David Weigel | May 10, 2007
Via the Reason Foundation's Lisa
Snell comes this list on the home page of Technorati: Rep. Ron
Paul inspires more patriotic denizens of the web to do blog
searches than Paris Hilton, YouTube, or, uh, anything else in
the universe. It's part of the ongoing D-story of the 2008
campaign: the libertarian/nerd convergence of support for Ron
Paul.
We're probably not talking about hundreds of thousands of people finding out about Paul and growing a national movement. His campaign brags to reporters about Paul's status in online polls, crediting it to his many votes against internet regulation, but there's no sign of it translating to real world Obama-style momentum. (Obama can put out a call for rally volunteers on Facebook and get 200 fresh-scrubbed co-eds bouncing out of bed to help set up microphones.) It's just enough to piss off the online polling outfits. Pajamas Media might be ready to bounce Paul from its poll again after some fishy traffic from a single IP address.
We regret that Congressman Paul, a good and decent American with loyal motives and deeply held convictions, seems to have garnered among his supporters a small group for whom unethical conduct appears to be permissible if it gets him elected. We are certain he would disapprove of it.
Still, this behavior must stop immediately, as well as the rude and abusive messages we are receiving from these supporters. If they do not, Pajamas Media will have no choice but to remove Mr. Paul permanently from our poll. The choice is now in the hands of Mr. Paul’s supporters.
You see, the Paul surges are making the PJ polls - which currently show Mike Gravel beating Obama and Tommy Thompson whomping the GOP field - look illegitimate.
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Doesn't this threat to boot him from the polls create an
incentive for somebody who dislikes Paul to cheat?
Hey, maybe somebody who dislikes another candidate could cheat a
poll...
That guy who links to TWC, ah, you know, over at Poor &
Stupid (having a CRS moment this AM) has three interesting bits on
Ron Paul.
here,
here, and
here
Nice piece, Dave Weigel.
I just submitted this article to Reddit. Am I part of the
problem?
Recently there was an ABC republican candidate poll that did not
include Ron Paul. Abc not including Paul was all over Reddit and
Digg, and the comments came pouring in. They deleted around a
thousand comments before they gave in and included Paul. Ron Paul
then absolutely trounced every other candidate in the poll.
Did it accomplish anything? Nah. Still, I think it is better to
make a scene than to allow a candidate to be erased from ther
debate like that.
I love it when some topdown org like PJM gets run over by the unruly internet. Very MSM of them to get snippy about it. Also amusing that the Mitt and Tancredo guys aren't smart enough to cheat.
Who knew there was a huge overlap in gold standard supporters and computer dorks? I wonder if William Jennings Bryant had the crystal set crowd jury rigging polls at medicine shows for him.
It's possible that this online support for Paul isn't showing up in meatspace polls because they are only polling registered Republicans. I think a lot of the enthusiasm for Paul is coming from younger people who are Democrat, independent, or unregistered.
Obama can put out a call for rally volunteers on Facebook
and get 200 fresh-scrubbed co-eds bouncing out of bed to help set
up microphones.
This gets my vote for the best sentence constructed by David
Weigel.
FWIW - the Technorati is equally suspect. I have in the past ran a
little bot on my PC to boost someone's Technorati ranking.
I think a lot of the enthusiasm for Paul is coming from
younger people who are Democrat, independent, or
unregistered.
Ding ding ding!
It was funny how everyone was trumpeting how Ron Paul was the only
candidate with a net positive rating in MSNBC's online poll after
the debate. It probably helped that the video clip that was
displayed for him was his response to the question "why are the
other candidates wrong about Iraq", which was bound to be popular
with Dems and independents, but not so much with the people
actually voting in the primary.
"FWIW - the Technorati is equally suspect. I have in the past
ran a little bot on my PC to boost someone's Technorati
ranking."
Technorati claims that they can detect such things, and they also
claim that the RP interest is broadbased and legit.
It was funny how everyone was trumpeting how Ron Paul was
the only candidate with a net positive rating in MSNBC's online
poll after the debate. It probably helped that the video clip that
was displayed for him was his response to the question "why are the
other candidates wrong about Iraq", which was bound to be popular
with Dems and independents, but not so much with the people
actually voting in the primary.
Of course, if he loses the primary this will all be used as
"evidence" that the Republican Machine unfairly blocked him out.
Rove/Cheney/Thompson plots to follow.
"I love it when some topdown org like PJM gets run over by the
unruly internet. Very MSM of them to get snippy about it. Also
amusing that the Mitt and Tancredo guys aren't smart enough to
cheat."
Apparently Mitt paid the way for hundreds of college republicans to
go to CPAC, and I know for a fact that the Tancretins aren't above
posting a link to a poll they want tilted in their favor.
Maybe the reason why Mitt and Tancredo aren't "cheating" better is
because they don't have a base that's inspired enough to do much of
anything.
Mitt has tried to buy the support of college republicans by
promising them 10% of whatever funds they can raise for the
campaign. Maybe it's worked as a fundraising tool, but it hasn't
translated into internet supremacy.
This reminds me of the early days of Jesse Ventura's (ultimately
successful) run for Minnesota's governorship.
Hope springs eternal.
It's interesting how incredibly "Establishment" the media really
is. If a candidate doesn't fit some pre-existing model, he's out.
Paul is, after all, a Republican candidate, just as worthy of press
as, say, a Kucinich or Nader were as Democrats, each of whom got
plenty of attention. But there's media recognition of the Fringe
Democratic (or Democratic-like) Candidate™ that simply doesn't
exist for anyone proclaiming libertarian values.
I don't think the media has any particular antipathy against
libertarians; rather, I think they tend to view libertarians as too
small a force to be bothered with. That's one of the problems with
conflating Libertarians with libertarians, in my book, but that's
the way it is.
For the GOP faithful who dislike Paul because of his opposition to
the war, let me just say that rejecting his ideas completely is
disturbing. The sole redeeming feature of the GOP is the
ever-shrinking limited-government, pro-free market wing. Either
party can get aggressive on foreign policy, but it's what we do
domestically that will matter the most in the long run. Vote
against Paul all you want, but you should welcome the fact that
he's bringing back some of the Goldwater/Reagan rhetoric that
today's GOP is sorely lacking. Not that rhetoric equals change, but
it beats nothing at all.
For the rest of us, don't write off Paul just yet. If a wrestler
can win a governorship on a third-party ticket, a Congressman can
win on a major party one. And don't argue charisma with me, given
the current occupant of the White House!!
Why did a total unkown like William Jefferson Clinton get
propelled to the presidency? The mainstream media promoted him as
the 'annointed' one, directed by those who control our
government.
Ron will never be 'annointed' and thus his supporters must spread
the word as they can, and educate the public that those candidates
being pushed in the media are not candidates looking out for their
best interests but are being promoted by the very thing they are
fighting.
This is the big red flag.
BY the way, Paul is second in fundraising in NH of all the
GOPers... :-)
I must say, the Paul supporters are saying almost identical
things as I did when I was a John Anderson supporter.
I suspect they will be saying the same things as I did after the
election too.
The Clinton example is a good one. Without the disruptive force
of Perot the first time around, no way, no how he even got close to
winning. Not that Bush was popular. But the Clinton victory is
definitely a case of the right factors coming into play at the
right time. And, of course, he was a good campaigner. Strangely
enough, so is the current White House resident. Too bad he's so bad
at the actual job.
John Anderson. I always forget about him. He might've done better
as an independent in a different election year.
Without the disruptive force of Perot the first time around,
no way, no how he even got close to winning.
That's not really true. Bush was trying to win re-election with a
low approval rating, the perception of a lousy economy, a
disgruntled GOP base and some GOP fatigue after 12 years of them
controlling the White House. If Perot never entered the race it
would have gone very differently - Bush wouldn't have wasted so
much time trying to shore up Texas and Florida, for example - but
all those external factors (the pre-election Iran-Contra
indictments, too) would have aided Clinton.
Without Perot in the race Bush might have held on to Nevada,
Montana, Colorado, Georgia, and New Hampshire. Maybe even Ohio.
That still would have given Clinton 317 electoral votes.
Sorry folks. Ron Paul isn't the great white hope. He's a transparent LINO. Just another D.C. trimmer.
This makes sense-- I was up at 3:00 AM the morning after the debates and Drudge Report had a poll up in the right hand column, top. Ron Paul was a solid third, way ahead of McCain, which causes me infinite joy. I was going to send a link to Reason but by 5 or 6:00 AM the poll had been taken down. Now that may look like a conspiracy but if some script-kiddie moron thinks he is helping us by gaming the system and 'botting phony votes, well that may be why it got taken down-- 1000 votes from one IP address. I still would like to believe that Ron is number three with a bullet.
Dave, I don't agree. Bush was hit much harder by the Perot
campaign than Clinton was. I acknowledged earlier that there were
other factors that aided Clinton--including Clinton's well-executed
campaign--but I think the fact remains that a beleaguered Bush
still beats an unknown and somewhat corruption-tainted Clinton
without Perot.
Catron,
If you don't like Paul, then who do you like? I don't agree with
him on everything, but he's hardly even remotely a typical
Republican. How can anyone say so, given his voting record?
Dave, you got some analysis on which states might have been
carried by Bush absent Perot?
I'm thinking something like: assume Perot voters broke 2:1 for Bush
- what states change columns? That kind of thing.
That's cute that this site is named "Reason". I've seen more rational material coming from a dog who's foaming at the mouth.
R C Dean -
here's the 1992 map. If you give Bush 2/3 of the Perot vote and
Clinton 1/3, the following states go to Bush from Clinton:
Nevada (54-46 Bush)
Montana (54-46 Bush)
New Hampshire (54-46)
Ohio (53-47 Bush)
New Jersey (52-48 Bush)
Colorado (52-48 Bush)
Georgia (52-48 Bush)
Kentucky (51-49 Bush)
Maine (51-49 Bush)
If you calculate the votes this way you turn Iowa and Wisconsin
into 50-50 races, but since even Dukakis won those states I figure
Clinton would have won them. And since Bush actually came third in
Maine, hard to imagine he'd win there either. So in this fairly
pro-Bush scenario, Clinton still wins.
The reason Ron Paul and Mike Gravel are doing so well in the internet polls is that they dare to speak the truth. It is so abnormal for politicians to do so that people are actually inspired enough to vote for them. I don't even think it matters whether you agree with them or not, it is just so refreshing to hear pol's speak without worrying about what the polls will say but saying what they believe. Whether this translates to people actually getting out and voting is another matter.
You see, the Paul surges are making the PJ polls - which currently show Mike Gravel beating Obama and Tommy Thompson whomping the GOP field - look illegitimate.
You mean that a non-random, non-scientific poll could possibly be
illegitimate? Oh shit! I guess MSN will have to retract all of
those polls they do on crappy news articles.
Look, Ron Paul has a fantastic following on the Internet.
PajamasMedia, after correcting for the folks gaming the system, has
consistently listed the top two Republicans as Fred Thompson and
Ron Paul, only one of which is even running. While some 80% of
America may have access to the Internet, nowhere near that many are
interested in hunting down online political polls and registering
their opinions. In short, no online political polls should ever be
counted as "legitimate", particularly if they allow just anybody to
vote (eg. without logging in for vote tracking). Now, getting
legitimate polling agencies like Harris Interactive and Gallup to
insert Messrs. Paul and Gravel into their polling cold-calls is the
real challenge.
But there's media recognition of the Fringe Democratic (or
Democratic-like) Candidate™ that simply doesn't exist for anyone
proclaiming libertarian values.
What!?!?!
You speak blasphemy...joe told me less then 6 months ago that MSM
is heavily libertarian leaning..and i take it on good faith that
Joe of all people would be honest to me and to himself on this
issue.
Thanks, Dave. I hereby revoke the last, oh, say, five uncharitable thoughts I have had about you.
Cat | May 10, 2007, 12:46pm | #
That's cute that this site is named "Reason". I've seen more
rational material coming from a dog who's foaming at the
mouth.
Damn, this conversation is extremely tame. People really need to
think before saying these things. It's only 11:30 AM here, and now
I have to drink?
Nick
yeah, I mean, the online poll responses are likely from younger folk sitting in front of their TVs while simultaneously on their laptops chatting with their friends (or posting on blogs) while watching debates and such. While it is still encouraging to know that there is a large following of younger people out there for Ron Paul and other "alternative" candidates, I hardly think that if you called the average voter in Iowa and asked them what they though of Ron Paul that they would have any idea who you were talking about. Afterall, Rudy Giuliani did such a great job after 9/11, right? And John McCain is a political moderate, right?
As a former Republican in a "battleground state" I get pollsters
calling me every week sometimes more than once. In Republican polls
very rarely have I been given a choice of Ron Paul. I will always
go ahead give Ron Paul as my choice anyway.
In Presidential and senate/house/state polls I'm never given an
option of the Libertarian candidate.
What has Paris Hilton done recently to get her the number 5
spot?
It has been quite a while since her sex tape.
I used to date a chick named Cat (long blond hair). Never knew
her real name. I figure she was married since she always was gone
in the morning when I'd wake up.
Best part? She didn't foam at the mouth, like some of the namesake
trolls around here.
Okay, that wasn't really the BEST part. Y'all know what that part
was.
kwais,
URKOBOLD UNDERSTANDS THAT PARIS HILTON IS, IN FACT, MAKING A NEW
TAPE. IT'S A PARTICULARLY PERVERTED SEXUAL ACT WITH
A--GASP--PHYSICIST.
But how many are searching base on his new moniker?
Mr. Pickles has a better ring, really.
http://www.comedycentral.com/shows/the_daily_show/message_board.jhtml?c=v&t=13159
Ok, the threat to take him off your poll doesn't matter because your website doesn't matter. You are not yahoo, cnn, msnbc, cbs or Fox news... so with that said....SUCK IT UP! RON PAUL WON FAIR AND SQUARE...He makes more sense, has more historical knowledge of politics and has a better grasp on reality then ANY other republican running! Again, SUCK IT UP and accept that Ron Paul will be our next President! THE PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN! I'm sure you'll be scared to post this!
Please allow me to suggest a website for Ron Paul supporters.
It's a search engine where the owner contributes 50% of his site's
monthly earnings to help elect Ron Paul President of the United
States in 2008.
Ron Paul
Fundraising
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