs he is
now getting in the US. Inquiring minds, etc., etc.
OTOH, if the treatments were not available over there, then
it was the CDC's way of saying, "fuck you."
And given a choice between Speaker dying of MDR-TB and any of the
people that he knowingly exposed to a potentially fatal disease,
that's exactly the right thing to say.
You. Do. Not. Sacrifice. Other. People. To. Save. Yourself.
Every decent human being knows this. Speaker obviously does not.
And I wonder about Dave W. (Also a lawyer, if I'm not mistaken.
Hmmm.)
As the patriotic staff and management of reason will be
busy celebrating the greatest holiday in the history of the world,
the birth of the USA, rather than posting stories, this should be
the holiday open thread!
Obligatory On-Topic Comment: The CDC could have arranged for the
patent to be transported on a US or Allied military medical flight
back to the USA. Perhaps their San Francisco values get in the way
of working with the military, or it just never came to mind.
Open Topic: I shall be celebrating the 4th by both attacking and
defending an Indian reservation. Having a diverse background makes
for strange alliances.
Let's not suggest that it was the CDC that did the initial
testing. The CDC labs are not used for routine TB diagnostics for
anyone including Fulton Co. The CDC rang the bells based on Fulton
Co. DOH and then get the strain to reconfirm the susceptability
testing results. They were only working one specimen from Speaker.
Normally more than one culture is used and all suscept. results in
some states have to confirmed by a second laboratory/test.
But they just couldn't wait the weeks that would take to let him
roam Europe. Though I'm not suprised they boffed a bit on figuring
out what to do with him when they did get ahold of him in
Italy.
Susceptability testing for these second/tertiary drugs is very
difficult and the different methods produce slightly different
results.
When this hit the news yesterday they were initially implying that
that MDR TB wasn't dangerous or 'the deadly form'! All TB disease
can be deadly and MDR forms were a crazy problem in NYC in the 90's
killing hundreds of people (still is).
The degree of infectiousness is also poorly understood by non-TB
doc's. His sputum didn't have visible bacilli but since TB grew
from his sputum, it was present, though in low amounts and hence
still infectious but perhaps not highly so. The more TB in your
spit, the higher degree of infect. though it's a lot of qualitative
calling rather than a definitive quantitative scale.
And MDR TB, if not properly treated can become XDR very quickly. So
Speaker is still far from out of the woods and still has a good
chance of dying from the disease.
Anyway, off to breakfast!
Anyway, off to breakfast!
Reminds me that I have not had pancakes in honor of Rachael Corrie
in a while.
And given a choice between Speaker dying of MDR-TB and any
of the people that he knowingly exposed to a potentially fatal
disease, that's exactly the right thing to say.
You. Do. Not. Sacrifice. Other. People. To. Save. Yourself.
Every decent human being knows this. Speaker obviously does not.
And I wonder about Dave W. (Also a lawyer, if I'm not mistaken.
Hmmm.)
I understand that he should not have flown commercial. I also
understood what should have happened here. What should have
happened:
CDC: Speaker, don't fly back to the US.
Speaker: But I don't think I can be treated in Rome and I will
die.
CDC: So?
Speaker: So you said it was okay for me to come over here.
CDC: You made a mistake, Flounder, you trusted us.
Speaker: Why don't you CDC guys fly me back.
CDC: Gee that would cost money.
Speaker: What would Jesus do?
CDC: You know, you are right. We want to be the good guys here. We
told you that it was okay to come over. Now we change our minds.
Tell you what, we will fly you back on a special CDC flight
tomorrow.
Speaker: Now I don't even feel like I have some kind of horrible
choice to make. I accept your reasonable offer and will be sure to
stay off commercial flights.
RCD: Curses, foiled again. *drinks cold milk, bops hottie*
As the patriotic staff and management of reason will be busy
celebrating the greatest holiday in the history of the world, the
birth of the USA, rather than posting stories, this should be the
holiday open thread!
Yes, holiday open thread! Do we have to do everything around
here?
Why is everyone complaining about the cost of chartering an
airplane? After all, that's the price on the free market....
Obviously Speaker should have just waited until competition had
made a lower-priced alternative available.
After all, the free market solves everything, doesn't it?
Italy is a (mostly) first world country. Why shouldn't he be able to get the drugs there? Or at the least, have them shipped there?
Italy is a (mostly) first world country. Why shouldn't he be
able to get the drugs there? Or at the least, have them shipped
there?
I don't know whether they would have let him or not. It is easy to
imagine the potential problems he might have had:
- insurance company would not cover
- Italian authorities wouldn't let him import
- us authorities wouldn't let them export
- patent issues
- local Italian doctors aren't trained to administer the drug
- regulations bing practice of Italian doctors
I imagined that after telling him he could travel and then changing
their mind, the CDC could have solved a lot of these problems or
potential problems for patient Speaker. Thing is, from what I can
tell, they weren't working with Speaker.
I mean in theory, speaker could have run for Prime Minister of
Italy and simultaneously worked his way up to CEO of the company
that controls the drugs. Then as PM / CEO, he could have decreed
that he would get that drug in Rome. Back on planet Earth, his
actual course of action, while wrong, is pretty understandable. The
CDC's course of action is also wrong, but much less
understandable.
The more I read about this case, the more reasonable Speaker
appears to me.
Open Topic: I shall be celebrating the 4th by both attacking
and defending an Indian reservation.
Que?
I shall be celebrating California style, with beer 'n margies.
Happy 4th, everyone!
The more I read about this case, the more reasonable Speaker appears to me.
Sorry, I disagree.
Even if he had oldtime everyday garden variety TB he should not
have been globetrotting around Euroland.
One of the reasons TB gets into these untreatable conditions is
leaving it too long.
They used to lock infected people up without recourse as recently
as fifty years ago. Do we need to return to those days because of
some selfabsorbed yuppie?
The point is that even oldtime everyday garden variety TB is
extremely contagious.
Why anyone would think he had a right to expose people to it is
beyond me.
Grumpy, if you would otherwise have many options open to you on
the market (including regular commercial flights) but the
government restricts you from choosing most of those available
options, then that is not a "free market."
But generally, yes -- the free market does solve everything.
EVERYTHING! And it makes me want to sing and dance! Tra la
la la diddy da!
The more I read about this case, the more reasonable Speaker
appears to me.
Except for the part where he knowingly and wilfully put other
people at the risk of a rather prolonged and painful death.
Right?
Except for the part where he knowingly and wilfully put
other people at the risk of a rather prolonged and painful
death.
I don't want to defend patient Speaker too much, but he was getting
some pretty mixed signals from the CDC. First they tell him it is
okay to travel. Then they are more concerned, but not quite
concerned enough to put him on a special CDC flight back to Atlanta
or quarantine him.
"Knowingly" and "willfully" definitely seems like the wrong words
to use in the face of such mixed signals from the CDC.
Furthermore, real lawyers don't use the phrase "knowingly putting
somebody at risk." Rather, real lawyers say "acted recklessly" or
"acted negligently" in contradistinction to situations where
"knowledge" or "willfulness" are present and/or required for
liability. To a lawyer's ears, you are saying that Speaker
willfully acted recklessly. C'mon, RCD, you are a lawyer. You
should know this stuff.
grumpy_realist: "After all, the free market solves everything,
doesn't it?"
I hope that not many advocates of free markets believe that. As
most realists, grumpy or not, acknowledge, many problems can only
be partially solved- and that is an optimistic take on things if
you ask me. The argument is that markets tend to find "better"
partial solutions (what better means is best left as an exercise).
The evidence suggests that this is so in many cases.
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